INCORPORATING LAST YEAR’S DISASTER

INFORMATION IN THIS YEAR’S EDUCATIONAL SURGES

(Part 2) A PRIMER OF KNOWLEDGE THAT CAN

MULTIPY AND SPILL OVER FOR THE BENEFIT OF MILLIONS

Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of

North Carolina, USA

GOAL: COMMUNITY DISASTER RISK REDUCTION GOAL: COMMUNITY DISASTER RISK REDUCTION

FLOODS

SEVERE WIND STORMS

EARTHQUAKES

DROUGHTS

LANDSLIDES

WILDFIRES

VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS

TSUNAMIS

GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE

TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS

INCREASED TECHNICAL AND POLITICL CAPACITY OF COMMUNITY TO COPE

INCREASED OWNERSHIP AND USE OF KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE

IMPROVE ON PAST IMPROVE ON PAST PERFORMANCE PERFORMANCE

BOOK OFBOOK OF

KNOWLEDGE

KNOWLEDGE -

-

Perspectives

Perspectives On Science, Policy,

On Science, Policy, And EM HI-ED

And EM HI-ED

WE ARE ALWAYS WRITING THE NEXT CHAPTER IN THE “GLOBAL BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE AND

EXPERIENCE”

BOOK OFBOOK OF

EXPERIENCE

EXPERIENCE

- Perspectives

- Perspectives

On Science, Policy,

On Science, Policy, And EM HI-ED

And EM HI-ED

EXAMPLE: FROM REAL TIME INFORMATION ON SEVERE

WINDSTORMS IN 2008 TO A GLOBAL EDUCATIONAL SURGE THIS

YEAR(Part 2)

A SIMPLE CONCEPT WITH A HIGH BENEFIT TO COST RATIO

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF WHAT HAPPENED DURING 2008

NOTABLE DISASTER TYPES IN 2008NOTABLE DISASTER TYPES IN 2008

CYCLONE NARGIS

WENCHUAN EARTHQUAKE

FLOODING IN MIDWESTERN USATROPICAL STORMS AND HURRICANES

WILDFIRES IN CALIFORNIA

ERUPTION OF VOLCANO CHAITEN

CATALYSTS FOR CHANGE

NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR COMMUNITY DISASTER COMMUNITY DISASTER RISK REDUCTIONRISK REDUCTION

GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE

2008 TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE/TYPHOON

SEASONPART 2

JUNE 1 – NOVEMBER 30, 2008

PATHS OF 16 NAMED ATLANTIC STORMS

• HIGH VELOCITY WINDS• HEAVY RAINFALL• FLOODING• LANDSLIDES• POWER OUTAGES• AGRICULTURAL LOSSES

HURRICANE IKESEPTEMBER 3 – 13, 2008

Ninth Named Storm of 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season

• HAITI, BAHAMAS (GRAND TURK ISLAND), CUBA, AND USA (TEXAS) IN IKE’S PATH• GULF OIL PRODUCTION SHUT DOWN FOR GUSTAV ALSO IN IKE’S PATH

TEXAS GOV. RICK PERRY TEXAS GOV. RICK PERRY ASKS FOR AND RECEIVES ASKS FOR AND RECEIVES PRESIDENTAL DISASTER PRESIDENTAL DISASTER

DECLARATION FOR TEXAS DECLARATION FOR TEXAS ON SEPT 13 ON SEPT 13

• STORM SIMILAR TO THE SEPTEMBER 1, 1900 HURRICANE DISASTER • A FLOODING and A WIND EVENT • STORM SURGE OF 6-7 m EXTENDING INLAND 25-35 km AND ALONG THE COAST FOR 200 km

• Thousands of homes and businesses in Texas and SW Louisiana were damaged or flooded

•

• The seawall in Galveston held, ...• But, downtown Galveston and Houston became flooded ghost towns (because of the evacuation) with downed trees, debris, shattered glass, and damaged infrastructure.

• Texas’ and Louisiana’s oil production—20 percent of USA’s production– and Texas’ petrochemical industries survived with only minor problems.

•

• The number of deaths was low because of excellent forecasts and realistic preparedness.• Millions were safely evacuated.• Initial estimates of economic losses from damaged homes and infrastructure reached 8 billion dollars.

•

TROPICAL STORM KYLE TROPICAL STORM KYLE BECOMES HURRICANE BECOMES HURRICANE

KYLEKYLE(See Part 3)

FOUR UNIVRSAL BARRIERS TO USE OF LAST YEAR’S INFORMATION

• IGNORANCE• APATHY• DISCIPLINARY

BOUNDARIES• LACK OF POLITICAL WILL

EDUCATIONAL SURGES CREATE TURNING EDUCATIONAL SURGES CREATE TURNING POINTS POINTS

ALL SECTORS OF SOCIETY INFORMED

IGNORANCE TO ENLIGHTENMENT

APATHY TO EMPOWERMENT

BOUNDARIES TO NETWORKS

STATUS QUO TO GOOD POLITICAL DECISIONS

EDUCATIONAL SURGES WILL CHANGE THE COMMUNITY

EDUCATIONAL SURGEEDUCATIONAL SURGE

RELEVANT

PUBLIC AWARENESS

INCREASE UNDERSTANDING

POLITICAL ENABLEMENT

BUILD EQUITY

BASIC OBJECTIVES FOR LAUNCHING AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE

