Inductive and Deductive Methods

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    INDUCTIVE & DEDUCTIVEINDUCTIVE & DEDUCTIVE

    RESEARCH APPROACHRESEARCH APPROACHMeritorious Prof. Dr. S. M. Aqil BurneyMeritorious Prof. Dr. S. M. Aqil Burney

    Director UBITDirector UBITChairmanChairman

    Department of Computer ScienceDepartment of Computer Science

    University of KarachiUniversity of Karachi

    [email protected]@computer.orgwww.drburney.netwww.drburney.net

    Designed and Assisted byDesigned and Assisted by

    HussainHussain [email protected]@uok.edu.pk

    0606thth March 2008March 2008

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    "Well begun is half done"--Aristotle, quoting an old proverb

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    Research MethodsResearch Methods

    Research

    Types

    DeductiveApproach

    InductiveApproach

    In research, we often refer to the two broad methods of reasoningas the deductiveand inductiveapproaches.

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    Deductive Research ApproachDeductive Research Approach Deductive reasoning worksDeductive reasoning works

    from the more general tofrom the more general tothe more specific.the more specific.

    Sometimes this isSometimes this is

    informally called ainformally called a

    "top"top--down" approach.down" approach.

    Conclusion followsConclusion follows

    logically from premiseslogically from premises

    (available facts)(available facts)Waterfall

    CONFIRMATION

    OBSERVATION

    HYPOTHESIS

    THEORY

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    Inductive Research ApproachInductive Research Approach Inductive reasoning worksInductive reasoning works

    the other way, movingthe other way, movingfrom specific observationsfrom specific observationsto broader generalizationsto broader generalizationsand theories.and theories.

    Informally, we sometimesInformally, we sometimescall this a "bottom up"call this a "bottom up"approachapproach

    Conclusion is likely basedConclusion is likely based

    on premises.on premises. Involves a degree ofInvolves a degree of

    uncertaintyuncertainty

    Hill

    Climbing

    THEORY

    TENTATIVE

    HYPOTHESIS

    PATTERN

    OBSERVATION

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    Deductive Vs. InductiveDeductive Vs. Inductive

    CONFIRMATION

    OBSERVATION

    HYPOTHESIS

    THEORY THEORY

    TENTATIVE

    HYPOTHESIS

    PATTERN

    OBSERVATION

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    Deductive Vs. InductiveDeductive Vs. Inductive

    Induction is usually described as moving fromInduction is usually described as moving from

    the specific to the general, while deductionthe specific to the general, while deductionbegins with the general and ends with thebegins with the general and ends with the

    specific.specific.

    Arguments based on laws, rules and acceptedArguments based on laws, rules and accepted

    principles are generally used for Deductiveprinciples are generally used for DeductiveReasoning. Observations tend to be used forReasoning. Observations tend to be used for

    Inductive Arguments.Inductive Arguments.

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    Logical Reasoning and Human NatureLogical Reasoning and Human Nature

    Historically, many researchers believed thatHistorically, many researchers believed that

    logical reasoning is an essential part of humanlogical reasoning is an essential part of humanthought process and this dominates in scientificthought process and this dominates in scientific

    & Technological research and Development.& Technological research and Development.

    However, humans are not natural logicalHowever, humans are not natural logical

    reasonersreasoners

    REFERENCE:REFERENCE:

    S. M. Aqil Burney;S. M. Aqil Burney; NadeemNadeem MahmoodMahmood,, A Brief History of Mathematical LogicA Brief History of Mathematical Logic

    and Applications of Logic in CS/ITand Applications of Logic in CS/IT,, Karachi University Journal of Science Vol.34 (1) July 2006. PP 6Karachi University Journal of Science Vol.34 (1) July 2006. PP 611--7575

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    Reasoning methods andReasoning methods and

    ArgumentationArgumentation

    The main division between forms of reasoning that isThe main division between forms of reasoning that is

    made in philosophy is betweenmade in philosophy is between deductive reasoningdeductive reasoningandandinductive reasoninginductive reasoning..

    Formal logicFormal logic has been described as 'the science ofhas been described as 'the science ofdeduction'.deduction'.

    The study of inductive reasoning is generally carried outThe study of inductive reasoning is generally carried outwithin the field known aswithin the field known as informal logicinformal logic oror criticalcriticalthinkingthinking..

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    http://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/publicat/cdic-mcc/18-3/d_e.html

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    Automated Reasoning

    Logic lends itself to automation.

    A variety of problems can be attacked by

    representing the problem description andrelevant background information as logical

    axioms and treating problem instances astheorems to be proved.

