Good Day! Please pick notebooks!

DRAW A LINE SEPARATING TODAY & YESTERDAY1) Write: Date: 10/07/09, Topic: Public Opinion2) On the next line, write “Opener #25” and then:

1) Plot your mood, reflect in 1 sent.2) Respond to the opener by writing at least 2 sentences about:Your opinions/thoughts OR/AND

Questions sparked by the clip OR/AND

Summary of the clip OR/AND

Other things going on in the news.Announcements: NoneIntro Music: Untitled

Peer Edit (5):1) Use a highlighter2) Check if sections are in order and on the cover sheet, highlight each of the sections you see3) Read and highlight thesis + all topic sentences (1st sen of para) + highlight any confusing sentences or citation irregularities.4) Write 1-4 sentence(s) opinion/suggestions on their concept on the essay (para 3). 5) Write your name on their coversheet, hand back to owner.

Essay:Turn in work in the order of the cover sheet.If too thick to staple all together, staple that separate sections.

Place in 1 stack on the back table by the number for your period. Place 2nd stk: Film Notes

Agenda1) Study Guide Test 22) Public OpinionThis Week: Special Interest + PartiesNext Week: Electoral SystemTwo Weeks from Now: Mock Election

What you will be able to do:1) Where do people’s ideas come from?

Reminder1) No HW this week, Test 2 on Friday

Participation (10 points a week)Negative Mark: Minus 2 Points Each0 Check: 6 Points1 Check: 7 Points2 Checks: 8 Points3 Checks: 9 Points4 Checks: 10 Points 5 Checks: 11 Points (+1 EC)6 Checks: 12 Points (+2 EC)7 Checks: 13 Points (+3 EC)8 Checks: 14 Points (+4 EC)

Mock Quiz

1) Your political ideology is most determined bya) Schoolb) Wealthc) Family

2) People are themselves the best qualified to secure a good future for themselves.

a) Democratic Partyb) Republican Partyc) Libertarian Party

Review1) Democratic Party: DEM, Liberal, Left, Donkey,

Blue, 36%2) Republican Party: GOP, Conservative, Right,

Elephant, Red, 24%How to Join: Check box on voter registration form3) Independents: DTS, don’t pick any party, 40%

4) Political Socialization: The strongest to weakest influences on your politics:

a) Family b) Friends c) Orgs/Church d) Class (research is conflicted on if school does anything) Once socialized, you easily accept news that fit

your view, and easily reject news that doesn’t.

2008: GOP/McCain: 46% DEM/Obama: 53%

2008: GOP/McCain: 46% DEM/Obama: 53%

2008: GOP/McCain: 46% DEM/Obama: 53%

Pew ResearchMarch 20, 2008

Pew ResearchMarch 20, 2008

Notes #25a, Title: “Public Opinion Notes” 1) Impact of Age: Ppl tend to start liberal, and getmore conservative. Young Vote 49%, Sr Vote: 70%2) Impact of Gender: Slightly more liberalWomen Vote More 3% Oten DEM 56% GOP 43% 3) Impact Race: White Vote: DEM 43% GOP 55%

Black Vote : DEM 95% GOP 4% (vote 60%)

Latino Vote : DEM 67% GOP 31% (vote 47%)

Asian Vote : DEM 62% GOP 35% (least vote 44%)

4) Impact of Income: Poor more liberal, vote less5) Impact of Religion: Religious more

conservative (except Jewish more liberal)6) Impact of Education: Uneducated and PhD

more liberal. BA/BS educated conservative.

