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Energy efciency services for residential buildings: market situation and existing potentials in the European Union Nicola Labanca a, * , Felix Suerkemper b , Paolo Bertoldi a , Wolfgang Irrek c , Bruno Duplessis d a European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Energy and Transport (IET), Ispra, Italy b Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy, Wuppertal, Germany c Hochschule Ruhr West University of Applied Sciences, Bottrop, Germany d Centre for Energy Efciency of Systems e Mines Paris Tech, Paris, France article info Article history: Received 28 February 2014 Received in revised form 19 December 2014 Accepted 16 February 2015 Available online xxx Keywords: Energy efciency services Residential buildings Energy efciency policies abstract Although a substantial economic energy saving potential exists in the residential sector of the European Union, the energy efciency service (EES) market is much less developed in this market segment than in other demand sectors (e.g. the industry or the public/service sector). This paper presents an analysis of the current situation and existing potentials for future expansion. A specic analysis methodology has been developed and applied by a research consortium in 18 EU countries. This methodology has mostly built upon an extensive review of the existing literature and on interviews of a large number of acknowledged experts. Its application has allowed identifying encouraging development trends in specic market segments where the possibility of aggregating the EES demand or of exploiting good relationships with customers have created interesting investment opportunities. These trends have been observed in particular in Germany, Denmark, France, Flanders (BE), Hungary, Romania and UK. The assessment performed has also allowed discussing a series of strategies and policy measures that can be adopted to overcome existing barriers to market develop- ment. The general conclusion drawn in the paper is that energy efciency policies supporting EES markets in the residential sector are highly needed. Although EU policies have typically a limited direct impact, they can increase trust into EESs and EES providers. At the national level, a stronger collabo- ration of governments or local administrations with banks to nance EESs is still very necessary in many EU countries. © 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction Comprehensive overviews of the development status of the Energy Efciency Service (EES) market for the residential sector in the EU Member States are still missing in the literature. The main references for an analysis of the EU EES market are the reports prepared by Bertoldi and Rezessy (2005), Bertoldi et al. (2006b, 2007, 2014) and Marino et al. (2010). A specic overview of the development status and existing potential for an EES market in the residential sector in European countries is however still missing. Despite its relevant economic energy saving potential (FhG-ISI et al., 2010), the EES market in the residential sector is much less developed than in the industry, tertiary and public sectors of the European Union. Given the existing market conditions and barriers, market experts generally appear quite sceptic about the possibility of a real and signicant development in the EU countries (Ürge- Vorsatz et al., 2007). Besides sectors cross-cutting barriers (e.g. low level of energy prices in some countries, long investment * Corresponding author. European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Energyand Transport (IET), Via E. Fermi, 2749, IT-21027 Ispra (VA), Italy. Tel.: þ39 0332 783 567; fax: þ39 0332 789 992. E-mail addresses: [email protected] (N. Labanca), [email protected] (F. Suerkemper), [email protected] (P. Bertoldi), wolfgang.irrek@ hs-ruhrwest.de (W. Irrek), [email protected] (B. Duplessis). Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Journal of Cleaner Production journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jclepro http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.02.077 0959-6526/© 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Journal of Cleaner Production xxx (2015) 1e12 Please cite this article in press as: Labanca, N., et al., Energy efciency services for residential buildings: market situation and existing potentials in the European Union, Journal of Cleaner Production (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.02.077

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lable at ScienceDirect

Journal of Cleaner Production xxx (2015) 1e12

Contents lists avai

Journal of Cleaner Production

journal homepage: www.elsevier .com/locate/ jc lepro

Energy efficiency services for residential buildings: market situationand existing potentials in the European Union

Nicola Labanca a, *, Felix Suerkemper b, Paolo Bertoldi a, Wolfgang Irrek c,Bruno Duplessis d

a European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Energy and Transport (IET), Ispra, Italyb Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy, Wuppertal, Germanyc Hochschule Ruhr West University of Applied Sciences, Bottrop, Germanyd Centre for Energy Efficiency of Systems e Mines Paris Tech, Paris, France

a r t i c l e i n f o

Article history:Received 28 February 2014Received in revised form19 December 2014Accepted 16 February 2015Available online xxx

Keywords:Energy efficiency servicesResidential buildingsEnergy efficiency policies

* Corresponding author. European Commission, Join783 567; fax: þ39 0332 789 992.

E-mail addresses: [email protected] (N.hs-ruhrwest.de (W. Irrek), [email protected]

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.02.0770959-6526/© 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Please cite this article in press as: Labanca, Nin the European Union, Journal of Cleaner P

a b s t r a c t

Although a substantial economic energy saving potential exists in the residential sector of the EuropeanUnion, the energy efficiency service (EES) market is much less developed in this market segment than inother demand sectors (e.g. the industry or the public/service sector).

This paper presents an analysis of the current situation and existing potentials for future expansion. Aspecific analysis methodology has been developed and applied by a research consortium in 18 EUcountries. This methodology has mostly built upon an extensive review of the existing literature and oninterviews of a large number of acknowledged experts. Its application has allowed identifyingencouraging development trends in specific market segments where the possibility of aggregating theEES demand or of exploiting good relationships with customers have created interesting investmentopportunities. These trends have been observed in particular in Germany, Denmark, France, Flanders(BE), Hungary, Romania and UK. The assessment performed has also allowed discussing a series ofstrategies and policy measures that can be adopted to overcome existing barriers to market develop-ment. The general conclusion drawn in the paper is that energy efficiency policies supporting EESmarkets in the residential sector are highly needed. Although EU policies have typically a limited directimpact, they can increase trust into EESs and EES providers. At the national level, a stronger collabo-ration of governments or local administrations with banks to finance EESs is still very necessary in manyEU countries.

© 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction

Comprehensive overviews of the development status of theEnergy Efficiency Service (EES) market for the residential sector inthe EU Member States are still missing in the literature. The mainreferences for an analysis of the EU EES market are the reportsprepared by Bertoldi and Rezessy (2005), Bertoldi et al. (2006b,2007, 2014) and Marino et al. (2010). A specific overview of thedevelopment status and existing potential for an EES market in the

t Research Centre, Institute for Ene

Labanca), felix.suerkemper@wuppe(B. Duplessis).

., et al., Energy efficiency servroduction (2015), http://dx.d

residential sector in European countries is however still missing.Despite its relevant economic energy saving potential (FhG-ISIet al., 2010), the EES market in the residential sector is much lessdeveloped than in the industry, tertiary and public sectors of theEuropean Union. Given the existing market conditions and barriers,market experts generally appear quite sceptic about the possibilityof a real and significant development in the EU countries (Ürge-Vorsatz et al., 2007). Besides sectors cross-cutting barriers (e.g.low level of energy prices in some countries, long investment

rgy and Transport (IET), Via E. Fermi, 2749, IT-21027 Ispra (VA), Italy. Tel.: þ39 0332

rinst.org (F. Suerkemper), [email protected] (P. Bertoldi), wolfgang.irrek@

ices for residential buildings: market situation and existing potentialsoi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.02.077

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N. Labanca et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production xxx (2015) 1e122

payback periods, lack of information and awareness, lack ofappropriate forms of finance), there are specific barriers whichmake a large scale application of the EES concept to residentialbuildings particularly difficult. These barriers typically are1,2:

1. The particularly high transaction costs (Dahlman, 1979) forEES providers compared to the small amount of energy costsand the potential cost savings per single EES supplied.

2. The high fragmentation of the mass-market and the need toindividually lookateverybuildingorbuildingblock.Thismakesthe supply of standardised EESs difficult (Labanca, 2010).

3. The so-called landlord/tenant dilemma due to the fact that,although the tenant basically has an interest to reach energysavings through energy efficiency improvement (EEI) ac-tions, the landlord typically receives no benefits from theseinvestments or can hardly pass on investment costs to thetenant (Economidou, 2014; IEA, 2008).

