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In-depth knowledge for decision makers STUDY ROLAND BERGER STRATEGY CONSULTANTS ISSUE 06 09 CHINESE CONSUMER REPORT 2009

Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

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Page 1: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

In-depth knowledge for decision makers

Study

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS Issue 06 09

Chinese Consumer rePorT 2009

Page 2: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

dear Reader,over the past 20 years, roland Berger has conducted more than 80,000 interviews in China with people from all walks of life, giving us unprecedented access to the way Chinese consumers see their world. We have found out about their preferences and dislikes, their hopes and fears, their aspirations and what they are happy with in the status quo.

these interviews were mostly held in connection with one of the more than 200 assign-ments we work on in China each year, affording us unrivalled insight into the Chinese mar-ket. For at least 15% of these assignments we have used our roland Berger Profiler tool to analyze the behavior of Chinese customers.

to keep on top of developments in 2008/2009 we felt it was important to conduct a large-scale survey to consolidate our knowledge of this exciting and still growing market. this study presents you with some of the results of this undertaking, which covered 12,000 Chinese consumers in 64 cities, ranging from the four megacities Shanghai, guangzhou, Shenzhen and Beijing down to tier-3 cities.

Ignatius tong, Partner and Vice President, Consumer goods and retail in China, believes knowing the customer base is vital for any business striving to penetrate or survive in the Chinese market: "More than ever, it is critical for FMCg to be tailored to specific consumer needs. this requires a more insightful understanding of consumers that goes beyond mere demographics." John Shen, Partner in automotive, agrees and points out how critical brand management has become: "Brand loyalty can only be nurtured and enhanced through the consistent delivery of brand values at every customer touch point. Brand strategy and brand management should be at the top of the agenda for every Ceo."

We are delighted to be able to include interviews with two Ceos of Western companies which have been operating successfully in China for many years: Paolo gasparrini, Ceo of l'oreal China and günter Butschek, President and Ceo of Beijing Benz daimler-Chrysler (BBdC). their impressions about the future of the Chinese market will be of great interest to any reader working or investing in China.

the following report is the first of what we're hoping will become an annual cornerstone of insight into the Chinese consumer market. In 2009 everybody will be looking to under-stand the unfolding domestic consumption in China as exports suffer due to the world eco-nomic crisis. In this environment we are looking forward to continuing to assist businesses in China in developing the domestic customer base and defining winning road-to-market strategies for our clients in this country.

Charles-Edouard Bouée, Regional Coordinator Asia,President & Managing Partner,Greater China

Page 3: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 3

a. Method and scope 04

B. the chInese consuMeR 08

1 SIx reCoMMendatIonS 08

2 ChIneSe SurPrISeS 18

3 KnoW your arChetyPeS 21

4 SaMPle InduStrIeS: the CoSMetICS MarKet 28

5 SaMPle InduStrIeS: the autoMotIVe InduStry 33

6 StraIght FroM the horSe'S Mouth 37

c. aBout...

... roland Berger 42

... CIC 43

... l'oréal 44

... BBdC 45

d. contacts 46con

ten

ts

Page 4: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

expeRIence and eMpIRIcal ReseaRch: gettIng to know the chInese consuMeR

a. M

eth

od

an

d s

cope

"Both emotional and ratio-nal benefits should be taken into account when defining brand positioning. We need to go beyond functional benefits and address the self-expressive needs of consumers as well, subtly symbolizing the life atti-tudes of the target group."

John Shen, Partner (Automotive CC)

of our respondents, 14% lived in one of the four Chinese megalopolies, 43% in a tier-1 city, 27% in a tier-2 city and 16% in a tier-3 city. altogether we covered 64 cities in the country, ranging from Shanghai with 18 million inhabitants to small cities of about 1 million people.

Consumers were asked questions regarding brand perception and differentiation, consumption behavior and purchase patterns as well as lifestyle. this method was in line with the basic methodology of the rB Profiler, developed and used international-ly by roland Berger Strategy Consultants.

We added this latest research to the knowledge gained in over 20 years of working in China and a total of about 80,000 interviews. We can thus give you a real insight into the minds of your potential customers.

recently, roland Berger conducted a survey to analyze Chinese consumers. over the course of two months, over 12,000 individual interviews were conducted with consumers between the age of 18 and 64 in a representative study.

Page 5: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 5

taIloR youR custoMeR appRoach to theIR values

when brand values and consumers' value systems converge, the consumer is likely to purchase the product. the RB profiler helps you create such a fit.

every consumer has his or her own set of values, desires and aspirations to which he or she attaches varying degrees of importance (figure 1).

this complex set of values, or value profile, influences how individuals make purchas-ing decisions. the link between the values and the concrete purchasing decision is formed by the brand's value proposition − the values it projects into the market via its logo, product design, communication, price, etc. at the moment of the buying decision, these two value systems come together. this is the "moment of truth." When a brand's value profile and a con-sumer's value profile converge, then the consumer perceives the brand as "his" or "hers" and is likely to purchase it.

a brand's value proposition thus needs to be aligned with the value profile of its target group. this is where the rB Profiler steps in. It helps you see the fit between consumers and brands, providing a way to measure and quantify the value systems of consumers and brands using the same methodology. the rB Profiler is a vehicle for values-based brand and marketing management and creates a lasting competitive advantage (figure 2).

how It woRks at the core of the rB Profiler are 20 funda-mental values describing all aspects of an individual's consumption behavior. the axes of the matrix measure degrees of emotionality/rationality and of maxi- malism/minimalism. all the values are elicited from consumers using carefully developed attitudinal statements, and can be measured and validated quantitatively.

there are four main areas where the rB Profiler can be applied:

It measures brand perception from a consumer perspective, including comparisons with competitors or with other brands in a company's portfolio

It identifies consumer needs, defines consumer segments and evaluates their attractiveness. It helps in ana-lyzing the brand projection in commu-nication and at the point of sale and enables companies to compare the current situation with their own targets

due to its intuitive nature and the fact that the results are statistically proven on a quantitative basis, it supports direct buy-in from your organization and easy implementation into the marketing mix

It helps with brand monitoring, tracking and controlling

Page 6: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

Figure 1consumer value profiles the rB Profiler enables consumer and brand values to be visually represented in a value grid

Peter

E

Nature

Fair

PurismTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&Trendy

Carefree

Vitality

Clanning

Prestige

Classic

2

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Total Cost

y

Customized

Personal Efficiency

Innovation& Protech

Service

Quality

Proven

Security

E

Nature

Fair

PurismTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&Trendy

Carefree

Vitality

Clanning

Prestige

Classic

1

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Total Cost

y

Customized

Personal Efficiency

Innovation& Protech

Service

Quality

Proven

Security

VALue griD = emotional

= rational

= more consumption

= less consumption

e

+

r

= pro-values

= anti-values

<Values> = fundamental values

of consumers

THe MeANiNg OF VALueS

FAir: high ethical standards, social awareness, solidarity NATure: high ecological standards PuriSM: minimalism, understatement, reduction to essentials TrANquiL: calmness, relaxation, harmony PreSTige: status orientation, expressiveness, attention-seeking ViTALiTy: mental and physical fitness, activity, independence CLASSiC: timelessness, elegance, aesthetics, design orientation SeCuriTy: averseness to risk, "safety first"CLANNiNg: friends, family, team spirit THriLL & eNTerTAiNMeNT: risk, adventure, having fun, enjoying life CAreFree: easygoing, spontaneity, optimism COOL & TreNDy: trendsetting, innovation, self-differentiation PrO-TeCH: high-tech, cold trans-actions PerSONAL eFFiCieNCy: efficient performance, just-in-time, comfort, convenience CuSTOMizeD: individualization, exclusivity, flexibility, variety SerViCe: clear information, uncompli-cated fulfillment, competent advice, warm transactions quALiTy: longevity, reliability PrOVeN: scientific proof, authority, traditional/tried and tested products SMArT SHOPPiNg: bargain hunting, excellent value for money TOTAL COST: frugality, penny-pinching, price-defined buying decisions

Page 7: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 7

Figure 2understanding consumer behaviorBy matching the consumer and brand profiles, the rB Profiler makes it possible to predict consumer behavior

Ben

E

Nature

Fair

PurismTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&Trendy

Carefree

Vitality

Clanning

Prestige

Classic

6

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Total Cost

y

Customized

Personal Efficiency

Innovation& Protech

Service

Quality

Proven

Security

Peter

E

Nature

Fair

PurismTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&Trendy

Carefree

Vitality

Clanning

Prestige

Classic

3

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Total Cost

y

Customized

Personal Efficiency

Innovation& Protech

Service

Quality

Proven

Security

Brand A

E

Nature

Fair

PurismTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&Trendy

Carefree

Vitality

Clanning

Prestige

Classic

4

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Total Cost

y

Customized

Personal Efficiency

Innovation& Protech

Service

Quality

Proven

Security

BRand pRoFIles Brand a

consuMeR pRoFIles "Kevin gong"

Brand B

E

Nature

Fair

PurismTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&Trendy

Carefree

Vitality

Clanning

Prestige

Classic

5

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Total Cost

y

Customized

Personal Efficiency

Innovation& Protech

Service

Quality

Proven

Security

"Wendy Meng"

kevin gong is very performance-oriented – efficiency, innovation and quality are more important to him than a low price

kevin gong chooses BRand a – the brand is expensive, but stands for innovation and high quality

wendy Meng is a very responsi-ble person – she cares about the environment and social issues

wendy Meng chooses BRand B – the brand appeals to her high ethical and ecological standards

Brand B

Buy

hIgh FIt

Buy

hIgh FIt

no Buy

loW FIt

no BuyloW FIt

Page 8: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

It is well established that Chinese society is extremely intricate, complicated and dazzling in its complexity. the country and its people are fascinating and Western minds often struggle to make sense of the country's many facets. anyone who wishes to do business in China is well advised to study the market carefully before ventur-ing into such unknown territory.

to sales and business development man-agers everywhere, the Chinese consumer seems a mysterious creature. although China is the world's third largest economy, little is known about the preferences of its consumers – we are used to seeing the Chinese as producers rather than consumers.

