15
Applied MANOVA and Discriminant Analysis Second Edition CARL J. HUBERTY The University of Georgia Department of Educational Psychology Athens, Georgia STEPHEN OLEJNIK The University of Georgia Department of Educational Psychology Athens, Georgia A JOHN WILEY & SONS, INC. PUBLICATION

Applied MANOVA and Discriminant Analysis Second Edition · PDF file“fm” — 2006/3/21 — page iii — #3 Applied MANOVA and Discriminant Analysis Second Edition CARL J. HUBERTY

  • Upload
    lyhanh

  • View
    236

  • Download
    4

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • fm 2006/3/21 page iii #3

    Applied MANOVA andDiscriminant Analysis

    Second Edition

    CARL J. HUBERTY

    The University of GeorgiaDepartment of Educational PsychologyAthens, Georgia

    STEPHEN OLEJNIK

    The University of GeorgiaDepartment of Educational PsychologyAthens, Georgia

    A JOHN WILEY & SONS, INC. PUBLICATION

    InnodataFile Attachment9780471789468.jpg

  • fm 2006/3/21 page vi #6

  • fm 2006/3/21 page i #1

    Applied MANOVA andDiscriminant Analysis

  • fm 2006/3/21 page ii #2

    WILEY SERIES IN PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

    Established by WALTER A. SHEWHART and SAMUEL S. WILKS

    Editors: David J. Balding, Noel A. C. Cressie, Nicholas I. Fisher,Iain M. Johnstone, J. B. Kadane, Geert Molenberghs, Louise M. Ryan,David W. Scott, Adrian F. M. Smith, Jozef L. TeugelsEditors Emeriti: Vic Barnett, J. Stuart Hunter, David G. Kendall

    A complete list of the titles in this series appears at the end of this volume.

  • fm 2006/3/21 page iii #3

    Applied MANOVA andDiscriminant Analysis

    Second Edition

    CARL J. HUBERTY

    The University of GeorgiaDepartment of Educational PsychologyAthens, Georgia

    STEPHEN OLEJNIK

    The University of GeorgiaDepartment of Educational PsychologyAthens, Georgia

    A JOHN WILEY & SONS, INC. PUBLICATION

  • fm 2006/3/21 page iv #4

    This book is printed on acid-free paper.

    Copyright 2006 by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey. All rights reserved.Published simultaneously in Canada.

    No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any formor by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning or otherwise, except aspermitted under Sections 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without either the priorwritten permission of the Publisher, or authorization through payment of the appropriate percopy fee to theCopyright Clearance Center, 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, (978) 750-8400, fax (978) 750-4744. Requests to the Publisher for permission should be addressed to the Permissions Department, JohnWiley & Sons, Inc., 605 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10158-0012, (212) 850-6011, fax (212) 850-6008,E-Mail: [email protected].

    For ordering and customer service, call 1-800-CALL-WILEY.

    Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data:

    Huberty, Carl J., 1934-Applied MANOVA and discriminant analysis.2nd ed./Carl J. Huberty, Stephen Olejnik.

    p. cmRev. ed. of: Applied discriminant analysis. c1994.Includes bibliographical references and index.ISBN-13: 978-0-471-46815-8 (acid-free paper)ISBN-10: 0-471-46815-0 (acid-free paper)

    1. Discriminant analysis. 2. Multivariate analysis. I. Olejnik, Stephen. II. Huberty, Carl J., 1934-Applied discriminant analysis. III. Title.

    QA278.65.H83 2006519.535dc22

    2005054231

    Printed in the United States of America.

