Baltimore AMERICAS Market Beat Industrial Q42011

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  • 8/3/2019 Baltimore AMERICAS Market Beat Industrial Q42011

    1/4

    ECONOMIC OVERVIEW

    The national unemployment rate, according to

    the Bureau of Labor Statistics, was 8.5% in

    December of 2011. Despite the almost one

    percentage point decrease in the national

    unemployment rate from last year and growth

    in the manufacturing sector, employment stability and the general

    health of the economy remained concerning for consumers.

    Marylands preliminary unemployment rate stood at 6.9% in

    November 2011, 1.6 percentage points below the national rate.

    CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS UNDERWAY IN 2011At year-end 2011, the Baltimore industrial market held a total of 1.3

    million square feet (msf) of warehouse/distribution projects in the

    construction pipeline. The two projects, 521 A Chelsea Road and

    4000 Principio Parkway East (Bldg 2), located in the 1-95 North

    Corridor are expected to deliver by year-end 2012. Adjacent to the

    Bobs Discount Furniture space at 511 Chelsea Road in Harford

    County, the 692,000-square foot (sf) 521 A Chelsea Road sat fully

    available in the fourth quarter as no preleasing activity occurred. The

    class A speculative project is expected to complete construction in

    the second quarter of 2012. The build-to-suit project at 4000

    Principio Parkway East (Bldg 2) was preleased by Restoration

    Hardware, Inc. as part of its 1.2 msf 2011 lease transaction at the siteand is expected to deliver by the fourth quarter of 2012.

    STRONG LEASING AND POSITIVE ABSORPTION

    Year-to-date leasing activity, at 5.9 msf, decreased 10.1% from year-

    end 2010 to year-end 2011 as some tenants, like Kohls Corporation

    at the 602,250-sf 1701 Trimble Road, purchased product rather than

    leasing it. Top new lease transactions in 2011 included: the 1.2-msf

    Restoration Hardware, Inc. lease at 4000 Principio Parkway East (Bldg

    1&2), the 300,000-sf Life Sciences Logistics, LLC lease at 8901

    Snowden River Parkway and the 161,415-sf A&S Trucking lease at

    5003 Holabird Avenue. Restoration Hardware will occupy its

    600,000-sf space at Building 1 of 4000 Principio Parkway East during

    the first quarter of 2012 and move into its remaining 600,000 sf upon

    the completion of Building 2 in the fourth quarter.

    Year-to-date overall net absorption was positive at 965,055 sf in the

    fourth quarter as the overall vacancy rate decreased 0.7 percentage

    points from year-end 2010 to year-end 2011. The Baltimore-

    Washington Corridors overall net absorption was positive at 779,906

    sf by year-end 2011 due to strong new leasing activity and significant

    tenant move-ins in Howard County. Notable 2011 tenant

    occupancies in the Baltimore industrial market were: Victory

    Packagings 193,800-sf occupancy at 7605 Dorsey Road, Northeastern

    Supply, Incs 172,000-sf occupancy at 504 Advantage Way and

    General Services Administrations (GSA) 153,700-sf occupancy at 4

    Center Drive.

    OUTLOOK

    The Baltimore industrial market is expected to improve in 2012 as

    vacancy rates will steadily decline and absorption is expected to be

    positive by mid-year 2012. Significant tenant movements in 2012

    include: Restoration Hardwares occupancy of 600,000 sf at 4000

    Principio Parkway East, Life Sciences Logistics, LLC occupancy of

    300,000 sf at 8901 Snowden River Parkway and Metro Logisticss

    352,850-sf move-out at 7629 Gambrills Cove Road. Metro Logistics

    will downsize in the market as Life Sciences Logistics, LLC assumes its

    former GSA vaccination contract and moves into 8901 Snowden

    River Parkway during the first half of 2012. Asking rental rates areexpected to rise modestly in 2012 as leasing activity remains healthy

    in the Baltimore-Washington and I-95 North Corridors.

