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KENTUCKY OUTLOOK FOR HIGHWAY, BRIDGE, AIRPORT & TRANSPORTATION CONSULTANT MARKET DECEMBER 2012

Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

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Page 1: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

KENTUCKY OUTLOOK FOR HIGHWAY, BRIDGE, AIRPORT & TRANSPORTATION CONSULTANT MARKETDECEMBER 2012

Page 2: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

Executive Summary

• Kentucky has a stable economy with little change in population, state revenues or expenditures.

• Transportation bottom line:

Flat market for highway and bridge construction

Modest growth in airport construction

Modest declines expected in consultant awards

2

Page 3: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

Report Contents

• Kentucky General Demographics and Economic Health

• Kentucky State Highway and Bridge Market

• Kentucky Long Run Market Potential

• Kentucky Airport Market

• Kentucky Transportation Planning & Design Market Overview and Competition

3

Page 4: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

KENTUCKY GENERAL DEMOGRAPHICS AND ECONOMIC HEALTH

4

Page 5: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

Population and Housing Starts

• Population: 4,369,356 (ranked 26th nationally)

– ↑ 1% (2010 to 2011)

– ↑ 7% (2000 to 2010)

– ↑ 2% (2010 to 2020)

• Housing starts: ↓ 27% 2008 to 2012

• Total starts per thousand population: Kentucky is forecasted to rank 35th in 2012 (1.7 per thousand).

5 Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, National Association of Home Builders

Page 6: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

Five Year Trend in Real Gross State Product (GSP)

• 2011 Nominal GSP: $164.8 billion

• 2011 Real GSP: $141.3 billion – ↑ 0.5% 2010 to 2011

– ↑ .02% 2007 to 2011

• The three largest shares of 2011 Real GSP are: – 17% manufacturing (-3% since 2007)

– 16% government, including federal, state, and local (+1% since 2007)

– 9% real estate, rental, and leasing (same as 2007)

– 9% health care and social assistance (+1% since 2007)

• The three fastest-growing sectors are: – Finance and insurance (+23% 2007 to 2011)

– Health care and social assistance (+13%)

– Information (+11%)

6 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis Note: Real GSP values are in chained 2005 dollars.

Page 7: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

Kentucky State Tax Collections, Expenditures

7 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

• State tax revenue: ↑ 4.7% from 2007 to 2011 ($10.3 billion)

• Major sources of state tax revenue: – Individual income taxes (33.5% of average annual state tax revenue 2007-2011)

– General sales and gross receipts (29%).

– Motor fuel taxes (6.7%)

• 2010 total expenditures: $29.1 billion – ↑ 8% from 2009 to 2010

– ↑ 42% from 2005 to 2010

• General expenditure was 83% of total expenditure in 2010.

• The three largest shares of 2010 general expenditure are: – 39% education (same % as in 2005)

– 30% public welfare (same as 2005)

– 8% highways (same as 2005)

Page 8: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

Bonds and Public Private Partnerships

• Kentucky is able to issue bonds.

• Total state debt was 9% of GSP in 2010

– Ranking: 18th highest level of debt among states

• State government bond ratings (as of 4Q 2010): – Standard & Poor's: AA-

– Moody’s: Aa2

• There is a state statute for PPP authorization.

8 Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, AASHTO Note: values are in nominal terms unless indicated otherwise.

Page 9: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

Kentucky Transportation Cabinet (KYTC) Capital Investments and Revenues

• 2012 capital investments (capital outlays and construction): $1.84 billion – ↑ 65% (2011 to 2012)

– ↑ 5% (2008 to 2012)

– ↓ 42% (2012 to 2016)

• 2012 revenues: $2.98 billion – ↑ 36% (2011 to 2012)

– ↑ 2% (2008 to 2012)

– ↓ 14% (2012 to 2016)

• Kentucky has a dedicated Road Fund for transportation expenditures, however Kentucky reports recent legislative diversions of transportation funds to its General Fund for other purposes, notwithstanding existing constitutional restrictions.

