@ Conference collection

The 2nd ISM International Statistical

Conference 2014 (ISM-II)Empowering the Applications of Statistical and Mathematical Sciences

Pahang, Malaysia12-14 August 2014

Editors

Mohd Sham Mohamad

Wan Nur Syahidah Wan Yusoff

Nor Alda Zuraimi Md Noar

Roslinazairimah Zakaria

Mohd RashldAb Hamld

University Malaysia Pahang, Pahang, Malaysia

Sponsoring Organizations

Kerajaan Negeri Pahang

Persatuan Sains Matematik Malaysia

Penerbit UMP

Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation

UMP Holdings

Ultra Technology Engineering - Mathematica

Statworks

UMP Advanced Education

Hjh Zakiah SdnBhd

Berjaya Printing Sdn. Bhd.

Salaty Synergy Sdn. Bhd.

Pusat Komputer Al-Makmur

All papers have been peer reviewed.

AIPPublishing

Melville, New York, 2015AIP Proceedings

Volume 1643

To learn more about AIP Proceedings visit http://proceedings.aip.org

AIP Conference Proceedings, Volume 1643

The 2nd ISM International Statistical Conference 2014 (ISM-II)

Empowering the Applications of Statistical and Mathematical Sciences

Table of Contents

Preface: The 2nd ISM International Statistical Conference 2014 (ISM-II)

Mohd Sham Mohamad, Wan Nur Syahidah Wan Yusoff, Nor Aida Zuraimi Md Noar,

Roslinazairimah Zakaria, and Mohd Rashid Ab Hamid

STATISTICS

Estimation of measurement variance in the context of environment statistics

Pulakesh Maiti

Spatial statistical analysis of basal stem root disease under natural field epidemic of oil palmAssis Kamu, Chong Khim Phin, Idris Abu Seman, Hoong Hak Wan, and Ho Chong Mun

A modified diversity index and its application to crop diversity in Assam, India

Premananda Bharati, Utpal Kumar De, and Manoranjan Pal

Farmer's response to changing climate in North East India

Utpal Kumar De

Estimation of missing rainfall data using spatial interpolation and imputation methods

Noor Fadhilah Ahmad Radi, Roslinazairimah Zakaria, and Muhammad Az-zuhri Azman

SlU-based modification in Kelley's measure of skewness to achieve gains in efficiencySaleha Naghmi Habibullah and Syeda Shan-E-Fatima

Investigating the capability of a control chart based on functional data for daily PM10

monitoringNorshahida Shaadan, Abdul Aziz Jemain, and Sayang Mohd Deni

iii

Estimation of missing rainfall data in Pahang using modified spatial interpolation weighting

methods

Muhammad Az-zuhri Azman, Roslinazairimah Zakaria, and Noor Fadhilah Ahmad Radi

Estimation of stochastic volatility with long memory for index prices of FTSE Bursa Malaysia

KLCI

Kho Chia Chen, Arifah Bahar, Ibrahim Lawal Kane, Chee-Ming Ting, and Haliza Abd Rahman

Performance of mixed effects for clustered binary data models

Intesar N. El-Saeiti

Forecasting coconut production in the Philippines with ARIMA model

Cristina Teresa Lim

Malaysian students' misconceptions about measures of central tendency: An error analysisZaleha Ismail and Shiau Wei Chan

Exploring the challenges faced by polytechnic students

Mohd Effendi @ Ewan Mohd Matore and Ahmad Zamri Khairani

Identifying indicators through modified Delphi technique in polytechnics system

Irdayanti Mat Nashir, Ramlee Mustapha, and Abdullah Yusoff

Geometric median for missing rainfall data imputationSiti Nur Zahrah Amin Burhanuddin, Sayang Mohd Deni, and Norazan Mohamed Ramli

Probability workshop to be better in probability topicAszila Asmat, Suriyati Ujang, and Sharifah Norhuda Syed Wahid

