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8/20/2019 Hydrologic Processes
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LECTURE #5
HYDROLOGIC PROCESSES,
PARAMETERS, AND
CALIBRATION
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THE HYDROLOGIC CYCLE
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HYDROLOGY - HYDROLOGIC
COMPONENTS
Hydrologic Components:
Rainfall or SnowInterception
Depression storage
Evapotranspiration
InfiltrationSurface storage
Runoff
Interflow
Groundwater flow
adapted from EPA BASINS workshop
Evapotranspiration
Interception
Depression
storage
Ground surface
Capillary
rise
Precipitation
Infiltration
Soil moisture
Percolation
Groundwater
storage
Underground flow intoor out of the area
Groundwater
flow
Streamflow
Interflow
Surface
runoff
Channel pptn.
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HYDROLOGY - WATER BALANCE
Water balance equation
R = P - ET - IG - ΔS
where: P = Precipitation R = Runoff ET = Evapotranspiration IG
= Deep/inactive groundwater ΔS = Change in soil storage
Inter-relationships between components
Variation of components with time• consideration of soil condition, cover, antecedent
conditions, land practices
adapted from EPA BASINS workshop
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STANFORD WATERSHED MODEL
To Stream
Actual ET
Potential ET
Precipitation
Temperature
Radiation
Wind,Dewpoint
Snowmelt
Interception
Storage
Lower Zone
Storage
Groundwater
Storage
InterflowUpper Zone
Storage
Overland Flow
Deep or Inactive
Groundwater
CEPSC*
BASETP*
AGWETP*
DEEPFR*
LZSN*
INFILT*
INTFW*UZSN*
AGWRC*
IRC*
Delayed Infiltration
Direct
Infiltration
NSUR*
SLSUR*
LSUR*
PERC
1
ET
2 ET
3 ET
4 ET
5 ET
LZETP*
* Parameters
Output
Process
Input
Storage
ET - Evapotranspiration
n Order taken to
meet ET demand
Decision
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PWATER STRUCTURE CHART
PWATER
Simulate water budget
for pervious land
segment
EVAPT
Simulate
interception
ICEPT
Simulate
interflow
INTFLW
Simulate
upper zone
behavior
UZONE
Simulate the
lower zone
behavior
LZONE
Simulate
groundwater
behavior
GWATER
Subsidiary
upper zone
subroutine
UZONES
Simulate
evapotrans-
piration (ET)
Subsidiary
upper zone
subroutine
ETUZS
ET from
lower zone
ETLZON
ET from
baseflow
ETBASE
Evaporate
from
interception
EVICEP
ET from
upper zone
ETUZON
ET from
active
ground
water
ETAGW
Dispose of
moisture
supply
Distribute
the water
available for
infiltration
and runoff
Determine
surface
runoff
Compute
inflow to
upper zone
DIVISN
DISPOS
SURFAC
PROUTEUZINF1/2
Divide
moisture
supply
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INTERCEPTION FUNCTION
Precipitation
CEPSC
Throughfall
Evaporation
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INFILTRATION DIAGRAM
line I - (Infiltration capacity)
line II - (Interflow +
Infiltration capacity)
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INFILTRATION FUNCTION IN HSPF
% AREA
I = INFILTINFILT ** INFFACINFFAC
(LZS /(LZS / LZSNLZSN))INFEXPINFEXP
IMAX = I * INFILD
IMAXIMAX
Potential
Runoff
Supply Rate
Infiltration
I
0 100500
II
LZS /LZS / LZSNLZSN I n f i l t r a t i o n R a t e ( i n / h r )
II
Inter-
flow
II = I *I * INTFWINTFW (2.0** (LZS /(2.0** (LZS / LZSNLZSN))))
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STANFORD WATERSHED MODEL
To Stream
Actual ET
Potential ET
Precipitation
Temperature
Radiation
Wind,Dewpoint
Snowmelt
Interception
Storage
Lower Zone
Storage
Groundwater
Storage
InterflowUpper Zone
Storage
Overland Flow
Deep or Inactive
Groundwater
CEPSC*
BASETP*
AGWETP*
DEEPFR*
LZSN*
INFILT*
INTFW*UZSN*
AGWRC*
NSUR*
SLSUR*
LSUR*
IRC*
Delayed Infiltration
Direct
Infiltration
PERC
1 ET
2 ET
3 ET
4 ET
5 ET
LZETP*
* Parameters
Output
Process
Input
Storage
ET - Evapotranspiration
n Order taken to
meet ET demand
Decision
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UPPER ZONE STORAGE FUNCTION
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SOIL PROFILE DRAINAGE PROCESSES
AND FUNCTIONS
LZS /LZS / LZSNLZSN
PERC = 0.1 *PERC = 0.1 * INFILTINFILT * INFFAC ** INFFAC * UZSNUZSN ** UZSUZS -- LZSLZS 33
UZSN LZSNUZSN LZSN
From UZSFrom UZS
To lower zone or groundwaterTo lower zone or groundwater
1.01.0
0.00.0
0.50.5
F r a c t i o n t o L Z S
F r a c t i
o n t o L Z S
0.00.0 1.01.0 2.02.0