9 Sources: Office of the State Budget Director Budgets of the Commonwealth 2006-12,

KYTC 2012 Recommended Highway Plan, ARTBA Calculations, KYTC Legislative Budgets, AASHTO

Page 10: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

KENTUCKY STATE HIGHWAY AND BRIDGE MARKET Revenues

Expenditures

Alternative Procurement

10

Page 11: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

KYTC Sources of Funding and Expenditures Source of Funds (millions of $) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (e) 2014 (e) 2015 (e) 2016(e)

General Fund $7.10 $7.70 $6.45 $5.18 $4.67 $4.86 $5.09 $5.68 $5.68 $5.83 $5.90

Restricted Funds $249.42 $371.92 $536.31 $330.22 $878.06 $234.64 $539.51 $326.35 $326.54 $349.40 $357.44

Federal Funds (incl. GARVEEs) $871.79 $697.65 $738.63 $725.40 $734.30 $718.29 $718.31 $630.96 $782.57 $643.37 $606.67

ARRA Receipts $398.28

Road Fund $1,144.84 $1,162.62 $1,229.99 $1,229.06 $1,117.19 $1,181.49 $1,259.95 $1,449.13 $1,476.59 $1,526.80 $1,578.71

Highway Bonds $462.55 $350.00 $395.76 $110.00 $56.00 $456.00 $12.50

TOTAL SOURCES OF FUNDS $2,735.70 $2,589.90 $2,907.13 $2,399.85 $3,132.51 $2,195.27 $2,978.87 $2,424.62 $2,591.38 $2,525.40 $2,548.72

Expenditures (millions of $)

Personnel Cost $377.45 $395.71 $418.05 $438.19 $424.96 $433.28 $441.44 $356.73 $366.44 $376.33 $386.49

Operating Expenses $237.54 $262.01 $226.82 $238.01 $271.34 $252.26 $246.59 $358.99 $359.56 $360.53 $361.50

Grants Loans $203.66 $183.35 $252.14 $212.01 $265.53 $231.61 $240.91 $258.19 $274.08 $288.33 $303.33

Debt Service $182.53 $220.13 $238.53 $215.20 $132.98 $146.47 $188.53 $228.80 $264.04 $277.77 $292.21

Capital Outlay $1.38 $5.26 $12.96 $4.32 $1.03 $0.93 $0.93 $2.78 $2.89 $3.01 $3.13

Construction $1,728.60 $1,518.24 $1,746.91 $1,285.99 $2,030.30 $1,114.59 $1,842.58 $1,190.12 $1,184.25 $1,055.13 $1,065.68

Highway Construction $1,499.13 $1,444.60 $1,612.01 $1,076.11 $1,876.02 $966.41 $1,401.19 $999.20 $980.01 $989.81 $999.71

Louisville Bridge Construction (KY Portion) $73.40 $225.90 $86.70 $50.00

TOTAL EXPENDITURES $2,731.15 $2,584.71 $2,895.41 $2,393.72 $3,126.14 $2,179.14 $2,960.99 $2,395.61 $2,451.26 $2,361.11 $2,412.35

Notes: 2013 and 2014 revenue sources from the Legislative budget, approved April 2012, but federal funds have been adjusted for anticipated GARVEE bonds approved and related to the Louisville Bridges project. Expenditures for 2013 and 2014 are based on the recommended budget for the same time period. Louisville Bridges construction information reflects spending from budget sources and does not include revenues/expenditures related to toll financing for the project. Road fund estimates for 2015 and 2016 from the State Budget Office. Expenditures for 2015 and 2016 are expected to be in line with historical increases. Highway construction expected to be static based on KYTC 2012 Recommended Highway Plan and the budget.

Page 12: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

KYTC Revenues

$2.74 $2.59

$2.91

$2.39

$3.13

$2.20

$2.98

$2.42 $2.59 $2.53 $2.55

$0.0

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

$3.0

$3.5

$4.0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e

KYTC Revenues 2006-2016

Bill

ion

s o

f $

• KYTC revenues have averaged $2.72 billion between 2006-2012.

• KYTC revenues will return to modest growth after a drop in 2013 due to an increase in Road Fund collections.

• The revenue bump in 2010 is due to ARRA/stimulus, while the bump in 2012 is due to $400 million in bonds for construction work.

• Revenues from the Road Fund are constitutionally protected and returning to pre-recession levels.

12 Source: KYTC Legislative Budgets, ARTBA Calculations

Page 13: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

The majority of Transportation Cabinet revenues come from user fees deposited in the Road Fund.

