Bangkok Office Market Report Q4 2010 Year End

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  • 8/7/2019 Bangkok Office Market Report Q4 2010 Year End

    1/12

    2009 - 2010

    Supply

    demand

    rentalS

    Occupancy

    Bangkok oice MarketrePort

    thailand

    .os.o.

    Bangkok Ofce Market

    executive Summary

    Lmd w supply m h m Q4 2010 bu Q1 2011 wll s ux supply

    wh h shduld p Sh Squ. Hwv v h us h x h ys

    lss h 2% supply wll b ddd h m d hs s lly hv vubl

    upy lvls wd.

    th ws mml l vy Q4 2010 h pll mpss d

    lbl fl s h sll d mps m m l m pls.

    oupy s md h sm s Q3 2010 lb wh vs by z. th ou cBD

    d h ou cy es dd s ud 4% d 1% whls es , ou cy

    nh d ou cy nh sd smll lls.

    rl s sd smwh h cBD d nh Q4, lhuh ll sws m pud h ou cBD. ths ws lly b h sp s

    2009. ids h ldlds sp dsus d vs m

    l pl s.

    ids m h Bd ivsm d vs h sv s hv

    m u s 2010, p m ls rl op Hdqus. th

    sv s s s by my bsvs s h w l s thld mvs 2015 d h

    lblz d svs aSean. th l dly s dmd sp.

    as Dmb 31s, dsbl mp h m hs m bu m h

    dmss. Hwv hs bm pd d h cBD , splly

    h rjps s, hs uld hv v mp v m s ls sxp. B s spl ls uld b uu d bu s lly uh dsups

    s hs susly. th l y uld ls spll ubl mps p

    d vll busss sm ms uus ul ls h l s sd.

    year end 2010 | OFFICe

    market indicatOrS

  • 8/7/2019 Bangkok Office Market Report Q4 2010 Year End

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    BangkOk OFFICe Market rePOrt | Q4 2010

    COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 2

    Office ZOning

    th l l z ss B hs ld h xs

    sf supply wd ls h y d

    hw h m hs pvd h cBD hs vlvd v h ps 20ys. th l cBD ws ld h Slm d Suws ds,

    hm h vb ld m d h d bussss. th

    dvlpm md bulds h s, wh l

    pl uld b mmdd hs d h cBD b

    shp h s s Sh d.

    Whl Suhumv d up as s pmly pvd s

    m d sdl , l umb d a bulds

    spu up h s d ls h ps w ys. i s hsdd s p h cBD. as w df h cBD, h

    pupss lssf, s wh sf umb gd

    a bulds ld. as suh h ld cBD s w sdd

    h ou cBD s wll s Phbu d wh m d B s

    ld. ov m hs suu uld vlv.

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    hiStOrical Supply

    COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 3

    BangkOk OFFICe Market rePOrt | Q4 2010

    tOtal Supply added fOr each five year periOd

    Su : clls il thld rsh

    M h 70% xs bulds w ddd h m

    h 1990s whh psd pd m wh h b

    su muu xps. ths s s s ly w

    p ddd h fv ys llw h s h as l

    css (ac). ev wh h p up h sd hl h dd, ly

    13% supply m m h fs dd h uy.

    cumulative Supply in BangkOk

    Su : clls il thld rsh

    th B ldsp v dy s sul fv y bm du

    h pd 1992 1999 whh dd du luhs m hl

    s sul h ac. ev h ss pjs ud b

    mpld ulm h 140,000 sq m emp tw 1999, whh

    v dy s h ls buld h B. th

    llw fv ys w llw pd h m s l

    ly ud 186,000 sq m ws mpld. i ws ly h sd

    hl h dd h wh supply pd up wh v u d

    hl ms m supply b ddd h ls fv ys mpd h

    fs fv.

    n w supply m h m du Q1 Q3 2010. Hwv

    Q4 2010 w buld ws mpld h ou cBD

    wh l ud 5,600 sq m.

  • 8/7/2019 Bangkok Office Market Report Q4 2010 Year End

    4/12COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 4

    th h shws hw supply hs d s h s h ac. th

    p up b 2004 d ulmd v 250,000 sq m ddl

    supply 2008 h b wd fd h mddl h

    dd. Hwv pll uy l wh h glbl l

    css (gc) hs ld du w supply. o buld

    ws pd 2010, h ou cBD . th l sp

    hs s by ly 6,000 sq m ps vy mds s

    lss h 0.1% u supply.

    th cBD pss h bs sh buld m

    B wh ud 35% l supply, llwd by nh

    d ou cBD wh 19% d 15% spvly.

