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Hereford Transport Strategy Phasing Study ... Hereford Transport Strategy Phasing Study Strategic prioritisation Report JMP Consultants Limited 100 Wellington Street Leeds LS1 1BA

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  • Hereford Transport Strategy Phasing Study

    Strategic prioritisation

    Report

  • Hereford Transport Strategy Phasing Study

    Strategic prioritisation

    Report

    JMP Consultants Limited 100 Wellington Street Leeds LS1 1BA E [email protected] www.jmp.co.uk

    Job No. NEA6100

    Report No. 1

    Prepared by AS/JJ/PG

    Verified LW

    Approved by LW

    Status Final

    Issue No. 5

    Date 29 May 2014

  • Hereford Transport Strategy Phasing Study

    Strategic prioritisation

    Report

    Contents Amendments Record

    This document has been issued and amended as follows:

    Status/Revision Revision description Issue Number Approved By Date

    Draft For JMP comments 1 LW 21/11/2013

    Draft For Hereford comments 2 LW 20/12/2013

    Final Updated outputs 3 LW 29/01/2014

    Final Hereford comments 4 LW 27/02/2014

    Final SB Comments 5 LW 29/05/2014

  • Contents

    1 INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................................ 1

    Context and Purpose of this report ............................................................................................. 1

    The Herefordshire Core Strategy Context .................................................................................. 1

    Structure of this report ................................................................................................................ 3

    2 TRIGGER POINT ANALYSIS ..................................................................................................... 4

    3 WESTERN RELIEF ROAD ....................................................................................................... 21

    Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 21

    Wye Corridor............................................................................................................................. 22

    Three Elms Corridor ................................................................................................................. 22

    Holmer West Corridor ............................................................................................................... 22

    Holmer East Corridor ................................................................................................................ 22

    4 PRIORITISATION APPROACH ............................................................................................... 23

    The need for prioritisation ......................................................................................................... 23

    The Approach ........................................................................................................................... 23

    Corridor Assessment ................................................................................................................ 23

    5 THE CORRIDOR ASSESSMENT ............................................................................................ 26

    Wye Corridor............................................................................................................................. 26

    Three Elms Corridor ................................................................................................................. 31

    Holmer West Corridor ............................................................................................................... 35

    Holmer East Corridor ................................................................................................................ 38

    Whole Relief Road Assessment ............................................................................................... 42

    A465 south to A49 north (half moon) Assessment ................................................................... 47

    Strategic Outline Business Case Summary ............................................................................. 51

    Summary .................................................................................................................................. 54

    6 CONCLUSIONS ....................................................................................................................... 57

    Tables and Figures

    Table 2.1 Forecast Change in Travel ................................................................................................. 5 Table 2.2 Percentage change in travel .............................................................................................. 6 Table 2.3 % Change in Journey Time AM peak .............................................................................. 11 Table 2.4 MPH in the AM peak ........................................................................................................ 11 Table 2.5 % Change in Journey Time AM peak .............................................................................. 13 Table 2.6 MPH in the AM peak ........................................................................................................ 13 Table 2.7 % Change in Journey Time in AM peak ........................................................................... 15 Table 2.8 MPH in the AM peak ........................................................................................................ 15 Table 5.1 Job Creation ..................................................................................................................... 26 Table 5.2 Risk to Cost ...................................................................................................................... 29 Table 5.3 Risk to Programme .......................................................................................................... 30 Table 5.4 Risk to Acceptability ......................................................................................................... 30 Table 5.5 Job Creation ..................................................................................................................... 31 Table 5.6 Risk to Cost ...................................................................................................................... 33 Table 5.7 Risk to Programme .......................................................................................................... 34

  • Table 5.8 Risk to Acceptability ......................................................................................................... 34 Table 5.9 Job Creation ..................................................................................................................... 36 Table 5.10 Risk to Cost .................................................................................................................... 37 Table 5.11 Risk to Programme ........................................................................................................ 37 Table 5.12 Risk to Acceptability ....................................................................................................... 38 Table 5.13 Job Creation ................................................................................................................... 39 Table 5.14 Risk to Cost .................................................................................................................... 41 Table 5.15 Risk to Programme ........................................................................................................ 41 Table 5.16 Risk to Acceptability ....................................................................................................... 42 Table 5.17 Job Creation ................................................................................................................... 43 Table 5.18 Risk to Cost .................................................................................................................... 46 Table 5.19 Risk to Programme ........................................................................................................ 46 Table 5.20 Risk to Acceptability ....................................................................................................... 47 Table 5.21 Job Creation ................................................................................................................... 48 Table 5.22 Risk to Cost .................................................................................................................... 50 Table 5.23 Risk to Programme ........................................................................................................ 50 Table 5.24 Risk to Acceptability ....................................................................................................... 50

    Figure 2.1 Rate of housing and employment delivery alongside person trips. .................................. 6 Figure 2.2 2032 AM peak Hereford change in trip producers and attractors ..................................... 7 Figure 2.3 2032 Inter peak Hereford change in trip producers and attractors ................................... 8 Figure 2.4 2032 PM peak Hereford change in trip producers and attractors ..................................... 8 Figure 2.5 A49 AM Journey Times (Do Minimum) ........................................................................... 10 Figure 2.6 A49 PM Journey Times (Do Minimum) ........................................................................... 11 Figure 2.7 Model plot of routes to Hereford Enterprise