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As Prepared and Presented By Paul Fazio CEO Sonny’s The Carwash Factory October 2015

Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

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Page 1: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

As Prepared and Presented By

Paul Fazio CEO

Sonny’s The Carwash Factory

October 2015

Page 2: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Industry Overview ◦ Five year outlook

Client Types ◦ Historic/ Current / Future

Page 3: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Industry Overview ◦ Consumers

◦ Industry

Page 4: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018*

Contributing factors include: ◦ The growth is largely tied to the industry’s

reliance on consumer discretionary spending which they believe will increase in the next 5 years.

◦ New and used car sales are positive indicators for the next 5 years

◦ Environmental awareness will drive consumers to professional car washing

*Source: IBISWorld October - 2012

Page 5: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Automated car washing offers the speed and convenience increasingly demanded by US consumers*

◦ US consumers consider products and services that save time to be important

◦ The proportion of US consumers washing their car at home is in decline

Increases in car wash use** -- over 19.2% more consumers used a professional car wash in 2014 than in 1996

*Datamonitor **International Carwash Association (ICA) Study of Consumer Car Washing Attitudes and Habits - 2014

What is driving the growth in the

washing market on the consumer side?

Page 6: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

ICA research data shows a decline in home washing as “Most Often” choice in the past 18 years

Trend continues to move from “Do-it-Yourself” to “Do-it-for-Me”

Home washing as an overall percentage: ◦ 1996: 47.6%

◦ 1999: 44.5%

◦ 2002: 43.0%

◦ 2005: 38.0%

◦ 2008: 34.4%

◦ 2011: 31%

◦ 2014: 28.4%

They are Leaving the Driveway!

Source: ICA Study

Page 7: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Where do they wash MOST OFTEN? (2008 vs 2014) 34% / 28% At home 14% / 20% Exterior 20% / 20% Full Serve 18% / 16% In-Bay 14% / 12% Self Serve / 5% Hand* ◦ (2014 = 101% - rounding)

Source: ICA 2008 / 2014 Studies

Page 8: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

The Industry is growing since more Americans are washing their cars at a professional wash than ever before

Where are they washing? ◦ Of those that wash at a professional carwash only:

◦ 58% Conveyor Most Often

Source: ICA 2014 Study

Page 9: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Which ONE of the following do you use most often? (2014)

Type Pro Only Pro most often

Full Serve 30% 27%

Exterior 28% 27%

In-Bay 22% 22%

Self 13% 17%

Hand 7% 7%

Source: ICA Consumer study 2014

Page 10: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

72% of those that wash their car most often at a professional wash, do so every couple of months or less!!!!!

Car wash Usage Frequency Pro most often

Only once a year 5%

Every six months or so 20%

Every couple of months 47%

A few times a month 24%

Once a week or more 4%

Source: ICA Consumer study 2014

Page 11: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

28% are Heavy Users – minimum of a few times a month – 66% of total washes

47% are Medium Users – every couple of months – 29% of total washes

25% are Light Users – every 6 months or less – 5% of total washes

Source: ICA 2014 Study

Page 12: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

To protect their investment they are more apt to wash their car

Average car age in the US is 11.4 years old

Source: ICA 2014 Study

Years old Pro Most Often

< 1 8%

1 - 3 22%

4 - 5 16%

6 - 9 24%

10+ 29%

Page 13: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Why don’t they wash more often (580)?

◦ Too expensive - 36%

◦ It isn’t necessary - 22%

◦ Too time consuming - 20%

◦ I’d rather do it myself - 7%

◦ Weather does the job for free - 6%

◦ I’m too lazy - 2%

◦ I don’t like the service at car washes - 2%

◦ It’s inconvenient - 2%

◦ Location, there aren’t any washes close by - 2%

Source: ICA 2011 Study

Page 14: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Why they don’t: ◦ Number one reason for washing at home instead of

at a professional wash – Cost

Why they do: ◦ Number one motivation for using a professional

carwash – it makes the consumer feel good!

The emotional rewards outweigh the attributes in terms of motivation

Source: ICA 2014 Study

Page 15: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

By Gender for those that use professional washes only:

Female – 55%

Male – 45%

Source: ICA 2014 Study

Page 16: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

For Pro most often by wash type – What percent is Female?

Female Full

Serve Ext. In-Bay Self

Serve

2014 51% 58% 54% 45%

2008 44.6% 57.5% 56% 48.5%

Source: ICA Consumer study 2008/2014

Page 17: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

ICA 2011 Market Study

80,500 Locations

24,000 Conveyors (26,400 tunnels)

25,500 Self Serve (89,250 Bays)

29,000 In-Bay (37,700 Machines)

2,000 Other (Truck Washes etc.)

