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5. THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION We now turn our attention to the “thermohaline circulation” — the circulation driven by changes to the temperature or salinity in some part of the ocean. The lecture is organised around the following topics: Water masses and their formation. The role of diapycnal mixing. The Stommel-Arons model of the abyssal circulation and Deep Western Boundary Currents. Multiple equilibria and abrupt climate change.

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Page 1: 5. THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION - DAMTP Atmosphere-Ocean ... · 5. THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION We now turn our attention to the “thermohaline circulation” — the circulation driven

5. THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION

We now turn our attention to the “thermohaline

circulation” — the circulation driven by changes to the

temperature or salinity in some part of the ocean.

The lecture is organised around the following topics:

• Water masses and their formation.

• The role of diapycnal mixing.

• The Stommel-Arons model of the abyssal circulation and

Deep Western Boundary Currents.

• Multiple equilibria and abrupt climate change.

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WATER MASSES AND THEIR FORMATION

Sparse observations ⇒ deep circulation often inferred from

large-scale “water mass” properties.

Within the oceanic interior, many properties such as

potential temperature, salinity, and other tracers are

quasi-conserved. The properties distributions therefore give

a zero order indication of the circulation pathways.

Water masses are crudely named in terms of:

• their formation site (e.g., NA = North Atlantic, AA =

Antarctic, M = Mediterranean, etc);

• the depth at which water mass settles (e.g., IW =

Intermediate Water; DW = Deep Water; BW = Bottom

Water).

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(a) Atlantic

GEOSECS section along the western trough

(figure from Pickard and Emery 1990)

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(b) Pacific

GEOSECS section along 160◦E

(figure from Pickard and Emery 1990)

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There are three dominant water masses:

• AAIW that forms in the Southern Ocean and spreads

northwards into both the Atlantic and Pacific;

• NADW that forms at high latitudes in the North

Atlantic and spreads southwards;

• AABW that forms adjacent to Antarctica and spreads

northwards into the Atlantic and Pacific.

However no deep water is formed in the North Pacific.

This is the fundamental reason for the asymmetry in the

heat transports between the Atlantic and the Pacific

(see lecture 1).

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Generalisation of the thermohaline conveyorbelt including

the additional water masses (Schmitz 1996):

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WATER MASS FORMATION

Surface waters are made dense in three different ways:

• surface cooling;

• evaporation (leaves salt behind ⇒ S increases);

• sea-ice formation (sea ice can hold only 4o/oo salt ⇒excess salt released into underlying water).

The densest water masses are formed in semi-enclosed or

marginal seas, where relatively small volumes of water are

trapped and exposed to intense buoyancy loss for a

prolonged period.

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The dense waters subsequently overflow from marginal sea

into the abyssal ocean:

(Price 1994)

Note, the densities of the water masses change dramatically

in the overflows!

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IS THE THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION PUSHED OR

PULLED?

If there is a localised source, S ∼ 20 Sv, of NADW at high

latitudes in the North Atlantic, it is necessary for this water

to return to the surface somewhere (i.e., to be converted

back into a lighter water mass).

Suppose that the NADW upwells uniformly over the abyssal

ocean. How large is the required upwelling?

w∗A = S (5.1)

where A ∼ 3 × 1014m2 is the surface area of the oceans.

Thus

w∗ ∼ 0.7 × 10−7m s−1 ∼ 2m yr−1.

However to maintain thermodynamic equilibrium, we

require that the upwelling of cold water is balanced by a

downward flux of heat. Classically, it has been assumed

that this is provided by internal wave breaking.

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1-d heat budget (Munk 1966):

w∗∂T

∂z∼ ∂

∂z

κ∂T

∂z

(5.2)

⇒ w∗ ∼ κ

D,

where κ is the coefficient of diapycnal mixing and D is a

typical vertical scale.

Setting D ∼ 103m gives a required mixing coefficient of

κ ∼ 0.7 × 10−4m2s−1

.

However estimates from microstructure measurements and

tracer release experiments (e.g., Ledwell et al.1993) suggest

mixing rates in the ocean interior are an order of magnitude

smaller ...

this has led to a debate over the so-called “missing mixing”.

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The leading contenders are:

• Enhanced mixing over rough bottom topography, e.g.,

Polzin et al. (1997) have greatly enhanced mixing over

the mid-Atlantic ridge in the Brazil Basin.

• NADW returns to the surface in the Southern Ocean,

where it is converted to lighter waters as part of the

northward Ekman flux (see figure in lecture 3).

Moreover it has been suggested that these processes might

actually be rate limiting, i.e., they control the overall

strength of the thermohaline circulation (Munk and Wunsch

1998):

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STOMMEL AND ARONS MODEL

Why is the abyssal circulation intensified at the western

margin of basins?

... addressed in a famous series of papers by Stommel and

Arons (1958-1960).

Assumptions:

• abyssal ocean represented by a single layer of uniform

thickness;

• no variations in bottom topography;

• localised sources of deep water at high latitudes, balanced

by slow upwelling, w∗, over the remainder of the ocean.

For convenience w∗ is usually assumed uniform.

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a. Interior circulation

Away from boundaries, circulation will be geostrophic:

u = − 1

ρ0f

∂p

∂y, v =

1

ρ0f

∂p

∂x. (5.3)

Substituting above into continuity equation,

∂u

∂x+∂v

∂y+∂w

∂z= 0, (5.4)

gives large-scale vorticity balance:

βv = f∂w

∂z. (5.5)

Integrating from sea floor (where w = 0) to the top of the

abyssal layer (where w = w∗) gives:

β∫

v dz = fw∗. (5.6)

⇒ poleward flow in each basin, i.e., towards the sources of

deep water!

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b. The Deep Western Boundary Current

The deep flow cannot be poleward everywhere, e.g., we

know there is a net equatorward flow of NADW in the

North Atlantic.

To resolve this paradox, Stommel predicted the existence of

deep western boundary currents. (Can solve for these

mathematically by adding linear friction to the momentum

balance.)

This leads to the following circulation pattern:

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The prediction of the Deep Western Boundary Current in

the North Atlantic is perhaps the only example of major

ocean current having been predicted using a theoretical

model before it was actually observed.

Swallow and Worthington (1961) dropped neutrally-buoyant

floats into the predicted DWBC and saw them move rapidly

southward, thus confirming the theoretical prediction.

However, with hindsight, there is a high probability they

could have gone the other way! (due to the eddy field)

Nevertheless the existence of a DWBC is now clearly

established, e.g., from tracer observations (see lecture 1).

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MULTIPLE EQUILIBRIA

Can the thermohaline circulation possess more than one

stable mode of operation? (e.g., can deep water be formed

in the Pacific rather than the Atlantic?)

First addressed in a remarkable paper by Stommel (1961).

Consider the following (highly-idealised!) two-box ocean:

Within each box, T and S are assumed well mixed.

A thermohaline circulation, strength q, flows through two

pipes connecting the boxes. We will assume that the

thermohaline circulation acts essentially as non-rotating

density current and write

q = k(α∆T − β∆S). (5.7)

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What are the simplest, physically motivated boundary

conditions for T and S?

• Air-sea heat exchange tends to restore the ocean

temperature to equilibrium values over relatively short

time-scales.

• However the evaporation and precipitation rates do not

depend on the salinity of the ocean.

Therefore want restoring boundary conditions on T and

fixed flux boundary conditions on S (known as mixed

boundary conditions).

We can simplify further if we assume that the temperatures

are effectively prescribed (maintained by air-sea fluxes).

Salt budget for either box gives:

|q|S1 = (|q| + E)S2

⇒ |q|∆S ≈ ES0. (5.8)

(The modulus sign is present because the result is

independent of flow direction.)

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Eliminating ∆S between (5.7) and (5.8) gives

|q|q − kα∆T |q| + kβES0 ≈ 0. (5.9)

This is a quadratic equation in q, with the added

complication of the modulus signs!

Graph showing equilibrium solutions for q for different

values of E:

The solid lines represent stable equilibria and the dashed

line unstable equilibria.

