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AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK NAMIBIA ECONOMIC GOVERNANCE AND COMPETITIVENESS SUPPORT PROGRAMME PHASE II (EGCSP II) STREAMLINED APPRAISAL REPORT RDGS/ECGF July 2018 Public Disclosure authorized Public Disclosure authorized

AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK€¦ · (As of June 2018) 1 UA = NAD 17.82 I UA = ZAR 17.82 1 UA = USD 1.42 1 UA = EUR 1.21 FISCAL YEAR April 1 – March 31 WEIGHTS AND MEASURES 1metric

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Page 1: AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK€¦ · (As of June 2018) 1 UA = NAD 17.82 I UA = ZAR 17.82 1 UA = USD 1.42 1 UA = EUR 1.21 FISCAL YEAR April 1 – March 31 WEIGHTS AND MEASURES 1metric

AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK

NAMIBIA

ECONOMIC GOVERNANCE AND COMPETITIVENESS

SUPPORT PROGRAMME – PHASE II (EGCSP II)

STREAMLINED APPRAISAL REPORT

RDGS/ECGF

July 2018

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Currency Equivalents i

Fiscal Year i

Weights and Measurement i

Acronyms and Abbreviations ii

Program and Loan Information iv

Program Timeframe-Main Milestones v

Program Executive Summary vi

Results-based Logical Framework vii

I – INTRODUCTION: THE PROPOSAL

II – UPDATE ON COUNTRY ELIGIBILITY

III – YEAR 2018 PROGRAM

3.1 Program Goal and Purpose

3.2 Program Components

3.3 Program Output and Expected Results

3.4 Progress on Triggers Outlined in the Previous Operation

3.5 Policy Dialogue

3.6 Loan Conditions

3.7 Application of Good Practice Principles on Conditionality

3.8 Financing Needs and Arrangement

IV – OPERATION IMPLEMENTATION PROGRAM

4.1 Beneficiaries of the Program

4.2 Implementation, Monitoring and Evaluation

4.3 Financial Management, Disbursement and Reporting Arrangements

4.4 Procurement

V – LEGAL DOCUMENTATION AND AUTHORITY

5.1 Legal Documentation

5.2 Conditions Associated with Bank’s Intervention

5.3 Compliance with Bank’s Policies

VI – RISK MANAGEMENT

VII – RECOMMENDATION

List of Tables

Table 1: Macroeconomic developments

Table 2(a) Progress on Targets from the Results-Based Logical Framework

Table 2 (b) Progress towards achievement of Outcome and Impact Indicators

Table 3: Prior Actions and Required Evidence for FY 2018/19: EGCSP II

Table 4: Bank Group Financing

Table 5 Conditions Precedent to Disbursement

Table 6: EGCSP Risk and Mitigation Measures

1

2

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7

8

9

12

14

14

16

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17

17

17

18

18

18

18

18

19

19

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10

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Appendices

Appendix I: Letter of Development Policy

Appendix II: IMF Press Release

Appendix III: Updated Eligibility Criteria for Budget Support

Appendix IV: EGCSP II Updated Policy Matrix

Appendix V: Social Sector Challenges and Development

Appendix VI: Link Between EGCSP and Infrastructure Development Programs

Appendix VII: Development Partners’ sectoral areas of intervention and resource commitments

Appendix VIII: Map of the Republic of Namibia

Page 4: AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK€¦ · (As of June 2018) 1 UA = NAD 17.82 I UA = ZAR 17.82 1 UA = USD 1.42 1 UA = EUR 1.21 FISCAL YEAR April 1 – March 31 WEIGHTS AND MEASURES 1metric

i

CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (As of June 2018)

1 UA = NAD 17.82

I UA = ZAR 17.82

1 UA = USD 1.42

1 UA = EUR 1.21

FISCAL YEAR April 1 – March 31

WEIGHTS AND MEASURES

1metric tonne = 2204 pounds (lbs)

1 kilogramme (kg) = 2.200 lbs

1 metre (m) = 3.28 feet (ft)

1 millimetre (mm) = 0.03937 inch (“)

1 kilometre (km) = 0.62 mile

1 hectare (ha) = 2.471 acres

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ii

ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS

ADF African Development Fund

AfDB African Development Bank

AG Auditor General

AU Accounting Unit

BoN Bank of Namibia

BOP Balance of Payments

BSO Budget Support Operation

CAR Commitment at Risk

CFRA Country Fiduciary Risk Assessment

CMA Common Monetary Area

CPPR Country Portfolio Performance Review

CSO Civil Society Organization

CSP Country Strategy Paper

CPIA Country Policy and Institutional Assessment

DO Development Objective

DPs Development Partners

DSA Debt Sustainability Analysis

EGCSP Economic Governance and Competitiveness Support Program

ESW Economic and Sector Work

EU European Union

FDI Foreign Direct Investment

FM Financial Management

FY Fiscal Year

GBS General Budget Support

GCI Global Competiveness Index

GDP Gross Domestic Product

GRN Government of the Republic of Namibia

HDI Human Development Index

HRMIS Human Resources Management Information System

IFMIS Integrated Financial Management Information System

IIDP Infrastructure Investment Development Programme

IMF International Monetary Fund

IOP Indicative Operational Program

IRD Inland Revenue Department

KPI Key Performance Indicator

MDGs Millennium Development Goals

MIC TAF Middle Income Country Technical Assistance Fund

MITSME Ministry of Industrialization, Trade and SME Development

MoF Ministry of Finance

MPE Ministry of Public Enterprises

MSME Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise

MTEF Medium Term Expenditure Framework

MTFF Medium Term Fiscal Framework

MTP Medium Term Plan

MTR Mid-Term Review

NAD Namibia Dollar

NAMFISA Namibia Financial Institutions Supervisory Authority

NANGOV Namibia Non-Governmental Organizations’ Forum

NAMRA Namibia Revenue Agency

OECD Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development

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iii

PBO Program Based Operation

PCR Project Completion Report

PEFA Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability

PFM Public Financial Management

PPPs Public Private Partnerships

PSD Private Sector Development

SACU Southern Africa Customs Union

SADC Southern Africa Development Community

SARB South African Reserve Bank

SME Small and Medium Enterprises

SoE State-Owned Enterprise

SSN Social Safety Nets

TA Technical Assistance

TYS Ten-Year Strategy

UA Bank Group Unit of Account

USD United States Dollar

VAT Value-added Tax

WB World Bank

ZAR South African Rand

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iv

PROGRAM INFORMATION

INSTRUMENT GENERAL BUDGET SUPPORT – PROGRAM BASED LOAN

PBO DESIGN TYPE PROGRAMMATIC OPERATION

LOAN INFORMATION Client’s information

BORROWER: REPUBLIC OF NAMIBIA

EXECUTING AGENCY: MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Financing plan for 2017 and 2018

Source Amount (2017) Amount (2018)

ADB Loan 3 billion Rand (ZAR) 3 billion Rand (ZAR)

TOTAL

FINANCIING

3 billion Rand (ZAR) 3 billion Rand (ZAR)

ADB key financing information

1 GRN will have the option to pay the Front-end Fee: (i) either from its own resources, or (ii) by deducting its amount from the loan proceeds at first

disbursement.

Loan Currency South African Rand (ZAR)

Loan Type Fully Flexible Loan

Tenor 12 years (Up to 25 years inclusive of Grace Period)

Grace period 3 years (Up to 8 years)

Average Loan Maturity* TBD (function of the amortization profile)

Repayments 48 Consecutive quarterly payments after grace period

Interest Rate Base Rate +Funding Cost Margin+ Lending Margin + Maturity Premium

This Interest Rate will be floored to zero

Base Rate

Floating Base Rate ( 3-month JIBAR reset each 1st February, 1st May, 1st August and 1st November)

A free option to fix the Base Rate is available

Funding Cost Margin The Bank funding cost margin as determined each 1st January and 1st July and applied to the Base Rate

each 1st February, 1st May, 1st august and 1st November

Lending Margin 80 basis points (0.8%)

Maturity Premium 0%

Front-end fees 0.25% of the loan amount payable on the date of entry into force of the Loan (as defined in the

General Conditions), and payable no later than sixty (60) days from the date of entry into force or at

first disbursement, whichever is the earlier.1

Commitment fees 0.25% of the undisbursed amount. Commitment fees start accruing 60 days after signature of the loan

agreement and are payable on Payment dates

Option to convert the Base Rate** In addition to the free option to fix the floating Base Rate, the borrower may reconvert the fix rate to

floating or refix it on part or full disbursed amount.

Transaction fees are payable

Option to cap or collar the Base

Rate**

The borrower may cap or set both cap and floor on the Base Rate to be applied on part or full disbursed

amount

Transaction fees are payable

Option to convert loan currency** The borrower may convert the loan currency for both undisbursed or disbursed amounts in full or part

to another approved lending currency of the Bank

Transaction fees are payable

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v

Timeframe - Main Milestones

Program Appraisal May/June 2018

Program Approval July 2018

Loan Effectiveness August 2018

Disbursement Closing Date 30 June 2019

Completion 30 June 2019

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vi

PROGRAM EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Paragraph Topics to cover 2018 Program overview

Program name: Namibia – Economic Governance and Competitiveness Support Program II (EGCSP II). This is the second phase of the two year programmatic series, for the period 2017/18 – 2018/19. Program Goal and Objective: Remaining consistent with the original program approved by the Board of Directors on 10th May 2017, the goal of EGCSP II is to support the implementation of the Namibian government’s medium term development agenda, aimed at accelerating inclusive growth and sustainable development, by preserving macroeconomic stability, and addressing the challenges of lack of diversification, high unemployment and income inequality. The three components are: (i) Advancing fiscal consolidation which supports measures to improve revenue collection, enhance efficiency in public spending, and improve debt management; (ii) Strengthen public financial management and public sector efficiency by improving the public procurement,

internal and external audit functions and the governance framework for SOEs; and (iii) Improve the business environment for industrialization through enhancement of the investment facilitation framework, and improving the framework for industrial and MSME development. Expected outputs in 2018 are: (i) Revenue performance enhanced (establishment of NAMRA); (ii) Expenditures streamlined and rationalised (containment of the wage bill, % of the budget allocated to social expenditures); Debt management enhanced (development of a robust debt management framework); Strategic anchor for PFM reforms strengthened (public enterprise tracking surveys, improvement of the policy framework for internal audit); Enhanced efficiency and value for money in public procurement; Governance of SOEs improved; Investment facilitation framework and processes enhanced (including dispute

resolution mechanism; business registration and licensing, PPP framework improved); Industrial development and value addition enhanced; and Framework for MSME development improved. Program Cost: The program cost for the second phase of the two-year programmatic operation is 3 billion Rand (same as Phase I). That brings the total for the two year programmatic series to 6 billion Rand

2018 Country context and Overview

In 2017, the Namibian economy recorded a negative growth estimated at -0.8% from a positive growth of 0.7% in 2016. This slowdown was mainly attributed to persistent external shocks (including relatively weak global growth), falling commodity prices, especially uranium prices, poor growth performance of neighbouring countries including South Africa and Angola, and sharp reduction in SACU revenues. Growth has bottomed out with a mild recovery expected in 2018. Growth is expected to

come mainly from a rebound in mining activity, tourism and agriculture (owing to a good rainfall). The Government remains committed to fiscal consolidation. Total public debt-to-GDP is projected at 43.3% in the 2018/19 period and is expected to stabilize at around 45.3% over the MTEF period. Additional consolidation is needed to ensure debt sustainability but such efforts should be spread out over a number of years to soften the negative impact on growth. The Authorities are taking steps geared towards containing public wage growth, rationalizing transfers and reducing tax exemptions, while increasing social assistance programs and improving targeting to protect the poor. The country also continues to face significant structural challenges and needs to take further steps to deal with the high levels of poverty, unemployment and inequality. This will require policies that promote inclusion and improve the business environment, particularly those that target MSME and industrial development.

Lessons learnt

The key lessons learnt from the implementation of Phase I of the operation include: (i) Government ownership is critical: The success of the programme and the achievements of Phase I are largely due to government ownership of the reform effort. The measures being supported emanate from the Government’s own fiscal consolidation programme, and other policy and strategy documents such as the Harambee Prosperity Plan; National Industrial Policy, etc. (ii) Importance of donor coordination: The Bank ensured full engagement with other development partners (DPs) from the conception stage and throughout the processing of Phases I and II of the operation. This helped to ensure that there is no

duplication of effort. Other DPs have provided very useful information regarding important developments on the ground. For example, the Bank worked closely with GIZ in selecting the focus areas of the business environment component of the programme. (iii) Need for speedy response: Both Phases I and II needed to be fast-tracked to meet the Government’s request for quick delivery. That is the only way to respond swiftly to RMCs’ requests for urgent support. (iv) Importance of TA: Capacity challenges in Namibia are a key hindrance to project implementation. There is need for close collaboration and to package each lending operation with some technical assistance. In addition to the ongoing PPP Technical Assistance project, support to SOE and public procurement reform is necessary but the lack of TA instruments within

the Bank (in the absence of MIC Grant resources) has made this difficult. The Bank will work closely with other DPs to tap into their available TA funds to support critical aspects of the operation. (v) Flexibility is necessary: Flexibility inherent in the design of programmatic operations is necessary to adapt to changing circumstances during the programme implementation, particularly in the selection of prior actions.

Conditions for continued support

The political environment in Namibia continues to be very stable. Despite facing a difficult economic situation, macroeconomic stability has been maintained. Government has demonstrated strong commitment to fiscal consolidation. The relatively high debt level remains a concern but steps are being taken to boost growth and rein in the fiscal deficit.Public debt/GDP is projected at 43.3% in 2018/19 and is expected to stabilize at around 45.3% over the MTEF period. Poverty eradication remains a key priority.

GRN has published a Blueprint on Wealth Distribution and Poverty Eradication and its Implementation Plan aimed at advancing strategies for eradication of poverty and reducing income inequality. The updated CFRA by the Bank shows that Namibia has continued to make progress in implementation of PFM reforms in several areas including cash and debt management, financial reporting and public procurement. Donor coordination framework is also adequate, although there is room for improvement. The Bank continues to coordinate the implementation of the program in close collaboration with other development partners.

Policy dialogue and

linked technical assistance

EGCSP II will continue to focus on supporting fiscal consolidation, PFM and public sector efficiency and investment climate reforms. The program will create a strong platform for policy dialogue and advisory services, with the Bank’s Directorate General

- South playing a pivotal role. The on-going MIC Grant Project has created a string platform to dialogue on PPP and public investment management. The scope of technical assistance interventions will be expanded, in close consultation with other development partners, to strengthen the effectiveness of the PBO and other interventions. The necessity for such TA was emphasized during the consultations with development partners during the Appraisal mission

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vii

RESULTS-BASED LOGICAL FRAMEWORK

Country and project name: Namibia: Economic Governance and Competitiveness Support Program II (EGCSP II)

Purpose of the project: To promote inclusive growth and economic competitiveness and diversification through improved economic management and business environment reforms.

RESULTS CHAIN PERFORMANCE INDICATORS

MOV RISKS/MITIGATIO

N MEASURES Indicator (including CSI*) Baseline Target

IMP

AC

T

Inclusive growth

and enhanced

economic

competitiveness

Real GDP growth 20.2% (2016) 3.3% (2019/20)

IMF/

MoF

Risk #1:

Macroeconomic

risks: Namibia’s

vulnerability to

external shocks

remains a major source

of risk. The economic

outlook envisages

downside risks

stemming mainly from

further declines in

SACU revenue and

commodity prices,

slow growth in mining

and construction and

debt-related risks.

Mitigation: Embark

on further pro-growth

fiscal consolidate

efforts to bring public

debt on a declining

path, safeguard

priority capital and

social spending and

implement reforms

geared towards

addressing structural

challenges.

