2015 UMW Monday Slides

8/9/2019 2015 UMW Monday Slides

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Texas Legislative Session 2015Texas Interfaith Center for Public Policy

Texas IMPACT


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History Lesson

2001-2011 Texasadded 850,000 K-12students

Half of all K-12

enrollment growth inUS occurred in TX

= All the kids in MD!


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History Lesson

2011 Deep,Deliberate Cuts

25,000+ Jobs Lost

$5.4 Billion Cut


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History Lesson

2013 Partial Returnto Sanity

80% State Aid Restored

Stopped vouchers andprivatization efforts

Increased TRS fundingand won cost-of-livingraise for most retirees the first in 12 years!

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Start ofSession

MidSession

End ofSession

($3.4billion)

Restoration of$4 billion in

cuts


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2015 Unfinished Agenda

What Happens Next!Depends on Us

Still $600 per pupil below2008.

Coordinated attack fromprivate/corporate

interests


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2015 Legislative Agenda

Fund our schools!

Short term: $600 per pupil just to getback to 2008 levels!the state has more

than enough reserves built up to do it.

Long Term: New revenue from closinghuge loopholes and ending unjustifiedspecial-interest tax breaks.

Example: Tax break for natural-gasfracking wells, which are highly profitableand dont require tax breaks, diverts more

than $1 billion a year from state treasury.


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How far behind is school spending?

2008 total education spending averaged $10,220 per student

2014 -15 per student funding averages $9,609

!

$611 per-student drop

!

$18,330 less per classroom of 30 students

! Need an additional $5.9 Billion to bring spending back to 2008levels


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Z [


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Help our students succeed!

We want: Universal pre-K.

Funding restored to help struggling students meet stateachievement standards. Class-size caps that are enforced in K-4 and we want them in

pre-K and beyond grade 4, too. Properly certified teachers in every class. An end to the

misuse of standardized tests, use better measures to gaugesuccess, and end top-down, punitive sanctions.

Community schools with wraparound services, with parentsand education employees teaming up to set goals and

establish community-based accountability.


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A fight between two contrasting visions

In the 2015 session, this will be a fight

between two contrasting visions of thefuture of education.

Their three-part strategy already clear:underfund, declare failure based on

misuse of test scores; privatize.


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How We Win

Legislative Work

Volunteer to testify atkey moments during thelegislative session.

Share your personalstory with TexasImpacts leaders and

Government Relationsstaff, so that we canshare it with legislators.


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How We Win

Legislative Work

Reach out to naturalalliesparents,community friends of

public education, thelabor family, and formlocal coalitions.

Remember, we are not

in this fight alone.Community engagementis essential to our long-term success.


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How We Win

Spread the word!

A war against public education byprivate and corporate interests that look

at students and schools and see dollarsigns.

Our contrasting agenda: fund ourschools properly, provide our studentswith the resources (and freedom fromabusive testing!) they need to succeed,and dont get sidetracked by voucherschemes.


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Sign up for text messaging

Sign up for the Legislative Hotlinetinyurl.com/texasafthotline

Like us on Facebook:facebook.com/texasaft

Follow Us on Twitter:twitter.com/texasaft

Download our App:

Texas AFT at iTunes or Google Play

Easy ActionSteps You Can

Take Now!


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The 600,000a primer from Texas Impact

Joshua Houston, Director of Govt Affairs


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2010 vs. 2014 General Election Turnout

2010 2014

25.26 mil Population 26.45 mil

18.79 mil Voting Age Pop.(VAP) 18.92 mil

13.27 mil RegisteredVoters (RV)

14.03 mil

4.98 mil Actually Voted 4.73 mil

38% % of RV 33.7%

27% % of VAP 25%1/28/15 2


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Redistricting Example

TexasLegislativeCouncil

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DALLAS

Texas Legislature

PLANH358

DISTRICT 107

HOUSE

1/28/15 3


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Legislature in safe districts

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Statewide Primary TurnoutMarch 4, 2014