(values used: α = 2 × 10−4K−1, β = 0.8 × 10−3(o/oo)−1,

k = 0.5 × 1010m3s−1, ∆T = 20 K, S0 = 35 o/oo)

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For the present-day North Atlantic, E ≈ 0.5 Sv, and there

are two stable equilibria:

• a fast or thermally-direct equilibrium, with sinking at

high latitudes (q ∼ 15 Sv):

• a slow or thermally-indirect equilibrium, with sinking at

low latitudes (q ∼ −2 Sv):

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Global warming scenario:

increased atmospheric CO2 ⇒ warmer air

⇒ increased moisture capacity ⇒ larger E

According to the graph, as E increases the thermohaline

circulation will initially weaken.

However once E exceeds 0.7 Sv, the high-latitude sinking

equilibrium no longer exists, and the circulation collapses

into the low-latitude sinking state.

Note that if atmospheric levels of CO2 subsequently

decrease, the circulation may remain in the low-latitude

sinking state.

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Example of the collapse of the thermohaline circulation in a

similar 3-box model. A high-latitude fresh water anomaly of

strength 0.5, 0.558 and 0.6 o/oo is applied impulsively:

(figure courtesy of Helen Johnson)

Stommel’s box model is highly idealised. However very

similar behaviour is observed in more complete models:

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Marotzke and Willebrand (1991) looked for these different

equilibria in an idealised OGCM (with identical surface

boundary conditions):

4 hemispheric basins

⇒ 2 × 2 × 2 × 2 = 16

potential equilibria

They found 4 (panels show meridional overturning, Sv):

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a. northern sinking b. southern sinking

c. conveyorbelt d. inverse conveyorbelt

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Coupled OAGCMs show thermohaline circulation can

shutdown due to anthropogenic climate change, e.g.,

Manabe and Stouffer (1994):

Abrupt changes in thermohaline circulation are also

suggested in paleorecords, such as ice-cores and sediments,

e.g., Broecker (1987):

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SUMMARY OF MAIN POINTS:

• Deep water is formed in the Atlantic, but not in the

Pacific.

• The densest water masses are formed in marginal and

semi-enclosed seas. The water mass properties are

modified substantially in the dense water overflows.

• The abyssal circulation is concentrated in Deep Western

Boundary Currents.

• The thermohaline circulation may possess more than one

stable mode of operation. Increased high-latitude

precipitation in a warmer climate may lead to a

reduction, or shutdown, in the North Atlantic

thermohaline circulation.

• However the thermohaline circulation is sensitive to a

number of processes that are currently poorly represented

in ocean general circulation models. Thus the results of

such models should be regarded as tentative in nature.

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REFERENCES FOR LECTURE 5

General reading

Siedler, G., J. Church, and J. Gould, 2001: Ocean Circulation and Climate.

Academic Press.

Wunsch, C., 1996: The Ocean Circulation Inverse Problem. Cambridge

University Press. (Chapters 1 and 2).

Specific references

Ledwell, J., A. Watson, and C. Law, 1993: Evidence for slow mixing across the

pycnocline from a tracer-release experiment. Nature, 364, 701-703.

Manabe, S., and R. J. Stouffer, 1994: Multiple century response of a coupled

ocean-atmosphere model to an increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide. J.

Climate, 7, 5-23.

Marotzke, J., and J. Willebrand, 1991: Multiple equilibria of the global

thermohaline circulation. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 21, 1372-1385.

Munk, W., 1966: Abyssal recipes. Deep Sea Res., 13, 707-730.

Munk, W., and C. Wunsch, 1998: Abyssal recipes II: energetics of tidal and wind

mixing. Deep Sea Res., 45, 1977-2010.

Pickard, G. L., and W. J. Emery, 1990: Descriptive physical oceanography. An

Introduction. Butterworth-Heinemann.

Polzin, K. L., J. M. Toole, J. R. Ledwell, and R. W. Schmitt, 1997: Spatial

variability of turbulent mixing in the abyssal ocean. Science, 276, 93-96.

Price, J. F., 1994: Dynamics and modelling of marginal sea outflows. Oceanus,

37, no. 1, 9-11.

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Schmitz, W. J., 1996: On the World Ocean Ciculation, Vol. II: The Pacific and

Indian Oceans/A Global Update. Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.

Stommel, H., 1958: The abyssal circulation. Deep Sea Res., 5, 80-82.

Stommel, H, 1961: Thermohaline convection with two stable regimes of flow.

Tellus, 13, 224-230.

Stommel, H., and A. B. Arons, 1960a: On the abyssal circulation of the world

ocean. I. Stationary planetary flow patterns on a sphere. Deep Sea Res., 6,

140-154.

Stommel, H., and A. B. Arons, 1960b: On the abyssal circulation of the world

ocean. II. An idealized model of the circulation patterns and amplitude in

oceanic basins. Deep Sea Res., 6, 217-233.

Swallow, J. C., and L. V. Worthington, 1961: An observation of a deep

countercurrent in the western North Atlantic. Deep Sea Res., 8, 1-19.

Togweiller, J. R., and B. Samuels, 1998: On the ocean’s large scale circulation in

the limit of no vertical mixing. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 28, 1832-1852.

OCEAN CIRCULATION

David Marshall

University of Reading ([email protected])

LECTURES

1. Introduction to the oceans

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2. Homogeneous model of the wind-driven circulation

3. Vertical structure of the wind-driven circulation

4. Rossby waves, Kelvin waves and El Nino

5. Thermohaline circulation

6. Dynamics of thermohaline circulation variability

REFERENCES

Both general references for further reading, and specific

references cited in the lecture notes, are listed at the end of

each lecture.

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1. INTRODUCTION TO THE OCEANS

Aims for today:

• Why study the oceans?

• Air-sea interaction

• Observation methods and challenges

• Overview of large-scale circulation

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WHY STUDY THE OCEANS?

• 71% of the Earth’s surface is covered by water.

• The heat capacity of the upper 3m of the oceans is

equivalent to the entire heat capacity of the atmosphere.

• The oceans transport a similar amount of heat polewards

as the atmosphere.

• Changes in SST can affect the atmospheric circulation

(e.g., El Nino, formation of Hurricanes)

• Long memory of oceans ⇒ potential for seasonal climate

prediction.

• The oceans store about 50 times more carbon than the

atmosphere.

• The oceans take up roughly 1/3 of the carbon released

into the atmosphere through human activity.

• Fisheries.

• Military.

• Mineral deposits.

• Waste disposal?

• Intellectual curiosity.

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AIR-SEA INTERACTION

The dominant source of energy for the circulations of the

atmosphere and oceans is the sun.

Excess incoming-outgoing radiation at low latitudes, and

vice-versa at high latitudes ⇒ the atmosphere and oceans

must transport heat polewards.

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The the oceanic circulation itself is driven by

• surface wind stresses;

• surface heat fluxes;

• freshwater fluxes (evaporation, precipitation, sea-ice

formation, river discharge);

• body forces (tides).

a. Wind stress

Measured from ship observations (e.g., Josey et al. 2000),

from operational atmospheric analyses (e.g., Trenberth et al.

1990), or from remote sensing (e.g., Liu and Katsaros 2001).

Bulk parameterisation:

τs = ρaCDU210, (1.1)

where ρa is the density of air and U10 is the wind speed at

10 m; the drag coefficient, CD, is a function of wind-speed,

atmospheric stability and sea-state. Typically, use:

103CD = 1.15 (|U10| < 11m s−1)

= 0.49 + 0.065|U10| (|U10| > 11m s−1) (1.2)

(Large and Pond 1981)

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Mean wind-stress (from Josey et al. 2000):

Note:

• wind stresses are highly variable;

• there are still significant uncertainties.

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b. Heat flux

Four components:

• sensible heat flux from air-sea temperature difference;

• latent heat flux associated with evaporation;

• incoming short-wave radiation from the sun;

• long-wave radiation from the atmosphere and ocean.

Again parameterised using bulk formulae (e.g., Reed 1977).

Air-sea heat flux (W m−2) over the North Atlantic (Isemer

et al. 1989)

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Mean sea surface temperature

(from Peixoto and Oort 1992; based on Levitus 1982).

How is this related to the neat heat flux? Chicken or egg?