Risk #2: Fiduciary

risks: The Country

Fiduciary Risk

Assessment (CFRA)

conducted by the Bank

for Namibia in 2017

indicates that the

overall residual risk

level is deemed

moderate, taking into

account the risk

mitigation factors.

Some of the areas of

weakness identified

relate to the legal and

regulatory framework,

and roll out and

integration of the

Integrated Financial

Management System

(IFMIS). Failure to

mitigate the identified

fiduciary risks could

negatively impact

program

implementation, and

Poverty rate (disaggregated by

gender)

318% (2015/16)

(M-7%; F-12%)

12% (2019/20)

(M-4%, F-6%)

Unemployment rate

(disaggregated by gender and

youth)

28.1%4(2014)

F-31.7 % ; M-24.3%;

Youth 53.7%

20% (2019/20)

F-26%; M-20%; Youth 45%

OU

TC

OM

ES

Outcome 1:

Fiscal

consolidation

enhanced.

Revenue 5N$51.51 billion

(2016/17)

Average growth of 5.7% over 2017/18-

2019/20 MTEF

IMF/

MoF

6Public sector wage bill as a %

of total non-interest

expenditure

49% (2016/17) 45% (2018/19)

Outcome 2:

Strengthening

Public Financial

Management and

Efficiency of

State Owned

Enterprises

Improved Internal and External

Audit and Public Procurement

PEFA7 (2015) PI-26

Scope, nature and

follow-up of External

Audit (D+)

PEFA (2015) PI-21

Effectiveness of

Internal Audit (C)

PEFA (2015) PI-19

Competition, value

for money and

controls in

procurement (D+)

PEFA (2019) PI-30 External Audit (C+)

PEFA (2019) PI-26 Internal Audit (B)

PEFA (2019) PI-24 Procurement (C+)

PEFA

Rate of compliance to SOE

Governance Framework

-

75% (2017/18)

85% (2018/19)

MTEF

Outcome 3

Business

enabling

environment

improved

Private investments as share of

GDP 22% (2015/16) 25.5% (2018/19)

BoN

reports

Number of new MSMEs

created (disaggregated by

gender)

- 300 (2018/19) – At least 30% owned by

females

MITSM

E

Reports

OU

TP

UT

S

Component I: Advancing Fiscal Consolidation

1.1 Revenue

performance

enhanced

Establishment of the Namibia

Revenue Agency (NAMRA)

Inland Revenue

Department (IRD)

and Customs

operating as two

separate entities

(2016)

(i) Submission to Parliament of the

NAMRA Bill (2017)

(ii) NAMRA Board and Commissioner

appointed (2018).

(iii) ITAS rolled out (2018)

IMF/

MoF

1.2 Expenditures

streamlined and

rationalised

Containment of the wage bill Bloated wage bill

(2016)

(i) Research on the size of the public

service wage bill completed and

approved (2018).

(ii) Prime Minister’s circular on freezing of

recruitments issued

IMF/

MoF

Expenditure control public

expenditure efficiency

measures

0 (i) Treasury Instruction 2 of 2018

issued.

% of budget allocated for social

expenditure

32.4% (2015/16)8

35% (2018/19)

2 2016 Preliminary Annual, National Accounts 3 2016 Namibia Household Income and Expenditure Survey 4 Namibia Labor Force Survey 2014 5 2017/18 Budget Statement 6 2017/18 Budget Statement 7 PEFA: Baseline scores are based on the old methodology while the targets are based on the new methodology. As a

result of the change in the PEFA methodology, the old and new scores are not necessarily directly comparable. 8 Source: 2016/17 Mid-Year Budget Review and medium Term Budget Policy Statement

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viii

1.3 Debt

management

enhanced

Development of a robust debt

management framework

2005 Debt

Management Strategy

in place (2016)

New Sovereign Debt Management Strategy

approved by Cabinet (2018/19)

MoF achievement of

expected program

objectives.

Mitigation: The

measures being

implemented under

proposed programme

and ongoing technical

assistance being

provided by the EU

and other development

partners will help

strengthen public

financial management

and further mitigate

the identified risks.

Risk #3:

Implementation

capacity risks:

Capacity across

government to

implement the wide

ranging reforms being

pursued by the

government remains a

challenge.

Mitigation: Explore

options to provide

additional technical

assistance. Also work

with development

partners to tap into

available TA resources

to support the PBO.

Ongoing discussions

with the United States

Trade and

Development Agency

(USTDA) for capacity

building of RMCs in

the area of

procurement also

holds some promise.

Risk #4: Social

impact risks: Fiscal

consolidation

measures pose

potential risks to social

sector spending and

basic service delivery,

with negative social

ramifications.

Mitigation: Pursue the

objective of pro-

growth fiscal

consolidation by

preserving capital

expenditure and pro-

poor spending, and

strengthen social

safety nets.

Component II: Strengthening Public Financial Management and Public Sector Efficiency

2.1 Strategic

anchor for PFM

reforms

strengthened

Number of Public Expenditure

Tracking Surveys (PETS)

No PETs carried out

(2015)

2 PETS9 completed in 2018 MoF

Automation of HRMIS HRMIS in place but

not automated

HRMIS automated and integrated into

IFMIS (2019)

MoF

Strengthening of the

institutional independence of

the Auditor General

State Finance Act of

1991 - amended 1995

(2016)

Auditors Bill submitted to Parliament

(2018)

MoF

Improvement of the policy

framework for Internal Audit

No Internal audit

Policy in place

(2016)

New Public Sector Internal Audit Policy

approved by Cabinet in 2018

MoF

2.2 Enhanced

efficiency and

value for money

in public

procurement

Strengthening of the public

procurement function

Public Procurement

Act (2015) enacted in

2015.

(a) Public Procurement Regulations

implemented by setting up: (i)

Procurement Policy Unit (PPU), (ii)

Central Procurement Board and (iii)

Review Panel (2018)

(b) Procurement Plan prepared, and

Standard Bidding Documents for works,

goods and consulting services approved

and adopted (2018).

MoF

2.3 Governance

of SOEs

improved

Enhancement of the policy and

legal framework for Public

Enterprise Governance

Public Enterprises

Governance

Amendment Act of

2015 in place (2016)

Public Enterprises Governance Amendment

Bill submitted to Parliament in 2018

MPE

Reports

Component III. Improving the Business Enabling Environment for Industrialization

3.1 Investment

facilitation

framework and

processes

enhanced

Improvement of the Dispute

resolution mechanism

Inadequate

framework for

dispute resolution

(2015)

(i) Revised Investment Promotion Act,

which provides for a dispute resolution

framework, approved by Cabinet (2018)

Govt

Reports

Modernization of business

registration and licensing

processes

No automated

procedure for

business registration

and licensing (2015)

(i) Phase I of Integrated Client Service

Facility operationalised by MITSME

(2018)

MITSM

E

Reports

Enhancement of the legal and

institutional framework for

PPPs

No legal framework

for PPP in place

(2015)

(i) PPP Committee established (2018)

(ii) PPP Regulation issued and gazetted

(2018)

MoF

Reports

3.2 Industrial

development,

value addition

and

diversification

enhanced

Strengthening of the legal and

institutional framework for

industrial development

Weak framework for

industrial

development (2015)

(i) Industrial Development Agency

established (2018)

MITSM

E

Reports

Promotion of value addition

and development of value

chains for local industries (with

target for women

entrepreneurs)

Growth Strategies

prepared for 10 local

industries and

associated value

chains (2016) 10

Industry Growth Facilitators appointed and

at least 3 Sector Associations to drive the

implementation of the Industry Growth

Strategies launched (2018)

MITSM

E

Reports

3.3 Framework

for MSME

development

improved

Improvement of the policy

framework for MSME

development

1997 Small Business

Development Policy

in place (2015)

Cabinet approval of the new National Policy

on Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises

(2016/2017)

MITSM

E

Reports

Enhancement of the legal

framework to facilitate access

to finance for MSMEs

Lack of access to

finance for MSMEs

(2015)

Micro-lending Bill approved by Cabinet and

submitted to Parliament (2018)

Govt

Reports

Funding: ADB Loan = 3 billion ZAR

9 PETS are surveys that help to establish the extent to which government budgets link to execution and desired service delivery objectives and

beneficiaries. 10 The ten Growth Strategies and associated value chains are Namibia’s Cosmetic Industry, Sea Food, Agribusiness, Metal Fabrication, Handicraft,

Leather Industry, Jewellery Industry and Colored Gemstone, Swakara Wool, Taxidermy Industry. Women constitute high proportion of employees

in these industries.

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1

REPORT AND RECOMMENDATION OF THE MANAGEMENT OF THE ADB TO THE

BOARD OF DIRECTORS ON A PROPOSED LOAN FOR THE SECOND PHASE OF THE

REPUBLIC OF NAMIBIA’S ECONOMIC GOVERNANCE AND COMPETITIVENESS

SUPPORT PROGRAM (EGCSP II)

I. INTRODUCTION: THE PROPOSAL

1.1 Management submits the following proposal and recommendation for an ADB Loan of

Three billion South African Rand (3 billion ZAR), equivalent to UA 168.35 million, to the Republic

of Namibia to finance the second phase of the Economic Governance and Competitiveness Support

Program (EGCSP II). The EGCSP is designed as a programmatic series of two consecutive General

Budget Support (GBS) operations covering the fiscal years 2017/18-2018/19, for a total indicative

financing of ZAR 6 billion (UA 336.70 million). This is the second operation in the programmatic series.

1.2 Against the backdrop of a sharp decline in GDP from 6.1% in 2015 to 0.7% in 2016, driven by

declining commodity prices, persistent drought and subdued economic activity in South Africa and

Angola, Namibia recorded a fiscal deficit of 8.3% of GDP, current account deficit of 13.7% of GDP, a

relatively high public debt of 39.8% of GDP and precariously low international reserves of 2.8 months

of import cover. These developments, coupled with deep-rooted structural challenges in the business

environment, limited the scope of industrialization and economic diversification, and increased the

potential for a worsening of the already major challenges of poverty, inequality and unemployment. The

Government quickly took action, by embarking on a wide range of reform measures geared towards

restoring macroeconomic stability and tackling structural bottlenecks. It was against this backdrop that

the Government approached the Bank in 2017 for support. The Bank responded swiftly, and following

extensive consultations with Government and other development partners, designed the EGCSP as a

two-year programmatic operation.

1.3 EGCSP II is carefully designed to build on the policy measures and achievements of EGCSP

I by consolidating the gains already recorded. Following Board approval of the first phase on 10th

May 2017 and disbursement of the resources in June 2017, the Bank maintained constant dialogue with

the Authorities. The dialogue centred on the fiscal consolidation efforts, structural measures to support

public sector efficiency and business environment reforms, with particular emphasis on industrialization.

Many of the measures are designed to build on and help operationalise some of the transformational

policy and legal frameworks passed under Phase I, including the PPP Act, NAMRA Act and the Public

Procurement Regulations. An assessment of program implementation so far shows that it has yielded

immense benefits for Namibia in a number of ways: In the short term, (i) it provided the much needed

liquidity at a time when domestic market liquidity was low occasioned by constrained cash flow; (ii) the

government was able to use the support to retire pending invoices in critical ministries, including

education and health, which helped to avoid an otherwise looming crisis of private credit crunch; (iii) it

helped the government to regain investor confidence that had, hitherto, been eroded. Sovereign bond

issues were oversubscribed after the disbursement of the budget support loan; and (iv) the Rand-

denomination of the loan helped the government to avoid any exchange rate volatilities and exchange

rate risk. In addition, EGCSP helped to push fiscal consolidation measures, resulting in (i) a reduction

of the budget deficit from 8.3% of GDP in 2015/16 to 5.4% in 2017/18;(ii) expenditure as a percentage

of GDP declined from 42.8% to 38.7% over the same period; reserves improved from 2.8 months in

2016 to 4.7 months of import cover by end 2017. The support enabled the government to ring-fence

social spending, increasing it from 47.7% of total expenditure in 2016/17 to 48.6% in 2017/18, despite

drastic measures to reduce spending in the context of fiscal consolidation. In the long term, the reforms

being supported by the program will help lay the foundation for inclusive, sustainable growth and

economic competitiveness and hence, job creation and poverty reduction. These include measures

supporting investment facilitation, SME development, industrialization, and PPP.

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1.4 The operation will complement the other Bank Group funded operations in Namibia, in

particular the three infrastructure investment projects also approved in 2017. These are (i) the

Transport Infrastructure Improvement Project (ZAR 2 billion); Agricultural Mechanization and Seed

Improvement Project (ZAR 1 billion); and Education and Training Quality Improvement Project (ZAR

1 billion). The combined potential positive impact of these projects in terms of enhancing economic

competitiveness and creating the basis for long term growth and job creation, coupled with the

macroeconomic stabilization, public sector efficiency and industrialization focus of EGCSP, is to unlock

the full development potential of Namibia in the long term. The potential development impact is

therefore phenomenal.

1.5 The operation was designed in close consultation and sustained dialogue with Development

partners and the Namibian Authorities. In this dialogue, the Government showed its strong

determination to accelerate and deepen ongoing reforms supported under the program. The combined

reform measures of EGCSP I and II are carefully selected to ensure proper sequencing of reforms and to

build on the achievements of EGCSP I by consolidating the gains already recorded. Collaboration with

other Development Partners will be intensified during the implementation phase of EGCSP II to harness

their respective competencies and synergies.

II. UPDATE ON COUNTRY ELIGIBILITY

2.1 Country’s continued commitment to poverty reduction

2.1.1 Namibia continues to implement a number of policies and strategies aimed at promoting

inclusive growth and social progress. These include Vision 2030 – the country’s overarching

development strategy; and the HARAMBEE Prosperity Plan (2016-2020). The government is on track

with the implementation of the Fifth National Development Plan (NDP5 2017/18 – 2021/22)11, which

focuses on structural transformation and modernization. In 2017, the government published a Blueprint

on Wealth Distribution and Poverty Eradication and its Implementation Plan, which articulate measures

aimed at advancing strategies for eradication of poverty and reducing income inequality. The

Government continues to strengthen social safety nets both in quality and coverage. Notable initiatives

include: (i) the universal social grant for the elderly and persons living with disabilities; (ii) child welfare

grant; and (iii) the food bank initiative, targeting the poorest of the poor. Despite the ongoing fiscal

consolidation, annual budgetary allocations to education, health and social sectors have been ring-

fenced. As a result of these initiatives, Namibia has registered a reduction in inequality in recent years,

albeit at a slow pace. Appendix V outlines measures to enhance inclusion in the context of fiscal

consolidation.

2.2 Continued political stability

2.2.1 Namibia is a constitutional multiparty democracy where free and fair elections are held

regularly. The South West Africa People’s Organization (SWAPO) has dominated politics since

independence from South Africa in 1990. In March 2015, H.E. Hage Geingob was elected President of

Namibia, under the ticket of SWAPO, and has since implemented robust macroeconomic policies and

new regulations on domestic investment to offer some growth opportunities in infrastructure

development.

11 NDP 5 has 4 key goals: (i) Achieve inclusive, sustainable and equitable economic growth; (ii) Build capable and healthy

human resources; (iii) Ensure sustainable environment and enhance resilience; and (iv) Promote good governance through

effective institutions.

