Upload
others
View
11
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP)Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 2ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
AGENDA
LAHMEYER INTERNATIONAL
INTRODUCTION ON CSP
TECHNOLOGY
MARKETS
BENEFITS AND CHALLENGES
POLICY
CONCLUSION
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 3ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Lahmeyer International
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 4ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Scope of Services
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 5ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Experiences in 165 Countries
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 6ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
AGENDA
LAHMEYER INTERNATIONAL
INTRODUCTION ON CSP
TECHNOLOGY
MARKETS
BENEFITS AND CHALLENGES
POLICY
CONCLUSION
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 7ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Solar Thermal Power - Introduction
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) plants are thermal power plantsHeat from converted solar radiation is used to generate electricity
Operational experience of more than 20 years
Suitable conditions around the global sunbelt
About 11 GW are currently under development in about 80 projects
Current core markets: Spain and USA
Operation & Construction
Planning & Development
Demonstration
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 8ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Solar Resources330032003100300029002800270026002500240023002200210020001900180017001600150014001300120011001000900800700600500400300200100
0kWh/m²*a
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 9ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Site Selection – Top Down Approach
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 10ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
AGENDA
LAHMEYER INTERNATIONAL
INTRODUCTION ON CSP
TECHNOLOGY
MARKETS
BENEFITS AND CHALLENGES
POLICY
CONCLUSION
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 11ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Working principle of a CSP Power Plant
Mirrors concentrate the sun irradiation in a focus
A heat transfer fluid (HTF) is heated up in a receiver and pumped to a heat exchanger
Linked to a conventional team cycle
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 12ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Technology Concepts Solar TowerSystems
Parabolic TroughSystems
SolarTowerSystems
DishStirlingSystems
LinearFresnelSystems
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 13ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Parabolic Trough – 50 MW, 7.5h Storage
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 14ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
LOW
HIGH
HIGH
LOW
Perc
eive
d R
isk
Bankability
CSP project risks by Technology
Dish Sterling
Solar Tower
Linear Fresnel
Parabolic Trough
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 15ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
AGENDA
INTRODUCTION ON CSP
TECHNOLOGY
MARKETS
BENEFITS AND CHALLENGES
POLICY
IMPLEMENTATION
CONCLUSION
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 16ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Commercial CSP Plants - Overview
Commercial CSP plants in operationSEGS I-IX, USA 354 MW since 1985
Nevada Solar One, USA 64 MW since 2007
PS-10, ES 11 MW since 2007
APS Saguaro, USA 1 MW since 2005
ANDASOL 1, ES 50 MW since 2008
Liddell Power Station, AU 1 MW (solar - coal hybrid) since 2004
Commercial CSP plants going into operation soon
PS-20, ES 20 MW 2008 / 2009
ANDASOL 2, ES 50 MW 2009
Commercial CSP plants under construction or just before ground-breaking:Solnova 1-3, Palma del Río 1, Hassi R‘Mel, Ain Beni Mathar, La Risca 1, Kuraymat, Puertollano, Extresol 1,…
More than 80 CSP plants under development
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 17ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Installed Capacity Snapshot
Installed Commercial Capacity as of 2008
USA87%
Europe13% 479 MW
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 18ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Expected Installed Capacity in 2015
Installed Commercial Capacity expeced in 2015
Middle East 10%
Africa 4%
Asia 3%
Europe 37%
Middle & South America 6%
North America 40%
6,400 MW
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 19ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Utilities and IPP Owners
Utility / IPP Countries
Acciona Solar ES, USA
Iberdrola ES, Egypt
ENEL ES, ITL
EDP ES
Endesa ES
Eskom SA
ADFEC UAE
SAMCA ES
FPL Energy USA
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 20ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
New Approaches of Project Valuation
Conventional Project
Solar Thermal ProjectValue
Market line
Risk driverFuel prices
Environmental costs
Risk
Benchmark
Value driverPortfolio effect
Options value
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 21ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
AGENDA
LAHMEYER INTERNATIONAL
INTRODUCTION ON CSP
TECHNOLOGY
MARKETS
BENEFITS & CHALLENGES
POLICY
CONCLUSION
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 22ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Rationale for Solar Thermal Power Use
Locally available renewable & secure energy resource
Reliable source of energy high dispatchability