Bayesian MCMC inference for the Gompertz distribution based on progressive first-failure

censoring data

Ahmed A. Soliman and Mashail M. Al Sobhi

Bayesian inference based on dual generalized order statistics from the exponentiated Weibull

model

Mashail M. Al Sobhi

IV

Stochastic generation of hourly rainstorm events in Johor

Nur Syereena Nojumuddin, Fadhilah Yusof, and Zulkifli Yusop

Projection of retirement adequacy using wealth-need ratio: A case study in MalaysiaRos Idayuwati Alaudin, Noriszura Ismail, and Zaidi Isa

Examining the dynamic interactions on volatilities of paired stock markets

Jun Shean Lee and Siok Kun Sek

Partial least square method for modelling ergonomic risks factors on express bus accidents

in the east coast of peninsular west MalaysiaYusofbin Hashim and Zahari bin Taha

The refinement of partial robust M-regression model using winsorized mean and Hampel weightfunction

Mazni Mohamad, Nor Azura Md Ghani @ Mamat, Norazan Mohamed Ramli, and Sanizah Ahmad

Exploring the behaviour of ozone concentration in Klang Valley, Malaysia using box countingmethod

Nuryazmin Ahmat Zainuri, Abdul Aziz Jemain, and Nora Muda

On the simulated sampling distribution ofR2mad for inverse Gaussian samplesFauziah Maarof, Habshah Midi, and Aimi Athirah Abdullah

A novel hybrid ensemble learning paradigm for tourism forecastingAni Shabri

Bivariate generalized Pareto distribution for extreme atmospheric particulate matter

Nor Azrita Mohd Amin, Mohd Bakri Adam, Noor Akma Ibrahim, and Ahmad Zaharin Aris

Cointegration analysis for rice production in the states of Perlis and Johor, MalaysiaMahendran Shitan, Yung Lerd Ng, and Provash Kumar Karmokar

Comparative analysis of positive and negative attitudes toward statistics

Hassan Rahnaward Ghulami, Mohd Rashid Ab Hamid, and Roslinazairimah Zakaria

Risk of portfolio with simulated returns based on copula model

Ruzanna Ab Razak and Noriszura Ismail

Shrinkage covariance matrix approach based on robust trimmed mean in gene sets detection

Suryaefiza Karjanto, Norazan Mohamed Ramli, Nor Azura Md Ghani, Rasimah Aripin,

and Noorezatty Mohd Yusop

Empirical mode decomposition coupled with least square support vector machine for river flow

forecastingShuhaida Ismail, Ani Shabri, and Siti Sarah Abadan

A new technique to solve the unidentifiablity problem of linear structural relationship model

Abu Sayed Md. Al Mamun, Yong Zulina Zubairi, Abdul Ghapor Hussin,

and A. H.M. Rahmatullah Imon

Temporal changes and variability in temperature series over Peninsular Malaysia

Jamaludin Suhaila

Hybrid empirical mode decomposition-ARIMA for forecasting exchange rates

Siti Sarah Abadan, Ani Shabri, and Shuhaida Ismail

A modified GM-estimation for robust fitting of mixture regression models

Slun Booppasiri and Wuttichai Srisodaphol

Redesigning rain gauges network in Johor using geostatistics and simulated annealing

Mohd Khairul Bazli Mohd Aziz, Fadhilah Yusof, Zalina Mohd Daud, Zulkifli Yusop,

and Mohammad Afif Kasno

Short-term variability of Johor River discharge based on wavelet analysis

N. Ahmad, S. A. Kamaruddin, and A. Heryansyah

Time series ARIMA models for daily price of palm oil

Noratiqah Mohd Ariff, Nor Hashimah Zamhawari, and Mohd Aftar Abu Bakar

Preliminary analysis on hybrid Box-Jenkins - GARCH modeling in forecasting gold priceSiti Roslindar Yaziz, Noor Azlinna Azizan, Maizah Hura Ahmad, Roslinazairimah Zakaria,

