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October 2012 Introduction to the Foodservice Industry 1

Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

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October 2012 IFMA Foodservice Fundamentals Presentation

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Page 1: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

October 2012

Introduction to the

Foodservice Industry

1

Page 2: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Leading foodservice industry organization

• IFMA partner on F&O, seminars, pubs

• Proprietary, multi-client consulting and research firm

• Food industry publications

Technomic, Inc.

2

Page 3: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Sample of Technomic Clients

3

Page 4: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Today’s Agenda

Overview of foodservice industry

Foodservice segment size/growth

Review of trends/issues

Provide answers to your questions

1

2

3

4

4

Page 5: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

The Foodservice Business System

Operators

• QSR

• FSR

• Beyond Restaurants

• Hotels, Retail, Other

Distributors

• Broad-line

• Systems

• Club/CNC

• Specialty

Manufacturers

• Food

• Non Food

• FS Only

• Multi-Channel

Industry

• GPOs

• Re-distributors

• Consultants, Media, etc.

• Brokers, software, etc.

Consumers

• Generational

• Ethnic

• Healthy, Value

• Other

5

Page 6: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Critical Sources forFoodservice Outlook

Forecasting

FoodserviceOperators

Distributors

Manufacturers

6

Page 7: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Client Logo

Foodservice Industry Overview

Page 8: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Foodservice Is Defined as.. .

Establishments that prepare and generally serve food, meals,snacks and beverages away from home

8

Page 9: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

9

Retail vs. Foodservice

Criteria Retail Foodservice

Units 50,000 1,032,373

Segmentation Little19 major segments;

multiple subsegments

Syndicated Data Nielsen, IRI None

Private Label Penetration Medium High

Product Selector Consumer Operator

Page 10: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Value Chain Example:Retail vs. Foodservice

Retail Foodservice

$1.00 $1.00$1.00

$1.05

$1.00

$1.15

$3.50$1.30

ManufacturerShipments

DistributorSales

Retailer Sells/Consumer Pays

10

Page 11: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Manufacturer shipments – valueof manufacturer sales todistributors – $152B

• Operator purchases – value ofdistributor sales includingdistributor margins – $175B

• Retail Sales Equivalent (RSE) –value of operator sales includingoperator margins – $529B

Foodservice Product Value Chain* –2010

*Food and nonalcoholic beverages only 11

Page 12: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Foodservice a Signif icant Shareof Total Food Industry Sales

2000 = $791B1990 = $566B 2011 = $1,179B

Foodservice Retail

$314B55%

$252B45%

$397B50%

$394B50%

$636B54%

$542B46%

12

Page 13: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Signif icant Opportunity Sti l l Existsfor Further Foodservice Growth

54%46%

76%

24%

*Retail sales equivalentSource: Technomic; NPD FoodWorld

Share of RSE* Share of Meals

Foodservice Retail

13

Page 14: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Two most critical indicators forfoodservice health:

• Disposable PersonalIncome (DPI)

• Unemployment

Other important measures:• Economic Growth (GDP)

• Inflation

Macro-Economy: Critical Indicators

14

Page 15: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

15

Economic News a Combinationof Positives, Negatives

Positives Negatives

• Tax cut extension • Rising commodity costs

• Low interest rates • Europe financial instability

• Weak dollar helping exports • State/local budget shortfalls

• Some increase in consumerspending

• Major natural disasters

• Economy is adding jobs • High unemployment,underemployment

• Disposable personal incomeis growing

• Continued tight credit gripfor most

• GDP slowly improving

Page 16: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

GDP Improving (Barely)

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Quarterly % Change – Real vs. Prior Period

-10%

-8%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

Q1

'03

Q3

'03

Q1

'04

Q3

'04

Q1

'05

Q3

'05

Q1

'06

Q3

'06

Q1

'07

Q3

'07

1Q

'08

3Q

'08

1Q

'09

3Q

'09

1Q

'10

3Q

'10

1Q

'11

3Q

'11

1Q

'12

Q42008-6.8%

Q120065.4%

Q2 20121.7%

16

Page 17: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

DPI Generally Flat

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

% Real Change vs. Prior Year

-3%

-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

Jan

'05

May

Sep

Jan

'06

May

Sep

Jan

'07

May

Sep

Jan

'08

May

Sep

Jan

'09

May

Sep

Jan

'10

May

Sep

Jan

'11

May

Sep

Jan

'12

May

Aug20074.1% Dec

2009-2.9%

Aug 20124.1%

17

Page 18: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Unemployment Remains the KeyChallenge to Faster Industry Growth

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Unemployment andUnderemployment

Unemployment4.6%

8.1%

8.3%

14.7%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

Jan'07

May Sep Jan'08

May Sep Jan'09

May Sep Jan'10

May Sep Jan'11

May Sep Jan'12

May

18

Page 19: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Job Openings and UnemploymentDisconnect

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

JobOpenings

Pe

rso

ns

(Th

ou

san

ds)

UnemploymentLevel

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

2000 2006 2011

19

Page 20: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Jobs Picture and FoodserviceSpending

• People with jobs areexperiencing more stability

• Hiring for college grads isimproving

• More discouraged workersreturning to search

• Government sector is anegative exception

• 20% of the economy remainsunemployed, underemployed,or discouraged

• Acute problems for urban poor,especially in coastal areas

• Long-term unemployed andvets are stigmatized in themarket

Government Accounting Office, Congressional Budget Office, BLS 20

Page 21: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Food Inflation Resulting in Higher,Menu & Grocery Prices – U.S.

% Change vs. Year Ago

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

PPI Food2.2%

CPI FAH1.5%

CPI FAFH2.8%

-5%-4%-3%-2%-1%0%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%8%9%

10%

Jan

'10

Mar

May Ju

l

Sep

No

v

Jan

'11

Mar

May Ju

l

Sep

No

v

Jan

'12

Mar

May Ju

l

21

Page 22: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Both LSR and CDR Chains in PositiveSame-Store Sales Territory

Source: Public Company Reports, Technomic

% Same Store SalesChange vs. Previous Year

4.6%

1.4%

-8%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

Q1'07 Q1'08 Q1'09 Q1'10 Q1'11 Q1'12

LSR

CDR

22

Page 23: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

23

Heavy Restaurant Usage TrendBarometer Pointing Up

17%

29% 28%

34%

8%

13%11% 11%

March '11 Sept. '11 Jan. '12 March '12

LSR FSR

Source: Technomic Amex Market Brief April 2012

Heavy Restaurant UsageTwo Times a Week or More

Page 24: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

1.9%

-1.3%

2.5%

2.5%

3.0%

2.5%

LSR

FSR

2012 LSR, FSR Growth RatesAdjusted

Nominal Change

Source: Technomic

Real Change

2010 2011 (P) 2012 (F)

24

0.6%

0.0%

0.5%

-2.5%

0.0%

0.0%

Page 25: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Revised 2012 & First Look at 2013

Strongest industry growth since 2007 But still lower than 2003-2007 Real CAGR (2.8%)Key Insights