Adjustable towards load & tariff scheme high value electricity
Serves as hedge against volatile fuel prices
Very low greenhouse gas emissions
Short developing and construction time of 2-3 years
No additional burden on environment
Creation of a new profitable market
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 23ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Plant Assembly and Operation
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 24ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Electrical Output and Tariff I
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 25ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Electrical Output and Tariff II
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 26ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Electrical Output and Tariff III
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 27ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Challenges
Reduction of investment costs
Sellers' market on key components
High amount of parasitics mainly through pumping
Limited up-scaling potential
Higher steam temperatures increase turbine efficiency
Direct steam production for better system efficiency
Huge water consumption in terms of wet cooling
Illiquid capital markets
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 28ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Cost Reduction Potential
Technology• Efficiency improvement
• New technologies
• Innovative plant concepts
• Plant Assembly & Operation mode
Market• More supplier entering the market• Supplier diversification
Project Development• Multi Contracting
• Supplier diversification
Higher Risk
Mitigation: Joint Venture building
Supply Chain• Higher production volumes
• Standardization
• Supply Chain Management (JIT, JIS)
€
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 29ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
AGENDA
LAHMEYER INTERNATIONAL
INTRODUCTION ON CSP
TECHNOLOGY
MARKETS
BENEFITS AND CHALLENGES
POLICY
CONCLUSION
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 30ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Cornerstones of Success
LOW
HIGH
BANKABLEPROJECTS
HIGH
LOW
SPONSORSUPPORT
GUARANTEES
CONTRACTSTRUCTURE
PROJECT ECONOMICS
Government Support
Market Conditions
NON-BANKABLEPROJECT
Perc
eive
d R
isk
Bankability
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 31ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
CSP projects & Incentive schemes
HIGHTendering
Obligation
Fiscal
HIGH
BANKABLEPROJECTS
LOW Bankability
NON-BANKABLEPROJECTS
ES
UAE
CLTR
US
Feed-in Tariffs
Perc
eive
d R
isk
LOW
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 32ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Example – Feed-in Tariff Requirements in Turkey
Feed in tariff requirementsBase case conditions
25.46
24.48
29.65
28.51
26.40
30.82
29.54
27.54
23.49
22.53 22.04
26.69
25.5424.52
23.73 23.73
25.93
27.4027.21
28.41
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Maturity [years]
Feed
in ta
riff [
ctEU
R/k
Wh]
PÖYRY 10
LI 10
PÖYRY 13
LI 13
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 33ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
AGENDA
LAHMEYER INTERNATIONAL
INTRODUCTION ON CSP
TECHNOLOGY
MARKETS
BENEFITS AND CHALLENGES
POLICY
CONCLUSION
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 34ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Conclusions
CSP has potential for utility scale energy generation
Generation adaptable towards market
Limited suitability to feed central Europe
Inventive schemes are currently indispensible
Grid parity achievable in short to mid term
Cornerstone of future energy generation?
Depends on your residence!
But definitely another important brick in the wall!
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 35ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Thank you for your attention!
Contact Information
Daniel Gudopp
Email: [email protected]
Land line: +49 (0) 6101 55 1916
Fax: +49 (0) 6101 55 2101
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 36ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Solar Thermal Power Plants at Kramer Junction, California5 x 30 MW Constructed between 1985 and 1991, still in operation
Solar Electricity Generating Systems (SEGS)
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 37ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Operating since 2007: 64 MW Nevada Solar One
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 38ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Start of operation in 2008: ANDASOL 1 in Spain
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 39ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Thermal Energy Storage – TES
Comes with higher investment costs, but
Enhances power output
Brings down LEC of power generated
State-of-art tanks contains 28,000 tons of molten salt
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 40ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Project Participants
SPV
UtilityPurchase agreementDispatch agreement
EQUITY INVESTORSProject SponsorsPassive Equity
Subordinated debt
Gas Supplier
Take or Pay contract
Power BlockSolar Field HTF System BOP
FundsGreen Energy FundsDevelopment Funds
GovernmentConcession ContractLicense Agreement
DEBTCommercial banksDevelopment banks
Capital market
EPC O&M
Civil Works
Last
upd
ate:
Mar
c h20
09©
Lahm
eyer
Inte
rnat
iona
l Gm
bH
Slide 41ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?
Development, Construction & Operation time