    Su : clls il thld rsh

    Su : clls il thld rsh

    additiOnal Supply fOr each year

    Supply By lOcatiOn, Q4 2010

    BangkOk OFFICe Market rePOrt | Q4 2010

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    future Supply By lOcatiOn

    COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 5

    Su : clls il thld rsh

    Sh Squ, shduld p Q1 2011, wll ps h ls

    w h cBD s emp tw 1999. th

    bulds shduld b mpld h nh

    du h 2011 2013 pds. ovll xpd ddl w supply

    v h x h ys wll ps lss h 2% s l

    supply. ths pss vy ll ddl sp h m

    bsb.

    BangkOk OFFICe Market rePOrt | Q4 2010

    future Supply

    Occupancy rate By lOcatiOn, Q4 2010

    Su : clls il thld rsh

    th ou cBD sll mmds h hhs upy Q4

    2010, d h ou cy nh hs h lws upy s. th

    nh upy dd h sd lws fu.

    demand take up

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    th upy h cBD md slh mpvm m h

    pvus qu wh ly 1% mv upwds q/q, lhuh hs s

    lly b dvsly d by h dv Sh Squ, du Q1

    2010. th nh upy ll 1% q/q d ou cy es by

    ud 1%. th ou cBD sd by jus lss h 1% lhuh

    hs p m h ap L wuld hv l hs

    h.

    Juy 2010 dd su mpy ss huh h

    apl /My vs ld dwu, bu h pd ss

    pd up d nvmb hs shw hhs umb ls w ys.

    m fus lsd by h Dpm Busss Dvlpm h

    umb mpy ss 2010 h whl thld s h

    hhs 99 ys, whh pss psv sl h

    buld m.

    Su : clls il thld rsh

    Su: Dpm Busss Dvlpm d clls il thld rsh

    Occupancy rate in 3 lOcatiOnS, Q1 2009 Q4 2010 Occupancy rate in 3 lOcatiOnS, Q1 2009 Q4 2010

    newly regiStered firmS during January 2009 - nOvemBer 2010

    COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 6

    BangkOk OFFICe Market rePOrt | Q4 2010

    demand driverS

  • 8/7/2019 Bangkok Office Market Report Q4 2010 Year End

    7/12COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 7

    expOrtS frOm thailand On a mOnthly BaSiS

    rental rate By ZOne

    Su: B thld d clls il thld rsh

    Su: clls il thld rsh

    idusl wh s h m dv h pws h m s

    lds h d d, fl, ll d su svs,

    ms hs, supp . exps sd v m h gc

    2009 wh sdy p wh dsp sbs m pll

    dsubs. i ob xp vlu ll Spmb by jus lss h

    8% d h md sbl h ls w mhs 2010.

    Usupsly h cBD mmds h hhs l s du h

    l d umb d a bulds. rs h es

    dppd s h ou cy es whl ss w dd h

    Ws d nh s. ths uld b xpld by

    h h sf umb s ld ls bh h

    BtS d Mrt whl ms s h ou cBD ld sm

    ds m mss s ls d my lvly ld.

    BangkOk OFFICe Market rePOrt | Q4 2010

    rental rate, Q4 2010

  • 8/7/2019 Bangkok Office Market Report Q4 2010 Year End

    8/12COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 8

    gd a bulds mmd hh ls h d B bulds. th

    s ls sm ds bw B & c d s.

    Su : clls il thld rsh

    rental rate By grade Q4 2010

    BangkOk OFFICe Market rePOrt | Q4 2010

    i Q4 2010, l s bulds h cBD mdm lss h sm wh mpd Q4 2009. ovll l s

    hv md sbl, bu hs qu whl h nh hs

    ll h ou cBD hs s slhly d hs w v hnh .

    Su: clls il thld rsh

    hiStOrical rental rate in three main lOcatiOnS, Q1 2009 Q4 2010

  • 8/7/2019 Bangkok Office Market Report Q4 2010 Year End

    9/12COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 9

    BangkOk OFFICe Market rePOrt | Q4 2010

    hiStOrical rental rate By grade

    rental rate Of Office Building in BangkOk By diStance frOm BtS / mrt (metreS)

    Su: clls il thld rsh

    Su: clls il thld rsh

    rl s d a bulds hv md sbl s 2007

    whl d B bulds dd dp ppxmly 5 6%.

    clls il thld hs d h sm ldlds hv

    d m vubl ms d vs s m

    upy du dul m ms, splly smll bussss

    d hs hs lly dvsly d d c ls. th s

    d c bulds s ls lly bm bl s m d

    ls my b sly uvubl s, d ws uld

    b sd sf vs h sm sh s h l

    s d m mpvss.

    os ld ls mss s ss mmd pmum

    lhuh my w bulds h wuld h b usully m

    xpsv . th shps d us d c bulds

    wh ud 40% d b sd. Mss s ly xpls

    p bulds ppl. ass xpsswys my b qully

    v m mp s.

