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General Aviation Air Cargo Analysis
North Central Texas Council of Governments Transportation Department
Air Transportation Technical Advisory Committee
January 26, 2009
General Aviation Air Cargo Analysis
Requested Action:Accept “General Aviation Air Cargo Analysis” as part of the on-going System Plan.
Air Cargo Activity
• Air cargo is the movement of freight and mail by air.
• Typically high value commodities or high priority items.
• Only a small share of the tonnage shipped within the U.S.
• In 2006 air transportation carried 15.4 billion ton miles or 0.3 percent of the total cargo movement activity by weight within the U.S.
Air Cargo Types
Ton MilesRank Carrier Name (millions) Type of Carrier
1 FedEx 10,543 Integrated2 UPS 6,270 Integrated3 Atlas 5,342 All-cargo4 Northwest 2,269 Combination passenger/cargo5 American 2,231 Combination passenger/cargo6 United 2,048 Combination passenger/cargo7 Delta 1,239 Combination passenger/cargo8 Kalitta 1,190 All-cargo9 Continental 1,006 Combination passenger/cargo
10 Evergreen 840 All-cargoSource: Air Transport Association, 2008
Largest U.S. Cargo Carriers in 2007 by Revenue Ton Miles Carried
National & International Air Cargo Growth
On U.S. airlines in 2007:39.4 % of the revenue ton-miles of cargo were domestic routes60.6 % of the revenue ton-miles were international routes.1
1Source: USDOT2Source: Airbus
Source International DomesticAirbus 5.8% 4.2%Boeing 6.1% 3.8%FAA 6.0% 3.0%Source: As indicated
Over the last ten years air cargo volume worldwide has grown at an average annual rate of 4.6 %.2
Worldwide Air Cargo 20 Year Forecasts
National Air Cargo Growth
2005 PercentageFreight Change
Mode Ton Miles Share 1990-2005Railroad 1,733.8 38.2% 63%Truck 1,293.3 28.5% 52%Pipeline 903.8 19.9% 5%Water 591.3 13.0% -29%Air 15.7 0.3% 51%Total 4,537.9 100.0%Source: U.S. DOT, October 2007
Domestic Freight in 2005 by Mode(Freight ton-miles in billions)
Air Cargo Activity in North Central Texas
Within North Central Texas, all scheduled regional air cargo is handled at one of three airports:
Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (DFW)Dallas Love Field (DAL)Fort Worth Alliance Airport (AFW)
Data Source: DFW Airport, Fort Worth Alliance Airport
0
200
400
600
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1,200
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Year
Thou
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US
Tons
DFW Airport
Alliance Airport
Aviation System Performance MeasurementTons of Transported Air Cargo (2007)
28
Air Cargo ActivityDFW Airport
In 2007 DFW was the 27th busiest airport in the world for movement of air cargo.
Within the U.S., DFW is ranked the 10th busiest airport for air cargo.
In 2007, 798,432.8 tons of cargo arrived and departed at DFWIn 2005 and 2007, DFW Airport won
Air Cargo Magazine’s Best Air Cargo Airport in the World between 500,000 and 999,999 Metric Tons award.
General Aviation Air Cargo Analysis
Survey of:
• Reliever Airports
• Airports with a runway of at least 6,000 feet
Air Cargo Airport Survey Results
Survey Responses Number of Airports
Number of GA airports with scheduled air cargo 1
Number of GA airports with unscheduled air cargo 4Number of GA airports with specific air cargo facilities
1
Number of GA airports with commercial based aircraft
3
Number of GA airports expecting a change in air cargo service
5
Number of GA airports with a growth plan for air cargo service
5
Airport Features Conducive to Air Cargo
• Demand • Runway Length • Runway Strength • Ramp Area• Instrument Lighting System (ILS) • Fixed Base Operator (FBO) Services • Available Facilities or Land for Development • Existing Passenger or All-Cargo Airlines
In general, air cargo is handled at the same airports that have scheduled commercial passenger service because of the population/industrial base and extensive airport facilities and services that are already present.
Summary
• Several General Aviation (GA) airports within the region have limited air cargo activity or expectations for such in the future.
• Air cargo service consists of occasional flights by turbo-prop or corporate jets carrying high value or priority goods.
• Basic facilities exist for many GA airports in North Central Texas to serve the shipment of air cargo.
• The vast majority of air cargo in North Central Texas is handled at 3 airports: DFW International, Dallas Love Field, and Alliance.
• High priority or specialized shipments, air cargo opportunities will be available at several regional GA facilities.
General Aviation Air Cargo Analysis
Requested Action:Accept “General Aviation Air Cargo Analysis” as part of the on-going System Plan.