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2.2.2 The country’s governance record continues to improve, with Namibia consistently ranking

among the top sub-Saharan African countries on good governance. Its score of 71.2/100 (4 point

improvement over the 5-year trend 2012-2016) on the 2017 Ibrahim Index of African Governance ranked

Namibia 5th out of the 52 African countries surveyed. In 2015, the immediate former Namibian President

of Namibia H.E. Hifikepunye Pohamba was awarded the Ibrahim Prize for African Leadership. This was

in recognition of his role in forging national cohesion and reconciliation as well as key achievements in

gender equality, literacy and investments in health. The 2017 Corruption Perception Index of

Transparency International ranked Namibia 53rd out of 175 countries globally, and fifth on the African

continent with a score of 51 out of 100. The amendment of the Constitution in 2010 to incorporate anti-

corruption measures, the adoption of the new public procurement law, and the establishment of an

independent oversight body, have all helped strengthen the legal and regulatory framework to prevent

and combat corruption. Namibia remains the country with the freest press in Africa, based on the analysis

of Reporters without Borders. The country’s score on the index of economic freedom improved from

61.9 in 2016 to 62.5 in 2017, positioning it 5th in Africa. 2.3 Macroeconomic and fiscal analysis12

2.3.1 Namibia experienced a difficult year in 2017 with the economy recording negative growth

estimated at -0.8% from growth of 0.7% in 2016. This slowdown was mainly attributed to persistent

external shocks, including relatively weak global growth, falling commodity prices, especially uranium

prices, poor growth performance in neighbouring countries including South Africa and Angola, and

sharp reduction in SACU revenues. The sharp fiscal consolidation measures, which affected many

productive sectors of the economy and the slowdown in construction activities also contributed to the

slow growth. The Government also faced large liquidity and financing challenges during the first half of

2017. As a result, significant amount of arrears (estimated at 2.5% of GDP), were recognised as part of

expenditures in the 2017/18 mid-year budget review and were subsequently cleared. The arrears problem

was among factors that led to the credit ratings downgrade by Moody’s and Fitch in the second half of

2017. Thanks to the EGCSP I resources, Government was able to clear them, hence improving the overall

macroeconomic situation. Growth has bottomed out with a mild recovery expected in 2018.

2.3.2 At the sectoral level, agriculture and tourism performed relatively well in 2017 but

slowdown in manufacturing and stagnation in mining and construction slackened the pace of

growth. Primary industry recorded improved performance in 2017, contributing 19.1% to GDP,

compared to 18.1% in 2016. Secondary industry however recorded a fall in its contribution to GDP in

2017, standing at 16.3% compared to 17.3% in 2016. Tertiary industries recorded a marginal increase of

58.4% in 2017 up from 58.1% in 2016. As shown in the Figure 1 below, the mining sector has stagnated

since 2015, while construction has declined over the same period. Agriculture on the other hand has

recorded a recovery.

12 The analysis in this section is based on Authorities’ estimates and projections. These may differ from IMF’s estimates largely because of differences in

the classification of spending arrears as well as coverage of public investment projects.

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Figure 1: Sectoral Contribution to GDP in Namibia (2015-2017)

Source: Namibia Statistics Agency

2.3.3 Fiscal policy stance remains contractionary, aimed at further consolidating non-core

spending and aligning resources to core national priorities. Revenues increased from 31.0% of GDP

in FY2016/17 to 33.1% of GDP in FY2017/18, but are projected to decline to 30.7% and 28.8% of GDP

in FY2018/19 and FY2019/20 respectively13. Improvement in revenue in FY2017/18 is attributed to

better SACU receipts, contributing 36.0% to total revenues. Namibia’s share of SACU revenue pool

increased to N$19.6 billion in FY2017/18, from N$14.8 billion in FY2016/17. The projected decline in

revenues in 2018/19 is explained mainly by the projected decline in SACU revenues and a slowdown in

diamond corporate tax and related income. Total expenditure (including interest payments), on the other

hand, declined from 42.8% in FY2015/16 to 37.9% and 38.4% in FY2016/17 and FY2017/18

respectively, mainly attributed to austerity measures instituted by the government since 2016.

Expenditures are projected to decline further to 35.2% and 32.7% of GDP in FY2018/19 and FY2019/20

respectively. While primary deficit reduced from 4.3% of GDP in FY2016/17 to 2.5% in FY2017/18,

interest payments stood at 2.6% and 2.9% in the respective years, pushing the overall budget deficit to

6.9% and 5.4% of GDP over the same period. The budget deficit has, however, steadily declined from

8.3% in FY2015/16 to 5.4% in 2017/18 as a result of fiscal consolidation measures.

2.3.4 Due to adverse impact of the sharp fiscal consolidation program adopted since 2016, the

government plans to slow down austerity measures to boost growth and employment while

maintaining fiscal consolidation stance. The Government’s commitment to fiscal consolidation, as

reiterated in the 2016/17 mid-year budget review, focused on bringing the economy back to a sustainable

fiscal path by cutting non-priority spending of up to 2.3% of GDP, while rebalancing and realigning

spending plans in line with revenue streams. Overall preliminary budget execution rate for FY 2017/18

is estimated at 99.4%, with the development budget execution estimated at 96%, compared to the average

of 94% over the past three years. To date, non-core operational spending has been reduced by about 73%

since FY2015/16, which allowed for redirecting resources to productive expenditure and the

development budget. On the revenue side, the Department of Inland Revenue slightly exceeded the set

tax revenue target of N$ 33.5 billion by roughly 2%. The scaling-up of the programme on targeted

13 Estimates of Income and Expenditure, 1st April 2018 to 31st March 2021, Namibian Ministry of Finance.

-1

1

3

5

7

9

11

13

15

2015 2016 2017

per

cen

t

sectoral contribution to GDP (%)

Agriculture and forestry Mining and quarrying Manufacturing Construction

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recovery of tax arrears for different categories of tax and non-tax revenues helped realize fiscal savings

estimated at N$ 1.3 billion. The government had expected to achieve a positive growth alongside an

aggressive fiscal consolidation program. However, the pace of consolidation turned out to be too fast,

leading to adverse effects on growth and employment. Unemployment increased from 28% in 2014 to

34.0% in 201614. Despite the ongoing fiscal consolidation program, social sector spending has been ring-

fenced, resulting in an increase from 47.7% of total expenditure in FY 2016/17 to 48.6% in FY 2017/18,

and is budgeted to increase further to 49.2% in FY 2018/19. Fiscal consolidation helped reduce the

budget deficit by a cumulative 3% or 1½ percentage points annually from 8.2% in FY2015/16 to an

estimated 5.4% by FY2017/18. Budget expenditure as a proportion of GDP, on the other hand, has

reduced from 42.8% in FY2015/16 to an estimated 38.4% in FY2017/18, and is expected to further

decline to 35.2% in FY 2018/19. Government remains fully committed to pro-growth fiscal

consolidation and has opted to spread it over a longer period to minimise any potential negative impacts.

2.3.5 In the 2018/19 budget, the government proposed several measures to support fiscal

consolidation and improve public sector efficiency. These measures include the implementation of

key tax administration reforms through the roll-out of the Integrated Tax System (ITAS), recovery of

tax arrears, tax enhancing policy measures and establishment of the Namibia Revenue Agency

(NAMRA), following enactment of the NAMRA Bill in 2017. On the expenditure side, the government

has announced measures to improve spending efficiency and rationalize non-productive expenditure,

including containing public sector wage bill, which stands at 50% of total revenue and 16% of GDP.

2.3.6 Higher-than-expected budget deficit of 5.4% in 2017 increased financing needs leading to

enhanced debt accumulation. Given the adverse impacts on growth and employment, the government

prefers to slow down austerity to boost growth but maintain a consolidation stance. Total public debt as

a percentage of GDP is expected to increase marginally from 42.6% in 2016/17 to 43.3% and 45.8% in

2018 and 2019 respectively. Debt service as a percentage of revenues has steadily increased from 5.0%

in the 2015/16 fiscal year to 8.6% and 8.8% of revenues in the 2016/17 and 2017/18 respectively.

Contingent liabilities as a percent of GDP stood at 7.5%. IMF’s debt sustainability assessment (DSA),

released in February 2018, projects that, if SACU revenues decline, fiscal deficit and gross financing

needs will remain large at 4% and 23% of GDP respectively by FY21/22. The assessment suggests that

rising fiscal deficit and financing needs are expected to drive public debt to 69.7% of GDP by FY22/23,

and towards the DSA risk threshold of 70%, exposing Namibia to macroeconomic and contingent

liability shocks, with rollover and exchange rate risks compounding the risk assessment. However, the

materialization of these risks is unlikely, given the recovery in SACU revenues, higher commodity prices

and improved export revenues, declining fiscal deficit, increased liquidity in the market and sustained

fiscal consolidation stance.

2.3.7 Monetary policy has remained largely accommodative in line with Namibia’s membership

of the Common Monetary Area (CMA). The Repo Rate has been maintained at 6.75% since July 2017

after a reduction by 0.25 basis points. This is aimed at supporting domestic demand and the policy parity

and currency peg with the South African Rand, amidst relatively low and falling inflation levels. Inflation

has fallen from 6.7% in 2016 to 6.2% in 2017, and 3.6% by January 2018, amidst weak domestic demand

and a stronger currency, and is projected to stand at 3.5% in 2018 and 4.5% in 2019. Private sector credit

recorded a slight growth from 4.5% in 2017 to 5.7% in 2018. Asset quality has deteriorated with non-

performing loans (NPL) increasing from 1.5% in 2016 to 2.5% in 2018, posing risks to credit growth.

Increased NPLs will discourage lenders from offering more private sector credit and therefore requires

attention.

14 Namibia Labor force Survey 2016 Report

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2.3.8 The external balance has shown some improvement since 2016, with narrowing current

account deficit and increased international reserves. The merchandise trade deficit has reduced by

51.6% from N$17.6 billion, during the second half of 2016, to N$8.5 billion during the second half of

2017, thanks to increased exports. Similarly, the current account deficit has narrowed to 3.4% of GDP

in 2017 from 13.8% in 2016, and international reserves have firmed up to 4.7 months of import cover

by the end of 2017, compared to 2.8% in 2016.

2.3.9 After a difficult year 2017, medium term growth outlook is positive supported by recovery

in the agriculture and tourism sectors. Real GDP growth is projected to rebound to positive territory

of 1.1% in 2018 before accelerating further to 2.8% in 2019, up from a decline of -0.8% in 2017. The

recent pick-up in commodity prices is expected to improve export and SACU revenues. The annual price

indices of metals and minerals (2010=100, real 2010 US dollars) increased from 66.96 in 2016 to 80.38

in 2017. In the long term, it will be necessary to establish a framework to build fiscal buffers to ameliorate

the impact of future declines in SACU revenues and possible exogenous shocks.

Table 1 – Macroeconomic Development

2016 2017(e) 2018(p) 2019(p)

Real GDP growth 0.7 -0.8 1.1 2.8

Real GDP per capita growth -1.5 -2.9 -1.0 0.7

CPI inflation 6.7 6.2 5.7 5.6

Budget balance % GDP15 -8.3 -5.4 -4.5 -4.0

Current account % GDP16 -13.8 -3.4 -2.6 -3.9

Source: Data from Namibian authorities; estimates (e) and prediction (p) based on authors' calculations.

2.4 Fiduciary risk assessment

2.4.1 The 2015 Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability (PEFA) Assessment for

Namibia indicated progress in the implementation of PFM reforms. The adoption of medium-term

expenditure framework (MTEF), medium-term plans (MTP) and programme budgeting, among others,

has contributed significantly to progress made by the country in PFM reforms. The PEFA, however, also

noted considerable delays in finalising and promulgating key PFM laws, such as the Public Finance

Management Bill. As part of the preparation of the EGCSP II, the Bank updated the Country Fiduciary

Risk Assessment (CFRA) for Namibia in May 2018. The CFRA shows that Namibia has continued to

make progress in implementation of PFM reforms in areas such as cash and debt management, and

financial reporting. GRN is committed to enacting the new PFM Law and Audit Law. GRN is also

revising the Chart of Accounts in line with international guidelines. Significant progress has also been

made in procurement reforms. The three structures required by the new Procurement Act have all been

set up and are fully operational. They are (i) Central Procurement Board; (ii) Review Panel and (iii)

Procurement Policy Unit. However, a number of challenges were identified, including delays in

finalizing relevant legal and regulatory frameworks, implementation of the Integrated Financial

Management Information System (IFMIS), development of systems linkages such as human resources

and Treasury to boost internal control, and implementation of audit recommendations. Lack of capacity

in key institutions also continues to pose a challenge but GRN is making an effort to address it. Taking

15 Based on calendar year 16 Based on fiscal year

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into account the progress made since 2017 and the risk mitigation factors, overall residual risk level is

deemed moderate. This allows the Bank to maintain an approach based primarily on the use of country

systems, while continuing its support, where required, for the system’s reform aimed at further

improvement. Technical Annex I presents the detailed CFRA.

2.5 Harmonization

2.5.1 Bilateral development assistance to Namibia has declined significantly following its

classification as an upper MIC. Since the opening of the Bank’s Southern Africa Regional

Development and Business Delivery Office (RDGS) in January 2012, the Bank has scaled up its

operations in Namibia from UA 120 million in 2011 to UA 854 million in 2018. Similarly, country

dialogue and partner coordination has been significantly enhanced, particularly since the commencement

of engagements within the context of the Economic Governance and Competitiveness Support

Programme (EGCSP). The design of EGCSP benefitted from wide ranging consultations with

Development Partners in Namibia and the engagement has continued throughout the implementation

phase of EGCSP I. Bank’s assistance to Namibia focuses on the High 5s, particularly Integrate Africa

(34%), Industrialize Africa (31%), Improve the quality of life for the people of Africa (28%), and Feed

Africa (7%). Key development partners in the country include the European Union (EU), Germany, the

United Nations (UN), United States of America (USA), Turkey, Japan, Finland, Spain and China.

2.5.2 As a MIC, aid-related partnerships are limited. However, aid coordination has been

improving since the establishment of the Annual High- level Development Partner Forum (DPF) in

December 2016, which is co-chaired by the National Planning Commission and the Head of the United

Nations agencies. The Forum has encouraged development partners to align their assistance programs

with the Government priorities identified in NDP5, in accordance with the Paris Declaration. At the

sector level, sectoral working groups meet regularly. However, their decisions do not usually feed into

the High- level Forum. The mechanism for bringing all the development partners together, and sharing

information about their activities, is being strengthened through regular meetings under the general

coordination of the UN Resident Coordinator. The Government, through the National Planning

Commission, has gradually taken steps to increase ownership and leadership in coordinating DPs

activities in the country, including enforcement of monitoring and impact evaluation mechanisms

supported by an electronic platform. The Development Partner Dialogue (DPD) was also established in

May 2017 to serve as a platform for harmonizing donor support, policy dialogue and information sharing.

The Bank, through RDGS, will enhance collaboration with other development partners, including

through participation in half-yearly DPD.

III. YEAR 2018 PROGRAM

3.1 Program Goal and Purpose

3.1.1 The goal of EGCSP II is to continue support for the implementation of the government’s

medium-term development agenda aimed at building a strong foundation for inclusive and sustainable

economic growth, while leveraging the achievements of EGCSP I. Consistent with this goal, EGCSP II

aims specifically to: (i) Advance fiscal consolidation through improved revenue collection, and

enhanced efficiency in public spending; (ii) Strengthen public financial management and public sector

efficiency, by improving the public procurement, internal and external audit functions and the

governance framework for SOEs; and (iii) Improve the business environment through enhancement of

the investment facilitation framework, and improving the framework for industrial and MSME

development.

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3.2 Program Components

3.2.1 EGCSP II maintains the same three components of EGCSP I, but the specific policy

measures are carefully selected to sequentially build on the achievements of EGCSP I. The package

of reforms under the three components are therefore mutually reinforcing. Component 1, focusing on

advancing fiscal consolidation, will enhance macroeconomic performance, and create fiscal space for

the prioritization of capital and social spending. Measures proposed under component 2, focusing on

strengthening PFM and public sector efficiency, will reinforce support for attainment of the fiscal

consolidation objective by improving the management of public finances, improving the efficiency of

SOEs, and reducing subsidies and transfers to commercial SOEs. Measures under component 3 are

geared towards improving the business environment to support industrialization, spur growth and job

creation. Their implementation will reinforce the fiscal consolidation measures through increased tax

revenue expected to be generated from a more vibrant private sector.