4. The legal requirement existing in some countries that thelandlord of a multifamily building is allowed to pass on EEIaction investment costs to tenants only if all tenants agree onthis investment (Rezessy and Bertoldi, 2010).

5. The privatisation process in multi-apartment buildings(which usually represent the most interesting investmentsfor EES suppliers and financers) in many Eastern Europeanmunicipalities. This process has led inmany cases to propertysituations where every flat in a building has a differentowner, which makes decisions on the building shell andbuilding technology more difficult. Decision rules aredifferent in different countries. Typically, at least one half oreven all apartment owners need to agree to a refurbishment3

(Tigchelaar et al., 2011; Grim, 2005).6. The fact that the energy consumption in the residential sector

is much more correlated to individual needs and behavioursthan in other sectors (EEA, 2013). This canmake it particularlydifficult to define a consumption baseline and induces highrisks when setting energy saving guarantees. Moreover, in-dividual energy consumption meters for heat and hot waterare sometimes lacking inmulti apartment buildings impedingenergy efficiency investment decisions by single households.

7. Difficulty for potential customers to get oriented amongexisting EES offers due to a lack of information on the availableoffers and services and the difficulty in understanding the EESconcept, financing and contract. Moreover, terms like energyservices and EES are sometimes used for services without theclear aim of improving energy efficiency (Economidou, 2011).

8. The lack of credibility on EES providers due to the oftenlacking legal framework for their accreditation and bad ex-periences of some household (Bertoldi et al., 2007).

9. The fear to become too much dependent on the EEScontractor (Bertoldi et al., 2006a) and that the service offeredwould bemore expensive compared e.g. to the casewhen thesupplier is not (partly) paid by the energy savings.

1 Most of these barriers do exist also in countries outside Europe since manyyears. See e.g. McKinsey (2009) and Lang (2004) for an overview of these barriers inU.S. and China.

2 Although important, this paper will not discuss existing obstacles and oppor-tunities for EESs focused on the utilization of low waste technologies and materialsin the construction of residential buildings. A proper market of these EESs is farfrom being existent. For information on the current situation concerning the uti-lization of low waste materials for residential buildings in European and non-European countries see e.g. COM (2014) and Zhang et al. (2012).

3 However the situation is different where the privatisation process has resultedinto a common ownership of a multi-apartment building or building bloc (wheree.g. a co-operative, with the general assembly of the owners or the CEO on behalf ofthe assembly of owners decides on a refurbishment).

Please cite this article in press as: Labanca, N., et al., Energy efficiency servin the European Union, Journal of Cleaner Production (2015), http://dx.d

10. The present economic crisis and related economic and po-litical uncertainties.

11. The scarce or difficult accessibility of public subsidies andfinancing capital for EES implementation (Rezessy andBertoldi, 2010; Economidou and Bertoldi, 2014).

The presence of the above barriers and the existing literaturepointing to very scarce possibilities for an actual market develop-ment have so far discouraged the accomplishment of thoroughanalyses concerning the actual advancement status of the marketand existing potentials in the EU countries. This paper aims tocontribute to fill the existing knowledge gap and to highlightpossible future development trends.

After a brief description of the adopted analysis methodology, thepaper presents analysis results concerning the development statusof the European EESmarket in the residential sector and quantitativeestimates performed in relation to existing potentials. Subsequent tothat, analysis results concerning existing energy efficiency policiesaffecting the EES market are presented. Two possible developmentmodels e a so-called community model and a household model efor a future EES market in the residential sector are then illustrated.Moreover, a short discussion on strategies and energy policy mea-sures that could be adopted to overcome the existing barriers to EESmarket growth and stimulate the diffusion of the developmentmodels identified is presented at the end of the paper. Finally, aseries of promising case studies reflecting the models outlined arebriefly illustrated. The salient points emerged from the study aresummarised in the flow chart reported in Fig. 1 below.

The definition adopted in this paper for energy efficiency ser-vices is equivalent to that provided by the European standard onEnergy Efficiency Services (CEN, 2010) defining an EES as an agreedtask or tasks, designed to lead to an energy efficiency improvementand other agreed performance criteria. This standard also requiresthat EESs include an energy audit as well as identification, selectionand implementation of actions and verification of energy efficiencyimprovements over a contractually defined period of time throughcontractually agreed methods.

In the analyses presented a distinction is made among thefollowing EES activity types that are also referred to as EES valuechain stages or partial services connected to EES: (1) awarenessraising, (2) information and advice, (3) identification ofmeasures, (4)technical planning, (5) financing and subsidies, (6) implementation(operation and or supervision), (7) optimization of technical opera-tion, and (8) measurement and verification of savings.

An Energy Service Company (ESCO) is any company deliveringEESs or partial services connected to EESs, accepting some degree offinancial risk in doing so and being wholly or partially paid for EESdelivery based on the achievement of energy efficiency improve-ments (EEIs) and/or on the meeting of other performance criteria.Moreover, anenergycompany isdefined in thispaperasanycompanywhose core business is related to energy carriers, whether this com-pany is an energy distributor, or a distribution system operator, or aretail energy sales company. Finally, an EES provider is defined as anyentity that delivers EESs (including ESCOs and energy companies).

2. Methodology of analysis

The methodology adopted to analyse the development status ofthe EES market in the EU countries has consisted of a literaturereviewand of interviews of 4e5 acknowledged EES experts in 18 EUcountries4 as performed by researchers participating in a European

4 The 18 EU countries are AT, BE, BG, CZ, DE, DK, EL, EE, ES, FR, IT, LV, NL, PL, PT, SE,SK, SL.

ices for residential buildings: market situation and existing potentialsoi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.02.077

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Fig. 1. Summary of the salient points studied in the paper.

N. Labanca et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production xxx (2015) 1e12 3

project named ChangeBest.5 The interviews and the literature re-view have been performed based on a common questionnairedeveloped by the researchers involved. Data and informationgathered have been summarised in national analysis reports byfollowing a same analysis template focussing on the identificationof the nationalmarket size, number and typology of market players,existing market offers, EES providers positioning in the EES valuechain, financing typologies and potential for new EESs. A cross-country analysis has then been performed based on the variousnational analysis reports. This approach has allowed covering avery large geographical areawhile gathering quantitative estimatesabout EES market sizes and number of EES providers. Such quan-titative figures are missing in national statistics and in the existingreference literature.

The estimate of the existing market potential in the EU MemberStates is mainly based on the assessment of the economic andtechnical energy saving potentials in 2020 presented in FhG-ISIet al. (2010), on final end-user energy prices6 as reported in theEUROSTAT database and on estimates concerning the payback timeof investments on specific EE technologies as performed by theChangeBest project researchers.

Promising models for a future EES market development in theresidential sector have been identified based on a collection ofbusiness cases of new and promising EESs realised in the frame-work of the ChangeBest project and on the analysis of existingliterature. Effectiveness in overcoming the main EES market bar-riers related to the residential sector and reproducibility in differentcountries have been considered as the main selection criteria forthese business cases.

The inventory of existing policies presented in the paper isfinally based on the results of the ChangeBest national analysisreports complementedwith additional information sources like theMURE-database,7 the national energy efficiency action plans

5 See www.changebest.eu for further information on this project.6 All energy prices considered are net of taxation and expressed in 2007 V values.7 Database on energy efficiency policy measures in European countries, IEE

project Odyssee-MURE, ISIS (www.mure2.com).

Please cite this article in press as: Labanca, N., et al., Energy efficiency servin the European Union, Journal of Cleaner Production (2015), http://dx.d

(NEEAPs) produced by EU Member States in the framework of theEuropean Directive 2012/27/EU on Energy Efficiency (EED), theresults of the surveys performed by the Joint Research Centre of theEuropean Commission (Bertoldi et al., 2007, 2014).

