Hydrologic Processes

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    LECTURE #5

    HYDROLOGIC PROCESSES,

    PARAMETERS, AND

    CALIBRATION

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    THE HYDROLOGIC CYCLE

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    HYDROLOGY - HYDROLOGIC

    COMPONENTS

    Hydrologic Components:

    Rainfall or SnowInterception

    Depression storage

    Evapotranspiration

    InfiltrationSurface storage

    Runoff 

    Interflow

    Groundwater flow

    adapted from EPA BASINS workshop

    Evapotranspiration

    Interception

    Depression

    storage

    Ground surface

    Capillary

    rise

    Precipitation

    Infiltration

    Soil moisture

    Percolation

    Groundwater 

    storage

    Underground flow intoor out of the area

    Groundwater

    flow

    Streamflow

    Interflow

    Surface

    runoff 

    Channel pptn.

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    HYDROLOGY - WATER BALANCE

    Water balance equation

     R = P - ET - IG - ΔS 

    where: P = Precipitation R = Runoff   ET = Evapotranspiration IG

    = Deep/inactive groundwater ΔS  = Change in soil storage

    Inter-relationships between components

    Variation of components with time• consideration of soil condition, cover, antecedent

    conditions, land practices

    adapted from EPA BASINS workshop

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    STANFORD WATERSHED MODEL

    To Stream

    Actual ET

    Potential ET

    Precipitation

    Temperature

    Radiation

    Wind,Dewpoint

    Snowmelt

    Interception

    Storage

    Lower Zone

    Storage

    Groundwater 

    Storage

    InterflowUpper Zone

    Storage

    Overland Flow

    Deep or Inactive

    Groundwater 

    CEPSC*

     BASETP*

     AGWETP*

     DEEPFR*

     LZSN*

     INFILT*

     INTFW*UZSN*

     AGWRC*

     IRC*

    Delayed Infiltration

    Direct

    Infiltration

     NSUR*

    SLSUR*

     LSUR*

    PERC

    1

    ET

    2 ET

    3 ET

    4 ET

    5 ET

     LZETP*

    *   Parameters

    Output

    Process

    Input

    Storage

    ET - Evapotranspiration

    n Order taken to

    meet ET demand 

    Decision

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    PWATER STRUCTURE CHART

    PWATER

    Simulate water budget

    for pervious land

    segment

    EVAPT

    Simulate

    interception

    ICEPT

    Simulate

    interflow

    INTFLW

    Simulate

    upper zone

     behavior 

    UZONE

    Simulate the

    lower zone

     behavior 

    LZONE

    Simulate

    groundwater 

     behavior 

    GWATER

    Subsidiary

    upper zone

    subroutine

    UZONES

    Simulate

    evapotrans-

     piration (ET)

    Subsidiary

    upper zone

    subroutine

    ETUZS

    ET from

    lower zone

    ETLZON

    ET from

     baseflow

    ETBASE

    Evaporate

    from

    interception

    EVICEP

    ET from

    upper zone

    ETUZON

    ET from

    active

    ground 

    water 

    ETAGW

    Dispose of 

    moisture

    supply

    Distribute

    the water

    available for 

    infiltration

    and runoff 

    Determine

    surface

    runoff 

    Compute

    inflow to

    upper zone

    DIVISN

    DISPOS

    SURFAC

    PROUTEUZINF1/2

    Divide

    moisture

    supply

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    INTERCEPTION FUNCTION

    Precipitation

    CEPSC

    Throughfall

    Evaporation

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    INFILTRATION DIAGRAM

    line I - (Infiltration capacity)

    line II - (Interflow +

    Infiltration capacity)

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    INFILTRATION FUNCTION IN HSPF

    % AREA

    I = INFILTINFILT ** INFFACINFFAC

    (LZS /(LZS / LZSNLZSN))INFEXPINFEXP

    IMAX = I * INFILD

    IMAXIMAX

    Potential

    Runoff 

    Supply Rate

    Infiltration

    I

    0 100500

    II

    LZS /LZS / LZSNLZSN   I  n   f   i   l   t  r  a   t   i  o  n   R  a   t  e   (   i  n   /   h  r   )

