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Ashorn 08/2007 How scared are we? Moving to Finland Stockpiling food Paralysed with terror Worried sick Distinctly jumpy Sporadically anxious Mildly concerned Unperturbed The Guardian, 13.2.2003 Hanna Nohynek, 2005

How scared are we?

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Sporadically anxious. Worried sick. Stockpiling food. Unperturbed. Paralysed with terror. Mildly concerned. Distinctly jumpy. How scared are we?. The Guardian, 13.2.2003. Moving to Finland. Hanna Nohynek, 2005. Cow Milk Intake and Human Growth. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: How  scared  are we?

Ashorn 08/2007

How scared are we?

Moving to Finland

Stockpilingfood

Paralysedwith terror

Worried sick

Distinctly jumpy

Sporadicallyanxious

Mildlyconcerned

Unperturbed

The Guardian, 13.2.2003

Hanna Nohynek, 2005

Page 2: How  scared  are we?

Ashorn 08/2007

Cow Milk Intake and Human Growth

Page 3: How  scared  are we?

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Height increments in rural Malawi, LCSS 1995-2000, n = 767, Maleta et al

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36

Age (months)

Me

an

inc

rem

en

t / m

on

th (

cm

) Lungwena

WHO

Page 4: How  scared  are we?

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Height accumulation in rural MalawiMaleta et al., Arch Dis Child 2003

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36

Age (months)

He

igh

t (c

m)

LungwenaWHO

Page 5: How  scared  are we?

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Prevalence of malnutritionMaleta et al., Pediatr Perinat Epid 2003

PREVALENCE

0

10

20

30

40

50

0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36

Age (months)

Pre

vale

nce

%

WAZ <-2.0WAZ <-3.0WAZ <-4.0

0

20

40

60

80

100

0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36

Age (months)

Pre

vale

nce

%

HAZ <-2.0HAZ <-3.0HAZ <-4.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36

Age (months)

Pre

vale

nce

%

WHZ <-2.0WHZ <-3.0

WHO, 1997

Page 6: How  scared  are we?

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LCNI-3 trial, MalawiPhuka et al., submitted, n=182

Page 7: How  scared  are we?

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Page 8: How  scared  are we?

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Page 9: How  scared  are we?

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The Boyd Orr study, ScotlandOrr, Lancet, 1928

Page 10: How  scared  are we?

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7-13 year old, stunted children (n = 86, mean height 114 cm, weight 20 kg)

8 months intervention (random allocation)– Normal diet (roots and potatoes, 5440 kJ, 11 g

protein / day)– Added skimmed milk powder (10 g protein / day, 5

days per week)– Added skimmed milk powder (20 g protein / day, 5

days per week)

The Bundi Children, New GuineaLampl et al., Ann Hum Biol, 1978

Page 11: How  scared  are we?

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Milk and growth or bone maturationLampl et al., Ann Hum Biol, 1978

Height increment

00,5

11,5

22,5

33,5

4

Control Milk 10 g Milk 20 g

Incr

emen

t (c

m)

Weight increment

0

0,5

1

1,5

2

2,5

3

3,5

Control Milk 10 g Milk 20 g

Incr

emen

t (k

g)

Bone maturity increment

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Control Milk 10 g Milk 20 g

Incr

emen

t

HAZ change

-1,5

-1

-0,5

0

0,5

1

Control Milk 10 g Milk 20 g

HA

Z c

han

ge

(Z s

core

un

its)

Page 12: How  scared  are we?

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Other studies Alabama, 1945

– 82 kids, 1-10 / 4-15 years, 4 / 8 vs 0 dl milk / d– 1.23 cm lenght gain difference in 20 months– Paired allocation, Dreizen et al., Growth, 1950

Britain– 520 7-8 year olds, ”disadvantaged”– randomised, 1.9 vs 0 dl / d– 0.3 cm lenght gain difference in 21.5 months

(130 g weight)– Baker at al., J Epid Comm Health, 1980

Page 13: How  scared  are we?

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Other studies China

– 757 girls, age 10-12 years, 3.3 vs 0 dl milk / d– 0.7 cm lenght gain difference in 24 months– Cluster randomised (6), Du et al., Br J Nutr, 2004

A number of indeterminate or negative results from the North– In some trials, benefit if initially low HAZ

Many ecological and observational studies document an association between milk intake and height or linear growth– Possibility for confounding

Page 14: How  scared  are we?

