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Introduction to Macroeconomics
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Introduction to Macroeconomics
Microeconomics examines the behavior of individual decision-making unitsbusiness firms and households.Macroeconomics deals with the economy as a whole; it examines the behavior of economic aggregates such as aggregate income, consumption, investment, and the overall level of prices.Aggregate behavior refers to the behavior of all households and firms together.The Scope of Economics
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Examples of microeconomic and macroeconomic concernsProductionPricesIncomeEmploymentMicroeconomicsProduction/Output in Individual Industries and BusinessesHow much steelHow many officesHow many carsPrice of Individual Goods and ServicesPrice of medical carePrice of gasolineFood pricesApartment rentsDistribution of Income and WealthWages in the auto industryMinimum wagesExecutive salariesPovertyEmployment by Individual Businesses & IndustriesJobs in the steel industryNumber of employees in a firmMacroeconomicsNational Production/OutputTotal Industrial OutputGross Domestic ProductGrowth of OutputAggregate Price LevelConsumer pricesProducer PricesRate of InflationNational IncomeTotal wages and salaries Total corporate profitsEmployment and Unemployment in the EconomyTotal number of jobsUnemployment rate*
Introduction to Macroeconomics
Microeconomists generally conclude that markets work well. Macroeconomists, however, observe that some important prices often seem sticky.Sticky prices are prices that do not always adjust rapidly to maintain the equality between quantity supplied and quantity demanded.Introduction to Macroeconomics
Macroeconomists often reflect on the microeconomic principles underlying macroeconomic analysis, or the microeconomic foundations of macroeconomics.*
The Roots of Macroeconomics
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The Roots of Macroeconomics
Keynes believed governments could intervene in the economy and affect the level of output and employment.During periods of low private demand, the government can stimulate aggregate demand to lift the economy out of recession.The use of Keynesian policy to fine-tune the economy in the 1960s, led to disillusionment in the 1970s and early 1980s.Stagflation occurs when the overall price level rises rapidly (inflation) during periods of recession or high and persistent unemployment (stagnation).*
Stagflation 70s
During 1970s, oil price shocks led to rapid price rises and low production levels called stagflation.In many countrys, inflationary expectations led to wage-price spirals and historically high inflation rates. Developed economies begin 20 year slowdown in productivity growth rates.International Economics
In early 1970s, US abandons Bretton Woods, and exchange rates start to float. After a few years of relative stability, exchange rates become one of the most volatile variables.International trade increases.Oil price rises damaging to developing countries, a problem partly solved when OPEC oil revenues are recycled as loans to 3rd World.Eighties
U.S. central bank cuts the money supply to counter-act inflation. Deep recession in USA and elsewhere.Latin American countries default on their debts leading to persistent financial crisis.Most developing economies begin long period of stagnation and even shrinking income levels. Only East Asia continues to grow. China reforms agricultural system and India institutes structural reforms that spark growth.1990s
Globalization: Big expansion in international trade, internatioal lending and direct investment. Productivity Takeoff: After 20 years of slow growth, in 1995 productivity growth takes off again. Financial crisis in a number of developing economies in Latin American and East Asia. Rise of Unemployment in Europe, Inequality in USA, Economic Stagnation in JapanCentral Banks Choose Monetary Policies meant to lead to steady inflation: Inflation Targeting.Macroeconomic Concerns
Major concerns of macroeconomics are:Inflation
Output growth
Unemployment
Reduction of economic inequality
Steady foreign exchange position
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Inflation and Deflation
Inflation is an increase in the overall price level.Hyperinflation is a period of very rapid increases in the overall price level. Hyperinflations are rare, but have been used to study the costs and consequences of even moderate inflation.Deflation is a decrease in the overall price level. Prolonged periods of deflation can be just as damaging for the economy as sustained inflation.*
Inflation and Deflation in China
Output Growth
The business cycle is the cycle of short-term ups and downs in the economy.A recession is a period during which aggregate output declines. Two consecutive quarters of decrease in output signal a recession.A prolonged and deep recession becomes a depression.Policy makers attempt not only to smooth fluctuations in output during a business cycle but also to increase the growth rate of output in the long-run.*
Unemployment
The unemployment rate is the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed.The unemployment rate is a key indicator of the economys health.The existence of unemployment seems to imply that the aggregate labor market is not in equilibrium. Why do labor markets not clear when other markets do?*
Government in the Macroeconomy
There are three kinds of policy that the government has used to influence the macro-economy:Fiscal policy: refers to government policies concerning taxes and spending.
Monetary policy: consists of tools used by the Federal Reserve to control the quantity of money in the economy.
Growth or supply-side policies: that focus on stimulating aggregate supply instead of aggregate demand.
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The Components of
the Macroeconomy
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The Components of
the Macroeconomy
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Everyones expenditure is someone elses receipt. Every transaction must have two sides.
The Three Market Arenas
Households and the government purchase goods and services (demand) from firms in the goods-and services market, and firms supply to the goods and services market.In the labor market, firms and government purchase (demand) labor from households (supply).In the money marketsometimes called the financial markethouseholds purchase stocks and bonds from firms.*
Economic policy
Criteria for judging economic outcomes:
Efficiency EquityGrowthStability*
Diagnosing Health of the Economy
National Product and Domestic ProductAggregate ConsumptionGross Domestic SavingsGross Domestic Capital FormationWholesale Prices, Consumer Prices and InflationEmploymentBalance of PaymentsRate of Growth*
The Circulation Flow of Income
Two Sector EconomyClosed EconomyOpen Economy*
Two-Sector Economy
(When All Income is Consumed)
Household Sector
Private Consumption (C) Rs.1000
Productive Sector
Wages and Profits (i.e. income (Y)
Rs.1000
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Closed Economy
Household Sector
Private Consumption (C) Rs.800
Productive Sector
Wages and Profits (i.e. income (Y) Rs.1000
Savings (S) Rs.200
Investment Rs.200
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Open Economy
Household Sector
Private Consumption (C) Rs.800
Productive Sector
Wages and Profits (i.e. income (Y) Rs.1000
Savings (S) Rs.100
Imports (M) Rs.50
Taxes (T) Rs.50
[Withdrawals (W) Rs.200]
Investment (I) Rs.80
Exports (E) Rs.60
Government Expenditure (G) Rs.60
[Injections (J) Rs.200]
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
125
120
115
110
105
100
95
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