Investor Presentation Kinnevik Q3 2013

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  • 8/12/2019 Investor Presentation Kinnevik Q3 2013

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    PRESENTATION OF FINANCIAL RESULTS Q3 2013

    23 October 2013

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    A QUARTER WITH STRONG GROWTH

    Net Asset Value SEK 61.1bn, up 10% in the quarter

    Mobile companies facing rapidly changing markets

    Continued momentum in e-commerce assets

    Zalando sales up 70 %to EUR 437m in Q2 Online 30% of Kinneviks NAV

    MTG growing in all business segments

    2

    HIGHLIGHTS THIRD QUARTER 2013

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    3

    WITH 93% OF ASSET VALUE IN MOBILE, ONLINE &

    MEDIA

    Telecom &

    Financial Services

    54%(64%)

    Online

    30%(17%)

    Media

    9%(9%)

    Industry and

    Other investments

    7%(10%)

    OUR VALUE DRIVERS

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    AND A FOCUS ON GROWING MARKETS

    SALES PER REGION*

    4

    OUR VALUE DRIVERS

    *Based on figures from FY 2012 but excluding Tele2 Russia

    56%1%

    23% 8%

    10%

    2%

    Western Europe

    North America

    Latin AmericaAfrica

    Eastern Europe

    Asia

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    TELECOM THE DIGITAL LIFESTYLE

    5

    Millicom

    Mobile business model increasingly diversified

    Millicoms growth resting on four pillars

    Mobile, Cable & Digital media, MFS and online

    Tele2

    Tele2 is uniquely positioned to capitalise on mobile dataand internet growth

    Front row player within new technology 4G

    Innovative products and pricing plans

    TELECOM & FINANCIAL SERVICES

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    TELECOM & FINANCIAL SERVICES

    MILLICOM

    6

    USD m Q3 2013 Q3 2012 Change (%)

    Total revenues 1,290 1,199 +8.1

    EBITDA 459 507 -9.5

    EBITDA margins (%) 35.6 42.3

    Mobile subscribers,

    end of period (m) 48.9 46.0 +6.3

    Organic growth in local currency 10%, strongest since Q4 2011

    Mobile is proving resilient supported by high net adds of over 1 million in Q3

    Positive developments in new business units:

    Cable & Digital Media: delivering on the cross selling opportunity

    MFS: Over 11% of total mobile customer base active on MFS

    Online growing over 25% quarter on quarter, with tight cost control

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    TELECOM & FINANCIAL SERVICES

    TELE2

    7

    SEK m Q3 2013 Q3 2012 Change (%)

    Operating revenue 7,529 7,649 -2

    EBITDA 1,523 1,771 -14

    EBITDA margins (%) 20.3 23.2

    Mobile subscribers, end

    of period (m)13.2 12.6 +5

    Stable customer intake for the Group

    Steady operational performance in Sweden

    Strong mobile customer intake in Netherlands

    Robust growth in Kazakhstan

    Updated guidance to reflect rapidly changing market environment

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    TELECOM & FINANCIAL SERVICES

    FINANCIAL SERVICES

    8

    Market with low penetration in emerging markets Convergence between online, mobile and financial

    services results in overlap with other Kinnevik focusareas

    Online and mobile as medium to deliver financialservices to consumers

    Bayport is Kinneviks largest investment in thefinancial services sectorThe major shareholder with 42% of the shares

    Offers microcredits and financial services in Ghana,Zambia, Tanzania, Uganda, Botswana, Mozambique andColombia

    Total assets USD of 440m and 265,000 customers

    Milvik/BIMA is a mobile microinsurance company

    Operating in Ghana, Tanzania, Senegal, Mauritius,Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Indonesia

    Insures more than five million lives

    http://www.bimamobile.com/
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    E-COMMERCE IN KINNEVIK