    72/98

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    Logic and ReasoningLogic and Reasoning

    Reasoning

    Logical

    Reasoning

    Probabilistic

    Reasoning

    Using given knowledge andUsing given knowledge andtruth value help us to solve,truth value help us to solve,understand real life problems.understand real life problems.

    Bayesian

    Networks

    Subjective Objective

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    EXAMPLEEXAMPLE

    p: All mathematicians wear glassesp: All mathematicians wear glasses

    q: Anyone who wears glasses is an algebraistq: Anyone who wears glasses is an algebraist

    r: All mathematicians are algebraistr: All mathematicians are algebraist

    pp

    qq

    rr

    ((

    ((pp

    qq))

    r)r)

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    TRUTH TABLE

    Truth Table for the formulae built with the Logical Operators

    p q r pq ~(pq) ~(pq)Vr

    T T T T F T

    T T F T F F

    T F T F T T

    T F F F T T

    F T T F T T

    F T F F T T

    F F T F T T

    F F F F T T

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    If r is the conclusion, and we know that p and qIf r is the conclusion, and we know that p and q

    are true simultaneously then r is valid statement.are true simultaneously then r is valid statement.

    In real life, the statements are true or false, hereIn real life, the statements are true or false, herestatement means an atomic statement, thusstatement means an atomic statement, thus

    statements may be simple (atomic) orstatements may be simple (atomic) or

    component. If p, q and r are independentcomponent. If p, q and r are independentstatements, then we need to prove:statements, then we need to prove: ppqq rr

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    CommitmentCommitmentOntological CommitmentOntological Commitment::

    What exists in the world: Language of reasoning (Formal).What exists in the world: Language of reasoning (Formal).

    Epistemological CommitmentEpistemological Commitment

    What an intelligent entity believes about the fact.What an intelligent entity believes about the fact.

    Believe System: True, False, Unknown, degree of believe,Believe System: True, False, Unknown, degree of believe,

    degree believe with ranks (known values)degree believe with ranks (known values)

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    True/FalseTrue/False/Unknown/Unknown

    Facts, objects,Facts, objects,relation and timerelation and time

    TemporalTemporalLogicLogic

    Degree of believeDegree of believe

    on [0,1]on [0,1]Facts with changeFacts with changeProbabilityProbability

    TheoryTheory

    True/FalseTrue/False

    /Unknown/UnknownFacts, objects,Facts, objects,

    relationsrelationsPredicatePredicate

    LogicLogic

    True/FalseTrue/False

    /Unknown/Unknown

    factsfactsPropositionalPropositional

    LogicLogic

    EpistemologyEpistemologyOntologyOntologyWhat exists)What exists)

    FormalFormalLanguageLanguage

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    True/FalseTrue/False

    /Unknown/Unknown

    Facts, objects,Facts, objects,

    relation, time &relation, time &SpaceSpace

    Spatial LogicSpatial Logic

    Known intervalKnown interval

    values withvalues with

    improvement inimprovement in

    believebelieve

    Facts with degreeFacts with degree

    of believe withof believe with

    learninglearning

    ANNANN--FLFL

    Known intervalKnown intervalvaluevalue

    Facts with degreeFacts with degreeof believeof believe

    Fuzzy LogicFuzzy Logic

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    Evolution ofEvolution ofNeuroNeuro--Fuzzy LogicFuzzy Logic

    Neuro-Fuzzy

    Systems

    Neural

    Networks

    Approximate Reasoning

    Fuzzy Logic

    Functional Approximation/

    Randomized Search

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    The whole of science is nothing

    more thana refinement of everyday thinking.

    - Albert Einstein

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    References:References: William M.K.William M.K.TrochimTrochim,, Research Methods Knowledge BaseResearch Methods Knowledge Base

    2006.2006.

    S. M. Aqil Burney;S. M. Aqil Burney; NadeemNadeem MahmoodMahmood,, A Brief History ofA Brief History of

    Mathematical Logic and Applications of Logic in CS/ITMathematical Logic and Applications of Logic in CS/IT,,

    Karachi University Journal of Science Vol.34 (1) July 2006. PP 6Karachi University Journal of Science Vol.34 (1) July 2006. PP 611--7575

    Syed Muhammad Aqil Burney;Syed Muhammad Aqil Burney;TahseenTahseenAhmedAhmedJilaniJilani,, A refinedA refined

    fuzzy time series model for stock market forecastingfuzzy time series model for stock market forecastingElsevierElsevierScience Direct,Science Direct, PhysicaPhysica--A, January 2008 (in press).A, January 2008 (in press).

    www.elsevier.com/locate/physawww.elsevier.com/locate/physa