257. Heron House; Ark; Paul Marshall Trustee, Also Lib Dems 'Sugar Daddy

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    Business profile: The Lib Dems' sugar daddy

    Published: 12:01AM GMT 05 Mar 2006

    Paul Marshall made a fortune in hedge funds; now he wants to get

    Britain's third party into government - but he tells Topaz Amoore he

    doesn't think his money will help

    It wasn't easy to spot Paul Marshall at the celebrations for Sir Menzies

    Campbell's victory in the Lib Dem leadership contest. Television cameras

    panned across the party and homed in on Lady Campbell making a gentle jokeabout how all their friends were retiring and why weren't they.

    Standing well in the background - his preferred

    habitat - was "one of the most powerful men in the

    City", as Marshall was introduced on a recent edition

    of Any Questions?.

    Marshall, 46, is one of two co-founders of the

    Marshall Wace hedge fund, their portfolio worth

    anything from 4bn to 10bn - he's not saying. He

    and Ian Wace are thought to have amassed personal

    fortunes north of 200m. Their flagship equity fund,

    run from offices just off the Strand with panoramic

    views of the Thames, is among the 10 biggest funds

    in Europe.

    But, like many in that world, Marshall is by nature

    reticent. "Oh God, I wasn't on the news, was I?" he

    says. He hates publicity. But this moderniser has

    agreed to talk of his passion for politics.

    He has been a lifelong member and cheerleader for the Liberals in their various

    guises, donating an estimated 30,000 to the party and ploughing 1m into an

    independent liberal think tank, CentreForum. (He is also a devoted supporter of

    the charity Ark, which helps children who are the victims of abuse, illness,

    disability or poverty.)

    During our interview he occasionally remembers to refer objectively to "the Lib

    Dems". Mostly, though, he forgets. "We," he says. "Us."

    Only rarely do his two worlds, and twin passions, collide. Marshall has made

    time for both by stepping back from fund management to become chairman of

    Marshall Wace Asset Management - last week he was in Asia, checking out

    whether its new office should be in Hong Kong or Singapore - and extending

    already long days to accommodate Lib-Demmery in the evenings.

    He does use some intelligence harvested from the markets in his understanding

    of politics - the movement of energy stocks, for example.

    Previous 1 of2 Images Next

    Marshall: ?Gordon Brown is in the Gladstone tradition. David

    Cameron is in the Disraeli, greasy-pole tradition?

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    "What I see at the moment is a huge bull market in alternative energy. What I

    hear from Tony Blair is that alternative energy is not going to be the solution to

    our energy needs, so we have to look at nuclear. Then I look back at stock

    markets and see that nowhere in the world is anyone prepared to finance

    nuclear energy in a free market - only through government. That tells me the

    problem is not solved."

    Politics has been a preoccupation ever since his enthusiasm was fired by the

    formation of the SDP in 1981. Two decades ago Marshall spent a few months

    as a researcher for Charles Kennedy. He ran for Parliament in 1987, in the

    Tory/Labour marginal seat of Fulham.

    At the time he was two years into a career at Mercury Asset Management,

    which must have been relieved by his failure to win the seat. By 1989 he was its

    chief investment officer for European equities; by the time he left, his 15-strongteam managed $12bn in equities. He founded MW in 1997.

    "I didn't do very well [in Fulham] but it was a great experience." His adrenaline-

    fuelled concession speech was a "complete rant".

    "I went on much longer than I should have done," he says. "It was, 'Don't forget

    this night, because Britain is going to become more divided than ever etc, etc.' "

    Has he always voted Liberal? "I can't remember who I voted for in 1979, my first

    election," he admits. "But I recently found a letter from my father, replying to

    one from me, and it suggests that I was pretty left-wing." Marshall was reading

    history and modern languages at St John's. His father was chairman of Unilever

    in the Philippines, and the two wrote weekly.

    "He was saying, 'What you have to bear in mind is that for the past 10-15 years

    our country has been run without any attention to the wealth creation process.

    We're running out of money and Thatcher has understood this.'