Notes #25a, Title: “Public Opinion Notes” 1) Impact of Age: Ppl tend to start liberal, and getmore conservative. Young Vote 49%, Sr Vote: 70%

Notes #25a, Title: “Public Opinion Notes” 2) Impact of Gender: Slightly more liberalWomen Vote More 3% Often DEM 56% GOP 43%

Notes #25a, Title: “Public Opinion Notes” 3) Impact Race: White Vote: DEM 43% GOP 55%

Black Vote : DEM 95% GOP 4% (vote 60%)

Latino Vote : DEM 67% GOP 31% (vote 47%)

Asian Vote : DEM 62% GOP 35% (least vote 44%)

Notes #25a, Title: “Public Opinion Notes” 4) Impact of Income: Poor more liberal, vote less

Notes #25a, Title: “Public Opinion Notes” 5) Impact of Religion: Religious more

conservative (except Jewish more liberal)

Notes #25a, Title: “Public Opinion Notes” 6) Impact of Education: Uneducated and PhD

more liberal. BA/BS educated conservative.

Notes #25a, Title: “Public Opinion Notes” 7) Impact of Media: Media not effective at

changing views, but very effective and amplifying views we already hold

Notes #25a, Title: “Public Opinion Notes” 8) Crisis: Ppl tend to support gov during crisis

Work #25a, Title “Where your thoughts came from”Ask and Write down:1) Ask your partner who/what shaped their

current political beliefs (include their name).(you need not know if which party, just your

general views on politics, your socialization)2) Together discuss, then write, why do you think

more people over time have become DTS?3) Together discuss, then write, why do you think

age changes people’s party preference?4) Together discuss, then write, why do you think

certain races are more liberal?5) Together discuss, then write, why do you think

econ class changes people’s party preference?

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls

Notes #25a, Title: “Polling Notes” 9) Polling: Statistical method to get info on alarger group by asking a random sample of it.a) Develop a list of ALL the people in your

target population b) Number those on that list 1-Xc) Randomly pick (www.randomizer.org) the

numbers you wish to sample (bigger sample = more accurate)

d) Contact everyone randomly selected

Exit Poll: Ask random voters as they leave voting plcFocus Group: Small group questioned in-depthStraw Poll: Non-random, not accurate (often online)Census: Ask everyone, 100% accurate (each 10 yrs)

Polling <Exit PollFocus GroupStraw PollCensus

10) Polling Reliability: 4% error means results can be 4+ or 4-. Error rate depends on sample size and how many of the sample group were successfully reached and if questions’ wording was unbiased.

Example: 9/22 Fox Poll:Obama: 47% Is Really: 43-51%McCain: 43% Is Really: 39-47%

Halo Effect: Ppl say what sounds good (Bradley Effect: Minorities poll higher than what the outcome is in the real vote)

Work #25a, Title “Wording of Questions”Polls are only as accurate as their questions. A good poll tries to be neutral in wording. A PUSH POLL is purposely bias, because is an ad acting as a poll.

1) Work with your partner, write a unbiased poll question to gauge support for President Obama.2) Work with your partner, write a biased poll question to gauge his support.3) Write a push poll question that plants negative information trying to hurt Obama.

Work #25c, Title “National Polls”1) Work with your partner, pick a campaign: Obama or McCain, look over the Ohio polls, and write what the campaign’s policy theme that would appeal to Ohioans (write partner’s name).2) Look over the 2004 exit polls, and determine:Assuming…. Bush=McCain Kerry=Obamaa) Who for sure will back youb) Who might back you if you work for itc) Who will never back you3) Ask your partner, and write down, should politicians use polls to help them make decisions? Is that a sign of respect for democracy or lack of leadership?

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/OH/P/00/epolls.0.html

Work #25b, “Polls Debate”1) Read the 2 sides, choose 1 side, and write

which you choose and explain why.2) Then write down what your partner thinks

(include their name at the end).1 2 3 4 5

CON: Assuming polls are accurate, leaders should still ignore them1) US is a republic, we elect representatives to run the country2) The best leader is someone who leads her ppl to a better place

PRO: Assuming polls are accurate, leaders should follow them1) US is a democracy, so the leaders should follow the ppl’s wishes2) The best leader is someone who puts the needs of the ppl first

No HW this week:Test 2 on Friday