Component 1: Advancing Fiscal Consolidation

3.2.2 EGCSP I supported the deepening of fiscal consolidation, anchored to a credible medium-

term plan. The carefully selected package of reform measures supported include: (i) The approval by

Cabinet of a comprehensive set of measures proposed by the Prime Minister’s Office to contain the wage

bill, which helped to improve expenditure efficiency and limit the fiscal burden of personnel emolument

on the budget; (ii) Approval by Cabinet, and submission to Parliament, of the Bill for the Establishment

of the Namibia Revenue Agency (NAMRA), which seeks to merge the Inland Revenue Department and

Customs; (iii) Approval by Cabinet, and submission to Parliament, of the Macro-Fiscal Framework for

the FY 2017/18 Budget; and (iv) an increase in the size of the social expenditure budget. Cumulatively,

these policy actions helped to strengthen fiscal consolidation.

3.2.3 EGCSP-II will build on the above gains, by supporting further actions to reinforce fiscal

consolidation. These are: (i) the completion of a study on the size of the public service wage bill

(Trigger); (ii) the appointment of the Board of NAMRA (following enactment of the NAMRA Bill in

2017) and initiating the process of recruiting commissioners (Trigger); (iii) the launch of an Integrated

Tax Administrative System; and (iv) approval of a new Sovereign Debt Management Strategy (Trigger),

which lays down polices to elongate the maturity of debts, diversify sources of financing of the budget

deficit, and issue new instruments to mobilize additional resources. Government is also pursuing a

number of additional revenue enhancing measures (such as the phasing out of preferential tax treatment

to certain manufacturers, introduction of 10% dividend tax and readjustment of the tax brackets) and

expenditure-based measures (such as cutting non-core expenditure to a minimum).These measures,

which are in line with the pro-growth fiscal consolidation path, will help to restore macroeconomic

stability and further reinforce debt sustainability in the medium term. Furthermore, Administrative

Directive was issued by the Office of the Prime Minister providing policy measures and procedures

aimed at controlling expenditure and enhancing efficiency in the management of public resources.

Treasury Instruction 2 of 2018 and financial directives were also issued with the aim to enhance

expenditure control and accountability for statutory funds transfer to sub-national and extra-budgetary

bodies, and State Owned Enterprises.

Component 2: Strengthening Public Financial Management and Public Sector Efficiency

3.2.4 EGCSP I supported a wide range of measures aimed at strengthening public financial

management and public sector efficiency. These include: (i) the issuance of the Regulations for the

Public Procurement Act (2015) and its Publication in the official Government Gazette; (ii) Cabinet

approval of the hybrid governance model for Public Enterprises which provides for separating the State

Owned Enterprises into 3 clusters (commercial, financial and non-commercial/social); and (iii) the

completion of 2 public expenditure tracking surveys (PETS).

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3.2.5 EGCSP II will build on the above gains, by supporting further actions to reinforce public

financial management and public sector efficiency. These include: (i) Cabinet approval, and

submission to Parliament, of the Public Financial Management Bill; (ii) Cabinet approval of the new

Public Sector Internal Audit Policy, which aims to provide a coherent framework for the internal audit

functions across government; and (iii) the implementation of the Regulations for the Public Procurement

Act (2015) by: (1) Setting up (a) the Procurement Policy Unit in accordance with Part 2 Art 6 (1) of the

Act; (b) the Central Procurement Board of Namibia in accordance with part 3 Art 8 (1) of the Act; and

(c) the Review Panel in accordance with Part 7 Art 58 (1) of the Act; (2) approval and adoption of public

procurement guideline, and preparation of annual procurement plans, and (3) approval and adoption of

Standard Bidding Documents for works, goods and services (Trigger); and (iv) Cabinet approval, and

submission to Parliament, of the Public Enterprises Governance Amendment Bill (Trigger). Additional

measures are also being taken such as the targeting of transfers to public enterprises at specific productive

expenditure programs.

Component 3: Improving the Business Environment for Industrialization

3.2.6 EGCSP I supported a number of critical measures to improve the business environment

and lay a solid foundation for industrialization. These include: (i) Approval by Cabinet, and

Submission to Parliament, of the Investment Promotion Bill, which among others, provides for a dispute

resolution mechanism; (ii) Approval by Cabinet, and Submission to Parliament, of the Business and

Intellectual Property Authority (BIPA) Bill, which among others, provides for online business

registration and licensing; (iii) Regulations for the BIPA Act issued and published in the official gazette;

(iv) Cabinet Approval, and Submission to Parliament, of the Public Private Partnerships (PPP) Bill; (v)

Cabinet Approval, and Submission to Parliament, of the Industrial Development Agency Bill; and (vi)

Approval by Cabinet of a National Policy on Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises, which provides a

strong basis for addressing the challenges of MSMEs. These measures have helped to modernize and

strengthen the investment facilitation regime, and lay the foundation for robust SME and industrial

development, value addition and economic diversification.

3.2.7 EGCSP II will build on the above gains, by supporting a range of policy measures for

business climate improvements, particularly those relating to the industrialization agenda. These

are: (i) Operationalization of an Integrated Client Service Facility, providing online business registration

capability (currently limited to name recognition); (ii) Establishment of a PPP Committee, as provided

for by the PPP Act, and approval of the PPP Regulations (Trigger); (iii) Appointment of Industry Growth

Facilitators and operationalization of Sector Associations to drive the implementation of the Growth

Strategies for 10 industries (Trigger); (iv) Approval of an SME Funding Strategy; and (v) Approval by

Cabinet, and submission to Parliament, of a Micro-lending Bill (Trigger), to address the challenge of

lack of access to finance for SMEs. Additional measures being pursued by Government include the

introduction of support instruments for SMEs and start-ups, and replacement of the Export Processing

Zone Act with the Special Economic Zones Act.

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3.3 Program Outputs and Expected Results

3.3.1 The table below presents progress achieved on the program outputs and expected results.

Table 2 (a): Progress on Targets from the Results-Based Logical Framework

Output Achievements

Component 1: Advancing Fiscal Consolidation

Establishment of the Namibia Revene Agency

(NAMRA)

The process to appoint the NAMRA Board is at an advanced stage. The appointment of commissioners will be done

once the Board is in place.

Containment of the wage bill The Government has carried out a review and the Prime Minister’s office has issued a circular freezing the

recruitment. Offices, Ministries and Agencies (OMAs) that recruit for a certain position must give up an equivalent

position. In addition, the payroll audits are ongoing. The audits started in the Ministry of Education.

% of budget allocated to social expenditure Social spending has increased from 47.7% of total expenditure in 2016/17 fiscal year to 48.6% in 2017/18 and is

budgeted to increase further to 49.2% in 2018/19 period.

Approval of macro-fiscal framework In 2017, Cabinet approved the fiscal strategy, proposed policy measures, and the fiscal policy stance for the 2017/18

– 2019/20 MTEF.

Development of robust debt management

framework

Debt Management Strategy is complete and has been submitted to Cabinet.

Component 2: Strengthening Public Financial management and Public Sector Efficiency

Number of public expenditure tracking surveys 2 Public expenditure tracking surveys were completed in 2016/17 and an additional 2 in 2017/18.

Strengthening the institutional independence of

the Auditor General

Promulgation of the Public Audit Act has faced significant delays. Consultations are still ongoing.

Improvement of the policy framework for

Internal Audit

The Public Sector Internal Audit Policy was approved by Cabinet on 11th June 2018. This will strengthen the Internal

Audit function across Government and standardize Internal Audit Activities. Treasury instructions and financia l

directives were issued with the aim to improve expenditure control and efficiency in public spending (for example,

Administrative Directive 1/2017 issued by the Office of the Prime Minister). Treasury Instruction 2 of 2018 was

issued with the aim to enhance accountability for statutory funds transfer to sub-national and extra-budgetary bodies,

and State Owned Enterprises.

Strengthening of the public procurement

function

Following passage of the Public Procurement Act 2015 and issuance of the related Regulations, the Government has

set up the Procurement Policy Unit, the Central Procurement Board and the Review Panel. Government has appointed

staff to these entities and there are ongoing recruitment processes to enhance internal capacity to enable them t o

effectively carry out their mandates. The Government has also approved the National Anti-Corruption Strategy and

Action Plan 2016-2019.

Component 3: Improving the Business Enabling Environment for Industrialization

Improvement of the dispute resolution

mechanism

The Investment promotion Act, which amongst others, provides the framework for dispute resolution, was enacted

in 2016 but was subsequently withdrawn following concerns expressed by the business community about inadequate

consultations before tabling by Parliament. The Government is working on amendments to the Investment Promotion

Act to address concerns raised by the business community. Wide-ranging consultations with the private sector and

other stakeholders have been concluded. The revised Act is expected to be submitted to Cabinet and subsequently

tabled for Parliament’s consideration during the third quarter of 2018.

Modernization of business registration and

licensing processes Work on the establishment of an integrated Client Service Facility to support the online platform for business

registration and licensing is making steady progress. Phase 1 has been completed and work on Phase II, expected to

take 18 months, will commence soon. This will entail linking up various components of the system and rolling out

the online platform to facilitate business registration and licensing, issuance of construction permits, filing tax claims,

among others. It will also facilitate the provision of online business advisory services.

Enhancement of the legal and institutional

framework for PPPs

PPP Act was gazetted in July 2017 and positions for members of the PPP Committee have been advertised, CVs

evaluated, interviews conducted and recommendations for appointments will be presented to Cabinet Committee on

Overall Priority for endorsement in June 2018. The PPP Regulations have also been drafted and are expected to be

finalised in June 2018.

Strengthening of the legal and institutional

framework for industrial development

The Industrial Development Agency Bill was approved by Parliament and the necessary measures are being taken to

operationalise the Agency during the course of 2018. This will entail a merger of the Namibia Offshore Development

Company and the Namibia Development Corporation. Work on asset verification and valuation, and auditing of

financial statements are at an advanced stage, and the Board is expected to be appointed during Quarter 2 of 2018.

Promotion of value addition and development

of value chains for local industries

Following the preparation of Growth Strategies for 10 local industries and associated value chains in 2016, GRN

appointed Industry Growth Facilitators and 3 sector associations for the 10 Growth Strategies have been launched

and are fully functional. These will drive the implementation of the Growth Strategies.

Improvement of the policy framework for

MSME development

Ministry of Industrialization, Trade and SME Development is working on measures to streamline the numerous

interventions by different Ministries and Agencies working on MSME development, as prescribed in the SME Policy.

Work on revitalization of the Industrial Upgrading and Modernization Program is in progress and options to support

MSMEs through linkage programs are being considered.

Enhancement of the legal framework to

facilitate access to finance for MSMEs

The Micro-lending Bill has been passed by Parliament is 2017. In addition, the Minister of Finance announced in the

2018/19 Budget Speech announced support to SME development through a range of interventions, including SME

Financing Strategy, which was approved in June 2018.

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Table 2 (b): Progress towards achievement of Outcome and Impact Indicators

Indicator Target Current status Comments

Impact Indicators

Real GDP

growth

3.3% (2019/20) -0.8% (2017) Growth was slackened by the sharp pace of fiscal consolidation, recording a contraction

of -0.8% in 2017. The government has proposed to slow down austerity while maintaining

fiscal consolidation stance by focusing on pro-growth spending and cutting down non-

priority expenditures. Despite these cuts, the Development budget was increased by 30%

in the 2018 budget relative to the revised allocation for the previous year.

Poverty rate

12% (2019/20)

(M-4%; F-6%)

18% (2015/16) No new survey has been done after phase I of the ECGSP. Therefore, the same poverty

figures still apply. However, numerous interventions targeting poverty eradication are

being implemented, including measures to strengthen and expand the coverage of social

safety nets, notably the food bank targeting the poorest of the poor.

Unemployment

rate

20% (2019/20)

F-26%; M-20%;

Youth-45%

- Unemployment increased as a result of contraction in construction and growth in 2017.

The last survey was finalized before the approval and disbursement of EGCSP I. No new

survey has been done after the EGCSP I. Hence, at this stage, it is difficult to measure the

impact of EGCSP I on employment. However, the various interventions targeting

investment facilitation, SME development and industrialization are likely to have a

positive impact on employment. An assessment will be done during preparation of the

Program Completion Report (PCR) at the end of the second Phase of the programmatic

series, as required by the PBO Guidelines.

Outcome Indicators Outcome 1: Fiscal consolidation enhanced

Revenue

performance

Average revenue

growth of 5.7% over

2017/18 – 2019/20

MTEF

13.3%

(2017/18)17

Tax revenue outturn for FY 2017/18 is estimated to have increased by 14.1% from N$47.6

billion recorded in FY2016/17 to N$51.2 billion. The increase in tax revenue is attributed

to an increase in tax on international trade and transaction (SACU) receipt and Tax Arrears

Recovery programme undertaken during the period under review.

Public sector

wage bill as a %

of total non-

interest

expenditure

45% (2018/19) 48.5% (2018) Containing wage bill remains one of the main challenges to fiscal consolidation. A raft of

measures have been put in place recently to deal with the problem. Payroll audits started

at the Ministry of education and are ongoing. Further, the Prime Minister has issued a

circular freezing new recruitments. Offices, Ministries and Agencies(OMAs) that recruit

must give up an equivalent position

Outcome 2: Strengthening public financial management and efficiency of state owned enterprises

Improved

internal and

external audit

and public

procurement

PEFA (2019) PI-30

External audit (C+)

PEFA (2019) PI-26

Internal audit (B)

PEFA (2019) PI-24

Procurement (C+)

No new PEFA

was conducted

during 2017/18

External Audit coverage of Central Government reached 100% and 90% for local

government and SOEs, respectively. Office of the Auditor General conducted six (6)

performance audits on annual basis. 2016/2017 Consolidated financial reports audit has

been completed on time while the 2017/2018 consolidated financial reports were under

preparation.

Internal audit committees have been established, and new audit standards adopted in

line with international internal audit standards and best practice. New public sector

audit policy and new internal audit structure are being considered.

Remarkable progress has been made in the operationalization of the Public

Procurement Act 2015 through setting up of a procurement policy unit, a central

procurement board, and a review panel. Procurement guidelines, procurement planning

template and capacity building program have been developed to enhance transparency,

efficiency and implementation capacity.

Rate of

compliance to

SOE governance

framework

75% (2017/18)

85% (2018/19)

N/A These have not yet been assessed. The results will be reflected in the PCR at the end of

Phase II.

Outcome 3: Business enabling environment improved

Private

investment as a

share of GDP

25.5% (2018/19) 15.5% At the time of appraising EGCSP 1, the baseline of 22% for 2015/16 was a projection.

The most recent IMF Article IV report has set the 2016 Actual at 15.1%. Compared to

new projections of 15.5% for 2017 and 16% for 2018, the indicator appears to be showing

an upward trend.

Number of new

MSMEs created

300 (2018/19) – 30%

female

- This figure is not available. It will be assessed as part of the PCR following completion

of Phase II. However, it should be noted that the Ministry of Industrialization, Trade and

SME Development is working on measures to streamline the numerous MSME-related

interventions by different Ministries and Agencies, as prescribed in the SME Policy. The

Minister of Finance has announced that support instruments for SMEs and start-ups will

be introduced and developed over the MTEF. These include the roll-out of SME financing

strategy, and youth entrepreneurship program, comprising a venture capital fund, credit

guarantee scheme and training and mentorship program. All these are in addition to the

funding for the Equipment Aid Scheme and other SME support programs.