    STATS ON THE GO

    4Q10 4Q11 Y-O-Y

    CHANGE

    12 MONTH

    FORECAST

    Overall Vacancy 11.3% 10.6% -0.7pp

    Direct Asking Rents (psf/yr) $4.96 $4.93 -0.6%

    YTD Leasing Activity (sf) 6,619,130 5,948,192 -10.1%

    OVERALL ACTIVITY

    DIRECT RENTAL VS. VACANCY RATES

    10.6

    5.9 5.46.6 5.9

    6.8

    4.02.3

    3.24.8

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD

    msf

    LEASING ACTIVITY SALES ACTIVITY

    8.0%

    10.0%

    12.0%

    14.0%

    16.0%

    18.0%

    $0.00

    $2.00

    $4.00

    $6.00

    $8.00

    $10.00

    2007 2008 2009 2010 4Q11

    psf/yr

    DIRECT NET RENTAL RATE OVERALL VACANCY RATE

    Q4 2011BALTIMORE, MD

    INDUSTRIAL SNAPSHOTMARKETBEAT

    A Cushman & Wakefield Research Publication

  • 8/3/2019 Baltimore AMERICAS Market Beat Industrial Q42011

    2/4

    Cushman & Wakefield of Maryland, Inc.500 E Pratt Street, Suite 500Baltimore, MD 21202

    www.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge

    The market terms and definitions in this report are based on NAIOP standards.

    No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of theinformation contained herein, and same is submitted s ubject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental orother conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals.

    2012 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved.

    BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON CORRIDOR :HOWARD COUNTY

    The overall vacancy rates for flex and warehouse/distribution product

    in Howard County by year-end 2011 were 8.7% and 14.7%,

    respectively. The flex market saw little movement in 2011 as its

    overall vacancy rate increased 0.1 percentage point from year-end

    2010 to year-end 2011. Notable tenant movements included: Dunn

    Floorings 34,448-sf move-in at 8260 Preston Court and Chaimson

    Food Brokerages 25,000-sf move-out from 6822 Oak Hall Lane. The

    warehouse/distribution market, unlike the flex market, was fairly

    active in 2011 as its overall vacancy rate decreased almost twopercentage points from year-end 2010 to year-end 2011. The decline

    in the overall vacancy rate was primarily due to the occupancies of

    Victory Packaging and Dade Paper at 7605 Dorsey Road.

    By year-end 2011, the warehouse/distribution year-to-date overall net

    absorption in Howard County was positive at 453,098 sf. 7605

    Dorsey Run Road accounted for the largest 2011 tenant move-ins as

    Victory Packaging took occupancy of 193,800 sf and Dade Paper took

    occupancy of 127,000 sf. Victory Packaging consolidated its

    operations in the market as it vacated its former premises at 1349

    and 1353 Charwood Road, in Anne Arundel County, in exchange for

    space at 7605 Dorsey Run Road in the first quarter. Dade Papers

    occupancy also resulted in positive absorption for Howard County asit relocated from Capitol Heights, MD in the second quarter. Other

    notable tenant occupancies included: the 67,620-sf Bell Nurseries

    move-in at 7111 Troy Hill during the first quarter, the 50,400-sf

    Ciena Corp. move-in at 6650 Business Parkway during the second

    quarter and the 61,530-sf Pro-Build move-in at 10650 Riggs Hill Road

    during the fourth quarter.

    OVERALL ABSORPTION

    BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON CORRIDOR:ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTY

    In the fourth quarter, direct weighted average asking rental rates for

    flex and warehouse/distribution product were $10.22 per square foot

    (psf) net and $5.23 psf net. The flex direct weighted average asking

    rental rate increased 6.1% from year-end 2010 to year-end 2011.

    Asking rental rates for warehouse/distribution product, however,

    were fairly flat from the fourth quarter of 2010 to fourth quarter of

    2011. Asking rental rates for blocks of warehouse/distribution space

    greater than 100,000 sf typically ranged from $4.00 to $6.00 psf net.

    Expected to be physically vacant in the second quarter of 2012, the352,850-sf Metro Logisticss space at 7629 Gambrills Cove Road was

    available for lease at an asking rental rate of $5.70 psf net in the

    fourth quarter.