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Freshwater flux

Evaporation and Precipitation

(from Wijffels 2001; based on 13 datasets):

(Evaporation ∝ Latent heat flux;

1.27m yr−1 ⇔ 100W m−2.)

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Net E-P flux and standard deviation amongst the 13

contributing datasets.

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Surface salinity — how is this related to E-P?

(from Peixoto and Oort 1992)

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OBSERVATIONS OF LARGE-SCALE CIRCULATION

The oceans present several major observational difficulties:

• remoteness and size,

• high pressures (e.g., 500 atmos. at 5km),

• highly corrosive,

• opacity to electromagnetic radiation

(⇒ cannot “see” beneath surface),

• turbulence.

The latter is highly problematic: e.g., need ∼ 2 weeks of

continuous data to filter internal waves and measure a

geostrophic current (Wunsch 1996).

The consequence is that the ocean is grossly undersampled

in both space and time. However this situation is

improving rapidly, both due to remote sensing of surface

properties, and intensive observational programmes since

the 1990s, associated with the World Ocean Circulation

Experiment (WOCE).

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WOCE one-time hydrographic sections

Southern Ocean hydrographic inventory prior to early 1990s

(http://www.awi-bremerhaven.de/Atlas/SO/)

3 summer months 3 winter months

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Approaches:

• In-situ current meters

• Acoustic Doppler Current Profilers (ADCP)

• Hydrographic measurements

Measure T and S (⇒ ρ) along hydrographic sections,

and use thermal wind balance,∂u

∂z=

g

ρ0f

∂ρ

∂y,∂v

∂z= − g

ρ0f

∂ρ

∂x, (1.3)

to infer geostrophic flow field subject to an assumed level

of no motion.

• Floats

• Tracers

• Satellite altimetry

Measure shape of sea surface from space ⇒ surface

geostrophic circulation.

u = −gf

∂η

∂y, v =

g

f

∂η

∂x, (1.4)

Global data every 10 days (TOPEX-POSEIDON) (but

poor knowledge of geoid limits accuracy of mean data).

• Acoustic tomography

Transit time of sound waves ⇒ temperature.

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OVERVIEW OF LARGE-SCALE CIRCULATION

Cartoon from Schmitz (1996):

Geostrophic streamlines at surface with assumed level of no

motion at 1.5 km:

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Main features:

• Subtropical gyres in all major basins;

anticyclonic,

typical transports T ∼ 30 Sv (1 Sv ≡ 106m s−1)

typical velocities U ∼ 1 cm s−1.

• Subpolar gyres in northern hemisphere basins;

cyclonic.

• Gyres closed by intense western boundary

currents—e.g., Gulf Stream, Kuroshio;

L ∼ 50 km, U ∼ 1 m s−1.

Transports can be enhanced by local recirculations, e.g.,

Gulf Stream transport ∼ 85 Sv at Cape Hatteras, and

∼ 150 Sv after separation.

• Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) in Southern

Ocean; T ∼ 130 − 200 Sv, c.f. atmospheric jet.

• Equatorial jets.

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• At depth, find Deep Western Boundary Currents, e.g.,

southward in Atlantic, transport of order 10 − 20 Sv.

Tritium in North Atlantic in 1971 (Ostlund and Rooth

1990):

CFC-11 on σ1.5 = 34.63

(∼ 1.5 − 2 km depth)

(from Weiss et al.,

1985, 1993):

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The Deep Western Boundary Current in the North

Atlantic is part of the global thermohaline conveyobelt,

often depicted by Broeker’s “cartoon”:

carries ∼ 1 PW of heat northward in North Atlantic, and

may warm western Europe by several degrees:

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Rahmstorf and Ganapolski (1999)

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Global salinity section from GEOSECS

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• Superimposed on the mean circulation is an intense

transient eddy field, with a dominant energy-containing

scale of order 100 km. Analogue of weather systems in

the atmosphere.

(Richards and Gould 1996):

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Visible reflectance ⇒ phytoplankton abundance (Richards

and Gould 1996):

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Sea surface height variability from TOPEX-POSIEDON

altimeter

(http://topex-www.jpl.nasa.gov)

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Surface velocity snapshot in Indian Ocean from 1/4◦

Semner and Chervin model (Wunsch 1996):

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SUMMARY OF KEY POINTS

• Ocean transports a similar amount of heat polewards as

the atmosphere.

• Air-sea fluxes remain highly uncertain.

• Large-scale surface circulation dominated by subtropical

gyres and western boundary currents, and ACC in the

Southern Ocean.

• Thermohaline conveyorbelt carries about 1 PW of heat

northward in the North Atlantic and may warm western

Europe by several degrees.

• Superimposed on the “mean” circulation is an intense,

small-scale eddy field ⇒ major challenges for observing

and modelling the ocean.

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POSTSCRIPT: DIFFERENT VIEWS OF THE OCEAN

Wunsch (2001) suggests that the oceanographic literature

suffers from a kind of mulitple personality disorder:

• The descriptive oceanographers’ classical ocean

large-scale, steady, laminar, aims to depict “the” global

circulation

• The analytical theorists’ ocean

quasi-steady, branch of GFD, aims to use simple models

to deepen understanding

• The observers’ highly variable ocean

high temporal and spatial variability, regional focus

• The high-resolution numerical modellers’ ocean

relative newcomer, some elements of each of above, but

differs from all of them

“Little communication between the apostles of these

different personalities appears to exist; nearly disjoint

literatures continue to flourish.”

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REFERENCES FOR LECTURE 1

General reading

Open University Course Team, 1989: Ocean Circulation. The Open

University/Pergamon Press.

Peixoto, and Oort, 1992: Physics of Climate. American Institute of Physics.

Siedler, G., J. Church, and J. Gould, 2001: Ocean Circulation and Climate.

Academic Press.

Wunsch, C., 1996: The Ocean Circulation Inverse Problem. Cambridge

University Press. (Chapters 1 and 2).

Specific references

Carissimo, B. C., A. H. Oort, and T. H. Vonder Haar, 1985: Estimating the

meridional energy transports in the atmosphere and oceans. J. Phys. Oceanogr.,

15, 82-91.

Hastenrath, S., 1982: On meridional heat transports in the world ocean. J.

Phys. Oceanogr., 12, 922-927.

Isemer, H.-J., J. Willebrand, and L Hasse, 1989: Fine adjustment of large-scale

air-sea energy flux parameterizations by direct estimates of ocean heat transport.

J. Clim., 2, 1173-1184.

Josey, S. A., E. C. Kent, and P. K. Taylor, 2000: On the wind-stress forcing of

the ocean in the SOC and Hellerman and Rosenstein climatologies. J. Phys.

Oceanogr., submitted.

Large W. G., and S. Pond, 1981: Open ocean momentum flux measurements in

moderate-to-strong winds. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 11, 324-336.

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Levitus, S., 1982: Climatological Atlas of the World Ocean. NOAA Professional

Paper No. 13, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C..

Liu and Katsaros, 2001: Air-sea fluxes from satelite data. In: Ocean Circulation

and Climate, G. Siedler, J. Chruch, and J. Gould, Eds., Academic Press, 173-180.

Ostlund, H. G., and C. G. H. Rooth, 1990: The North Atlantic tritium and

radiocarbon transients 1972-1983. J. Geophys. Res., 95, 20147-20165.

Rahmstorf, S., and A. Ganapolski, 1999: Long-term global warming scenarios

computed with an efficient coupled climate model. Climatic Change, 43, 787-805.

Reed, R. K., 1977: On estimating isolation over the ocean. J. Phys. Oceanogr.,

7, 482-485.

Richards, K. J., and W. J. Gould, 1996: Ocean weather - eddies in the sea. In:

Oceanography, An Illustrated Guide, Eds, C. P. Summerhayes and S. A. Thorpe.

Manson Publishing.

Schmitz, W. J., 1996: On the World Ocean Ciculation, Vol. II: The Pacific and

Indian Oceans/A Global Update. Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.

Trenberth, K. E., W. G. Large, and J. G. Olson, 1990: The mean annual cycle in

global ocean wind stress. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 20, 1742-1760.

Weiss, R. E., J. C. Bullister, R. H. Gammon, and M. J. Warner, 1985:

Atmospheric chlorofluoromethanes in the deep equatorial Atlantic. Nature, 314,

608-610.

