37
www.derby.ac.uk University of Derby and D2N2 working together Skills and Employability Strategy (2016-2020) September 2016

D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

  • Upload
    d2n2lep

  • View
    65

  • Download
    4

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

University of Derby and D2N2 working together

Skills and Employability Strategy (2016-2020)September 2016

Page 2: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Welcome and Introductions (5 mins)

Context & Scene Setting for the Refresh of the Skills Strategy (10 mins)

Labour and Employment Needs (30 mins)

Allen Graham, Chief Executive of Rushcliffe Borough Council

Skills and Provision (50 mins)

Hayley Wood, University of Derby, College of Education

Stakeholder Round Table Discussion (20 mins)

Conclusions and Close (5 mins)

Allen Graham, Chief Executive of Rushcliffe Borough Council

Agenda

Page 3: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Aim and Vision of The Skills & Employability Strategy (2016-2020)

The aim is to inform stakeholders as to labour market conditions, employment skills needs and provision; providing an evidence base to influence quality solutions to improve local skills performance.

The vision is to create a productive workforce that has the skills required in its current and future economy.

The Strategy draws data and insight from the most up to date sources to maximize its value as evidence.

Page 4: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Employment and the labour market

• 87.7% of employers in the region are classified as micro-businesses employing nine or less employees.

• There has been particularly strong growth in the Motor trades and Transport & Service industries between 2010 and 2015 with an increase of 210 businesses in the region during this period.

• Between 2017 and 2022, there is projected to be 9% growth in the human health and social work area, and 7% growth in the construction industry, across D2N2 (Working Futures, 2014)

• 17% of employers in the area are reporting that they have skills gaps.

• The Annual Population Survey (2014) indicates that the levels of qualifications held by residents of the D2N2 region aged 16-64 are lower than the average for the whole of England.

Page 5: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

D2N2 Economy• Total population is 2,147,900. Men 49%, female 51%

• Over 67,835 businesses across D2N2, employing 891,800 members of staff.

• Jobs expected to rise by around 47,000 between 2012-2022 (0.4%, lower than England at 0.6%).

• 87.7% of businesses are Micro’s (employing 1 to 9 employees).

• Self employment accounts for 8.2% of working population, lower than England rate of 10.4%.

• Average workplace annual earnings in 2015 is £25,411, which is £2,462 lower than England average.

• Average workplace annual earnings in Mansfield (£20,278) is £13,630 lower than in Derby which is £33,908.

NOMIS - Dec 2015, UKCES Working Future 2012-2022, ASHE - 2015

Page 6: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Economic profile

• Sector profile broadly similar to England, but over represented in manufacturing, business admin./support & Health

• Leading sources of employment growth are expected to be wholesale and retail trade (+10,000), health and social care (+9,000), support services (+9,000), construction (+9,000) and information technology (+8,000)

• Manufacturing (-9,000) and public administration (-4,000) are projected to see continued decline, however still significant employer.

BRES/NOMIS, UKCES Working Future 2012-2022

Page 7: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Occupation profile

• D2N2 has lower than average rate of employed individuals in higher skills occupations.

• 39% of employment is in 3 high skilled occupations

• Employment in 3 lowest skilled occupations is slightly higher (27%) than UK average (25%).

• Middle skills occupations slightly higher (34%) than UK (32%).

• Job growth expected to be concentrated in higher level roles, half of which expected to be in professional roles.

• Lower level jobs growth in occupations relating to care.

• Jobs with low/no qualifications are expected to decline from 20% to 14% of the workforce.

• Replacement demand however, will contribute more than 8 times as many job openings as net job growth over next decade (407,000 openings compared to 47,000).

Annual Population Survey - January to December 2015

Page 8: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Skills shortages

• 13% employers reported vacancies.

• 31% reported hard to fill, with shortage of skilled workers seen as the main reason.

• Skill shortage vacancies account for 19% of all vacancies in D2N2.

• Most common in skilled trades, caring and leisure.

• 68% highlighted work experience as being critical or significant factor in recruiting candidates.

• Maths and English rated at 60%, vocational qualifications 48%.

UKCES 2015 Survey

Page 9: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Skills gaps

• 4% employers report skills gaps in their workforce.

• Being new to job, increased workload sited as main reason.

• 66% reported they have provided training for their staff.

UKCES 2015 Survey

Page 10: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Recruitment of young people & apprenticeships

• 25% recruited an education leaver in 2-3 years preceding survey, compared to 27% nationally.

• 9% employers in D2N2 had recruited someone from University or HEI, compared to 14% nationally.

• 17% of employers in D2N2 offer formal apprenticeships, compared to a national figure of 15%.

• 40% were expecting to offer formal apprenticeships in the future.

