Gettysburg Sunk

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    GETTYSBURGSUNK

    By Theodor ToncaOctober 24, 2013

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    $519,000,000,000

    - Bloomberg 7/2/2013

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    $311,000,000,000

    - Werner Rehm, Robert Uhlaner, Andy West Taking a Longer-Term Look at M&A Value Creation, McKinsey & Co. on Finance 42, Winter 2012.

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    - Kevin Voigt - Mergers Fail More Often Than Marriages, CNN May 22, 2009.

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    Why??

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    The Sunk Cost Fallacy

    - Hal R. Arkes & C. Blumer The Psychology of Sunk Cost Organizational Behavior & Human Decision Processes 35, 1985.

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    Sunk Cost, noun

    A irrecoverable cost, already incurred. Independentof any event that may occur in the future.

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    Sunk Cost Fallacy, noun

    An individual, organization or company continuing

    on with a project they have already invested time,effort and or money in, irrespective of future costs

    or benefits.

    i.e. Throwing good money after bad.

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    Concorde Fallacy

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    Vietnam War

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    Almost Every Corporate Acquisition

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    Battle of Gettysburg

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    Tony Romo

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    Fairfax Financial Re: Blackberry?

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    Awareness

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    Anchoring + Endowment Effect

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