Weiss, R. E., M. J. Warner, P. K. Salameh, F. A. Van Woy, and K. G. Harrison,

1993: South Atlantic Ventilation Experiment: SIO Chlorofluorocarbon

Measurements. Scripps Institute of Oceanography.

Wijffels, S. E., 2001: Ocean transport of fresh water. In Ocean Circulation and

Climate, G. Siedler, J. Chruch, and J. Gould, Eds., Academic Press, 173-180.

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Wunsch, C., 2001: Global problems and global observations. In: Ocean

Circulation and Climate, G. Siedler, J. Chruch, and J. Gould, Eds., Academic

Press, 47-58.

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2. HOMOGENEOUS MODEL OF THE

WIND-DRIVEN CIRCULATION

The circulation in the different ocean basins contains many

common elements, including:

• subtropical and subpolar gyres,

• western boundary currents,

• inertial recirculation,

• separated meandering jets.

Is there a common dynamical cause of these phenomena,

independent of basin geometry?

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Geostrophic streamlines at 100m with assumed level of no

motion at 1500m: (Stommel et al., 1978)

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THE HOMOGENEOUS MODEL

The “classical” model of the wind-driven circulation, and

one of the great successes of GFD.

While highly idealised, many underlying ideas carry over to

more complete descriptions of the ocean circulation.

Assume:

• uniform density,

• circulation independent of depth,

• ocean of uniform depth,

• dissipation through linear friction,

• β-plane, i.e., f = f0 + βy.

The final four assumptions are stronger than strictly

necessary, but allow us to considerably simplify the

mathematics.

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Equations of motion:

∂u

∂t+ u.∇u− fv +

1

ρ0

∂p

∂x=

τ (x)s

ρ0H− ru, (2.1)

∂v

∂t+ u.∇v + fu +

1

ρ0

∂p

∂y=

τ (y)s

ρ0H− rv, (2.2)

∂u

∂x+∂v

∂y= 0, (2.3)

where τs is ths surface wind stress and r is the coefficient of

linear friction.

Three equations in three unknowns: u, v and p.

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We can eliminate p by forming a vorticity equation,

∂(2.2)/∂x− ∂(2.1)/∂y, to give:

∂t+ u.∇

q =1

ρ0H

∂τ (y)s

∂x− ∂τ (x)

s

∂y

− r

∂v

∂x− ∂u

∂y

.

(2.4)

Here

q = f(y) +∂v

∂x− ∂u

∂y. (2.5)

is the absolute vorticity.

Equation (2.4) contains the three essential ingredients of

any ocean gyre:

• a vorticity source (wind stress curl),

• a vorticity redistribution (advection),

• a vorticity sink (friction).

Finally we can use (2.3) to define a streamfunction, ψ, such

that

u = −∂ψ∂y, v =

∂ψ

∂x. (2.6)

Substituting for u and v in (2.4) gives a single equation in

one unknown, ψ.

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SVERDRUP BALANCE

First consider the ocean interior.

Estimate magnitude of relative vorticity and planetary

vorticity:∣

∂v∂x

− ∂u∂y

f=

U

fL= Ro

where Ro is the Rossby number.

Typical values: U ∼ 10−2m s−1, L ∼ 106m, f ∼ 10−4s−1

⇒ Ro ∼ 10−4 � 1.

Thus q ≈ f = f0 + βy.

On the advective time-scale (T ∼ L/U ), the

time-dependent term is also small, and friction is unlikely to

important away from the boundaries.

⇒ in the ocean interior, (2.4) simplifies to:

β∂ψ

∂x=

1

ρ0H

∂τ (y)s

∂x− ∂τ (x)

s

∂y

(2.7)

“Sverdrup balance” for a homogeneous ocean.

Local balance between advection of planetary vorticity and

source of vorticity by wind-stress curl.

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Boundary conditions?

Would like to set ψ = 0 on both the western and eastern

boundaries. However (2.7) is a 1st-order p.d.e. in x

⇒ can satisfy only 1 b.c. in x.

Sverdrup noted that boundary currents tend to form on the

western margins of ocean basins and applied the eastern

boundary condition.

Example from North Atlantic (Boning et al. 1991):

Predicts both subtropical and subpolar gyres.

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Global calculation from Welander (1959):

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WESTERN INTENSIFICATION

To close the circulation at western boundary requires

additional physics.

Following Stommel (1948), introduce linear friction ⇒

β∂ψ

∂x=

1

ρ0H

∂τ (y)s

∂x− ∂τ (x)

s

∂y

− r∇2ψ. (2.8)

Now a 2nd-order p.d.e. in x, allowing both western and

eastern boundary conditions.

Solution in a rectangular basin with uniform zonal winds:

β∂ψ

∂x∼ −r∂

∂x2

⇒ width δ ∼ r/β

Sverdrup interior

(figure from Cushman-Roisin 1994)

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Why does the boundary current form on the western, and

not the eastern, margin of the basin?

Consider sources and sinks of vorticity:

a. western boundary current:

no net source of vorticity

b. eastern boundary current:

net source of anticyclonic vorticity

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NONLINEAR EFFECTS

In practice, relative vorticity is not negligible within the

western boundary current.

To include both friction and relative vorticity, it is necessary

to resort to numerical solutions (adapted from Veronis 1966;

also see Bryan 1963 for equivalent with lateral friction).

As r decreases:

• N/S asymmetry develops,

• eastward jet forms along northern edge of gyre,

• gyre transport increases — “inertial recirculation”

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To obtain a physical understanding, consider sources and

sinks of vorticity acting on a parcel of fluid as it travels

around a closed streamline:

(i) vorticity source:

u.∇q ≈ 1

ρ0Hcurlτs

(ii) vorticity redistribution:

u.∇q ≈ 0

(iii) vorticity sink:

u.∇q ≈ −r∇2ψ

Nonlinear generalisation of Stommel gyre, but same

underlying principle:

over a closed gyre circuit, net sources and sinks of vorticity

must balance.

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Can formalise by integrating vorticity equation [(2.4), with

∂/∂t = 0] over area enclosed by a streamline, to give:

1

ρ0H

ψτs.dl− r

ψu.dl = 0 (2.9)

(Niiler 1966).

What happens as r → 0?

The only way (2.9) can be satisfied is if∮

u.dl increases.

Either:

• the boundary current increases its length,

• or the velocities increase ⇒ inertial recirculation.

c.f. a bicycle rolling down a gentle hill with flat tyres (large

friction) and fully inflated tyres (weak friction)

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ROLE OF TRANSIENT EDDIES

So far we have considered only one (subtropical) gyre. Now

consider a more “complete” model in which we have both a

subtropical and subpolar gyre.

Initially, let’s place an imaginary wall between the 2 gyres:

What happens if we remove the wall?

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Numerical calculation (J. Marshall 1984):

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Can can split the variables into mean and transient

components:

u = u + u′,

q = q + q′, ....

The time-mean vorticity equation is then

u.∇q =1

ρ0H

∂τ (y)s

∂x− ∂τ (x)

s

∂y

− r

∂v

∂x− ∂u

∂y

−∇.u′q′.

(2.10)

Finally, integrating this over the area enclosed by a

time-mean streamline, we obtain:

1

ρ0H

ψ

τs.dl− r∮

ψ

u.dl−∮

ψ

u′q′.dn = 0. (2.11)

Additional “sink” of vorticity in the time-mean vorticity

equation due associated with eddy vorticity fluxes.

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Vorticity budget along a time-mean streamline:

(i) vorticity source:

u.∇q ≈ 1

ρ0Hcurlτ s

(ii) vorticity redistribution:

u.∇q ≈ 0

(iii) vorticity sink:

u.∇q ≈ −∇.u′q′

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SUMMARY OF MAIN POINTS

• Have developed a simple homogeneous model of

wind-driven gyres, with no vertical structure.

• Model is able to reproduce many features of the observed

circulation, including:

— subtropical and subpolar gyres,

— western boundary currents,

— inertial recirculation,

— separated jets than meander and form rings.

• One reason for the success of the homogeneous model is

that it captures the three essential ingredients of any

ocean gyre:

— a vorticity source,

— a vorticity redistribution,

— a vorticity sink.