With China's economy expected to grow by roughly 7% even in these economically turbulent times, it's time to get to know the Chinese consumer a little better. to get you started, here are six points that we have distilled from the many insights that our survey affords us. these points can be seen as general recommendations for any business that is in China already or is plan-ning to go there.

don't disregard the smaller citiesConcentrate on under-40sStrengthen your brandChannels are criticalgo green

the dIFFeRence Between BIg and sMallChina's four largest cities are Beijing, guangzhou, Shenzhen and Shanghai.together they have an astonishing 57 mil-lion inhabitants with a share in national gdP of around 14%. these port cities are traditionally more open to foreign ideas and steeped in a tradition of trading. their

1 sIx RecoMMendatIonsinhabitants form the most sophisticated consumer base in China and can be relied upon to be early adopters, willing to spend more on leisure and adept in the use of the Internet and other modern media.

We use the term megacity for these four cities, meaning that they are the largest, most developed, and highest profile cities in the country.

Besides the four megacities, China has what we call tier-1, tier-2 and tier-3 cities. an example of a tier-1 city is Chengdu, the capital of Sichuan province in the heart of the country. this city is a trading hub and its metropolitan area has over 10 million inhabitants. a China daily survey recently listed Chengdu as the fourth most liveable city in China. xiamen, another tier-1 city, is a much smaller coastal town with 2.6 million inhabitants. Cities are not neces-sarily defined by their number of inhabit-ants, but by their relative economic and social importance. xiamen might be small, but in 1981 it was one of the first four special economic zones introduced by the Communist Party and today has a large industry base, making it an affluent city.

Shaoxing and datong are examples of tier-2 cities, with 4.3 million and 3.1 million inhabitants respectively. datong in the northern Shanxi province is a coal-mining town with a history and economy closely tied to this industry. Shaoxing, the birth-place of Communist Party leader Zhou enlai, today has a gdP of rMB 222.3 billion.

B. t

he

chIn

ese

con

suM

eR

Page 9: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 9

1 sIx RecoMMendatIons

Figure 3comparison of overall consumption patterns in different tier cities

E

Nature

Fair

PurismTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&Trendy

Carefree

Vitality

Clanning

Prestige

Classic

Mega City

1

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Total Cost

y

Customized

Personal Efficiency

Innovation& Protech

Service

Quality

Proven

Security

E

Nature

Fair

PurismTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&Trendy

Carefree

Vitality

Clanning

Prestige

Classic

1st Tier city

2

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Total Cost

y

Customized

Personal Efficiency

Innovation& Protech

Service

Quality

Proven

Security

Megacity

tier-2

tier-1

tier-3

E

Nature

Fair

PurismTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&Trendy

Carefree

Vitality

Clanning

Prestige

Classic

2nd Tier city

3

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Total Cost

y

Customized

Personal Efficiency

Innovation& Protech

Service

Quality

Proven

Security

E

Nature

Fair

PurismTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&Trendy

Carefree

Vitality

Clanning

Prestige

Classic

3rd Tier city

4

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Total Cost

y

Customized

Personal Efficiency

Innovation& Protech

Service

Quality

Proven

Security

tier-3 cities are usually much smaller and their importance is mainly regional. examples are tongcheng situated in anhui province, with roughly 744,000 inhabit-ants, and Fengcheng situated on the yellow Sea coast in the southeast, with around 630,000 inhabitants.

With China being as big and confusing as it is, it is easy to concentrate sales and marketing efforts on the four biggest and best-known cities. this, however, would be a fatal mistake. Whilst potential customers in smaller cities might have different preferences and spending patterns, they are certainly as interested in consuming as their fellow nationals in bigger cities and they also have an increasing amount of disposable income. the smaller cities might well be home to your best customers.

See figure 3 to get an idea of the compara-tive overall consumption profiles for the different city tiers.

Page 10: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

Figure 4the person behind the profile a possible translation of our average consumption profiles

works as a systems administrator for a major chinese company

Main source of news: Internetnewspaper: national dailycredit cards owned: two use of credit card:

several times a weektravels for leisure:

twice a yearclothes shopping: once a week preferred grocery shopping: mallaccommodation: one bedroom flat

near the city centerhours spent watching

tv a day: 1hours spent using the

Internet a day: 3likes: risk-taking, innovative things,

trendy features, just-in-time, price-defined buying decisions

SuSAN gAN FrOM gHuANgzHOuSiNgLe, 35Megapolis

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

1

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

Megacity

Runs a small stationery shop

Main source of news: tvnewspaper: local dailycredit cards owned: noneuse of credit card: nevertravels for leisure: once every

three yearsclothes shopping: twice a yearpreferred grocery shopping:

supermarket and own plot to grow vegetables

accommodation: small house in the suburbs

hours spent watching tv a day: 3hours spent on the Internet

a week: 1likes: fitness, family, elegance

NeiL zHeNg FrOM Tier-3 CiTyMArrieD, 43, ONe CHiLD3rd tier city

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

2

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

tier-3

Page 11: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 11

to show you what these profiles could translate into, we have developed two prototype customers, one from one of China's four largest cities (Susan gan) and one from a tier-3 town (neil Zheng). For easy reference we have juxtaposed their typical behavior, showcasing the development of the Chinese consumer across the board (see figure 4).

the notable differences between the two are obvious at first glance. For example, "Innovation and Pro-tech" are of very little interest to tier-3 cities. tier-1 types on the other hand attach great importance to "Vitality" and "Clanning". looking at the color distribution of these prototype city dwellers, it is clear that their preferences and interests are often diametrically opposed.

note the sensitivity to "total cost" which is high in tier-1 cities, but neutral in tier-3 cities. Instinctively we would assume big city tiers to be big spenders. however, it turns out that china is good for a surprise here – it's the people in smaller cities who are more relaxed about price-benefit ratios and their saving accounts.

Page 12: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

Figure 5the person behind the profilea possible translation of our average consumption profiles

clothes shopping: twice a month

Buys skin care products in a specialized shop

pays more attention to brand than price

uses the Internet for shoppinguses teleshopping or mail orderlikes: innovative products,

new features, just-in-time

LAurA HuA, 32Consumer profile: age 30-39

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

3

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

Consumer profile: age 30-39

clothes shopping: twice yearly

Buys skin care products in a supermarket

pays more attention to price than brand

uses the Internet for some shopping

does not use teleshopping or mail order

likes: comfort, convenience, bargains, independence

SHi zHi, 48Consumer profile: age 40-49

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

4

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

Consumer profile: age 40-49

Page 13: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 13

Figure 6I pay more attention to brand than to price

Many multinational brand manufactur-ers have adapted their logos for China

age Is MoRe than a nuMBeRour data shows clearly that the age of 40 denotes a threshold in consumer behavior in China. there are many reasons for this. one of the most important is that people under 40 have spent all of their adult life in a time of market-oriented reforms which began under deng xiaoping in the early 1980s.

to highlight the main differences be- tween someone in the 30-39 age group and someone in the 40-49 age group, we have used our research to construct two more prototype consumers: laura hua, 32, from guangzhou and Shi Zhi, 48, from Beijing. Figure 5 shows the rB Profiler blueprints and possible examples from both age groups.

Consumers aged between 30-39 are the most important target market at the moment. they are more open to innova-tions than their elders and have more disposable income than those younger than they.

Companies need to watch the develop-ments in younger age segments if they want to benefit from future high-income consumers. trends are likely to echo those of earlier young consumer generations in more advanced economies.

BRands do MatteRthe Chinese are extremely interested in brands and attach a lot of importance to which brand they buy. any product or service intended to penetrate the Chinese market needs to establish a strong brand.

regardless of geographical location, age or economic circumstance, 90% of those surveyed say that they have "confidence in products made by well established and experienced suppliers". In any event, most brands that are trusted in China are Chinese; indeed it is often stated that local brands cater better to customers' taste and needs.

age is also a factor for brand importance. younger people pay more attention to brands. geography does not seem to matter all that much: People in Beijing and people in small towns think of themselves as roughly equally knowledgeable regard-ing fashion.

on the surface, brand loyalty seems to be driven by nationalistic considerations, with people assuming they can trust Chinese or local brands more than foreign ones.

however, it turns out that some of the most trusted brands mentioned by respondents are in fact foreign, especially in western china; the respon-dents think of them as chinese, just because they are known to be good.

this goes to show that Chinese consumers will base their brand loyalty also on qual-ity and price rather than just on whether something is "made in China". Consumers in the highest segment, with an annual income of rMB 250,000 and above, are most interested in Western brands and have a clear understanding of what's Western and what's not. these segments also show the highest interest in Western culture and are, either through economic ability or intellectual interest, more open to foreign influence and ideas in general.

35% 33% 31%

25% 23%

18-24 25-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 (age)

Page 14: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

cRItIcal channelsIn China, as everywhere else, there are traditional sales channels such as shops and markets, and new channels such as the Internet and tV. unsurprisingly, young customers are those most likely to use the Internet, with 7% of 18- to 24-year-olds preferring to shop for clothes on the Internet as opposed to only 1% of over 40-year-olds.

to get a product to the customer, the right choice of channel is critical. Whilst custom-ers in the four largest cities prefer the mall for grocery shopping, only 20% of tier-3 city inhabitants do the same. Mall prefer-ence is strongly influenced by city size – more than by income.

Western retailers that have been active in China since the 1980s have been quite successful in penetrating the market, particularly the French supermarket chain Carrefour. on January 9, 2009 the chain opened its 134th hypermarket in China, this time in Beijing. their american rival, Wal-Mart, has also been successful, recently opening its 100th store. Wal-Mart China President and Ceo ed Chan has stated that his company is committed to bringing its superstores to tier-2 and tier-3 cities throughout the country.