    II

    Inter-

    flow

    II = I *I * INTFWINTFW (2.0** (LZS /(2.0** (LZS / LZSNLZSN))))

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    STANFORD WATERSHED MODEL

    To Stream

    Actual ET

    Potential ET

    Precipitation

    Temperature

    Radiation

    Wind,Dewpoint

    Snowmelt

    Interception

    Storage

    Lower Zone

    Storage

    Groundwater 

    Storage

    InterflowUpper Zone

    Storage

    Overland Flow

    Deep or Inactive

    Groundwater 

    CEPSC*

     BASETP*

     AGWETP*

     DEEPFR*

     LZSN*

     INFILT*

     INTFW*UZSN*

     AGWRC*

     NSUR*

    SLSUR*

     LSUR*

     IRC*

    Delayed Infiltration

    Direct

    Infiltration

    PERC

    1 ET

    2 ET

    3 ET

    4 ET

    5 ET

     LZETP*

    *   Parameters

    Output

    Process

    Input

    Storage

    ET - Evapotranspiration

    n Order taken to

    meet ET demand 

    Decision

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    UPPER ZONE STORAGE FUNCTION

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    SOIL PROFILE DRAINAGE PROCESSES

    AND FUNCTIONS

    LZS /LZS / LZSNLZSN

    PERC = 0.1 *PERC = 0.1 * INFILTINFILT * INFFAC ** INFFAC * UZSNUZSN ** UZSUZS -- LZSLZS 33

    UZSN LZSNUZSN LZSN

    From UZSFrom UZS

    To lower zone or groundwaterTo lower zone or groundwater

    1.01.0

    0.00.0

    0.50.5

       F  r  a  c   t   i  o  n   t  o   L   Z   S

       F  r  a  c   t   i

      o  n   t  o   L   Z   S

    0.00.0 1.01.0 2.02.0

    To GroundwaterTo Groundwater

    To Lower ZoneTo Lower Zone

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    STANFORD WATERSHED MODEL

    To Stream

    Actual ET

    Potential ETPrecipitation

    Temperature

    Radiation

    Wind,Dewpoint

    Snowmelt

    Interception

    Storage

    Lower Zone

    Storage

    Groundwater 

    Storage

    InterflowUpper Zone

    Storage

    Overland Flow

    Deep or Inactive

    Groundwater 

    CEPSC*

     BASETP*

     AGWETP*

     DEEPFR*

     LZSN*

     INFILT*

     INTFW*UZSN*

     AGWRC*

     NSUR*

    SLSUR*

     LSUR*

     IRC*

    Delayed Infiltration

    Direct

    Infiltration

    PERC

    1 ET

    2 ET

    3 ET

    4 ET

    5 ET LZETP*

    *   Parameters

    Output

    Process

    Input

    Storage

    ET - Evapotranspiration

    n Order taken to

    meet ET demand 

    Decision

    OVERLAND FLOW FUNCTION

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    OVERLAND FLOW FUNCTION

    SUB SURFACE FLOW FUNCTIONS

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    SUB-SURFACE FLOW FUNCTIONSInterflow

    IFWO = K2 * IFWS + K1 * INFLOIFWS = interflow storage at start of time step

    INFLO = addition to interflow storage during time-

    step

    K2 = 1.0 - e-K 

    K1 = 1.0 - K2/K 

    K = - ln(IRC)dt/24

    IRC = Interflow recession parameter 

    Baseflow

    AGWO = KGW * AGWS * (1.0 + KVARY * GWVS)

    AGWS = active groundwater storage

    GWVS = antecedent index increased by drainage

    to AGWS, decreased 3% each day

    KVARY = input parameter KGW = 1.0 - (AGWRC)dt/24

    AGWRC = Groundwater recession parameter 

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    STANFORD WATERSHED MODEL