In the next lecture, we will see that these ideas carry

over to a stratified ocean if one reinterprets q as the

potential vorticity.

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REFERENCES FOR LECTURE 2

General reading

Cushman-Roisin, B., 1994: Introduction to Geophysical Fluid Dynamics.

Prentice-Hall.

Pedlosky, J. 1987: Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Chapter 5, Springer Verlag.

Pedlosky, J., 1996: Ocean Circulation Theory. Springer-Verlag.

Specific references

Boning, C. W., R. Doscher, and H.-J. Isemer, 1991: Monthly mean wind stress

and Sverdrup transports in the North Atlantic: A comparison of the

Hellerman-Rosenstein and Isemer-Hasse climatologies. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 21,

221-235.

Bryan, K., 1963: A numerical investigation of a nonlinear model of a wind-driven

ocean. J. Atmos. Sci., 20, 594-606.

Marshall, J. C., 1984: Eddy-mean flow interaction in a barotropic ocean model.

Q. J. R. Met. Soc., 110, 573-590.

Niiler, P. P., 1966: On the theory of the wind-driven ocean circulation. Deep Sea

Res., 13, 597-606.

Stommel, H., 1948: The westward intensification of wind-driven ocean currents.

Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 29, 202-206.

Stommel, H., P. Niiler, and D. Anati, 1978: Dynamic topography and

recirculation of the North Atlantic. J. Mar. Res., 36, 449-468.

Sverdrup, H. U., 1947: Wind-driven currents in a baroclinic ocean: with

application to the equatorial currents of the eastern Pacific. Proc. Nat. Acad.

Sci., 33, 318-326.

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Veronis, G., 1966: Wind-driven ocean circulation, Part II. Deep Sea Res., 13,

30-55.

Welander, P., 1959: On the vertically integrated mass transport in the oceans.

In The Atmosphere and Sea in Motion, B. Bolin, Ed., Rockfeller Institute Press,

75-100.

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3. VERTICAL STRUCTURE OF THE

WIND-DRIVEN CIRCULATION

In the last lecture we considered a model of the wind-driven

circulation with no vertical structure. However observations

show that the strongest flows (and strongest density

variations) are concentrated in the upper few hundered

metres of the ocean.

The aim of this lecture is describe the dynamics that sets

the vertical structure of the wind-driven circulation,

specifically:

• the surface Ekman layer,

• the role of the potential vorticity field and eddy mixing,

• the ventilated thermocline.

This lecture will contain no discussion of the role of western

boundary currents. Some of the results are therefore of a

tentative nature in that they rely on an assumption that the

boundary currents merely close the circulation without

feeding back onto the structure of the gyre interior.

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THE EKMAN LAYER

The direct effect of the wind stress is only felt within the

upper 30-100m of the ocean, known as the “Ekman Layer”.

Within the Ekman layer, the equations of motion are to

leading order:

−fv +∂p

∂x=

1

ρ0H

∂τ (x)

∂z, (3.1)

fu +∂p

∂y=

1

ρ0H

∂τ (y)

∂z, (3.2)

∂u

∂x+∂v

∂y+∂w

∂z= 0, (3.3)

with τ = τs at the sea surface and τ = 0 at the base of the

Ekman layer.

It is convenient to split the velocity:

u = uEk + ug, (3.4)

such that ug is the geostrophic part of the velocity, and

uEk =1

ρ0f

∂τ (y)

∂z, vEk = − 1

ρ0f

∂τ (x)

∂z, (3.5)

is the wind-driven or “Ekman” part of the velocity.

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Integrating over the depth of the Ekman layer, the total

“Ekman transport” is:

UEk =τ (y)s

ρ0f, VEk = −τ

(x)s

ρ0f. (3.6)

The Ekman transport is to the right of the wind-stress in

the Northern Hemisphere and to the left of the wind-stress

in the Southern Hemisphere.

Divergent/convergent Ekman transports ⇒ “Ekman

upwelling/downwelling”, wEk, through the base of the

Ekman layer.

Integrating (3.3) over the depth of the Ekman layer:

wEk =∂

∂x

τ (y)s

ρ0f

− ∂

∂y

τ (x)s

ρ0f

. (3.7)

Generally, wEk < 0 in the subtropical ocean and wEk > 0 in

subpolar ocean — see wind-stress data from lecture 1.

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Applications:

a. Coastal upwelling

Generally find equatorward winds along eastern margins of

ocean basins

⇒ off-shore Ekman transport

⇒ coastal upwelling.

SST off coast of South Africa (from Gill 1982).

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Upwelling brings cold, nutrient-rich waters to the surface ⇒major fisheries found at eastern margins of basins.

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b. Equatorial upwelling

Find easterly trade winds over equatorial Pacific.

Since f changes sign across the equator

⇒ VEk > 0 north of equator and VEk < 0 south of equator

⇒ equatorial upwelling.

wEk evaluated for the tropical Pacific in July

(units: 10−7m s−1; from Gill 1982).

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c. Antarctic Circumpolar Current

Can interpret ACC as a huge coastal upwelling current.

Westerly winds drive and equatorward Ekman transport,

and hence upwelling in the Southern Ocean.

Upwelling of dense water ⇒ N-S density gradient

⇒ zonal geostrophic flow through thermal wind balance.

(from Rintoul et al. 2001)

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SVERDRUP BALANCE

We now turn to the flow beneath the Ekman layer.

It is straightforward to show that Sverdrup balance carries

over to a stratified ocean:

β0

−Hv dz =

1

ρ0

∂τ (y)s

∂x− ∂τ (x)

s

∂y

, (3.8)

provided the flow vanishes at depth. The integral here is

over the entire depth of the ocean, including the Ekman

layer.

However, more useful for this lecture is a related form of

Sverdrup balance for the depth-integrated flow beneath the

Ekman layer.

Beneath the Ekman layer, the flow is geostrophic:

u = − 1

ρ0f

∂p

∂y, v =

1

ρ0f

∂p

∂x. (3.9)

Substituting the above into the continuity equation,

∂u

∂x+∂v

∂y+∂w

∂z= 0, (3.10)

we obtain the large-scale vorticity balance:

βv = f∂w

∂z. (3.11)

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Finally integrating from the sea floor (z = −H) where we

assume w is small, to the base of the Ekman layer

(z = zEk) where w = wEk, gives:

βzEk∫

−Hv dz = fwEk. (3.12)

Physically:

stretching fluid column ⇒ must increase its vorticity

⇒ the column must move poleward to increase f .

(Q: why not increase its relative vorticity?)

Sverdrup balance still tells us nothing about how the

circulation is partitioned over the fluid column.

To solve this problem in a 3-d stratified ocean is extremely

challenging

⇒ try to simplify problem by using a simpler model ...

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THE LAYERED MODEL

Approximate the ocean as a series of layers (n = 1, 2, ...),

each of constant but different density, ρn.

Key dynamical results:

• layered form of Sverdrup balance:

β∑

vnhn = fwEk. (3.13)

• layered form of thermal wind balance:

un = un+1 +g′nf

k ×∇ηn, (3.14)

where g′n = g(ρn+1 − ρn)/ρ0.

• conservation of potential vorticity in absence of forcing:

un.∇f

hn= 0, (3.15)

where qn = f/hn is the potential vorticity.

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RHINES AND YOUNG (1982A, B)

Will omit mathematical details (see Pedlosky 1996).

Consider a subtropical gyre, and initially assume flow is

confined to layer 1 which is directly forced by wEk:

Thermal wind balance

⇒ interface between layers 1 and 2 must deform.

⇒ potential vorticity field in layer 2 modified:

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Flow in layer 2 must conserve its potential vorticity.

If we assume that boundary currents can form at the

western margins of basins, but not at the eastern margins,

then flow is only possible along q2 contours that do not

intersect the eastern boundary. ⇒ flow possible in only the

NW corner of layer 2.

Finally, we need to determine the strength of this flow.

Rhines and Young argued that eddies would homogenize q2

in this region:

Instantaneous q2 from a numerical calculation with both

subtropical and subpolar gyres and resolved eddies (Rhines

and Young 1982b).