17 Fiscal Strategy for Medium Term Expenditure Framework 2018/19 to 2020/21

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3.4 Progress on Triggers Outlined in the Previous Operation EGCSP I

3.4.1 The Bank’s appraisal team undertook an assessment of the progress made by the Namibian

authorities towards fulfilment of the agreed triggers, which now become the prior actions for EGCSP II.

There has been considerable progress on the set of EGCSP I triggers (now prior actions for EGCSP II)

outlined in the original PAR approved by the Board in May 2017.

Progress on triggers for Component 1 of EGCSP II are summarized below:

3.4.2 Appointment of Board and Commissioners of NAMRA: The recruitment process for the

appointment of members of the Board of the Namibia Revenue Agency (NAMRA) is ongoing with the

advertisement of the positions already done. Once finalised, Cabinet will be consulted before

appointment. Once the Board is in place, it will be mandated to appoint the Commissioners.

3.4.3 Completion of the research on the size of the public service wage bill: Based on an assessment

conducted by the Government, a range of measures have been put in place to promote efficiency in

offices, ministries and agencies, including those targeting containment of the wage bill. The Prime

Minister has hence issued directives to this effect on 1st February 2018. As announced by the Minister

of Finance during the recent Budget Speech, Government targets a reduction in the wage bill from the

current 16% of GDP to about 12% of GDP over the next five years through a combination of natural

attrition, lower-than-CPI wage adjustments and vacancy replacement rule. Implementation of these

measures will contribute immensely to the fiscal consolidation effort.

3.4.4 Approval by cabinet and publication of the new sovereign debt strategy: The draft Debt

Management Strategy has been completed and submitted to Cabinet for approval, expected before end

June 2018. Government’s intention is to stabilise the growth of Government debt at 46.5% of GDP over

the MTEF period through a gradual reduction in the budget deficit and debt amortization program.

Progress on triggers for Component 2 of EGCSP II are summarized below:

3.4.5 (i) Setting up (a) the Procurement Policy Unit (PPU), (b) the Central Procurement Board; and

(c) the Review Panel; and (ii) Preparation of annual Procurement Plans, and approval and adoption of

Standard Bidding Documents for works, goods and services: Consistent with the Public Procurement

Act, the three main entities (the Procurement Policy Unit, the Central Procurement Board and the Review

Panel) have been operational as of April 1, 2017. Government has appointed staff to these entities and

there are ongoing recruitment processes to enhance internal capacity to carry out their mandates. The

Procurement Policy Unit issued Public Procurement Guidelines together with a template and instructions

informing public entities of the need to prepare and submit procurement plans to the PPU as well as to

publish said procurement plans on the public entities’ websites. It was reported that approximately 10%

of procurement plans had been filed with the PPU. With regard to the Standard Bidding Documents

(SBD), twenty-three (23) have been approved and adopted; they are currently available on the PPU’s

drop box link and the Ministry of Finance’s web-site.

3.4.6 Submission to Parliament of the Public Enterprises Governance Amendment Bill: The Public

Enterprises Governance Amendment Bill has already been cleared by the Cabinet Committee on

Legislation and full Cabinet. It has been resubmitted to the Cabinet Committee on Legislation to consider

changes made by the legal drafter. Submission to Parliament is expected by end June 2018. Furthermore,

numerous measures geared towards improving SOE performance and governance practices have been

put in place. These include (i) adoption of Board of Directors Recruitment and Appointment Guidelines

to ensure transparency, meritocracy and diversity in the nomination and appointment of Board members;

(ii) adoption of Chief Executive Officer/Managing Director’s Recruitment Framework which aims to

guide the Board in the recruitment and selection process; (iii) adoption of directives in relation to

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remuneration levels for Chief Executive Officers and Senior Managers of State-Owned Enterprises; (iv)

adoption of Board of Directors Performance Evaluation Framework; and (v) adoption of State-owned

Enterprises Governance Compliance and Performance Report, which aims to inform government

strategy for managing fiscal risk arising from public enterprises. These steps are crucial because Public

Enterprises pose a major fiscal risk to the budget. Transfers to public enterprises have reduced by an

average of 20% from N$ 7.4 billion in 2016/17 to N$ 4 billion in 2017/18. Government intends to

conduct an assessment of the viability and business model of several public enterprises to determine

ways of improving performance and realizing net economic gains from them.

Progress on triggers for Component 3 of EGCSP II are summarized below:

3.4.7 Implementation of the PPP Act by: (a) Establishment of a PPP Committee provided for by the

draft PPP Legislation; and (b) Issuance and gazetting of the PPP Regulation: The implementation of

the Government’s PPP programme is making steady progress. Following the enactment of the PPP Bill

and its gazetting in July 2017, steps are being taken to implement the provisions of the legislation. The

positions for members of the PPP Committee have been advertised, CVs evaluated, interviews conducted

and recommendations for appointments will be presented to Cabinet Committee on Overall Priority

(CCOP) for endorsement by end July 2018. The PPP Regulations have also been drafted and are expected

to be approved and gazetted as soon as the PPP Committee is in place. In the meantime, with the support

of the Bank through the Institutional Strengthening for Public Private Partnerships Project (ISPPP), the

PPP Unit continues to build capacity across Government. A PPP pipeline has been developed and a pilot

project (Ministry of Justice PPP Redevelopment) is about to be implemented. These efforts are necessary

because boosting infrastructure investments is a necessary step towards enhancing economic

competitiveness. As a result, the Government has been investing heavily in infrastructure, which is seen

as a critical enabler to achieve its ambitious development goals. However, this is exerting pressures on

the budget and driving the deficit, which impacts macroeconomic stability. The Bank of Namibia, in a

2014 study, estimated that Namibia faces an infrastructure funding gap of about N$ 150 billion over the

period 2014/15- 2019/20. Embracing PPP is therefore a credible option, particularly within the context

of fiscal consolidation, hence the ongoing efforts by Government.

3.4.8 Establishment of committees to drive the implementation of growth strategies for 10 industries:

The Government has decided to embrace a private-sector driven approach and, in this regard, opted for

the appointment of Industry Growth Facilitators, which was achieved in 2017. Several sector

associations have already been launched. These follow the preparation of Growth Strategies for 10 local

industries18 and associated value chains in 2016, with the support of GIZ. Numerous public and private

sector stakeholders organised themselves in Steering Committees and in working groups, and set-up

annual operational implementation plans for their respective industries. Progress made so far in the

various sectors is outlined in Technical Annex II. These efforts are being pursued in the context of the

implementation of the National Policy on Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), the National

Industrial Policy, and the ‘Growth at Home’ strategy, which among others, focuses on supporting value

addition, upgrading and diversification; and securing market access at home and abroad

3.4.9 Approval by Cabinet, and submission to Parliament, of a micro-lending bill: The Micro-lending

Bill was approved by Cabinet and tabled by Parliament and National Council in 2017. Comments

provided by National Council have been integrated and the Bill has been passed by Parliament. The Bill

provides for the regulation of the micro-lending business in Namibia; establishes an effective and

consistent enforcement framework relating to micro-lending; and promotes responsible borrowing and

lending activities. It should be noted that Namibia’s capacity for industrial growth and greater economic

18 The ten Growth Strategies and associated value chains are Namibia’s Cosmetic Industry, Sea Food, Agribusiness, Metal Fabrication, Handicraft,

Leather Industry, Jewellery Industry and Colored Gemstone, Swakara Wool, Taxidermy Industry. Women constitute high proportion of employees in

these industries

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diversification is constrained by business environment challenges, including the lack of financing for

Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSME). The analytical work that informed the design of

EGCSP include one on SME development in Namibia, which underscored that lack of economic

diversification is one of the key drivers of growth volatility and slow employment creation. It also shows

why industrialisation, with active participation of SMEs, provides the biggest opportunity for creating

quality jobs and reducing income inequality. Promoting access to finance is a necessity for promoting

MSME development. The Government established the SME Bank in 2012 but it collapsed in 2017,

raising questions about the sustainability of the operational model utilised. It is expected that the Micro-

lending Act will make a positive contribution to improving access to finance. Other related measures

include the rollout of SME financing strategy19.

3.5 Policy Dialogue

3.5.1 Dialogue with the Government, and development partners, will continue to focus on the need to:

(i) deepen fiscal consolidation to enhance macroeconomic stability and further improve the country’s

credit rating. The focus will be on strengthening efforts to contain the wage bill, and enhancing

government revenue by supporting the operationalisation of NAMRA; (ii) pursue governance reforms

aimed at enhancing the performance of state-owned enterprises; and (iii) accelerate the implementation

of business environment and economic diversification reforms for job creation and inclusive growth. In

order to complement the ongoing dialogue, the Bank will, in collaboration with the EU, Finish Embassy

and GIZ, continue to support GRN’s efforts to build capacity for the operationalisation of the Public

Procurement Unit in the Ministry of Finance, operationalise the PPP framework and improve SOE

performance. The Bank plans to organise a Business Opportunities Seminar in Namibia during the course

of 2018. This forms part of efforts to intensify engagement with Namibia and to explore further business

opportunities, for both the public and private sector.

3.6 Loan Conditions

3.6.1 Prior Actions for 2018/19: Policy measures/actions identified in the original appraisal report of

EGCSP as indicative triggers for phase II of the operation, as well as the measures/actions which were

finally agreed with the Government as the prior actions for EGCSP II, required before Board presentation

of this Streamlined Appraisal Report, are presented in Table 3 below.

19 The Minister of Finance, in the 2018/19 Budget Speech announced that initial funding has been provided for the roll-out

of SME Financing Strategy and youth entrepreneurship, comprising venture capital fubnd, credit guarantee scheme and

training and mentorship program.

Table 3: Prior Actions and Required Evidence for FY 2018/19: EGCSP II

Original Triggers Prior Action Retained/Reasons for

Modification/Status

Evidence Required

Component 1:

Advancing Fiscal

Consolidation

Trigger 1: Appointment of Board

and Commissioners for the

Namibia Revenue Agency

(NAMRA)

The trigger has been split into (a) a Prior

Action and (b) Condition Precedent to

Disbursement.

Prior Action1: Initiation of the recruitment

process of the NAMRA Board.

Slight amendment to reflect the sequencing

of Board and Commissioner Appointments

and necessary prior consultations.

Details of the related condition precedent to

disbursement are outlined in paragraph

5.2.3.

Letter from the Minister of Finance

and supporting evidence confirming

submission to Cabinet of

recommendations on the appointment

of the NAMRA Board members and a

list of the Board members. .

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Trigger 2: Completion of research

on the size of the public service

wage bill

Prior Action 2: Issuance by the Prime

Minister of Administrative Directive on the

promotion of efficiency in offices, ministries

and agencies which, among others, aims to

contain the Public Service Wage Bill.

Slightly amended to address the greater

scope of the cost containment measures in

the public sector.

Letter from the Minister of Finance

together with a copy of the

Administrative Directive on the

promotion of efficiency in the

administration of offices, ministries

and agencies.

Trigger 3: Approval by Cabinet

and publication of the new

Sovereign Debt Management

Strategy (SDMS)

Prior Action 3: Approval by Deliberative

Cabinet of the Borrower of the new

Sovereign Debt Management Strategy,

(SDMS)

Letter from the Ministry of Finance

of the Borrower confirming

Deliberative Cabinet approval of the

SDMS, together with a copy of the

SDMS.

Component 2:

Strengthening

Public Financial

Management and

Public Sector

Efficiency

Trigger 4: The implementation of

the Regulations for the Public

Procurement Act (2015) by: (i)

Setting up (a) the Procurement

Policy Unit (PPU), in accordance

with part 2 art 6. (1) of the Act; (b)

the Central Procurement Board of

Namibia, in accordance with part 3

art 8. (1) of the Act; and (c) the

Review Panel, in accordance with

part 7 art 58. (1) of the Act; and

(ii) Preparation of annual

Procurement Plan, and approval

and adoption of Standard Bidding

Documents for works, goods and

services.

Prior Action 4: Implementation of the

Regulations for the Public Procurement Act

(2015) by:

(i) Setting up and staffing the Procurement

Policy Unit;

(ii) Setting up and staffing the Central

Procurement Board and Review Panel;

(iii) Preparation of Annual Procurement

Plans by at least 10% of procuring entities including a number of high value procuring

entities; and

(iv) Approval and adoption of standard

bidding documents for goods, works and

consulting services.

Slightly amended for more clarity

(a) Official letter from the

Minister of Finance confirming the

establishment and appointment of

staff to (i) the Central Procurement

Board; and (ii) the Review Panel, in

accordance with the relevant sections

of the Public Procurement Act

(b) Letter from the Minister of

Finance confirming (i) the

establishment and staffing of the

Procurement Policy Unit; (ii)

extension of the contracts of current

seconded staff to the PPU together

with copies of letters of these

extensions; and (iii) details of the

structure, number of positions; and

timelines for the recruitment of

permanent staff and Head of the PPU.

(c) Letter from the Minister of

Finance confirming the preparation

and submission of annual

procurement plans by at least 10% of

procuring entities, including a

number of high value procuring

entities (such as Ministry of Health,

Education, and Agriculture) and

commitment to reach 100%

submission of annual procurement

plans by 30th June 2019.

(d) Letter from the Minister of

Finance confirming approval of at

least 23 standard bidding documents,

together with snapshot of the list of

documents uploaded to the PPU

website and Dropbox link; as well as

an update on the status of the

outstanding 3 standard bidding

documents.

Trigger 5: Submission to

Parliament of the Public Enterprise

Governance Amendment Bill,

which, amongst others, gives the

Ministry of Public Enterprises

shareholding right over

commercial related SOEs.

Prior Action 5: Submission to Parliament of

the Public Enterprise Governance

Amendment Bill, which, amongst others,

provides for efficient governance and

performance monitoring of public

enterprises

Slight amendment for more clarity on the

scope of the Bill.

Letter from the Minister of Finance

confirming transmission of the Bill to

Parliament, together with a copy of

the Bill.

Component 3:

Improving the

Trigger 6: Implementation of the

PPP Act by (a) Establishment of a

PPP Committee provided for by

the PPP Act; and (b) Issuance and

gazetting of the PPP Regulations.

The trigger has been converted to a condition

precedent to disbursement to allow for

finalization of the consultative process. (see

paragraph 5.2.3 for details)

Trigger 7: Establishment of Sector

Committees and an Inter-

Ministerial Committee to drive the

implementation of the growth

strategies for 10 industries.

Prior Action 7: Appointment of Industry

Growth Facilitators and operationalization

of at least 3 Sector Associations to drive the

implementation of the Industry Growth

Strategies

Letter from the Ministry of

Industrialization, Trade and SME

Development confirming the

appointment of Industry Growth

Facilitators, with TORs attached, and

operationalization of at least 3 Sector

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3.7 Application of Good Practice Principles on Conditionality

3.7.1 The design of the EGCSP is in line with good practice principles on conditionality. The

reform policy matrix of the operation is fully owned by GRN. The policy and institutional measures are

designed to support effective implementation of the GRN Fifth National Development Plan 2017/18 –

2021/22 and Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (2018/19-2020/21), both of which support

measures aimed at promoting high economic growth, job creation and income equality. It was designed

based on continuous dialogue with GRN and in close consultation and collaboration with Development

Partners and other stakeholders, including the private sector and civil society organisations.

3.8 Financing Needs and Arrangements20

3.8.1 The Government’s financing needs for 2017/18 to 2019/20, and the Bank Group contribution for

2017/18 and 2018/19, are presented in table 4 below.

Table 4: Financing Needs and Bank Group Contribution

Source: Ministry of Finance, Namibia

3.8.2 The government’s borrowing plan initially targeted to finance the 2017/18 budget deficit of N$

6.12 billion using the N$ 3.0 billion loan from AfDB and the balance from the domestic market.