    To Stream

    Actual ET

    Potential ETPrecipitation

    Temperature

    Radiation

    Wind,Dewpoint

    Snowmelt

    Interception

    Storage

    Lower Zone

    Storage

    Groundwater 

    Storage

    InterflowUpper Zone

    Storage

    Overland Flow

    Deep or Inactive

    Groundwater 

    CEPSC*

     BASETP*

     AGWETP*

     DEEPFR*

     LZSN*

     INFILT*

     INTFW*UZSN*

     AGWRC*

     NSUR*

    SLSUR*

     LSUR*

     IRC*

    Delayed Infiltration

    Direct

    Infiltration

    PERC

    1 ET

    2 ET

    3 ET

    4 ET

    5 ET LZETP*

    *   Parameters

    Output

    Process

    Input

    Storage

    ET - Evapotranspiration

    n Order taken tomeet ET demand 

    Decision

    EVAPOTRANSPIRATION FUNCTIONS

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    EVAPOTRANSPIRATION FUNCTIONS

    AND HIERARCHY

    1st from baseflow (BASETP)

    2nd from interception

    3rd from UZS @ potential if UZS /

    UZSN > 2.0; else prorated foreffective area

    4th from active groundwater

    (AGWETP)

    5th from LZS

    % AREA Less Than% AREA Less Than

       i  n

      c   h   /   D   T

       i  n

      c   h   /   D   T

    100%100%

    ET Potential

    Actual ETActual ET

    0%0% 50%50%

    ET Opportunity MAX

    0.250.25 LZSLZS DT_DT_

    11 -- LZETPLZETP LZSNLZSN 2424* *MAX =

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    STANFORD WATERSHED MODEL

    To Stream

    Actual ET

    Potential ETPrecipitation

    Temperature

    Radiation

    Wind,Dewpoint

    Snowmelt

    Interception

    Storage

    Lower Zone

    Storage

    Groundwater 

    Storage

    InterflowUpper Zone

    Storage

    Overland Flow

    Deep or Inactive

    Groundwater 

    CEPSC*

     BASETP*

     AGWETP*

     DEEPFR*

     LZSN*

     INFILT*

     INTFW*UZSN*

     AGWRC*

     NSUR*

    SLSUR*

     LSUR*

     IRC*

    Delayed Infiltration

    Direct

    Infiltration

    PERC

    1 ET

    2 ET

    3 ET

    4 ET

    5 ET LZETP*

    *   Parameters

    Output

    Process

    Input

    Storage

    ET - Evapotranspiration

    n Order taken tomeet ET demand 

    Decision

    A A A S

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    PWATER PARAMETERS:

    PWAT-PARM2

    FOREST - Fraction of the PLS covered by forest

    LZSN - Lower zone nominal soil moisture storage

    INFILT - Index to the infiltration capacity of the soil

    LSUR  - Length of the assumed overland flow plane

    SLSUR - Slope of the assumed overland flow plane

    KVARY - Variable groundwater recession parameter 

    AGWRC - Basic groundwater recession rate

    (when KVARY is zero)

    PWATER PARAMETERS

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    PWATER PARAMETERS:

    PWAT-PARM3

    PETMAX - Air temperature below which ET will be reduced below the

    input value (used when CSNOFG = 1)

    PETMIN - Air temperature below which ET will be zero regardless of 

    the input value (used when CSNOFG = 1)

    INFEXP - Exponent in the infiltration equation

    INFILD - Ratio between the max and mean infiltration capacities over

    the PLSDEEPFR  - Fraction of groundwater inflow which will enter deep

    (inactive) groundwater 

    BASETP - Fraction of remaining potential ET which can be satisfied

    from baseflow

    AGWETP - Fraction of remaining potential ET which can be satisfied

    from active groundwater storage

    PWATER PARAMETERS

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    PWATER PARAMETERS:

    PWAT-PARM4

    CEPSC - Interception storage capacity

    UZSN - Upper zone nominal soil moisture storage

     NSUR - Manning’s N for the assumed overland flow plane

    INTFW - Interflow inflow parameter 

    IRC - Interflow recession parameter, i.e., the ratio of interflow

    outflow rate today / rate yesterday

    LZETP - Lower zone ET parameter; an index to the density of

    deep-rooted vegetation

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    • Models are approximations of reality; they can not

     precisely represent natural systems

    • There is no single, accepted statistic or test thatdetermines whether or not a model is valid 

    • Both graphical comparisons and statistical tests arerequired in model calibration and validation