Mall or free-standing superstore? Which channel is best depends more on geog-raphy than income, as figure 7 clearly shows. Carrefour and Wal-Mart are using both channels, but their superstores are frequently so large that they are stand-alone rather than attached to a mall.

Malls are not only popular with the expected groups: some provinces such as Chongqing have also declared a clear preference for malls.

With 250 million users in China, the Internet certainly is a force to be reckoned with. younger users and those in the top four cities are more likely to use it for shopping, whereas the older generation and those in provincial towns are more tV- focused.

apart from a pure sales channel, the Internet should be viewed as an essential Pr tool when it comes to reaching the younger and more affluent parts of society. chinese bloggers have considerable influence in a country which still suffers from censorship, and compa-nies that are in their bad books can suffer significantly.

the devastating earthquake in China in early 2008 is a case in point. dior group was forced to drop actress Sharon Stone from their advertising in China after she claimed the disaster was "karmic retribu-tion" for China's treatment of tibetans. Bloggers immediately called for a boycott of dior's products. Similarly, when Chinese Paralympic athlete Jin Jing was attacked in Paris during the olympic torch relay, Carrefour, normally strong in China, suf-fered from a customer boycott started by bloggers.

equally, the Web can be exploited to improve a company's image; companies like ge or Wal-Mart that gave generously after the earthquake received an immedi-ate positive echo in the blogs around the country.

Malls given as a preferred channel for household grocery shopping

21%

31%

< 5000 5,000-49,999

33%

25%

35%

50,000-99,999

100,000-150,000

150,000-250,0001)

63%54%

34%

21%

Mega tier-1 tier-2 tier-3

Figure 7people's preference for malls is more influenced by size of city than by income

named "mall" as a preferred channel for household grocery shopping

1) Income (RMB/yr)

Page 15: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 15

go gReensurprising as it may seem, concern for the environment is equally widespread across all types of consumers in china, at least when it comes to shopping. young or old, province or big city, large or small income, between 84% and 88% of respondents said they try to avoid compa-nies that harm the environment and pro-fessed a preference for green products.

the green market in China is still extremely underserved. this is not surprising in a country that has so much catching up to do in economic development terms. now that China has overtaken germany as the world's third largest economy, more and more Chinese can afford to put their money where their mouth is.

Companies should leverage this new green consciousness. Some are already doing so: In January 2009, Wal-Mart China announced a push towards sustainability, which includes opening new stores that use 40% less energy, reducing plastic bag use by 80% and increasing water efficiency by 50%. the ambitious tar-gets were announced on the company's website – an indicator of the importance attached to the message.

Wal-Mart is also addressing another fac-tor: While pushing their green credentials, they are continuing to stress their policy of offering high-quality products at the best price. the Chinese are still cost-sensitive and the premium put on being green is not quite as high as in Western countries. however, environmental concerns will

grow in the future, and companies should not underestimate green issues as a powerful marketing tool.

the car market is a case in point. to date, there are hardly any hybrid cars in China: yet the Chinese car market is expected to overtake the uS as the world's biggest within the next decade. Shanghai general Motors is testing the market with its first locally produced hybrid model, which is priced slightly higher than the standard model but is 15% more efficient in terms of fuel consumption.

With 1.3 billion people, China could have more than 100 million cars on the road if the market expands at the average global level of 10%. China has to take a lead in alternative technologies: the world simply doesn't have the energy resources to sustain such growth with conventional technology.

the Chinese are generally not yet as con-cerned about climate change and a dete-riorating environment as Westerners are. But environmental concerns are sure to increase, and companies would do well to prepare for this eventuality now.

preference for green products within different consumer segments

I do not buy products produced by companies that harm the environment (agree to some extent or strongly agree)

85% 85% 84% 88%

Mega tier-1 tier-2 tier-3

Figure 8

I would choose green products

92% 93% 91% 92% 91%

18-24 25-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 (age)

Page 16: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

Figure 9Brand manufacturers often lack a clear brand positioning

Ford

dongfeng

toyotaFord

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

Toyota

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

VolkswagenVolkswagen

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

Dongfeng

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

12

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

IMpRove youR deFInItIonusing the rB Profiler, we can distill the brand image of specific companies. We did so for a number of different product areas:

BeertV setsCell phonesCarsSkin care productsCredit cards

the overall impression from our analy-sis is that in some industries, brand manufacturers lack a clear brand image. Improvements in positioning are urgently required to build a more solid and well-defined customer base.

Figure 9 clearly shows that Volkswagen and dongfeng are the only brands that benefit from even an approximation of a brand image. however, dongfeng has joint ventures with nissan, honda and PSa, which makes the dongfeng profile a corpo-rate profile rather than a product profile.

In VW's case, the product itself is seen as representing a modern, performance-driven brand. Customers think that the brand is expensive, but they value the brand image above cost considerations. In dongfeng's case, it is the company that is perceived as representing these values, not the product itself. there is a solid value proposition at the corporate level owing to the company's JVs. assuming the ability to develop the necessary r&d capacity, this might allow dongfeng to eventually launch its own sub-brands with some success.

Page 17: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 17

Figure 10weak brand image is also found for some tv manufacturers

Samsung

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

5

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

Sony

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

6

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

Samsung

Changhong

Sony

Changhong

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

7

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

Ford and toyota, on the other hand, suffer from a very weak brand image. their customer base is ill-defined, making a positioning decision difficult if not impos-sible. If the Chinese auto market slows down for whatever reason, this could mean serious trouble. Foreign manufacturers also have to prepare themselves for strong Chinese brands emerging from successful JVs that have produced strong corporate profiles, as in the case of dongfeng. to brace themselves against such difficulties, automakers are well advised to reinforce their brand image, find their specific cus-tomer base and cultivate their preferred channels.

a similar picture emerges for the makers of tV sets. two foreign brands have managed to establish a clear reputation for quality and modernity; the others, regardless of their origin, are weak in comparison. tV makers should heed the same recommen-dations as for automakers: a clear brand image is the first step towards surviving in a more difficult and sophisticated market.

Foreign companies need to invest a great deal of time in learning about the Chinese customer. they need a strong local management team in place to adapt to a rapidly developing market − one that is poised to become the world's largest and most important.

SkyworthSkyworth

E

19

R

– +

Page 18: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

China is unique among the nations of our planet. It is home to the world's larg-est population, it is governed by the Communist Party and it has experienced unprecedented economic growth over the past 30 years. even now, with the global economy in the doldrums, China still expects roughly 7% growth for 2009.

Most companies have very little or no experience in such a market, making it doubly important to invest in extensive research before venturing into China. Western companies that have so far been successful in the country have usually spent years planning their market entry before going there. In China more than elsewhere, unexpected tendencies in the general development need to be taken into consideration at all times. It is not enough to trust your feelings or base your judg-ment on Western market circumstances.

We identify four critical factors that need investigating by any company wishing to establish a clear brand image in China:

regardless of city tier, leisure spend-ing remains roughly equal – it's the frequency of leisure pursuits which differs

average family size is connected to income rather than geography

People consider themselves to be fashionable in most parts of the country, regardless of city tier

Interest in Western culture is evenly spread among all of society

leIsuRe haBItsthe most costly and time-consuming leisure activity is travel. We therefore looked at the travel habits of our respondents.

Companies in China have been quick to react to the newfound taste for leisure spending in their country. Ctrip, a full- service online travel booking service estab-lished in 1999, has been experiencing a 50% growth rate for the past few years. Some 30% of trips taken are package tours and about 25% of trips are beach holidays.

the general leisure trends are not unlike those found in europe or the uS. But companies have to be careful to use the right channel in the right region, as prefer-ences differ widely. the Internet is cer-tainly a big medium in China, but access in remote provinces can be poor.

It's IncoMe, not geogRaphy one might expect to find most families living under one roof outside the large cities and in the more remote provinces. however, this is not the case. In fact, income is the defining component for demographic factors such as household size and number of children.

traditionally, families in China are closer-knit than in the West, with many older parents living with their grown-up children and grandchildren under one roof. But the higher the income, the less likely such an arrangement is. Several reasons for this are possible:

2 chInese suRpRIses

length of trip

4.3 4.7 4.5 4.5

Mega tier-1 tier-2 tier-3

Spending per trip (rMB)

3,364 3,859 3,516 3,781

Mega tier-1 tier-2 tier-3

1.2

1.8 1.1 1.1 1.0

Mega tier-1 tier-2 tier-3

trips per year

differences by city tier

Figure 11differences by age group

number of trips per year

1.2

1.5 1.5 1.2

18-24 25-29 30-39

1.0

40-49

0.8

50-64 (age)

Page 19: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 19

higher income makes it easier to rent more than one apartmentyoung high-flyers may delay or forgo having a familyMany Chinese aspire to Western-style family arrangements

geography, on the other hand, has a markedly weaker effect on the number of people living in one household. those parts of northwest China which are still least touched by the economic and social development of the past 30 years have an average of fever than three persons per household, whilst some more affluent and developed provinces such as guangdong, Fujian or hebei show an average of 3.4 persons per household. one must also distinguish between the general tendency in cities to live in smaller households and specific tendencies in the different provinces.

what does this teach us? easy assump-tions often fail to reflect the reality of demographics in china. to understand the market, you need to look closely at your potential customer base.

FashIon sells eveRywheReWe asked people whether they had a good knowledge of what was fashionable and what was not. Surprisingly, the number of people saying they did was similar in the different types of cities and across provin-ces (figures 13 & 14).

this widespread regard for fashion is somewhat puzzling. Consumption behavior and cultural environments differ great-ly from Shanghai to Sichuan. however, modern media are able to penetrate all areas of the country, bringing the same ideas about style and fashionableness to all sorts of different consumer groups. this is clearly having an impact.

Contrary to what one might expect, peo-ple in the four richest provinces consider themselves to be less fashionable than those in provinces such as tianjin or anhui. and the picture is even more complicated when it comes to price sensibility: Some areas show up as both price- and fashion-conscious, with respondents claiming to be more concerned about price than brand.