  • 8/7/2019 Bangkok Office Market Report Q4 2010 Year End

    10/12COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 10

    BangkOk OFFICe Market rePOrt | Q4 2010

    th av upy o Buld l h ap rl L

    sd Q3 2010 whh s lly sul h p h

    ls mss s l h . th ap L ws l pd

    23 auus 2010 m h sss S rlwy thld w

    cy L h ap L ss m h 42,000 psss p

    dy d uu wh s s h uu. Bussss wh s

    vl bd my fd l ls h l v

    h ps.

    rl s w sbl Q4 2010 bu sll lw h h l s

    h sd qu by ppxmly 2% du h ps h cBD

    d sm s Phhbu rd.

    Su : clls il thld rsh

    Su : clls il thld rsh

    the average Occupancy rate Of Office Building On phetchaBuri and rama 9 rOad alOng the line

    Of airpOrt rail link By Quarter.

    the average rental rate Of Office BuildingS On phetchaBuri and rama 9 rOad alOng the line

    Of airpOrt rail link By Quarter.

    Office ZOning

  • 8/7/2019 Bangkok Office Market Report Q4 2010 Year End

    11/12COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 11

    a h d 2010, os@Svl, mxd us buld h ou

    cBD , pvdd m h 5,600 sq m h m. ths pss

    h ly supply h m 2010. Hwv, Q1 2011, Sh

    Squ wll dd m h 70,000 sq m h cBD. ths wll

    dmd, supply d l s h cBD d du s l pl, wd h dsu pvdd l sz uss h

    w lshld s u hm l.

    Hwv h B m l v h x w ys s lly

    wss ly vy lmd mu w supply d wh up

    v mds lvl hs s lly b psv upy s v

    m.

    th d thld s h my v, s s m s

    s gDP d xps, d lmd hs b bs

    h sv s suh s rl op Hdqus. as thld

    mvs wd m d sv s wh aSean h

    my s h h uy my mss u pl wdll

    ppuy du p du sysm, lmd lu

    slls, l mp d w bl vs Di h

    svs s.

    M h 87 % sp B w mpld b h

    y 2000 d 14% v 20 ys ld, h my buld

    ws sd bs ubshm. bulds ld h 20

    ys h s m xsv v bms m pud

    vlv sf hs h d/u wll d vf lv d d sysms. ths hs

    hv mp s svs s du y. as

    sul hs d mpvd m, suh mvs ld

    upd d hh ls. Hwv h pl h xs

    buld d l shuld b u d wll hd

    mul-w bulds hv suh h d.

    fOrecaSt

    BangkOk OFFICe Market rePOrt | Q4 2010

  • 8/7/2019 Bangkok Office Market Report Q4 2010 Year End

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    cOllierS internatiOnal thailand

    management team

    oice & inDUStriaL SerViceS

    num rdsvph | S M

    retaiL SerViceS

    ashw Wh | S M

    reSiDentiaL SaLeS & LeaSing

    nuy Juhsvsdul | M

    ProJect SaLeS & Marketing

    Ws rjjuul | M

    aDViSorY SerViceS

    np thum | M

    reaL eState ManageMent SerViceS

    Bdd chyu | ass D

    aDViSorY SerViceS | HoSPitaLitY

    J M g | D

    inVeStMent SerViceS

    nu Suwul | S M

    reSearcH

    ay P | S M

    Suh khp | M

    VaLUation & aDViSorY SerViceS

    nhls Bw | ass D

    Phhsu Phmhu | M

    PattaYa oice

    M Bwl | Sls M

    Sup Sjs | Busss Dvlpm M

    COLLIerS InternatIOnaL thaILand:

    Bo Ofc17/ Plh c,2 Suhumv rd, kly,B 10110 thld

    tel +662 656 7000

    fax +662 656 7111

    email [email protected]

    P Ofc519/4-5, Py Sd rd (opps cl svlPy Bh), npu, Blmu, chbu 20150

    tel +6638 427 771fax +6638 427 772

    email [email protected]

    reSearcher:

    thlday PS M | rsh

    email [email protected]

    reSearcher:

    thldSuh khpM | rsh

    email [email protected]

    480 s 61 us 6 s

    th hd ls mmll s svs mpy h wld

    th sd ms sdmml l s bdlblly

    US$2 bll ul vu

    ov 2 bll squ udmm

    ov 15,000 pssls

    ths p d h sh mls my b ud u wbs www.lls..h. Quss ld

    m h shuld b dd h rsh Dpm h umb dd bv. ths dum hs

    b ppd by clls il dvs d l m ly. clls il ms

    us, pss ws y d, xpssd mpld, d h m lud, bu

    lmd , ws , uy d lbly. ay sd py shuld ud h w

    qus s h uy h m. clls il xluds uquvlly ll d mpld

    ms, ds d ws s u hs dum d xluds ll lbly lss d dms s

    h m. clls il s wldwd l dpdly wd d pd mps.

    al suss.

    Ud Ss: 135

    cd: 39L am: 17

    as Pf: 194

    eMea: 95

    BangkOk OFFICe Market rePOrt | Q4 2010