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Business Summary Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ALL) operates as a developer, manufacturer and distributor of gaming content, platforms and systems in Australia, New Zealand, Americas, Japan and Rest of World. ALL also operates within the on-line social gaming and real money wager markets. Games: Games are developed on a continuous basis. Some of the latest games include 5 Dragons Legends, Queen Of The Nile Legends, Panda Paradise Quick Fire, The Red Empress, Sparkling Royal Jackpot Streak, Electric Boogaloo Quick Fire, Sun King, The White Wizard, and Superman. Systems: (i) Oasis 360 is the casino management system which manages slot accounting, pit accounting and player tracking. The system provides customers with: online real-time tracking of events; a graphical user interface that provides a visual representation of the casino floor; and faster performance, with immediate access to information for improved customer service. (ii) System 7000 Prime comprises of flexible gaming management modules that provides a comprehensive cohesive integrated functionality supporting Cage, Table and EGM Management operations. Online: ALL have extended its product strategy into mobile, both via Oasis 360/ nLive as well as through the acquisition of Product Madness, a leader in the fast-growing online social casino market. Its digital strategy includes: (i) nLive solution offers land-based operators a turn-key solution for providing their players with a 'virtual casino' online; (ii) to distribute its content in the North American and European real money gaming markets through nCube, the remote game server, and through selected platform partners; and (iii) social and mobile gaming via Product Madness enables the group to distribute virtual currency content. Acquisition: Aristocrat Leisure Limited has acquired an social gaming company Big Fish Games from Churchill Downs. Big Fish is a provider of social casino content and meta-game applications. Latest Research Well attended investor day a perfect warm up for the 1H result Investor day well attended – Whilst ALL’s investor day in Sydney came without specifics around financials/guidance (not that we were expecting any), commentary around group strategy, end markets, digital insights and exposure to divisional mgmt was sufficient to appease the sizable crowd in our view - if ever there was a time when investor turnout was positively correlated to outlook, this was it. For more information see research 02 May 2018. GICS - Consumer Serv Aristocrat Leisure Limited ASX Code: ALL Price: $32.19 12 Mth Target Price: $36.00 Rating: Buy Important Disclaimer - This may affect your legal rights: Because this document has been prepared without consideration of any specific client's financial situation, particular needs and investment objectives, a Bell Potter Securities Limited investment adviser (or the financial services licensee, or the proper authority of such licensee, who has provided you with this report by arrangement with Bell Potter Securities Limited) should be consulted before any investment decision is made. While this document is based on the information from sources which are considered reliable, Bell Potter Securities Limited, its directors, employees and consultants do not represent, warrant or guarantee, expressly or impliedly, that the information contained in this document is complete or accurate. Nor does Bell Potter Securities Limited accept any responsibility to inform you of any matter that subsequently comes to its notice, which may affect any of the information contained in this document. This document is a private communication to clients and is not intended for public circulation or for the use of any third party, without the prior approval of Bell Potter Securities Limited. This is general investment advice only and does not constitute advice to any person. Disclosure of Interest: Bell Potter Securities Limited receives commission from dealing in securities and its authorised representatives, or introducers of business, may directly share in this commission. Bell Potter Securities and its associates may hold shares in the companies recommended. Snapshot Date Market Cap. Shares on issue 12 Month High 12 Month Low 6 August 2018 $20,555m 638.5m $33.06 $19.92 Rating Rating 12 Mth Target Price Capital Gain Gross Yield Implied Total Return Buy $36.00 12.5% 3.1% 15.6% Investment Fundamentals FYE 30 Sep 2017A 2018F 2019F 2020F Profit $m 543.0 779.0 966.0 1,146.0 Profit (norm)* $m 543.0 779.0 966.0 1,146.0 EPS* ¢ 85.0 122.0 151.0 179.0 EPS Growth % 37.1 43.5 23.8 18.5 P/E* x 37.7 26.2 21.2 17.9 P/E Relative % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 DPS ¢ 34.0 48.0 92.0 107.0 Yield % 1.1 1.5 2.9 3.3 Franking % 59.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 * Adjusted for goodwill and unusual items Source: Based on Citi estimates Share Price Chart Total Return on $10,000 Investment

Aristocrat Leisure Limited ASX Code: ALL Price: … · Business Summary Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ALL) operates as a developer, manufacturer and distributor of gaming content, platforms

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Page 1: Aristocrat Leisure Limited ASX Code: ALL Price: … · Business Summary Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ALL) operates as a developer, manufacturer and distributor of gaming content, platforms

Business SummaryAristocrat Leisure Limited (ALL) operates as a developer, manufacturer anddistributor of gaming content, platforms and systems in Australia, NewZealand, Americas, Japan and Rest of World. ALL also operates within theon-line social gaming and real money wager markets.