3. The development status of the European EES market in theresidential sector

This section presents an overview of the existing developmentstatus of the European EES market in the residential sector byanswering the following research questions: How advanced is theEES market in the EU countries, which types of EES providers areactive and which EES types are offered in these countries? Whichtechnologies and fields of applications are mainly addressed by EESsupplied? What common EES financing and contract types areadopted in the EU?

3.1. Market advancement, market actors and types of servicesprovided

The development status of EES markets varies widely among EUcountries mainly due to the market barriers described in theintroduction to this paper. Based on survey information from na-tional experts, different EES market developments could be iden-tified in the 18 EU countries8 covered by the ChangeBest project.The development status of the EES markets was defined as good,moderate or very preliminary depending on the number of marketplayers, quality of services provided and stipulated contracts asassessed by the experts involved in each country.

The analysis performed has generally shown that a quite welldeveloped residential EES market exists in Germany, Denmark,France and in Flanders (BE), whereas this market segment is stillmoderately developed in Italy, Austria, Slovakia and Slovenia. EESmarket volumes and number of market actors in the residentialsector appear instead very low in the Netherlands, Sweden, Latvia,Estonia and Poland. Finally, the residential EES market is at a very

8 See Labanca et al. (2010) for more detailed information.

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N. Labanca et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production xxx (2015) 1e124

preliminary development stage or not existent in Portugal, Spain,Bulgaria, Czech Republic and Greece.9

The country analysis also allowed concluding that the marketaddressed by ESCOs when assessed in terms of number of EESsoffered is generally less developed than the market of EESs offeredby energy companies. The typically smaller projects implementedin the residential sector are indeed offered especially by retail en-ergy sale companies or energy distributors, often to increase cus-tomers' loyalty or to comply with a possible energy savingobligation in place in the country where they operate.

EES providers are mostly energy companies also in the surveyedcountries or regions where the EES market in the residential sectorhas been depicted as quite well developed (i.e. in Germany,Denmark, Flanders, France). In Germany, energy companies (veryoften heating oil companies in competition with gas companies)offer EESs mainly addressing EEI actions concerning space andwater heating, buildings insulation and air conditioning. Such EESsare mostly offered to the housing industry, where a number ofapartments or even houses can be covered.10 In addition, there areheat supply services for single households (house owners) thatinclude EEIs of the heating system. Moreover, there are somegovernmental programmes supporting energy agencies, someNGOs and other market actors in making EESs related to buildingrefurbishment or to electricity saving measures in low-incomehouseholds financially viable. The German government-owneddevelopment bank KfW is finally particularly active in promotingenergy efficient housing for owner-occupied houses.

In Denmark, Flanders and France energy companies addressbasically the same technologies and fields of application as inGermany. In these countries and regions an energy saving obliga-tion is in place and energy companies are hence stimulated tosupply EESs to their customers. The white certificate scheme andthe tax deduction scheme in force in France have seemed so farparticularly effective in fostering the supply of EESs related to theinstallation of individual and collective condensing boilers, highenergy performance boilers, heat pumps and insulations measures(Giraudet et al., 2012; Duplessis et al., 2012; Suerkemper et al.,2012). In Denmark most of the EESs relate to the installation ofefficient boilers and efficient ventilation and heating systems ingeneral (Ea Energianalyse, 2008), whereas in Flanders the mostcommon actions include installation of highly-insulated glazing,condensing and high-efficiency boilers, insulation of roofs inexisting buildings (Bertoldi et al., 2010).

Concerning the EU countries not covered by the ChangeBestproject survey (i.e. Cyprus, Finland, Hungary, Ireland, Lithuania,Luxemburg, Malta, Romania, United Kingdom) the JRC ESCO marketsurveys performed by Marino et al. (2010) and Bertoldi et al. (2014)indicate that the EES market in the residential sector is especiallyemerging in Hungary, Romania and UK. In Hungary the complexrefurbishment of residential block houses (involving heating, insu-lation, windows renovation) has become a fast emerging marketarea for ESCOsmainly due to state andmunicipal grants available forthe refurbishment of panel block houses (Czak�o, 2012). In Romaniathermo-rehabilitation of existing buildings has been increasinglyperformed as of 2005 mainly due to a public funding programmecovering up to 80% of building rehabilitation costs. Although theESCO market in the UK is probably one of the most developed in the

9 These indications should be taken with caution because quantitative informa-tion was not always available to the experts who performed the assessments.10 However, such EES have become more difficult in recent years due to a legaldecision that house owners are not allowed to transfer payment of the EES contractto the tenant. Existing political proposals to overcome this barrier by changes intenant law have not been implemented yet.

Please cite this article in press as: Labanca, N., et al., Energy efficiency servin the European Union, Journal of Cleaner Production (2015), http://dx.d

European Union, ESCO activities have mostly concentrated in thecommercial and industrial sector so far. Existing energy saving ob-ligations for energy suppliers in the UK stimulate to a certain extentthe provision of EESs in the residential sector. Nevertheless themarket of this country remains dominated by a few EES providersbelonging to larger energy suppliers, with a number of managingagents aggregating small energy efficiency projects and selling thepackage to obliged suppliers.11 Energy companies often provide onlypartial services for the residential building sector (e.g. information orenergy audits) in order to increase customer loyalty.

The analysis performed has also shown that actors differentfrom ESCOs and energy companies often provide EES, especially incountries such as Austria with a long tradition of public subsidies inthe housing sector.12 Social housing corporations, project de-velopers, architects, investors, building companies and installers ofenergy using systems in the construction sector are other impor-tant EES market actors. Energy consultants, auditors and engineersplay also an important role in this market, especially in thosecountries where this market relies on regulations related to energycertification of buildings and/or energy audits.

Some of these company types offer integrated services andcover the whole EES value chain. However, most of them decide tofocus on specific value chain stages. ESCOs for example rarelyconcentrate on information and awareness raising on EESs. Addi-tionally, their activities related to EES financing is often limited tothe identification of third parties available to finance EES in-vestments for energy end-users. Moreover, the provision of energysaving measurement and verification by ESCOs and energy com-panies is often considered only as a consequence of the stipulationof Energy Performance Contracts (EPCs) or the need to achievesome mandatory and measurable energy saving target (e.g. inDenmark, France, Flanders, Italy).

Information and awareness raising activities are often performedby energy agencies, e.g. in Portugal, Germany and Austria. Energyagencies can be interesting partners for other EES providers, both inthe stage of information and awareness raising and in the savingmeasurement and verification stage, as they increase the credibilityand transparency of the EES provided. In some countries (e.g. inAustria) banks are active in providing information and advice onEESs. This represents part of their marketing activity related to thecredit lines they offer for EES. The provision of energy supply incombination with an EES by energy companies seems to be a com-mon practice in countries where a quite well developed EES marketexists (e.g. in Denmark, Germany, Flanders). In countries where theEES market is still in a preliminary development stage (e.g. Slovakia,Poland) this combination is rare or not provided at all.