2.5%

3.9%

1.5%

CPI-FAFH

Nominal Growth

Real Growth

2.5%

4.3%

1.8%

CPI-FAFH

Nominal Growth

Real Growth

2012 (P) 2013 (F)

(P) = Preliminary(F)= ForecastSource: Technomic 25

Page 26: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

0.5%

1.1%

0.7%

2.5%

2.6%

2.5%

2.8%

2.9%

2.8%

Restaurants

Beyond Restaurants

Total Foodservice

Foodservice Returning to RealGrowth

Nominal Change

Source: Technomic

-0.8%

0.0%

0.3%

-0.2%

0.3%

0.5%

-0.6%

0.1%

0.3%

Real Change

2010 2011 (P) 2012 (F)

First real industry “growth” since 2007.Key Implication

26

Page 27: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Quiz Time:Foodservice Industry Overview

27

Page 28: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Client Logo

Operator Segment Review

Page 29: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Foodservice Segmentation 2010

Source: Technomic

Share of Operator Purchases

Restaurants57%

Healthcare6%

Other4%

B&I3%

Vending5%

Education8%

Leisure8%

Retailers9%

29

Page 30: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Restaurants & Bars SegmentIncludes.. .

Restaurants& Bars

Traditional

Bars &Taverns

Cafeterias& Buffets

LimitedService

MidscaleCasualDining

FullService

FineDining

QuickCasual

Restaurants& Bars

Traditional

Bars &Taverns

Cafeterias& Buffets

MidscaleCasualDining

FullService

FineDining

30

Page 31: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Segments Definitions

Limited Service(LSR)

• No table service• Fast service orientation• “Buy before you eat” system

Quick Casual (QC)• Subsegment of LSR• Freshly prepared, wholesome quality• Check average: $6-9

Full ServiceMidscale (FSR)

• Table service• Limited alcohol service• Check average: $6-10

FSR Casual Dining

• Lunch, dinner focus• Table service• Full bar service• Check average: $10-25

FSR Fine Dining• Dinner emphasis• Entrée over $20

Definitions

31

Page 32: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Beyond Restaurants Segments

*OCS = Office Coffee Service

Segments Definitions

Business& Industry

Includes employee feeding in offices, factories, andplants. To a large extent this service is handled bycontract feeding companies such as Aramark, Sodexo& Compass

Vending/OCS*

Defined as all food and beverage products soldthrough automatic vending machines, regardless oftheir location. Not included are other vended productssuch as cigarettes, cigars, bulk vending, and othernonfood items.

Retail Hosts

Retail stores that host foodservice, includingsupermarkets, convenience stores and other retailerssuch as general merchandise stores and departmentstores. Does not include foodservice within the storemanaged by an outside restaurant company.

32

Page 33: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Beyond Restaurants Segments

Segments Definitions

EducationCollege & University

Includes all full-time and part-timecolleges/universities (public and private two-yearand four-year colleges and junior collegeprograms.) The key foodservice areas are: Boardcontracts in dormitories, Cafeterias, Snack shopsand Special function services

EducationPrimary Schools

Encompasses all public and private primary andsecondary school feeding. Total consumption isbased on school purchases and governmentcontributions, which together compose the totaldollar value of food. The key components areLunch participation, Breakfast participation, Milkprograms, and la carte feedings

Travel & Leisure

The recreation segment includes foodservice foodand nonalcoholic beverages sales only in variousestablishments and locations where activities areconsidered recreational in nature.

33

Page 34: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Typical Restaurant Structure

34

Page 35: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Accounting for Non-traditionalLocations

35

Page 36: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Independent restaurateurs may operate more than onelocation.

• Technomic, Inc., defines independent restaurants as those withone to nine units, and chains as those with10 or more.

According to the National Restaurant Association, morethan 7 out of 10 of the nation’s “eating and drinking

places” are single-unit independent operations.

A Note on Independents

36

Page 37: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Lots of independents and Small Chains don’t equal sellingpower of the Top 500 Chains.

The Restaurant Landscape – 2010

64.8%

35.2%

Sales

Independents & Small Chains

37.0%

63.0%

Units

Top 500

37

Page 38: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

38

Leading Independent Restaurants Ranked

by Food & Beverage Sa les

Rank Restaurant/City Check Average 2009 Sales

1.Tao Restaurant & Nightclub – LasVegas

$70.00 $59.2

2. Joe’s Stone Crab - Miami Beach 68.00 26.3

3. Smith & Wollensky - New York City 84.50 25.0

4. Old Ebbitt Grill - Washington, D.C. 24.00 24.5

5. Carmine’s – New York City 30.00 24.0

6. Lavo Italian Restaurant – Las Vegas 60.00 22.0

7. Tao Asian Bistro - New York City 74.00 20.7

8. Buddakan – New York City 49.00 20.0

9. Gibson’s Bar Steakhouse - Chicago 62.33 19.9

Page 39: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

2010 Projected Sales – $66.0MM• Restaurant - $28.0

• Club - $28.0

• Pool - $10.0

Statistics• 57 cooks, 8 chefs, 26 servers,

and 10 Hostesses

• 1,400 pp on a weekend

• Check average: $70.00

• Meals served: 590,990

• 75% of revenue from salesof alcohol

39

Tao Las Vegas

Miso Glazed Chilean Sea Basswith Wok Vegetables $36.00

Tao-Tini$13.00

Page 40: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Operator Business SituationSlowly Improving

37%

22%

25%31%

43%

26%

45%

21%

49%

17%

Increased Decreased

Operator Sales/Revenue Situation for First 4 Months*

20082008 20092009 20102010 20112011 20122012

40

Page 41: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Operators Have Concerns Butthe Mood is Brightening

*Top 2 Box on 1 to 5 scale where 5 = “extremely concerned” and 1 = “not concerned at all”Source: 2010 & 2011 F&O Operator Surveys

71%65%

57% 61%71%

Rising FoodCosts

IncreasingProfits

Ability toGrow Sales

EmployeeRetention

Rising FuelCosts

-14 -11 -17 -12 -1

41

Page 42: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Prime Cost: The Most ImportantOperator Metric

31.9% 32.2% 31.8% 31.9%

29.4% 33.7% 33.2% 33.7%

61.3%65.9% 65.0% 65.6%

LSR FSR <$15 FSR $15 to $12.99 FSR $25.00+

Food Cost Labor Cost Prime Cost

42

Page 43: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

113%

89%83% 79%

71% 71% 67%55%

LSR FSR <$15 FSR $15 to $12.99 FSR $25.00+

2007 2010

Hourly Labor Turnovera Headache But Getting Better

LSR = Limited Service Restaurants FSR = Full Service Restaurants *Average checkSource: NRA 2007 & 2010 Industry Operations Reports

Annual Turnover RateHourly Employees

43

Page 44: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

“For as long as most people can remember, food has been gettingcheaper and farming has been in decline. In 1974-2005 food prices on

world markets fell by three-quarters in real terms. Food today is socheap that the West is battling gluttony even as it scrapes piles of half-

eaten leftovers into the bin.