Games: Games are developed on a continuous basis. Some of the latestgames include 5 Dragons Legends, Queen Of The Nile Legends, PandaParadise Quick Fire, The Red Empress, Sparkling Royal Jackpot Streak,Electric Boogaloo Quick Fire, Sun King, The White Wizard, and Superman.

Systems: (i) Oasis 360 is the casino management system which managesslot accounting, pit accounting and player tracking. The system providescustomers with: online real-time tracking of events; a graphical user interfacethat provides a visual representation of the casino floor; and fasterperformance, with immediate access to information for improved customerservice. (ii) System 7000 Prime comprises of flexible gaming managementmodules that provides a comprehensive cohesive integrated functionalitysupporting Cage, Table and EGM Management operations.

Online: ALL have extended its product strategy into mobile, both via Oasis360/ nLive as well as through the acquisition of Product Madness, a leader inthe fast-growing online social casino market. Its digital strategy includes: (i)nLive solution offers land-based operators a turn-key solution for providingtheir players with a 'virtual casino' online; (ii) to distribute its content in theNorth American and European real money gaming markets through nCube,the remote game server, and through selected platform partners; and (iii)social and mobile gaming via Product Madness enables the group todistribute virtual currency content.

Acquisition: Aristocrat Leisure Limited has acquired an social gamingcompany Big Fish Games from Churchill Downs. Big Fish is a provider ofsocial casino content and meta-game applications.

Latest ResearchWell attended investor day a perfect warm up for the 1H result

Investor day well attended – Whilst ALL’s investor day in Sydney camewithout specifics around financials/guidance (not that we were expectingany), commentary around group strategy, end markets, digital insights andexposure to divisional

mgmt was sufficient to appease the sizable crowd in our view - if ever therewas a time when investor turnout was positively correlated to outlook, thiswas it.

For more information see research 02 May 2018.

GICS - Consumer Serv

Aristocrat Leisure Limited

ASX Code: ALL Price: $32.19 12 Mth Target Price: $36.00 Rating: Buy

Important Disclaimer - This may affect your legal rights: Because this document has been prepared without consideration of any specific client's financial situation, particular needs and investmentobjectives, a Bell Potter Securities Limited investment adviser (or the financial services licensee, or the proper authority of such licensee, who has provided you with this report by arrangement withBell Potter Securities Limited) should be consulted before any investment decision is made. While this document is based on the information from sources which are considered reliable, Bell PotterSecurities Limited, its directors, employees and consultants do not represent, warrant or guarantee, expressly or impliedly, that the information contained in this document is complete or accurate.Nor does Bell Potter Securities Limited accept any responsibility to inform you of any matter that subsequently comes to its notice, which may affect any of the information contained in this document.This document is a private communication to clients and is not intended for public circulation or for the use of any third party, without the prior approval of Bell Potter Securities Limited. This is generalinvestment advice only and does not constitute advice to any person.Disclosure of Interest: Bell Potter Securities Limited receives commission from dealing in securities and its authorised representatives, or introducers of business, may directly share in thiscommission. Bell Potter Securities and its associates may hold shares in the companies recommended.

Snapshot

DateMarket Cap.Shares on issue12 Month High12 Month Low

6 August 2018$20,555m638.5m$33.06$19.92

RatingRating12 Mth Target Price

Capital GainGross Yield

Implied Total Return

Buy$36.0012.5%3.1%15.6%

Investment FundamentalsFYE 30 Sep 2017A 2018F 2019F 2020F

Profit $m 543.0 779.0 966.0 1,146.0Profit (norm)* $m 543.0 779.0 966.0 1,146.0

EPS* ¢ 85.0 122.0 151.0 179.0EPS Growth % 37.1 43.5 23.8 18.5P/E* x 37.7 26.2 21.2 17.9P/E Relative % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

DPS ¢ 34.0 48.0 92.0 107.0Yield % 1.1 1.5 2.9 3.3Franking % 59.0 25.0 25.0 25.0* Adjusted for goodwill and unusual itemsSource: Based on Citi estimates

Share Price Chart

Total Return on $10,000 Investment

Page 2: Aristocrat Leisure Limited ASX Code: ALL Price: … · Business Summary Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ALL) operates as a developer, manufacturer and distributor of gaming content, platforms