Total Republicans Democrats

Voters 1,918,107 1,358,074 560,033

% of RV 14.1% 9.98% 4.12%

% of VAP 10.14% 7.18% 2.96%

1/28/15 5


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Statewide Primary Runoff TurnoutMay 27, 2014

Total Republicans Democrats

Voters 954,063 752,780 201,283

% of RV 7% 5.5% 1.5%

% of VAP 5% 4% 1%

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2014 Primary vs. Runoff Turnout(Both Parties)

Primary Runoff

1,918,107 Voters 954,063

14.1% % of RV 7.01%

10.14% % of VAP 5.04%

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2012 Cruz v. Dewhurst

Total 1.1 million

Cruz 631,000

Dewhurst 580,000

Cruz 631,000 = 4.5% of RV

3.3% of VAP

2.4% of entirepopulation

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2014 Patrick v. Dewhurst

Total 752,780

Patrick 489,586

Dewhurst 263,194

Patricks 489,586 = 3.6% of RV

2.6% of VAP

1.8% of entirepopulation

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HD 53 = High Turnout District

HDs Population 170,000 avg.

HDs VAP 125,000 avg.

Total Voters 15,487

Murr 9,387

Henneke 6,100

1/28/15 10


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HD 137 = Low Turnout District

HDs Population 170,000 avg.

HDs VAP 125,000 avg.

Total Voters 1,131

Wu 696

Smith 435

1/28/15 11


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Growth in Dark Money

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Dark Money: Texas 2014

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The Utah Dark Money ScandalSource: House State Affairs Interim Report

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Rev. Anna Howard Shaw

15


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Rev. Shaw on Democracy:

16

Democracy is not merely a form ofgovernment; it is a great spiritual force

emanating from the heart of the Infinite,

permeating the universe, and transformingthe lives of men.


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Thank You!

For more information, contact:Joshua Houston, General Counsel

Texas Impact

(512) 4723903

17


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Threats To

Funding Public ServicesA 2016-17 Preview

Jan 26, 2015

Dick [email protected]


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Where Does the StateGet Its Money?

Source 2016-17 revenue(in $billions)

Percent of totalrevenue

Tax collections 109.0 49%

Federal income 72.9 33%

Licenses, fees, fines 16.8 8%

Lottery 3.8 2%

Interest, land income 7.3 3%

Other 11.1 5%


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What Taxes Does the State Rely On?

Tax 2016-17 revenue(in $billions)

Percent of total taxrevenue

Sales tax 61.5 56%

Motor vehicle sales 10.19%

Franchise (margins) 9.6 9%

Motor fuels 7.0 6%

Oil 5.7 5%

Insurance 4.34%

Natural gas 3.2 3%

Tobacco 2.6 2%

Alcohol 2.4 2%

Hotel, utility, other 2.5 2%

Proposal:


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Proposal:

End Gasoline Tax Diversion

! Texas Constitution requires!of motor fuels tax to go

Available School Fund ($810 million in 2014)

! Remaining "is sent to State Highway Fund ($2.4

billion in 2014)

Proposal:


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Proposal:


Highway Fund is to be used for acquiring rights-of-way,constructing, maintaining, and policing such public

roadways, and for the administration of such laws as maybe prescribed by the Legislature pertaining to the

supervision of traffic and safety on such roads


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Proposal:


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Proposal:


! Argument for: Gasoline tax should be used only to

build and maintain roads

! But: To continue funding DPS etc, must use General

Revenue that is currently funding other services

P l U M V hi l S l T


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Proposal: Use Motor Vehicles Sale Tax

for Highways

!

Sen. Nichols has proposed constitutional amendmentto dedicate all motor-vehicle sales tax over $2.5 billion

a year to the Highway Fund

! Would redirect $4-6 billion a biennium from General

Revenue to TXDoT.

P l U M V hi l S l T


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Proposal: Use Motor Vehicles Sale Tax

for Highways

! Argument for: Motor vehicle sales tax is paid by carbuyers, so should be used to build and maintain roads

! But: How to fund services that are now paid for with

General Revenue from motor vehicle sales tax

Proposal: Repeal or Reduce


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Franchise (Margins) Tax

Arguments for:

!