When it comes to fashion items of any kind, intensive research into local markets is needed to find the right mix of pricing and branding.

here, as with demographics, china is good for some surprises.

number of children according to income (rMB/year)

Figure 12Persons per household according to income (rMB/year)

<5,000

3.3

5,000-49,999

3.2

50,000-99,999

3.1

100,000-150,000

3.1

150,000-250,000

>250,000

3.1 3.0

<5,000 5,000-49,999

50,000-99,999

100,000-150,000

1.41.2

1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

150,000-250,000

>250,000

67% 67% 67%

65%

Mega tier-1 tier-2 tier-3

Figure 13I have a good knowledge of what is fashionable and what is not

Page 20: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

welcoMIng the westalthough China has an ancient culture of its own, its people are open to Western culture such as classical music, literature and painting.

this interest is evenly spread across the eastern provinces. only in the remote areas of western china is it found for under 60% of people.

regardless of city tier, roughly 63% of respondents claim to enjoy Western culture, with Beijing at around 75%. unsurprisingly, it is the young who are most interested in all things Western. this is probably connected with their use of the Internet, which is a great spreader of influ-ence and ideas.

With the right marketing strategy, Western brands have a good chance of capturing the Chinese imagination, especially in the critical younger and affluent markets. But even the average Chinese shows some interest in things Western. deng's policy of opening up the country has affected all provinces and the new influences have had a lasting effect. It stands to reason that in time, even the people of the northern and western provinces will reach the level of interest in Western culture professed by those in the south and east.

I enjoy Western culture, including Western classical music, literature and painting (agree to some extent or strongly agree)

67% 63% 62% 64%

Mega tier-1 tier-2 tier-3

Figure 15western culture appeals to consumers of all regions

Figure 14consumers everywhere claim a good knowledge of fashion

I have a good knowledge of what is fashionable and what is not (agree to some extent or strongly agree)

60% <...< 70%

70% <...< 80%

Page 21: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 21

3 know youR aRchetypesIn the previous two sections we described China's customer base and presented some surprising insights culled from our research. the question now is: What do you do with this information? how do you know if your strategy in China is correct and your customer fit accurate?

this is where the rB Profiler can help. We have already seen how it facilitates the development of value-based marketing strategies. In this section we present the different archetypes used to define custo-mer bases and show how this helps with actual cases.

to segment the market into useful sec-tions, we have defined eight archetypes or types of consumer. together, these arche-types cover most of the spectrum.

the eight archetypes allow you to define a customized brand and marketing strategy. however, in China strong regional diffe-rences in consumer attitudes also have to be taken into consideration. We outline these differences below.

Page 22: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

the traditionalist (9.4%)Traditionalists place great impor-tance on sharing their life with family and friends, pursuing their long-term goals in a quiet, steady fashion. Although usually to be found in the middle-income range, they are not particularly price-sensi-tive, preferring quality and timeless products to a cheaper alternatives.

Traditionalists

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

7

Source: Roland Berger; International Research 2008, n = 11,100

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

the Modern Performer (11.5%)A more serious type, Modern Performers ask for nothing less than the highest possible quality, both in their own performance and in the products and services they buy. They are prepared to pay more if this will get them what they require. Fun and fancy trends are low on their list of priorities.

Modern performers

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

5

Source: Roland Berger; International Research 2008, n = 11,100

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

the Conformist (7.9%)Conformists like to live a quiet life, have a clear sense of what they see as value for money and adhere to social rules and conventions. They care a lot about the environment and little about fashion. Conformists tend to be older and female.

Conformists

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

8

Source: Roland Berger; International Research 2008, n = 11,100

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

the Progressive Maximalist (11.1%)Usually at home in the wealthiest consumer segment, Progressive Maximalists are ruthless rule break-ers, determined to reach their goal, unconcerned about either cost or environmental issues. Extroverts who like to show their success, these consumers are still quite young (34 years old on average) and mostly male.

Progressive maximalists

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

6

Source: Roland Berger; International Research 2008, n = 11,100

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

Figure 16eight archetypesthe percentage figure denotes the proportion of respondents in each category. Blue areas are more important to the consumer type, Red areas less important (compared to the average/population) and whIte areas neutral.

Page 23: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 23

the Minimalist (11.8%)Mostly female (57%), Minimalists are careful people who avoid risk and do not care about new technol-ogy or aggressive career goals. They seek out the best price/quality ratio products and only buy what they really need. Peace, privacy and purity rank high on their scale of values.

Minimalists

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

4

Source: Roland Berger; International Research 2008, n = 11,100

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

the hedonist (15.11%)Unsurprisingly, Hedonists are driven by pleasure. Having fun is high on their list of priorities and they gladly accept cheaper products and ser-vices as long as they are new and trendy. They care little about the social impact of their actions, usually have a mid-range income.

Hedonists

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

2

Source: Roland Berger; International Research 2008, n = 11,100

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

the traditional Maximalist (12.0%)Combining a traditional mindset with maximalist consumption behavior, this consumer segment is very young (30 years old on average) and despite their relatively low income, cost is not a major factor for them. Their buying decisions are strongly influenced by their values but they still like to show their status and have fun.

Traditionalist maximalists

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

3

Source: Roland Berger; International Research 2008, n = 11,100

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

the Self-centered (21.3%)Easily the largest consumer seg-ment, this type of consumer is on average 37 years old, rejects tradi-tional values and is an early adopt-er. More egocentric but also more eccentric than the average, they care little about the environment or ethical issues, have a higher income than most and are prone to unusual or provocative behavior.

Self-centered

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

1

Source: Roland Berger; International Research 2008, n = 11,100

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

Page 24: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

don't FoRget the RegIonsour eight archetypes cannot be applied to the Chinese market in a meaningful way unless the regional differences of the country are taken into consideration. average consumer preferences vary widely from province to province. as China contin-ues to develop, these regional differences can be expected to widen.

Figure 17 shows a selection of profiles for different provinces. note how different the preferences can be in different geographi-cal locations.

population: 35 million, average income: RMB 21,000 p.a.the people of this province are very traditional, showing a high concern for the environment and placing less importance on innovation and fashion. grounded in a strong ethical framework, Shanxi people have a similar, but softer, profile compared to other northern provinces.

Heilongjiang

Jilin

Chongqing

Sichuan

Shanxi

LiaoningYunnan

Guangxi

Figure 17value-profiles in selected chinese provinces: dark = more modern

JiangxiHubei

Shanghai

Guangdong Fujian

Hunan

Zhejiang

population: 93 million, average income: RMB 43,000 p.a.a thoroughly modern mindset prevails in this province. entertainment, innovation and improving personal efficiency are high on the list of values. even though this is a rich province, people are highly cost-sensitive, attaching less importance to quality.

guangdong

Shanxi

Beijing

henan

shanxi

guangdong

Page 25: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 25

population: 94 million, average income: RMB 23,000 p.a.People from the henan province tend to be traditional rather than modern and have little interest in the latest technologies and trends. environmental con-cerns and a strong set of values complement this rather neutral profile.

Tianjin

Shandong

Hebei

Beijing

Anhui

Jiangsu

Henan

Shaanxi

Tianjin

Shandong

Hebei

Beijing

Anhui

Jiangsu

Henan

Shaanxipopulation 16 million, average income: RMB 46,000 p.a.Beijing residents have a modern profile, similar to Shanghai and guangdong. the capital is home to many hedonist and Self-centered types, making the province in general a good target for customized and luxury products.

Choosing the right channels for each province is critical for an optimized sales strategy. a thorough analysis of regional preferences, differences between city tiers and consumer archetypes prevalent in a given region is essential to achieve a successful marketing strategy.

It helps to view some consumer prefer-ences as being defined by city tier and others by region. Figure 18 gives an idea of how the preferences might be split.

Figure 18

CiTy-Tier iNDiCATOr

credit card useFrequency of travelday-to-day expenses

regiONAL iNDiCATOr clothes shoppingRestaurant selectiondesire for security

Beijing

henan

Page 26: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

MPE

TMX CON

TRA

H

F ABC Company

2

Consumer/ target groups; size of circle = size of ArchetypeBrands

MIN

HEDSCF

PMX

I

A

B

C

D EG

E

Nature

Fair

PurismTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&Trendy

Carefree

Vitality

Clanning

Prestige

Classic

ABC

1

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Total Cost

y

Customized

Personal Efficiency

Innovation& Protech

Service

Quality

Proven

Security

1) n = 213 vs. n = 5,859

the RB pRoFIleR In actIonto illustrate how the rB Profiler works, let's look at a sample case built around a national beer manufacturer, which we will call aBC.

Beer consumers in China are interested in entertainment, want to be seen as cool and trendy and often feel freer than the average consumer. they value innovation and see themselves as modern. not the quiet type, they like to live life to the full.

Chinese beer manufacturers often lack clear target customers and need to improve their brand image in order to grow. this also applies to company aBC, which has never managed to build a strong brand in China.

using the rB Profiler, we are able to analyze aBC's branding position more closely. the result, shown in figure 19, reveals a typical weak brand with no clearly defined customer base.

We now need to find out where in the market aBC should move to attract new customers. In order to do this, we execute a joint space analysis. Figure 20 shows that aBC's most likely customers are to be found in the traditional Maximalist segment of the market, where apart from brand F there is no competition.