3.2. Technologies and fields of application

The available data allowed providing only indications about themain sector cross-cutting technologies and fields of applications forEESs in the industrial, residential, commercial, public/service andagricultural sectors. Table 1 shows that building envelope insu-lations and heating systems are the sector cross-cutting technolo-gies and fields of application mainly addressed by EESs in 18 EUcountries.13

11 See for example Hannon et al. (2013) for further details.12 Leutg€ob and Varga (2010).13 Notice that the information related to the different preference degrees for thevarious technologies and field of applications registered in the various countriesrefers to all possible sectors and could hence not actually indicate the actual vari-ation in the preferences existing in the residential sector. For further information,see Labanca et al. (2010).

ices for residential buildings: market situation and existing potentialsoi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.02.077

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Table 1Main sector cross-cutting technologies and fields of application preferred for the EESs provided in the countries analysed (“þþþ”¼ very frequently, “þþ”¼ frequently preferred,“þ” ¼ less frequently).a

Country Cross cutting technologies

Building envelopeinsulation

Heating system (incl. DH),hot water system

Air conditioning Ventilation Water savings Building automation andcontrol systems

User behaviour training Pumps

AT þþ þþ þþBE þ þ þBG þ þ þCZ þþ þþDE þþ þþ þþ þþ þDK þ þþþ þþ þþ þEE þ þ þ þEL þ þ þES þ þ þFR þþ þþþ þ þ þ þ þþIT þ þþ þþ þ þLV þ þþNL þ þ þþPL þþ þþ þ þ þPT þþ þ þSE þ þþ þþ þ þþ þþSK þ þSL þ þ þa The three different preference degrees reported in this table serve to highlight the possible differences in a same country and do not reflect the different preference degrees

for a given technology or field of application in different countries.

N. Labanca et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production xxx (2015) 1e12 5

3.3. Financing and contracting

Concerning EES financing and contracting, successful pure busi-ness models addressing EES supply in the residential sector withoutrelying on governmental subsidies or incentives are very rare inEurope. For this reason, the EES financing and contract types adoptedseem also not very evolved. Whereas a quite good level of marketactivity has been identified (e.g. in Germany, Denmark, Flanders andFrance), EES financing and contracting are typically supported byenergy efficiency policy measures like energy saving obligations, taxdeductions, tax credit schemes or subsidies. It is quite unlikely thatthese business models would continue to exist on a pure commercialbasis without any form of economic support provided through thesepolicy measures. As already mentioned, energy companies decide insome cases to provide these services for commercial reasons in orderto increase customers' loyalty or to gain competitive advantage.Third Party Financing (TPF) is typically more common for larger in-vestments (e.g. in case of EES implemented by housing associationsor real estate companies) or in those countries where banks havedeveloped sufficient expertise and confidence in the EES business(e.g. Austria), or where international agencies have activated creditfacilities to finance energy efficiency projects (e.g. the EuropeanBank for Reconstruction and Development in Bulgaria and Romania).

EESs are often provided in combination with energy supply orcontracts for operation and maintenance of energy systems at theenergy end-users sites. Contract types stipulated in the EES busi-ness in several countries analysed are leasing, Build-Own-Operate-Transfer (BOOT) contracts,14 chauffage.15 Energy performance

14 These Build-Own-Operate-Transfer contracts may involve an EES providerdesigning, building, financing, owning and operating the EE equipment for adefined period of time and then transferring its ownership to the client. These arelong-term supply contracts where the service charges include capital and operatingcosts recovery as well as project profit.15 The EES provider takes over complete responsibility for the provision of anagreed set of energy services. This arrangement is an extreme form of energymanagement outsourcing. Where the EES market is competitive, the EES provideralso takes over responsibility for fuel/electricity purchasing. The fee paid by theclient is calculated on the basis of its existing energy bill minus a percentage savingso that the client is guaranteed immediate savings. The more efficient the EESprovider is, the greater its earnings. If well designed, chauffage contracts providestrong incentives for EES providers to supply effective and efficient services.

Please cite this article in press as: Labanca, N., et al., Energy efficiency servin the European Union, Journal of Cleaner Production (2015), http://dx.d

contracts (EPCs) are still very rare. Some examples of EPCs stipu-lated in the residential sector exist in Sweden (Lindgren, 2009;Soroye and Nilsson, 2010), Flanders (Coolen, 2010), Latvia (Rochasand Blumberga, 2010) and Italy (Milin et al., 2012).

4. EES market potentials in the residential sector

This section shows an assessment of the potential market vol-ume, which can be addressed by future promising EESs in theresidential sector. The market volume estimates have been mainlyderived from assessments of the economic and technical energysaving potentials in 2020 as available in FhG-ISI et al. (2010). Energysaving potentials considered in the analysis refer only and exclu-sively to EEI actions related to space and water heating in existingresidential buildings.

Following the approach already adopted in Duplessis et al.(2010), the paper authors have first performed they estimates byindicating a range of variability for the potential economic energysavings that can be assessed by considering a baseline scenario, alow policy intensity scenario (LPI) and a high policy intensity sce-nario (HPI) related to the implementation of energy efficiencyimprovement (EEI) actions. The baseline scenario extrapolates pastautonomous EEI rates, including the impact of early energy savings(adopted through 2006). The LPI scenario assumes high barriers toenergy efficiency, an increase in the policy effort to overcome thesebarriers compared to current policies and considers the imple-mentation of EEI actions which are cost-effective for the wholecountry. Finally, the HPI scenario assumes a removal of the barriersto energy efficiency achieved by a high policy effort and considersactions whose implementation is cost-effective for the consumer.16

The overall economic energy saving potentials in EU-27 by 2020correspond to 140 TWh of final energy under the LPI scenario and

16 See FhG-ISI et al. (2010) for further information and details. Cost-effectivenesshas been calculated in FhG-ISI et al. (2010) from the sum of annualized investmentcosts, annual operation and maintenance costs minus the annual financial savingsfrom lower energy bills. Capital costs have been annualized over the technicallifetime of the actions with a discount rate of 8% under the LPI scenario, and adiscount rate of 4% under the HPI scenario. Energy prices are net of taxation andexpressed in 2005 V values.

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Fig. 2. Cumulated technical energy saving potential vs. payback times estimated forvarious EEI actions in each of the EU-27 countries.

Table 2Potential of the market accessible to EESs in the residential sector of the EU-27.

Additional market for EESs according to their accessibility(yearly market in MV up to 2020)

Very accessible(PBT < 3 years)

Accessible(PBT < 8 years)

Less accessible(PBT > 8 years)

194 1644 795

N. Labanca et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production xxx (2015) 1e126

to 379 TWh of final energy under the HPI scenario. Of these,125 TWh are fuel savings and 15 TWh are electricity savings underthe LPI scenario, whereas 358 TWh are fuel savings and 21 TWh areelectricity savings under the HPI scenario. The annual economicenergy saving potentials (estimated for each EEI action consideredin each of the EU-27 countries) have been multiplied by the cor-responding country specific end-users energy prices to estimatethe EU-27 additional annual potential market volume. This poten-tial corresponds to 527 MV under the LPI scenario and of 1438 MV

under the HPI scenario.The huge difference between additional electricity and fuel

savings is mainly due to the fact that a) electricity savings frommost of the energy efficient appliances are not considered becausethe installation of these appliances could hardly be part of EESs; b)electricity represents on average a small part (about 10%17) ofhouseholds final energy consumption for space heating; c) theenergy performances of installed direct electric heating systemsare assumed as hardly improvable; d) heat pumps, which areresponsible for a significant amount of the estimated energy sav-ings, are assumed to be mostly installed in substitution of existingoil or gas fuelled heating systems as the cost of duct and plumbingworks to replace direct electric heaters with heat pumps isprohibitive.

The big variation between the economic energy saving potentialestimated under the LPI and HPI scenarios derives mainly from themarked energy performance improvements of buildings envelopesassumed under the HPI compared to the LPI scenario.

Although it could be roughly assumed that the actual EU-27economic energy saving potential that will be exploited by 2020lies somewhere between the potentials estimated respectivelyunder the LPI and HPI scenarios, it should be also considered thatthese potentials include the possible implementation of EEI actionswith a long investment payback time that could be hardly consid-ered for the stipulation of EES contracts. For this reason, the energysaving potential that might be in principle exploited by EESs hasbeen also estimated starting from the technical scenario (TECH)estimated in Duplessis et al. (2010),18 and by considering only thoseadditional EEI actions having reasonably short payback times. Thetechnical energy saving potential due to EEI actions related to spaceand water heating systems in the existing residential buildings ofthe countries of the EU-27 has been therefore analysedwith respectto the payback times19 of actions, which are different in each ofthese countries. Fig. 2 reports the cumulated technical energysaving potentials estimated for the various EEI actions consideredin each of the EU-27 countries vs. the average payback times of therelated investments. These national technical potentials have beensorted by increasing payback time and cumulated in order torepresent the EU-27 “supply curve” of technical energy savings.This type of approach is a new development compared to analysesof the existing EES market potential in the residential sector thatmay have been performed in the past.

