DISRUPTIONBALLPREDICTION/ STRATEGY TOOLby MIIKKA LEINONEN

Please edit,

adopt, modify, share…

BETA

PROBLEM:EVERYTHING WILL BE DISRUPTED.BUT WHEN AND WHY?

Unique maps.

Cheap maps.

Digital maps.

Free digital maps.

IOT integrated

maps.

DISRUPTIONS CAN BE MODELED AND PREDICTED

EXAMPLE

SOLUTION:DISRUPTION BALL IS A PREDICTION AND STRATEGY TOOL.

EXAMPLEHow digital technology disrupted the camera industryFirst digital camera is

invented by Eastman Kodak.

Sony Mavica. First commercial

electronic camera.

1975

1981

Apple Quicktake100. First consumer level

camera with USB connection.

1994

Apple iPhone

2007

Samsung SCH-V200

First camera phone.

2000

Casio QV-10 First camera with an LCD display.

1995

1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979

1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

DISRUPTION BALLTHIS IS HOW IT WORKS.

DISRUPTION BALLAdd a product or service here.

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DISRUPTION BALL

Goal is to see when will it “burst out”.

2

DISRUPTION BALL

And to wich direction.

3

DISRUPTION BALLTHIS IS HOW TO USE IT.

DISRUPTION BALL

CULTURE VALUE

TECH COSTS

Disruption ball consists of four sectors.

DISRUPTION BALL

CULTURE VALUE

TECH COSTS

Experienced value. How valuable something is to us on an emotional level and how willing

are we to replace it with something else.

How much it costs to manufacture and how expensive is it

to buy or use.

Our social and cultural ties to the old and our willingness to accept new ways of doing things.

New production and delivery methods that create unforeseen possibilities.

DISRUPTION BALLEvery sector has 4 levels of disruption.

CULTURE

TECH COSTS

1234 High probability

Some changes

Fairly steady

Status Quo

DISRUPTION BALL

Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?

Is there a new f lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?

Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?

Is there a new form of lossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?

Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des autquo mo te?

WINNER

Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?

Is there a new f lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?

Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?

Is there a new form of lossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?

Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des autquo mo te?

WINNER

Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?

Is there a new f lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?

Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?

Is there a new form of lossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?

Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des autquo mo te?

YES NO

WINNER

Each sector gets a disruption number based on a 20 question form.

Technology

PU

LL

PU

SH

LOREM IPSUMIs there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?

Is there a new f lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?

Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?

Is there a new form of lossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?

Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des autquo mo te?

YES NO

WINNER

DISRUPTION BALL

Is there a big hype around something new in the business?

Example questions:

Are there new reports of health risks concerning the product/service?

Are there many new companies entering the business?

Are companies testing new partnership models?

Is it possible to achieve same results without paying anything?

Are people tired of the same old thing?

Has the industry seen a surge in R&D funding?

Are people spending less time with the product/service?

Is this considered trendy?

DISRUPTION BALLGo though all sectors and you are able to predict when and where your business is moving.

DISRUPTION BALLOne sector alone is not enough to cause a disruption…

…but if more than one is

showing signs of change you

should prepare for disruption.

DISRUPTION BALL“This is just a

Now I need your help to make it a real tool.”

Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International

Miikka Leinonen

prototype.

DISRUPTION BALLTest the Disruption Ball for old and new cases.

Create questions that work for your business.

Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International

You’ll find a free Google Sheet template here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eUDY3x2_PXF17u9AZRV3EZQVRHEjJ3HfRtOmUzio4zg/edit?usp=sharing

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And tell me how you did.

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@miikkaleinonen

(Feel free to download this presentation and use it anyway you wish.)

Thanks!– Miikka