    DIRECT RENTAL RATES

    The year-to-date leasing activity in the fourth quarter for Anne

    Arundel County stood at 1.0 msf. From the fourth quarter of 2010 to

    the fourth quarter of 2011, new leasing activity decreased almost

    25.0%. Despite the contraction in leasing activity, the market

    remained healthy as its year-to-date overall net absorption was

    positive at 110,181 sf. Significant lease transactions in 2011 were:

    Fabrication Designs, Inc.s (FDI) 153,000-sf lease at 7463 New Ridge

    Road, Downtown Locker Rooms 140,000-sf lease at 1300 Mercedes

    Drive and CEVA Freight LLCs 108,000-sf renewal at 350 WinmeyerAvenue. FDI moved into 153,000 sf at 7463 New Ridge Road in the

    fourth quarter from 5622 Lafayette Place in Hyattsville, MD. In the

    first quarter of 2012, Downtown Locker Room is expected to take

    occupancy at 1300 Mercedes Drive when it vacates approximately

    40,000-50,000 sf at 7465 Candlewood Road to support its corporate

    expansion plans.

    OVERALL OCCUPIER ACTIVITY LEASING ACTIVITY

    -0.2 0.0 -0.3

    0.0 0.1

    -0.3

    -1.1

    -0.4

    0.1

    0.5

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD

    m

    sf

    Flex W/D

    $13.7

    5

    $13.7

    0

    $12.4

    9

    $9.6

    3

    $10.2

    2

    $6.6

    5

    $6.1

    8

    $5.4

    0

    $5.2

    1

    $5.2

    3

    $0.00

    $3.00

    $6.00

    $9.00

    $12.00

    $15.00

    2007 2008 2009 2010 4Q11

    psf/yr

    Flex W/D

    2.4

    1.3

    0.6

    1.41.0

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD

    msf

    OVERALL VACANCY RATES

    0.0%

    5.0%

    10.0%

    15.0%

    20.0%

    25.0%

    2007 2008 2009 2010 4Q11Flex W/D

  • 8/3/2019 Baltimore AMERICAS Market Beat Industrial Q42011

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    Cushman & Wakefield of Maryland, Inc.500 E Pratt Street, Suite 500Baltimore, MD 21202

    www.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge

    The market terms and definitions in this report are based on NAIOP standards.

    No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of theinformation contained herein, and same is submitted s ubject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental orother conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals.

    2012 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved.

    I-95 NORTH CORRIDOR:HARFORD COUNTY

    Overall vacancy rates in Harford County improved in the fourth

    quarter as it continued to decline from year-end 2010 to year-end

    2011. The flex and warehouse/distribution overall vacancy rates stood

    at 8.7% and 12.0%, respectively, at year-end 2011. The overall

    vacancy rate for warehouse/distribution product decreased 4.5

    percentage points from the fourth quarter of 2010 to fourth quarter

    of 2011 due to tenant occupancies such as Northeastern Supply, Inc.

    at 504 Advantage Way and Sephora USA, Inc. at 4611 Mercedes

    Drive. Vacancy rates are expected to increase by mid-year 2012,despite the 59,852-sf Bizerba Label Solutions, Inc. move-in at 1804

    Fashion Court, due to the construction delivery of the 692,000-sf 521

    A Chelsea Road.

    The year-to-date overall net absorption in Harford County for

    warehouse/distribution product totaled 226,450 sf by year-end 2011.

    This was an improvement from year-end 2010 as the year-to-date

    overall net absorption was negative at 74,971 sf. The positive overall

    net absorption in 2011 was driven by Sephora USA Inc.s occupancy

    at 4611 Mercedes Drive and Northeastern Supply Inc.s occupancy at

    504 Advantage Way. In the second quarter, Northeastern Supply

    moved into 172,000 sf at 504 Advantage Way from 2203 Lakeside

    Boulevard in Harford County. Sephoras occupancy of 70,133 sf at4611 Mercedes Drive during the fourth quarter was a market

    expansion for the firm and therefore, resulted in positive net

    absorption for Harford County. In the first half of 2012, Bizerba Label

    Solutions is expected to move into 59,852 sf at 1804 Fashion Court

    from approximately 40,000 sf at 105 Industry Lane and therefore,

    expected to result in little change to the markets net absorption.