“That is why this year's price rise has been so extraordinary. TheEconomist's food-price index is higher today than at any time since itwas created in 1845 . Even in real terms, prices have jumped by 75%

since 2005.”

The End of Cheap Food:The Economist – December 6, 2007

44

Page 45: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Food commodity prices since January 1980:Reversal of a 22-year downward trend

75

125

175

225

19

80

M1

19

82

M1

19

84

M1

19

86

M1

19

88

M1

19

90

M1

19

92

M1

19

94

M1

19

96

M1

19

98

M1

20

00

M1

20

02

M1

20

04

M1

20

06

M1

20

08

M1

20

10

M1

20

12

M1

Index: January 2002 = 100

Source: International Monetary Fund:International Financial Statistics

Down 1/3 in 22 years

Doubled in 10 years

45

Page 46: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

150

200

250

300

350

May10

Jul10

Oct10

Jan11

Apr11

Jul11

Oct11

Jan12

Index: January 2002 = 100

Primary factors affect ing crop prices 1

( June 2010 – Jan 2012)

Strong LDC economic growth.Rising oil price. U.S. $ depreciates

Russiawheat

export ban

EU suspendsbarley & feed wheat

import levies

Importersaggressively

buying

Reductions in estimated global ending grain stocks

Argentina drought

China dryness

U.S. HRW drought

Canada & NW Europe:rain damageswheat crop

Aust. raindamages

wheat crop

Russia drought

E. Africa drought

Russia stops grainimport

duty

U.S. cornyields drop

(high temps)

Mexicofreeze

Argentine& Brazildrought

14-crop monthly price index: Wheat, rice, corn, & soybean prices; based on IMFprice and trade share data.

Russia endsexport ban

U.S. $ appreciates

Favorable weatherIn Europe & FSU

Higher estimated global grain stocks

46

Page 47: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Even Top 500 Chains Are NotImmune to Rising Commodity Costs

Jack in the Box Chili’s IHOP

Red Robin Texas Roadhouse Taco Bell

+5.0% +4.0% +5.0%

+5.5% +4.9% +7.0%

47

Page 48: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

More Operators TakingPrice Increases

35%44% 47%

2010 2011 2012

Have Taken Price Increase inFirst 3 Months of Year

Will Take Price Increasein Next 6 Months

28%34% 37%

2010 2011 2012

48

Page 49: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Operators Need to Focus More Intensely onOther Value Drivers for Balance

Value

Service

Convenience

Atmosphere

Quality

Low Prices/Deals are NotSustainable Competitive Advantage

Price

49

Page 50: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

50

The Drive for Value:Meeting Consumer Expectations

VariedMenu Strategies

Uppingtheir Game

On-LineCoupons

Major Strategies

• Remaining competitive

• Delivering more

• Responding to core needs, priorities

Points ofDifferentiation

Lifestyle

Page 51: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Operator’s Employing VariedValue Strategies

Tiered PricingEverydayLow Price Extras Relative Pricing

$2 $4 $6 $8Value Menu

$10.00 Large Pizzaup to 3 Toppings

Free Sides withPremiumSandwich

$5.00 Footlong

51

Page 52: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Upping Their Game:Domino’s “Oh Yes We Did”

Before After

52

Page 53: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Online Coupons Have Had MajorImpact

53

Page 54: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Launched 2008; fastestcompany to $1B ever.

• Negotiates deep discounts andthen splits revenue withvendor.

• 38.0mm customers

• User:

– 18-34 years old (68%)

– College educated (50%)

– Single (49%)

– Woman (77%)

– $110K+ (29%)

About Groupon

Yes22%

No78%

Have Used Online Coupon

54

Page 55: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• 42% of Restaurants reported thatGroupon promotions were“unprofitable”

– Customers were deal makers.

– Poor tippers.

– Not repeat customers.

– Barrage of customersoverwhelms restaurant.

– Cannibalize sales and take spacefrom full paying guests.

– Lowers check average.

Groupon May Not Be Answerfor All Restaurants

“How Effective Are Groupon Promotions For Businesses?”, Rice University, 9/2010 55

Page 56: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

56

Points of Differentiation: MenuInnovation

Chipotle Wing Stop Noodles & Company

Pei Wei Daphne’s Einstein Bros.

Page 57: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• McDonalds $5BB Makeover

– Remodels: 2,500 units

– Rebuilds: 6,100 units

Goal: boost average annual sales at each renovatedrestaurant from $2.3 million to $3.1 million during thenext four to five years (34.7%)

Points of Differentiation –Concept Rebuilding and Remodeling

57

Page 58: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Flex Casual Asian

• Design more efficientlyservices guests

• Footprint reduced from3,000 to 2,500 sq. ft.

• Upfront cost reduced by$50,000

• Off-premise revenue hasgrown to more than 40% ofsystem-wide sales

• Monthly overhead expectedto decrease $2K

Points of Differentiation:Concept Re-Innovation

58

Page 59: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Points of Differentiation:Hey Bartender!

59

Page 60: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Social Media Rewards Loyalty

Free chips and salsa for checking invia FourSquare

New sushi roll for FourSquare“Swarm Party”

Coupons, customer engagementyield 10 million fans on Facebook

Discounts to “Tweet while you eat”

60

Page 61: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• 2.1 million pounds ofwaste paper saved

• 7.5 million gallons ofwater saved

• 4.4 million kilowatts ofenergy saved

• 3,194 cubic yards oflandfill space saved

Aligning with Lifestyle Needs:Eco-Friendly

St. Petersburg – Worm Bin

61

Page 62: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

62

Guests Will Pay More for Mealsthat Match Their Lifestyle

“Makes me more willing to purchase and am willing to pay…”

Technomic College and University Report

23%

25%

25%

8%

7%

8%

Fair Trade

Locally Sourced

Sustainable

Slightly More For (Up to 5% Increase)

Significantly More For (More Than a 5% Increase)

Page 63: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Quiz Time:Segment Review

63

Page 64: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Client Logo

Break

Page 65: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Client Logo

Consumer Mind Sets andOperator Responses

Page 66: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

66

Consumer Mindset Trends HaveImpact on Foodservice

Multi-Generational Demands

Ethnic Influence

Value Orientation

Health & Wellness

Customization

1

2

3

4

5

Page 67: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Client Logo

1. Multi-Generational Demands

Page 68: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Post - Millennials( < Age 14 )

19%

Millennials( Age 14 - 31 )

25%

Generation X(Age 32 - 42 )

16%

Baby Boomers(Age 43-62 )

25%

Swing(Age 63-75)

9%

World War II( > Age 75 )

6%

Who We Are:Meet Your Neighbors

Generation

68

Page 69: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Generation Gap: Food at Home vs.Food Away-from-Home

39%

44%

40%

33%

“I eat out morefrequently than Iprepare my ownfood at home.”