General Fund <1%

Restricted Funds 17%

Federal Funds 31%

Road Fund 40%

Highway Bonds 12%

Average KYTC Revenue Sources 2006-2012

• Road Funds are receipts from motor vehicle usage tax, vehicle and boat registration, motor vehicle operator’s licenses, motor fuels tax, tolls and interest. Road Funds are used for road construction, maintenance, operations, engineering, planning and research.

• Highway Bonds were used to fund Economic Development Road Projects.

• General Funds are collections of taxes on sales and usage, income, corporations, coal severance, property and lottery receipts.

• Restricted Funds are monies received from fees, sales, bond proceeds, licenses, investment income and other miscellaneous receipts. Restricted funds are used to fund the respective program for which the revenue is received.

• Federal Funds are derived from federal grants, contracts, income from investments, and other miscellaneous federal receipts received by state agencies.

13 Source: KYTC Legislative Budgets, ARTBA Calculations

Page 14: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

KYTC Expenditures

$2.73 $2.58

$2.90

$2.39

$3.13

$2.18

$2.96

$2.40 $2.45 $2.36 $2.41

$0.0

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

$3.0

$3.5

$4.0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e

KYTC Expenditures 2006-2016

Bill

ion

s o

f $

• KYTC expenditures have averaged $2.7 billion between 2006-2012, similar to revenues.

• KYTC expenditures will return to modest growth in line with revenue collections.

• The expenditure bump in 2010 is due to ARRA/stimulus spend out, and the bump in 2012 is due to spending on mega-projects and bond revenue.

• Overall expenditures are expected to increase modestly in all spending areas with increased Road Fund revenues.

14 Source: KYTC Legislative Budgets, ARTBA Calculations

Page 15: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

KYTC Total Transportation Expenditures

• KYTC 2012 expenditures total $2.96 billion.

• Construction and Capital Outlay expenditures account for 62.26% of this budget.

• Increased construction expenditures are partially explained by capital spending on Kentucky’s large-scale Louisville Bridges project.

Personnel Cost 15%

Operating Expenses

8%

Grants Loans

8%

Debt Service 7%

Capital Outlay

<1%

Construction 62%

KYTC Expenditures 2012

Source: KYTC Legislative Budget

15

Page 16: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

Innovative Financing • KYTC has authorized public-private partnerships (PPP), but has not initiated a PPP project as of

yet. • The KYTC has also used:

– GARVEE bonds – Build America Bonds – Design-Build

– Authorized in statute.

– Weight-distance tax – Advance construction – Toll credits or “soft match”

– As a result of the 2005 and 2006 Kentucky legislative sessions, the KYTC was provided with enabling legislation and approval to pursue a specific group of interstate widening projects using $440 million in GARVEE bonds: – I-65: Widen to six lanes from the Tennessee State line to Bowling Green ($212 million). – I-75: Widen to six lanes from the end of the current six-lane section in northern Scott County to the current six-

lane section south of KY22 in Grant County ($199 million). – I-64: Widen to six lanes from the Snyder Freeway in Jefferson County toward Shelbyville in Shelby County ($45

million).

– The KYTC has worked with the FHWA to develop a “GARVEE package” that leverages Kentucky’s federal highway program and accelerates the development and construction of key projects across the state. Kentucky's strategic use of the GARVEE program has resulted in almost $1.1 billion in GARVEE-supported projects completed or underway since the first authorization in 2005.

– An upcoming project utilizing innovative financing is the Ohio River Bridges Project (Louisville Bridge Project), expected to begin construction by the end of 2012.

Source: AASHTO, KYTC, ARTBA TDF PPP White Paper

16

Page 17: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

Highway and bridge construction expenditures are expected to average $1 billion for 2013-2016,

including KYTC spending for the Louisville Bridges.

$1.50 $1.44 $1.61

$1.08

$1.88

$0.97

$1.40

$0.93 $0.75

$0.90 $0.95

$0.07 $0.23

$0.09 $0.05

$0.0

$0.3

$0.5

$0.8

$1.0

$1.3

$1.5

$1.8

$2.0

$2.3

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (e) 2014 (e) 2015 (e) 2016 (e)

Construction Program Louisville Bridges Project

Bill

ion

s o

f $

Note: Historical construction expenditures are from the construction expenditures line item of the Construction program in the KYTC Highway Office. These do not include spending on personnel, operations or debt service. Construction expenditures for 2013 and 2014 are from the proposed budget. KYTC expects to try and sustain their current $1 billion contract program which is consistent with expenditure levels in 2013 and 2014. Louisville Bridges expenditures are only for anticipated outlays that are using federal revenues and state sources. It does not include project outlays financed by toll revenues.

