Entrepeneurs-china Next Growth Engine?

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    Xiaomi's Lei Jun

    Image Credit: REUTERS/Jason Lee

    Entrepreneurs: ChinasNext Growth Engine?

    With shrinking growth and changingdemographics, China is looking toinnovation instead of cheap labor.

    Should China want to remain an

    international economic superpower, it will

    need to substitute its current growth model

    one largely based on abundant, cheap

    labor with a different comparative

    advantage that can lay the foundation for a

    new, more sustainable growth strategy.

    Chinese policymakers are hoping now that an emerging entrepreneurship may fit that bill,

    with start-ups and family-run enterprises potentially becoming a major driverof

    sustainable growth and thus replacing the countrys current economic model. In 2014,

    international conferences on private entrepreneurship and innovation were organized allacross China: The China Council for the Promotion of International Trade organized its first

    annual Global Innovation Economic Congress, while numerous innovation-related

    conferences were held at well-known Chinese universities such as Tsinghua University,

    Jilin UniversityandWuhan University.

    New Growth Model Needed

    Although China still ranks among the fastest growing economies in the world, the countrys

    growth rates have decreased notably over the past few years. From the 1990s until the 2008

    financial crisis, Chinas GDP growth was consistently in the double digits with only a brief

    interruption following the Asian financial crisis of 1997. Despite a relatively quick recovery

    after the global financial crisis, declining export rates resulting from the economic distress

    of Chinas main trading partners have left their markon the Chinese economy. Todays GDP

    growth of 7.8 percent is just half level recorded immediately before the 2008 crisis,

    according to the latest data provided by theWorld Bank.

    This recent slowdown in Chinas economic growth has naturally been a source of concern

    for the government. A continuation of the countrys phenomenal economic growth is

    needed to maintain both social stabilityand the Communist Partys legitimacy. Sustainable

    By Julia Ebner

    August 07, 2014

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    economic growth has thus been identified as one of Chinas key challenges for the coming

    decade.

    That challenge is complicated by demographic trends, which are set to have a strongly

    negative impact on the Chinese economy within the next decade. Researchers anticipate

    that as a consequence of the countrys one-child policy, introduced in 1977, China will soon

    experience a sharp decline of its working-age population, leading to a substantial labor

    forcebottleneck. A labor shortage is likely to mean climbing wages, threatening Chinas

    cheap labor edge. The challenge is well described in a recent article published by the

    International Monetary Fund.

    Replacing the Cheap Labor Strategy

    Entrepreneurship is widely recognized as an important engine for economic growth: It

    contributes positively to economic development by fuelling job markets through the

    creation of new employment opportunities, by stimulating technological change through

    increased levels of innovation, and by enhancing the market environment through an

    intensification of market competition. Entrepreneurship and innovation have the potentialto halt the contraction in China economic growth and to replace the countrys

    unsustainable comparative advantage of cheap labor over the long term. As former Chinese

    President Hu Jintao stressedin 2006, if China can transform its current growth strategy

    into one based on innovation and entrepreneurship, it could sustain its growth rates and

    secure a key role in the international world order.

    Indeed, increasing levels of entrepreneurship in the Chinese private sector are likely to lead

    to technological innovation and productivity increases. This could prove particularly useful

    in offsetting the workforce bottleneck created by demographic trends. Greater innovation

    would also make China more competitive and less dependent on the knowledge and

    technology of traditional Western trading partners such as the EU and the U.S.

    Transition

    In fact, China has long been preparing the ground for entrepreneurial revolution. When

    Deng Xiaoping became chairman of the CPPCC National Committee in 1978, he ended

    Chinas era of economic isolation. The country de-collectivized its agriculture, opened up its

    economy to foreign investors, and liberalized its markets. Investment spilled over from

    Hong Kong and Macau and pushed the Chinese economy into the international system. The

    establishment of Chinas special economic zones (Shenzhen, Zhuhai, Shantou and Xianan)

    in 1980 attracted foreign direct investment and encourage private business. There was noshortage of Chinese entrepreneurs willing to take advantage of the new opportunities.