    OVERALL ABSORPTION

    I-95 NORTH CORRIDOR:BALTIMORE COUNTY EAST

    At year-end 2011, the total overall available space for flex and

    warehouse/distribution product was 0.9 msf and 6.2 msf, respectively

    Total overall available warehouse/distribution space increased 12.2%

    from year-end 2010 to year-end 2011. Notable blocks of space which

    came on the market in 2011 were: Henry Bath Inc.s former 277,822-

    sf space at 1200 South Newkirk Road and Terminal Corp.s former

    200,000-sf space at 2010 Reservoir Road. Direct weighted average

    asking rental rates for warehouse/distribution space in the fourth

    quarter stood at $4.11 psf net. Total overall available flex spaceincreased 15.0% from the fourth quarter of 2010 to the fourth

    quarter of 2011. Its direct weighted average asking rental rate was

    $7.15 psf net at year-end 2011.

    OVERALL AVAILABLE SPACE TRENDS

    A total of 600,737 sf of investor and user sales transactions were

    executed by year-end 2011 in the Baltimore County East market.

    User sales accounted for 52.6% of total 2011 sales transactions.

    Significant user sales transactions included: PPC Lubricants purchase

    of the 90,243-sf 801 North Kresson Street and Maritime Applied

    Physics Corp.s purchase of the 34,832-sf 1850-1870 Frankfurst Ave.

    PPC Lubricant bought 801 North Kresson Street from Southern

    Supply Company, Inc. for $3.4 million, or $37.68 psf. Investor sales

    comprised 47.4% of year-to-date sales activity and included thefollowing transactions: the 99,841-sf purchase of 6801 Eastern

    Avenue by Crossroads Eastern Avenue LLC and the 218,215-sf

    purchase of 10001 Franklin Square Drive by Industrial Income Trust.

    Industrial Income Trust purchased 10001 Franklin Square Drive from

    Corporate Office Properties for $16.2 million in a portfolio sale,

    which included the adjacent land parcel.

    2011 YTD SALES ACTIVITY BY BUYER TYPE

    0.1 0.1 0.0

    -0.1

    0.1

    0.0

    0.7

    0.3

    -0.1

    0.2

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD

    msf

    Flex W/D

    0.7 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.9

    5.4 5.4

    4.1

    5.56.2

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD

    msf

    Flex W/D

    52.6%47.4% Investor

    User

    OVERALL VACANCY RATES

    0.0%

    5.0%

    10.0%

    15.0%

    20.0%

    25.0%

    2007 2008 2009 2010 4Q11

    Flex W/D

  • 8/3/2019 Baltimore AMERICAS Market Beat Industrial Q42011

    4/4

    Cushman & Wakefield of Maryland, Inc.500 E Pratt Street, Suite 500Baltimore, MD 21202

    www.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge

    The market terms and definitions in this report are based on NAIOP standards.

    No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of theinformation contained herein, and same is submitted s ubject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental orother conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals.

    2012 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved.

    BALTIMORE, MD

    SUBMARKET PROPERTY

    TYPE

    INVENTORY OVERALL

    VACANCY

    RATE

    YTD LEASING

    ACTIVITY

    YTD USER

    SALES

    ACTIVITY

    UNDER

    CONSTRUCTION

    YTD

    CONSTRUCTION

    COMPLETIONS

    YTD DIRECT

    NET ABSORPTION

    YTD OVERALL

    NET ABSORPTION

    DIRECT WEIGH

    AVERAGE

    RENTAL R

    Howard County Flex 5,079,035 8.7% 217,383 0 0 0 79,027 86,979 $8

    W/D 28,760,992 14.7% 1,348,957 42,155 0 0 405,372 453,098 $4

    Anne Arundel County Flex 9,188,198 9.6% 212,420 23,876 0 0 81,378 95,506 $10

    W/D 21,293,374 10.6% 825,057 65,000 0 0 14,675 14,675 $5

    Baltimore City/County - Southwest Flex 3,080,135 15.5% 153,045 0 0 0 6,403 6,403 $5

    W/D 20,553,028 12.3% 505,749 377,484 0 0 123,245 123,245 $3

    BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON CORRIDOR Flex 17,347,368 10.4% 582,848 23,876 0 0 166,808 188,888 $8

