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Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation? ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) - TU Dresden€¦ · Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation? Solar Thermal Power - Introduction Concentrating

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Page 1: Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) - TU Dresden€¦ · Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation? Solar Thermal Power - Introduction Concentrating

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP)Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Page 2: Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) - TU Dresden€¦ · Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation? Solar Thermal Power - Introduction Concentrating

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Slide 2ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

AGENDA

LAHMEYER INTERNATIONAL

INTRODUCTION ON CSP

TECHNOLOGY

MARKETS

BENEFITS AND CHALLENGES

POLICY

CONCLUSION

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Slide 3ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Lahmeyer International

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Slide 4ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Scope of Services

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Slide 5ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Experiences in 165 Countries

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Slide 6ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

AGENDA

LAHMEYER INTERNATIONAL

INTRODUCTION ON CSP

TECHNOLOGY

MARKETS

BENEFITS AND CHALLENGES

POLICY

CONCLUSION

Page 7: Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) - TU Dresden€¦ · Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation? Solar Thermal Power - Introduction Concentrating

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Slide 7ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Solar Thermal Power - Introduction

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) plants are thermal power plantsHeat from converted solar radiation is used to generate electricity

Operational experience of more than 20 years

Suitable conditions around the global sunbelt

About 11 GW are currently under development in about 80 projects

Current core markets: Spain and USA

Operation & Construction

Planning & Development

Demonstration

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Slide 8ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Solar Resources330032003100300029002800270026002500240023002200210020001900180017001600150014001300120011001000900800700600500400300200100

0kWh/m²*a

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Slide 9ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Site Selection – Top Down Approach

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Slide 10ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

AGENDA

LAHMEYER INTERNATIONAL

INTRODUCTION ON CSP

TECHNOLOGY

MARKETS

BENEFITS AND CHALLENGES

POLICY

CONCLUSION

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Slide 11ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Working principle of a CSP Power Plant

Mirrors concentrate the sun irradiation in a focus

A heat transfer fluid (HTF) is heated up in a receiver and pumped to a heat exchanger

Linked to a conventional team cycle

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Slide 12ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Technology Concepts Solar TowerSystems

Parabolic TroughSystems

SolarTowerSystems

DishStirlingSystems

LinearFresnelSystems

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Slide 13ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Parabolic Trough – 50 MW, 7.5h Storage

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Slide 14ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

LOW

HIGH

HIGH

LOW

Perc

eive

d R

isk

Bankability

CSP project risks by Technology

Dish Sterling

Solar Tower

Linear Fresnel

Parabolic Trough

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Slide 15ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

AGENDA

INTRODUCTION ON CSP

TECHNOLOGY

MARKETS

BENEFITS AND CHALLENGES

POLICY

IMPLEMENTATION

CONCLUSION

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Slide 16ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Commercial CSP Plants - Overview

Commercial CSP plants in operationSEGS I-IX, USA 354 MW since 1985

Nevada Solar One, USA 64 MW since 2007

PS-10, ES 11 MW since 2007

APS Saguaro, USA 1 MW since 2005

ANDASOL 1, ES 50 MW since 2008

Liddell Power Station, AU 1 MW (solar - coal hybrid) since 2004

Commercial CSP plants going into operation soon

PS-20, ES 20 MW 2008 / 2009

ANDASOL 2, ES 50 MW 2009

Commercial CSP plants under construction or just before ground-breaking:Solnova 1-3, Palma del Río 1, Hassi R‘Mel, Ain Beni Mathar, La Risca 1, Kuraymat, Puertollano, Extresol 1,…

More than 80 CSP plants under development

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Slide 17ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Installed Capacity Snapshot

Installed Commercial Capacity as of 2008

USA87%

Europe13% 479 MW

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Slide 18ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Expected Installed Capacity in 2015

Installed Commercial Capacity expeced in 2015

Middle East 10%

Africa 4%

Asia 3%

Europe 37%

Middle & South America 6%

North America 40%

6,400 MW

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Slide 19ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Utilities and IPP Owners

Utility / IPP Countries

Acciona Solar ES, USA

Iberdrola ES, Egypt

ENEL ES, ITL

EDP ES

Endesa ES

Eskom SA

ADFEC UAE

SAMCA ES

FPL Energy USA

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Slide 20ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

New Approaches of Project Valuation

Conventional Project

Solar Thermal ProjectValue

Market line

Risk driverFuel prices

Environmental costs

Risk

Benchmark

Value driverPortfolio effect

Options value

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Slide 21ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