General Aviation Air Cargo Analysis
Rebekah [email protected]
(817) 695-9258
www.nctcog.org/trans/programs/aviation.aspwww.nctcog.org/trans/goods/
For more information:
Arlington Municipal Airport
NCTCOG ATTAC January 26, 2009
Arlington’s Economic Status
$3 billion of business development• Mixed-use developments• Cultural Venues• Aerospace Manufacturing • Cowboys Stadium
Arlington Highlands• Regional Retail/
Office Center 600,000 sq ft
• Named “Best New Development in Retail” by Dallas Business Journal
Viridian
• 3,700 single-family residential units
• 3.5 million sq ft mixed-use commercial development
Pioneer -360 Business CenterConstruction of 1.1 million sq ft of quality office/warehouse space
Cultural Venues• Johnnie High’s • Levitt Pavilion • UTA Special Events
Center
Progressive, Inc. &Pratt & Whitney
• Producing parts for military and commercial aircraft
Stadium Area Development • Phased
development• 1.2 million sq ft
at build-out
• Hotels • Restaurants• Entertainment Venues
Airport Projects
New Terminal BuildingTerminal ApronExpansionTaxiway Lighting System Rehab
New Terminal Building
• Design-Build • Initial budget
$4.57M, including TxDOT funding
• City funds leveraged from natural gas lease proceeds
Team: CP&Y and PGAL
Terminal Apron Expansion
• CP&Y selected firm– Design Phase
• Taxiway Lighting Rehabilitation– Bid Phase
Airport Economic Development
Airport Economic Development
Arlington Air Assoc. Corporate
Box Hangars &
Offices
Harrison Aviation
Conv. Hangar
Airport Economic Development
Airport Properties
Conv. Hangar
ATP Fuel Farm
ATP FBO/Diamond Jet training and service center
TCHOA Corp. Box
Hangars
Airport Economic Development
City
T-hangarCity
T-hangar
Three proposals for conv.
hangars under
review.
Future Development Plans
Thank You
Forecasting UpdateForecasting Update
Air Transportation TechnicalAdvisory Committee
January 26, 2009
Forecasting ScheduleForecasting ScheduleApril 25, 2008 Forecasting White Paper #1
May 23, 2008 ATTAC Workshop
June 20, 2008 ATTAC Information Item
Sept. 22, 2008 ATTAC Action to Accept Process and Data Sets
Nov. 19, 2008 Internal NCTCOG Workshop
Nov. 2008 – Jan. 2009 Based aircraft data updates
Jan. 26, 2009 Forecasting White Paper #2
March 2009 ATTAC Workshop (date T.B.D.)
April 27, 2009 ATTAC Action to Accept Scenarios, Regional Totals, and Baseline Values
Forecasting Process Flow Chart Forecasting Process Flow Chart 11
Airport-Specific Forecasts
Scenarios/Alt. Futures 2 Regional Control Total 2
Data/Historical Trends 1 Baseline Forecasts 2
Sub-Regional and County Influences 2
1. ATTAC approval received on September 22, 2008.
2. Additional intervals at which ATTAC endorsement will be sought FY 2009.
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Forecasting FactorsForecasting Factors
White Paper #1EconomicsThe use of GA as a business toolTechnology changesAirport locations and accessAirport characteristicsService area population and employmentFuel pricesRegional pilot populationRisk factoring and thresholdsRegional variations
White Paper #2Activity relationships between individual airports and regional activity levelsNextGenRelationship between fuel sales and activityAirport Community ValueTravel time dataProximity to major employersPilot concentration by zip codeAirport amenitiesEmployment activity
Planning Area Demographic TrendsPlanning Area Demographic Trends(19(19--County Study Area)County Study Area)
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Population
Employment
Forecast AirportsForecast Airports
+ Airports included in FAA’s National Plan of Integrated Airport Systems (NPIAS)
+ Public Use Airports with at least 10 based aircraft
+ Exterior Influences (outside of NCTCOG boundary)
Forecast AirportsForecast AirportsAddisonAero CountryAirpark EastArlingtonBourland FieldBridgeportCaddo Mills *Clark Field CleburneCollin CountyCommerceCorsicanaDallas AirparkDallas Executive Dallas-Fort Worth International *Dallas LoveDecaturDentonEnnisFort Worth Alliance
Fort Worth MeachamFort Worth SpinksGainesvilleGranburyGrand PrairieGrayson CountyHicks AirfieldHillsboroLakeviewLancasterMajorsMesquite MetroMid-Way RegionalMineral WellsNorthwest RegionalParker CountyPossum KingdomPropwashRockwall Sycamore StripTerrell
Regional Population
Regional Employment
NationalSignificance
Major Employers
Regional Trending
Regional Forecasts
CountyPopulation
County Forecasts
Reg
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Airp
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Trend
Airp
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Airp
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Airp
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Airp
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Airp
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Airp
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Airp
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Airp
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Airp