Manju Agrawal, and John Boland

On the comparison of the interval estimation of the Pareto parameter under simple random

sampling and ranked set sampling techniquesAissa Omar Aissa, Kamarulzaman Ibrahim, Walid Abu Dayyeh, and Wan Zawiah Wan Zin

vi

Fitting a circular distribution based on nonnegative trigonometric sums for wind direction

in MalaysiaNurulkamal Masseran, Ahmad Mahir Razali, Kamarulzaman Ibrahim, Azami Zaharim,

and Kamaruzzaman Sopian

Modelling of extreme rainfall events in Peninsular Malaysia based on annual maximum

and partial duration series

Wan Zawiah Wan Zin, Wendy Ling Shinyie, and Abdul Aziz Jemain

Effect of window length with singular spectrum analysis in extracting the trend signal on rainfall

data

Shazlyn Milleana Shaharudin, Norhaiza Ahmad, and Fadhilah Yusof

Robust control chart for change point detection of process variance in the presence

of disturbances

Ng Kooi Huat and Habshah Midi

Understanding the shift of correlation matrices during financial crisis: A network topology

Nur Syahidah Yusoff and Shamshuritawati Sharif

Characterizing performances of solder paste printing process at flexible manufacturing lines

Jit Ping Siew, Heng Chin Low, and Ping Chow Teoh

Clustering rainfall pattern in Malaysia using functional data analysis

Muhammad Fauzee Hamdan, Jamaludin Suhaila, and Abdul Aziz Jemain

The intelligence classification of people with epilepsy by two step clustering method

Siti Rahmah Awang, Rasimah Aripin, and Md. Hanip Rafia

Stochastic modeling for river pollution of Sungai Perlis

Nurul Izzaty Mohd. Yunus, Haliza Abd. Rahman, and Arifah Bahar

Priorities determination using novel analytic hierarchy process and median ranked sample set,

case study of landfill siting criteria

Mohammad K. Younes, Z. M. Nopiah, N. E. Ahmad Basri, and H. Basri

Antecedents of students' achievement in statistics

Izyan Syazana Awaludin, Ruzanna Ab Razak, Hezlin Harris, and Zarehan Selamat

vii

One period coupon bond valuation with revised first passage time approach and the application

in Indonesian corporate bond

Di Asih I Maruddani, Dedi Rosadi, Gunardic, and Abdurakhman

The effect of high leverage points on the maximum estimated likelihood for separation in logistic

regressionSyaiba Balqish Ariffin, Habshah Midi, Jayanthi Arasan, and Md Sohel Rana

Effects of a single outlier on the coefficient of determination: An empirical studyAnwar Fitrianto, Sohel Rana, Habshah Midi, and Kutub Hydara

Daily concentrations trend and change point of particulate matter (PMio) in Pahang, MalaysiaA case study at Balok Baru

Sharifah Norhuda Syed Wahid and Suriyati Ujang

Estimating yield curve the Svensson extended model using L-BFGS-B method approach

Muslim, Dedi Rosadi, Gunardi, and Abdurakhman

Assessing the effects of different types of covariates for binary logistic regressionHamzah Abdul Hamid, Yap Bee Wah, Xian-Jin Xie, and Hezlin Aryani Abd Rahman

Construct validation of SF-36 Malay version among type 2 diabetes mellitus patientsBee Wah Yap, Zeinab Jannoo, Nornadiah Mohd Razali, Nor Azura Md. Ghani,

and Mohamad Alias Lazim

Geo-statistical modeling to evaluate the socio-economic impacts of households in the context

of low-lying areas conversion in Colombo metropolitan region-Sri Lanka

GPTS Hemakumara and Ruslan Rainis

Measuring volatility persistence on rainfall records with the hybrid of autoregressive fractional

integrated moving average (ARFIMA) - hidden Markov model (HMM)Fadhilah Yusof, Ibrahim Lawal Kane, and Zulkifli Yusop

Copula method for specific Burr distribution

Nor Hidayah Binti Ismail and Zarina Binti Mohd Khalid

A simulation study on garment manufacturing processChoong-Yeun Liong and Nur Azreen Abdul Rahim

viii

Forecasting sales of new vehicle with limited data using Bass diffusion model and Grey theoryNoratikah Abu and Zuhaimy Ismail