    10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

  • fm 2006/3/21 page v #5

    To our wives, Sandy and Sherrie

    In memory of Clem (father), Rosalie (mother), andKen (brother) Huberty

    Harry (father), Ann (mother), andTony (brother) Olejnik

  • fm 2006/3/21 page vi #6

  • fm 2006/3/21 page vii #7

    Brief Contents

    PART I: INTRODUCTION 1

    Chapter 1 Discriminant Analysis in Research 3

    Chapter 2 Preliminaries 15

    PART II: ONE-FACTOR MANOVA/DDA 33

    Chapter 3 Group Separation 35

    Chapter 4 Assessing MANOVA Effects 61

    Chapter 5 Describing MANOVA Effects 81

    Chapter 6 Deleting and Ordering Variables 103

    Chapter 7 Reporting DDA Results 117

    PART III: COMPLEX MANOVA 129

    Chapter 8 Factorial MANOVA 131

    Chapter 9 Analysis of Covariance 163

    Chapter 10 Repeated-Measures Analysis 193

    Chapter 11 Mixed-Model Analysis 227

    PART IV: GROUP-MEMBERSHIP PREDICTION 253

    Chapter 12 Classification Basics 255

    Chapter 13 Multivariate Normal Rules 269

    vii

  • fm 2006/3/21 page viii #8

    viii BRIEF CONTENTS

    Chapter 14 Classification Results 285

    Chapter 15 Hit Rate Estimation 295

    Chapter 16 Effectiveness of Classification Rules 315

    Chapter 17 Deleting and Ordering Predictors 335

    Chapter 18 Two-Group Classification 349

    Chapter 19 Nonnormal Rules 361

    Chapter 20 Reporting PDA Results 375

    Chapter 21 PDA-Related Analyses 385

    PART V: ISSUES AND PROBLEMS 391

    Chapter 22 Issues in PDA and DDA 393

    Chapter 23 Problems in PDA and DDA 401

  • fm 2006/3/21 page ix #9

    Contents

    List of Figures xix

    List of Tables xxi

    Preface to Second Edition xxv

    Acknowledgments xxvii

    Preface to First Edition xxix

    Notation xxxi

    I INTRODUCTION 1

    1 Discriminant Analysis in Research 3

    1.1 A Little History, 31.2 Overview, 51.3 Descriptive Discriminant Analysis, 51.4 Predictive Discriminant Analysis, 71.5 Design in Discriminant Analysis, 9

    1.5.1 Grouping Variables, 91.5.2 Response Variables, 9Exercises, 13

    2 Preliminaries 15

    2.1 Introduction, 152.2 Research Context, 152.3 Data, Analysis Units, Variables, and Constructs, 162.4 Summarizing Data, 182.5 Matrix Operations, 21

    2.5.1 SSCP Matrix, 22

    ix

  • fm 2006/3/21 page x #10

    x CONTENTS

    2.5.2 Determinant, 232.5.3 Inverse, 242.5.4 Eigenanalysis, 25

    2.6 Distance, 262.7 Linear Composite, 282.8 Probability, 282.9 Statistical Testing, 292.10 Judgment in Data Analysis, 302.11 Summary, 31

    Further Reading, 31Exercises, 32

    II ONE-FACTOR MANOVA/DDA 33

    3 Group Separation 35

    3.1 Introduction, 353.2 Two-Group Analyses, 35

    3.2.1 Univariate Analysis, 353.2.2 Multivariate Analysis, 39

    3.3 Test for Covariance Matrix Equality, 413.4 Yao Test, 433.5 Multiple-Group AnalysesSingle Factor, 44

    3.5.1 Univariate Analysis, 443.5.2 Multivariate Analysis, 47

    3.6 Computer Application, 523.7 Summary, 56

    Exercises, 57

    4 Assessing MANOVA Effects 61

    4.1 Introduction, 614.2 Strength of Association, 62

    4.2.1 Univariate, 624.2.2 Multivariate, 624.2.3 Bias, 65

    4.3 Computer Application I, 664.4 Group Contrasts, 67

    4.4.1 Univariate, 674.4.2 Multivariate, 68

    4.5 Computer Application II, 724.6 Covariance Matrix Heterogeneity, 744.7 Sample Size, 74

  • fm 2006/3/21 page xi #11

    CONTENTS xi

    4.8 Summary, 75Technical Notes, 76Exercises, 77

    5 Describing MANOVA Effects 81

    5.1 Introduction, 815.2 Omnibus Effects, 82

    5.2.1 An Eigenanalysis, 825.2.2 Linear Discriminant Functions, 83

    5.3 Computer Application I, 855.4 Standardized LDF Weights, 875.5 LDF Space Dimension, 88

    5.5.1 Statistical Tests, 895.5.2 Proportion of Variance, 915.5.3 LDF Plots, 91

    5.6 Computer Application II, 935.7 Computer Application III, 945.8 Contrast Effects, 965.9 Computer Application IV, 965.10 Summary, 98