All Millennials Gen X Boomers

Base: 1,501 respondents ages 16 to 62Scale: Top 2 Box rating on scale from 1-6 where 6 = agree completelyand 1 = disagree completely 69

Page 70: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

< Age 3524%

35 - 4423%

45 - 5424%

55 - 6416%

65 - 748%

Age 75+5%

Generational Top Restaurant Spenders

Restaurant Spending Share by Householder Age

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Expenditure Survey 70

Page 71: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Generation Gap: Atmosphere

Sit-down, Full Service Chain(Chili’s, Outback Steakhouse, Red Lobster, etc.)

• To relatively quiet 68% 56% 71% 80%

• To be lively with conversations fromother diners in the background

32 44 29 20

BoomersGen XMillennialsAll

71

Page 72: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Low sodium

• Low fat

• Low calories

• Low carb

• Portioncontrol

Generation Gap: Health & Wellness

• Fresh

• Organic

• Local

• Natural

• Sustainable

72

Page 73: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Preferences for Natural andOrganic Skew Younger

“Which of the following do you do on a regular basis?”

14%

18%

8%

13%

8%

14%

Eat Foods thatare Organic

Eat Foods that Are Considered All-Natural

Millennials Gen X Boomers

Base: 1,501 consumer respondents Scale: Top 2 Box – 5/6 rating on a 6-point scaleSource: Technomic, Generational Consumer Trend Report (2008) 73

Page 74: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Operator Strategies: AddressingMature Consumers’ Demands

Early Bird Special

Senior Discounts

28 Vegetables

“55 Menu”

Senior Loyalty Program

Senior Club Card

Weekly Drawings to WinFree Meal

“Diet Smart Choice” @Specialty Salad Bars

Source: Technomic; ID Magazine 74

Page 75: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Operator Strategies: AddressingYoung Consumers’ Demands

75

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• Surpassed $1 billion in digital sales (US)

• Digital sales account for over 30% of overall sales

• iPhone and Android apps downloaded more than 3mm times

• Mobile ordering sales account for 8% of sales.

Smart Phone Ordering Changingthe Landscape

76

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Tweets To Eats

77

Page 78: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Location: Los Angeles, CANumber of trucks: 4Web: www.kogibbq.comhttp://twitter.com/kogibbqTwitter Followers: 63,366Facebook Fans: 10,539

Kogi BBQ

Korean Fusion• Kimchi Pastrami Melt• Black Jack Quesadilla• Korean Short Rib Tacos• Tofu Tacos• Chocolate Tres Leches• Spicy BBQ Chicken Tacos• Burritos

78

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Welcome to the Mainstream

79

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Client Logo

2. Ethnic Influence

Page 81: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

18%population by 2020

• 81% of the populationincrease from 2000 to 2020will be from minoritygroups

Ethnic Growth Signif icant

% Population Growth Through 2020

5.0%

26.4%

67.8%

68.4%

White

African American

Hispanic

Asian

Source: U.S. Census Bureau 81

Page 82: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

56%

44%

27%

31%

47%

56%

60%

67%

39%

31%

8%

7%

29%

41%

20%

21%

Cost of Food

Receiving Value

Menu Items that Appeal to Kids

Kid Friendly Promotions

Promotions

Beverages With Natural Flavors

Healthy Kids Menu Items

Cost of Beverages

Non-Hispanic Hispanic

Importance of LSR AttributesVaries by Group

82

Page 83: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Fine Dining

• Ethnic andIndependentRestaurants

• Specialty FoodPublications

• Sur La Table

• Food Network

• ChainRestaurants

• Williams-Sonoma

• MainstreamMagazines

• QSR Menus

• MainstreamGrocery

Ethnic Influence:Anatomy of a Trend

5 Stages of a Trend – Chipotle

1 2 3 4 5

83

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Operator Strategies:Addressing the Minority Influence

84

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Client Logo

3. Value Orientation

Page 86: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Across Income Groups, ManyConsumers Have Felt a Direct Impact

Yes70%

No30%

“Has the economy had a directimpact on you?" “Yes” by Income

74%

71%

70%

59%

66%

<$35,000

$35,000-$59,999

$60,000-$99,999

$100,000-$149,999

$150,000+

86

Page 87: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Absolute Cost

• RelativeExpenditures

• Combo’s &Bundling

• BOGO

• Ladder

Operators Util ize Variety ofPricing Strategies

FSR

LSR

87

Page 88: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Dealing Not Necessari ly a BadThing for Operators

“How does the fact that a restaurant offers a deal ordiscount influence your opinion of…?”

46%

52%

2%

Overall

Improves It No Change Lessens It

30%

69%

1%

Quality of Food

47%

50%

3%

Value of Restaurant

88

Page 89: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Menu Mix Strategies –Focus on Higher Margin Products

July 2010July 2011 June 2008

November2010

June 2008 November2009

89

Page 90: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Alternative Protein Strategies:More Poultry on the Menu

Chain

• Chicken Selects• Chicken Snack Wraps• Chicken McBites• Chicken Wings (in test)

• Chicken Parmesan Sandwich• Italian Basil Chicken Sandwich & Wrap• Popcorn Chicken• Garden Salad Wrap with Crispy or Grilled Chicken

• Turkey Roaster• Turkey n’ Cheddar Roaster• Grand Turkey Club Roaster

90

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Operator Strategies: Cheap Chic

91

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Client Logo

4. Health & Wellness

Page 93: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

"Food is an important part of a balanced diet."-Fran Leibowitz, author/actress

“Life expectancy would grow by leaps andbounds if green vegetables smelled asgood as bacon.”-Doug Larson, columnist, Green Bay Press-Gazette

“If I'd known I was going to live so long, I'dhave taken better care of myself.”

-Leon Eldred

Food for Thought

93

Page 94: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Portion Distortion

Then Now

94

Page 95: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Majority of Diners Sti l l Optfor Less Healthy Meals

Ordered a meal Iconsider to be

healthy42%

Ordered a meal Ido not consider to

be healthy58%

“Thinking about the last 10 times you purchased food from arestaurant, how many times would you say that you ordered a meal

that you consider to be healthy?”

Base: 1,500 consumers aged 18+ 95

Page 96: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

73%

73%

72%

72%

71%

71%

69%

68%

65%

64%

All-natural

Preservative-free

Hormone-free

Steroid-free

Certified organic

Having no artifical sweeteners

Organic

Unprocessed

Natural

Antibiotic-free

What’s Healthy? It’s All in How YouSay It

Base: Approximately 500 consumers aged 18+; base varies slightly as attributes wererandomly rotated. Consumers indicated their opinion on a scale of 1–5 where 5 = muchmore healthy and 1 = much less healthy 96

Page 97: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Freshness Strongly Linked to Health

Base: Approximately 500 consumers aged 18+; base varies slightly as attributes wererandomly rotated. Consumers indicated their opinion on a scale of 1–5 where 5 = muchmore healthy and 1 = much less healthy

70%

41%

38%

35%

34%

32%

30%

29%

25%

24%

Fresh

Real

Seasonal

Homemade

Made from scratch

Premium

Housemade

Authentic

Homestyle

Artisan

97

Page 98: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

19%

18%

16%

10%

29%

27%

27%

17%

Local

Organic

Natural

Sustainable

Very good understanding

Good understanding

Guests Not So Sure What Goesinto a Healthy Halo

Base: 1,500 consumers aged 18+ 98

Page 99: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

31%

10%

27%

18%

27%

17%

22%

22%

50 miles

100 miles

The city/community

The state

Perceived restaurant/retailer defintion Consumer definition

Local Means Close to HomeLocal Items Are Sourced Within…

Base: 1,500 consumers aged 18+ 99

Page 100: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Never Eat Anything Bigger thanYour Head

Aussie Cheese FriesAussie Fries topped withmelted Monterey Jack,Cheddar, bits of fresh

chopped bacon and servedwith a spicy ranch dressing.