BENEFITS OF EDUCATIONAL SURGESBENEFITS OF EDUCATIONAL SURGES

EXPAND CAPABILITY

IMPROVE DELIVERY MECHANISMS

OVERCOME UNIVERSAL BARRIERS

CREATE TURNING POINTS OF CHANGE

INCREASE COMMUNITY DISASTER RESILIENCE

EDUCATIONAL SURGES

TOPICS AND TARGETS OF EDUCATIONAL SURGES TOPICS AND TARGETS OF EDUCATIONAL SURGES

THE KNOWLEDGE BASE

Risk and Loss Assessments

Increased Understanding

Hazard Characterization

Vulnerability Assessments

Real & Near Real Time Information Flow

Disaster-Risk Reduction

Interface with Multiple Networks

Cause & Effect Relationships

CAPACITY BUILDING

Emergency Managers

Policy Makers

Practitioners

Intelligent Emergency Management

Tailored to Community Needs

CONTINUING EDUCATION

Up Close, Virtual, and Distance Learning

Update Knowledge Bases After Each Disaster

Disaster Scenarios

Training

Information Technology

A PROCESS THAT PENETRATES SOCIETYA PROCESS THAT PENETRATES SOCIETY

BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE

• Increasing the "World's Mutual Fund for Education," (i.e., the in-country resources for education in the budget of every nation)

• Using conferences and other meetings on different scales will eventually overcome the universal barriers of ignorance, apathy, disciplinary boundaries, and lack of political will

BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE

• Increased community disaster-risk reduction for all (including Mega-cities, which are a special challenge)

• Transferring ownership of knowledge and technology for increasing disaster-risk reduction for people, habitats, livelihoods, cultural heritage, and infrastructure

BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE

• Facilitates equipping, linking, and engaging legions of new and emerging professionals with mature professionals

• Intensifies efforts in high-risk locations.• Increases risk reduction for essential

(schools) and critical (hospitals, dams, and power plants) facilities.

MEASURING CHANGEMEASURING CHANGE

NEW RESOURCES

NEW DELIVERY MECHANISMS

NEW PROFESSIONAL LINKAGES

NEW LEGISLATIVE MANDATES

NEW DIALOGUE ON BUILDING A CULTURE OF DISASTER-RISK REDUCTION

EDUCATIONAL SURGES SHOULD RESULT IN …

MEASURING CHANGE PRINCIPLES(Improving on the

past)

• REDUCTION IN MAGNITUDE OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC LOSSES FROM NATURAL HAZARDS

MEASURING CHANGE PRINCIPLES(Improving on the

past)

• REDUCTION IN NUMBER AND MAGNITUDE OF ANNUAL NATURAL DISASTERS

MEASURING CHANGE PRINCIPLES(Improving on the

past)

• INCREASED EFFECTIVENESS OF EDUCAT-IONAL SURGES TO BUILD PROFESSIONL CAPACITY FOR DISASTER-RISK REDUCTION

MEASURING CHANGE PRINCIPLES(Improving on the

past)

• DECREASE IN IGNORANCE, APATHY, DISCIPLINARY BOUNDARIES, AND LACK OF POLITICAL WILL

MEASURING CHANGE• PRINCIPLES

(Improving on the Past)

• INCREASE IN TRAINING

MEASURING CHANGE• PRINCIPLES

(Improving on the Past)

• INCREASE IN NUMBER OF PROFESSIONALS ENGAGED IN SEAMLESS NETWORKS HAVING COMMUNITY DISASTER-RISK REDUCTION AS A GOAL

MEASURING CHANGE• PRINCIPLES

(Improving on the past)

• INCREASED COORDINATION

• PRINCIPLES (Improving on the past)

• IMPROVED COLLABORATION

MEASURING CHANGE• PRINCIPLES

(Improving on the past)

• IMPROVED INNOVATION

MEASURING CHANGE• TURNING

POINTS (Building a

Culture of Community Disaster-Risk Reduction)

NEW NETWORKS OF PROFESS-IONALS WORKING ON EDUCATIONAL SURGES THAT PENETRATE ALL LEVELS OF THE COMMUNITY.

MEASURING CHANGE• TURNING POINTS

(Building a Culture of Community Disaster-Risk Reduction)

• INCREASE IN ACTIVITIES TO TRANSFORM IGNORANCE INTO ENLIGHTENMENT

MEASURING CHANGE• TURNING POINTS

(Building a Culture of Community Disaster-Risk Reduction)

• INCREASE IN ACTIVITIES TO TRANSFORM APATHY INTO EMPOWERMENT

MEASURING CHANGE• TURNING POINTS

(Building a Culture of Community Disaster-Risk Reduction)

• INCREASE IN ACTIVITIES TO TRANSFORM ORGANIZATIONAL AND DISCIPLINARY BOUNDARIES INTO SEAMLESS NETWORKS

MEASURING CHANGE• TURNING POINTS

(Building a Culture of Community Disaster-Risk Reduction)

• INCREASE IN ACTIVITIES TO TRANSFORM THE STATUS QUO IN A COMMUNITY INTO “GOOD” POLITICAL DECISIONS

MEASURING CHANGE• TURNING POINT

(Building a Culture of Community Disaster-Risk Reduction)

• INCREASE IN DIALOGUE ON HOW TO USE LAST YEAR’S DISASTER INFORMATION IN THIS YEAR’S EDUCATIONAL SURGES