However, increased funding requirements pushed the budget deficit (on cash basis) to N$ 9.70 billion in

2017/18. Additional arrears of N$ 3.86 billion from the FY 2016/17 increased the deficit on commitment

basis to N$ 13.57. Financing of this increased deficit was done using new domestic borrowing of N$ 7.4

billion and external borrowing amounting to N$ 3.billion, leaving financing gap (arrears) of N$ 3.17

20 The fiscal projections in Table 4 are based on the Government’s estimates, which include significant fiscal adjustments going forward, as opposed to the

estimates of the IMF whose baseline projections only reflect policies currently in place.

N$ BillionUSD

BillionN$ Billion

USD

BillionN$ Billion USD Billion N$ Billion USD Billion N$ Billion USD Billion

GDP 168.84 13.51 177.511 14.20 184.748 14.78 200.759 16.06 219.314 17.55

Total revenue and grants 51.07 4.09 57.88 4.63 56.70 4.54 57.74 4.62 61.31 4.90

Of which: grants (excl, budget support) 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.54 0.04 0.59 0.05 0.65 0.05

Total expenditure and net lending 62.23 4.98 67.59 5.41 65.00 5.20 65.68 5.25 66.31 5.30

Of which: interest payments 4.30 0.34 5.23 0.42 6.51 0.52 6.70 0.54 6.75 0.54

Of which: capital expenditure 6.74 0.54 5.61 0.45 7.32 0.59 7.79 0.62 8.18 0.65

Overall balance (cash basis) (A - B) -11.16 -0.89 -9.70 -0.78 -8.31 -0.66 -7.94 -0.64 -5.00 -0.40

Accumulation of arrears -3.86 -0.31 3.86 -0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Overall balance (commitment basis) (C - D) -7.30 -0.58 -13.57 -0.36 -8.31 -0.66 -7.94 -0.64 -5.00 -0.40

External financing (net – minus Bank) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.59 0.13 0.00 0.00

Domestic financing (net) 0.00 0.00 7.40 0.59 5.31 0.42 6.35 0.51 5.00 0.40

AfDB PBO 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.24 3.00 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Financing (F + G+H) 0.00 0.00 10.40 0.83 8.31 0.66 7.94 0.64 5.00 0.40

Financing gap (-E - J), financed by: 7.30 0.58 3.17 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Identifed measures (cumulative deficit reducing) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Others

Residual financing gap (I – J – K – L) 7.30 0.58 3.17 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

FY 2016/2017 FY 2017/2018 FY 2018/2019 FY 2020/2021FY 2019/2020

Business

Enabling

Environment for

Industrialization

Slightly amended to reflect a more private

sector driven approach.

Associations to drive the

implementation of Industry Growth

Strategies.

Trigger 8: Approval by Cabinet

and submission to Parliament of a

Micro-lending Bill

Prior Action 8: Approval by Cabinet and

submission to Parliament of the Micro-

lending Bill

No amendment required

Letter from the Minister of Finance confirming the submission to Parliament of the

Micro-Lending Bill, together with a copy of the Bill.

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17

billion. In 2018/19, the budget deficit (on commitment basis) is expected to stand at N$ 8.31 billion,

which will be financed using the N$ 3.0 billion AfDB loan and N$ 5.31 billion borrowing from the

domestic market. In FY2019/20, domestic borrowing is expected to stand at N$ 6.35 billion, while

external financing is expected to stand at N$ 1.59 billion, both financing a deficit of N$ 7.94 billion with

a financing gap of zero. Similarly, financing gap in FY2020/21is expected to be zero after financing the

N$ 5.0 billion fiscal deficit (on commitment basis) solely from the domestic market.

IV. OPERATION IMPLEMENTATION

4.1 Beneficiaries of the Program

4.1.1 The beneficiaries of the program remain the same as in EGCSP I. The direct beneficiaries are

the Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Industrialization, Trade and SME Development, Ministry of Public

Enterprises and other ministries and agencies in charge of public financial management and business

environment reforms. The entire population of Namibia will ultimately benefit from the ongoing fiscal

consolidation efforts, through the resultant fiscal space, which will help to fund critical infrastructure

investments. Creation of fiscal space will also guarantee pro-poor expenditures for basic social services

delivery, which benefit the poor and other vulnerable groups such as women. The entire population will

benefit from improved governance of state-owned enterprises, through improved performance of SOEs

and enhanced service delivery. The private sector will also benefit from an increased competitiveness of

the economy, resulting from macroeconomic stability, PPP opportunities and an enhanced investment

facilitation framework supported by the programme. MSMEs, including women-owned enterprises, will

particularly benefit from the improved policy, legal, regulatory and institutional framework for industrial

and MSME development.

4.2 Implementation, Monitoring and Evaluation

4.2.1 Implementation Institutional Framework: The Ministry of Finance will continue to serve as the

implementing agency for EGCSP II. It will also be responsible for the overall coordination of the

programme, working closely with other Ministries and agencies such as the Ministry of Industrialization,

Trade and SME Development and the Ministry of Public Enterprises. The Ministry of Finance has the

necessary capacity to coordinate the implementation of the programme. The Bank continues to support

the Ministry of Finance, and other Government ministries and agencies, through an ongoing Institutional

Support Project for Public Private Partnerships. The project has supported capacity building activities

and is now financing transaction advisory services for the Ministry of Justice Office Redevelopment PPP

project. The Bank is considering the option of utilising savings from the project to provide additional

capacity development support to ongoing Public Procurement reforms. This will be done in close

consultation with the EU and other DPs supporting PFM reforms.

4.2.2 Monitoring and Evaluation Arrangements: The revised policy framework matrix (see Appendix

IV and Technical Annex III) agreed between the Namibian Authorities and the Bank, as well as the

quantitative and qualitative indicators outlined in the EGCSP II Results-based Logical Framework, will

constitute the instruments for monitoring and evaluation of the EGCSP II. The Ministry of Finance, with

the support of the National Statistics Agency and other relevant bodies, will continue to be responsible

for collecting data and coordinating monitoring and evaluation, and will make information available to

the Bank, as necessary. The Bank will continue to monitor the implementation of the Programme through

regular supervision missions and constant follow-ups, to assess progress achieved based on the agreed

indicators and prior actions. In the absence of a Country Office in Namibia, the Southern Africa Regional

Development and Business Delivery Office will continue to play a central role in follow-up of

implementation and monitoring of program results and, in particular, drive the policy dialogue with

Government and maintain regular consultations with Development Partners. Following completion of

EGCSP II, a Program Completion Report (PCR) on EGCSP will be prepared, to evaluate progress

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18

against the Results-Based Logical Framework and draw lessons for future programme-based operations

and investment lending.

4.3 Financial Management, Disbursement and Reporting Arrangements

4.3.1 The debt management unit within the Ministry of Finance will continue to play a central role in

the financial management of the overall programme implementation, including overseeing the

drawdowns, planning for the use of funds, controls, reporting and arrangement for oversight. The loan

proceeds will be credited to the designated account denominated in ZAR, at the Bank of Namibia (BoN).

Similar arrangement was made during the first phase of EGCSP. GRN will acknowledge receipt of the funds,

and provide confirmation to the Bank that an amount equivalent to the loan proceeds, in local currency, has

been credited to the Treasury Account within five working days of funds disbursement by the Bank. This

requirement was satisfactorily complied with for the funds under EGCP I. The proposed operation will rely

on national external audit of the Government budget, as well as on an annual Flow of Funds audit by the

Office of the Auditor General. The flow of funds audit will be performed in accordance with Bank-approved

audit Terms of Reference, and the audit report, together with the auditor’s management letter, submitted to

the Bank within six months after the end of the financial year.

4.4 Procurement. In line with the Procurement Policy for Bank Group Funded Operations,

Namibia’s country procurement system will be utilized for the implementation of this proposed

operation. Taking into account ongoing reforms and related mitigation measures, the CFRA conducted

in May 2018 concluded that the residual risk attendant upon this operation is moderate. The Public

Procurement Act 2015is largely based on the UNCITRAL Model Law on Public Procurement and, to a

large extent, meets international standards including, inter alia, in the areas of strategic procurement

planning, open competitive processes to ensure value for money and credible mechanisms to address

complaints of bidders and providers of goods, works and consulting services. In addition to the results

achieved so far under EGCSP I, and in order to achieve the full benefits of reforms under the Procurement

Act 2015, the Government of Namibia will implement a strong capacity building program targeting all

actors in the public procurement arena (in both the public and private sectors) and continue implementing

the National Anti-Corruption Strategy and Action Plan 2016-2019.

V. LEGAL DOCUMENTATION AND AUTHORITY

5.1 Legal Documentation:

5.1.1 A Loan Agreement between the African Development Bank and the Republic of Namibia.

5.2 Conditions Associated with the Bank’s Intervention

5.2.1 Conditions Precedent to Entry into Force of the Loan Agreement: The entry into force of the

Loan Agreement shall be subject to the fulfilment by the Borrower of the provisions of Section 12.01 of

the General Conditions Applicable to Loan and Guarantee Agreements of the Bank.

5.2.2 Prior Actions: Before the proposed operation is presented to the Board for approval, GRN shall

have provided evidence, satisfactory in form and substance to the Bank, that the prior actions for the

EGCSP II outlined in Table 3 have been duly fulfilled.

5.2.3 Conditions precedent to disbursement of the funds of the EGCSP II: Disbursement of the loan

amount of ZAR 3 billion shall be conditional upon the entry into force of the Loan Agreement, and

fulfilment of the Conditions Precedent to Disbursement outlined in Table 5 below:

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19

Table 5: Conditions Precedent to Disbursement

Disbursement Condition Evidence Required Condition 1: The transmission to the Bank of the details of a foreign

currency account with the Bank of Namibia for purposes of receiving

the proceeds of the Loan

Letter from the Bank of Namibia confirming the opening of the foreign

currency account.

Condition 2: Appointment of NAMRA Board and Commissioner. Letter from the Minister of Finance confirming the appointment of the

NAMRA Board members and the Commissioner and attaching a list of the

Board Members.

Condition 3: Implementation of the PPP Act by (a) Establishment of

a PPP Committee provided for by the PPP Act; and (b) Issuance and

gazetting of the PPP Regulations.

Letter from the Minister of Finance confirming the establishment of a PPP

Committee, together with a list of members.

Copy of the Gazette for the PPP Regulations.

Condition 4: Approval by the Decision-Making Cabinet of the

Borrower of the new Sovereign Debt Management Strategy (SDMS). Letter from the Minister of Finance of the Borrower confirming Decision-

Making Cabinet approval of the SDMS, together with a copy of the SDMS.

5.3 Compliance with Bank Group Policies

5.3.1 The EGCSP II complies with all applicable Bank Group policies and guidelines, and no waiver

of the applicable Guidelines has been requested with respect to this proposal. The key Bank Group

policies and guidelines applied to this Program are the following: (i) Bank Policy on Program-Based

Operations (2012,), (ii) the Bank Group Ten-Year Strategy (2013-2022) and the High-5s, especially the

priority areas of industrializing Africa, and improving the quality of life of the people of Africa;21 (iii)

the Governance Strategic Framework and Action Plan 2014-18, and (iv) Guidelines on Product and

Pricing for MICs (2009).

VI. RISKS MANAGEMENT

6.1 The risks and mitigation measures of the program are presented in table 6 below and are also

summarized in the logical framework:

Table 6: EGCSP Risk and Mitigation Measures

Risk Mitigation measures

Macroeconomic risks: Namibia’s vulnerability to external shocks remains a

major source of risk. The economic outlook envisages downside risks stemming

mainly from further declines in SACU revenue and commodity prices, slow

growth in mining and construction and debt-related risks.

Embark on further pro-growth fiscal consolidate efforts to bring public debt

on a declining path, safeguard priority capital and social spending and

implement reforms geared towards addressing structural challenges.

Fiduciary risks: The latest Country Fiduciary Risk Assessment (CFRA)

conducted by the Bank for Namibia indicates that the overall residual risk level

is deemed moderate, taking into account the risk mitigation factors. Some of the

areas of weakness identified relate to the legal and regulatory framework, and

roll out and integration of the Integrated Financial Management System

(IFMIS). Failure to mitigate the identified risks could negatively impact program

implementation, and achievement of expected program objectives.

The measures being implemented under proposed programme and ongoing

technical assistance being provided by the EU and other development partners

will help strengthen public financial management and further mitigate the

identified risks.

Implementation capacity risks: Capacity across government to implement the

reforms being pursued by the government remains a challenge.

Explore options to provide additional technical assistance. Also work with

development partners to tap into available TA resources to support the PBO.

Ongoing discussions with the United States Trade and Development Agency

(USTDA) for capacity building of RMCs in the area of procurement also holds

some promise.

Social risks: Fiscal consolidation measures pose potential risks to social sector

spending and basic service delivery, with negative social ramifications.

Pursue the objective of pro-growth fiscal consolidation by preserving capital

expenditure and pro-poor spending, and strengthen social safety nets.

VII. RECOMMENDATION

7.1 Management recommends that the Board of Directors approve an AfDB loan not exceeding ZAR

3 billion to the Republic of Namibia for the fiscal year 2018/19 for the purposes, and subject to the

conditions, stipulated in this report. Management invites the Board to note that this operation is the

second phase of a 2-year programmatic series, covering the fiscal years 2017/2018 and 2018/19.

21 See Appendix 5 for details on the linkage of EGESP with High-5s and Flagship Program.

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I

APPENDIX I: LETTER OF DEVELOPMENT POLICY

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II

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III

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IV

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V

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VI

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VII

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VIII

APPENDIX II: IMF PRESS RELEASE

IMF Press Release No. 18/69

February 28, 2018

IMF Executive Board Concludes 2017 Article IV Consultation with Namibia

On February 26, 2018, the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concluded the

Article IV consultation1 with Namibia. Since 2010, Namibia has experienced a period of exceptional

growth. Growth was partly attributable to temporary factors. An expansionary fiscal policy, the

construction of large mines and buoyant credit supported growth and better living standards.

However, robust growth masked rising macroeconomic vulnerabilities and deteriorating productivity

performance. Moreover, structural impediments have contributed to keep unemployment and income

inequality unacceptably high.

With temporary expansionary factors ending, the economy has reached a turning point. GDP sharply

decelerated in 2016 and contracted in 2017 as construction in the mining sector came to an end and

the government began consolidating. With the economy contracting and Southern Africa Customs

Union (SACU)’s receipts temporarily increasing, the current account balance improved significantly.

However, despite significant fiscal adjustment, the public debt ratio continued to increase and almost

doubled over the last four years, exceeding in 2017 the median of the countries at the lowest tier of

investment grade. Credit growth to the private sector has slowed down reflecting both banks’ tight

funding constraints and low demand from highly leveraged households. Headline inflation declined

to 5.2% in 2017, from 7.3 at end 2016 and, in the context of the currency peg, the Bank of Namibia

has followed the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) and reduced its policy rate.

The outlook remains positive with considerable vulnerabilities and risks. Growth is projected to

resume in 2018, as mining production ramps up, construction activity stabilizes and manufacturing

recovers, before converging to a long-term rate of about 3½%, below the average of recent years.

Inflation is anticipated to remain below 6%. However, as SACU revenues are expected to decline, in

the absence of policy action, the fiscal deficit would remain large and public debt would continue

rising and approach 70% of GDP by 2022. On the positive side, the current account deficit is expected

to narrow on average to around 6% of GDP on the back of larger mining exports, but international

reserve coverage is projected to gradually decline.

Downside risks dominate the outlook. They stem mainly from possible fiscal slippages that could

undermine policy credibility, lower demand for key exports, further declines in SACU revenue, and

slower recovery in mining and construction activities. Extensive macro-financial linkages could

amplify the negative impact of shocks.