    9

    Megatrends

    Distribution

    networks

    Assortment

    Focus verticals and brands Building barriersof entry

    Brand trust/

    awareness

    Fashion &

    shoes

    Generalmerchandise

    Classifieds &

    marketplaces

    Increasing population

    Increasing internet

    penetration

    E-commerce share of

    retail market growth

    High growth GDP per

    capita-countries

    Furniture

    Economiesof scale

    ONLINE

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    ZALANDO

    10

    437

    257

    Strongest quarter in terms of net

    sales

    Geographic and category

    diversification continues:

    > 50% of net sales outside of

    Germany

    > 50% of net sales outside of

    shoes category

    Margins continued to improve in the

    first half 2013, albeit at a slower pace

    due to adverse weather effects and

    continued investment in growth

    Net sales

    (million EUR)

    Q2 2012

    +70%

    Q2 2013

    10 Country

    Shops

    14 Country

    Shops

    ONLINE

    https://www.wabeco-remscheid.de/images/upload/Kontakt/Flaggen/flagge-schweden.jpghttps://www.wabeco-remscheid.de/images/upload/Kontakt/Flaggen/flagge-schweden.jpg
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    11

    OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE IN KEY DIMENSIONS

    1 Plus 50,000 sq.m. expansion option

    Fashion assortment based on four

    segments

    3rdparty global brands

    +

    3rdparty local brands

    +

    Distinctive private label

    +

    Complementary partner program

    =

    >1,500 brands

    +

    >150,000 styles

    =

    Zalando equals over 50 stationary

    shops with an average range

    of 3,000 products

    Fashion Retail Technology

    Logistics

    4 warehouses with combined capacity

    of over 250,000 sq.m.

    +

    3 million parcels shipped p.m.

    =

    Line up from Berlin to Rome

    Customer Service

    800,000 customer contacts p. m.

    = Entire population of Frankfurt a.M.

    Content Production

    25,000 articles produced p.m.

    = 120,000 pictures put online p.m.

    Local payment systems

    20+ local payment methods

    7 local currencies

    Team of 400+ in-house IT specialists

    develops proprietary software

    across entire value chain

    Frontend:

    Shop management software

    +

    Optimized mobile sites

    +

    iOS App & Android Apps

    => 100m visits p.m.

    =

    Entire population of Cologne & Munich

    visit our shops daily

    Backend: Content production, warehouse

    logistics system, customer service

    software, etc.

    Invoice

    Prepayment

    ZALANDO

    http://www.healthhulahoop.com.au/images/logo-cheque.jpghttp://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/de/b/b1/ELV_Logo.svg
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    AVITO

    12

    Avito is the no1 general online classified inRussia

    Avito is one of 5 Russian sites with over 100m

    page views per day and one of the largest online

    classifieds in the world

    Freemium monetization has commenced for real Revenues H1 2013 SEK 204m

    All focus is on increasing monetization and

    growing in new categories including services,

    real-estate, jobs and transport

    ONLINE

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    ONLINE

    E-COMMERCE IN EMERGING MARKETS

    13

    Afr ica

    Middle East

    South East

    Asia

    Russia & CIS

    Latin America

    India

    Strong macroeconomic environment

    Mobile penetration and affordable smartphones support shift to online

    Strong growth in E-commerce

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    ONLINE

    CDON GROUP

    14

    Growth and margin improvements in three of four business segments

    Strong growth and strengthened market positions for the Sports & Health andFashion segments

    Sports & Health segment continues to deliver solid profitability

    Continued inventory reduction within the entertainment segment. CDON.comshowed underlying operating profit in the quarter

    SEK m Q3 2013 Q3 2012 Change (%)

    Total revenues 946.6 953.3 -0.4

    Operating profit

    (EBIT)*-17.9 2.6

    EBIT margins -1.9 0.3

    * Excluding non-recurring costs and divested operations

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    Ownership Fair value as per 30 September 2013 Change in fair value

    Investment (SEK m)