AGENDA

LAHMEYER INTERNATIONAL

INTRODUCTION ON CSP

TECHNOLOGY

MARKETS

BENEFITS & CHALLENGES

POLICY

CONCLUSION

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Slide 22ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Rationale for Solar Thermal Power Use

Locally available renewable & secure energy resource

Reliable source of energy high dispatchability

Adjustable towards load & tariff scheme high value electricity

Serves as hedge against volatile fuel prices

Very low greenhouse gas emissions

Short developing and construction time of 2-3 years

No additional burden on environment

Creation of a new profitable market

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Slide 23ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Plant Assembly and Operation

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Slide 24ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Electrical Output and Tariff I

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Slide 25ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Electrical Output and Tariff II

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Slide 26ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Electrical Output and Tariff III

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Slide 27ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Challenges

Reduction of investment costs

Sellers' market on key components

High amount of parasitics mainly through pumping

Limited up-scaling potential

Higher steam temperatures increase turbine efficiency

Direct steam production for better system efficiency

Huge water consumption in terms of wet cooling

Illiquid capital markets

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Slide 28ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Cost Reduction Potential

Technology• Efficiency improvement

• New technologies

• Innovative plant concepts

• Plant Assembly & Operation mode

Market• More supplier entering the market• Supplier diversification

Project Development• Multi Contracting

• Supplier diversification

Higher Risk

Mitigation: Joint Venture building

Supply Chain• Higher production volumes

• Standardization

• Supply Chain Management (JIT, JIS)

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Slide 29ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

AGENDA

LAHMEYER INTERNATIONAL

INTRODUCTION ON CSP

TECHNOLOGY

MARKETS

BENEFITS AND CHALLENGES

POLICY

CONCLUSION

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Slide 30ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Cornerstones of Success

LOW

HIGH

BANKABLEPROJECTS

HIGH

LOW

SPONSORSUPPORT

GUARANTEES

CONTRACTSTRUCTURE

PROJECT ECONOMICS

Government Support

Market Conditions

NON-BANKABLEPROJECT

Perc

eive

d R

isk

Bankability

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Slide 31ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

CSP projects & Incentive schemes

HIGHTendering

Obligation

Fiscal

HIGH

BANKABLEPROJECTS

LOW Bankability

NON-BANKABLEPROJECTS

ES

UAE

CLTR

US

Feed-in Tariffs

Perc

eive

d R

isk

LOW

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Slide 32ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Example – Feed-in Tariff Requirements in Turkey

Feed in tariff requirementsBase case conditions

25.46

24.48

29.65

28.51

26.40

30.82

29.54

27.54

23.49

22.53 22.04

26.69

25.5424.52

23.73 23.73

25.93

27.4027.21

28.41

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

Maturity [years]

Feed

in ta

riff [

ctEU

R/k

Wh]

PÖYRY 10

LI 10

PÖYRY 13

LI 13

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Slide 33ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

AGENDA

LAHMEYER INTERNATIONAL

INTRODUCTION ON CSP

TECHNOLOGY

MARKETS

BENEFITS AND CHALLENGES

POLICY

CONCLUSION

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Slide 34ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Conclusions

CSP has potential for utility scale energy generation

Generation adaptable towards market

Limited suitability to feed central Europe

Inventive schemes are currently indispensible

Grid parity achievable in short to mid term

Cornerstone of future energy generation?

Depends on your residence!

But definitely another important brick in the wall!

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Slide 35ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Thank you for your attention!

Contact Information

Daniel Gudopp

Email: [email protected]

Land line: +49 (0) 6101 55 1916

Fax: +49 (0) 6101 55 2101

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Slide 36ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Solar Thermal Power Plants at Kramer Junction, California5 x 30 MW Constructed between 1985 and 1991, still in operation

Solar Electricity Generating Systems (SEGS)

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Slide 37ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Operating since 2007: 64 MW Nevada Solar One

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Slide 38ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Start of operation in 2008: ANDASOL 1 in Spain

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Slide 39ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Thermal Energy Storage – TES

Comes with higher investment costs, but

Enhances power output

Brings down LEC of power generated

State-of-art tanks contains 28,000 tons of molten salt

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Slide 40ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Project Participants

SPV

UtilityPurchase agreementDispatch agreement

EQUITY INVESTORSProject SponsorsPassive Equity

Subordinated debt

Gas Supplier

Take or Pay contract

Power BlockSolar Field HTF System BOP

FundsGreen Energy FundsDevelopment Funds

GovernmentConcession ContractLicense Agreement

DEBTCommercial banksDevelopment banks

Capital market

EPC O&M

Civil Works

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Slide 41ENERDAY 2009, April 3rd 2009

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) – Cornerstone of Future Energy Generation?

Development, Construction & Operation time