Green Growth & Climate Resilience StrategyGreen Growth & Climate Resilience Strategy12th EUMETSAT Session Kigali ‐ 16th Sep2016

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Rapid Economic Growth

Sustained rapid economic & social growth in AfricaRwanda as an example:Rwanda as an example: Rwanda among the top 10 rapid growth countries

8% GDP growth over past decade8% GDP growth over past decade

Met all MDGs – fell short on poverty

Reduced poverty (59% to 39%); 1 million out of povertyReduced poverty (59% to 39%); 1 million out of poverty

Reduced inequality (0.507 to 0.448)

Ambition of 11 5% GDP growth by 2018Ambition of 11.5% GDP growth by 2018 200,000 off‐farm jobs annually by 2018

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Threats to sustaining economic growth gains

Climate Change  ‐ a threat to all growth gains• CO emissions• CO2 emissions

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Droughts

Floods & Landslides

Low altitudeLow rainfallEast

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Erratic rainfall

Kigali May 2012 rainfall

Temperatures in Rwanda on the rise?

Erratic, more intense rainfall 

Sustainability threats

Climate Change a threat to all the gains• Extreme weather ‐ loss of life and livelihoods• Extreme weather ‐ loss of life and livelihoods

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Sustainability threats

Climate Change a threat to all the gains• Extreme weather crop & infrastructure damage• Extreme weather crop & infrastructure damage

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Bridge

Nyabugogo transport hub

Mpazi river

Multiple inflows

One outflow

Ngororero District Road damage ‐ Kabaya

Sustainability threats

Climate Change a threat to all the gains• Inappropriate land use vulnerable to climate impacts• Inappropriate land use vulnerable to climate impacts

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Response to Climate Change

Government of Rwanda

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National Development Framework

VISION 2020Green Growth focus

Green Growth & Climate Resilience Strategy 2011‐2050HOW?

Rwanda developed climate‐resilient, low‐carbon economy by 2050

2008-12

EDPRS I EDPRS II EDPRS III EDPRS IV EDPRS V

2013-18 2019-24 2025-30 2031-36

EDPRS‐I EDPRS II EDPRS-III EDPRS-IV EDPRS-V

Green Economy Approach to Economic Transformation

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Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 2016‐2030

Rwanda GGCRS 14 Programmes

1. SUSTAINABLE FARMING 8. CLIMATE COMPATIBLE MINING1. SUSTAINABLE FARMING

2. AGRICULTURAL DIVERSITY

3. INTEGRATED WATER MANAGEMENT

9. EFFICIENT RESILIENT TRANSPORT

10. LOW CARBON URBAN SETTLEMENTS

4. SUSTAINABLE LAND USE

5. LOW CARBON MIX OF ELECTRICITY

11. ECOTOURISM, CONSERVATION

12. SUSTAINABLE FORESTRY

6. SUSTAINABLE SMALL‐SCALE ENERGY

7. GREEN INDUSTRY

13. DISASTER MANAGEMENT

14. CLIMATE DATA AND PROJECTIONS

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2030 Costing the GGCRS

Sector‐level Green Growth Costing:• Additional USD 0 8 billion:• Additional USD 0.8 billion:

o diversified energy supplyo security of supplyefficiency and reduction of CO emissionso efficiency and reduction of CO2 emissions

• Additional USD 2.8 billion:o water supply reliabilityo efficient and equitable use

• Additional USD0.7 billion:• mainstreaming agro‐ecologyg g gy• strengthening value chain capacity

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Financing Transforming

FONERWA – Climate Finance Instrument:

• National fund for environment and climate change• National fund for environment and climate change• Coordination, fund access facilitation, stimulating innovation• Innovation Grant; Lines of Credit;• Thematic windows:

o conservation/rehabilitation of natural resources;o research & development;o green technologies

• http://www.fonerwa.org/http://www.fonerwa.org/

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Some Early Achievements

Low carbon mix of power generation:• 8.5MW on-grid solar plant equivalent to 6% of renewable generationg p q g

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Early AchievementsSustainable Land Use & Disaster Risk Management:

Green Demo Villages

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Early Achievements

Sustainable Land Use Management & Disaster Risk Management:• Reforestation at 28% of national land area maintaining net carbon sink status

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Measuring Effectiveness

Monitoring and Evaluation Tools:

• GGCRS results framework

• Green Economy medium termGreen Economy medium term indicators

• Climate Change VulnerabilityClimate Change Vulnerability Index for Rwanda (2015 baseline)

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Programme 14: CLIMATE DATA AND PROJECTIONS

I. Enhancing Climate Data Collection82% of Automatic Stations; 91% Manual Stations; 20% Data digitizedo 82% of Automatic Stations; 91% Manual Stations; 20% Data digitized

II. Climate Change Projectionso Qualified staff; Climate analysis softwareo Qualified staff; Climate analysis software

III. Coordinating Capacity Buildingo Modelling staff; High‐capacity computerso Modelling staff; High capacity computers

IV. Climate disease researcho UR‐MINIRENA MOU; Climate Change ‐ Crop diseases research

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Programme 3: INTEGRATED WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT

• Understanding Water Balanceb l f ’ l ho Water‐balance estimates for Rwanda’s nine Level‐1 catchments

Programme 13: DISASTER MANAGEMENT

• Integrated Early Warning System• Integrated Early Warning Systemo Disaster portal; EWS protocols; Disaster communication

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Rwanda GGCRS Climate Data & Projectsand SDGsand  SDGs 

GGCRS Progamme 14 SDG 13

TAKE URGENT ACTION AGAINST CLIMATECLIMATE DATA AND PROJECTIONS

I. Enhancing Climate Data Collection

II Climate Change Projections

TAKE URGENT ACTION AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE

I. Resilience & adaptive capacity to li t h d /di tII. Climate Change Projections

III. Capacity Building

IV. Climate Change Disease Research

climate hazards/disasters

II. Integrate CC measures into policies, strategies, plans

gIII. Education, awareness raising,

institutional capacity

IV. Implement $100m commitment

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V. Focus on women, youth, marginalized

Na Shukuru Sana

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