    Direct

    Owner-

    ship

    Indirect

    equity

    interest Total

    Invested

    amount

    Direct

    ownership

    Indirectly

    held Total

    Q3

    2013

    First nine

    months of

    2013

    Zalando 36% 36% 7,916 11,249 11,249 923 1,989

    Avito 18% 14% 31% 336 820 634 1,454 220 531

    Bigfoot I - Dafiti, Lamoda, partly

    Namshi and Jabong27% 8% 35% 1,536 1,489 152 1,641 54 89

    Dafiti 27% 518

    Lamoda 29% 512

    Jabong, Namshi and cash mixed 503

    Bigfoot II - The Iconic, Zalora,

    partly Zando and Jumia30% 10% 40% 930 434 434 -3 -448

    Home24 23% 12% 35% 791 596 7 603 112 -168

    Wimdu 20% 14% 34% 275 260 37 297 -2 5

    BigCommerce - Lazada, Linio,

    partly Namshi15% 13% 27% 427 332 7 339 -2 -102

    Rocket Internet with other

    portfolio companiesmixed mixed mixed -1,309 584 878 1,462 32 -141

    Other unlisted online

    companies mixed mixed mixed 512 335 335 -6 4

    Total unlisted online

    investments11,414 16,099 1,715 17,814 1,328 1,759

    CDON Group 25.1% 25.1% 646 589 589 -5 -203

    Total onli ne inves tmen ts 12,060 16,688 1,715 18,403 1,323 1,556

    Note: Rocket Internet companies not adjusted for potential dilution from stock option plans

    ONLINE

    ONLINE HOLDINGS

    15

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    VALUATION OF UNLISTED ONLINE HOLDINGS

    PREFERENCE STRUCTURE

    Sales multiples according to peer average, discounted to consider factors such asprofitability and geographical market

    Investments in Rocket Internet are structured such that invested amounts are

    repaid first in case of realisation

    Also, amounts recently invested have preference over amounts invested earlier

    Indirect shares via Rocket Internet have generally been invested early. Atcompany valuations below value in latest financing round, fair value of these

    shares are therefore generally lower16

    SEK million

    Basis for

    Fair Value

    Direct

    Ownership

    Indirect

    Ownership

    Fair Value

    Direct

    Fair Value

    Indirect

    Affected by

    Preference

    Structure

    Zalando GmbH Sales multiple: 2.0x 36% 11 249 Yes

    Avito Sales multiple: 9.9x 18% 14% 820 634 No

    Bigfoot I Sales multiple: 1.4-2.0x 27% 8% 1 489 152 Yes

    Bigfoot II Sales multiple: 1.4x 30% 10% 434 - Yes

    Home24 Sales multiple: 1.0x 23% 12% 596 7 YesWimdu Sales multiple: 2.5x 20% 14% 260 37 Yes

    BigCommerce Sales multiple: 0.8-1.3x 15% 13% 332 7 Yes

    ONLINE

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    OUR VALUE DRIVERS

    MEDIA

    17

    Consumer behaviour has changedfundamentally and forever

    MTG has a strong content portfoliowith established market positions and

    powerful brands

    Video is the growth driver

    MTGx established to acceleratedigital growth

    18.8 million daily Metro readers young and urban

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    MEDIA

    MODERN TIMES GROUP

    18

    Sales growth across the board

    All five business segments reported local currency sales growth

    Investing in momentum

    Content, digital and geographical expansion

    Strong cash generation

    Focus on operational excellence and financial efficiency

    Strong balance sheet enables continued investment

    SEK m Q3 2013 Q3 2012 Change (%)

    Total revenues 3,204 2,940 +9

    Operating profit

    (EBIT)*162 288 -44

    EBIT margins* 5% 10%

    * Before associates

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    FINANCIALS

    KINNEVIK HAS A STRONG BALANCE SHEET

    19

    Net debt in parent company per 30

    September SEK 1bn

    In order to have financial flexibility in

    the Parent Company, the goal is to

    have no or a low leverage.

    Cash and available credit facilities per

    30 September SEK 7.2bn0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    12-Q1 12-Q2 12-Q3 12-Q4 13-Q1 13-Q2 13-Q3

    NET DEBT TO GROSS ASSET VALUE

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    CONCLUDING REMARKS

    Kinnevik is uniquely positioned to service the digital consumer

    Mobile companies facing rapidly changing market environment

    Strong traction across online assets

    Media investments in content and reach

    20

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