Executive Board Assessment

Directors commended the authorities for Namibia’s rapid growth, rising living standards, and

macroeconomic stability achieved over the past years. Directors noted, however, that the country

faces significant economic challenges and structural issues. Factors that temporarily boosted growth

have come to an end, public debt is rising, reserve coverage is low, and risks and vulnerabilities in

the financial sector remain. In addition, unemployment and inequality remain elevated. Against this

backdrop, Directors emphasized the need for sound policies and structural reforms to ensure fiscal

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IX

sustainability, strengthen the financial sector, and generate sufficient jobs to manage the upcoming

demographic changes and reduce income inequality.

Directors welcomed the authorities’ fiscal adjustment efforts and emphasized that additional

consolidation is needed to ensure debt sustainability. They broadly agreed that efforts should be

spread over the next years and include expenditure and revenue measures that support long-term

growth, while addressing distributional concerns. In this regard, Directors saw merit in containing

public wage growth, rationalizing transfers to extra-budgetary entities, and reducing tax exemptions.

They welcomed the recent increase in social assistance programs while calling for better targeting to

protect the poor and strengthen the distributional impact of public spending. To buttress the

credibility of the adjustment, the authorities should improve budget formulation, tighten expenditure

controls, and strengthen revenue administration and the management of extra-budgetary entities.

Directors underscored the need to monitor and manage fiscal risks, particularly from off-budget

financing of large investment projects.

Directors noted that the additional fiscal adjustment will support the ongoing macroeconomic

adjustment process and contribute to bring the external position broadly in line with fundamentals.

They agreed that, in the context of the peg with the South African rand, the Bank of Namibia (BoN)

should maintain the policy rate in line with the South African Reserve Bank, and use macroprudential

tools to manage risks from the leveraged private sector.

Directors commended the early steps taken in implementing the FSSA recommendations. They

underscored the importance of monitoring and managing risks from banks’ concentrated balance

sheets, financial institutions’ interconnections, and public and private sector indebtedness. Directors

encouraged the authorities to address the existing supervisory and regulatory gaps in the non-bank

financial sector. They also saw merit in the development of an explicit macroprudential mandate for

the BoN, as well as a crisis management and resolution framework.

Directors emphasized the importance of implementing structural reforms to boost job creation to reap

the benefits of the upcoming demographic changes and achieve more inclusive growth. They called

for measures to focus on reducing skill mismatches through improving access and quality of

secondary and higher education and training; better aligning wage and productivity dynamics; and

enhancing the business environment.

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X

APPENDIX III: NAMIBIA: UPDATE ON THE ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR THE PBO

Prerequisites Country Eligibility

Government

Commitment to

poverty

alleviation

Namibia’s eradication of poverty agenda is anchored in its Fifth National Development Plan (NDP5) 2017/18

– 2021/22 which focuses on structural transformation and modernization through Investments in research

and development, skills development, diversification of economic activities and greater value addition.

Through NDP5, the country aspires to achieve an average annual real GDP growth of 5.0%. The Harambee Prosperity Plan (HPP: 2016-2020) complements the national development plans and vision 2030. To

consolidate the Government’s poverty reduction and inclusive growth agenda, in 2017, the government

published a Blueprint on Wealth Distribution and Poverty Eradication and its Implementation Plan. This

Blue Print articulates measures aimed at advancing strategies for eradication of poverty and reducing income

inequality. The Government has demonstrated its unwavering commitment to poverty eradication and

reducing high unemployment and income inequality.

Macroeconomic

framework

Namibia experienced a difficult year in 2017 with the economy recording a negative growth estimated at -

0.8% from a positive growth of 0.7% in 2016. This slowdown was mainly attributed to persistent external

shocks (including relatively weak global growth), falling commodity prices, especially uranium prices, poor

growth performance of neighbouring countries including South Africa and Angola, and sharp reduction in

SACU revenues. Growth has bottomed out with a mild recovery expected in 2018. Growth is expected to

come mainly from a rebound in mining activity (notably uranium, lithium, copper, lead, diamonds and gold),

tourism and agriculture (owing to a good rainfall). The Government’s commitment to fiscal consolidation, as reiterated in the 2016/17 mid-year budget review focused on bringing the economy back on a sustainable

fiscal path by cutting non-priority spending of up to 2.3% of GDP, while rebalancing and realigning spending

plans in line with revenue streams. At the beginning of the fiscal consolidation period, it was expected that

debt–to-GDP would reduce towards 35% of GDP. Given the adverse impacts on growth and employment,

the government has now opted to slow down the pace of fiscal austerity to boost growth but maintain a more

gradual consolidation stance with a debt level firming up at 40.6% of GDP in FY2017/18. Total public debt-

to-GDP is projected at 43.3% in the 2018/19 period and is expected to stabilize at around 45.3% over the

MTEF period.

Political

stability

Namibia is a constitutional multiparty democracy where free and fair elections are held regularly. The South

West Africa People’s Organization (SWAPO) has dominated politics since independence from South Africa

in 1990. In March 2015, H.E. Hage Geingob was elected President of Namibia, under the ticket of the South

West Africa People’s Organization (SWAPO), and has since implemented robust macroeconomic policies and new regulations to improve the business environment. The next presidential election is schedule for

2019, and SWAPO is expected to continue dominating the political scene. The current administration is

continuing with the policies of upholding the fundamental rights and freedoms enshrined in the Constitution.

The 2017 Corruption Perception Index by Transparency International ranked Namibia the 5th least corrupt

country in sub-Saharan Africa and 53rd out of 176 countries globally.

Satisfactory

fiduciary risk assessment

The 2015 Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability (PEFA) Assessment for Namibia indicated

progress in the implementation of PFM reforms. The adoption of medium-term expenditure framework (MTEF), medium-term plans (MTP) and programme budgeting, among others, has contributed significantly

to progress made by the country in public financial management. The PEFA, however, also noted

considerable delays in finalising and promulgating key PFM laws, such as the Public Finance Management

Bill. As part of the preparation of the EGCSP phase II, the Bank updated the Country Fiduciary Risk

Assessment (CFRA) for Namibia in May 2018. The CFRA shows that Namibia has continued to make

progress in implementation of PFM reforms in the areas of cash and debt management, financial reporting

and procurement. A Procurement Act has been passed and its executive regulations issued. The new

procurement system has 3 entities: (i) Central Procurement Board, (ii) Review Panel, and (iii) Procurement

Policy Unit based in the Ministry of Finance. However, a number of challenges continue to prevail, including

delays in finalizing relevant legal and regulatory frameworks, implementation of the Integrated Financial

Management Information System (IFMIS), development of systems linkages such as human resources and Treasury to boost internal control, and implementation of audit recommendations.

Harmonization As Middle Income Country, aid-related partnerships are limited in Namibia. However, steps have been taken

to improve aid coordination, including through the establishment of the Annual High-level Development

Partner Forum, which is co-chaired by the National Planning Commission and the Head of the United

Nations agencies. The Forum has encouraged development partners to align their assistance programs with

the Government priorities identified in NDP5, in line with the Paris Declaration. The mechanism for bringing

all the development partners together and sharing information about their activities, is being strengthened

through regular meetings under the general coordination of the UN. Therefore, while donor coordination is

effective, there is scope for improvement. The Bank has made a commitment to participate in the periodic

coordination meetings.

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XI

APPENDIX IV: NAMIBIA EGCSP II: UPDATED POLICY MATRIX

Medium term policy

objectives

Policy measures (2017/18)

Policy measures (2018/19)

Outcomes

(Monitoring

indicators)

CSP goals to which the

program is contributing

Component 1: Advancing Fiscal Consolidation

Objective 1.1 Enhancing

Government Revenue

*The Cabinet has approved Bill for the

Establishment of the Namibia Revenue Agency

(NAMRA).

** Initiation of the recruitment process of the NAMRA Board

***Appointment of members of the Board of NAMRA and

Commissioner

Average growth in

Revenue

Wage bill as % of non-

interest expenditure

Pillar 2: Private sector

development – improving the

business environment and skills

Launch of Integrated Tax Administrative System

Objective 1.2 Containing the

wage bill

*Cabinet has approved a comprehensive set

measures proposed by the Prime Minister’s

Office to contain the wage bill.

**Issuance by the Prime Minister of Administrative Directive on

the promotion of efficiency in offices, ministries and agencies

which, among others, aims to contain the public service wage bill.

Objective 1.3 Enhancing debt

sustainability

*The Cabinet has approved and submitted the

Macro-Fiscal Framework for the FY 2017/18

Budget to Parliament.

** Approval by Deliberative Cabinet of the Borrower of the new

Sovereign Debt Management Strategy, (SDMS)

*** Approval by the Decision-Making Cabinet of the Borrower of

the new Sovereign Debt Management Strategy (SDMS)

Component 2: Strengthening Public Financial Management and Efficiency of State Owned Enterprises

Objective 2.1 Enhancing Public

Financial Management

(i) 2 Public Expenditure Tracking Surveys

(PETS) concluded

(i) Cabinet has approved and submitted to Parliament the Public

Financial Management Bill

Improved external audit:

PEFA PI-30

Improved internal audit:

PEFA PI-26

Improved procurement:

PEFA PI-24

Compliance to SOEs

Governance framework

Pillar 2: Private sector

development – improving the business environment and

skills

(ii) The Cabinet has approved the new Public Sector Internal Audit

Policy

(ii) The Cabinet has approved the Auditors Bill (iii) Automation of the HRMIS and the integration to IFMIS

Objective 2.2 Enhancing Public

Procurement

*The Regulations for the Public Procurement

Act (2015) have been issued and published in

the Official Government Gazette.

**Implementation of the Regulations for the Public Procurement

Act (2015) by:

Implementation of the Regulations for the Public Procurement

Act (2015) by:

(i) Setting up and staffing the Procurement Policy Unit;

(ii) Setting up and staffing the Central Procurement Board and

Review Panel;

(iii) Preparation of Annual Procurement Plans by at least 10% of

procuring entities including a number of high value procuring

entities; and

(iv) Approval and adoption of standard bidding documents for

goods, works and consulting services.

Objective 2.3 Improving

Efficiency of State-Owned

Enterprises

*The Cabinet has approved the hybrid

governance model for Public Enterprises,

which provides for separating State Owned

Enterprises into 3 clusters (commercial,

financial and social)

**Submission to Parliament of the Public Enterprises Governance

Amendment Bill which, amongst others, provides for efficient

governance and performance monitoring of public enterprises.

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XII

Component 3: Improving the Business Environment for Industrialization

Objective 3.1: Enhancing the

Investment Facilitation

Framework and Processes

Cabinet has approved and submitted to

Parliament the Investment Promotion Act,

which provides for a dispute resolution

mechanism

Phased Operationalization of an Integrated Client Service Facility,

providing online business registration capability.

Private investments as

share of GDP

Number of new MSMEs

created

Pillar 2: Private sector development – improving the

business environment and skills

Cabinet has approved and submitted to

Parliament the Business and Intellectual

Property Authority (BIPA) Act, which provides

for online registration of companies

Regulations for the Business and Intellectual

Property Authority (BIPA) Act published in the

Official Government

*Cabinet has approved and submitted the

Public Private Partnerships (PPP) Bill to

Parliament

***Implementation of the PPP Act by: (a) Establishment of a PPP

Committee provided for by the draft PPP Legislation; and (b)

Issuance and gazetting of the PPP Regulation

Submission to Parliament of a One Stop Border Post Bill

Regulations for the Investment Promotion Act; published in the

Official Government

Objective 3.2: Enhancing

Industrial Development, Value

Addition and Diversification

*The Cabinet has approved and submitted to

Parliament the Industrial Development

Agency Bill.

** Appointment of Industry Growth Facilitators and

operationalization of at least 3 Sector Associations to drive the

implementation of the Industry Growth Strategies

Objective 3.3: Enhancing the

Development of Micro, Small

and Medium Enterprises

(MSMEs)

*The Cabinet has approved a National Policy

on Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises

(MSMEs)

Approval by Cabinet of a draft framework on fiscal and non-fiscal

incentives for MSMEs

**Approval by Cabinet and submission to Parliament of a Micro-

lending Bill

Preparation of SME financing strategy initiated

*Single asterisk denotes prior action for EGCSP I (2017)

** Double asterisk denotes prior action for EGCSP II (2018)

*** Triple asterisk denotes Condition Precedent to disbursement for EGCSP II (2018)

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XIII

APPENDIX V: SOCIAL SECTOR CHALLENGES AND DEVELOPMENT

I. Context

The poverty level in Namibia, according to the 2016 Namibia Household Income and Expenditure

Survey, is estimated at 26.9 % (568,000 people) and the incidence of poverty is higher among female-

headed households (22%) compared to male-headed households (18%)22 with regional disparities.

Namibia has recorded a reduction in inequality in recent years, partly explained by the huge

investment in the social sectors through the government’s social safety net program for the elderly,

youth, people with disabilities, orphans, and vulnerable groups.

Women’s participation in the labor force is lower than that of men: 54.7% compared to 63.7 for men.

Gender disparities can be found when comparing subsistence agriculture with wage employment. It

is evident that more females than males are employed as unpaid family workers whether in

subsistence or other activity.23 The Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM)24 Namibia Report

(2012) shows that women are almost as likely as men to be involved in early-stage entrepreneurship

(18% and 19%, respectively). The Government of Namibia has put in place a robust policy

framework to address social, economic, and gender disparities challenges. These include the

following:

Harambee Prosperity Plan (2016-2020): Primary objectives include (1) greater government

accountability and service delivery; (2) economic advancement and job creation; (3) attack on

hunger and poverty, reduction in infant mortality and improvement in sanitation and housing; (4)

development of energy, water, transport and ICT infrastructure; and (5) strengthening

international ties, fulfilling global obligations and seeking support for Namibia's economic

transformation. The Harambee Prosperity Plan does not replace but complements the national

development plans and vision 2030 which focusing on Six pillars include: 1) education; 2) science

and technology; 3) health and development; 4) sustainable agriculture; 5) peace and social justice;

and (6) gender equality. The Harambee Prosperity Plan specifically indicated youth and young

women as key target beneficiaries for development, and as key implementing partners, and

participants.

New Equitable Economic Empowerment Framework (NEEEF) (2016): Aims to provide a

clear overarching policy framework for Government empowerment policies and private sector

initiatives with the goal of creating wealth among the poor. The Government reiterate the creation

of an equitable and socially just society for previously disadvantaged population, namely women

and people living with disabilities. Special reference would focus on two pillars are of high

relevant to this transaction: Management Control and Employment Equity Pillar and Corporate

Social Responsibility Pillar. The first emphasizes board-based empowerment should benefiting

as many persons as possible, while the latter is to broaden the CSR and that it should not

concentrated on a few locations and or a few activities. Furthermore, it needs to be ensured that

rural and urban poor communities benefit.

National Gender Policy (2010 – 2020): The revised Gender Policy seeks to create an enabling

environment for different sectors to mainstream gender including in the energy sector. It focuses

on 12 areas of concern, which include: (i) Poverty and Rural Development; (ii) Education and

Training; (iii) Reproductive health and HIV/AIDS; (iv) Gender Based Violence; (v) Trade and

Economic Empowerment; (vi) Gender Governance and Decision Making; (vii) Research, Media,

Information and Communication; (viii) Management of the Environment; (ix) Issues of the Girl-

child; (x) Gender, Peace Building, Natural Disaster and Conflict Resolution; (xi) Gender Legal

22 NSA 2012 23 Ibid 24 GEM is the largest single study of entrepreneurial activity in the world with the most geographically and economically diverse sample. It is largely

about measuring entrepreneurial activity within the adult population, entrepreneurial spirit, and attitudes to entrepreneurship.