    "There's an interesting parallel," Marshall says. "As the saying goes, Labour

    governments always run out of money. By the next election we will be spending

    up to the European average on health and will have far worse results, and up to

    the European average on education, in most cases, and have far worse results.

    Labour has blown it."

    He admires Gordon Brown for his political conviction, if not his methods of

    delivering policy via the state. He has not joined the cult of David Cameron

    ("Opus Dave" as political wags call it), resentful that he has shifted the Tories

    onto traditional Liberal territory - even though they would now make more

    palatable coalition partners.

    "If you asked David Cameron who his heroes were, he'd say Maurice Saatchi

    and Tim Bell. There are two types of politician - those in the Gladstone tradition

    and those in the Disraeli tradition. Brown is in the Gladstone tradition. Cameron

    is in the Disraeli, greasy-pole tradition."

    Marshall believes these are momentous times for the Lib Dems, despite the

    downfalls of Kennedy and Mark Oaten. He is buoyed by the party's unexpected

    victory in the Dunfermline by-election, and hopes for a hung parliament after the

    next election.

    "I decided to devote a lot of time to the Lib Dems because I think there is a very

    high probability they will be in overall control in the next parliament," he says.

    He's done the maths - you wouldn't question Marshall's maths - on the Labour

    seats likely to disappear in boundary changes and the swing needed for an

    overall Tory majority. "I don't think the media has fully picked this up," he

    repeats. "The Lib Dems will be the bride next time round."

    During Kennedy's leadership his advisers privately nicknamed their favourite

    benefactor "Moneybags". He and Ian Wace shared almost 50m in pay and

    dividends in the two years to August 2004, according to the hedge fund's most

    recent accounts.

    Marshall says there is a "big difference" between the unelected Lord Ashcroft's

    targeted funding of Conservative marginals and his funding of the think tank. "It's

    trying to get good ideas implemented, but it's up to the party whether it accepts

    or rejects them."

    Even so, his role within the party troubles him. "Do I have any legitimacy? I'd

    rather have an elected position." He won't rule out or rule in standing as an MP

    again; certainly, nothing is planned in the medium term. Being a sugar daddy is

    clearly uncomfortable.

    "Money is a major disadvantage in British politics," Marshall argues. "Both

    having it and giving it. By having it, it's what people then associate you with. I

    just want to participate in a political process, a battle of ideas, in a one-

    member, one-vote party. I have one vote, like everybody else, and I also want

    my ideas to be influential. I don't want them to be devalued by the fact that I've

    got money."

    Marshall was a co-editor of the Orange Book, a series of essays by

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    frontbenchers and young MPs which advocated more pro-market policies and

    caused quite a rumpus among Lib Dems. One chapter called for Britain to

    adopt a French-style insurance-based health system. It wasn't official policy

    and some on the left of the party began to question Marshall's motivation. As

    one activist told me: "His money is welcome, but it's not an Open Sesame to

    policy-making".

    One party adviser, however, says Marshall's contribution goes beyond money.

    "He's committed. He doesn't just fund the think tank; he's its chairman. This

    week he was helping an MP with his conference speech for Harrogate. It's not

    exactly glory-hunting."

    Marshall himself is decidedly unflash, today wearing a shapeless navy jacket

    over casual black-gone-green trousers. He has lived for many years in the same

    house in south-west London with his French wife and teenage son anddaughter. He used to pay his son to deliver political leaflets until he was scared

    off by the local dogs.

    Will he give more money now that Campbell has won? "No comment," he says,

    though it has apparently been suggested that he host a series of City dinners to

    promote the Lib Dem cause. It might be safer. If Marshall gives to the party on a

    heroic scale, as he points out, "people will say, 'well, he's trying to buy policy'.

    If I don't give to the party, people think I'm being stingy.

    "I have a lifelong passion for politics. I'm a lifelong liberal. I'm trying to contribute

    to better ideas and help us get into government. Funnily enough, money doesn't

    really help."

    Publishers wishing to reproduce photographs on this page should phone

    44 (0) 207 538 7505 or e-mail [email protected]

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