QUALITY AND PRODUCTIVITY

Women in natural resource collection: Experience from rural Jharkhand in India

Bhola Nath Ghosh and Utpal Kumar De

Informal household water market and determinants of price: Evidence from an Indian hill cityManoranjan Pal and Utpal Kumar De

The relationship between quality management practices and organisational performance:A structural equation modelling approach

Z. Jamaluddin, A. M. Razali, and Z. Mustafa

Determinants of quality of life (QoL) and quality of university life (QuL) in Malaysian publicuniversity students

Halilah Haron, Balkish Mohd Osman, Hamidah Maidinsah, Maznita Maksari @ Md Sari,and Nurul Qusna Mohd Zaki

History and challenges of national examination as a quality measurement for high school students

in Indonesia

ArifMurti Rozamuri and Nur Riza Mohd Suradi

Reexamining competitive priorities: Empirical study in service sector

Fazli Idris and Jihad Mohammad

The importance of basic factors in innovation processes and their effects on innovation capabilityof Malaysian-owned manufacturing companies

Nur Riza Mohd Suradi, Aminuddin Omar, and Faridatulazna Ahmad Shahabuddin

Assessment method of study program: Results from regression analysisMohd Rashid Bin Ab Hamid, Mohd Rusllim Bin Mohamed, and Zainol Mustafa

Descriptive analysis of context evaluation instrument for technical oral presentation skills

evaluation: A case study in English technical communication course

Abdullah-Adnan Mohamed, Adelina Asmawi, Mohd Rashid Ab Hamid, and Zainol bin Mustafa

ix

APPLIED MATHEMATICS

Numerical solutions of the stagnation-point flow and heat transfer towards an exponentially

stretching/ shrinking sheet with constant heat flux

Sayed Qasim Alavi, Norhayati Rosli, and Mohd Zuki Salleh

Time delay and noise explaining the behaviour of the cell growth in fermentation process

Tawfiqullah Ayuobi, Norhayati Rosli, Arifah Bahar, and Madihah Md Salleh

Rotation effects on unsteady magnetohydrodynamic second grade fluid flow in a porous medium

past an infinite inclined plateZulkhibri Ismail, Ilyas Khan, Rahimah Jusoh @ Awang, Nadirah Mohd. Nasir, Mohd. Zuki Salleh,and Sharidan Shafie

The effects of magnetohydrodynamic and radiation on flow of second grade fluid past an infinite

inclined plate in porous medium

Zulkhibri Ismail, Ilyas Khan, Nadirah Mohd Nasir, Rahimah Jusoh @ Awang, Mohd Zuki Salleh,and Sharidan Shafie

Gompertzian stochastic model with delay effect to cervical cancer growthMazma Syahidatul Ayuni binti Mazlan, Norhayati binti Rosli, and Arifah Bahar

A new nonlinear conjugate gradient method

Awad Abdelrahman, Mustafa Mamat, Ismail bin Mohd, Mohd Rivaie, and Osman Omer

Thermal-diffusion effects on mixed convection flow in a heat absorbing fluid with Newtonian

heating and chemical reaction

Abid Hussanan, Mohd Zuki Salleh, Razman Mat Tahar, and Ilyas Khan

The asset pricing model of musharakah factors

Shahril Simon, Mohd Omar, and Norazliani Md Lazam

A new conjugate gradient method with sufficient descent without any line search

for unconstrained optimizationOsman Omer, Mohd Rivaie, Mustafa Mamat, and Zahrahtul Amani

Minimal spanning tree for 100 companies in Bursa MalaysiaHafizah Bahaludin, Mimi Hafizah Abdullah, and Supian Mat Salleh

A comparative study of two new conjugate gradient methods

Mohamed Hamoda, Abdelrhaman Abashar, Mustafa Mamat, and Mohd Rivaie 616

Implied adjusted volatility functions: Empirical evidence from Australian index option market