To GroundwaterTo Groundwater
To Lower ZoneTo Lower Zone
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STANFORD WATERSHED MODEL
To Stream
Actual ET
Potential ETPrecipitation
Temperature
Radiation
Wind,Dewpoint
Snowmelt
Interception
Storage
Lower Zone
Storage
Groundwater
Storage
InterflowUpper Zone
Storage
Overland Flow
Deep or Inactive
Groundwater
CEPSC*
BASETP*
AGWETP*
DEEPFR*
LZSN*
INFILT*
INTFW*UZSN*
AGWRC*
NSUR*
SLSUR*
LSUR*
IRC*
Delayed Infiltration
Direct
Infiltration
PERC
1 ET
2 ET
3 ET
4 ET
5 ET LZETP*
* Parameters
Output
Process
Input
Storage
ET - Evapotranspiration
n Order taken to
meet ET demand
Decision
OVERLAND FLOW FUNCTION
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OVERLAND FLOW FUNCTION
SUB SURFACE FLOW FUNCTIONS
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SUB-SURFACE FLOW FUNCTIONSInterflow
IFWO = K2 * IFWS + K1 * INFLOIFWS = interflow storage at start of time step
INFLO = addition to interflow storage during time-
step
K2 = 1.0 - e-K
K1 = 1.0 - K2/K
K = - ln(IRC)dt/24
IRC = Interflow recession parameter
Baseflow
AGWO = KGW * AGWS * (1.0 + KVARY * GWVS)
AGWS = active groundwater storage
GWVS = antecedent index increased by drainage
to AGWS, decreased 3% each day
KVARY = input parameter KGW = 1.0 - (AGWRC)dt/24
AGWRC = Groundwater recession parameter
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STANFORD WATERSHED MODEL
To Stream
Actual ET
Potential ETPrecipitation
Temperature
Radiation
Wind,Dewpoint
Snowmelt
Interception
Storage
Lower Zone
Storage
Groundwater
Storage
InterflowUpper Zone
Storage
Overland Flow
Deep or Inactive
Groundwater
CEPSC*
BASETP*
AGWETP*
DEEPFR*
LZSN*
INFILT*
INTFW*UZSN*
AGWRC*
NSUR*
SLSUR*
LSUR*
IRC*
Delayed Infiltration
Direct
Infiltration
PERC
1 ET
2 ET
3 ET
4 ET
5 ET LZETP*
* Parameters
Output
Process
Input
Storage
ET - Evapotranspiration
n Order taken tomeet ET demand
Decision
EVAPOTRANSPIRATION FUNCTIONS
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EVAPOTRANSPIRATION FUNCTIONS
AND HIERARCHY
1st from baseflow (BASETP)
2nd from interception
3rd from UZS @ potential if UZS /
UZSN > 2.0; else prorated foreffective area
4th from active groundwater
(AGWETP)
5th from LZS
% AREA Less Than% AREA Less Than
i n
c h / D T
i n
c h / D T
100%100%
ET Potential
Actual ETActual ET
0%0% 50%50%
ET Opportunity MAX
0.250.25 LZSLZS DT_DT_
11 -- LZETPLZETP LZSNLZSN 2424* *MAX =
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STANFORD WATERSHED MODEL
To Stream
Actual ET
Potential ETPrecipitation
Temperature
Radiation
Wind,Dewpoint
Snowmelt
Interception
Storage
Lower Zone
Storage
Groundwater
Storage
InterflowUpper Zone
Storage
Overland Flow
Deep or Inactive
Groundwater
CEPSC*
BASETP*
AGWETP*
DEEPFR*
LZSN*
INFILT*
INTFW*UZSN*
AGWRC*
NSUR*
SLSUR*
LSUR*
IRC*
Delayed Infiltration
Direct
Infiltration
PERC
1 ET
2 ET
3 ET
4 ET
5 ET LZETP*
* Parameters
Output
Process
Input
Storage
ET - Evapotranspiration
n Order taken tomeet ET demand
Decision
A A A S
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PWATER PARAMETERS:
PWAT-PARM2
FOREST - Fraction of the PLS covered by forest
LZSN - Lower zone nominal soil moisture storage
INFILT - Index to the infiltration capacity of the soil
LSUR - Length of the assumed overland flow plane
SLSUR - Slope of the assumed overland flow plane
KVARY - Variable groundwater recession parameter
AGWRC - Basic groundwater recession rate
(when KVARY is zero)
PWATER PARAMETERS
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PWATER PARAMETERS:
PWAT-PARM3
PETMAX - Air temperature below which ET will be reduced below the
input value (used when CSNOFG = 1)
PETMIN - Air temperature below which ET will be zero regardless of
the input value (used when CSNOFG = 1)
INFEXP - Exponent in the infiltration equation
INFILD - Ratio between the max and mean infiltration capacities over
the PLSDEEPFR - Fraction of groundwater inflow which will enter deep
(inactive) groundwater
BASETP - Fraction of remaining potential ET which can be satisfied
from baseflow
AGWETP - Fraction of remaining potential ET which can be satisfied
from active groundwater storage
PWATER PARAMETERS
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PWATER PARAMETERS:
PWAT-PARM4
CEPSC - Interception storage capacity
UZSN - Upper zone nominal soil moisture storage