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Airp
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Airp
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Targeted RegionalTrend
Infra-structureAvailability
Airport SpecificDraw
Airport CommunityValue
Airport Categories
County Employment
County Significance
Major Employers
AircraftAllocations
PilotAllocations
NewTechnology
Structure of Forecasting ModelStructure of Forecasting Model
Airport Categories Airport Categories -- RolesRolesPrivately Owned & Used 1
Privately Owned, Public Use 2
Public, Non-NPIAS 3
NPIAS 4
Reliever 5
Commercial with GA 6
Commercial 7
Military 8
Reg
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l GA
and
Hel
ipor
t Sys
tem
Airport Categories Airport Categories -- UsesUses
Designation Airport Use
A Any Ranch / Glider / Private Use / non-paved runway / ≤ 2,000' runway / < 10 based aircraft
B Airpark mixed Residential / Commercial / Industrial ActivityC A-1 ≤ 3500 paved runway, <10 Based AC and no based turbojet
D B-II ≤ 5000 paved runway, 10-49 Based AC or no based turbojet / low amenities
E B-II ≤ 5500 paved runway, 50-99 Based AC or 1-4 based turbojet / medium amenities
F C-II ≤ 6000 paved runway, 100+ Based AC or 5+ based turbojet / high amenities
G> C-II / Faster than "C" (141knots), Aircraft Design more than "II",
(118 ft wingspan)
Vertical Flight ClassificationsVertical Flight Classifications
Hospital Corporate News Media Public SafetyUtility ServicePublic Use / TransportRanch / Ag / PrivateVertiport
Police & Public Safety
EMSMedical
National ForecastsNational Forecasts
Regional ForecastsRegional Forecasts
Instruction Air TaxiNews Media
Corporate Fire /
ExternalLoad
PersonalUtility & Patrol
Police & Public Safety
EMSMedical
Instruction Air TaxiNews Media
Corporate Fire /
ExternalLoad
PersonalUtility & Patrol
Vertical Flight Forecasting ModelVertical Flight Forecasting Model
Renewable ForecastingRenewable Forecasting
Provides NCTCOG staff will the ability to run the model on periodic basis
Long-term improvement to regional general aviation and heliport activity reporting
Tied to best-available data in the Online Regional Aviation Data Management System
Travel Time Contours:Travel Time Contours:Fort Worth Meacham AirportFort Worth Meacham Airport
20072007 20302030
Based Aircraft LocationsBased Aircraft Locations
Percent of Based Aircraft in North Central Texas by County
5%
49%
25%
1%
2%2%
1%2%2%2%
1%1% 2% 5%
Collin CountyDallasDentonEllisErathHoodHuntJohnsonKaufmanNavarroPalo PintoParkerRockw allSomervellTarrantWise
Forecasting Process Flow Chart Forecasting Process Flow Chart 11
Airport-Specific Forecasts
Scenarios/Alt. Futures 2 Regional Control Total 2
Data/Historical Trends 1 Baseline Forecasts 2
Sub-Regional and County Influences 2
1. ATTAC approval received on September 22, 2008.
2. Additional intervals at which ATTAC endorsement will be sought FY 2009.
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Scenario 1: Contracted Aviation SystemScenario 2: Baseline Aviation SystemScenario 3: Expanded Aviation SystemScenario 4: New Airports System
Tentative Forecast ScenariosTentative Forecast Scenarios
Tentative SubTentative Sub--regions (under validation)regions (under validation)
Forecasting ScheduleForecasting ScheduleApril 25, 2008 Forecasting White Paper #1
May 23, 2008 ATTAC Workshop
June 20, 2008 ATTAC Information Item
Sept. 22, 2008 ATTAC Action to Accept Process and Data Sets
Nov. 19, 2008 Internal NCTCOG Workshop
Nov. 2008 – Jan. 2009 Based aircraft data updates
Jan. 26, 2009 Forecasting White Paper #2
March 2009 ATTAC Workshop (date T.B.D.)
April 27, 2009 ATTAC Action to Accept Scenarios, Regional Totals, and Baseline Values
Air Transportation Technical Advisory CommitteeAir Transportation Technical Advisory CommitteeSystem Plan DocumentationSystem Plan Documentation
Sample Documents
• New Technologies and Industry Trends Report (1st and 2nd Editions)
• Demonstration Encroachment Analysis Surrounding Lancaster Airport
• Forecasting White Papers (#1 and #2)
• Air Cargo Report (Current Meeting)
• Future Reports:• Vertical Flight Community Value• Airspace Report• Others
Distribution Options1. Electronic Only
(Current Method)2. Electronic and Paper
1. Web2. Handouts3. Binders
2009
January 26
April 27
June 22
August 24
(September – Summit Date TBD)
October 26
December 14 *
* Non-standard meeting day due to holidays.
Air Transportation Technical Advisory CommitteeAir Transportation Technical Advisory CommitteeUpcoming Meeting DatesUpcoming Meeting Dates
January 28, 2009 Based Aircraft Reporting Deadline
February 6, 2009 Airport Preference Survey Deadline
March 2009 Vertical Flight/Emergency Preparedness and Response Workshop
April 2009 Forecasting Workshop
May 2009 Aviation Curriculum Stakeholders Meeting (Consultant Selected)
Spring 2009 Tentative Super Bowl Workshop
Air Transportation Technical Advisory CommitteeAir Transportation Technical Advisory CommitteeUpcoming Events of InterestUpcoming Events of Interest