Franchise tax is difficult to calculate

!

Businesses owe tax even if dont make profit

! At least raise small-business exemption from current $1

million to $5 million

! At least maintain temporary rate cut



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Franchise (Margins) Tax

But:

!

Franchise tax will generate $9.6 billion in nextbiennium

! Money goes to General Revenue and Property Tax

Relief Fund

! Would increase pressure to cut services

Proposal:


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Proposal:

Lower the Appraisal Cap

! Current law: Taxable value of homestead cannot

increase by more than 10% a year

! Intended to prevent sticker shock in property tax bills

Proposal:


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Proposal:


! Proposal: Lower cap on annual increases from current10% to 5%

! Argument for: Rapid appreciation of property values

are raising taxes on homeowners faster than their

ability to pay them.

Proposal:


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Proposal:


But:

!

Benefit of lower cap would go to higher-value homes,

which appreciate fastest

! Protection of homeowners shifts burden onto renters,

businesses

!

Issue is really local tax rates, not appraisals

P l L R llb k


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Proposal: Lower Rollback

Rate

Current law:

Cities/counties must calculate effective tax rate that

raises same amount of money as prior year. If

property values are up, tax rate goes down

If cities/counties raise effective tax rate by more

than 8%, voters can petition to rollback tax rate

Proposal: Lo er Rollback


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Rate

Proposal:

Lower rollback rate from 8% to 4%

Make rollback election automatic, without need topetition

P l L R llb k


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RateBut:

State is pushing responsibility for funding services onto

local governments

Proposed changes would make it harder for cities/

counties to raise revenue to support services


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Use of This PresentationThe Center forPublic Policy Priorities encourages you to reproduce and distribute these slides, which were developed for use in making public presentations. If you

reproduce these slides, please give appropriate credit to CPPP.

The data presented here may become outdated.

For the most recent information or to sign up for

our free E-Mail Updates, visit www.cppp.org.

Center for Public Policy Priorities

7020 Easy Wind Drive, Suite 200

Austin, TX 78757

P512.320.0222 F512.320.0227


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2016-17 State Budget Outlook

@DeLunaEva [email protected]

Eva DeLuna Castro

Budget Analyst

Thursday, January 22, 2015


59/128

forabettertexas.org

Outline

"

2014-15 Budget Developments

"2016-17: Needs & RevenueHB 1, SB 1, and Governors (?) Budget Proposals


60/128

forabettertexas.org


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forabettertexas.org

Budget Changes since Dec. 2013

"

Supplemental need of $193 million inGeneral Revenue, $1.5 billion Other (mostlyfederal, State Highway Fund)

#

Medicaid I.O.U. dealt with mostly through transfers of

already-appropriated General Revenue

#

State aid to preK-12 drops by $683 million because ofhigher property taxes, slower enrollment growth

# Nov. 2014 constitutional amendment gives TXDoT netincrease of $1.1 billion more for highways, roads


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forabettertexas.org

How much isneeded to

continue stateservices for a

growing

population,budgeting for

medical cost

increases andother inflation?Sources: Legislative Appropriations Requests; HHS Consolidated Budget; Higher Ed.Coordinating Board Formula Funding Recommendations.


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forabettertexas.org


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forabettertexas.org

$113 B in General Revenue Could

"

Support a $101 billion GR current services budgetfor 2016-17 (keeps the cuts from 03 and 11 still in

budget, but makes no new ones)

" Restore $8 billion in state aid to local school

districts, to return state aid to 2008 levels

" Restore $4 billion in dedicated General Revenue toits legally intended state budget uses (such as trauma

care, environmental clean-up, parks)

HB 1 Makes 3 4% Cuts to Current Services Doesnt Cover HHS


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forabettertexas.org

HB 1 Makes 3.4% Cuts to Current Services, Doesnt Cover HHSCost Increases, Relies on $4.5 B School Tax Increases