Calories = 2,900Fat Grams = 182

Carbohydrate Grams = 240

100

Page 101: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Outback Steakhouse’s AussieCheese Fries Same as…

67 Slices of Bacon

4 Baskin RobbinsBanana Royale Sundaes

5 Big Macs

101

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This is Why You’re Fat

102

Page 103: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Consumers Surprised by CalorieCounts; Higher than Expected

“Have you been surprisedby the calorie counts?”

Base: Have read calorie information = 161“Are they higher than expected?”Base: Surprised by calorie content = 136

Yes82% No

18%

Yes70%

No30%

103

Page 104: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Consumers Think the Information HasMade Some Impact on Their Ordering

“How much of an impact has nutrition information onmenus impacted your ordering behavior?”

30%

43%

15%12%

A great deal Somewhat Not really Not at All

Base: Have visited restaurants that post calories = 192 104

Page 105: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Calories Per Dollar

105

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Operator Strategies: Menu Clues

106

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Operator Strategies: What’s in aName?

107

Page 108: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Alarming child obesity statistics driving legislativeand operator initiatives.

• What does it mean to customers and operators?

The Next Battlefield: Kids’ Meals

108

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Client Logo

5. Customization: Have It Your Way

Page 110: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

The Importance of Choice

“How important is it to beable to customize your meal

at the following types ofLSR’s?

Base: 1,501 consumer respondentsScale: Top 2 Box – 5/6 rating on a 6-point scale

82%

61% 59% 57% 53% 48%

San

dw

ich

Bu

rger

Mex

ican

Bak

ery

Caf

é

Ch

icke

n

Asi

an/N

oo

dle

78% 78%71% 71% 68% 63%

56%

Var

ied

Men

u

Stea

k

Fam

ily

Ital

ian

Seaf

oo

d

Mex

ican

Asi

an

“How important is it to beable to customize your meal

at the following types ofFSR’s?

110

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The New “31 Flavors”

“A Few Things, Thousands of Ways”

111

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Operator Strategies: AddressingCustomization Desires

112

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The Next Chipotle?

113

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Client Logo

Foodservice Distributor Environment

Page 115: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Foodservice Distributor Landscape

2010 Foodservice Distributor SalesTotal = $201 Billion

2010 Number of Distributors

*U.S. only

Broadline2,50015%

Specialists11,000

67%

Nonfoods3,00018%

Top 10Broadliners

42%

All OtherDistributors

38%

Club Stores/CNC8%

SystemsDistributors

12%

115

Page 116: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Primary Business

Broadline Systems Club/CNC

1. Sysco

2. US Foodservice

3. PFG

4. Gordon

5. McLane

6. Restaurant Depot

7. Costco

8. Reinhart

9. Martin Brower

10. MBM

The Top 10 Companies ReflectMultiple Types of Distributors

116

Page 117: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Canned, frozen, equipment,supplies, tabletop, disposables(400-500 suppliers)

• 2,000-4,000 customers

• 8,000+ SKUs on hand

• Negotiated pricing withindependents, small chains

• Cost-plus pricing with largechains

• Power Distributor >$150MM*in sales

• Billionaire Club Distributor >$1Bin sales

Broadline Distributors

117

Page 118: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Top Power Broadline Distributors

2005 Sales($B)

2007 Sales($B)

2010 Sales($B)

1. Sysco* $31.4 $36.4 $38.4

2. U.S. Foodservice 18.5 20.0 18.8

3. Performance Food Group 5.7 6.3 10.3

4. Gordon Food Service* 3.7 6.0 7.7

5. Reinhardt 2.1 3.1 4.5

6. Maines Paper 2.0 2.4 3.0

7. Food Services of America 2.0 2.6 2.6

8. Ben E. Keith 1.3 1.7 2.1

9. Shamrock 1.3 1.7 1.9

Total $69.1 $80.2 $89.3

*Includes sales in Canada 118

Page 119: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Power Distributors – 2005 vs. 2010

2005 2010 Change

Companies 31 34 +3

Total Sales($MM)

$74,800 $95,000 +$20,200

Sales/Company 2,412 2,617 +$205

DCs 387 464 +77

DSRs 20,500 20,000 -500

119

Page 120: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• USF is the second largest national broadline distributor in the UnitedStates

• 65 Distribution Centers and 14 Processing facilities

• Infrastructure

– ~250,000 customers

– ~27,500 employees

– ~4,700 sales associates

– ~300,000 SKUs

– ~35,000 Private Label

– ~6,000 suppliers

– ~6,000 trucks

• Serves three primary customer segments

– Street (independent restaurants)

– National Accounts (hospitals, schools, etc.)

– National Chain Restaurants

Anatomy of a Top 10 Distributor

Broadline locations

North Star locations

120

Page 121: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• More contract business with lowermargins

• Losing street customers to clubs,depots, CNC

• Less street pricing power than in thepast

• GPOs a battle for “operator control”

• Distributor brands advantage

• Focus on operating cost reduction

Evolving Distributor Realit ies

121

Page 122: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Represent 20% of industrypurchasing

• Very strong healthcare penetration

• More involvement in othersegments

• Manufacturer issues: extendibility,double dipping, no volumeguarantee

• Distributor issues: loss of operator“control,”margin erosion

GPOs Increasing asan Industry Factor

122

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GPO

2009 FSPurchases

($000) Segment Focus

Foodbuy(Compass)

$2,400,000Multi-Unit

FoodserviceOperators

Entegra(Sodexho)

2,000,000 Hospitality

Avendra 2,000,000 Travel & Leisure

Premier 1,500,000 Healthcare

Dining Alliance 1,000,000Multi-Unit

FoodserviceOperators

Top 5 GPOs

123

Page 124: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

GPO Penetration of IndependentsHas Stirred Distributors

SegmentTotal Segment GPOPurchases ($MM)

% of Total RelevantSegment Purchases

K-12 $2,595 28%

Colleges 1,845 29

Hotels 3,337 36

Street Restaurant 3,055 6

Business & Industry 770 10

Hospitals 4,030 89

Nursing Homes 2,170 61

Recreation 2,216 34

Total $20,020 21%

Total Purchases Made through GPOs

Source: 2009 Technomic GPO Study

“In terms of non-specialized GPO’s, I would describe them aspariahs. They don’t add a lot of value. They simply disrupt

the profit potential in the marketplace.”