17

Page 18: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

Kentucky Bridge Market: Long Run Potential

• Kentucky rates 43rd for the potential bridge replacement market

– 5.1% of bridges (712 structures) need to be replaced

– The national average is 17.4%

– Estimated cost would be $598 million

• 3.2% of bridge decks are rated in poor, serious, critical or failed condition.

– The national average is 3.9%

18 Source: ARTBA analysis and ranking of FHWA bridge data.

Page 19: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

KENTUCKY AIRPORT MARKET

19

Page 20: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

Kentucky Airports • The primary airports in Kentucky are:

– Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport (Covington)

– Louisville International Airport (Louisville)

– Blue Grass Airport (Lexington)

– Barkley Regional Airport (Paducah)

– Owensboro-Daviess County Regional Airport (Owensboro)

• Total 2011 Enplanements: – ↓ 8% from 2010

– ↓ 45.5% from 2006

20 Source: Federal Aviation Administration

Page 21: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky Airport (CVG)

• Reclassified as medium hub (from large) in 2010, – 51st largest airport in 2011

• Enplanements: 3.5 million (2011) – Trending: ↓ 53% (2007 to 2011)

– Forecast: ↑ 24% (2012 to 2016)

• 2011 number of based aircraft: 11 – Forecast: ↑ to 13 in 2016

• $359.3 million in FAA identified needs (2011 to 2015)

• Currently bidding runway work, consolidated all airlines into one terminal in 2012

• New Master Plan expected 2012

21 Source: Data and forecast for enplanements and based aircraft from FAA. Based aircraft includes single, jet, multi-use , helicopter and other aircraft. The identified needs are from the National Plan of Integrated Airport Systems and represent total identified needs/work, not a plan for investment.

Page 22: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

CVG Sources of Funding and Expenditures Source of Funds (millions of $) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (e) 2013 (e) 2014 (e) 2015 (e) 2016(e)

Aeronautical Operations $44.3 $46.2 $46.1 $46.5 $46.3 $46.9 $47.5 $48.0 $48.6 $49.2

Non-aeronautical operations $40.7 $38.5 $36.7 $35.9 $36.3 $30.4 $31.9 $33.8 $35.6 $37.5

Non-operating revenues (expenses)* $25.3 $77.7 $28.9 $15.0 $15.8 $13.2 $13.9 $14.7 $15.5 $16.3

Grants (all governments) $0.0 $26.5 $20.9 $9.3 $7.8 $6.6 $6.9 $7.3 $7.7 $8.2

Passenger Facility Charges $17.3 $24.9 $16.1 $10.3 $8.9 $7.4 $7.8 $8.2 $8.7 $9.1

Total bonds & proceeds $90.8 $12.4 $1.0 $0.0 $0.1 $0.3 $0.3 $0.4 $0.4 $0.4

Bonds $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0

Expenditures (millions of $)

Operations $62.0 $62.9 $106.7 $110.0 $112.7 $86.7 $91.1 $96.4 $101.7 $107.1

Debt financing $19.6 $69.4 $30.5 $30.5 $30.5 $34.6 $23.4 $25.4 $8.6 $5.2

Capital Investment $28.5 $19.6 $30.7 $7.0 $25.5 $23.8 $25.0 $26.5 $27.9 $29.4

Airfields $22.2 $0.8 $2.1 $3.4 $7.2 $9.1 $9.6 $10.1 $9.7 $10.2

Terminals $4.0 $15.9 $26.4 $1.8 $11.6 $8.4 $8.9 $10.8 $12.9 $13.6

Parking $0.2 $1.6 $0.1 $0.1 $0.0 $0.1 $0.2 $0.4 $0.2 $0.2

Roadways, rail and transit $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.1 $1.0 $0.3 $0.3 $0.5 $0.8 $0.8

Other $2.1 $1.2 $2.1 $1.6 $5.7 $3.2 $3.3 $4.7 $4.4 $4.6

Notes: Data through 2011 from FAA. 2012 to 2016 estimates based on ARTBA analysis of historical data and modeling to forecast capital investment. Future assumptions on enplanements provided by FAA. Future debt service form the CVG 2011 financial summary. Historical share of spending among capital investment categories is expected to remain relatively steady with an increase in the share of airfield work over the next 2 to 3 years based on past trends. *FAA changed some of the reporting requirements and categories for revenues and expenditures in 2009, therefore year to year comparisons are not applicable in all categories.