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forabettertexas.org

H.B. 1 also

"Is $14 billion in General Revenue below pay asyou go constitutional limit

" Is $8 billion below the spending growth limit

(11.68%) adopted by LBB in December 2014;

simple majority vote in House and Senate isneeded to go beyond $107 billion GR budget

"

Does not tap Economic Stabilization Fund

(could reach $11 billion by end of fiscal 2017)


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forabettertexas.org

HB 1 School Funding Starting Point


69/128

forabettertexas.org

Local

governmentspending

(and taxes)

in Texascloser to

U.S. average


70/128

Use of This Presentation

The Center for Public Policy Priorities encourages you to reproduce and

distribute these slides, which were developed for use in making publicpresentations. If you reproduce these slides, please give appropriate

credit to CPPP.

The data presented here may become outdated. For the most recent

information or to sign up for our email updates, visit our website.

CPPP


7020 Easy Wind Drive, Suite 200Austin, TX 78752

P 512.320.0222F 512.320.0227

CPPP.org


71/128

2016-17 State Budget Outlook

@DeLunaEva [email protected]

Eva DeLuna Castro

Budget Analyst

Thursday, January 22, 2015


72/128

forabettertexas.org

Outline

!

2014-15 Budget Developments

!2016-17: Needs & RevenueHB 1, SB 1, and Governors (?) Budget Proposals


73/128


74/128

forabettertexas.org

Budget Changes since Dec. 2013

!

Supplemental need of $193 million inGeneral Revenue, $1.5 billion Other (mostlyfederal, State Highway Fund)

"

Medicaid I.O.U. dealt with mostly through transfers of

already-appropriated General Revenue"

State aid to preK-12 drops by $683 million because ofhigher property taxes, slower enrollment growth

" Nov. 2014 constitutional amendment gives TXDoT net

increase of $1.1 billion more for highways, roads


75/128

forabettertexas.org

How much isneeded to

continue stateservices for a

growing

population,budgeting for

medical costincreases and

other inflation?Sources: Legislative Appropriations Requests; HHS Consolidated Budget; Higher Ed.Coordinating Board Formula Funding Recommendations.


76/128

forabettertexas.org


77/128

forabettertexas.org

$113 B in General Revenue Could

!

Support a $101 billion GR current services budgetfor 2016-17 (keeps the cuts from 03 and 11 still in

budget, but makes no new ones)

! Restore $8 billion in state aid to local school

districts, to return state aid to 2008 levels

! Restore $4 billion in dedicated General Revenue toits legally intended state budget uses (such as trauma

care, environmental clean-up, parks)

HB 1 Makes 3.4% Cuts to Current Services, Doesnt Cover HHS


78/128

forabettertexas.org

a es 3. % Cuts to Cu e t Se v ces, oes t Cove SCost Increases, Relies on $4.5 B School Tax Increases


79/128

forabettertexas.org

H.B. 1 also

!

Is $14 billion in General Revenue below pay asyou go constitutional limit

! Is $8 billion below the spending growth limit

(11.68%) adopted by LBB in December 2014;

simple majority vote in House and Senate isneeded to go beyond $107 billion GR budget

!

Does not tap Economic Stabilization Fund

(could reach $11 billion by end of fiscal 2017)


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HB 1 School F di St ti Poi t


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forabettertexas.org

HB 1 School Funding Starting Point


82/128

forabettertexas.org

Local

governmentspending

(and taxes)

in Texascloser to

U.S. average


83/128


The Center for Public Policy Priorities encourages you to reproduce and

distribute these slides, which were developed for use in making publicpresentations. If you reproduce these slides, please give appropriate

credit to CPPP.

The data presented here may become outdated. For the most recent

information or to sign up for our email updates, visit our website.

CPPP


7020 Easy Wind Drive, Suite 200Austin, TX 78752

P 512.320.0222F 512.320.0227

CPPP.org


84/128

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TEXAS UNITED METHODIST WOMEN'S 27TH ANNUAL LEGISLATIVE EVENT

Austin, Texas

Anne Dunkelberg, Associate Director [email protected] for Public Policy Priorities

Monday, January 26, 2015

3


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The Center for Public Policy Priorities encourages you to reproduce anddistribute these slides, which were developed for use in making publicpresentations. If you reproduce these slides, please give appropriate

credit to CPPP.