124

Page 125: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Contract Share of Business IsQuite High and Growing

62%Contract

Independents

Top 500 Chains

Other Contract/Chain

GPOs

FSMs

Total Purchases = $201B

37%

35%

10%

10%

10%

125

Page 126: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Concern: Customer/Margin MixAre Critical to Profitabil ity

2010 (E) Share of…

(E) = Technomic estimate

37%

65%

63%

35%

Sales Profit

Street Contract

Street Sales Shoulderthe Profit Load

126

Page 127: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

History of Distributor Brands

2007

1997

• Distributor labels

• Lower cost

• Questionablequality

• Distributor brands

• Better value

• Good quality

• An alternative tomanufacturer brands

2012

127

Page 128: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Brand Structure – DistributorBrands

Price

Qu

alit

y

128

Page 129: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

DB’s a Key to Future Success

Manufacturer$117B59%

Distributor$37B18%

Operator $47B23%

2010 Total Distributor Sales(Operator Purchases) = $201B

by Brand Type

Importance of DB’s toFuture Success

Not VeryImportant

18%

Important23%

VeryImportant

24%

ExtremelyImportant

35%

Source: Technomic Distributor Intelligence Service Issue #68 (6/11) 129

Page 130: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Despites Profitabil ity, Challengesto DB Growth Exist

$2.30

$1.10

($0.35)

DistributorBrands

ManufacturerBrands

OperatorBrands

Distributor Profit/Case*Average = $1.30

*Based on case value of $26.50Source: Technomic

Obstacles to Selling DB’s

53%40% 40%

Mfg. BrandsSpecified

Sales RepResistance

Lack ofCustomer

Acceptance

130

Page 131: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Volume Growth Will Come fromOperator and Distributor Brands

*In constant 2010 dollars

Operator Purchases($B*)

Brand Type 2010 2015Change

($B)

Manufacturer $117 $115 -$2

Operator 47 53 +5

Distributor 37 39 +2

Total $201 $206 +5

131

Page 132: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Educator, territorymanager, sales generator

• Handle 50-60 customers

• Distributors believe DSRspay big dividends

• Not looking to reducenumbers

• New skills – operator foodcost management

• Talent upgrades

Distributor Sales Rep (DSR) Landscape

“Our customers, even the newgeneration, want to see DSRs”

Agree60%

Disagree40%

“I am more loyal to my DSRthan I am to his/her company.”

132

Page 133: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

There has been no major shift over the recent past

133

How Distributor Sales RepsSpend Their Time

*Includes admin, scheduling, etc.Source: Distributor Intelligence Service

% of Time

Average = 25 minutes

TakingOrders

32%

HelpingCustomers

21%

Traveling19%

Other*28%

Page 134: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Buying Groups

• Systems Distributors

• Specialty distributors

– Product (meat, dairy,equipment)

– Segment (vending, airlines)

• Warehouse clubs

• Cash-n-carry

• Direct-store delivery (DSD)

Other Distribution Alternatives

134

Page 135: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Affiliation for small/ medium-size distributors

• Provide buying clout –negotiation leverage

• Expanded marketing,strategy, support services

Distributor Buying Groups

135

Page 136: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Serve the super chains

• Few customers

• Limited inventory

System Distributors

Source: Technomic; ID Magazine

Independent Chain OwnedChain OwnedBroadliner

OwnedBroadliner

Owned

• Lower overhead

• Cost-plus pricing with chains

• Ownership structures vary

136

Page 137: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

“We see the club store segment as a greater threat tomarket share because of the growing ethnic restaurantsegment. They are very price sensitive. They don’t mind

running out to Restaurant Depot. They don’t consider thevalue that a broadliner provides.”

Club Stores Are Major Factor

137

Page 138: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Quality merchandise

• Low prices

• No minimums

• Increased availability/quality ofperishables

• Package size

• Brand names and private label

• “See, touch, smell” before buying

Clubs/Cash-n-Carry Appeal toOperators

138

Page 139: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Monies paid to distributors bymanufacturers tocarry/promote products

• Manufacturer trade funding =>75% of distributor operatingprofit

• Typical manufacturerspending level 16.2% ofsales

• Majority of Trade Spend is“Local Trade Spending”(58.5%)

A Primer on Trade Spending

88%

79%

75%

71%

Increases Volume

Increases AccountPenetration

Increases Profits

New Customers

Defining Success ofMarketing Programs

Source: Technomic Distributor Intelligence #58 (7/2010) 139

Page 140: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Distributor Trade Programs

92% 88%71%

SalesMeetings

Food ShowParticipation

Contests/Promotions

for DSR's

Top 3 Activities Included inMarketing Programs

Operator Food Show Likes

Source: Technomic Driving Change: Improving Local Trade Spending ROI.Common Interest Sponsorship (2009); Technomic Distributor IntelligenceService #58 (7/2010)

See NewProducts

56%

Other13%

Talking toReps3%

Networking3%

PurchaseDiscounts

7%

Samples8%

ServingIdeas10%

140

Page 141: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

National and RegionalRedistributors

• Dot Foods • AlpineRedistribution

• Empire Beef

• FoodserviceCenter

• Honor Foods

• Reddy Raw

• RW Zant

• Twelve Baskets

• SYSCO RDCNetwork

• Golden Bay(Federated)

• Golbon

• Progressive GroupAlliance

• MBM

OpenDistribution

ClosedDistribution

National Regional

141

Page 142: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

We have startedmapping our

strategy to roll outcategory

management13%

We do not haveany plans to

develop a CMP16%

We haveestablished aformal CMP

42%

We would like tohave a formal

CMP are not readyto start

29%

• Recognize value butslow to adopt

• Biggest Concerns

– CustomerRelationships (58%)

– Time Consuming(53%)

– Rank & FileCommitment (42%)

• Becoming a keyinitiative

– Sysco

– U.S. Foodservice

Finally, Category Management:What’s Happening?