Hanani Farhah Harun and Mimi Hafizah 622

Quantification of asphaltene precipitation by scaling equation

Josefina Barnachea Janier, Mohamad Afzal B. Abd. Jalil, Mohamad Izhar B. Mohd Samin,

and Samsul Ariffin B. A. Karim 628

Stagnation point flow past a stretching sheet in a nanofluid with slip condition

M. K.A. Mohamed, N. A.Z. Noar, M. Z. Salleh, and A. Ishak 635

Numerical computational of fluid flow through a detached retina

Lim Yeou Jiann, Zuhaila Ismail, Sharidan Shafie, and Alistair Fitt 642

Finger vein identification using fuzzy-based k-nearest centroid neighbor classifier

Bakhtiar Affendi Rosdi, Haryati Jaafar, and Dzati Athiar Ramli 649

Dynamics of a predator-prey model with Allee effect and prey group defense

Khairul Saleh 655

Effect of radiation and magnetohydrodynamic free convection boundary layer flow on a solid

sphere with Newtonian heating in a micropolar fluid

Hamzeh Taha Alkasasbeh, Norhafizah Md Sarif, Mohd Zuki Salleh, Razman Mat Tahar,

Roslinda Nazar, and loan Pop662

Wave impact on a deck or baffle

Nor Aida Zuraimi Md Noar and Martin Greenhow 670

PURE AND EDUCATIONAL MATHEMATICS

Using an online web magazine to motivate the learning of statistics

Nor Anis Hayati Mohd Din, Zaleha Ismail, and Norhafizah Sulaiman 677

An educational portal to facilitate statistical literacy for the Malaysian community

Nadiah Bahardin, Zaleha Ismail, and Nur Liyana Zainal Abidin 683

xi

Persistency and permanency of two stages DNA splicing languages with respect to one initial

string and two rules via Yusof-Goode (Y-G) approachMohammad Hassan Mudaber, Yuhani Yusof, Mohd Sham Mohamad, and Wen Li Lim

689

Modeling of DNA single stage splicing language via Yusof-Goode approach: One stringwith two rules

Wen Li Lim, Yuhani Yusof, and Mohammad Hassan Mudaber 695

Compatible pair of nontrivial actions for some cyclic groups of 2-power order

Sahimel Azwal Sulaiman, Mohd Sham Mohamad, Yuhani Yusof, Nor Haniza Sarmin,Nor Muhainiah Mohd Ali, Tan Lit Ken, and Tahir Ahmad 700

Geometric quadratic stochastic operator on countable infinite set

Nasir Ganikhodjaev and Nur Zatul Akmar Hamzah 706

Some filters in Heyting almost distributive lattices

Naveen Kumar Kakumanu 713

Application of fuzzy system theory in addressing the presence of uncertainties

A. Y. N. Yusmye, B. Y. Goh, N. F. Adnan, and A. K. Ariffin 720

Genetic code for sine

Alyasa Gan Abdullah and Yap Bee Wah 726

Multilevel applications in education studies

Norraida Sarudin and Nur Riza Mohd Suradi 734

Validation of instruments to measure students' mathematical knowledgeNuraini Khatimin, Azami Zaharim, and Azrilah Abd Aziz 741

OPERATIONAL RESEARCH

Alteration of Box-Jenkins methodology by implementing genetic algorithm method

Zuhaimy Ismail, Mohd Zulariffin Md Maarof, and Mohammad Fadzli 745

Solving the time dependent vehicle routing problem by metaheuristic algorithmsFarhana Johar, Chris Potts, and Julia Bennell 751

xii

Risk prediction models for major adverse cardiac event (MACE) following percutaneous

coronary intervention (PCI): A review

Norhafizah A. Manan and Basir Abidin

758

MILP model for resource disruption in parallel processor system

Syarifah Zyurina Nordin and Louis Caccetta 764

Performance measurement factors for water supply: A systematic review

Hasan Balfaqih and Zulkifli Mohd Nopiah 770

Statistical optimisation techniques in fatigue signal editing problemZ. M. Nopiah, M. H. Osman, N. Baharin, and S. Abdullah 776

Determination of optimum values for maximizing the profit in bread production: Daily bakerySdn Bhd

Nora Muda and Raymond Sim 787

xiii