    • Models cannot be expected to be more accurate thanthe errors (confidence intervals) in the input and

    observed data• A ‘weight-of-evidence’ approach is becoming the

     preferred practice for model calibration and validation

    CALIBRATION ISSUES

    ‘Basic Truths’ in modeling natural systems

    CALIBRATION/VALIDATION

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    • Mean runoff volume for simulation period (inches)

    • Annual and monthly runoff volume (inches)

    • Daily flow timeseries (cfs) – observed and simulated daily flow

     – scatter plots

    • Flow frequency (flow duration) curves (cfs)

    • Storm hydrographs, hourly or less, (cfs)

    CALIBRATION/VALIDATION

    COMPARISONS

    “Weight-of-Evidence” Approach

    CALIBRATION/VALIDATION

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    • Precipitation

    • Total Runoff (sum of following components)

     – Overland flow

     – Interflow

     – Baseflow

    • Total Actual Evapotranspiration (ET) (sum of followingcomponents)

     – Interception ET

     – Upper Zone ET – Lower Zone ET

     – Baseflow ET

     – Active Groundwater ET• Deep Groundwater Recharge/Losses

    CALIBRATION/VALIDATION

    COMPARISONS

    Water Balance Components

    CALIBRATION/VALIDATION

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    Graphical Comparisons:

    • Timeseries plots of observed and simulated values for fluxes (e.g.,

    flow) or state variables (e.g., stage, sediment concentration, biomass concentration)

    • Observed and simulated scatter plots, with 45o linear regressionline displayed, for fluxes or state variables

    • Cumulative frequency distributions of observed and simulatedfluxes or state variable (e.g., flow duration curves)

    Statistical Tests:

    • Error statistics, e.g., mean error, absolute mean error, relative error,relative bias, standard error of estimate, etc.

    • Correlation tests, e.g., correlation coefficient, coefficient of model-fit efficiency, etc.

    • Cumulative Distribution tests, e.g., Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test

    CALIBRATION/VALIDATION

    COMPARISONS

    Graphical/Statistical Procedures & Tests

    R & R2 VALUE RANGES FOR MODEL

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    R & R VALUE RANGES FOR MODEL

    PERFORMANCE

    Criteria

    0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9

    Poor Fair Good Very Good

    Poor Fair Good Very Good

    0.75 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95

    R2

    Daily Flows

    Monthly Flows

    R

    HYDROLOGIC (PWATER) CALIBRATION

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    HYDROLOGIC (PWATER) CALIBRATION

    • Annual Water Balance -Runoff = Prec. - Actual ET - Deep Perc. -Δ Storage

    Key Parameters: Repre. Precipitation (MFACT)

    LZSN

    LZETPINFILT

    DEEPFR 

    • Groundwater (Baseflow) Volume and Recession -

    Runoff = Surface Runoff + Interflow + Baseflow

    Key Parameters: INFILT

    AGWRC/KVARY

    DEEPFR 

    BASETP/AGWETP

    • Surface Runoff + Interflow (Hydrograph Shape) -

    Key Parameters: UZSN

    INTFWIRC

    LSUR, NSUR, SLSUR 

    COMPONENTS OF HYDROGRAPH

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    COMPONENTS OF HYDROGRAPH

    Surface runoff -

    overland flow

    Interflow - flow

    through surficiallayers of soil

       B  a  s  e   f   l  o  w

       R  u  n  o   f   f

       I  n   t  e  r   f   l  o

      w

    Baseflow -

    groundwaterseepage from

    springs and

    aquifers directly to

    the stream channel

    adapted from EPA BASINS workshop

    HYDROGRAPH SENSITIVITY TO INFILT

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    HYDROGRAPH SENSITIVITY TO INFILT

    HYDROGRAPH SENSITIVITY TO INTFW

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    HYDROGRAPH SENSITIVITY TO INTFW

    HSPF PWATER PARAMETERS AND

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    HSPF PWATER PARAMETERS AND

    TYPICAL/POSSIBLE VALUE RANGES (#1)

    RANGE OF VALUES

     NAME DEFINITION UNITS TYPICAL POSSIBLE FUNCTION OF...