NSUR - Manning’s N for the assumed overland flow plane
INTFW - Interflow inflow parameter
IRC - Interflow recession parameter, i.e., the ratio of interflow
outflow rate today / rate yesterday
LZETP - Lower zone ET parameter; an index to the density of
deep-rooted vegetation
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• Models are approximations of reality; they can not
precisely represent natural systems
• There is no single, accepted statistic or test thatdetermines whether or not a model is valid
• Both graphical comparisons and statistical tests arerequired in model calibration and validation
• Models cannot be expected to be more accurate thanthe errors (confidence intervals) in the input and
observed data• A ‘weight-of-evidence’ approach is becoming the
preferred practice for model calibration and validation
CALIBRATION ISSUES
‘Basic Truths’ in modeling natural systems
CALIBRATION/VALIDATION
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• Mean runoff volume for simulation period (inches)
• Annual and monthly runoff volume (inches)
• Daily flow timeseries (cfs) – observed and simulated daily flow
– scatter plots
• Flow frequency (flow duration) curves (cfs)
• Storm hydrographs, hourly or less, (cfs)
CALIBRATION/VALIDATION
COMPARISONS
“Weight-of-Evidence” Approach
CALIBRATION/VALIDATION
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• Precipitation
• Total Runoff (sum of following components)
– Overland flow
– Interflow
– Baseflow
• Total Actual Evapotranspiration (ET) (sum of followingcomponents)
– Interception ET
– Upper Zone ET – Lower Zone ET
– Baseflow ET
– Active Groundwater ET• Deep Groundwater Recharge/Losses
CALIBRATION/VALIDATION
COMPARISONS
Water Balance Components
CALIBRATION/VALIDATION
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Graphical Comparisons:
• Timeseries plots of observed and simulated values for fluxes (e.g.,
flow) or state variables (e.g., stage, sediment concentration, biomass concentration)
• Observed and simulated scatter plots, with 45o linear regressionline displayed, for fluxes or state variables
• Cumulative frequency distributions of observed and simulatedfluxes or state variable (e.g., flow duration curves)
Statistical Tests:
• Error statistics, e.g., mean error, absolute mean error, relative error,relative bias, standard error of estimate, etc.
• Correlation tests, e.g., correlation coefficient, coefficient of model-fit efficiency, etc.
• Cumulative Distribution tests, e.g., Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test
CALIBRATION/VALIDATION
COMPARISONS
Graphical/Statistical Procedures & Tests
R & R2 VALUE RANGES FOR MODEL
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R & R VALUE RANGES FOR MODEL
PERFORMANCE
Criteria
0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
Poor Fair Good Very Good
Poor Fair Good Very Good
0.75 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95
R2
Daily Flows
Monthly Flows
R
HYDROLOGIC (PWATER) CALIBRATION
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HYDROLOGIC (PWATER) CALIBRATION
• Annual Water Balance -Runoff = Prec. - Actual ET - Deep Perc. -Δ Storage
Key Parameters: Repre. Precipitation (MFACT)
LZSN
LZETPINFILT
DEEPFR
• Groundwater (Baseflow) Volume and Recession -
Runoff = Surface Runoff + Interflow + Baseflow
Key Parameters: INFILT
AGWRC/KVARY
DEEPFR
BASETP/AGWETP
• Surface Runoff + Interflow (Hydrograph Shape) -
Key Parameters: UZSN
INTFWIRC
LSUR, NSUR, SLSUR
COMPONENTS OF HYDROGRAPH
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COMPONENTS OF HYDROGRAPH
Surface runoff -
overland flow
Interflow - flow
through surficiallayers of soil
B a s e f l o w
R u n o f f
I n t e r f l o
w
Baseflow -
groundwaterseepage from
springs and
aquifers directly to
the stream channel
adapted from EPA BASINS workshop
HYDROGRAPH SENSITIVITY TO INFILT
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HYDROGRAPH SENSITIVITY TO INFILT
HYDROGRAPH SENSITIVITY TO INTFW
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HYDROGRAPH SENSITIVITY TO INTFW
HSPF PWATER PARAMETERS AND
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HSPF PWATER PARAMETERS AND
TYPICAL/POSSIBLE VALUE RANGES (#1)
RANGE OF VALUES
NAME DEFINITION UNITS TYPICAL POSSIBLE FUNCTION OF...