    W/D 70,607,394 12.8% 2,679,763 484,639 0 0 543,292 591,018 $4

    Total 87,954,762 12.3% 3,262,611 508,515 0 0 710,100 779,906 $5

    Harford County Flex 1,896,080 8.7% 64,732 0 0 0 53,282 50,782 $8

    W/D 17,937,439 12.0% 222,281 638,530 692,000 0 232,950 226,450 $4

    Cecil County Flex 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 N

    W/D 8,442,466 14.1% 1,411,200 64,695 600,000 0 167,200 155,200 $3

    Baltimore County East Flex 4,952,409 14.6% 86,953 0 0 0 (8,330) (8,330) $7

    W/D 41,779,646 7.8% 482,211 284,896 0 0 17,004 (287,618) $4

    I-95 NORTH CORRIDOR Flex 6,848,489 13.0% 151,685 0 0 0 44,952 42,452 $7

    W/D 68,159,551 9.7% 2,115,692 988,121 1,292,000 0 417,154 94,032 $4

    Total 75,008,040 10.0% 2,267,377 988,121 1,292,000 0 462,106 136,484 $4

    Baltimore CountyNorth/West Flex 9,802,701 9.0% 259,088 21,000 0 0 45,932 44,246 $9

    W/D 8,481,747 4.0% 63,156 0 0 0 (57,448) (57,448) $4

    Baltimore City Flex 1,520,889 12.0% 10,614 0 0 0 9,612 9,612 $8

    W/D 6,054,579 8.8% 57,500 82,000 0 0 66,530 66,530 $2

    Carroll County Flex 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 N

    W/D 7,249,210 7.8% 27,846 18,104 0 0 (14,275) (14,275) $4

    BELTWAY SUBMARKETS Flex 11,323,590 9.4% 269,702 21,000 0 0 55,544 53,858 $8

    W/D 21,785,536 6.6% 148,502 100,104 0 0 (5,193) (5,193) $4

    Total 33,109,126 7.6% 418,204 121,104 0 0 50,351 48,665 $5

    TOTAL FLEX FLEX 35,519,447 10.6% 1,004,235 44,876 0 0 267,304 285,198 $8.

    TOTAL W/D W/D 160,552,481 10.6% 4,943,957 1,572,864 1,292,000 0 955,253 679,857 $4.

    BALTIMORE TOTAL TOTAL 196,071,928 10.6% 5,948,192 1,617,740 1,292,000 0 1,222,557 965,055 $4.

    * RENTAL RATES REFLECT ASKING $PSF/YEAR **OVERALL RATES INCLUDE SUBLEASE SPACE IN STATISTICAL CALCULATIONS ***RENEWALSNOT INCLUDED IN YTD LEASING ACTIVITY

    MARKET HIGHLIGHTS

    SIGNIFICANT 2011 LEASE TRANSACTIONS SUBMARKET TENANT/BUYER PROPERTY TYPE SQUARE F

    4000 Principio Parkway East (Bldg 1 & 2) Cecil County Restoration Hardware, Inc. W/D 1,200,0

    8901 Snowden River Parkway Howard County Life Science Logistics, LLC W/D 300,0

    5003 Holabird Avenue Baltimore County East A&S Trucking, Inc. W/D 161,4

    2000 Washington Boulevard Baltimore City/County - Southwest EMD Sales W/D 153,2

    7463 New Ridge Rd Anne Arundel County Fabrication Designs, Inc. W/D 153,0

    SIGNIFICANT 2011 SALE TRANSACTIONS SUBMARKET BUYER PURCHASE PRICE SQUARE F

    ProLogis Portfolio Sale Harford County & Baltimore County East SK Realty Management N/A 769,4

    7605 Dorsey Run Road Howard County LaSalle Investment Management, Inc. $50,250,000.00 612,9SIGNIFICANT 2011 CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS SUBMARKET MAJOR TENANT COMPLETION DATE SQUARE F

    N/A

    SIGNIFICANT PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION SUBMARKET MAJOR TENANT COMPLETION DATE SQUARE F

    521 A Chelsea Road Harford County N/A 2Q12 692,0

    4000 Principio Parkway East (Bldg 2) Cecil County Restoration Hardware, Inc. 4Q12 600,0