Page 23: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

CVG Airport Revenues

$112.60

$97.40 $98.58

$90.77 $93.59

$96.83 $100.10

$103.38

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

2009 2010 2011 2012 (e) 2013 (e) 2014 (e) 2015 (e) 2016 (e)

CVG Major Revenues

Mill

ion

s o

f $

• Revenues are expected to drop in 2012 as the number of enplanements at CVG declines 16.4% from 3.5 to 2.9 million.

• Growth is expected to resume in future years as the number of enplanements grows.

23 Source: ARTBA forecast 2012 to 2016. FAA data 2009 to 2011. Includes operating revenues and non-operating revenue(expenses) and capital.

Page 24: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

CVG Airport Capital Investment

$28.50

$19.57

$30.73

$7.02

$25.54

$23.80 $25.03

$26.47 $27.94

$29.40

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012(e)

2013(e)

2014(e)

2015(e)

2016(e)

CVG Capital Investment

Mill

ion

s o

f $

• Increase in enplanements and overall local economy will drive continued capital growth

24 Source: ARTBA forecast 2012 to 2016. FAA data 2009 to 2011.

Page 25: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

CVG Type of Capital Spending

Airfields 36%

Terminals 47%

Parking 2%

Roadways, rail and transit

1%

Other 14%

2007 to 2011 average

Source: ARTBA analysis of FAA data.

25

Page 26: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

KENTUCKY PLANNING AND DESIGN CONSULTANT WORK Types of Projects

Top Consultants

26

Page 27: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

27

Kentucky Transportation Cabinet Total Consultant Contract Awards

Source: KYTC Special Inquiry & ARTBA estimate for 2012 to 2016.

$107.36 $108.05

$77.61

$68.38

$136.74

$98.71

$131.78

$107.56 $109.60 $105.80 $107.97

$0.0

$20.0

$40.0

$60.0

$80.0

$100.0

$120.0

$140.0

$160.0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (e) 2013 (e) 2014 (e) 2015 (e) 2016 (e)

Mill

ion

s o

f $

Page 28: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

28

Kentucky Consultant Contract Awards for the Highway & Bridge Design Market

Source: KYTC Special Inquiry & ARTBA estimate for 2012 to 2016. Note: The traditional design market includes the following categories: Bridge Design, Bridge Replacement, Highway Design, Highway Rehabilitation/Reconstruction, Highway Widening, Pavement Rehabilitation, and Engineering. Consultant awards for 2006 and 2007 are not categorized and so are not included in this graph.

$24.77

$32.56

$59.03 $61.99

$49.48

$35.28 $34.61 $34.93 $35.28

$0.0

$10.0

$20.0

$30.0

$40.0

$50.0

$60.0

$70.0

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (e) 2013 (e) 2014 (e) 2015 (e) 2016 (e)

Mill

ion

s o

f $

Page 29: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

• KYTC contracts all types of professional services as needed, including design work. Allocation is based on personnel assigned to a project, staff resources and expertise, as well as the current workload and capacity of in-house engineers.

• In order to respond to KYTC advertisements, firms must be prequalified in the specified areas before the project advertisement appears in a Procurement Bulletin on the KYTC website. KYTC does not use the GEC category for consultants, rather the following prequalification areas:

• Prequalification must be renewed annually. A list of all prequalified firms is posted on the KYTC website, and is updated frequently.

– As of June 19, 2012, 14% of prequalified firms are classified as DBE.

• Consultants are selected through a noncompetitive process. Professional service contracts for engineering and engineering-related services are negotiated based on demonstrated competence and qualification for services required at fair and reasonable prices. Professional service contracts or their modifications must be submitted to the Legislative Research Commission Government Contract Review Committee for examination and approval before they can be awarded. KYTC uses the following methods in contracting for professional services: 1) lump sum, 2) cost plus a fixed fee, 3) specific rates of compensation and 4) cost per unit of work.

• While Kentucky State Law does not currently allow for KYTC to contract with design-build or other alternative procurement methods, legislative permission has been granted by previous legislatures though the budget process to allow for some design-build projects by KYTC.