Following the analysis, beer manufacturer aBC was advised to reshape its brand image so as to meet the preferences of the identified target group, traditional Maximalists. these are consumers who:

like to hang out with family and friendshave relatively low incomelike shopping for fashion items and the latest technical gadgetsMake buying decisions that are strongly influenced by valuesare young (30 years old on average)

aBC's current brand positioningFigure 19

Joint space analysis for selected beer brands

Figure 20

MPE

TMX CON

TRA

H

F ABC Company

2

Consumer/ target groups; size of circle = size of ArchetypeBrands

MIN

HEDSCF

PMX

I

A

B

C

D EG

MPE

TMX CON

TRA

H

F ABC Company

2

Consumer/ target groups; size of circle = size of ArchetypeBrands

MIN

HEDSCF

PMX

I

A

B

C

D EG

= Brand profiles

= archetypes, size of bubble represents segment size; see figure 16 (e.g. Con = Conformist)

Page 27: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 27

next, a tV advertisement was created, featuring young people enjoying themselves at a rock concert holding bottles of aBC beer. the ad was geared toward a young audience and comple-mented by a print and radio campaign featuring testimonials by the rock star seen in the ad.

the branding effort focused on the status and values embodied by the beer. this needed to be strongly communicated in all the media used. the label on the bottle made it clear that the beer had been brewed with pure spring water and without additives, reflecting the target customer group's appreciation of traditional values.

Page 28: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

the use of cosmetics and skin care prod-ucts is relatively new in China – a phenom-enon that largely coincides with the open-ing up of the Chinese economy. growth has been breathtaking − 15% per annum over the last ten years − reflecting a rise in dis-posable income and a willingness to spend on beauty products. With such opportunity comes intense competition: the market is inundated with brands of every conceiv-able hue, from Chinese brands to brands from Japan, Korea and the West, all vying for a slice of the rMB 75 billion market.

unlocking this market requires excellence in three areas:

1.Product innovation 2.route-to-market 3.Brand image-building

In this section, we examine the latter two areas in detail.

choose the RIght channel ...Chinese consumers face a wide variety of channel choices when it comes to shop-ping for beauty products, from corner phar-macies to luxury department stores. the rise of so-called "modern retail" − super-markets and hypermarkets − is an oft-cited development. however, aside from hair care products, these retail newcomers play second fiddle to department stores, especially for mid- to high-end skin care products.

two important factors underpin the rise of cosmetic sales: consumers' need for ser-vice and the match between products and channel. after all, it is difficult to sell a rMB 300 jar of face cream amid a sea of special offers or in an environment dominated by diapers and detergents.

Modern retail, needless to say, is a significant channel for hair care products. It is also the channel of preference for lower-income consumers. Particularly relevant in tier-3 or smaller cities, such outlets – especially hypermarkets – are de facto department stores, exhibiting similar traffic patterns and consumer perception.

the shift toward modern retail is somewhat inevitable according to many industry veterans, even for mid-level products. the real issue is: What products can unlock the spending potential for cosmetics and skin care products in this environment? at what price point? Within which sub-category? Companies that are mindful of the product/channel match and systematically explore opportunities along this axis will likely tap into a significant stream of growth in the coming years.

4 saMple IndustRIes: the cosMetIcs MaRket

ModeRn RetaIl

75%

28%

17%

depaRtMent stoRes

24%

47%

54%

specIalIzed shop

20%

64%

50%

Monthly IncoMe

under rMB 3,000

rMB 3,000-4,999

over rMB 10,000

Page 29: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 29

Ignatius tong, partner in the Roland Berger shanghai office, talked to l'oréal china ceo paolo gasparrini in the greater china headquarters in shanghai about the company's success in china.1

I.t.: tell us about l'oréal's beginnings in China.

p.g.: We started in 1996/97. our first task was to create a Chinese name: "ou lai ya". at the time we were only allowed to do Pr, no business as such. We spent the first year explaining to people who we were and what we were about. In 1996 we acquired Maybelline and discovered they already had a plant in Suzhou. eventually we man-aged to receive a trading license and now we have 16 brands in the country.

I.t.: In your opinion, what is the key for converting Chinese customers to Western products?

p.g.: It's certainly a challenge. the Chinese consider themselves to be very different, not only culturally but also physically. their hair, their skin − they're different from what we know in the West. It was a big challenge for us to show the Chinese that we are confident in what we're doing. Before we came to China we had already spent a lot of time in Paris on trial runs, trying to understand the Chinese custom-ers, their culture and traditions. So we weren't unprepared. a couple of years ago we bought yue Sai. now nobody doubts our capacity to produce products for the Chinese. We're performing especially well with products specific to the asian market, such as whitening products.

I.t.: how did you accelerate l'oréal's growth in the past few years? and how do you manage to keep the success going?

p.g.: the success of our brand and prod-ucts is first of all based on research. We consider our products to be high-tech; if we cannot perform better than the com-petition, we don't launch the product. We have 3,000 scientists working in Paris. In China we have local r&d to develop new formulas. For example, the yue Sai prod-ucts are developed entirely in China. When we launched "empower" for yS it was a fantastic success. there is also collabora-tion between the Paris laboratories and our local r&d. approval by the latter is one rea-son for our success. Chinese women thus have the advantage of using a global brand that's been formulated to suit their needs.

I.t.: Mininurse, like yue Sai, is a Chinese brand developed by a Chinese entrepre-neur, purchased and transformed by l'oréal. In your opinion, how can Chinese brands reach out beyond their borders in the future?

p.g.: as was the case with yue Sai, Chinese brands often have very interesting exper-tise and market knowledge, but lack the funds and tools to develop further. this is where l'oréal comes in. We guarantee development, new brands, new formulas. It's a fantastic opportunity for consumers who like to use Western brands but want to stay true to their own cultures. there are also many Chinese living overseas who want to use brands that allow them to follow beauty trends regardless of loca-tion. this principle is very successful.

I.t.: how has the financial crisis of the past months impacted your business?

p.g.: as far as I'm concerned, there is no crisis. Foreign financial difficulties are being felt in China, but the government is reacting very well. It is promoting internal consumption to prevent a possible crisis in the country. and though there might be challenging times ahead for Chinese exports, the internal market is very under-developed. huge reserves of consumption can still be activated. We feel very positive.

1 For detailed information on l'oréal, see page 44

L'Oréal China CEO Paolo Gasparrini

good research and dedication to Chinese needs lie at the heart of success in this market

Page 30: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

Figure 21dabao: a chinese brand with a distinctive profile1)

... and then suppoRt It at each poIntConsumer choices in any given channel can easily be sabotaged by a lack of execution at the point of sale. It is difficult to recover any trust lost as a result of such failure. So it's not enough simply to be present in a particular channel: success requires consistent excellence from product inception right through to product sale. this is no easy feat.

Consumers expect a high level of service and have certain requirements when it comes to cosmetic and skin care products.training for frontline sales personnel is important. the wide variety of products and constant innovation complicate this. there's also a seemingly inevitable high employee turnover rate in this industry. Companies have to seek solutions beyond the traditional high pay/high turnover trade-off.

distributors can substantially impact field performance. Many distributors in China play a role beyond that of mere last-mile logistics cash collection, warehousing, bundling, hr management, etc. the start-ing point for a successful brand/distributor relationship must be to keep the distribu-tors' role clearly defined.

dabaoCherry

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

1) n = 1,419 vs. n = 9,682

olay

Figure 22olay: successful despite a weak brand profile1)

Olay

E

R

– +

1) n = 1,127 vs. n = 9,974

l'oréal

Figure 23l'oréal: a western brand with a distinctive profile1)

Toyota

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

1) n = 421 vs. n = 10,680

sample dabao product

sample olay product

sample l'oréal product

Page 31: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 31

Key areas to focus on are:

ensuring distributors' compensation is in line with their rolesestablishing clear geographical regions for different distributorsFocusing not just on sales, but other areas too (such as PoS)having an ordering mechanism that avoids "loading"Installing an expense reimbursement mechanism that preserves field flexibility whilst minimizing "gray" money

distributor margins are high. Cutting out the distributor can mean better control of the points of sale and stronger relation-ships with customers. But don't underes-timate the risks and costs of going direct, especially if your product portfolio skews toward mid- to high-end cosmetics and skin care products. In particular, going direct means:

Credit terms with retailers must be renegotiatedadditional headcount has to be absorbedreturns and bad goods have to be dealt withthe rdC footprint will be visible

the beauty sector exhibits substantial channel complexity along product lines, geography, channel choice and service models. the market must be addressed not as a whole, but at a segmented level. In other words, companies must align their

field capability and product portfolio with the channel and consumer requirements of each sub-segment. In China, such capa-bility, once internalized, will form the foun-dation for a successful franchise.

Page 32: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

who's BuyIng?the skin care market in China is extremely fragmented. local brands such as dabao are increasingly coming under pressure from international brands such as olay and l'oréal.

analyzing these players with the rB Profiler produces some interesting results. dabao has a clear brand profile, whereas olay's strength in the market can-not be attributed to a clear brand image. this weakness is partly because the olay brand stretches across a vast price spec-trum – which also goes some way toward explaining the brand's success.

the dabao profile (figure 21) shows a reflection of traditional values, tranquil-ity and security. It does not represent a trendy, progressive lifestyle but rather a calmer, practical approach. as such, it appeals to a large segment of the popula-tion, particularly in tier-3 cities, while it struggles in the tier-1 cities.

olay's profile (figure 22) is much less well defined. at best, it stands for technical innovation and tried and tested products. the lack of a distinct image makes olay's success in China all the more remarkable, although P&g's effective field sales orga-nization and consistent investment in It technology no doubt play a role.

l'oréal, another successful foreign player, has a strong image as a stylish and innovative brand. Perceived as trendy and exciting, l'oréal products appeal to the Progressive Maximalist and traditionalist archetypes, who are less concerned with price.

Most brands have not yet succeeded in establishing a clear brand image. they may well suffer as the market becomes more competitive and consolidated. Skin care products are generally targeted at Maximalists, and competition for such consumers is fierce. this applies particu-larly to foreign brands, which appeal more to Maximalists than traditional consumers.

despite the current economic downturn, the Chinese beauty product sector is likely to continue growing, albeit at a slower pace than in recent years. among high-income residents of tier-1 and tier-2 cities, cos-metics and skin care products are increas-ingly seen as a necessity or affordable luxury compared to, say, cars or jewelry. among the broader consumer base in the tier-3 cities, the adoption rate is high, while consumption intensity remains low. this creates a fantastic growth opportunity for companies. the key to capturing a slice of this vast market is finding the right combination of product, value, channel and service.