    According to the CEOof a copper refinery in Zhejiang Province, the Chinese people really

    exceeded the governments expectations.

    Starting in the 1980s, the Chinese government actively encouraged entrepreneurship across

    the country, by introducing the first patent law, allowing state-owned enterprises (SOEs) to

    go bankrupt, and creating a more investor-friendly environment for private entrepreneurs.

    Contrary to the popular belief that Chinas miraculous economic growth over the past three

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    decades has been exclusively driven by its SOEs, the emerging private sector has played a

    major role. Examples of Chinas most successful entrepreneursinclude Jack Ma (Alibaba),

    Ma Huateng (Tencent), Robin Li (Baidu), and Lei Jun (Xiaomi smartphones).

    Although historically subject to the dictates of the central government, Chinas

    entrepreneurs have been grantedincreasing self-determination and independence in recent

    years. The government has officially recognizedthe rising importance of entrepreneurship

    to Chinas future economic success. Chinese Premier Li Keqiang, for instance, recently

    pleaded for entrepreneurship to be encouraged and for start-up businesses to be given

    support. More specifically, he calledfor support to be given to entrepreneurial students, a

    measure which could play a role in fighting youth unemployment in China. In recent years,

    China has also given higher priorityto the development of the R&D and high-tech sector,

    investing a larger portion of its budget in R&D, increasing its high-tech output, and

    encouraging Chinese students to pursue engineering degrees.

    Obstacles

    Still, despite these recent steps, theFinancial Timeswritesthat entrepreneurial educationremains a relatively new concept and practice, particularly in Chinas university sector.

    More entrepreneurship education is needed and the countrys business schools should

    adopt western tactics and have start-up labs. The incompatibility of classical Confucian

    values which laid the foundation of the Chinese culture such as obedience, respect for

    authority and emotional control with the entrepreneurial spirit constitutes one of the key

    challenges in entrepreneurial education.

    Moreover, there are still a number of obstacles for entrepreneurs that make private

    investments in China riskier than it is in most Western, high-income countries. Because of

    the heavily state-based, government-run legal system and the relatively high corruption

    levels in the Chinese court system, private entrepreneurs who lack Communist Party

    connection are still disadvantaged in many aspects compared to SOEs and politically

    well-connected private investors. For example, a survey of court proceedings in China

    reveals that small, private enterprises usually lose against large state firms. Also, starting a

    business is still relatively bureaucratic and time-consuming. It takes38 daysto complete all

    the required procedures in China, compared to an average of 5.7 days in OECD countries.

    Another major challenge is the funding shortage in the private entrepreneurial sector.

    While the government has sought to give budding entrepreneurs access to funding in order

    to support Chinese start-up businesses, financing remains a key bottleneck. As the Beijing

    correspondent of Timemagazine pointed outin a report released in 2009, credit standardsare often too high to be met by small business. Moreover, state-owned banks often give

    preference to SOEs and partially state-backed companies when it comes to issuing

    commercial loans. There is, however, reason for optimism, with recent promises made by

    both former premier Wen Jiabao and current president Xi Jinping to facilitate access to

    credit for private entrepreneurs and to create a more investor-friendly lending

    environment.

    In early 2006, Hu Jintao said that China will be built into an innovative nation in about

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    fifteen years. Today, about 8.5 years later, China still has a long way to go before it could

    be called an innovative nation; its dependence on cheap labor remains critical to its

    economic success. Given the recent economic slowdown and expected demographic

    changes, the Chinese government is under pressure to accelerate the countrys transition to

    an entrepreneurial and innovation powerhouse. With both social stability and the Partys

    political legitimacy are at stake, this could prove to be one of the governments most

    pressing challenges over the next few years.

    Julia Ebner is a postgraduate student in International Affairs at Peking University and

    London School of Economics.

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