Entering New Market

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    Criteria for evaluating new markets

    6. Evaluating new markets

    Key figures Development of population Development of GDP Development of GDP per capita

    Infrastructure Traffic infrastructure Telecommunications infrastructure Health care system

    Criteria for evaluating

    the geographical market in general

    Key figures Development of quantit Development of prices Development of market

    market

    Market system Players

    Flows of products and Flows of information

    Producers and trade Sub-markets National and internatio Wholesalers and retaile Competitive intensity

    Customers Customer segments Link between customer

    industry segments Demand similarity

    Criteria for evaluatin

    inside the geograph

    Legal restrictions for economic activities Possible legal forms

    Conditions for profit repatriation Conditions for sales (e.g. local production) Operations risks

    Society Political system Ethnic and religious groups Languages Demographic structure Cultural distance Political risks

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    Process for evaluating new markets

    6. Evaluating new markets

    1. Producing an initial list of potential new markets

    2. Eliminating the less attractive markets

    3. Selecting the most attractive markets

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    China's BERI ratings 2001 to 2007

    6. Evaluating new markets

    Year Combinedscore

    Political r iskindex

    Operationrisk index

    2001 57 56 49

    2002 58 56 50

    2003 58 56 50

    2004 59 56 51

    2005 60 56 52

    2006 61 57 53

    2007 61 57 53

    ( BERI, 2009 ) 

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    Capacity shares of Holcim, Lafarge and Ceme

    markets in 1999

    6. Evaluating new markets

    Country Holcim Lafarge Cemex

     Argentina 38% 11% 0%

    Canada 19% 33% 0%

    France 13% 34% 0%

    Indonesia 0% 3% 44%

    Mexico 19% 4% 65%

    Philippines 38% 21% 22%

    South Africa 36% 26% 0%

    Spain 10% 19% 27%

    Venezuela 25% 24% 41%

    (adapted from Bartlett/Beamish, 2011 ) 

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    Init ial l ist of potential new markets

    6. Evaluating new markets

    IndustriesGeo-

    graphi-

    cal market

    Industrymarket I

    Industrymarket II

    Country A

    Country BRegion C1 in country C

    Rest of country C

    Country D

    Country group E, F and G

    Country H

    = potential new markets = no potential new market

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    Summary of market data

    6. Evaluating new markets

    Industries

    Geo-

    graphi-

    cal market

    General information for

    geographical market

    Industry

    market I

    Industry

    market II

    GDP per

    capita

    Real

    annual

    GDP

    growth

    Political

    risk

    Index

    Opera-

    tional

    risk

    Index

    Profit

    repatria-

    tion

    factor 

    … Market

    size

    Size of

    relevant

    sub-

    market

    … Market

    size

    Size

    relev

    sub-

    mark

    Country A

    Country B

    Region C1 in

    country C

    Rest of

    country C

    Country D

    Country group

    E, F and G

    Country H

    = potential new markets = no potential new market

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    Comparison of three car part markets

    6. Evaluating new markets

    Number

    of cars

     Average ageof cars

    Country A

    Country C

    Country B

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    Remaining markets after the first round

    6. Evaluating new markets

    Industries

    Geo-

    graphi-

    cal market

    General information for geographical

    market

    Industry

    market I

    Industry

    market I

    GDP per

    capita

    Real

    annual

    GDP

    growth

    Political

    Risk

    Index

    Opera-

    tional

    risk

    Index

    Profit

    repatria-

    tion

    factor 

    … Market

    size

    Size of

    relevant

    sub-

    market

    … Market

    size

    Siz

    rele

    sub

    ma

    Country A

    Country B

    Region C1 in

    country C

    Rest of country

    C

    Country D

    Country group

    E, F and G

    Country H

    = potential new markets = no potential new market = elim

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    Managing the cultural barrier in international m

    research

    6. Evaluating new markets

    Option A Company Agency

    Option C

    Company Foreign

    agencies

    Option B

    Company  Agency Local

    branches

    Cultural

    barrier 

    (adapted from Cateora/Gilly/Graham, 2009)

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    The five cultural indices of Hofstede for Switz

    Germany, France and China

    Indices

    Countries

    French - speaking

    Switzerland70 64 58

    German - speaking

    Switzerland26 69 72

    Germany 35 67 66

    France 68 71 43

    China 80 20 66

    6. Evaluating new markets

       P  o  w  e  r

       d   i  s   t  a  n  c  e

       i  n   d  e  x

       M  a  s  c  u   l   i  n   i   t  y

       i  n   d  e  x

       I  n   d   i  v   i   d  u  a   l   i  s  m 

       i  n   d  e  x

       U  n  c  e  r   t  a   i  n   t  y

    (Hofstede/Hofstede, 2005)

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    Cultural differences between regions of Switz

    Germany, France and ChinaIndices

    differences

    Countries

    Differences

    German - French

    Switzerland44 5 14 14

    German Switzerland -

    Germany 9 2 6 9

    French Switzerland -

    Germany35 3 8 5

    German Switzerland -

    France42 2 29 30

    French Switzerland -

    France2 7 15 16

    German Switzerland -

    China54 49 6 26

    French Switzerland -

    China10 44 8 40

       D   i   f   f  e  r  e  n  c  e  s

       i  n  p  o  w  e  r

       d   i  s   t  a  n  c  e

       D   i   f   f  e  r  e  n  c  e  s

       i  n   i  n   d   i  v   i   d  u  a  -

       l   i  s  m

       D   i   f   f  e  r  e  n  c  e  s

       i  n  m  a  s  c  u   l   i  n   i   t  y

       D   i   f   f  e  r  e  n  c  e  s

       i  n  u  n  c  e  r   t  a   i  n   t  y

      a  v  o   i   d  a  n  c  e

    6. Evaluating new markets

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    Industry segments in the European market for

    cars

    6. Evaluating new markets

    Customer

    group

    Product

    group

    Families

    with lowincome

    Young

    peoplebuying

    their first

    car 

    Purchasers

    of a 2nd car 

    Retired

    persons

    Companies

    providingcompany

    cars

    Crafts-me

    etc.