UKCES 2015 Survey

Page 11: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Skills profile• The levels of qualifications held by residents of the D2N2 region aged 16-64 are lower than the average for

the whole of England

8.2% No Quals5.9% Other Quals86.0% Level 1 + 73.4% Level 2+55.3% Level 3+33.3% Level 4+

• D2N2 has skill levels below the national average at all levels except NVQ1 and above (both have 73.4% for NVQ2+).

• Bassetlaw, Nottingham, Newark & Sherwood, Broxtowe & Erewash have above average proportions of their population with no qualifications (NVQ)

• Rushcliffe, High Peak, Derbyshire Dales, Broxtowe & Amber Valley above average proportions of their population with higher Skills (NVQ L4 or above)

Annual Population Survey (2015)

Page 12: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Labour market – employment rate

• Employment rate in

D2N2 is 73% of

working age population

compared to 74% for

England

• Highest rate is

Derbyshire Dales with

84%, and lowest is

Nottingham at 64%

Annual Population Survey Jan-Dec 2015

Page 13: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Labour Market - Unemployment Rate

• JSA Claimant rate in

D2N2 is 1.4% of

working age

population, in line with

England average

• Lowest rate is

Derbyshire Dales with

0.4%, and highest is

Nottingham at 3

JSA Claimant Rates – ONS, May 2016

Page 14: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

NEET & not known rates (2015-16)

• There are estimated to be 2,570

NEETs across D2N2

• Nottingham has the lowest NEET

and Not Known rates across

D2N2, and one of the lowest

across all Core Cities in England

• Derby and Nottingham have

NEET rates above the England

average

• Nottinghamshire has the lowest

NEET rates

DfE 2015 local authority NEET figures (average over Nov 15, Dec 15 and Jan 16)

14

4.1%

4.20%

2.5%

4.8%

3.6%

5.8%

9.3%

8.20%

9.1%

4.7%

5.6%

2.7%

-1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 11% 13% 15%

EM Region

England

Nottinghamshire

Derby City

Derbyshire

Nottingham

NEET Not Known

Page 15: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Why are we involved?

• The Skills Strategy Refresh and the LEP desire to meet the needs of the local economy and empower the residents of D2N2 fits with the College of Education’s commitment to widening participation and social justice.

• As a department we are in partnership with a wide variety of education providers across all sectors in the D2N2 region.

• Opportunity to provide a joined up approach to education across the region and develop teachers for the region who are aware of the structure and make up of the local economy.

• To develop an evidence base for what we know anecdotally.

• To work with local stakeholders to develop an FE and Skills sector that is fit for purpose, efficient and effective.

Page 16: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Research

• Desk based research and analysis.• Labour market and employment data.• Education provision.• Aim is to map current FE offer to the skills requirements of specific areas.• Linking provision to meet employer need.• Developing a triangulated approach to the development of skills that meet the

needs of local employers and aid economic growth and development

Mapped against the eight priority sectors:

· Construction· Transport Equipment Manufacturing

· Food and Drink Manufacturing· Transport and Logistics

· Low Carbon· Visitor Economy

· Life Sciences· Creative and Digital Industries

Page 17: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

School based provision in the region

● The East Midlands is currently the joint lowest performing Ofsted region in terms of inspection

outcomes.

● The region had the worst GCSE results in England in 2015; nearly 46% of pupils did not achieve

the benchmark five or more A* to C grades including English and maths.

● Derby and Nottingham were among the 10 lowest ranking local authority areas nationally for

GSCE examinations – only 47.6% and 42.4% of pupils respectively achieved the benchmark five

or more A* to C grades including English and maths in 2015

● Outcomes are improving though over the region.

● 182 schools in the region across urban and rural areas and these include 18 independent

schools, 43 special schools and 121 maintained secondary schools.

Page 18: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

School based provision in relation to the priority sectors

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Life Sciences

Transport

Logistics

Construction

Visitor economy

Creative and digital

Food and drink manufacturing

Low carbon

Health and Social Care

% of schools in D2N2 offering some curriculum provision in each sector

Page 19: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

School based provision

• No real geographic trends for key priority curriculums.

• Three recently opened free schools

– Derby Manufacturing University Technical College

– Nottingham University Academy of Science and Technology

– Vision Studio School

• As a result of new accountability measures the curriculum offer has become more

restricted.

• The number of vocational programmes has been cut.

• 29% of 16 -19 learners take STEM subjects at A Level.

• Inconsistent approach to employability, careers and enterprise

Page 20: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

FE Context

• The Further Education and Skills sector includes a number of contexts including sixth form colleges, general further education colleges, private training providers, community learning and workplace learning.

• 2015-16 there are 161 institutions of 16-19 provision across D2N2:– 19% Ofsted grade 3 or 4 (requiring improvement or inadequate). – EFA funding allocation to D2N2 is £201,162,698.