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Solution including flow in layer 2:

NB: flow in layer 2 ⇒ q3 contours deformed

⇒ flow in layer 3? .... etc

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VENTILATION

The SST is not uniform, but decreases with increasing

latitude

⇒ some density layers will “outcrop” at the sea surface.

There is now the additional possibility of a fluid parcel

starting at the sea surface and being “subducted” onto a

subsurface layer. Once shielded from surface forcing, this

parcel will conserve its potential vorticity.

This is the basic idea behind the “ventilated thermocline”

model of Luyten et al. (1983), in which surface density

variations are mapped onto the vertical through via fluid

parcels advecting their potential vorticities into the interior.

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There are now 3 types of potential vorticity contours:

• unblocked contours that recirculate through the western

boundary current (the “homogenised pool”);

• ventilated contours that thread down from the sea

surface (the “ventilated zone”);

• blocked contours that intersect the eastern boundary

(the “shadow zone”).

Flow is possible on the first two of these, but not in the

shadow zone.

Find that ventilated zone dominates near the surface.

Deeper down the solution resembles that of the Rhines and

Young model.

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Potential vorticity in the North Atlantic:

σθ = 26.3 − 26.5

σθ = 26.5 − 27.0

(McDowell et al. 1982)

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“Ventilation age” (from Tr/3He ratio):

σθ = 26.5

σθ = 26.75

(Jenkins 1988)

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STOMMEL’S MIXED LAYER DEMON

Iselin (1939) first noted the

properties of the ocean interior

match those of the winter sur-

face mixed layer (not the an-

nual mean conditions).

Explained by Stommel (1979):

(Williams et al. 1995)

Over one year, a fluid parcel in the subtropical gyres moves

a distance

l ∼ 10−2m s−1.3 × 107s ∼ 300 km.

However the annual migration of the surface density

outcrops is an order of magnitude greater:

(Woods 1987)

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⇒ Only fluid parcels subducted from the mixed layer in late

winter are able to escape irreversibly into the ocean interior.

Numerical calculation (Williams et al. 1995):

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SUMMARY OF MAIN POINTS

• Surface winds drive Ekman transports to the right of the

wind stress in the Northern Hemisphere and to the left of

the wind-stress in the Southern Hemisphere.

• Divergence/convergence in the lateral Ekman transports

⇒ Ekman upwelling/downwelling.

• The vertical structure of the wind-driven circulation is

controlled by the geometry of the potential vorticity field.

• The properties of the ocean interior match those of the

winter mixed layer.

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REFERENCES FOR LECTURE 3

General reading

Pedlosky, J., 1996: Ocean Circulation Theory, Springer-Verlag.

Specific references

Gill, A. E., 1982: Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics. Academic Press.

Iselin, C. O’D., 1939: The influence of vertical and lateral turbulence on the

characteristics of waters at mid-depths. Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 20,

414-417.

Jenkins, W. J., 1988: The use of anthropogenic tritium and helium-3 to study

subtropical gyre ventilation and circulation. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. London,

A325, 43-61.

Luyten, J. R., J. Pedlosky, and H. Stommel, 1983: The ventilated thermocline.

J. Phys. Oceanogr., 13, 292-309.

McDowell, S., P. Rhines, and T. Keffer, 1982: North Atlantic potential vorticity

and its relation to the general circulation. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 12, 1417-1436.

Rhines, P. B., and W. R. Young, 1982a: A theory of the wind-driven circulation.

I. Mid-ocean gyres. J. Mar. Res., 40 (Suppl.), 559-596.

Rhines, P. B., and W. R. Young, 1982b: Homogenization of potential vorticity in

planetary gyres. J. Fluid Mech., 122, 347-367.

Rintoul, S. R., C. W. Hughes, and D. Olbers, 2001: The Antarctic Circumpolar

Current system. In Ocean Circulation and Climate, G. Siedler, J. Chruch, and J.

Gould, Eds., Academic Press, 271-302.

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Stommel, H., 1979: Determination of water mass properties of water pumped

down from the Ekman layer to the geostrophic flow below. Proc. Natl. Acad.

Sci. USA, 76, 3051-3055.

Williams, R. G., M. A. Spall, and J. C. Marshall, 1995: Does Stommel’s mixed

layer demon work? J. Phys. Oceanogr., 25, 3080-3102.

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6. DYNAMICS OF THERMOHALINE

CIRCULATION VARIABILITY

This final lecture has more of the flavour of a seminar. I will

discuss some recent work in collaboration with Helen

Johnson (a PhD student at Reading and a recent GEFD

student). The work draws on, and further develops, many of

the ideas we have been discussing over the past five lectures.

We have a reasonable understanding of the dynamics of the

steady-state thermohaline circulation, given the strength

and location of the sources and sinks of each water mass.

The dynamics and thermodynamics that controls the

magnitude of these sources and sinks remains a difficult

problem and is a topic of much ongoing research.

However a separate, but no less important, problem is the

dynamics of the thermohaline circulation on centennial and

shorter time-scales — the relevant time-scales for abrupt

climate change.

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PREVIOUS WORK ON THIS TOPIC

• Kawase (1987) and Cane (1989) showed that the abyssal

ocean adjusts to changes in high-latitude conditions

through the propagation of Kelvin waves and Rossby

waves.

• Yang (1999) and Huang et al. (2000) found similar

results for the upper limb of the thermohaline circulation.

• Marotzke and Klinger (2000) suggested that deep

adjustment is dominated by advection within the Deep

Western Boundary Current.

• Goodman (2001) identified fast Kelvin waves, but

adjustment occurs over decades to centuries.

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ISSUES

• Over what time-scales does the ocean respond to changes

in deep-water formation at high latitudes?

• How localised is variability on different time-scales?

• Can the adjustment be described using a simple model?

• What are the implications for monitoring and modelling

abrupt climate change?

A secondary issue that we will revisit at the end of this

lecture is:

• On short time-scales, is the thermohaline circulation

“pushed” or “pulled”?

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Shallow-water model:

• Dynamic upper layer (initially h = 500 m)

overlying motionless abyss

• Domain from 45◦S to 65◦N, and 50◦ wide

• Prescribed outflow at northern boundary

• Thermocline relaxed to uniform value (500 m)

at southern margin (45◦S - 35◦S)

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Shallow-water equations:

∂u

∂t+ u.∇u− fv + g′

∂h

∂x= A∇2u, (6.1)

∂v

∂t+ u.∇v + fu + g′

∂h

∂y= A∇2v, (6.2)

∂h

∂t+

∂x(hu) +

∂y(hv) = 0. (6.3)

Solve on a C-grid at 0.25◦ resolution.

STRATEGY

1. Implusive change in deep water formation

While motivation is the possibility of a shutdown in the

thermohaline circulation, here we will consider the

opposite problem in which the northern outflow is

“turned on” at time t = 0.

(Cleaner, because ocean initially at rest.)

2. Sinusoidal forcing

Imagine a Fourier decomposition of the outflow. Allows

us to investigate the how the spectrum of thermohaline

circulation variability changes with latitude.

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THEORETICAL MODEL

Assumptions:

• Kelvin waves infinitely fast;

• thermocline depth uniform on eastern boundary;

• width of western boundary current small;

• interior circulation in geostrophic balance;

• linear.

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(i) Overall mass balance:

∂t

∫ ∫

basinh dx dy = TS − TN . (6.4)

(ii) Interior mass budget:

Rossby wave equation: (see lecture 4)

∂h

∂t− c(y)

∂h

∂x= 0, (6.5)

where c(y) is the Rossby wave speed given in (4.6).

Integrating (6.5) over the interior of the basin

(i.e., excluding the western boundary current) gives:

∂t

∫ ∫

interiorh dx dy =

yN∫

ySc(y) (he − hb) dy, (6.6)

where

hb(y) = he

t− L

c(y)

(6.7)

is the layer thickness just outside the western boundary

current.

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Delay equation

Finally equating (6.4) and (6.6) gives:

he(t) =1

yN∫

ySc(y) dy

yN∫

ySc(y)he

t− L

c(y)

dy − TN + TS

.