Ownership Type

45,000 Owner/Investor

30,000 C-store and gas

5,500 Hypermarket

Source: ICA 2011 Study

Page 18: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Year Total Sales In MM

US Sales In MM

Outside US In MM

2005* $118

2007** $135 $103 $32

2010*** $84 $79 $5

2011*** $92 $66 $26

2012**** $99 $78 $21

2013**** $115 $97 $18

2014**** $137 $124 $13

Source: * Booz Allen 2006, **Datamonitor 2008, ***ICA , **** Sonny’s

Page 19: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

What types of conveyor car washes are being built in the industry now? Internal sales data revealed the following:

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Express 75% 77% 80% 81% 84% 82%

Flex 20% 17% 15% 10% 11% 12%

Full 5% 6% 5% 9% 5% 6%

Source: Sonny’s Sales Statistics

Page 20: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Express Exterior segment is easily outpacing other conveyor segments:

◦ Express Exterior is creating growth in tunnel systems. 82% of all new tunnels we built in 2014 were Express Exterior

◦ Investors that have always been drawn to the industry see they can enter the business without the labor headaches and management problems of the Full Serve model and still get a good ROI on this real estate based investment

◦ In-Bay created additional customer base for Express Exterior washing

In-Bay and Self Serve investors are looking at the Express market

Page 21: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

21

Express Exterior market will continue to grow and dominate the landscape

Will continue to pull more washers out of the driveway and make existing car wash customers wash their vehicles more often

Smaller units will reach into small markets

Express washes (and Express lanes at Full Serves) will fight for market share with In-Bay and Self Serves

Page 22: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

22

More on-line offerings and auto greeter advancements will be developed to help up-sell and produce a higher average ticket

May migrate to Flex to gain more market share and for differentiation as markets saturate

Equipment maintenance will become more important based on volumes and replacement cost

Further recognition that Express concept is not a guarantee of success

Page 23: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Flex Service (combination of Express and off-line aftercare) is replacing Full Service: ◦ Flex accounted for 12% of new locations we built

last year

◦ In areas with good income levels to capture more market share of the washing public

◦ Less labor / easier to manage than Full Serve

◦ Off-line offerings are typically priced higher than at Full Serves

◦ Pricing is used to throttle up or down the percentage of washing customers

Usually looking for 25% – 30% of cars washed

Page 24: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

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Flex Serve will be used in express saturated areas for differentiation

Percentage of Flex washes being built will increase with time, taking away from both Express and Full Serve

More equipment products will be developed to add to the appearance and the efficiency of these aftercare areas

Page 25: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Only 6% of new locations we built in 2014 were Full Service washes

Full Serve locations today struggle with labor issues, and time of service

Where space allows, full serve operators are adding exterior lanes in response to express exteriors ◦ Increase volume/customer base ◦ Reduce labor cost

More equipment is being added to eliminate as much labor as possible – starting with “ultimate package”

Page 26: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Full Serve locations that remain will do well ◦ Demo shift to: Do it for me

◦ Competition will shrink

Need to be well run with focus on the customer experience and providing value: ◦ Consistency of product

◦ Time of service (15 minutes or less)

◦ Professional appearance (personnel & facility)

◦ Professional presentation of services

◦ Menu offerings to differentiate them from the Express providers

Page 27: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

27

Secondary/smaller markets will be an area of growth for conveyor segment

More automation – start with “ultimate package”

Equipment will be more environmentally friendly

Regional branded locations will continue to grow and be the most successful – Leverage the Brand

Page 28: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

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5 Year Outlook: Positive ◦ Growth on the Retail side

Consumer studies support positive growth

Market place supports those studies

Growth in the Conveyor market ◦ Around 20% for OEM’s in 2015 ◦ High single digit through 2019

Page 29: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Year Total Tunnel Sales In MM

Total In-bay Sales In MM

2005 $118* $241**

2007 $135** $189***

2010 $84*** $108***

2014 $135**** $150****

Source: * Booz Allen 2006, **Datamonitor 2008, ***ICA , **** Sonny’s

Page 30: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

30

Was estimated at $241MM to OEM in 2005

Was the largest segment of industry (by far)

Steady decline through 2009 In-Bay sales to Self-Serve and investor

market slowed Recognize benefit of “Express in-bay”

and Mini-Tunnels

Page 31: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

31

Gas not buying like before – major oil divested of retail assets

Drop in gas prices in the last year has made retail locations profitable - leading to the replacement of old machines ◦ Tremendous amount of pent up demand

Page 32: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

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Machines will become more attractive and inviting

Cycle times and cost will become even more important

New ways to market and add value to offerings ◦ To be successful – New emphasis on Marketing,