Fig. 2 indicates that the largest potential could come from walland roof insulation. These EEI actions can be implemented withshort investment payback times in the countries with moderate orwarm climates. This potential is less exploitable in colder climates

17 See Economidou (2011).18 This scenario implements EEI actions to a level that is assumed to be technicallyachievable and takes into account also measures that are not cost-effective andwhose related investment payback time is hence longer than measure lifetimes,although it does not include extremely costly measures. It has been based on asimplified thermal model of existing buildings stocks and national average valuesrelated to climate indicators and EEI actions economic and energy impacts. Formore information see Duplessis et al. (2010).19 A discount rate of zero is assumed in the payback time calculations.

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because of the better quality of existing insulation solutions. Thereplacement of boilers has on average a short payback time andrepresents hence a very accessible EES market potential, mostly inmulti-family buildings where payback times are shorter (less than5 years in most of the countries). Heat pumps have also shortpayback times, but their energy saving potential is smaller. Finally,double glazing20 and ground insulation represent a not negligiblepotential but their payback times are comparably long (more thanten years).

The overall technical energy saving potential of all EEI actionsconsidered for the residential sector and represented in Fig. 2 cor-responds to around 555 TWh in 2020. The additional annual po-tential market volume that can be estimated based on these figuresis around 2440 MV up to 2020. By ordering the technical potentialsaccording to their payback times, it can be estimated that the yearlyadditional potential market accessible to EESs could reach 194 MV

if the investment payback times (and hence the corresponding EEScontract durations) were shorter than 3 years. The annual addi-tional market potential accessible to EESs rises to 1644 MV ifpayback times shorter than 8 years are considered. A less accessiblemarket potential of 795 MV is instead made of investments withpayback times over 8 years (see Table 2 below).

These results are conservative estimates of the potential marketvolume actually available in the EU-27 due to the following rea-sons: (1) only investments needed to install energy efficient solu-tions are included in the estimates; (2) many additional servicescan in principle be aggregated to the installation of the solutionsconsidered; (3) only EESs in addition to the business as usual sce-nario have been considered for the potential market volumeassessment.

20 Thermal performances of windows frames have not been taken into accountand estimated energy savings derive hence only from glazing improvement.

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5. Promising EES models in the residential sector

Despite the difficulties often met by EES providers inapproaching the residential sector, the existing energy saving po-tential and the success cases registered in some European countriesindicate that interesting investment opportunities can exist forenergy end-users and EES providers. The objective of this section isto characterise and analyse promising EES models for the resi-dential sector that can in principle be reproduced in differentcountries and by further EES providers and that are suited toovercome the main market barriers. Based on best practicesregistered in European countries, two potentially suitable businessmodels for EESs in the residential sector have been identified: thecommunity model and the household model. These two modelshave been already generally outlined by one of the paper authors inprevious studies (see Bertoldi et al., 2006a). The analysis presentedhere represents a further elaboration and a more detailed charac-terization based on concrete application best practices observed.

In the community model, decisions are taken by or on behalf of agroup of customers in the same location (for example, but notexclusively, a community heating scheme in new build and socialhousing21). The community model gives the chance to realizeeconomies of scale by installing energy efficiency solutions inseveral homes in one go. Key sectors like local government or socialhousing organizations can e.g. take the lead in stimulating thediffusion of this model in such a way that, in case of buildingsretrofit or in case of new build developments, the whole energyrelated infrastructure on a site can be contracted out e.g. to an ESCOthat could be in charge of energy efficient measure design, imple-mentation, operation, maintenance and energy billing. In case ofnew build developments, ESCOs could in some cases even installthe electrical network to each community home instead of thedistribution network operator. Moreover, they could play the role offacilitators since energy efficiency investment decisions require theagreement of a large part of the community members. On the otherhand, difficulties that may arise should not be underestimated forthis market segment. Such difficulties include the need for co-ordination between ESCOs and housing developers, consumerpreferences for individual rather than communal solutions andhigh investment upfront costs.

The household model can instead represent an interesting op-portunity especially for energy suppliers, who typically need todifferentiate their offerings in liberalised energymarkets in order toattract new customers and can use EES supply to increase cus-tomers' loyalty. Also smallfirmsprovidingmaintenance, breakdownrepairs, equipment supply for residential buildings can contribute tothe diffusion of household models, as they are particularly sensitiveto maintaining good customer relations and do not have to providesaving guarantees to convince customers of their capabilities. In thiscase, the ongoing client/small contractor relationship for otherservices could be the foundation for an “ESCO-type” sale of incre-mental energy efficiency products and services, without the over-head of building a new relationship with a new ESCO. However, therisks due to high transactions costs involved, the need for a strategicand structured marketing approach, the difficulties linked to theidentification of potential customers and the lack of confidence inEES providers represent important barriers that should not beunderestimated under this model.

A series of best practice case studies for the two business modelsare briefly described in the appendix of this paper. They represent

21 It is worth reminding that central heating system should always be installedwith individual heating control systems in single dwellings in order to minimisethe energy consumption.

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useful examples and lessons learnt about how profitable businesscases can be developed. The conditions for the development of anactual market are, however, context and country dependent andthe best practices described are not necessarily replicable in all EUcountries. The most interesting cases reproducing the communitymodel are those developed for social housing and multi-apartmentbuildings mainly due to the possibility of realising economies ofscale, higher investment opportunities and lower transaction costscompared to EES supplied for single houses.

In case of social housing, substantially different EES supply ap-proaches can in principle be adopted depending on tenure (e.g.social houses provided for rent, for sale or with shared ownershipas in UK), providers (e.g. public authorities, non-profit or limitedprofit associations and companies, private for profit companies,etc.), beneficiaries (e.g. most vulnerable households, low-incomehouseholds, all citizens), funding arrangements (e.g. social hous-ing financed by public money, by a regulated or deregulated privaterental market, etc.). The social housing operator (SHO) typicallycontracts an ESCO (by applying public procurement rules in case itis a public entity or an entity with a mission of public interest) andpays for the EES, whereas tenants pay the SHO a fixed rate includingenergy consumption costs for the contract duration. This rateusually does not exceed the average amount paid for energy con-sumption before EES implementation and covers part of the EESsupply costs. The support by a third party financing part of ESCO orSHO investments is also often needed. Considering that socialhousing represents 35 million homes across Europe and accountsfor about 18% of European greenhouse gas emissions (Bullier, 2010),and given the size of the housing stock typically managed by socialhousing operators, the potential of this market segment is worthbeing considered. An interesting example of EES implementation inthis market segment is illustrated in the paper appendix describinga case of EPC implementation for social houses in France.

EESs for privately owned multi-apartment buildings alsorepresent a promisingmarket segment. Compared to EESs for socialhousing, the main differences are that public procurement rules donot have to be applied and contracts can be directly stipulated withEES beneficiaries, as beneficiaries are not necessarily low-incomeor vulnerable households. However, especially in case of compre-hensive renovation of buildings, a certain level of subsidy is oftenneeded in order to implement EESs without additional paymentsby flat owners. Challenges for EES providers are to create trans-parency and trust22 to flat owners in order to stimulate collectiveaction, to co-ordinate all professional partners involved in EESsupply and to establish a good co-operation with the local housingmanagers. Contracts need to be explained in detail to beneficiariesby showing profit margins and economic simulations, especially incase of EPCs. Interesting EES examples for multi-apartment build-ings exist in Latvia and Hungary (for more details see the paperappendix).

