27
Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool Raul Valdez

Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

  • Upload
    vukhanh

  • View
    257

  • Download
    5

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool

Raul Valdez

Page 2: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Safety Topic

2

Page 3: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Describe a stop sign – Hint

Page 4: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Did you remember the white border?

Page 5: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Describe a “curves ahead” sign-hint

Page 6: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Did you feel the words “curves ahead” was

included?

Page 7: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Describe a yield sign - Hint

Page 8: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Did you feel the words “yield right of way”

should be on the sign?

8

Page 9: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

In 1971 yield signs were standardized to

the red sign that exists today

Page 10: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

“Normalization of Deviation”

10

These are the words of John Carlin, Vice President at the

Ginna Nuclear Plant, referring to a situation in the past

where chronic water leakages from the reactor refueling pit

were tolerated by the plant’s former owners.

Page 11: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

BPR- A modified Weibull

11

Many companies keep track of very noticeable losses e.g.

Failure of asset to perform function

Loss of main power

Loss due to weather related issues, etc.

Very few companies track and quantify subtle losses.

Often the subtle losses become “accepted” as normal-

”Normalized Deviation”.

The BPR tools can be used to identify and quantify losses

that are not normally realized.

The tool is a combination qualitative and quantitative tool.

Page 12: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Background of BPR

12

Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in

the 90’s.

A few consulting firms e.g. ABB and Allied started

recommending the tool to clients.

The use/acceptance of the tool is growing.

Significant firms have used the tool.

Page 13: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Example of BPR Plot

13

Creation of a graph

Page 14: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Annual Production Data – Plotted in “Rain Cloud Chart” Da

ily O

utput

Day of Year

Page 15: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Annual Production Data – Plotted in “Rain Cloud Chart” Da

ily O

utput

Day of Year

All production rates below a “target” production rate identified by most record keeping systems -Normally equipment failures or TAR related

Page 16: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Annual Production Data-Plotted in BPR Plot

Page 17: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Annual Production Data – Plotted in “Rain Cloud Chart” Da

ily O

utput

Day of Year

“Bandwidth” of lower and upper daily production rate when unit was “under control”

Page 18: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Bandwidth Shown on BPR

Bandwidth of our competitors, for this process, is 250

Page 19: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Annual Production Data – Plotted in “Rain Cloud Chart” Da

ily O

utput

Day of Year

What is daily average production that can be counted on in the future? Hint, the average daily production rate is 37 Widgets

Page 20: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Daily Average Production Rate Shown on BPR

Daily production rate shown where production line crosses “Eta” or dotted line

Page 21: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Annual Production Data – Plotted in “Rain Cloud Chart” Da

ily O

utput

Day of Year

What percentage of time was unit operated within this bandwidth?

Page 22: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Bandwidth Shown on BPR

Point at which raw data is not located on production line is percent of time unit operated within bandwidth – Shown as reliability %. Our competitors at 80% on this process

Page 23: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

What are our competitors doing, or what is nameplate?

Us

Our Competitors

Page 24: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

What are our losses due to “crash and burn issues”?

Losses are area under “raw data” and “production line”. In this case 1,839 Widgets/Year

Page 25: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

What are our losses due to the way we operate and manage this unit?

Losses are area under “production line” and “nameplate line”. In this case 720 Widgets/Year

Page 26: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

Very few total losses are due to mechanical failures – Items normally identified in EChoke

Data points are mechanical failures or TAR related. In this examples losses are 41 units/year or amount normally captured in Echoke. Most losses do not fall in this area of curve.

Page 27: Barringer Process Reliability (BPR) Tool - srehouston.orgsrehouston.org/files/20120620/presentation.pdf · Developed by Paul Barringer, Barringer and Associates, in the 90’s

27

Any Questions