Upload
others
View
1
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
07/06/2012
1
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS
ENVIRONMENT
TOPIC 1
International Business: Overview and
Macroeconomic Issues
Today's topics
1. International business: an introduction
2. Accounting for international business transactions: the balance of payments
3. International business and national income accounts
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 3
07/06/2012
2
International business: an academic field
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 4
International economics is about how nations interact through trade of goods and services, through flows of
money and through investment.
International finance focuses on financial or monetary
transactions across nations
International business/trade focuses on transactions of goods
and services across nations
International business operations
Any business transaction crossing national borders at any stage of the transaction
Foreign direct investment
International trade
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 5
Collaborative modes Alliances, licensing, franchising
07/06/2012
3
International business environment (1)
BUSINESS ORGANISATION
General / contextual / macro environment
Economic, legal, political, technological, cultural, …
Immediate / operational / micro environment
Suppliers, competitors, labour market, financial
institutions, …
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 6
International business environment (2)
International environment
Foreign (host country) environment
Domestic (home country) environment
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 7
07/06/2012
4
International business, an old phenomenon (1)
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 8
International business, an old phenomenon (2)
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 9
http://people.hofstra.edu/geotrans/eng/ch5en/conc5en/tradeflows14001800.html
07/06/2012
5
Current trends in international trade (WTO, World Bank data)
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 10
http://people.hofstra.edu/geotrans/eng/ch5en/conc5en/worldexports.html
International trade drivers
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 11
Reduced transport, communication and organisation costs
Distance is less important
Technology drivers
Technological change in information-processing,
transport and telecommunications
Policy drivers
Declining barriers to the free flow of goods, services and
capital
07/06/2012
6
Declining obstacles to exchange: tariffs (CW Hill)
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 12
Average Tariff Rates on Manufactured Products as % of Value
Main trading blocs (goods – 2009)
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 13
07/06/2012
7
Top 12 global exporters / importers (2009, WTO data)
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 14
http://people.hofstra.edu/geotrans/eng/ch5en/conc5en/leadingtraders.html
Current trends in international trade (2)
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 15
Source: World Trade Organization
World trade in 2005
07/06/2012
8
Firm A
in country 1
Firm A
in country 2
Current trends in international trade (3)
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 17
Within corporations (33%)
Firm A
in country 1
Firm B
in country 2 Between nations / corporations (66%)
Trends in foreign direct investment
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 20
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
OECD FDI flows (USD Mn, OECD sources)
Inflows, OECD total Outflows, OECD total
07/06/2012
9
Top 10 global FDI recipients (2007-2011)
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 21
Recording transactions: the balance of payments
Current account
Trade in goods
Trade in services
Net investment
income
Unilateral transfers (gifts,
remittances)
Capital account
Capital transfers
Purchase of non-financial
assets (patents)
Financial account
Net foreign direct
investment
Short-term Portfolio
investment (in-out)
Long-term portfolio
investment (in-out)
Reserve assets
Gold
Convertible currencies
Special drawing
rights (SDRs)
Reserve position at
the IMF
Errors and omissions
Flight capital, illegal
activities, ...
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 24
Current account + capital account + financial account + reserve assets + E&O = 0
07/06/2012
10
The US balance of payments in 2009-2010
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 25
Examples of current account balances (USD, CIA data, 2011)
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 28
-700
-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
Ch
ina
Sa
ud
i A
rab
ia
Ge
rman
y
Jap
an
Russia
Sw
itze
rlan
d
Qa
tar
Neth
erl
an
ds
Norw
ay
Ku
wait
Au
str
alia
Ca
nad
a
Sp
ain
India
Bra
zil
Unite
d K
ing
do
m
Tu
rke
y
Fra
nce
Italy
Unite
d S
tate
s
Bn USD
07/06/2012
11
National income accounts: definitions
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 30
Gross domestic product (GDP)
Value of all goods and services that are produced within a country in a given time period.
Gross national product (GNP)
Value of all final goods and services produced by a nation’s factors of production in a given time period.
GNP = GDP + (payments from foreign countries for factors of production – payments to foreign countries for factors of
production) (± net investment income)
National income accounts and international trade (1)
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 31
Y = Cd + Id + Gd + EX
Y = (C – Cf) + (I – If) + (G – Gf) + EX
Y = C + I + G + EX – (Cf + If + Gf)
Y = C + I + G + (EX – IM)
Y = C + I + G + TB
C: Household consumption G: Government spending I: Business investment EX: Exports IM: Imports
Expenditure on domestic production
GDP
Expenditure by domestic
individuals and institutions
Trade balance: net
expenditure by foreign
individuals and institutions
07/06/2012
12
The gross domestic / national product concepts
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 32
GDP = C + I + G + X – M
GNP = C + I + G + X – M + net investment income
Trade balance (TB)
Current account balance (CA)
National income accounts and international trade (2)
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 33
Y = C + I + G + TB TB = Y – C – G – I
TB = (Y – (C+G)) – I
TB = S – I or I = S – TB or S = I + TB
C: Household consumption G: Government spending I: Business investment EX: Exports S: Savings IM: Imports
07/06/2012
13
National income accounts and international trade (3)
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 34
Y = C + I + G + TB TB = Y – C – G – I + T – T
TB = Y – (C + T) – (G – T) – I
S = (Y – C – T) + (T- G) S = Sp + Sg
(private + government savings)
TB = Sp + Sg - I
C: Household consumption G: Government spending I: Business investment EX: Exports S: Savings IM: Imports T: Taxes
An application (OECD data)
Y C G I X M
Country A 2,570 1,475 501 459 ? ?
Country B 1,932 1,124 479 374 ? ?
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 35
Bn €, 2010, current prices
TB C/Y G/Y S/Y I/Y
Country A
Country B
07/06/2012
14
An application: debriefing
Y C G I X M
Country A 2,570 1,475 501 459 1,288 1,155
Country B 1,932 1,124 479 374 492 537
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 36
Bn €, 2010, current prices
TB C/Y G/Y S/Y I/Y X+M/2Y
Country A +133 0.57 0.19 0.20 0.18 0.48
Country B -45 0.58 0.25 0.14 0.19 0.26
The French-German comparison (Eurostat data)
07/06/2012 International Business Environment - JG DITTER 37
Trade balance in million ECU/EURO
Germany
France