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XIV

Affairs; and (xii) Human Rights. The clusters are primarily responsible for ensuring the

implementation of the National Gender Plan of Action. Representation in clusters are established

and comprises of gender focal persons, representatives nominated by various government

ministries, private sector, academic institutions, development partners, NGOs and civil society

National Gender Plan of Action (NGPA): The NGPA is the implementation guide for the

revised National Gender Policy (2010-2020). The NGPA was developed to facilitate

implementation of the recommendations and strategies contained in the National Gender Policy.

It also serves as a resource mobilization tool for the implementation of focused and coordinated

actions to eliminate gender inequality. It is reviewed after every five years to address emerging

issues up to 2020 (when the National Gender Policy expires). Namibia is party to a number of

international and regional instruments which are relevant to various themes covered by the NGPA

clusters on gender based violence and human rights; health, reproductive health , HIV and AIDS;

education training and the girl child; poverty, rural and economic development; governance,

peace and security; media research and information and communication.

Growth at Home: This was developed by the Ministry of Trade, Industry and SME Development

to reinforce the importance of accelerating economic growth, reducing income inequality and

increasing employment. The strategy emphasises industrialization, manufacturing and value

addition. A number of training and technical support were given to women entrepreneurs to

enable them tap into new markets and increase their exports. Moreover, ten Growth Strategies

and associated value chains were developed, focusing on the following industries: Cosmetics,

Sea Food, Agribusiness, Metal Fabrication, Handicraft, Leather, Jewellery and Colored

Gemstone, Swakara Wool, and Taxidermy. Women constitute a high proportion in most of these

industries.

II. Government reforms undertaken

GRN has prioritised education, health and social sectors in the national budget. In the education

sector, Government is committed to extending the provision of free education through to the

secondary school level, and improving teacher upgrading programmes and educational facilities to

enhance access to especially tertiary education and vocational training for expanded skills formation.

GRN is also committed to maintaining funding for the health sector in real terms to address gaps in

health facilities and improve service delivery. For every 100,000 births, 130 women die from

pregnancy related causes. Furthermore, Namibia also has one of the highest HIV prevalence rates in

the world, with women accounting for 53% of all reported new HIV cases. In the context of the

ongoing fiscal consolidation efforts, and as outlined in the 2016/17 Mid-Year Budget Review and

Mid-Term Budget Policy Statement, the government has ring-fenced expenditures in education and

health to ensure that gains in the social sector are not eroded.

Namibia has put in place a robust social safety net as part of efforts to fight poverty and inequality.

The government intends to increase the social safety net grant with the objective of lifting the

beneficiaries above the national poverty line. Over the past fifteen years, child welfare grant has

expanded more than 29 fold in coverage from 9000 beneficiaries in 2002 to 261,183 in January 2017

and these have significant poverty-reducing effects. Moreover, about 202,000 people above the age

of 60 years old received social grant under the universal social grant for the elderly and persons living

with disabilities. The social safety net operates from different line ministries and there are efforts by

the Ministry of Poverty Eradication and Social Welfare to come with a comprehensive policy, action

plan, and implementation arrangement, together with robust unified Monitoring and Evaluation

framework. As part of its efforts to improve food poverty, the government introduced a “Food Bank”,

which is a social benefit providing food packs to vulnerable households. The program was introduced

in June 2016 and is already benefiting 22,000 households as at February 2017 in the capital city of

Windhoek. The government plans to roll out the program to the other parts of the country later.

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XV

The Government has developed a blueprint on wealth distribution and poverty eradication as a policy

framework aimed at advancing strategies for eradication of poverty and reducing income inequality.

The blueprint was approved by the Cabinet in August 2016, even though its implementation is yet to

commence. The Ministry of Poverty Eradication and Social Welfare is currently (as at Feb 2017)

developing the implementation plan to guide the roll out of the blueprint.

Namibian Ministry of Land Reform is implementing a comprehensive land reform strategy to ensure

fair and equitable access to land in Namibia. Other ministries, such as the Ministry of Agriculture,

Water and Forestry, Ministry of Urban and Rural Development, Ministry of Mines and Energy and

the Ministry of Environment and Tourism, are also involved in the creation of integrated regional

land use plans to serve as the basis for planning rural investments. Appropriate legal frameworks

have been established for land registration in communal areas and for equitable access to commercial

land. Communal land boards established by the government work with traditional hierarchies, such

as clan chiefs, to arbitrate land disputes. Women and marginalised groups, such as people living with

HIV/AIDS, have benefited in particular from improved legal rights and guarantees of access to land.

By end 2016, approximately nine million hectares of land have been peacefully distributed to landless

and previously disadvantaged persons in commercial areas. The Namibian Government has,

therefore, made significant progress towards achieving its goal of redistributing a total of 15 million

hectares of land by 2020.

III. Impact of the reforms supported by the proposed operation on the poor and

vulnerable groups: Enhancing inclusion

The reforms envisaged under this proposed PBO focus on three different areas: fiscal consolidation,

public financial management and business climate. The beneficiaries are the Namibian citizens at

large, with a particular focus on investors and the business community. The anticipated overall

outcomes include a more effective PFM, better performing state owned enterprises and an improved

business enabling environment.

The reforms supported by this operation will positively influence efforts geared towards reducing

poverty, vulnerability and spur economic growth. The programme’s focus on fiscal consolidation will

widen the tax base and reduce large inefficient expenditures and hence help create fiscal space for

increased investments in critical areas, such as infrastructure development and social sector programs,

including social housing and the extension of water and sanitation facilities in rural and remote areas

largely populated by vulnerable and poor communities. In addition, some of the reforms under the

business environment component are anticipated to support the development of micro, small and medium

enterprises, thereby facilitating job creation opportunities, including for youth and women. The focus on

investment facilitation is likely to attract investment and hence create job opportunities and reduce

poverty and income inequality.

The programme also supports the Government’s Fiscal Policy Strategy for 2016/17 - 2018/19, which

provides for the implementation of targeted measures to reduce poverty and vulnerability. Some of

the specific measures include (i) supporting investments in the priority economic and social

infrastructure; (ii) implementing policies which promote local access to, and ownership of the

resources; and (iii) strengthening the quality and coverage of Old Age Pension, Orphan and

Vulnerable Children and disability grants as a first line of defence against poverty for the vulnerable

members of society. By helping provide the much needed fiscal space in the context of fiscal

consolidation, the proposed programme will give a boost to the transformation of both economic and

social sectors, and positively impact the poor and vulnerable groups. It will help GRN to fulfil its

commitment to ensuring sufficient funding for key social programmes. As reflected in the logical

framework, a specific indicator targeting an increase in the budgetary allocation to social expenditure

forms part of the operation. It will help to ensure that fiscal consolidation reforms, rather than worsen

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XVI

the already high inequality, will actually reduce inequality by supporting social safety net programs.

This will help improve the quality of public spending which is an important aspect of fiscal

consolidation reforms. The programme also supports procurement reforms which will, among others,

increase access to procurement opportunities for MSMEs, including those headed by women, hence

creating employment opportunities, increase income levels and reducing inequality. The EGCSP

intervention is expected to help create 300 new Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises. It will also

contribute to a reduction in the unemployment rate from 28.1% in 2014 to 20% in 2019 and a

reduction in the poverty rate from 18% in 2015 to 12% in 2019.

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XVII

APPENDIX VI: LINK BETWEEN THE PBO AND THE THREE INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT PROJECTS

THE MACROECONOMIC AND STRUCTURAL CONTEXT FOR THE BANK’S BUDGET SUPPORT TO NAMIBIA:

THE LINK BETWEEN THE PBO AND THE THREE INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT PROJECTS

The Bank’s budget support to Namibia takes a two pronged approach, designed to help advance the country’s development agenda in a manner that is coherent with country priorities and

High5s. The PBO constitutes one part to support policy measures for addressing emerging vulnerabilities undermining macroeconomic stability and bold structural reforms adopted to

drive long-term job creating growth and income equality. The three infrastructure investment projects (with sharpened focus on transport, education and agriculture value chain

development) approved in 2017, constitute the other part that builds on and reinforces the PBO results for enhanced development outcomes. The EGCSP and the three projects complement

each other, in that while the PBO helps to preserve macroeconomic stability, address structural challenges and drive PFM and business environment reforms in support of industrialization,

the infrastructure investments will help boost the long term competitiveness of the economy, and hence create the foundation for long term sustainable growth and job creation. Details of

their contribution to addressing core development challenges are tabulated below. CORE DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES GRN’S INTERVENTION BUDGET SUPPORT (EGCSP) INFRASTRUCTURE

DEVELOPMENT INVESTMENT

PROGRAM

Emerging

vulnerabilities

and challenges

have

undermined

macroeconomic

stability

After strong growth performance during the global economic downturn, Namibia has nursed wide fiscal and current account deficits, sharp rise in public debt and low international reserves. Furthermore, liquidity constraints in the domestic market and rollover risks impacted on the authorities' capacity to raise money domestically, a

traditionally preferred modality for gap financing. Recourse to international capital markets was constrained by exchange rate risks and its impact on public debt. Fitch and Moody’s in 2016 Q4 revised Namibia’s sovereign credit rating outlook from stable to negative.

Accelerated fiscal consolidation stance: Spending cuts of up to 2.8% of GDP in 2016/17 budget; Establishing semi-autonomous Revenue Agency to strengthen revenue collection; Strengthening revenue mobilization and tax arrears clearance; Reducing non priority spending, containing public sector wage bill. Prudent fiscal gap financing: To limit negative

impact on public debt, GRN is focusing on ZAR borrowing from domestic market, Johannesburg Stock Exchange and AfDB at competitive rates

Policy measures support enhancement of tax revenue collection and containment of wage bill. Financing provides fiscal space for priority capital and social spending. Long-term liquidity in ZAR extends

the maturity profile of GRN debt and mitigates exchange rate risk on debt. Phase I has already yielded positive results. Phase II will build on the achievements.

Construction phase will be instrumental in catalyzing domestic demand and creating jobs supporting the GRN’s ‘growth friendly’ fiscal consolidation stance.

Weaknesses in

PFM and

economic

governance have

impacted on the

quality and

efficiency of

public sector

spending but

improvements

have been

recorded.

Slow pace of PFM reforms weakened public sector

efficiency, regulatory oversight and enforcement and increased participation of private sector in public investment financing. At the same time, while SOEs play an important role in social service delivery and public sector capital investments, the majority exhibit poor governance and financial performance and represent a significant fiscal burden and risk on public finances through annual

budget transfers and guaranteed debt.

Making public procurement more transparent and

efficient and facilitating participation of SMEs, Operationalizing Public-Private Partnerships to strengthen mobilization of private financing.

Improving SOE governance and financial performance to reduce fiscal risks. Modernizing

PFM law and achieve Auditor General’s

independence. Enhancing public debt strategy.

Policy measures support

advancements in the PPP framework, new Public Procurement law, new PFM and Audit laws, improvements to SOE performance and approval of the new public debt strategy.

Use of country institutions and

systems such as public procurement, PPP unit and related SOEs as well as on-going and planned TA in these areas will help strengthen capacity. The possibility of using savings from the ongoing PPP project to help operationalize the public

procurement Act is being considered. This will help in the implementation of the infrastructure projects.

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XVIII

Structural

bottlenecks are

limiting

Namibia’s

capacity to

achieve broad

economic

diversification for

the creation of

quality jobs and

meaningful

reduction in

income inequality

Dependence on mining contributes to growth volatility, slow employment creation and income inequality. An analysis of the growth pattern, shows that low labor intensive mining sector has been a key growth driver. Mining accounts for the second largest share of GDP, contributes nearly half of export earnings and offers the highest wage rate but employs only 2% of the labour force. While agriculture is the biggest employer it contributes less than 5

% share to GDP and has one of the lowest wage rates. The low employment elasticity of mining and low wage in agriculture partly explains the failure by the economy to translate high growth rates into more jobs and greater income equality. Economic diversification efforts are hampered by a poor business regulatory environment, infrastructure bottlenecks, skills mismatch, and lack of financing for Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises.

The HPP has identified SME based

manufacturing (industrialization) as one of the

key priorities of the NDP on which to focus reforms and resources in order to drive economic diversification and long term job creating growth. The Growth at Home Strategy provides a clear road map for export oriented industrialization.

It promotes the creation of quality jobs through

SME value-adding market oriented activities in agriculture including cereals, horticultural crops and livestock, and the country’s vast mineral resources including diamond, gold and copper. The HPP, NDP and Growth at Home underscore the importance of improving competitiveness of infrastructure: energy, transport, water and sanitation and ICT for

industrialization. The Green Scheme is supporting growth in agricultural productivity. The Business and Intellectual Property

Authority (BIPA) has been established under law to improve the business environment. An MSME

policy is in place and an Industrial Agency is being established for oversight.

Policy measures support the operationalization of BIPA to improve the business environment for industrialization, MSME policy and financing strategy and establishment

of the Industrial Development Agency. Industry Growth Facilitators

have been appointed and

Sector Associations have been

established to drive the

implementation of 10 Growth

strategies. A Micro-lending

Bill has also been passed.

This component directly advances the Bank’s High5’s priority focus on ‘Industrialization’

The infrastructure projects will support priority investments in education to improve skills and reduce the mismatch; agriculture to promote agricultural

productivity and SME driven agricultural value chain development; and transport for cost efficient evacuation of agro inputs and agro-products between the farm gate, the industry and the market (domestic

and export). The projects directly advance 4 of the Bank’s High5s namely Industrialize Africa, Integrate Africa; Feed Africa and Improve the quality of life of the people of Africa.

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XIX

Appendix VII: Namibia – Development Partners’ sectoral areas of intervention and resource commitments (amounts in USD)

Sectors of

intervention

AfDB Finland U.S.A. Spain Turkey Germany Japan

European

Union United Nations China*

Agriculture,

Water, Rural

Development

85,604,400.2

2,612,825.00 - - 2,300,000.00 9,879,227.05 13,866,866.12 94,462,540.72

x

Health - 68,300,000.00 - -

- 10,857,763.30 21,980,000.00 Education 84,901,034.89

253,260.87 300,000.00 - 15,600,000.00 9,879,227.05 124,158.56 38,569,621.06 8,500,000.00

x

Governance 254,122,375.71

1,380,108.70 - - - 9,879,227.05 - 21,558,394.14 18,400,000.00

Poverty 1,044,213.04 - - - 9,879,227.05 115,931.19

30,570,000.00

Culture - - - - 9,879,227.05 - 16,286,644.95 - Environment &

Natural

Resources

1,002,173.91 7,701,667.00 650,176.43 250,000.00 9,879,227.05 - 3,399,078.17 -

Infrastructure 421,568,953.66

- - - 1,000,000.00 9,879,227.05 1,720,269.26 2,823,018.46 -

x

Innovation &

Technology

9,456,521.74 - - 650,000.00

1,550,000.00 - -

Trade &

Industry

543,306.52 - - - 9,879,227.05 - - -

Economic

Development

243,695.65 - - - 9,879,227.05 - - -

Financial

sector

384,963,603.68

TOTAL 1,231,160,368.14 16,536,105.43 76,301,667.00 650,176.43 19,800,000.00 88,913,043.45 17,377,225.13 187,957,060.80 79,450,000.00

Source: UN Development Partners’ Coordination in Namibia (2018).

Note: *Total China’s development assistance to Namibia is estimated at N$ 1,997,106,874, with N$ 302,709,602.51 coming directly from the Government of

the People’s Republic of China while the larger portion (N$ 1,694,397,271.98) is channelled by the Export-Import Bank of China.

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XX

APPENDIX VIII: MAP OF THE REPUBLIC OF NAMIBIA