Page 33: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 33

5 saMple IndustRIes: the autoMotIve IndustRythree facts summarize the Chinese automotive industry:

only 1.5% of Chinese people own a private car. however, if trends con-tinue there could soon be 100 million vehicles on Chinese roads

China currently has over 100 different automakers

a 25% tariff is paid on all cars imported into the country

Clearly, the Chinese car market is still in its infancy. this makes it an extremely inter-esting market for manufacturers. In times of crisis for automakers everywhere, the Chinese market looks like it might be the light at the end of the tunnel.

however, the environmental impact of exponential growth in car ownership is also an important issue, especially given finite fossil fuel reserves. Some analysts think that this could cause China to become a leader in green auto technology, or at least in green auto consumption – an unlikely assertion given Chinese car owners' cur-rent preferences. Certainly for now, the priority lies with reducing dependency on imported fuels, and reducing emissions is a secondary consideration.

the german automaker Volkswagen leads the Chinese market, with a 19% market share (figure 24). this includes sales by VW's two joint ventures in China (SVW and FaW-VW) plus imports. the only Chinese make in the top five is Chery, in fifth posi-tion. typical customers for cars in China are people who enjoy an above-average income. they are reaping the fruits of China's opening up to market forces.

these consumers tend to be Progressive and traditional Maximalist types who can afford to own a private car.

Foreign cars carry the most kudos, with german luxury automakers leading the pack. overall, audi enjoys the big-gest share of the luxury car market. the Mercedes S-class has the highest share of the top-end of the market, with the BMW 7 series and audi a8 close behind. around 1,000 S-classes are imported into China each month; these are then sold at a very high price that includes the 25% import tariff.

oveRcoMIng the BaRRIeRsForeign oeMs are trying to establish manufacturing bases in China. this would enable them to avoid import duties and give them a local foothold in the market once it really takes off. there are obstacles to be overcome, however.

the only way for foreign automakers to manufacture in China is via a joint venture, in which they may hold a maximum share of 50%. this policy aims to enable technol-ogy and know-how transfer from foreign manufacturers to Chinese companies without giving foreign manufacturers an independent foothold in China.

examples are the Shanghai automotive Industry Corp (SaIC), which has JVs with gM (Shanghai-gM) and VW (Shanghai-VW). SaIC also produces its own brand of cars, using the valuable knowledge gained from its JVs with gM and VW. however, so far this strategy has not been successful for SaIC's own vehicles.

Figure 24vw is the clear market leader in chinaMarket shares

other brands 31%

Faw 2%dongfeng 3%

tianjin 3%toyota 4%

Ford 5%chery 6%

hyundai 7%

gM 10%

honda 11%

volkswagen 19%

Volkswagen Santana

Chery

Page 34: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

Volkswagen 161 vs. 1667

Figure 25little brand differentiation between car manufacturers

Volkswagen

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

honda 91 vs. 737Honda

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

gM 82 vs. 746General Motors

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

hyundai 59 vs. 769Hyundai

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

Chery 46 vs. 782Cherry

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

toyota 32 vs.796Toyota

E

NatureNature

FairFair

PurismPurismTranquilTranquil

Thrill &Entertainment

Thrill &Entertainment

Cool&TrendyCool&Trendy

CarefreeCarefree

VitalityVitality

ClanningClanning

PrestigePrestige

ClassicClassic

R

– +

Smart Shopping

Smart Shopping

Total CostTotal Cost

yy

CustomizedCustomized

Personal EfficiencyPersonal

Efficiency

Innovation& ProtechInnovation& Protech

Service Service

QualityQuality

ProvenProven

SecuritySecurity

n = 11,100Source: Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, 2008

Companies that have overcome these bar-riers, patiently building up their business in China, are slowly reaping the rewards. Market leader VW was the first to enter into a JV with SaIC in 1985. audi, part of the VW group, is now a player in the top league of the premium segment. It is able to rely on a strong base of local suppliers, which makes it easier for it to adapt its products for the Chinese market.

adapting models for the Chinese market often means providing a long wheel base (not only for top-end makes but also for the VW Passat lingyu, for example, devel-oped in China for China) or offering a beige interior. the Chinese love of technological gadgets is apparent in local preferences for Bluetooth connectivity, dVd players and built-in refrigerators.

these preferences are naturally those of people with more money than average. It remains difficult to tell what the average Chinese person will want from his or her car. Some local manufacturers such as Byd (Build your dream) are copying various parts from Western makes and combining them in new models. If this is an indication of Chinese taste in cars, Western compa-nies clearly still have a lot to learn.

More recently, Chinese oeMs have shown that they are capable of considerable innovative capability. Besides building eccentric cars, Byd is the world's largest battery manufacturer. It has launched sev-eral electric vehicles, putting it ahead of its foreign rivals should this really turn out to be the future of transportation.

Page 35: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 35

weak BRandsIn China, most oeMs differentiate their brand image through sub-brands or prod-uct-line brands rather than an overall com-pany brand. Few major companies have managed to establish a distinctive brand identity. even Volkswagen, far and away the market leader, is no exception here.

Figure 25 gives profiles of the six major brands in the country.

looking at the brands in detail, it is clear that most oeMs have diversified their customer base by means of various sub-brands and product-line brands.

volkswagenVolkswagen drivers are less cost-sensitive than average, less concerned about being trendy, and somewhat traditional. even these characteristics are only tendencies, however: the profile picture is too weak to make firm statements. Probably by virtue of being the first foreign automaker to enter China, VW has been able to establish its position as market leader.

an analysis of the VW customer base shows that Progressive Maximalists and traditionalists are most strongly

attracted to the brand, followed by Modern Performers and Self-centered types. this reflects the market leadership of the brand. VW appeals least to Conservatives and Minimalists.

geneRal MotoRsgM is not clearly differentiated from other brands. however, the company makes a success of its umbrella brand strategy and manages to achieve some brand differen-tiation through its sub-brands of Chevrolet, Buick and Cadillac.

Most of gM's customers in China are Modern Performers, followed by Self-centered types. the brand is least popular with traditional Maximalists and hedonists.

cheRythe only local brand to make it into the top 5, Chery also suffers from a weak brand profile.

Chery is a national brand and as such might be expected to benefit from some local pride. however, its brand image is no stronger than those of the other auto-makers analyzed. there may be a very slight tendency toward buying proven

products and a relaxed attitude toward innovation and technology apparent in Chery customers, but it is hardly strong enough to warrant any bold statements.

the biggest consumer group interested in Chery are Progressive Maximalists, followed by Modern Performers. the brand appeals least to Conformists and Minimalists.

unsurprisingly, it turns out that all auto brands show a clear tendency toward the Progressive archetypes. these consumers are high earners and more open to new ideas, technological advance and progress in general.

When it comes to branding, oeMs are still pursuing a strategy of sub-brand identity diversification. they are relatively weak in terms of building their overall company brand.

the strongest automakers have a slightly clearer positioning than the others. this fact suggests that as the Chinese market develops, strong branding will be the key to gaining a solid foothold in this vast and tricky market.

Page 36: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

Roland Berger senior consultant Benjamin thoma talked to Beijing Benz daimler-chrysler (BBdc) president and ceo günter Butschek about the chinese car market.1

B.t.: What do you think is the biggest dif-ference between Western and Chinese car consumers?

g.B.: In the West, individualization is impor-tant. Western consumers act according to the pull principle. In China, on the other hand, consumers achieve differentiation via brand and type of car.

B.t.: Is there a perceptible evolution in con-sumer behaviour? If so, how?

g.B.: Chinese consumers are certainly extremely knowledgeable about what they are buying and expect a lot of technical information about their car. there is no brand loyalty at present. In the past, con-sumers simply bought a car; they now also buy service and entertainment.

B.t.: Is consumer behavior in China changing?

g.B.: Chinese consumers certainly are extremely knowledgeable about what they are buying and expect a lot of technical information about their car. So far, there is no brand loyalty. Whilst in the past con-sumers simply bought a car, they now also buy service and entertainment.

B.t.: how do you adapt to the evolving tastes and behavior of your customers?

g.B.: our new C-class is built entirely in China and is expected to attract young customers who want dynamic handling as well as many comfort and safety features. We are also preparing to launch the new e-Class with a long wheel base, in recogni-tion of the fact that many of our clients have a driver and therefore sit in the rear of the vehicle.

B.t.: how does your marketing and brand-ing strategy in China differ from else-where?

g.B.: In principle, the image and marketing mix of the Mercedes-Benz brand in China is the same as in our global campaigns. of course, our marketing programs are tailored to the Chinese market, but we communicate the same brand values.

B.t: What channels do you use to commu-nicate with existing and potential clients?

g.B.: naturally we use new media, such as the Internet, especially as Chinese con-sumers spend a long time looking online for information about product features and

prices prior to visiting a dealership. We also make sure our dealers are aware of all the product features and are ready to answer technical questions from customers.

B.t.: has the financial crisis had an impact on your business already?

g.B.: China is less dependent on other financial systems, so the impact of the financial crisis has been much less than in the West. the stimulus package launched by the government will have a positive impact. But the drop in gdP growth from 12% in 2008 to 8% in 2009 is putting us under a lot of pressure. Q4 2008 was very volatile for us, with C-Class sales down 25% in november but gaining ground again in december.Competition is getting tougher. Many deal-ers have had problems securing loans to finance their showrooms, but new financ-ing options will emerge.

B.t.: In your opinion, what will be the next big thing to hit the Chinese automotive market?

g.B.: definitely alternative power technolo-gies. government subsidies and policies are supporting this development. there will also be further growth in the luxury seg-ment, as well as in the small vehicle seg-ment with displacements below one liter. the recently introduced fuel consumption tax based on displacement has triggered a general trend toward reduced displace-ment.