(6.8)

Only one unknown: he(t)

From he(t), the layer thickness in the interior follows from

Rossby wave propagation:

h(x, y, t) = he

t− xe − x

c(y)

. (6.9)

Can also deduce transport as a function of latitude by

equating (6.4) and (6.6) where the integration is carried out

between a latitude y and the northern boundary, to give:

T (y, t) = TN +yN∫

yc(y)

he − he

t− L

c(y)

(6.10)

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IMPLICATIONS FOR THERMOHALINE

VARIABILITY?

Equatorial buffer limits magnitude of response in the South

Atlantic.

⇒ the equator acts as a low pass filter to thermohaline

variability.

• Series of calculations with prescribed high-latitude

transport:

TN = A sin (ωt). (6.11)

Allows us to address how the spectrum of variability in the

thermohaline circulation changes with latitude.

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Substituting

TN = T0eiωt

into the delay equation (6.8)

⇒ a formula for variations in magnitude and phase of

anomalies as a function of frequency and latitude:

T (ω, y) = TN

g′HfS

− yN∫

yc

(

1 − e−iωL/c)

dy

g′HfS

− yN∫

ySc

(

1 − e−iωL/c)

dy

. (6.12)

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IMPLICATIONS FOR MONITORING

Model:

Able to reconstruct the full circulation from only the

eastern boundary thermocline depth and high-latitude

boundary conditions.

Ocean:

Undoubtedly more complicated (e.g., coastal upwelling,

Mediterranean outflow, variable bottom topography), but

suggests that the circulation may be strongly constrained

by relatively few observations at the basin margins.

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ATMOSPHERIC RESPONSE TO A SHUTDOWN IN

THE THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION?

Model suggests a rapid response in northward heat

transport in the North Atlantic, but not in the South

Atlantic.

⇒ convergence of hear in the tropics?

In our model this is balanced (by construction) by changes

in ocean heat storage.

However modified advection of SST (in particular in the

subtropics/tropics) may alter air-sea heat fluxes, and thus

modify atmospheric circulation,

e.g., Yang (1999) finds a lagged correlation between the SST

dipole across the equator and the thickness of Labrador Sea

Water (a proxy for deep water formation):

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FURTHER ISSUES

• Multiple basins — straightforward, results similar.

• Continuous stratification, variable bottom topography,

other eastern boundary processes.

• Validation using GCMs and observations.

• Other applications (e.g., to assimilation of data into

models, sea-level adjustment, ...)

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SUMMARY OF KEY POINTS

• North Atlantic responds rapidly (∼ months) to changes

in deep water formation.

• South Atlantic responds more slowly (∼ decades) due to

the “equatorial buffer” mechanism.

• The equator therefore acts as a low-pass filter to

thermohaline variability.

• On short time-scales, variability is confined to the

hemispheric basin in which it is generated.

• The adjustment is essentially reproduced by a simple

dynamical model.

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REFERENCES FOR LECTURE 6

General reading

Johnson, H. L., and D. P. Marshall: On the response of the Atlantic to

thermohaline variability. J. Phys. Oceanogr., in press. (Available from

http://www.met.rdg.ac.uk/∼ocean/pub/thc.html).

Specific references

Cane, M. A., 1989: A mathematical note on Kawase’s study of the deep-ocean

circulation. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 19, 548-550.

Huang, R. X., M. A. Cane, N. Naik, and P. Goodman, 2000: Global adjustment

of the thermocline in response to deep water formation. Geophys. Res. Let., 27,

759-762.

Johnson, H. L., and D. P. Marshall: Localization of abrupt change in the North

Atlantic thermohaline circulation. Geophys. Res. Let., to be submitted.

(Available shortly from http://www.met.rdg.ac.uk/∼ocean/pub/abrupt.html).

Kawase, M., 1987: Establishment of deep ocean circulation dirven by deep-water

production. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 17, 2294-2317.

Marotzke, J., and B. A. Klinger, 2000: The dynamics of equatorially asymmetric

thermohaline circulations. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 30, 955-970.

Yang, J., 1999: A linkage between decadal climate variability in the Labrador

Sea and the tropical Atlantic Ocean. Geophys. Res. Let., 26, 1023-1026.

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4. ROSSBY WAVES, KELVIN WAVES

AND EL NINO

The focus of the previous lectures has been on steady-state

circulations. In this lecture we turn our attention to the

adjustment of the ocean through wave propagation.

In particular we will address the following issues:

• westward propagation of long Rossby waves,

• coastal Kelvin waves,

• equatorial Kelvin and Rossby waves.

• the role of Kelvin waves and Rossby waves in the

development of El Nino.

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SHALLOW-WATER MODEL

In this lecture, we will restrict our attention to wave

motions in a single shallow-water layer.

The equations of motion are:∂u

∂t+ u

∂u

∂x+ v

∂u

∂y− fv + g′

∂h

∂x= 0, (4.1)

∂v

∂t+ u

∂v

∂x+ v

∂v

∂y+ fu + g′

∂h

∂y= 0, (4.2)

∂h

∂t+

∂x(hu) +

∂y(hv) = 0. (4.3)

Here g′ = g∆ρ/ρ0 is the reduced gravity.

Many of the results we will obtain generalise readily to a

continuously-stratified ocean by projecting onto a series of

vertical modes (g′ and h can then be interpreted as the

“equivalent” reduced-gravities and depths.)

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WESTWARD PROPAGATION

First let us restrict our attention to the large-scale interior

of an ocean basin, where Ro � 1, and the momentum

equations can be approximated by geostrophic balance:

u = −g′

f

∂h

∂y, v =

g′

f

∂h

∂x. (4.4)

Substituting the above into the continuity equation (4.3)

gives:∂h

∂t− c(y)

∂h

∂x= 0. (4.5)

where

c(y) =βg′h

f 2

= βL2D (4.6)

is the Rossby wave speed, and

LD =

√g′h

f(4.7)

is the Rossby deformation radius.

Thus all large-scale anomalies propagate westward at the

Rossby wave speed.

[Note (4.6) is the long-wave limit (λ� LD) of the more

general Rossby wave speed; see PPH lecture 3.]

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Physical mechanism: (c.f. “traditional” explanation from

atmospheric literature)

Estimated speed of westward propagating anomalies from

altimeter data (• = Pacific; ◦ = Atlantic). Solid line is the

theoretical prediction from (4.6).

(Chelton and Schlax 1986)

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KELVIN WAVES

Geostrophic balance is a extremely good approximation over

much of the ocean. However consider a pressure gradient

(here a gradient in h) along a N-S coastline. This pressure

gradient cannot be balanced by a Coriolis force since there

can be no normal flow through the solid boundary.

The vanishing of u at the wall suggests the possibility of a

solution in which u = 0 everywhere.

Linearising the remaining terms in (4.1-4.3) about a state of

rest gives:

−fv + g′∂h

∂x= 0, (4.8)

∂v

∂t+ g′

∂h

∂y= 0, (4.9)

∂h

∂t+H

∂v

∂y= 0, (4.10)

where H is the mean layer thickness.

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Elimination of h between (4.9) and (4.10) gives a wave

equation for the along-shore velocity:

∂2v

∂t2− g′H

∂2v

∂y2= 0. (4.11)

This admits two waves propagating at speeds c = ±√g′H :

v = A(x)F (y − ct) +B(x)G (y + ct) . (4.12)

To determine the zonal structure of the wave, eliminate h

between (4.8) and (4.9) to give:

∂2h

∂x∂t+ f

∂h

∂y= 0. (4.13)

Substituting the above solution gives:

dA

dx=

A

LD,dB

dx= − B

LD, (4.14)

and thus:

A = A0ex/LD, B = B0e

−x/LD. (4.15)

Only the wave that decays away from the boundary is

physical

⇒ the wave travels with the coast to its right in the

Northern Hemisphere, and with the coast to its left in the

Southern Hemisphere.

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(from Cushman Roisin 1994)

Note: essentially internal gravity waves in direction || to

coast, but in geostrophic balance in direction ⊥ to coast.

Typical numbers:

g′ ∼ 10−2m s−2, H ∼ 400 m (typical thermocline depth)

⇒ c ∼ 2 m s−1

⇒ Kelvin waves are fast

(few months to propagate from high to low latitudes)

At mid-latitudes, f ∼ 0.7 × 10−4s−1

⇒ LD ∼ 30 km .