Source: Technomic Distributor Intelligence Service Report #60 9/2010 142

Page 143: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Quiz Time: Distributors

143

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Client Logo

Lunch

Page 145: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Client Logo

Beyond Restaurants

Page 146: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

BeyondRestaurants

$77.8B43%

Rest. & Bars$101.8B

57%

BR Segments Represent LargeVolume Opportunities

2011 Total FoodservicePurchases = $179.6B*

2011 Beyond RestaurantsPurchases = $77.8B*

Retail Hosts$15.2B20.0%

Education$14.9B19.0%

Travel &Leisure$15.1B19.0%

Vending/OCS$9.4B12.0%

B&I$6.0B8.0%

Healthcare$10.1B13.0%

All Other$7.1B9.0%

*Excludes alcohol and non-foodsSource: Technomic 146

Page 147: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Issues & Outlook• Super Markets +4.0%

– Large FS footprint

– Value

– Variety

• C-Stores +1.5%

– Continued focus on beverage

– Hi fuel costs hurt

• Other +3.5%

– Club store growth

Retail Host Foodservice

Supermarkets$9.1B60%

C-Stores$3.7B24%

Other RetailHosts$2.5B16%

Total Retail Host OperatorsPurchases = $15.2B

Source: Technomic 147

Page 148: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

C-Stores: Then & Now

148

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Foodservice Leads In-Store Profits

68%

67%

54%

45%

Frozen DispensedBeverages

Cold DispensedBeverages

Hot DispensedBeverages

Prepared Foods

Source: CSNews Industry Report

Average Gross Margin Percent In-Store

51%

25%

Foodservice Merchandise

149

Page 150: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Meet “Bubba”

Heavy/Moderate Light/Infrequent

Gender Skews male Skews female

Age Skews young (<24) Skews older (45+)

Race Hispanic Caucasian

Education High school, some college College graduate

Income Less than $25K annually $50K-$75K

150

Page 151: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Not Your Daddy’s C-Store

Watauga, TX

151

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Retail Host Foodservice All-Stars

Costco SheetzWegman’s

152

Page 153: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Issues & Outlook• Lodging +4.5%

– Meetings, catered events

– Upscale recovery

• Transportation +2.5%

– International departures

– Flat 2012

• Recreation +.4%

– Less discretionaries

Travel & Leisure Foodservice

Total Travel & Leisure OperatorPurchases = $15.1B

Recreation$4.7B31%

Lodging$8.5B55%

Transportation$1.9B13%

Source: Technomic 153

Page 154: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Travel & Leisure Foodservice All-Stars

Safeco FieldSeattle, WA

The SurreyNYC

Thai AirlinesEconomy Class

154

Page 155: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Issues & Outlook• K-12 +2.0%

– Diversified enrollment

– Nutrition legislation

– Parents

• College & University +4.5%

– College population increasing

– Growth in 2-year colleges

– Greater FSM, GPO focus

– More savvy diners

Education Foodservice

Total EducationPurchases = $14.9.6B

K-12Schools$8.8B59%

College/University

$5.8B41%

Source: Technomic 155

Page 156: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Education Foodservice All-Stars

Hokie Grill

West End Market

Virginia Tech University Greenview Upper Elementary School(South Euclid, OH)

156

Page 157: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Issues & Outlook• Senior Living +3.5%

– Here come the Boomers

– Housing crises

– Retirement income

• Hospitals +5.1%

– Upscaling, customer service focus

– Cash operations

• Long Term Care +.4%

– Severe budget shortages

– Delay of elderly entering nursinghomes

Healthcare Foodservice

Total HealthcarePurchases = $10.1B

Hospitals$4.2B43%

Long-TermCare

$3.2B32%

SeniorLiving$2.6B25%

Source: Technomic 157

Page 158: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Healthcare Foodservice All-Stars

Virtues Restaurant – SumaHealth Care (Akron, OH)

Vi Assisted &Independent Living

(San Diego, CA)

Hanna HealthCareCenter (Verona, PA)

158

Page 159: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Companies that operate and manage foodservice facilitieswithin/for other establishments (typically noncommercialestablishments) for purpose of making a profit

Foodservice Management Firms(FSMs)

159

Page 160: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

FSMs Dominate Share of SeveralSegments

FSM Segment Share

81%

60%

38% 36%

19% 16% 15%

76%

58%

37% 35%

18% 15% 15%

B&I C/U Recreation Hospitals K-12 Senior Living Long-TermCare

2010 2007

Over 7,000 B&I units are FSM-run compared to lessthan 3,000 self-opsKey Insights

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Organization U.S. Revenue (in millions)

1. Compass Group $9,200

2. ARAMARK 8,600

3. Sodexho 7,900

4. Delaware North 1,950

5. Centerplate 1,000

The Leading Players

¹/ North America revenueSource: Technomic/Foodservice Director 161

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30%

26%

19%

19%

6%

Business & Industry Education Healthcare Recreation Other

Leading FSMs Have PrioritizedStruggling B&I Segment

41%

19%

16%

11%

13%

% of Revenue by Segment

34%

22%

20%

6%

18%

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Compass Uses Multiple BrandsAcross Different Segments

HealthcareDining

HealthcareFacilities Education Vending

Sports &Entertainment

BusinessDining

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• Corporate name usedacross all segments

• Emphasize overallfoodservice expertiseversussegment expertise

• Management believesthat future change insegment brandingstrategy would bereactive and negativelyreceived

Aramark and Sodexho Use SingleBrand Strategy Across Segments

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• University of TampaStadium

• Center of Plate: BBQChicken, Pork, Beef andFish

• Sides: Smoked Macaroniand Cheese, VegetarianChili, Corn Bread, SweetPotato Fries

• Combos: $5.49 - $8.49

Sodexo’s Newest - SparBQ

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Quiz Time: Beyond Restaurants

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Client Logo

The Chains

Page 168: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Limited Service Segmentation

*QSR Specialty includes: Bagel, Barbecue, Chili, Other Ethnic, Seafood and snack**FCR Specialty includes: Barbecue, Italian, Other Ethnic and SaladSource: Technomic, Inc.; company reports

QSR71.4%

FCR28.6%

LSR Segmentation

$791

$653

$1,098

Total LSR

QSR

FCR

Median AUVComparison ($000)

17

13

9

9

9

6

5

5

Mexican

Bakery Café

Chicken

Hamburger

Other Sandwich

Specialty**

Asian

Pizza

FCR Composition

4028

2020

1616

109

766

4

PizzaOther SandwichFrozen Desserts

HamburgerCoffee & Other Beverage

Specialty*Chicken

Cafeteria/BuffetFamily Steak

DonutMexican

Asian

QSR Composition

Total QSR Chains: 182 Total FCR Chains: 73

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Full Service Segmentation

*CDR Specialty includes: Other Ethnic and Other**MSR Specialty includes: HamburgerSource: Technomic, Inc.; company reports

CDR82.0%

MSR18.0%

Full-Service Segmentation

$2,725

$3,000

$1,475

Total FSR

CDR

MSR

Median AUVComparison ($000)

35

6

2

1

Family Style

BBQ

Italian

Specialty**

MSR Composition

86

33

23

20

18

11

7

3

Varied Menu

Steak

Italian

Mexican

Seafood

Asian

BBQ

Specialty*

CDR Composition

Total CDR Chains: 201 Total MSR Chains: 44

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LSR Menu Segments

Source: Technomic 2012 Top 500 Report*Nominal ** Seafood, Italian, BBQ, Bagel

LSR Segment ‘11 Sales $B ‘11 Growth*

Hamburger $68.2 3.6%

Other Sandwich 18.6 4.7

Pizza 20.5 2.5

Coffee Café 17.1 6.6

Chicken 14.9 3.6

Mexican 12.6 4.1

Bakery Café 5.2 7.0

Frozen Dessert 5.1 -.1

Family Casual 4.7 -2.0

Asian/Noodle 2.6 5.5

Other** 4.3 1.9

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FSR Menu Segments

FSR Segment ‘11 Sales $B ‘11 Growth*

Varied Menu $27.4 2.6%

Family Style 13.3 .9

Steak 8.7 5.1

Italian 7.1 2.2

Seafood 4.9 5.2

Mexican 2.0 .4

Asian Noodle 1.8 2.7

Other 2.2 3.5

Source: Technomic 2011 Top 500 Report*Nominal 171

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2Q-11 3Q-11 4Q-11 1Q-12 2Q-12