• As a result of Kentucky legislation passed in April, the Ohio River Bridges design-build project is expected to begin construction by the end of this year.

• Archived results of consultant projects can be found on KYTC’s website.

KYTC Planning and Design

Source: ARTBA Planning & Design Interviews, KYTC Division of Professional Services, KYTC Prequalified Consultant list 6/19/12, ARTBA Analysis

29

Aviation Geotechnical Services Traffic Engineering

Bikeway Planning Highway Operations & Bridge Maintenance Services Transportation Delivery Systems

Construction Engineering Services Intelligent Vehicle Highway Systems Transportation Planning Services

Environmental and UST Services Roadway Design

Environmental, Aquatic & Terrestrial Ecosystem Analysis Structure Design

Page 30: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

KYTC Consultant Projects by Value of Awards 2006-2011

Source: KYTC Special Inquiry Note: “Other” includes the following project types: Aviation Planning & Engineering, Fracture Critical Inspection, Sign Support Inspection, Structure Design, Structural Steel Fabrication, Structural Steel Shop Inspection, Underwater Inspection, Airport Pavement Management, Water Line Design, Value Engineering Services, and Scoping/Surveying.

Aerial & Photogrammetric

1%

Bridge Design 6%

Bridge Inspection

1% Bridge Replacement 2%

Bridge Maintenance 2%

Construction Inspection 5%

Geotechnical 7%

Highway Design 11%

Highway Rehabilitation/Reconstruction

3%

Highway Widening 2% Planning

6%

Pavement Rehabilitation 1%

ROW 1%

Engineering 5% Environmental

5%

Tunnel Management 1%

Traffic Services 3%

Other 2%

Uncategorized 36%

30

Page 31: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

KYTC spending on consultant projects has increased for several project types in recent years.

Source: KYTC Special Inquiry

$6.29

$2.80

$7.37

$12.37

$0

$5

$10

$15

2008 2009 2010 2011

Mill

ion

s o

f $

Engineering Project Value 2008-2011

31

$1.41 $2.45

$5.35

$11.40

$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

$10

$12

2008 2009 2010 2011

Mill

ion

s o

f $

Highway Rehabilitation/Reconstruction Project Value 2008-2011

$3.74

$1.48

$16.13 $17.11

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

2008 2009 2010 2011

Mill

ion

s o

f $

Bridge Design Project Value 2008-2011

$7.85

$0.56

$4.38

$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

$10

2008 2009 2010 2011

Mill

ion

s o

f $

Bridge Maintenance Project Value 2008-2011

Page 32: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

After a peak in 2010, KYTC spending on other consultant project types has decreased.

Source: KYTC Special Inquiry

$8.05

$17.95

$23.15

$16.37

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

2008 2009 2010 2011

Mill

ion

s o

f $

Highway Design Project Value 2008-2011

$0.92

$3.27

$4.45

$2.07

$0

$1

$2

$3

$4

$5

2008 2009 2010 2011

Mill

ion

s o

f $

Highway Widening Project Value 2008-2011

$6.42 $3.70

$15.81

$7.63

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

2008 2009 2010 2011

Mill

ion

s o

f $

Planning Project Value 2008-2011

32

$8.02 $5.59

$18.38

$8.56

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

2008 2009 2010 2011

Mill

ion

s o

f $

Geotechnical Project Value 2008-2011

Page 33: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

KYTC spending on other consultant project types has varied in recent years.