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IGF-1 and linear growth

IGF-1 is affected by GH GH-deficient children do not grow

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Cow milk intake and IGF-1

Intervention studies few, 2 child studies 12-y girls, 5.5 dl milk / d, 18 months

– Minor association to IGF-1 at 18 months, p<0.05 if adjustments, energy confounder

– Randomisewd, Cadogan et al., BMJ, 1997 24 8-y boys, 1.5 l milk vs same protein in

meat, 7 days– Increased concentration of IGF-1 and IGF-1 / s-

IGFBP-3– Hoppe at al., Eur J Clin Nutr, 2004

Page 19: How  scared  are we?

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Denmark, high milk protein doseHoppe at al., Eur J Clin Nutr, 2004

IGF-1 Insulin

Milk MilkMeat Meat

Page 20: How  scared  are we?

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Milk vs meat and bone metabolismBudek at al., Eur J Clin Nutr, 2007

Energy intake

7,5

8

8,5

9

9,5

10

10,5

Milk Meat

MJ

/ d

ay

Start

End

Protein intake

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Milk Meat

g /

day

Start

End

Calcium intake

0

0,5

1

1,5

2

2,5

3

3,5

Milk Meat

g /

day

Start

End

Page 21: How  scared  are we?

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Milk vs meat and bone metabolismBudek at al., Eur J Clin Nutr, 2007

S-ostecocalcin concentration

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Milk Meat

ng

/ m

l

Start

End

S-bone specific AFOS concentration

120

125

130

135

140

145

Milk Meat

U /

l

Start

End

S-CTX (type I collagen) concentration

0

0,5

1

1,5

2

2,5

Milk Meat

ng

/ m

l

Start

End

Page 22: How  scared  are we?

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Additional information

Observational study, 2.5 y kids, Denmark– Direct association between milk intake and serum

IGF-1 concentration and lenght– Big effect: 2 6 dl milk intake increase vs 30%

increase in IGF-1– Hoppe at al., Am J Clin Nutr, 2004

Some negative and positive results both from adults and children (few studies)

Vegans vs vegetarians and meat-eaters

Page 23: How  scared  are we?

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Milk intake, height and serum IGF-1

Hoppe et al., Am J Clin Nutr

Page 24: How  scared  are we?

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ICP modelKarlberg, Stat Med, 1987

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IC spurtXu et al., Ped Res, 2002

Page 26: How  scared  are we?

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IC spurtand attained

heightXu et al., Ped Res, 2002

Page 27: How  scared  are we?

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Page 28: How  scared  are we?

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Height accumulationMaleta et al., Arch Dis Child 2003

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36

Age (months)

He

igh

t (c

m)

LungwenaWHO

Page 29: How  scared  are we?

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Bottle vs breast feeding

Unicef, 1990

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LCSS 268.1

3579

11

1315171921

0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60Age (months)

Wei

gh

t (k

g)

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60Age (months)

Hei

gh

t (c

m)

Page 32: How  scared  are we?

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Page 33: How  scared  are we?

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Randomiseinto 4 groups

210 infants per group

5.50 – 6.49 –month old infants in Lungwena and Malindi villages (n = appr. 1000)

Interview, medical examination, growth measurements (Weight-for-height, WHM)

No consent / other criteria

Exclude/ refer

WHM<80% oroedema

Exclude+refer

Defined inclusion and exlusion criteriaSigned informed consent

Enroll at least 840 childrenLP group (control 2): Maize-soy flour

1000 g / 2 weeks (71 g / day) between 6 and 18 mo

FSm group: milk-powder containing fortified spread750 g / 2 weeks (54 g / day) between 6 and 18 mo

FSs group: soy-protein containing fortified spread750 g / 2 weeks (54 g / day) between 6 and 18 mo

ST-DI group (standard treatm, delayed intervention) (Maize-soy flour 71 g / day between 18 and 30 mo)

Page 34: How  scared  are we?

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The 1st International RTUF conference in Malawi, 2003

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Three pigs from the same litter reared on different diets

McCance & Widdowson, Proc Roy Soc Lond 1974

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The ultimate aim

Nigerian Times