8.0% 10.0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0%

5.8 2.5 4.0 2.1 5.4

4.6 4.1 5.6 2.5 2.8

Same-Store Sales Change vs. Previous Year

Specialty LSR Players PerformingWell

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*

2Q-11 3Q-11 4Q-11 1Q-12 2Q-12

10.0% 11.3% 11.1% 12.7% 8.0%

4.4 6.0 5.9 7.5 4.8

5.1 3.7 3.5 3.0 2.1

Same-Store Sales Change vs. Previous Year

*Franchised stores

Fast Casual Continues StrongShowing

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6 of 10 Fastest-Growing Chains AreFCRs

1,150%

268

188

185

184

182%

159

145

131

101

Total % Growth(2005-2010)

Chains over $200MM in sales.Source: 2006-2011 Technomic Top 500 reports. 174

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FCR Menus Imply Culinary Touch

Source: Technomic Menu Monitor.

• Mediterranean Veggie Sandwich ontomato basil with peppers, feta,cucumber, lettuce, tomatoes, red onionsand cilantro hummus.

• Teriyaki Charburger with grilledpineapple. 100% lean beef.

• Wild Salmon “Lite” Burrito. Noriseaweed, poblano brown rice, avocado,cucumber, cabbage, fat-free chili, sesameaioli, whole wheat tortilla.

Concept Menu Item

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FCR Price Points Attractiveto Consumers

Meal Components FCR CDR* QSR

Boneless Buffalo WingsFriesSoft Drink

$10.58 $15.49 $9.87

½ lb. Bacon CheeseburgerFriesSoft Drink

$9.67 $14.35 $7.59

Chicken QuesadillaSoft Drink

$8.58 $14.35 $5.19

*Includes 15% tip.Source: Technomic MenuMonitor 176

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FCR: The Bright Spot in theRestaurant Industry

2.5%

3.5%

14.4%

3.5%

-0.5%

1.4%

11.0%

1.1%

FSR

QSR

FCR

All Restaurants & Bars

10 Year CAGR 5 Year CAGR

Growth rates nominal.Source: Technomic

Growth to 2011

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Chain 2Q ‘11 3Q ‘11 4Q ‘11 1Q ‘12 2Q ’12

- 2.0 - 3.0 6.0 5.0 4.0

4.8 3.0 6.8 2.0 1.7

- 0.1 4.9 1.8 0.5 5.1

0.3 - 6.3 - 3.6 - 4.2 - 2.4

Pizza on the Rise

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Chain 2Q ‘11 3Q ‘11 4Q ‘11 1Q ‘12 2Q ‘12

4.5 4.4 7.1 8.9 3.6

2.3 0.7 4.2 0.7 3.2

3.9 - 0.5 0.1 3.5 2.8

3.2 3.1 5.3 4.2 2.8

9.6 2.5 1.8 6.1 2.6

Some Burger Chains Startingto Grow Again

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• McDonald's sells more than75 hamburgers every second

• McDonald’s $32B in revenueexceeds the GPD of Ecuador.

• McDonald's is the world'slargest distributor of toys,with one included in 20% ofall sales

• The only place in the lower 48that is more than 100 milesfrom a McDonald's is a barrenplain in South Dakota (N45.45955 W 101.91356)

A Word About McDonald’s

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Same-Store Sales Change vs. Previous Year

Casual Dining Chains ShowingSigns of Life

Chain 2Q ‘11 3Q ‘11 4Q ‘11 1Q ‘12 2Q ’12

3.5 - 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.5

2.1 1.7 1.4 4.6 2.2

2.7 4.2 5.9 7.2 5.5

- 0.1 - 4.1 - 4.2 - 5.0 - 4.6

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Contemporary Casual Doing Better

Same-Store Sales Change vs. Previous Year

2Q-11 3Q-11 4Q-11 1Q-12 2Q-12

2.1% 0.8% 2.7% 2.4% 2.1%

5.7 3.5 2.8 3.9 1.9

9.1 10.6 7.8 8.7 2.3

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Upscale Showing Renewed Vigor

Same-Store Sales Change vs. Previous Year

*

*Franchised stores

2Q-11 3Q-11 4Q-11 1Q-12 2Q-12

5.8% 2.6% 7.7% 3.7% 6.0%

8.2 5.1 n/a n/a n/a

7.9 7.0 5.7 5.7 2.8

9.9 10.1 na 5.4 3.0

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This Just In…

Chain News

Taco Bell• First Meal" set to debut in about 750 locations in

10 states

Taco Bell

• Begins testing an expanded, more upmarketmenu that focuses on fresh ingredients -- thinkChipotle Mexican Grill on a budget

Wendy’s• Testing premium “Black Label” Burgers: Bacon

Portabella and Spicy Santa Fe @ $4.49

McDonald’s

• Twister Fries are only available in the Philippines,where many call the fast food chain "McDo." Butthe fries are only available for a limited time, themagazine reported, costing about $1.43 in U.S.dollars .

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This Just In…

Chain News

Golden Corral• Proving not everyone is on the health bandwagon,

offers cotton candy on buffet.

Starbucks

• Will open its first tea-only store in October under theTazo brand. The shop will sell more than 80 varietiesof loose-leaf tea, pastries, baked goods and packagedchocolates.

McDonalds• Will be opening its first two vegetarian restaurants in

India in 2013.

DunkinBrands

• Will begin transitioning to cage-free eggs nationwidewhile requiring its pork suppliers to phase out pig-breeding cages called gestation crates as part of itscorporate social responsibility commitment.

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Quiz Time: The Chains

186

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Client Logo

Conclusions

Page 188: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

• Consumers starting tospend again

• Most segments to grow ona real basis

• Momentum starting tobuild

• But recovery will be slow,not dramatic

• Niche, operatorprioritization still critical

Conclusions

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Page 189: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Today’s Elevator Speech

Necessary Actions

Traffic

Consumer frugality

New value definition

Addressing new legislation

Rising fuel and commodity prices

Work with operators on value offerings

R&D partnerships

Cut costs out of supply chain

Greater transparency

Longer term: business building

Challenges

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Page 190: Foodservice Fundamentals Fast Track: Introduction to the Foodservice Industry

Thanks for Your Attention Today…Any Further Questions?

Mathew MandeltortSenior Consultant

312-506-3917

[email protected]:epicureancandidate.wordpress.com

190