• 2015-16 there are 47 prime providers of FE & Skills in the D2N2 region:– SFA total funding allocation to the prime providers is £198,171,928, 55% of which

is to the six D2N2 FE Colleges.

• 2014-15 SFA distribution of non apprenticeship delivery funding lists 27 providers with a D2N2 postcode delivering 22.08% of their provision within their home local authority and 61.24% within their home region.

Page 21: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

FE Context (SFA 2014-15)

• 161,090 residents within the D2N2 region (based on learner postcode) engaged in some sort of education and training in either an education and training establishment (general further education college or private training provider), community learning or workplace setting.

• 317,620 qualifications / programmes were delivered across the D2N2 region by a total of 661 different providers.

– Community Learning (16.6%)– Education and Training (66.5%)– Workplace Learning (1.5%)– Apprenticeships (15.2%)

Page 22: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

FE Context (SFA 2014-15)

• 21% of programmes delivered were relevant to the D2N2 eight priority sectors.

• 6% of apprenticeships delivered were relevant to the eight priority sectors.

• 68% of all provision is delivered by D2N2 providers who are from within the D2N2 LA area.

293,163

62,656

8,470 15,463679 1,435 1,189

13,973 21,447

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

SUPPLY FE PROVISION (14/15 Learner LA Postcode)

None apprenticeship delivery

Page 23: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Participation across the region

Page 24: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Community learning (26,870 learners)

Community provision encompasses a wide range of activity including:• Personal and Community Development (77%)• Neighbourhood learning in deprived communities (2%)• Family English, Maths and Language (9%)• Wider family learning (12%)

• Approximately 14% of all starts in the region is community based compared to an East Midlands average of 8%.

• There was a 15% increase of provision between 2013-14 and 2014-15.

• Participation amongst older age groups (45+) is the highest of all groups within community based provision and 71.7% participation is female.

• Provision is less likely to be targeted to specific sectors and more likely to cover generic work, life and functional skill provision. The highest SSAs are Arts, Media and Publishing at 28% and Preparation for Life and Work at 26%.

Page 25: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Education and training (107,270 learners)

• Provision reduced by 14% between 2013-14 and 2014-15.

• 34% of starts is below Level 2.

• 0.53% are Level 4+.

• 45.7% of enrolments were Preparation for Life and Work.

• 59% of provision is to 19+.

0 20000 40000 60000 80000

2011-12

2012-13

2013-14

2014-15

Age-Band

16-18 19+

Page 26: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Workplace learning (2,420 learners)

• Provision reduced by 14% between 2013-14 and 2014-15.

• 34% of starts is below Level 2.

• 0.53% are Level 4+.

• 45.7% of enrolments were Preparation for Life and Work.

• 59% of provision is to 19+.

0 20000 40000 60000 80000

2011-12

2012-13

2013-14

2014-15

Age-Band

16-18 19+

Page 27: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Workplace Learning (2,420 learners)• Workplace learning is the smallest context of Further Education and Skills provision within D2N2.• Some major local employers are in direct receipt of Skills Funding Agency monies. For example,

Rolls Royce and Toyota.• The majority of provision within workplace learning is targeted at the priority sectors of D2N2.

Logistics 34

Creative and Digital 6

Low Carbon 9

Visitor Economies 291

Construction 421

Food and Drink Manufacturing 0

Health and Social Care 296

Life Sciences 2

Transport Equipment and

Manufacturing

191

Total 1250

Page 28: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Traineeship provision

• In 2014 - 15 there were 19,400 traineeship starts nationally and 12,600 completions.

• 940 of those starts were in the D2N2 region.

• Currently there is limited data about completions in the region or the sectors in which young people are doing their traineeships.

• The starts figure for D2N2 represents the sixth highest starts for traineeships in England overall for 2014-15.

• Derby, Nottingham and Amber Valley have recorded the most significant increases in the number of traineeship starts from 2013-14 to 2015-16.

Page 29: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Apprenticeship provision (24,530 learners)

• Starts and achievements vary across D2N2with certain areas such as Derbyshire and Nottinghamshire enjoying higher recruitment and success rates than the national average

• Recruitment and success rates in Derby and Nottingham are below the national average

• Majority (61%) are Intermediate apprenticeships

• 25+ age group is 41% of all apprenticeship learners (32.9% in 2013-14)

• Advanced Apprenticeship increase is slower than England overall

• Limited Higher Apprenticeship offer and delivery (4%)

6,810, 28%

7,570, 31%

10,150, 41%

Participation

Under 19 19-24 25+

Page 30: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Apprenticeship starts by sector subject area (SSA) and level