    Technical Note, 99Further Reading, 100Exercises, 100

    6 Deleting and Ordering Variables 103

    6.1 Introduction, 1036.2 Variable Deletion, 103

    6.2.1 Purposes of Deletion, 1036.2.2 McCabe Analysis, 1046.2.3 Computer Application, 105

    6.3 Variable Ordering, 1066.3.1 Meaning of Importance, 1066.3.2 Computer Application I, 1086.3.3 Variable Ranking, 110

    6.4 Contrast Analyses, 1106.5 Computer Application II, 1116.6 Comments, 113

    Further Reading, 114Exercises, 115

    7 Reporting DDA Results 117

    7.1 Introduction, 1177.2 Example of Reporting DDA Results, 117

  • fm 2006/3/21 page xii #12

    xii CONTENTS

    7.3 Computer Package Information, 1227.4 Reporting Terms, 1237.5 MANOVA/DDA Applications, 1247.6 Concerns, 1247.7 Overview, 126

    Further Reading, 127Exercises, 127

    III FACTORIAL MANOVA, MANCOVA, AND REPEATEDMEASURES 129

    8 Factorial MANOVA 131

    8.1 Introduction, 1318.2 Research Context, 1318.3 Univariate Analysis, 1348.4 Multivariate Analysis, 136

    8.4.1 Omnibus Tests, 1368.4.2 Distribution Assumptions, 138

    8.5 Computer Application I, 1398.6 Computer Application II, 1468.7 Nonorthogonal Design, 1508.8 Outcome Variable Ordering and Deletion, 1518.9 Summary, 152

    Technical Notes, 152Exercises, 159

    9 Analysis of Covariance 163

    9.1 Introduction, 1639.2 Research Context, 1649.3 Univariate ANCOVA, 166

    9.3.1 Testing for Equality of Regression Slopes, 1669.3.2 Omnibus Test of Adjusted Means, 168

    9.4 Multivariate ANCOVA (MANCOVA), 1709.4.1 Matrix Calculations, 1709.4.2 Testing for Equal Slopes, 171

    9.5 Computer Application I, 1739.6 Comparing Adjusted MeansOmnibus Test, 1749.7 Computer Application II, 1759.8 Contrast Analysis, 1809.9 Computer Application III, 180

  • fm 2006/3/21 page xiii #13

    CONTENTS xiii

    9.10 Summary, 184Technical Note, 184Exercises, 190

    10 Repeated-Measures Analysis 193

    10.1 Introduction, 19310.2 Research Context, 19510.3 Univariate Analyses, 196

    10.3.1 Omnibus Test, 19610.3.2 Contrast Analysis, 197

    10.4 Multivariate Analysis, 19910.5 Computer Application I, 20210.6 Univariate and Multivariate Analyses, 20410.7 Testing for Sphericity, 20710.8 Computer Application II, 21010.9 Contrast Analysis, 21210.10 Computer Application III, 21410.11 Summary, 216

    Technical Notes, 217Exercises, 223

    11 Mixed-Model Analysis 227

    11.1 Introduction, 22711.2 Research Context, 22811.3 Univariate Analysis, 22911.4 Multivariate Analysis, 231

    11.4.1 Group-by-Time Interaction, 23211.4.2 Repeated-Measures Variable Main Effect, 235

    11.5 Computer Application I, 23711.6 Contrast Analysis, 24011.7 Computer Application II, 24311.8 Summary, 246

    Technical Note, 247Exercises, 249

    IV GROUP MEMBERSHIP PREDICTION 253

    12 Classificatio