1 For detailed information on BBdc, see page 45

Beijing Benz Daimler-Chrysler (BBDC) President and CEO Günter Butschek

In China, consumers achieve differentiation – via brand and type of car

Page 37: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 37

6 stRaIght FRoM the hoRse's MouthMany analysts feel that traditional market research can only go so far in exploring the psyche of potential customers. In a survey, respondents might be influenced by the way that questions are asked or give the answers that they think are expected of them.

one way to circumvent these difficulties is to analyze what consumers have to say when they are outside the survey environ-ment. the Internet, especially where user-created content is concerned, has made such research much easier. In Bulletin Board Systems (BBS), chat rooms and blogs, people freely express their opinions and swap experiences about brands, prod-ucts and services in massive numbers. this phenomenon is called Internet Word of Mouth (IWoM).

Figure 26 shows the difference in active Internet use in the united States and China.

of special importance to marketers in China are the highly popular Bulletin Board Systems (BBS). Since their creation in 1994, BBS have formed the heart of the Internet community architecture. More than 91 million1 Chinese use BBS to dis-cuss topics such as automobiles, sharing their experiences, suggestions and que-ries. Figure 27 explains what people use them for most; figure 28 shows a screen-shot of a typical BBS site.

Figure 26

Participation in the Internet community in China is more active and vibrant than in the West

1) IAC and JWT, China Leads the US in Digital Self-expression, November 20072) Netpop, Chinese Surpass Americans in Web 2.0 Use, November 2007

"I have expressed personal opinions and/or writ-ten about myself online"1)

"Online I feel free to say and do things I wouldn't do or say offline"1)

User-generated content (consumer reviews, rating sites, forums, discussion boards, blogs, etc.) influences purchase decisions2)

Percentage of broadband users commenting on blogs, listserves, in chat rooms and forums2)

unIted states

56%

32%

19%

28%

chIna

72%

73%

58%

47%

Figure 27

Motivation for participating in BBS (%)

Share opinions

Seek help 49.8

Help others 43.2

Stay in touch with others 20.3

Attract others' attention 9.5

Other 0.6

Data basis: 315 valid responsesSource: CIC Efluencer Survey, Q3 2008

72.7

Page 38: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

1 The 23rd Statistical Survey Report on the Internet Development in China by CNNIC, January 2009

the Methodroland Berger asked CIC, China's leading IWoM research and consulting firm, to pro-vide insights into the Chinese automotive industry. CIC does not conduct surveys;instead, it analyzes the data created by China's 298 million Internet users, the largest Internet community in the world.1 using its proprietary data collection and text mining technology, the company derives insights and actionable intel-ligence from tens of millions of monthly consumer conversations about a wide variety of industries, including auto-motive, cosmetics/beauty and consumer electronics.

For this study, CIC concentrated on the automotive industry, tracking 19,471,305 messages in Q4 2008 from automobile-related BBS. these messages were cat-egorized and mined according to a library of terms (including Internet slang) repre-senting 441 models, 81 manufacturers, 16 attributes (categories) and 200 sub-attributes (sub-categories) customized for mainland China. Figure 29 gives an idea of how the system works.

IndustRy coveRage81 manufacturers 441 models16 attributes (categories)200 sub-attributes (sub-categories)Product and attribute sentiments

Figure 29

the CIC automotive IWoM Practice

automotive Industry term library

saMple chaRacteRIstIcs oF cIc chInese text MInIngIndustry attribute terms: (gearbox): gearboxexceptional key terms: a4 = a4

(a4 paper)Spelling variation: (Sagitar):

SagitarChinese word segmentation:

(heavy) vs. (important)Internet language/slang:

(Focus): FKS FCS

Figure 28

BBS screenshot

Page 39: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 39

24%

15%

15%8%

10%

5%Power systems

Price

Appearance

Other

Figure 30

Most discussed auto attributes, Q4 2008

8%

7%

6%

Exterior equipment

Transmission systems

Distributors

Safety systems

Interior equipment

Data basis: Total attribute-related posts, Q4 2008 = 2,323,560Source: CIC Automotive IWOM Practice

NSR is as follows: (positive-negative)/(positive+negative) x100%

Data basis: Total model-related posts = 5,210,948Source: CIC Automotive IWOM Practice

Figure 31

IWoM profile of models

IWoM health Matrix for five compact models, Q4 2008

low high

low

high

nsR

Buzz volume

Bora

sagitar

chery a3 Focus

excelle

III

STD

II

the ResultsVolkswagen, in its joint-venture incarna-tions SVW and FaW-VW, was the most discussed brand in Q4 2008, with a 15.2% "share of voice" (figure 32). SVW had an 8.3% share of voice at brand level, with 540,247 posts, and FaW-VW had a 6.9% share, with 453,669 posts. Ford Focus was the most discussed model, with 214,416 posts or 4.1% of the total share of voice at the model level.

Power systems were the most discussed topic on BBS sites, cropping up in 24% of all posts mentioning specific topics. this was followed by price (15%) and appearance (15%). Such findings provide an under-standing of what consumers are most concerned about, which can in turn inform product marketing messages (figure 30).

to help manufacturers understand how consumers feel about their brands, CIC also produces an "IWoM health Matrix." this analyzes a particular make's online reputation by splitting its online appear-ance into two categories: "buzz volume" and "sentiment" (figure 31).

Page 40: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

Figure 32

Manufacturer buzz

top 10 discussed auto manufacturers, Q4 2008 (no. of posts)

Note: Manufacturer posts include brand, series and model postsData basis: Total manufacturer-related posts = 6,518,352Source : CIC Automotive IWOM Practice

FAW-VW

SVW

SGM

CA Ford

Shenlong

FAW-Toyota

DF Nissan

GZ Honda

Chery

DF Honda

540,247

453,669

423,600

359,479

348,514

242,395

223,049

311,992

189,549

136,662

Data basis: Total posts for four auto manufacturers, Q4 2008 = 1,348,189Source : CIC Automotive IWOM Practice

Figure 33

trends in manufacturer buzz

Buzz for four manufacturers, Q4 2008 (no. of posts)

160,000

130,000

100,000

70,000

oCt noV deC

SVW

Ca Ford Mazda

dF nissan

4S retailer assaulting consumer scandal

Launch of new CITY model

gZ honda

Figure 34

contribution of fuel economy to buzz volume for five brands, Q4 2008

Notes: Only includes domestic modelsData basis: Total number of attribute-related posts, Q4 2008VW = 51,503; Toyota = 197,185; Honda = 205,943; Ford = 106,904; Buick = 109,281Source: CIC Automotive IWOM Practice

9.3%

9.2%

6.3%

5.3%

Buick

Ford

Honda

Toyota

VW 4.4%

Quotesthe fuel consumption of american cars

is definitely higher than Japanese ones.

american cars are not fuel-efficient. even my Sail SrV used 8 l/100 km

8

Page 41: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

study 41

communities. others have set up their own communities or social networks, including SVW (mysvw.com) and honda Fit (ifitclub.com.cn).

By systematically tracking and analyzing IWoM, manufacturers can learn how their brands are perceived by potential custom-ers. In particular, they can track consumer sentiment and spot any issues that might have an impact on their reputation. they can also identify influential communities and opinion leaders, and target them with digital Pr. and they can identify trends and interests, both as a source of inspiration for their own marketing campaigns and as a way of measuring their subsequent impact.

It is essential for manufacturers to listen to the issues being discussed by Internet users. But they also need to understand the specific online culture in China. organizing group purchases is one impor-tant feature of online automotive commu-nities. another is the so-called "homework" post, in which Internet users request (or share) detailed experiences with a particu-lar car or feature. For example, a potential buyer may ask community members to give their impressions of driving the SVW Polo. Such discussions from "people like you and me" can have a very strong impact on potential buyers' opinions.

the IMplIcatIonsthanks to BBS sites, many Chinese car buyers have already made up their mind about which car to buy before they even enter the showroom. they base their decisions almost exclusively on IWoM. new members of the Chinese middle class are often the first of their friends or family to buy a car, so they lack any "offline" word of mouth to help them in their buying decisions.

It is only natural that car retailers should want to influence these online discus-sions. text mining technology such as that used by CIC can identify the 20% of BBS contributors who create 80% of the content about particular topics or models. these so-called "efluencers" can serve as the basis for new kinds of CrM and Pr engage-ment programs. Some retailers have begun directly engaging within the auto expert

looking at recent data trends, we see that while SVW's discussion curve is stable, Chang'an Ford Mazda (Ca Ford Mazda) and guangzhou honda (gZ honda) expe-rienced a sharp rise in discussion around december 2008 (figure 33). In the case of Ca Ford Mazda, much of the spike can be attributed to the buzz following a heated argument and shoving match between a Ford dealership employee and a group of customers who had organized themselves online in order to receive a group purchase discount (a not unusual practice in China). the incident was discussed in BBS forums, recorded and uploaded to video-sharing sites similar to youtube, and reported on by the media. gZ honda, on the other hand, generated a buzz with the launch of its new CIty model in late december.

CIC further investigated perceptions of fuel economy for different manufacturers – particularly relevant given the worsen-ing economic situation (figure 34). their analysis shows that 9.3% of all mentions of the Buick brand or its models refer to fuel economy, as do 9.2% of all mentions of Ford or its models. By comparison, honda and toyota are less often mentioned in association with fuel economy, with 6.3% and 5.3% of brand or model messages mentioning the issue respectively. Most of these mentions are negative, suggesting that rightly or wrongly, there is a strong perception that american cars are not as fuel-efficient as Japanese and other brands.