COMMENT
MIN MAX MIN MAX
PWAT - PARM2
FOREST Fraction forest cover none 0.0 0.50 0.0 0.95 Forest cover Only impact when Snow is active
LZSN Lower Zone NominalSoil Moisture Storage
inches 3.0 8.0 2.0 15.0 Soils, climate Calibration
INFILT Index to InfiltrationCapacity
in/hr 0.01 0.25 0.001 0.50 Soils, land use Calibration , divides surface andsubsurface flow
LSUR Length of overland f low feet 200 500 100 700 Topography Estimate from maps or GIS
SLSUR Slope of overland flowplane
none 0.01 0.15 0.001 0.30 Topography Estimate from maps or GIS
KVARY Variable groundwater recession
none 1.0 3.0 1.0 5.0 Baseflowrecessionvariation
Used when recession rate varieswith GW levels
AGWRC Base groundwater recession
none 0.92 0.99 0.85 0.999 Baseflowrecession
Calibration
HSPF PWATER PARAMETERS AND
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HSPF PWATER PARAMETERS AND
TYPICAL/POSSIBLE VALUE RANGES (#2)
RANGE OF VALUES
NAME DEFINITION UNITS TYPICAL POSSIBLE FUNCTION OF...
COMMENT
MIN MAX MIN MAX
PWAT - PARM3
PETMAX Temp below which ET isreduced
deg. F 35.0 45.0 32.0 48.0 Climate Reduces ET near freezing
PETMIN Temp below which ET isset to zero
deg. F 30.0 35.0 30.0 40.0 Climate Reduces ET near freezing
INFEXP Exponent in infiltrationequation
none 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 Soils variability Usually default to 2.0
INFILD Ratio of max/meaninfiltration capacities
none 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 Soils variability Usually default to 2.0
DEEPFR Fraction of GW inflow todeep recharge
none 0.0 0.20 0.0 0.50 Geology, GWrecharge
Accounts for subsurface losses
BASETP Fraction of remaining ETfrom baseflow
none 0.0 0.05 0.0 0.20 Riparianvegetation
Direct ET from riparianvegetation
AGWETP Fraction of remaining ETfrom active GW
none 0.0 0.05 0.0 0.20 Marsh/wetlandsextent
Direct ET from shallow GW
HSPF PWATER PARAMETERS AND
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S S N
TYPICAL/POSSIBLE VALUE RANGES (#3)
RANGE OF VALUES
NAME DEFINITION UNITS TYPICAL POSSIBLE FUNCTION OF...
COMMENT
MIN MAX MIN MAX
PWAT - PARM4
CEPSC Interception storagecapacity
inches 0.03 0.20 0.01 0.40 Vegetationtype/density, landuse
Monthly values usually used
NSUR Mannings’ n (roughness)for overland flow
none 0.15 0.35 0.10 0.50 Surfaceconditions,residue, etc.
Monthly values often used for croplands
UZSN Upper zone nominal soilmoisture storage
inches 0.10 1.0 0.05 2.0 Surface soilconditions, landuse
Accounts for near surfaceretention
INTFW Interflow inflow parameter none 1.0 3.0 1.0 10.0 Soils,topography, landuse
Calibration, based onhydrograph separation
IRC Interflow recessionparameter none 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.85 Soils,topography, landuse
Often start with a value of 0.7,and then adjust
LZETP Lower zone ET parameter none 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.9 Vegetationtype/density, rootdepth
Calibration
IWATER STRUCTURE CHART
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IWATER STRUCTURE CHART
RETN EVRETNIROUTE
IWATER
Simulate
water budget
for
imperviousland segment
Simulate
moisture
retention
Determine how
much of the
moisture supplyruns off
Evaporate from
retention
storage
IWATER CALIBRATION
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IWATER CALIBRATION
Impervious
area process
IWATER
parameter
Interception RETSC
Overland flow LSUR, NSUR, SLSUR
Evaporation (no parameter, occurs at PET)