    COMMENT

    MIN MAX MIN MAX

    PWAT - PARM2

    FOREST Fraction forest cover none 0.0 0.50 0.0 0.95 Forest cover Only impact when Snow is active

    LZSN Lower Zone NominalSoil Moisture Storage

    inches 3.0 8.0 2.0 15.0 Soils, climate Calibration

    INFILT Index to InfiltrationCapacity

    in/hr 0.01 0.25 0.001 0.50 Soils, land use Calibration , divides surface andsubsurface flow

    LSUR Length of overland f low feet 200 500 100 700 Topography Estimate from maps or GIS

    SLSUR Slope of overland flowplane

    none 0.01 0.15 0.001 0.30 Topography Estimate from maps or GIS

    KVARY Variable groundwater recession

    none 1.0 3.0 1.0 5.0 Baseflowrecessionvariation

    Used when recession rate varieswith GW levels

     AGWRC Base groundwater recession

    none 0.92 0.99 0.85 0.999 Baseflowrecession

    Calibration

    HSPF PWATER PARAMETERS AND

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    HSPF PWATER PARAMETERS AND

    TYPICAL/POSSIBLE VALUE RANGES (#2)

    RANGE OF VALUES

     NAME DEFINITION UNITS TYPICAL POSSIBLE FUNCTION OF...

    COMMENT

    MIN MAX MIN MAX

    PWAT - PARM3

    PETMAX Temp below which ET isreduced

    deg. F 35.0 45.0 32.0 48.0 Climate Reduces ET near freezing

    PETMIN Temp below which ET isset to zero

    deg. F 30.0 35.0 30.0 40.0 Climate Reduces ET near freezing

    INFEXP Exponent in infiltrationequation

    none 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 Soils variability Usually default to 2.0

    INFILD Ratio of max/meaninfiltration capacities

    none 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 Soils variability Usually default to 2.0

    DEEPFR Fraction of GW inflow todeep recharge

    none 0.0 0.20 0.0 0.50 Geology, GWrecharge

     Accounts for subsurface losses

    BASETP Fraction of remaining ETfrom baseflow

    none 0.0 0.05 0.0 0.20 Riparianvegetation

    Direct ET from riparianvegetation

     AGWETP Fraction of remaining ETfrom active GW

    none 0.0 0.05 0.0 0.20 Marsh/wetlandsextent

    Direct ET from shallow GW

    HSPF PWATER PARAMETERS AND

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    S S N

    TYPICAL/POSSIBLE VALUE RANGES (#3)

    RANGE OF VALUES

     NAME DEFINITION UNITS TYPICAL POSSIBLE FUNCTION OF...

    COMMENT

    MIN MAX MIN MAX

    PWAT - PARM4

    CEPSC Interception storagecapacity

    inches 0.03 0.20 0.01 0.40 Vegetationtype/density, landuse

    Monthly values usually used

    NSUR Mannings’ n (roughness)for overland flow

    none 0.15 0.35 0.10 0.50 Surfaceconditions,residue, etc.

    Monthly values often used for croplands

    UZSN Upper zone nominal soilmoisture storage

    inches 0.10 1.0 0.05 2.0 Surface soilconditions, landuse

     Accounts for near surfaceretention

    INTFW Interflow inflow parameter none 1.0 3.0 1.0 10.0 Soils,topography, landuse

    Calibration, based onhydrograph separation

    IRC Interflow recessionparameter  none 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.85 Soils,topography, landuse

    Often start with a value of 0.7,and then adjust

    LZETP Lower zone ET parameter none 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.9 Vegetationtype/density, rootdepth

    Calibration

    IWATER STRUCTURE CHART

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    IWATER STRUCTURE CHART

    RETN EVRETNIROUTE

    IWATER

    Simulate

    water budget

    for

    imperviousland segment

    Simulate

    moisture

    retention

    Determine how

    much of the

    moisture supplyruns off 

    Evaporate from

    retention

    storage

    IWATER CALIBRATION

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    IWATER CALIBRATION

    Impervious

    area process

    IWATER

    parameter

    Interception RETSC

    Overland flow LSUR, NSUR, SLSUR 

    Evaporation (no parameter, occurs at PET)