The householdmodel is mainly adopted bymarket actors whosecore business is not EES provision like energy suppliers, contractorsor equipment suppliers. This market model is characterized by theimplementation of much smaller projects with relatively hightransaction costs. The market segment addressed is characterizedby more standardised products/contracts and a better knowledgeof customers' needs and priorities that allow to design marketingconcepts fitting to the target groups. Several practical applicationsof this model are nowadays available in Europe. Some particularlyinteresting cases are summarised in the final part of the paperappendix.

22 See Backlund and Eidenskog (2013) for further details on this aspect.

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All in all, the case studies described in this paper and the manyother cases for which information starts being available in theliterature indicate that an EES market in the residential sector canin principle develop at least in some European countries. However,it must be admitted that information and evidences related to theprofitability of EESs so far implemented are typically lacking and itis not yet evident which EES types in the residential sector couldexist on a pure commercial basis without any form of public sub-sidy or incentive.

24 Article 7 requires each Member State of the EU to set up an energy efficiencyobligation scheme ensuring that retail energy sales companies and/or energy dis-tributors designated as obligated parties achieve a pre-defined annual end-useenergy savings target of 1.5% annually in the period between 2014 and 2020.Member States are also allowed to choose alternative measures to achieve theannual 1.5% energy saving target.25 However, free energy checks/advices received from independent third parties

6. Policies affecting EES market development in theresidential sector

Several types of policy measures can affect the EES marketdevelopment in the residential sector. The aim of the followingsection is to analyse how policy measures affect the supply of EESsin countries23 by using a specific analysis structure distinguishingamong five different categories of policy measures:

(1) Policy measures specifically targeting EES providers: adistinction can be made for this category among (a) mea-sures for accreditation/certification of ESCOs or EESs, (b)measures for the creation of platforms for ESCOs with com-mon interests, (c) measures providing specific support forESCOs (e.g. financial) and (d) legal arrangements oftenregarding the removal of barriers for ESCOs. Clearly the po-tential for EES market development in a country cannot bedirectly correlated to the number of measures in place tar-geting EES providers. However, the overview performedhighlights that only a few countries (i.e. Latvia, theNetherlands) have no measures in place specifically devotedto directly improve EES providers position, whereas fewcountries have implemented more than two of the abovementioned policy measure types (i.e. Italy, Poland, Spain,UK). Support is given in various ways, sometimes throughextra subsidies for ESCO projects, a few times as preferredpartner (Czech Republic) in energy saving projects. Financingof investments by ESCOs is generally part of policy on thirdparty financing, which is however not always related toprojects implemented by ESCOs.

(2) Policies creating or supporting a general mechanism for EES:policy measures like white certificate schemes (WCS), othertypes of energy saving obligations, energy efficiency funds orpolicies supporting energy performance contracting (EPC)and third party financing (TPF) can in principle create ampleopportunities for EES providers. Policy measures stimulatingEPC and TPF have been identified in 8 EU countries, althoughEPC is rarely adopted in the residential sector. The abovementioned mechanisms create opportunities but they do notlead by definition to a thriving EES market because of themarket barriers in the residential sector and the absence of alevel playing field for EES providers. For example, WCS canbring additional cash flow for EES providers and shortenpayback times for the actors involved in EES implementation.Nevertheless, EEI actions so far mostly implemented underWCS could hardly be part of a self-sustaining long term EESmarket because they typically are the easiest and cheapest toimplement (e.g. they relate to CFL or low flow showerheadsdistribution and installation). However, the situation mightchange in the coming years considering also the stimulationto WCS implementation represented by the article 7 of the

23 See Boonekamp and Vethman (2010) for further information.

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recently implemented Directive 2012/27/EU on Energy Effi-ciency (EED).24

(3) Policy measures that stimulate one or more EES activities inthe value chain: many types of policies aiming at raisingawareness, providing information, advice on saving mea-sures, or supporting technical planning and monitoring ofenergy savings have so far been implemented in the EUMember States. However, only single policy measures aretypically in place. There is hence a need for a complete sets ofpolicy measures (‘policy packages’) that stimulate simulta-neously all the key EES activities that are necessary in orderto realise and verify energy savings (i.e. policy packagesstimulating at least the combination of activities related toenergy audits, EE improvement action implementation andenergy saving measurement and verification).

(4) Policy measures stimulating energy savings and thereby EESactivities indirectly: all the countries surveyed deploy policymeasures with the objective to achieve energy savings in theresidential sector such as energy performance standards fornew dwellings/buildings, minimum efficiency standards forappliances, labelling of buildings and appliances, subsidies orfavourable loans or tax-deductions, voluntary agreements,taxes on energy consumption or on CO2 emissions. Whetherthese policy measures stimulate the demand for EESs or notdepends on the complexity of solutions. The promotion ofsimple solutions, suchasefficient refrigerators, doesnot lead tosignificant demand for various EES activities. The promotion ofcomplex solutions, such as renovation of buildings or instal-lation of micro combined heat and power (CHP) generationsystems, does instead provide more opportunities for EESproviders. Further on, some policies only create a temporarymarket for EES, such as those for very efficient new dwellingsthat will become common building practice in time.

(5) Policy measures restricting the (commercial) EES market: adistinction can be made between legislation that restrictsEES companies in their operation and policy measures thatrestrict the commercial market for EESs. Legislationsrestricting EES providers' activity relate for example to therequirement that all tenants of multifamily buildings mustagree on investments by ESCOs (e.g. in Germany andSlovenia), to the low and regulated heat prices not leavingroom for ESCO investments in Poland, to the restrictedtransfer of district heat costs to the consumers in theNetherlands. Most of the legislative problems are notrelated to energy savings but regard arrangements betweenparties in general. In a number of countries, policy mea-sures have been formulated to lift the legislative barriers, asdemanded in the EED. However, the observed problemsshow that in many countries this demand has not yet beenmet. Policy measures stimulating public supply of EESs,which compete with commercial offers, can actually restrictthe commercial EES market in countries with an alreadyquite well developed EES market. Examples are free energychecks/advices by energy agencies,25 government

can increase customers' trust on the service received and avoid the suspect thatmore expensive solutions are unnecessarily proposed by an EES provider having aninterest in their installation.

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supported/erected ESCOs and subsidies that are only avail-able for energy end-users. Whether the public offering ofEESs restricts the commercial EES market or not also de-pends on the targeted end-users,26 the type of EES activity(awareness raising is generally a public EES activity), theterms for public EESs offering and the EES market devel-opment status in the residential sector of a country. Inparticular, public offering of, or public economic support forEESs in the residential sector can surely serve to stimulatethe commercial market for EESs in markets that are in aninitial development stage, this being the case in most of thecountries of the EU-27.

Also EU policy (EED, EPBD, CHP, Ecodesign Directive, Labellingand ETS) transposed into national policy measures can in principlestimulate the EES market in the residential sector. However, EUpolicy, as e.g. highlighted in the EED, has generally a large indirecteffect on the EES market, whilst its direct effect is usually verylimited.

7. Discussion of results

The results presented in the previous paper sections show arelevant EU market potential for EESs supplied in the residentialsector. At the same time, they indicate a high heterogeneity amongEU countries regarding the development status of national EESmarkets, the types and number of market players, the types of EESprovided, the EES financing and contracting models adopted andsupporting policies implemented. A series of specific barriers stillimpedes the exploitation of the existing potential in the residentialsector. These barriers mainly include the high transaction costsrelative to the amount of energy costs, the high fragmentation ofthis mass market, the existing situations of split incentives, therules regulating the decision processes in multi-apartment build-ings, the lack of credibility on EES providers, the lack of stand-ardised procedures for measurement and verification of energysavings.