Intermediate Level

Apprenticeship

Advanced Level

Apprenticeship

Higher

Apprenticeship

Apprenticeship

Trailblazer

Grand

Total

Health, Public Services and Care 3,025 2,559 448 6,032

Science and Mathematics 0 17 17

Agriculture, Horticulture and Animal Care 263 107 1 371

Engineering and Manufacturing

Technologies2,264 1,255 29 12 3,560

Construction, Planning and the Built

Environment644 178 822

Information and Communication Technology 101 288 56 7 452

Retail and Commercial Enterprise 3,830 997 7 4,834

Leisure, Travel and Tourism 317 258 575

Arts, Media and Publishing 4 40 0 44

Education and Training 78 184 262

Business, Administration and Law 4,569 2,482 437 7,488

Grand Total 15,095 8,365 978 19 24,457

Table and data provided is based on SFA Data Cube of Apprenticeship Starts

Page 31: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

24,457

10,339

822 477 69 0 1,067

2

3,560 4,342

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

No of App Starts

Table and data provided is based on SFA Data Cube of Apprenticeship Starts

Apprenticeship provision

• 42% of Apprenticeship Starts are delivered to the D2N2 Priority Sectors.

• Apprenticeships to D2N2 Priority Sectors are fairly evenly spread across the age-bands:

o 36% to 16-18 o 31% to 19-24 o 32% 25+

Page 32: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Apprenticeship provision

• Data for the East Midlands for 2012/13 and 2014/15 suggests that the number of Apprenticeships in Engineering and Construction has started to increase, possibly as a result of a slight upturn in the economy.

• There is a need to increase higher apprenticeships in the eight priority sectors. Science and Construction for 2014/15 had a 0% participation rate for higher level apprenticeships.

• In 2014/15, there were only 44 apprenticeships in the travel and tourism sector across the whole D2N2 area. 68.2% of these apprentices were engaged with intermediate/level two apprenticeships and all in travel services.

Page 33: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Higher education

There are three universities within the D2N2 region; University of Nottingham, Nottingham Trent University and the University of Derby.

From the three universities there is an estimated student population of 78500, with approximately 47% of students at these institutions coming from within the region.

•All offer programmes directly related to 7 of the priority sectors

•All FE Colleges in the region have some HE provision

•Foundation Degree is predominant offer for priority sectors

•Low carbon is least represented priority sector

•Creative and Digital Industries is the most represented

•Construction is well represented

•Little evidence of higher and degree level apprenticeships

Page 34: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Travel to learn

D2N2 FE Place of Learning by Level

No. Learners % learning in

D2N2

% learning

outside D2N2

D2N2 total 1,263,959 87% 13%

Entry level 170,472 93% 7%

Higher level 1,188 81% 19%

Level 1 296,629 89% 11%

Level 2 290,468 80% 20%

Level 3 169,109 83% 17%

Level 4 (original) 11,623 73% 27%

Level 5 (original) 466 74% 26%

Not applicable 245,127 90% 10%

Not Applicable/ Not Known78,871 93% 7%

Source: Datacube, 2011/12-2014/15

Page 35: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Travel to learn

• At a district level, six districts have a below average proportion of learners learning within the D2N2 area – South Derbyshire, High Peak, Bassetlaw, Rushcliffe, Newark and Sherwood and North East Derbyshire. These are districts on the periphery of D2N2, with links to other conurbations outside the D2N2 boundary.

• Key destinations for travel to learn outside the LEP area include:

– South Derbyshire – East Staffordshire, NW Leicestershire– High Peak – Stockport, Tameside, Manchester– Bassetlaw – Doncaster, Lincoln, Rotherham– Rushcliffe – Charnwood– Newark and Sherwood – Lincoln– NE Derbyshire – Sheffield

Page 36: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Does the educational offer in D2N2 meet the needs of employers?

Page 37: D2N2 Skills and Employability Strategy Refresh 2016-2020

www.derby.ac.uk

Questions for consultation• Do the findings of the strategy refresh provide an effective evidence base to inform the needs of the local

economy?

• Based on the evidence you have been provided with, what should the five key priorities for skills and employment be for D2N2?

• D2N2 aims to raise business productivity and competiveness through training, skills and by having a long term strategy. Does the evidence base provide you with the data to inform your own skills strategies and why?

• The success of the refreshed strategy will require all stakeholders to be informed, influenced and involved. How will you use the D2N2 Skills Strategy 2016-2020?

• How can we better align the delivery of community, workplace and mainstream skills provision to meet the needs of D2N2 priority and growth sectors? Is the mix of provision appropriate to local need?

• In line with D2N2 delivery principles it is important to evidence that all funded provision adds value and meets local need. How can we ensure that future funded provision meets local socio-economic need and which KPIs would be most appropriate?

• D2N2 is exploring the development of an outcome agreement framework for funded provision based on local priorities and indicators. Would you support the development of such an approach and what considerations need to be taken into account?