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Construction Materials Industry Conference Delivering Australia’s Pipeline. 20 September 2012. Jennifer Westacott. Overview of presentation. Key growth challenge – pipeline or pipe dream? Australia’s investment opportunity Australia’s project performance Challenges and solutions - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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1
Construction Materials Industry ConferenceDelivering Australia’s Pipeline
Jennifer Westacott
20 September 2012
2
Overview of presentation
Key growth challenge – pipeline or pipe dream?
• Australia’s investment opportunity
• Australia’s project performance
• Challenges and solutions
• COAG and BCA reviews
3
Australia’s Investment Opportunity
4
The project pipeline
Source: Deloitte Access Economics.
Australia’s $921b Investment pipeline – projects by status
Under
Committed, $66
Under consideration
$192b
Possible $279b
Under construction
$384b
Committed $66b
5
Pipeline facts
Projects unprecedented in size
Projects unprecedented in number
Remoteness
Narrow sector base
6
This matters
Source: Deloitte Access Economics using real investment and GDP data.
Investment and exports as a percentage of GDP, Australia
10
15
20
25
30
35
10
15
20
25
30
35
1991-92 1996-97 2001-02 2006-07 2011-12 2016-17 2021-22
Investment (total)Exports
Per cent of GDPPer cent of GDP
Projections
7
Risks to delivery
Pipeline delivery risks
• Revenue risk
• Cost and time blowouts
• Missed opportunities due to project deferral or abandonment
8
Australia’s Project Performance
9
Critical question
How well do we deliver projects?
10
Data on project performance
Note: cost premium is calculated in US dollarsSource: Resources projects data by Independent Project Analysis; other data from Turner & Townsend, International Construction Costs Survey 2012. Note: Turner & Townsend sourced costs are US dollar relativities per m2.
40% 26% 43%62%
90%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Resources projects
Schools Large shoppingcentres
Hospitals Airports
Cost premium Cost premium
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How do we perform?
Project performance
• Lack of robust data for infrastructure projects
• Need to understand cost drivers
• Better measurement can help lift performance
• Warnings in global project data
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Challenges and Solutions
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Barriers to project delivery
Community concerns
Capacity constraints
Efficiency problems
Timely funding and delivery of public infrastructure
Investor confidence
14
Solutions
1. Build higher levels of community understanding and acceptance for projects
2. Expand Australia’s capacity to deliver multiple capital projects
15
Solutions
3. Improve the efficiency of project delivery in Australia
4. Adequate provision of economic and social infrastructure
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Solutions
5. Build the confidence of investors
6. Supportive government institutions, policies and programs
17
BCA and COAG reviews
18
BCA/COAG reviews
What’s next
• COAG review of construction costs
• BCA review of project costs
19
The four steps to recovery
• Commonwealth to amend EPBC Act – give states authority to assess/approve projects
• State governments to fast-track major development approvals
• Amend Fair Work Act – include employer-only agreements on greenfield projects so work can start sooner
• Cease tinkering with the tax system