Presentation and Training

Page 33: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

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Bay length will increase to accommodate “express In-bay” (or short conveyors) ◦ stand-alone blowers, etc., to increase speed

and be able to provide additional services

Extra options will be added in longer bays ◦ Tire dressing, Lava etc

Still the choice for attendant-free operation

Equip sales expected to grow ◦ >10% 2015 ◦ Single digits for 2016 - 19

Page 34: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

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Was estimated at $78MM to OEM in 2005 Shrank – no growth – until recently Added In-Bays from 90’s - 2005 Now beginning to add “express In-bay or

mini tunnels Expansion of Express Exterior market

has affected this market Demographic shift to a more “Do-it-for-

Me” audience

Page 35: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

35

Operators ◦ The good ones are becoming better informed

Looking for help to transition from investor to professional operator

◦ Willing to upgrade facilities but looking for a “magic bullet”

◦ Placing more emphasis on appearance and reliability

◦ Improved segment profitability is fueling the desire to update

Page 36: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

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Customers ◦ Returning to revamped locations ◦ Showing a desire for new features and more

reliable equipment ◦ Marketing still works! ◦ Shifting from ill maintained and operated

Express models

The Free Vac Effect Has it run its course?

Why are the Express customers returning to the SS??

Page 37: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

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Manufacturers ◦ Equipment revolution continues

◦ Increased emphasis on profitability for the operator

◦ Customer service from manufacturers needs improving – as it relates to education

Page 38: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

38

Economy ◦ Statistics show cost is a big driver to this

market

Drop in Fuel Price - positive effect

◦ Tight credit market has forced poor preforming sites out of the market

Remaining sites have benefited

Especially those that upgraded

Page 39: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

39

There will always be ideal self serve markets

New wash facilities are being built

Is SS the breeding ground for the entire industry? ◦ Lack of representation at the national level ◦ Challenging negativity from other wash

segments

Will the future car wash facility offer all types of washing??

Page 40: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

40

Page 41: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

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Will continue to add Express In-bay or mini conveyors to compete with the Express Exterior car washes

These sites will be bought by tunnel operators as a way to expand their brand into surrounding smaller markets

This segment is expected to grow at low single digits for 2015 - 2019

Page 42: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

42

All three segments expected to grow

We will continue to pull more washers from the driveway

Those that adjust will do well

Locations that are run professionally and offer value will do well

We will see tunnel expansion into smaller markets

Page 43: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Client Types

◦ Historic

◦ Current

◦ Future

Page 44: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Historic – 1950’s – 90’s

Family owned and operated

One location

Few had multiples beyond 5 locations

Very fragmented

Full service in the south

Full serve or traditional exterior in the snow belt

Volumes better in the snow belt

Exceptions (CA, HI)

Page 45: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Current – last 15 years

Investors / Existing Family owned and operated

Multi site ◦ 3 – 7 locations

Express Exterior

High volumes in all geographic areas ◦ Many more high volume sites than in the past

Page 46: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Current

Family owned territory mind set – Car Wash Professional – (very personal) ◦ Been doing this for 20+ years

◦ Well established brand

◦ Slowly looking at converting or building Express

Car Wash Investor – (strictly business) ◦ Looks for opportunity in any market

◦ Moves fast – especially today with low rates

◦ Willing to build Express next to existing Full Serve that can’t be converted

Page 47: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Current

Creates conflict between existing relationships

New role of OEM – Referee! ◦ Don’t always know where car washes are being

acquired or built

◦ Facilitate dialogue if clients are willing to talk to each other

Page 48: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Current

With both client types today: ◦ Caused all locations to “up their game”

More “retail” than before

Focus on “experience”

◦ Dictate to the OEM

What they want and where they want it

Will listen to suggestions, but they decide

◦ It is only the first time buyer (or first time converter) where the OEM or distributor has real input

Can help with Saturation

Location, Location, Location vs Build it and they will come

Page 49: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Current

Investment firms ◦ Retail side

TDR Capital – Imo - over 830 locations

Leonard Green and Partners – Mister Car Wash – over 150 locations

◦ OEM side

Trivest – Ryko / MacNeil

Prairie Capital – DRB

Vopne Capital - Vacutech

◦ Culture change in the industry

Jeans??

Page 50: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Future – Competition could intensify

Gas / convenience entering the tunnel wash market

◦ Who – Multi site operators

◦ Why – differentiation and margin

Where no room for free vacs – best gas wash in a market

Where have room for free vacs – become your competition

Entering the car wash business

Looking for wash sites that can have gas

Page 51: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Future – Competition could intensify

Car Dealerships entering the tunnel wash market ◦ Why – Have to wash cars being serviced

Turn cost into profit center

Increase CSI (Customer Service Index)

Build a retail Express wash to service their dealership

20 group conversation

Page 52: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Future – Competition could intensify ◦ Big Box?

◦ National Franchise?

◦ ??????????

Page 53: Car Wash Industry Overview - bigmanwashes.com · Car wash and auto detailing industry revenue growth is forecasted at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to 2018* Contributing factors

Questions