Source: KYTC Special Inquiry

$1.00

$12.00

$2.00

$16.10

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

2008 2009 2010 2011

Mill

ion

s o

f $

Construction Inspection Project Value 2008-2011

$16.34

$1.02

$13.20

$1.86

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

2008 2009 2010 2011

Mill

ion

s o

f $

Environmental Project Value 2008-2011

33

$2.45

$2.01

$0.88

$0

$1

$1

$2

$2

$3

$3

2008 2009 2010 2011

Mill

ion

s o

f $

Bridge Inspection Project Value 2008-2011

$0.30

$4.61

$2.58 $2.65

$0

$1

$2

$3

$4

$5

2008 2009 2010 2011

Mill

ion

s o

f $

Bridge Replacement Project Value 2008-2011

Page 34: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

KYTC Most Frequently Used Consultants

Source: KYTC Special Inquiry

Top Consultants by Total Number of Awards

CY 2006-2011

Total Number of

Awards

URS Corporation 26

HMB Professional Engineers 22

Florence & Hutcheson, Inc. 21

Palmer Engineering Company 20

American Engineers, Inc. 18

ENTRAN, PLC. 18

Burgess & Niple, Inc. 16

QK4, Inc. 16

Crawford J.M. & Associates 15

WMB, Inc. 14

Wilbur Smith & Associates 11

American Consulting Engineers 10

GRW Engineers, Inc. 10

PB Americas, Inc. 10

Municipal Engineering Company 9

Top Consultants by Total Contract Value

CY 2006-2011

Total Value of Awards

(in million $)

QK4, Inc. $47.45

Florence & Hutcheson, Inc. $32.18

HMB Professional Engineers $27.47

Michael Baker Jr., Inc. $27.05

H.W. Lochner, Inc. $23.23

URS Corporation $22.44

Palmer Engineering Company $21.68

ENTRAN, PLC. $19.67

WMB, Inc. $18.21

Greenman-Pedersen, Inc. $18.00

Community Transportation Solutions $16.72

Wilbur Smith & Associates $16.17

Northrop Grumman $16.00

GRW Engineers, Inc. $15.66

American Engineers, Inc. $15.16

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Page 35: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

KYTC Top Consultants by Value of Contracts 2006-2011 (in million $)

Consultant Highway Design

Engineer-ing Planning

Bridge Design

Constr. Inspec-tion

Traffic Services

Highway Mainte-nance

Bridge Mainte-nance

Highway Widen-ing

Environ-mental

Bridge Replace-ment

Bridge Inspec-tion ROW

Scoping/Survey-ing/ Study Other

Uncate-gorized Total

QK4, Inc. $11.78 $1.42 $10.48 $3.34 $0.05 $1.60 $3.34 $0.30 $15.14 $47.45

Florence & Hutcheson, Inc. $0.25 $0.55 $16.00 $0.10 $1.77 $0.66 $0.63 $6.50 $5.72 $32.18

HMB Professional Engineers $9.02 $2.72 $0.39 $0.31 $1.60 $0.16 $0.03 $0.59 $12.66 $27.47

Michael Baker Jr., Inc. $1.04 $19.84 $0.29 $5.88 $27.05

H.W. Lochner, Inc. $0.82 $0.84 $7.00 $0.25 $0.08 $0.04 $0.28 $0.97 $12.94 $23.23

URS Corporation $2.47 $3.33 $0.23 $1.22 $3.45 $0.09 $0.37 $0.12 $1.00 $1.99 $0.50 $0.06 $7.61 $22.44

Palmer Engineering Company $2.50 $0.45 $3.05 $0.75 $1.68 $0.10 $1.97 $0.32 $0.51 $0.02 $0.51 $9.81 $21.68

ENTRAN, PLC. $2.57 $2.75 $1.50 $0.25 $2.43 $3.35 $0.90 $0.26 $0.27 $2.40 $2.99 $19.67

WMB, Inc. $3.37 $0.44 $0.75 $0.02 $0.81 $1.17 $0.05 $2.06 $9.54 $18.21

Greenman-Pedersen, Inc. $10.00 $2.00 $6.00 $18.00

Community Transportation Solutions $16.72 $16.72

Wilbur Smith & Associates $5.03 $1.27 $3.10 $2.32 $1.74 $2.71 $16.17

Northrop Grumman $10.00 $6.00 $16.00

GRW Engineers, Inc. $3.68 $0.82 $0.80 $1.59 $0.98 $0.08 $7.71 $15.66

American Engineers, Inc. $6.71 $0.12 $0.93 $0.10 $0.69 $0.09 $0.37 $0.09 $0.16 $5.91 $15.16

Source: KYTC Special Inquiry Notes: The category Other includes: Fracture Critical Inspection, Sign Support Inspection, Pavement Rehabilitation, Water Line Design and Geotechnical. Consultant award data from 2006-2007 is not differentiated by project type, and so is listed under the category Uncategorized.

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Page 36: Kentucky Outlook For Highway, Bridge, Airport & Transportation Consultant Market DECEMBER 2012

The ARTBA Economics and Research Team 1219 28th St. NW

Washington, D.C. 20007

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