Stephen M King’uyu National Climate Change Secretariat

Ministry of Environment, Natural Resources & Regional Authorities stephen.kinguyu@gmail.com/King_uyu@yahoo.com

www.kccap.info

Kenya’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC)

Training Workshop on INDCs Entebbe, Uganda

23-‐24 September 2015

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v 1. Introduction (1) • Kenya’s INDC responds to Kenya's unique national

circumstances: – More than 80% of the country’s landmass is ASAL.

– Highly vulnerable to climate change - Increased frequency and intensity of extreme climate events.

– Impacts already being experienced in different sectors.

– Droughts and floods which cause economic losses estimated at 3% of the country’s GDP.

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Recognises that individual and corporate action - at all levels (international, national, sub-national) is required to address climate change.

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Contains both mitigation and adaptation components • In line with Decision 1/CP.20 that invited Parties to consider

communicating their undertakings in adaptation planning or consider including an adaptation component in their INDCs.

• Highlighting Kenya's deliberate choice to address adaptation and mitigation on equal footing.

• The INDC: Is in line with Kenya’s blueprint for development

(Vision2030). Is anchored on the Constitution, (draft) National Climate

Change Framework Policy and Climate Change Bill (2014).

Builds on the foundation laid in the development of the National Climate Change Action Plan (NCCAP 2013-2017) and NAP (draft).

1. Introduction (2)

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v 1.1 Stakeholders

INDC

Mwananchi Private Sector

Academia

Government Media

CSOs

Development Partners

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INDC National Taskforce and TWGs involved different stakeholder

categories; Validation as inclusive as possible.

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v 2. Mitigation Contribution • In line with the low carbon, climate resilient

development pathway articulated in Kenya’s NCCAP.

• Seeks to abate GHG emissions by 30% by 2030 relative to the BAU scenario of 143 MtCO2eq; and in line with its SD agenda.

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Subject to international support (finance, investment, technology development and transfer, and capacity Building).

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v 2.1 Kenya’s total emissions by sector (2010)

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73 MtCO2eq; 75% from LULUCF

2.2 GHG abatement potential for six sectors

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v 2.3 Information to facilitate clarity, transparency and understanding

• Timeframe for implementation: Up to 2030. • Scope of gases: CO2, CH4, N2O prioritised. • Sectors covered : IPCC Guidelines - Energy,

Transportation, Industrial Processes, AFOLU and waste sector.

• Methodology for emissions accounting: IPCC Revised 1996 Guidelines for National GHG Inventories and the Good Practice Guidance and Uncertainty Management in National GHG Inventories used to calculate the GHG emissions and removals as described in the SNC.

• Global warming potentials: CO2 equivalent calculated using the 100 year GWPs (IPCC 2nd Assessment Report).

• BAU emissions in the target year: Estimated to be 143 MtCO2eq by 2030.

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v 3. Adaptation Component • Kenya will ensure enhanced resilience to

climate change towards the attainment of Vision 2030 by mainstreaming climate change adaptation into the Medium Term Plans (MTPs) and implementing adaptation actions.

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Recognises that all sectors are vulnerable Sector-level strategic adaptation actions Lower-level actions to be determined at implementation stage.

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v 3. Adaptation Component • Priority adaptation actions:

– Presented in the NCCAP and further elaborated in the NAP.

– Based on risk and vulnerability assessments across the planning sectors.

– Many have strong synergies with mitigation actions.

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Kenya’s capacity to undertake strong mitigation actions is dependent upon support for the implementation of theseadaptation actions.

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v 4. Fairness and ambition

• Kenya’s contribution is mere 0.1% of the total global GHG emissions

• Per-capita emissions <1.26 MtCO2eq compared to the global average of 7.58 MtCO2eq.

• Kenya, however, places a high priority on response to climate change and will continue to play its role to contribute to the below 2-degree global mitigation goal.

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Key factors in determining the fairness of a contribution should include historical responsibility and respective capability to address climate change. The UNFCCC also recognises that the extent to which developing countries will meet their obligations under the Convention will depend on the level of support available.

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v 5. Planning process • Mitigation and adaptation Planning process:

– Hinges on the NCCAP and the NAP that shall be reviewed every five years to inform the MTP.

– Takes cognisance of the Climate Change Bill (2014) that proposes several institutional reforms to enhance coordination of climate change adaptation and mitigation.

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Means of Implementation: Kenya’s contribution will be implemented with both domestic and international support. USD 40 bn is required for mitigation and adaptation actions across sectors by 2030.

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Thank you!

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