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The Future (of work) (of HR)
27 november 2015
When to plant a Tree?
20 years ago? Now?
There are always two good moments to plant a tree.
Talking about our (their) Future
Starting Question
Who has children?
What do you want for them?
How do you help?
To what extent are you worried about their future?
Conversa9on with my Mom in 1976.
Son, you will have a difficult Life.
Why, mom?
• High Youth Unemployment • Energy Supply • Cold War • Jimmy Carter got elected • Middle East Conflict
Where is my Playmobil Box?
V U C A Vola%le – Uncertain – Complex -‐ Ambiguous
Dear mom,
Our World has become
How can we navigate it?
Conversa9on with my Mom in 2016.
I do worry about my children too.
Two reasons to be worried
50% of all jobs can disappear due to the increased automation and the development of robotics.
100 50% of milennials will reach the age of 100.
Reason 1
50% of all jobs can disappear due to the increased automation and the development of robotics. In addition many jobs will disappear due to relocation to countries with higher growth (BRIC – Next 11)
0.42%
0.70%
0.78%
1.20%
1.80%
2.10%
3%
3.50%
4.32%
5.80%
7.10%
7.45%
7.87%
8.25%
0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00% 9.00%
Medical Doctors
Psychologists
Teachers
Pharmacists
Architects
Photographer
System Administrators
Lawyers
Social Workers
Nurses
Construc9on Workers
Fitness instructor
Prep School Techers
Journalists
Series 1
86.00%
88.00%
89.00%
89.50%
90.00%
90.00%
90%
93.00%
94.00%
94.00%
95.67%
96.00%
97.00%
99.00%
75.00% 80.00% 85.00% 90.00% 95.00% 100.00%
Logis9c Workers
Bakers
Security Agents
Waiters
Cash Registers
HR Administra9on
Tax Officers
Interviewers
Sales on markets
Accountants
Teller/Recep9on Workers
Administra9ve Workers
Telemarketeers
My children need to …
Study
Get Experience
Learn Unlearn
Be Crea9ve Self-‐Reliant Employable
Towards a binary labour market Dangerous – Demeaning – Dirty Jobs Educated – Energizing – Elegant Jobs
People with “distance” to the labour Market
§ Old people § Young people § Non-natives § Labour Handicapped people § Low-skilled
§ People with the “wrong” experience, the “wrong”
background, “wrong” decisions in the past
§ “Scrappers”
The paradox of Experience
A shift in our thinking is needed
Diploma Degree
Talent & Learning
Engagement
Resilience
Staying Healthy
Reason 2
100 50% of milennials will reach the age of 100. Pension schemes will be not sustainable if we do not increase the career span.
What to do with your Life?
70 124800 productive hours
80 156000 productive hours
100 218,400 productive hours
Sleep 8 hours – Eat 3 hours – excluding first 20 and last 10 years – 5 days working w eek – 4 weeks vacation Source: Andrew Scott, London Business School
It’s unlikely It’s impossible
To do 60 years the same thing. To do a job that is not adapted to strengths and
needs of a person.
à Change the Job à Change jobs
Working longer?
Evolu9on of labour market par9cipa9on of 55+ in Belgium © Securex 2015
And the others?
© Securex Whitepaper on Employability in Belgium, 2015
How many people in Belgium report a mental workload that is too high
How many people in Belgium are happy in their work?
How many people in Belgium find that they are in a high quality job?
13% According to a Gallup research only 13% of employees is
actively engaged.
How employable are we?
© Securex Whitepaper on Employability in Belgium, 2015
A shift in our thinking is needed
Job Function
Talent / Learning
Engagement
Resilience
Staying Healthy
A shift in our thinking is needed
Diploma Degree
Talent / Learning
Engagement
Resilience
Staying Healthy
Job / Function
SUSTAINABLE EMPLOYABILITY
ABILITY
AGILITY
HEALTH
RESILIENCE
© Securex
© Securex Whitepaper on Employability in Belgium, 2015
How do people see their sustainable employability ?
Mental Health = Challenge
§ Increased workload § Focus on results and costs § Higher Job insecurity § Technostress § Mobility § Less “escape routes”
© Securex Whitepaper on Employability in Belgium, 2015
How?
The way forward will change the way we organize work. And is based on a simple, ancient truth.
Dove c’è gusto non ���c’è perdenza.
Where there is enjoyment there is no loss.
We need to
Customize work. Build jobs around people. Create a context in which people can be successful.
Take / Create a job that suits you. Look for a context in which you can be successful on a long term. Evolve.
You need to
When to plant a Tree?
In 1996 this was the conclusion of a Ugent report made for the Associa%on of Belgian HR Directors:
Let’s look for individual solu%ons. But let’s not talk about it.
NOT EFFICIENT
NOT COLLECTIVE
NOT FAIR
PRECEDENTS
RESISTANCE
EGO-‐CENTRIC TENDENCIES
CUSTOMIZING WORK NOT EASY
FAIR
INCLUSIVE
GIVING CHOICE
Customizing what?
The work environment Time & Place Human Factors
The Job Person-‐Job Fit Talent-‐based Job Sculp9ng
Learning Learning Style Learning Needs Leraning Technology
Career Talent-‐based Career Speed Porfolio?
Remunera%on Individual Deals Cafeteria
Organisa%on Self-‐Steering Aligned Autonomy
Mobility Choice Mul9modal, flexible
My Job is meaningful
I can exprience Flow in my Job.
In my job I can use my talent.
There are learning opportuni%es.
I have the autonomy I need.
My job is dynamic and evolves.
I have experiences of success.
I can keep my dignity in my job.
There is %me for recovery.
I feel supported.
Job
scu
lpti
ng
CUSTOMIZATION IS AN INSPIRATION FOR THE HR-‐STRATEGY
HR-‐PRACTICES CAN EVOLVE
There is always something you can do.
The answer is never black & white Between 0% and 100% there is a lot of space.
Small things are o`en sufficient.
Adding something. Removing something.
It takes effort to do.
The returns are not always clear.
There are no quick solu9ons.
The role of HR?
Advocate
Architect
Expert Coach
Data Strategist
Take on 5 roles
Expert
Ageing
Learning
Flexibility
Organisa9on
Digitaliza9on
Law
Coach
Learning
Leadership
Problem-‐Solving
Job Craiing
Career-‐Building
Nudging
Employability Plan
Architect
Choice
Flexibility
Long Term
Structural Solu9on
Mass Customiza9on
Data Strategist
Data Management
Digitaliza9on
ROI : what’s in it for us
Strategic Data
Advocate
Society
CSR
Role of people
Importance
The role of the government?
Advocate
Architect
Expert Coach
Data Strategist
Take on 5 roles
Letter to my mom
Dear Mom,
Coming back to that conversation of 1976,… I
will have to work until 67. That’s another 21
years (I am not counting down).
The world will change in the next 21 years. I
don’t know how.
But I do know that I will have to change and
learn.
Chances are that I will do something else, with
skills I don’t have today.
This must sound terrible to you. But I am not
afraid.
I am lucky to work for a company that gives me
space. That allows me to learn, experiment and
move. It’s a great environment to be in. And even
when I would leave, I would leave better than I
was before.
Love, David
P.S. I am working on my health.
David Ducheyne Chief People Officer Securex [email protected] 0479 91 08 67 www.linkedin.com/in/davidducheyne www.twitter.com/dducheyne @dducheyne
Thank you. David Ducheyne
Duurzaam Leiderschap
Hoe leiden in een VUCA wereld
Die Keure