Nevertheless, existing experiences and case studies indicate forexample that the high transactions costs (relative to the amount ofenergy costs) can be sometimes reduced by EES providers by ini-tiatives aiming at creating district community groups and poolingtogether a number of buildings and apartments to implement EEImeasures. Such strategies are however limited to relatively ho-mogeneous buildings and energy efficiency service types. Suitablestrategies can in principle be developed also to address residentialmarket segments characterized by smaller projects with relativelyhigh transaction costs (see the household model described in aprevious paper section). These strategies however require morestandardised products/contracts and a better knowledge of cus-tomers allowing to design marketing concepts that fit to the targetgroups.

The problems due to the high fragmentation of the market canin particular be effectively addressed by standardised inspectionand advice, as part of the energy performance certification ofdwellings to be sold or rent. In many of the EU-10 countries thathave joined the EU in 2004 (e.g. Slovakia, Latvia, Hungary, etc.) thehuge amount of existing prefabricated multifamily buildings con-structed between 1960 and 1990 and currently in need of refur-bishment represents for example a very interesting opportunity forproviding highly standardised EESs on a large scale. However,

26 For example, public EES offering may be necessary for single dwellings, whichare typically very difficult to address by EES providers, whereas this offer might inprinciple restrict the commercial EES market for multifamily buildings.

Please cite this article in press as: Labanca, N., et al., Energy efficiency servin the European Union, Journal of Cleaner Production (2015), http://dx.d

again, such strategies are limited to relatively homogeneousbuildings or building blocks. In addition, it is of great importance toex-ante verify that a standardised EES leads in practice to theimplementation of the optimal EE measures for each specificbuilding in order to avoid lost energy saving opportunities in thelong term. To address the barrier of split incentives betweenbuilding renters and owners, EES providers could act as a brokerand allow meeting the interests of all parties while realising thesaving measures. Moreover, EPC can serve to stipulate contractualarrangements allowing building owners to recover energy effi-ciency investment costs through renters' energy bills withoutcharging these renters with extra costs compared to the beforeinvestment situation (see examples provided in the annex). Largescale installation of smart meters at households may thencontribute to better define a consumption baseline and may allowEES providers to stipulate energy saving guarantees. In somecountries (e.g. in Italy) almost all households are now equippedwith electricity meters endowed with remote reading capabilities.The challenge will be to make all relevant information readilyavailable to energy end-users and EES providers for the verificationof the energy savings.

With respect to energy efficiency policy, it is not possible toidentify or recommend a common EU policy approach to kick-starta market for EESs in the residential sector, given the significantheterogeneity of national situations. However, the Energy Effi-ciency Directive (EED) adopted in 2012 contains a range of mea-sures that Member States (MSs) have to implement to foster theprovision of energy services, to develop an ESCO market and tohelp financing energy efficiency. Article 18 of the EED contains alist of measures that MSs shall adopt in order to promote energyservice markets including the ESCO market. Also, Article 19 of theEED asks MSs to adopt measures to remove the split incentivebarrier. Existing financing barriers could be reduced at the EU levelby specifically addressing banks and/or by arranging guaranteefunds for EES, e.g. through the European Investment Bank or theEuropean Energy Efficiency Fund. In addition, in most EU MSsthere is a need for an integrated and centrally co-ordinatedapproach to EES implementation because of the many intermedi-ate actors involved (e.g. agencies, housing corporations, installersand manufacturers of efficient systems, etc.). There is also a needfor a common understanding of EESs, EPC, etc. when designing EUand MS policies (see for example the EN 15900). EU policy inparticular, but also national policies, can increase trust into EESsand EES providers by supporting information, qualification, certi-fication, accreditation as well as training programmes and bysupporting platforms and networks for exchange of experiences,standardised EES contracts and measurement and verificationprocedures.

At the MS level, national policies hindering the implementationof EESs (e.g. the recently revised, but only partly improved tenantlaw in Germany) should be revised or removed. This should happenalso for policies being a barrier towards the development of a levelplaying field (e.g. policies and support programmes that do notallow energy companies to offer specific EESs). Moreover, amechanism allowing the financing of EEI actions offered throughEESs in the domestic sector should probably be implemented inevery MS. For example an energy efficiency fund and/or an energyefficiency obligation scheme could be created, national govern-ments or local administrations could collaboratewith banks to offerlow interest rates or financial guarantees or revolving funds couldbe established to finance EES providers. Unwanted competition tothe commercial provision of EESs at the national level should alsobe avoided. For example, in countries where the EES market isalready well developed, free audit schemes of energy agenciescould be replaced with subsidies for energy audits that are valid for

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all EES providers.27 In general policy packages stimulating simul-taneously demand and supply of EESs would be highly beneficial.Especially policies stimulating the supply of EESs are rare at themoment.

Although the provision of financial subsidies and/or financialincentives for EESs can effectively trigger energy savings, theyshould be considered as temporary policy measures to be imple-mented only during the initial EES market development stages. Inthe long-term, policy measures facilitating the development ofcompetitive EES business models in the residential sector shouldhave the priority.

8. Conclusions

The conservative estimate presented in this paper for the EESmarket potential in the residential sector indicates the presence ofan additional annual market volume of about 190 MV in the EU-27for investments with payback times below 3 years (or of about1640 MV for investments with payback times below 8 years). Thelargest part of this potential comes from EESs related to wall androof insulation and installation of energy efficient boilers inmultifamily buildings. Although specific barriers in the residentialsector still hinder national EES markets development in importantways, positive market signals have been registered in Germany,Denmark, France, Flanders (BE), Hungary, Romania and UK. Thecharacteristics of thesemarkets are however largely different eitherin terms of types of active market actors and services provided, orin terms of technological solutions addressed and financing andcontracting typologies adopted. In general, evidences start beingavailable concerning the possibility of developing an interestingmarket by initiatives aiming at creating district community groupsand pooling together a number of buildings and apartments toimplement EEI measures, as may happen e.g. in case of socialhousing or privately owned multi-apartment buildings. Positivetrends are also registered in market segments characterized bysmaller projects addressing single households, although this mar-ket segments require more standardised products/contracts andbetter knowledge and relationships with potential customers. Theimplementation of energy efficiency policies supporting thesedevelopment trends is highly needed. EU policies have generally alimited direct effect on the national EES markets, although they canincrease trust into EESs and EES providers by supporting informa-tion, certification and capacity building initiatives and cancontribute to arranging guarantee funds for EES. At the nationallevel, the collaboration of governments or local administrationswith banks to offer low interest rates and financial guarantees forEESs or to create revolving funds to finance EES providers is stillnecessary in many EU countries.

Although the paper provides a comprehensive overview of thecurrent EUmarket situation for EESs in the residential sector, thereremain some research challenges that need to be addressed infuture research. Considerably more work will need to be done inevaluating the effectiveness and efficiency of energy efficiencypolicies directly or indirectly affecting the supply and demand ofEESs targeting this sector. Continuousmarket observations in termsof market barriers and existing potentials will also be necessary inorder to identify emerging opportunities and derive suitable rec-ommendations for policy makers. Further research might also inparticular explore the development of emerging EES business

27 At least when this does not prevent from the possibility of receiving energychecks/advices from independent third parties not biased towards recommendingunnecessarily expensive solutions.

Please cite this article in press as: Labanca, N., et al., Energy efficiency servin the European Union, Journal of Cleaner Production (2015), http://dx.d

models that will be suitable for a wider deployment in EUcountries.

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank the reviewers of this article fortheir valuable comments, the research consortium of theChangeBest project who contributed to achieve most of the resultspresented and the European Commission who funded this projectunder the Grant Agreement IEE/08/434/SI2.528383.

