David Laborde, Tess Lallemant, Kieran McDougal, Carin Smaller, Fousseini Traore

WTO, 27 June 2019

Quantifying Agricultural Transformation

Quantifying Agricultural Transformation

Knowing where you’ve been: 1970

Knowing where you are: 2015

Our approach to policy priorities

Stages of Agricultural

Transformation

Country Contexts

Policy CategoriesPrioritized

Identifying the pathways: non linear

Identifying the pathways: non linear

Identifying the pathways: non linear

Natural endowments are key: 1970

Natural endowments are key: 2015

So that countries can learn from those that succeeded

TransformedCountries

Focus Countries

High Birth Rates and Scarce Land

China, Indonesia, Malaysia, South Korea, Vietnam

Ethiopia, India, Kenya and Rwanda

High Birth Rates and Scarce but Fertile Land

Ghana, Thailand Burkina Faso, Malawi, Tanzania, Togo, Uganda, and Zambia

Abundant and Fertile Land Brazil, Colombia Mali, Mozambique and Zimbabwe

Abundant but Infertile LandChile, Costa Rica, Morocco, Peru, South Africa

How to bundle the policy interventions?

Public Investments

Price Interventions

Macroeconomic Policies

Land and Other Institutional Reform

Looking back

Looking forward

• To determine the policy priorities look at how much agricultural land is available, how fertile it is and birth rates

• Price policies play a key role, particularly making sure the agricultural sector is not penalized compared to other sectors

• Public investment in R&D, extension, electricity and irrigation should take priority.

• Land reforms, research institutions and improving access to credit are also critical.

Conclusions

Thank you!

Find out more at:https://iisd.org/agricultural-transformation/