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11
Asset Management ProgramAsset Management Program
Università BicoccaUniversità Bicocca May 2007May 2007
2
ProgramsPrograms
Equity InvestmentEquity Investment
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR
Investment Process
Asset Allocation
Alternative investment
Multimanager / open architecture
Quantitative Techniques and Risk Management
3
Multimanager
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR
44
What is the multimanager approach
3 ways of multimanager:
3. Top down allocation decided by internal manager
The generation of alpha is deputed to external managers (funds of funds)
2. Mixed structure
3. Mandate to an external company to manage a fund / managed account
the top down process and the generation of alpha are totally deputed to an external manager
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR
55
Why the multimanager approach
3 main reasons:
3. Range and Quality
through the multimanager is possible to acquire expertise on markets / approaches / styles not covered
2. Diversification
approach and market diversification
3. Economic rationale
trend of demand towards multimanager
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR
66
Universe of funds
2 ways to enter the funds universe:
3. Direct agreements
Issues:
long time and costs to negotiate legal and commercial agreement
few fund houses
need of a trading platform
2. Comprehensive Platform (Allfunds Bank)
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR
77
Mapping the funds
Differences from an universe of stocks:
No reliable information from data providers (morningstar, s&p) or official classification (assogestioni) about:
market on which the fund invests (no discriminaton from an area and a part of that area)
utilisation of systematic currency hedging
correlation to particular markets (real estate)
different styles
etc.
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR
88
Mapping the funds
Solutions:
3. Best way:due diligence on all fundssophisticated quant analysis (multifactorial regression)
Issues:time and resources: many resources and long time to cover all the universemulticollinearity
2. Light due diligence (creation of a DB with key information)single factor regression to validate qualitative data
Attribution to the appropriate benchmark
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR
99
Time series
Critical aspect:
Time series are available but not all in line with the market:
3. Time series shifted by one day
easy solution
2. Pricing of the assets intraday
correct the series by adding and subtracting the market performance
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR
1010
Quantitative screening
Type of fund
2. Equity or fixed income fund
regression with the attributed benchmark
2. Absolute return fund
ability to reach the performance target within volatility and var limits
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR
1111
Quantitative screening
Goals:
2. Benchmark driven portfolio with short to mid term horizon, top down approach with tactical asset allocation
Profile of indicators to look for
we need funds with high predictability, close to ETF / index tracker, high Rsqare, consistence of Beta, better with outperformance but we can bear light underperformance
Usually funds with these characteristics have quantitative investment process, low tev, little deviation from benchmark allocation, securities diversification, risk management process is a key
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR
1212
Quantitative screening
Goals:
2. Benchmark as a reference for the portfolio, mid to long term horizon, no need to beat the benchmark, but to have a better risk / performance profile (usually private portfolios)
Profile of indicators to look for
lower Rsquare, no matter the inconsistence of Beta, higher tev, profile of outperformance
Usually funds with these characteristics have bottom up discretional investment process, concentrated portfolios, some deviation from benchmark allocation. They can base the generation of outperformance both on asset allocation, market timing and security selection
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR
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Quantitative screening
Goals:
3. Portfolio with outperformance target vs benchmark in a mid term horizon, costs to repay (usually funds of funds)
Profile of indicators to look for
some funds with mid to high Rsquare, consistence of outperformance, mid tev: to reduce drawdown probability and limit the dimension of the underperformance
some funds identified for the second portfolio: to generate excess return vs benchmark
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR
1414
Quantitative screening
Goals:
4. Portfolio with an absolute return target
Profile of indicators to look for
good risk / return profile, low / no correlation with equity or bond market, little drawdown
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR
1515
Qualitative analysis
Many aspects to investigate:
3. The firm
ownership, organisation, AUM
2. Investment philosophy & process
investment universe: coherence with benchmark, market and style declared
investment processinitial screening, idea generation, valuation techniques: is the process robust, is it coherent with the investment philosophy?changes in the process settle the quant analysis
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR
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Qualitative analysisbuy & sell discipline: trade off flexibility - risk?
positions held for risk purposes: conviction?asset allocation is a key? consequences on
the portfolio construction
3. The manager / management team
single star manager: quick decisions, but what if he lives? team: internal conflicts but continuity
who is responsible for what?
motivation and remunerationare managers motivated?are they evaluated on performances? What is the time period for the evaluation: one calendar year consolidation
of the performance? rolling period
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR
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Qualitative analysis
4. Characteristics of the portfolio
investment style, capitalisation, approach asses coherence with: what declared
past performance
number of securities in the portfolio
utilisation of cash, derivatives, currency hedging:coherence with the approach
targets in terms of performance and tev is there also tev and performance budgeting? is the performance consistent with this?
how do they explain the past performance?
limits relative to the benchmark (beta, countries & sectors):coherence with the approach
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR
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Portfolio construction
Goals:
Equity portfolios: beat the Msci tr net dividend indexAbsolute return portfolios: reach the declared target
How:
Equity portfoliosdiversification in terms of: markets, style, approachUncorrelated alphaRisk control (beta, tev, deviation from benchmark)
Absolute return portfolios:Diversification in terms of: strategies / marketsUncorrelated performancesRisk control (volatility, correlation and beta vs equity and bond
market)
Fideuram Investimenti SGRFideuram Investimenti SGR