Appendix

Description of promising EES examples in the residential sector

Energy Performance Contract (EPC) for social houses in FranceThe first EPC with third party investment in social housing in

France was stipulated in 2011 for 64 social dwellings in the Stras-bourg suburb of Schiltigheim (Bullier and Lefevre, 2011). The EPCbetween the social housing operator (a private limited company)and the ESCO guarantees a primary energy consumption reductionof 47% (from 239.5 to 126.1 KWh/year m2) for 19 years over the6781 m2 of gross area covered by the 64 dwelling units concerned.Renovation activities planned consist of classic refurbishmentworks related to common areas, comfort upgrading as well as todeep energy renovation of building shells and electric heat andventilation systems. Annual adjustments of the guaranteed energysaving targets are envisaged based on possible variations observedin the estimated degree days, indoor maximum temperature,number of dwellings occupants and DHW volumes consumed peroccupant. Buildings energy performances are measured based on ameasurement and verification plan and on metering devicesinstalled to record the electricity consumption for heating andventilation, the amount of hot water consumed, the indoor tem-perature. The total investment for the EPC amounts to about4,050,000 Euros, but only about 60% of this will serve to cover EEImeasure costs. Funding for total investments will be provided bygrants (20%), loans (9%), ESCO equity (12%) and third partyfinancing (59%). Besides local authorities' contribution (4%) andprivate companies' contribution (1%), the grants to be received willconsist of a rebate on property tax and VAT reductions (7%)envisaged in France for investments on energy conservation. Theamounts received by the sale of the white certificates that will beawarded under the French white certificate scheme for the energysaving measures implemented (8%) will also contribute to repayinvestment costs. Energy efficiency investments will not causerising rents of building tenants. The only revenue generated bythese investments will be obtained through the energy bills paid tothe social housing operator (SHO) for 15 years after energy effi-ciency measures implementation. Total economic savings gener-ated by these measures during this period are estimated to bearound 22,400 Euros/year and will be shared at 50% between thetenants and the SHO. The decision to implement the project couldnot be taken without the approval of the majority of tenants. Theyvoted for it once the ESCO responsible for project implementationhad been selected by applying the public procurement rulesestablished in France for companies having a mission of publicinterest (as it is the case for social housing companies). This se-lection was based on a competitive dialogue leaving participatingESCOs the freedom to choose the most suitable technical options toachieve pre-established energy performances. The EPC establishesthat the ESCO has to pay financial penalties in case the total con-sumption of the 64 dwellings exceeds the expected overall target.These penalties are supposed to be apportioned among all tenants.Each tenant pays for the amount of energy consumed. The less

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energy he consumes, the higher the amount he receives in case ofESCO penalization. All risks of default on ESCO payments are takenby the SHO.

Energy Performance Contract (EPC) for multi-apartment buildingsin Latvia

In 2009 an EPC has been stipulated for the EEI actions imple-mented in a multi-apartment building in Valmiera, Latvia (Rochasand �Zogla, 2010). Since 1980 a district heating system suppliesthermal energy for space and water heating to 36 apartmentsdistributed over the 9 floors of the building, covering a heated areaof about 1914 m2 and consuming on average 214 kWh/m2/year(162 kWh of which due to space heating) between 2006 and 2008.EEI actions implemented related to insulation of outer walls,insulation of attic and basement ceiling, repair of windows open-ings, improved insulation of heat distribution pipes, modernizationof the heat substation, improvement of the DHW distribution sys-tem. A monitoring system measuring temperature (outdoor, in theattic, in the basement and in all flats) and energy consumption forspace and water heating has been installed and allows the remotereading of monitored data as collected by a central data logger.Additional measures to improve visual and aesthetic aspects andsolve operational andmaintenance issues (e.g. refurbishment of thebuilding entrance and staircase, etc.) have been also implemented.Data monitored during the first months of 2010 indicated thatenergy savings achieved thanks to the measures implementedwere already around 50% of the ex-ante consumption. Servicesincluded in the EPC were supplied by a network of companies withan ESCO responsible for supervision and quality control takingfinancing and technical risks. The EPC guarantees that no extracosts will be borne by apartment owners because of the measuresimplemented. During the whole contract period (20 years) theywill pay for energy consumption the same amount paid beforebuilding renovation. Total project implementation costs amountedto around 144,000 Euros. A part of this amount was covered bysubsidies. The building manager pays the ESCO for the servicesupplied (including heating) whereas flat owners do not keep anyrelationwith the ESCO and continue paying their building managerfor building maintenance and energy services.

Government stimulating ESCO project implementation for multiapartment buildings in Hungary

In 2001 the Hungarian Government launched a program called“Panel Program” providing support in the form of grants for therenovation of prefabricated buildings (Grosser Lagos, 2010). Gov-ernment, municipalities and home owners were supposed tocontribute to the energy efficient renewal of prefabricated build-ings by providing roughly one third of total investment costs each.ESCOs performing building renovations stipulated an EPC with thehousing co-operatives representing apartment owners and guar-anteed the energy savings. The housing co-operatives typically tooka loan to finance energy efficiency investments on behalf ofapartment owners. A loan agreement involving the financinginstitution, the apartment owners, the ESCO and the local govern-ment was stipulated based on apartment owners' bank guaranteeand ESCOs guarantee. Loans are typically repaid in a period be-tween 65 and 105 months by apartment owners. About 380,000flats were partly or totally renovated thanks to this initiative in theperiod between 2001 and 2009. Their total energy consumptionwas in some cases reduced by up to 40e50%. Total investmentneeded per apartment oscillated between 6000 Euros (in case ofcomprehensive renovation) and 2000 Euros (in case of partialrenovation). Energy savings achieved were in some cases less thanexpected due to the fact that apartment owners sometimespreferred to install low-cost solutions. Moreover, the financial crisis

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caused a credit slowdown and a contraction of ESCO investments inthis initiative, starting from 2009.

Examples of household EES models in EuropeIn Germany a municipal utility supplying electricity and gas has

started offering to their customers the replacement of old andinefficient circulation pumpswith efficient models saving up to 80%of electricity. All customers are supposed to pay via their electricitybill a same amount of about 300 Euros for each circulator installedover a period of four years. Customers can easily understand whatthey are paying and what they are saving by their electricity bills.They can be reduced by up to 10% thanks to the efficient solutioninstalled. Economic margins for the utility are low but highercustomer retention has been achieved thanks to this EES.

A similar EES is also supplied by an energy company in Slovakiawhich, besides circulator replacement, provides also an energyaudit of the house.

In Germany an energy supply company started to install gascondensing boilers controlled by ambient temperature at singleand multiple family houses under full service contracts for heatsupply. The company carries out hydraulic adjustments of theheating systems, informs its clients about the functioning of thenew system andmaintains ownership of the boilers until the end ofthe contracts (i.e. for 10 years). An important demand for this EESseems to exist in Germany, but the contracts have to be simple andtransparent, otherwise customers are not available to sign them.

InDenmark an energy supply and distribution company engagedin a strategic dialogue with its customers and organised a series ofcampaigns whereby the implementation of EESs is stimulated byoffering infra-red photography, mini energy audits, devices toreduce standby consumption, EE circulators, LEDs, completebuilding refurbishment within an EPC. Eight hundred customerswere reached with the first campaign organised and each of themachieved on average energy savings around 650 kWh/year.

In France an ESCO provides a service consisting in assessingwhether an energy efficiency project fits into the conditions forgetting white certificates that can be sold to energy suppliershaving to comply with an energy saving obligation. Customersimplementing EE projects pay the ESCO a fixed amount or a pre-established percentage of the certificate market price for this spe-cific service.

In Italy benefits from the combined installation of EE solutionsand renewable energy sources are exploited by an ESCO offeringfree of charge PV panels combined with heat pump installations.This EES may allow ESCO clients to achieve zero energy bills andbenefits from a feed-in tariff incentive mechanism in place in Italyfor PV panel installation.

More information on the examples reproducing household EESmodels reported here is available in Renner et al. (2012).

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