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EQUATORIAL WAVES

The vanishing of Coriolis parameter along the equator

endows the tropics with their own special dynamics.

We start with the linearised shallow-water equations on an

equatorial β-plane (with the equator at y = 0),

∂u

∂t− βyv + g′

∂h

∂x= 0, (4.16)

∂v

∂t+ βyu + g′

∂h

∂y= 0, (4.17)

∂h

∂t+H

∂u

∂x+∂v

∂y

= 0, (4.18)

and again seek wave solutions.

Equatorial Kelvin waves

At midlatitudes, the vanishing of the Coriolis force parallel

to coastlines leads to coastal Kelvin waves.

Likewise, the vanishing of the Coriolis force along the

equator leads to an “equatorial Kelvin wave”

(actually discovered by Wallace and Kousky 1968).

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The mathematics exactly mirrors the coastal problem,

except the meridional structure takes the form of a

Gaussian:

u = u0F (x− ct) e−βy2/2c, (4.19)

where c =√g′H is again the wave speed.

By analogy with the coastal problem, (4.19) suggests the

definition of the “equatorial deformation radius”:

LEq =

c

β(4.20)

Typical values:

β ∼ 2.3 × 10−11m−1s−1

g′ ∼ 0.02 m s−1, H ∼ 100 m (see data below)

⇒ c ∼ √g′H ∼ 1.4m s−1 , LEq ∼ 250km.

T (◦ C) along the equatorial Pacific (Colin et al. 1971).

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b. Equatorial Rossby waves

More generally, we can seek solutions to (4.16-4.18) of the

form:

u = U (y) cos (kx− ωt), (4.21)

v = V (y) sin (kx− ωt), (4.22)

h′ = A(y) cos (kx− ωt). (4.23)

Eliminating U (y) and A(y) gives:

d2

dy2V (y) +

ω2 − β2y2

g′H− βk

ω− k2

V (y) = 0. (4.24)

Solutions take the form

V (y) = Hn

y

LEq

e−y

2/2L2Eq, (4.25)

where Hn is a “Hermite polynomial” of order n

[H0(λ) = 1, H1(λ) = 2λ, H2(λ) = 4λ2 − 2, .... ]

and the solutions must satisfy the dispersion equation:

ω2

g′H− k2 − βk

ω=

2n + 1

L2Eq

. (4.26)

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Dispersion diagram (from Cushman-Roisin 1994):

For each mode (n = 0, 1, 2, ...) there are three wave

solutions:

• two high frequency inertia-gravity waves (which we will

not discuss further here);

• One low frequency Rossby wave

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The n = 0 mode is a mixed Rossby/inertia-gravity wave,

and the n = −1 mode is the Kelvin wave already discussed.

Even modes (n = 0, 2, 4, ... ) are antisymmetric about the

equator, and odd modes (n = −1, 1, 3, ... ) are symmetric.

When a symmetic forcing is applied to the equatorial ocean

at low frequencies (ω � f), the dominant modes excited

are the Kelvin wave and the n = 1 Rossby wave.

At low frequencies, the latter propagates westward at a

speed,

c =

√g′H

3, (4.27)

i.e., a third of the Kelvin wave speed.

E.g., response to wind easterly anomaly (from Gill 1982):

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EL NINO

“El Nino” is a climate fluctuation, centred in the tropical

Pacific, that occurs every 2-10 years.

SST:

(a) Normal conditions

(b) El Nino conditions

(Philander 1990)

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SST difference: December 1982 - climatological mean

(Bigg 1990)

El Nino is intimately connected with the “Southern

Oscillation”:

(Philander 1990)

(“El Nino” + “Southern Oscillation” = ENSO)

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El Nino is a coupled phenomenon

⇒ need to consider both the atmosphere and ocean.

The tropical circulation is extremely sensitive to the

distribution of SST over the tropical Pacific:

(a) Normal conditions

(b) El Nino conditions

(Philander 1992)

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Suppose we introduce a warm SST anomaly over the

eastern Pacific

⇒ westerly wind anomaly over the central Pacific.

How does the ocean respond?

- Excites Rossby and Kelvin waves (see figure on 4.12)

• A downwelling Kelvin wave propagates eastward. This

wave reinforces the initial warm SST anomaly in the E.

Pacific ⇒ positive feedback.

• An upwelling Rossby wave propagates westward and is

reflected as an upwelling Kelvin wave. This wave reduces

the initial SST anomaly ⇒ negative feedback.

Propagation times ⇒ feedbacks are delayed

⇒ ocean never catches up with its current state

⇒ oscillations.

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Sea surface height (proxy for thermocline depth) during the

development of the 1997 El Nino (from

TOPEX-POSEIDON; http://):

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Longitude-time sections of projections of

TOPEX-POSEIDON sea-level anomlies into Kelvin (left

and right panels) and n = 1 Rossby waves (middle panel)

(from Boulanger and Menkes 1999):

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DELAY-OSCILLATOR MODEL

A simple heuristic model of El Nino including the

time-delayed positive and negative feedbacks.

Many variants (following based on Tziperman et al. 1994):

dh

dt= aF

[

h(t− τ1)]

− bF[

h(t− τ2)]

(4.28)

+ feedback - feedback

where:

• h is thermocline depth in the E. Pacific,

• F [h] = 2.0 tanh

kh

2

(h > 0),

= 0.4 tanh

kh

0.4

(h < 0),

is a nonlinear function that limits the maximum and

minimum values of h (i.e., allows h to saturate),

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• k represents the strength of atmosphere-ocean coupling,

• τ1 and τ2 are the two time-delays set by the

Kelvin/Rossby wave transit times,

• a and b control the growth/decay rates.

Parameters are highly tunable, but the model can produce

many realistic features, including:

• oscillations with period of ∼ 2 − 10 yrs (� τ1, τ2),

(from Wan 1996)

• amplitude dependent on basin width ⇒ no/weak

oscillation in the Atlantic.

(from Perella 1999)

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SUMMARY OF MAIN POINTS:

• Large-scale anomalies propagate westward in the ocean

interior, with the Rossby propagation speed decreasing

with increasing latitude.

• The vanishing of Coriolis force parallel to coastlines and

along the equator results in (fast) coastal and equatorial

Kelvin waves.

• Equatorial Kelvin and Rossby waves play an important

role in the growth and decay of El Nino.

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REFERENCES FOR LECTURE 4

General reading

Cushman-Roisin, B., 1994: Introduction to Geophysical Fluid Dynamics.

Prentice-Hall.

Gill, A. E., 1982: Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics. Academic Press.

Philander, S. G. H., 1990: El Nino, La Nina and the Southern Oscillation.

Academic Press.

Siedler, G., J. Church, and J. Gould, 2001: Ocean Circulation and Climate.

Academic Press.

Specific references

Bigg, G. R., 1990: El Nino and the Southern Oscillation. Weather, 45, 2-8.

Boulanger, J.-P., and C. Menkes, 1999: Long equatorial wave reflection in the

Pacific Ocean from TOPEX-POSEIDON data during the 1992-1998 period.

Climate Dyn., 15, 205-225.

Chelton, D. B., and M. G. Schlax, 1986: Global observations of oceanic Rossby

waves. Science, 272, 234-238.

Colin, C., C. Henin, P. Hisard, and C. Oudot, 1971: Le Couran de Cromwell dans

le Pacifique central en fevrier. Cahiers ORSTROM, Ser. Oceanogr., 9, 167-186.

Perella, R., 1999: The dynamics of El Nino. MSc dissertation, Department of

Meteorology, University of Reading.

Philander, S. G., 1992: El Nino. Oceanus, 33, no. 2, 56-61.

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Tziperman, E., L. Stone, M. A. Cane, and H. Jarosh, 1994: El Nino Chaos:

overlapping of resonances between the seasonal cycle and the Pacific

ocean-atmosphere oscillator. Science, 264, 72-74.

Wallace, J. M., and V. E. Kousky, 1968: Observational evidence of Kelvin waves

in the tropical stratosphere. J. Atmos. Sci, 25, 900-907.

Wan, T. C., 1996: El Nino chaos in the delay oscillator. MSc dissertation,

Department of Meteorology, University of Reading.