    Micro cars X X

    Sub-

    compacts X X X X X

    Compacts X X X X X X4-wheel

    sub-comp. X X X X X

    4-wheel

    compacts X X X X X X

    Cheap

    minivans X

    Cheap

    cabriolets X X XSecond

    hand cars X X

    X = important in terms of volume = industry segments

    (Grünig, 2012)

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    The largest retailers for food and near food

    6. Evaluating new markets

    Company Country oforigin

    Revenue fromfood and near

    food 2004

    Wal-Mart USA 288

    Carrefour France 99

    Tesco UK 65

    Total for top ten - 839

    Total world

    market- 3,500

    Figures in billion USD

    (Deloitte, 2011; ETC group, 2005)

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    Scoring model for selecting the most attractiv

    6. Evaluating new markets

    Option Criteria

    Geo-

    graphical

    market

    Industry

    market

    Cultural

    distance

    Size of the

    target sub-

    markets

    Growth of

    the target

    sub-

    markets

    Competi-

    tive

    intensity

     Access t

    distribu-

    tion

    channel

    Importance of the criteria

    2 3 2 2 3

     A I 2 4 3 4 3

    III 2 2 2 3 3

    C1 I 3 2 2 1 2

    II 3 3 1 2 1

    III 3 1 3 2 1

    Rest of C III 3 2 2 3 1

    E, F + G I 2 4 2 4 3

    II 2 3 3 3 3H I 2 1 2 2 2

    II 2 4 3 2 4

    Scores: 4 = very positive, 3 = positive, 2 = negative, 1 = very negative

    Importance of the criteria: 3 = high, 2 = medium, 1 = low

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    Different alternatives within exporting

    7. Evaluating market entry modes

    Manufacturer 

    Manufacturer 

    Manufacturer 

    Manufacturer 

    Manufacturer 

    Manufacturer 

    Buyer 

    Buyer 

    Buyer 

    Buyer 

    Buyer 

    Buyer 

     Agent

    Distributor 

    Salesrepresentative

    Sales branch/subsidiary

    Export firm

    Border 

    = Company = Partners/customers

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    Process for evaluating market entry modes

    7. Evaluating market entry modes

    1. Eliminate the less suitable entry modes based on external andinternal conditions

    2. Select the best suitable entry modes based on a detailed

    evaluation

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    Matching market attributes, internal attr ibutes

    modes

    7. Evaluating market entry modes

    Market

    barriers

    Market

    attractiveness

    Market

    attractiveness

    low

    low

    high

    high

    Production

    subsidiary

    Joint

    venture

    (Direct)

    export

    Licensing

    Joint

    venture

    Indirect

    exportlow

    high

    low

    (Zentes, 1993)

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    Process for developing an internationalization

    new markets

    8. Developing an internationalization strategy for new markets

    3. Developing feasibility studies for entering the attractive country markets3. Developing feasibility studies for entering the attractive country markets

    0. Preparing the strategy planning project

    2. Determining the market entry modes for the attractive markets

    3. Developing feasibility studies for entering the attractive country markets5. If needed: Signing agreements with partners

    4. Developing the internationalization

    strategy

    1. Evaluating potential markets and selecting the most attractive ones

    3. Developing feasibility studies for entering the attractive country markets6. Developing the market entry programs

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    Market - entry mode combinations as result of

    8. Developing an internationalization strategy for new markets

    Most attractive markets Entry modes

    Geographical

    markets

    Industry markets Production

    subsidiary

    Sales

    subsid

     A I

    III

    E, F + G I

    II

    H II

    = selected entry mode

    = entry mode which would fit best

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    Table of contents of a feasibili ty study for ente

    country market1. Served industry markets2. Market entry mode(s)3. If needed: Partner(s)4. Marketing plans for the served industry markets

    4.1 Industry market A4.2 Industry market B

    5. Resources needed5.1 Human resources5.2 Assets

    5.3 Working capital6. Quantitative objectives

    6.1 Industry market A6.2 Industry market B

    7. Measures7.1 Order of entering the industry markets7.2 Steps and time needed for building up activities in industry7.3 Steps and time needed for building up activities in industry

    8. Responsibilities9. Budget

    9.1 Expenses including investments9.2 Revenues

    10. Economic evaluation

    8. Developing an internationalization strategy for new markets

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    Net present values of market entry options

    8. Developing an internationalization strategy for new markets

    Market entry

    options

    Free cash flows

    Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year

    Market A with

    wholly owned

    production

    subsidiary

    -1,500 +150 +200 +250 +250 +250 +250 +250

    Market E, F + G

    with sales

    subsidiary

    -600 +90 +120 +150 +150 +150 +150 +150

    Market H with

    sales subsidiary-400 +60 +80 +100 +100 +100 +100 +100

    Figures in 1,000 EUR

    NPV = net present value

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    Table of contents of an internationalization str

    markets

    1. Country and industry markets to build up

    2. Entry modes and, if needed, partners

    3. Quantitative market objectives

    4. Timetable

    5. Responsibilities

    6. Investment budgets and free cash flow targets

    8. Developing an internationalization strategy for new markets

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    http://www.springer.com/978-3-642-24724-8