Data basis: Total posts for four auto manufacturers, Q4 2008 = 1,348,189Source : CIC Automotive IWOM Practice

trends in manufacturer buzz

Buzz for four manufacturers, Q4 2008 (no. of posts)

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Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

... Roland BeRgeR stRategy consultants woRldwIderoland Berger Strategy Consultants, founded in 1967, is one of the world's leading strate-gy consultancies. With 36 offices in 25 countries, the company has successful operations in all major international markets. In 2008, it generated more than eur 670 million in revenues with 2,100 employees. the strategy consultancy is an independent partnership exclusively owned by about 180 Partners.

roland Berger supports leading international corporations, non-profit organizations andpublic institutions in all management issues – ranging from strategic alignment and intro-ducing new business models and processes to organizational structures and It strategy.roland Berger is based on global Competence Centers that are organized along functionaland industry lines. this allows us to offer tailor-made solutions devised by our interdisci-plinary teams of experts.

at roland Berger we develop customized, creative strategies together with our clients.Providing support in the implementation phase is particularly important to us. In so doing,we create value for our clients. that's why our approach is based on the entrepreneurialcharacter and individuality of our consultants – "It's character that creates impact." allemployees at roland Berger Strategy Consultants strive to adhere to our three core values: excellence, entrepreneurship and partnership.

... Roland BeRgeR stRategy consultants gReateR chInathe Chinese market is a key pillar of roland Berger Strategy Consultants' internationalexpansion. Since our entry into the China market in 1984, the consultancy has grownrapidly: the four Chinese offices (Shanghai, Beijing, hong Kong and taipei) now have over200 people dedicated to working extensively with leading Chinese and internationalcompanies.

With the motto "Client and quality first," we offer consulting services in fields of indus-try such as automotive, electronics, telecommunications, consumer goods and retail, engineered products and high tech, transportation, financial services, chemicals and oil, building materials, and real estate. our services are focused mainly on strategic and oper-ational consulting involving every aspect from M&as, corporate development strategy to marketing as well as supply chain management.

Currently, Chinese clients account for more than 70% of our total revenue in greater China. through in-depth understanding of the Chinese business environment and dedication to forward-looking, creative, targeted and practical solutions for clients, roland Berger has gained a very strong reputation in the Chinese market. We offer tailor-made solutions according to the individual needs of each client in response to current Chinese market development trends.

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as the only consulting firm of european origin among the top 3 in greater China, roland Berger Strategy Consultants has built its expertise on its extensive experience working with clients worldwide on complex business cases for 40 years. outstanding strategic analysis and in-depth knowledge of implementation are the strengths of the company's consulting approach. roland Berger consultants combine their analytical and strategic know-how within a diverse company setting to help clients in greater China successfully master their unique challenges.

... cIcCIC is the leading Internet Word of Mouth (IWoM) research and consulting firm in China. Since 2004, CIC has pioneered the concept of distilling insight from Chinese blogs, message boards and social networks with its team of IWoM analysts supported by proprietary Chinese language-based technology for text mining (patent pending), data processing and data visualization.

as the only firm in China that helps Fortune 500 retainer clients utilize IWoM for high-level strategic planning and marketing communication, CIC's continual development and evolution is driven by a unique, powerful and open mindset and learning culture that at its core continually seeks to help clients understand how the Internet and IW0M are redefin-ing the relationship between brands and consumers. CIC is committed to both providing objective third-party strategic advice to clients and to promoting the healthy develop-ment of the Internet community in China.

For a comprehensive analysis of what consumers are saying online about the automotive category, CIC provides customized reports, a powerful dashboard as well as a newly released syndicated IWoM insight tM automotive Industry report. For more information, please visit www.cicdata.com (CIC website), www.seeisee.com (Chinese blog) and ww.seeisee.com/sam (english blog).

... saM FleMMIngSam Flemming is co-founder and Ceo of CIC. Sam has been a participant of China's digital evolution for more than a decade, first with Chinapay.com, the original online payment platform in China, and now with CIC. CIC is at the forefront of exploring Chinese digital culture, helping leading brands in China such as Pepsi and nike understand how IWoM is impacting and can be used to impact marketing communications, product research and development, reputation monitoring, and public relations. Sam holds a Master's degree in teaching english to Speakers of other languages from Monterey Institute of International Studies in Monterey, Ca, and a Ba in Sociology and religion from rhodes College in Memphis, tn.

he is a native speaker of english, speaks Mandarin Chinese and has lived in Shanghai for 10 years.

Page 44: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

... l'oRéal woRldwIdel'oréal, a Fortune 500 company, was founded in 1907 by chemist eugene Schueller who invented the first synthetic hair colorant. over the last hundred years, l'oréal has devel-oped from a small home business to the no.1 cosmetic company in the world. thanks to its outstanding performance, l'oréal now ranks among the world's 100 most sustainable corporations.

With operations in over 130 countries and regions worldwide, the company possesses 63,000 employees and 40 plants. Sales revenues were eur 17.5 billion in 2008. the group is also one of the world's most successful businesses ever, having recently reported its 18th consecutive year of double-digit growth. l'oréal markets an impressive portfolio of more than 25 international brands, sold in 130 countries, including l'oréal Paris, l'oréal Professionnel, Maybelline, garnier, redken, Kiehl's, Shu uemura, Biotherm, helena rubinstein, lancôme as well as giorgio armani and ralph lauren perfumes. l'oréal is active in all segments of the cosmetics market, including hair care, perfumes, makeup, skin care and dermatology.

l'oréal's century-long history is marked by major successes. With its strong r&d capabil-ity, innovation and pursuit of excellence, l'oréal offers women new ways and means to enhance their beauty.

... l'oRéal In chInaIn 1996, l'oréal entered the Chinese market. thanks to its outstanding business perfor-mance and good citizenship activities during the past 12 years, l'oréal China is now one of the most prestigious multinational enterprises in China.

In 2008, l'oréal China reported its eighth consecutive year of double-digit growth with sales of rMB 6.95 billion, a 27.7% increase on the previous year. l'oréal China is among the top 10 players globally and the biggest player in the asia-Pacific region.

l'oréal China markets an impressive portfolio of 16 international brands, including l'oréal Paris, Maybelline, garnier, Kiehl's, Shu uemura, Biotherm, lancôme, helena rubinstein, Biotherm, giorgio armani, ralph lauren perfumes, Kérastase, l'oréal Professionnel, Matrix, Vichy, la roche-Posay and two local brands, yue Sai and Mininurse. Its high-qual-ity products are available in all distribution channels, including department stores, hair salons, hyper- and supermarkets, pharmacies and direct mail order.

l'oréal has built a research & development Center in Shanghai to investigate Chinese consumers' needs and expectations, and three plants in Shanghai, Suzhou and yichang to provide better service and products, not only to China, but to the whole of asia.

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l'oréal China also emphasizes the recruitment and development of new talent. a new Management development Center was founded in 1995 in Shanghai.

l'oréal China shows its long-term commitment to Chinese society by supporting culture, education, science, environmental protection and the arts. as a good corporate citizen, the company is involved in a number of initiatives, such as the China young Women in Science Fellowship, Charity Sales, green Cup and hairdressers against aids. l'oréal China has been recognized as the most successful and respected international company in China.

... BBdcestablished on august 8, 2005, Beijing Benz-daimler Chrysler automotive Co., ltd. (BBdC) is a joint venture founded by Beijing automotive Industry holding Co., ltd, daimler ag and daimler north east asia ltd. the Chinese shareholder owns 50% of the total shares.

BBdC's new plant is located in the Beijing economic & technological development area (Bda) and boasts an annual production capacity of 100,000 units. BBdC's manufacturing philosophy is based on criteria such as state-of-the-art techniques, outstanding products, strict quality control, a strong emphasis on sustainable and environmentally friendly pro-cesses and well-trained technical workers. BBdC currently produces vehicles such as the world-famous Mercedes-Benz e-Class/ C-Class, Chrysler 300C and Chrysler Borui.

BBdC has devoted itself to providing high-quality professional services to its customers. an adequate supply of parts, efficient technical support and long-distance and on-site training have guaranteed the continuous progress of our First Fix Visit (FFV). the com-pany continually strives to make its service even faster, more comfortable and customer-oriented. BBdC's mission statement is "We enhance Mobility and Quality of life." Its aim is to become the top-performing player in the Chinese market. the products and services pro-vided to its customers are of the same high-quality as those of dag worldwide. In so doing BBdC is creating a new epoch for the auto industry and the Chinese market.

Page 46: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS

charles-edouard BouéeRegional coordinator, asiapresident & Managing partner, greater china

roland Berger Strategy Consultants23rd Floor Kerry Center, 1515 nanjing West road Shanghai 200040, Chinae-mail: [email protected] Phone: +86 21 5298 6677-821

Qi wusenior partner & vice president for greater china

roland Berger Strategy Consultants Suites d&e, 20th Floor, tower a, gateway Plaza18 xiaguangli, east third ring north roadBeijing 100027, Chinae-mail: [email protected]: +86 10 8440 0088-619

John shenpartner automotive competence center, leader greater china

roland Berger Strategy Consultants23rd Floor Kerry Center, 1515 nanjing West roadShanghai 200040, Chinae-mail: [email protected]: +86 21 5298 6677-890

Ignatius tongpartnerconsumer goods & Retail competence center, leader greater china

roland Berger Strategy Consultants 23rd Floor Kerry Center, 1515 nanjing West roadShanghai 200040, Chinae-mail: [email protected] Phone: +86 21 5298 6677-850

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Rainer Balensieferprincipal, head of RB profilerMarketing & sales competence center

roland Berger Strategy ConsultantsKarl-arnold-Platz 140474 düsseldorf, germanye-mail: [email protected]: +49 211 4389-2158

susanne gamerssenior consultantconsumer goods & Retail competence center

roland Berger Strategy Consultants23rd Floor Kerry Center, 1515 nanjing West road Shanghai 200040, Chinae-mail: [email protected]: +86 21 5298 6677-142

please contact us if you have further questions:Phone: +86-21 5298 6677-176Fax: +86-21-5298 6655e-mail: [email protected]

think:act studyPublisher: Roland Berger Strategy ConsultantsResponsibility: Torsten Oltmanns

Roland Berger Strategy Consultants23rd Floor Kerry Center, 1515 Nanjing West Road Shanghai 200040, China

© Roland Berger Strategy ConsultantsAll rights reserved

Page 48: Roland Berger Chinese Consumer Report 2009

Roland BeRgeR Strategy ConSultantS