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CPPP

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Austin, TX 78752P 512.320.0222F 512.320.0227

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No One Shall MakeTem Afraid

A Secure Texas For All

!" $%& '()** +),& -(&. /01)234&&,2%5 ) 4&671& -&8)4 0"1 )**

January 25-27, 2015 Holiday Inn Midtown Austin, Texas

Texas United Methodist Womens Legislative Event

presented by Texas Impact

Lobby Training


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Lobby Training

! Using Lobby Visits to Build Relationships (Bee)

! Using Your Legislative Visit Evaluation Form (Bee)

!

Lobby Day Logistics (Amy)

! Lobby Visit Dos and Donts (Amy)

! Understanding the Capitol Context (Beaman)

!

Talking About the UMW Legislative Agenda (Beaman)

! Small Group Practice Session with Coaches


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Civility


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Civility

Civilusrelating to citizens

appropriate behavior for a citizen

Civility versus Community


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Civility is what we

do individually

Community is whatwe have together


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Storytelling and Advocacy


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Storytelling and Advocacy

Vocarevoice, summon help

For, not against

Story: Building a foundation

f li


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for policy

Sept. 24, 1935


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Rev. A.F. Whitehurst, Kingfisher, OK

"I am particularly anxious that the new Social Security Legislation

just enacted, for which we have worked so long, providing for old

age pensions, aid for crippled children and unemployment

insurance, shall be carried out in keeping with the high purposes

with which this law was enacted. Your high calling brings you into

intimate daily contact not only with your own parishioners, but

with people generally in your community.

I am sure you see the problems of yourpeople with wise and sympatheticunderstanding."

Using Advocacy to Build Community


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Use your participation in public dialogue to build something,

not to get something.

Create a narrative about the kind of community you want to

live in with the other people.

Find out what kind of community other people want to live in.

Communication that Builds Community


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Committing to be together even though we dont always agree

Respect for the others worldview

Describing how and why we hope the future can be better


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Lobby Visit

Dos and Dontsand Final Logistics


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The Legislative Context

UMW Legislative Agenda 2015


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! Healthy Texas

! We urge the Legislature to advance policies for affordablehealthcare, including mental health and preventive health

services, for the broadest possible number of Texans. Thisshould include providing affordable insurance for workingTexans, and expanding Medicaid and other existing low-income programs. We affirm our particular and historicconcern for the health of women and children. Wecommend to lawmakers the role that social determinants,

especially access to affordable, healthy food and familyfinancial stability, play in health, and call on lawmakers toconsider comprehensive health solutions.



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! Quality Education

! The Legislature should affirm its constitutional obligation toprovide high quality public education for the benefit of all

children in our state. Critical legislative actions includerestoring all cuts made in the last decade, providing statefunding for enrollment growth, increasing teachercompensation to competitive levels, and providing full-daypre-kindergarten in all school districts. We strongly reaffirmour historic opposition to any movement toward allowing

the flow of public money to private schools, including theestablishment of any voucher programs.



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! Living Water

!

We urge lawmakers to prioritize our states water

infrastructure investments around the primary principleof fair access to clean water for all Texans, and to take

strong action to protect Texans from potential threats

to the air, land and water that we rely on to live. We

affirm the inherent worth of all creation and call on

lawmakers to protect all of Texas natural resources.



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! Humane Immigration

!

We advocate for fair, humane policies toward

immigrants in Texas, including access to necessarystate permits (including drivers permits) and regulatory

structures to live and work and be educated in our

state. We insist that state officials respect the

appropriate boundaries of federal and state

responsibility concerning our national border security.



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! Criminal Justice

!

We call on legislators to guarantee fair treatment for all

Texans caught up in the states criminal justice system,from arrest to re-entry. We have particular concerns

about the grand jury process, and we urge lawmakers

to lift restrictions on SNAP and other important

benefits for former drug felons.


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Documents

2015 UMW Monday Slides