Profit & Loss ($M)2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A

Sales Revenue 809 848 1,576 2,129 2,454Total Revenue ex. Int. 810 848 1,594 2,130 2,454EBITDA 183 246 516 876 1,064Depreciation & Amort. -43 -44 -161 -279 -283Goodwill Amortisation -- -- -- -- --EBIT 140 202 354 597 781Net Interest -6 -3 -75 -90 -53Profit Before Tax 134 200 280 507 728Income Tax -27 -36 -88 -157 -233Outside Equity Int. -- -- -- -- --Profit after Tax 107 118 221 350 495Significant Items after Tax -- -134 -35 -- --Reported Profit after Tax 107 -16 186 350 495Preferred Dividends -- -- -- -- --

Cash Flow ($M)2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A

Receipts from Customers 758 905 1,620 2,252 2,469Funds from Operations 118 192 543 832 970Net Operating Cashflow 98 159 438 680 799Capex -45 -90 -140 -193 -214Acquisitions & Investments -10 -12 -1,446 -30 -23Sale of Invest. & Subsid. 1 14 -6 14 --Net Investing Cashflow -53 -86 -1,592 -209 -236Proceeds from Issues -- 406 -- -- --Dividends Paid -51 -86 -101 -121 -185Net Financing Cashflow -39 183 1,190 -506 -297Net Increase Cash 6 256 35 -35 266Cash at Beginning 23 30 286 333 283Exchange Rate Adjust. 1 0 11 -14 -2Cash at End 30 286 333 283 547

Ratios and Substantial Shareholders2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A

Profitability RatiosEBITDA Margin % 22.63 29.08 32.73 41.17 43.38EBIT Margin % 17.34 23.88 22.49 28.05 31.84Net Profit Margin % 13.26 19.30 12.15 16.47 20.18Return on Equity % 28.25 23.17 20.87 32.59 36.79Return on Assets % 13.57 15.59 7.90 14.08 16.37

Debt/Safety RatiosNet Debt/Equity % 55.45 -24.26 158.12 93.41 48.48Interest Cover x 22.61 75.67 4.73 6.64 14.71

No Substantial Shareholders

Balance Sheet ($M)2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A

Cash & Equivalent 30 286 329 283 547Receivables 352 329 440 433 512Inventories 65 76 102 124 116Other Current Assets 18 11 12 35 19Current Assets 464 701 898 875 1,195Prop. Plant & Equipment 107 121 203 218 241Intangibles 144 130 1,942 1,736 1,688Other Non-Current Assets 89 85 98 132 126Non-Current Assets 409 411 2,320 2,113 2,098Total Assets 873 1,113 3,219 2,988 3,293Interest Bearing Debt 238 115 1,780 1,288 1,199Other Liabilities 260 292 522 624 748Total Liabilities 498 407 2,301 1,912 1,947Net Assets 375 706 917 1,076 1,346Share Capital 233 642 694 694 715Reserves -78 -58 16 -56 -117Retained Earnings 224 123 208 437 747Outside Equity Int. -4 -- -- -- --Total Shareholders Equity 375 706 917 1,076 1,346

Current Analyst Recommendations *

* Source: Morningstar. This chart shows the spread of recommendations from thosebroker analyst's in Australia with research coverage of this stock.

Principals & DirectorsPrincipals

Company Secretary Mr Richard Bell

Directors

Mr Neil Gregory Chatfield(Non-Executive Director)Dr Ian David Blackburne(Non-Executive Director,Non-ExecutiveChairman)Ms Kathleen Marie Conlon(Non-Executive Director)Mrs Arlene May Tansey(Non-Executive Director)Mr Stephen Morro(Non-Executive Director)Mrs Sylvia Summers Couder(Non-Executive Director)Mr Pat Ramsey(Non-Executive Director)Mr Trevor John Croker(Chief Executive Officer,Managing Director)

To access further Research or for information regarding our recommendations and ratings please seewww.bellpotter.com.au

© 2018 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. Neither Morningstar, its affiliates, nor the content providers guarantee the data or content contained herein to be accurate, complete or timely nor will they have any liabilityfor its use or distribution. Any general advice or 'class service' have been prepared by Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892) and/or Morningstar Research Ltd, subsidiaries ofMorningstar, Inc, without reference to your objectives, financial situation or needs. Refer to our Financial Services Guide (FSG) for more information at www.morningstar.com.au/s/fsg.pdf. You should consider theadvice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant Product Disclosure Statement (Australian products) or Investment Statement (New Zealand products) before making any decision to invest. Ourpublications, ratings and products should be viewed as an additional investment resource, not as your sole source of information. Past performance does not necessarily indicate a financial product's futureperformance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Some material is copyright and published under licence from ASX Operations Pty Ltd ACN 004 523 782 ("ASXO").

Aristocrat Leisure Limited

Bell Potter Securities Research

AFS Licence No. 243480 ABN 25 006 390 772

Email [email protected]

Website www.bellpotter.com.au