72
Learning, Earning, and Learning, Earning, and Investing Investing Investment Analysis Investment Analysis

Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

  • Upload
    danton

  • View
    45

  • Download
    3

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis. Funding for this workshop is provided by: National Council on Economic Education US Dept of Education University of Illinois Extension The Moody’s Foundation. Instructors. Dr. Angela Lyons Director, UIUC-Center for Economic Education - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Citation preview

Page 1: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Learning, Earning, and InvestingLearning, Earning, and InvestingInvestment AnalysisInvestment Analysis

Page 2: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Funding for this workshop is provided by:

National Council on Economic Education US Dept of Education

University of Illinois ExtensionThe Moody’s Foundation

Page 3: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

InstructorsInstructors

Dr. Angela LyonsDirector, UIUC-Center for Economic EducationUniversity of Illinois Urbana-Champaign

Jennifer HuntConsumer and Family Economics EducatorUniversity of Illinois Extension

Page 4: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

You will receive…You will receive…

• Curricula with lessons and activities to use in the classroom

• 6 CPDUs

• Certification to reproduce and replicate workshop materials

• Network of colleagues to share experiences

• Resources available at U of I Extension

Page 5: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Setting the Stage….Setting the Stage….

Why Is Saving and Investing Why Is Saving and Investing Education Important?Education Important?

Page 6: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Increasing Consumer ResponsibilitiesIncreasing Consumer Responsibilities

• Movement towards the privatization of social security.

• Over 92% of pensions today are defined contribution plans, not defined benefit plans.

Page 7: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Financial World Has Become More ComplexFinancial World Has Become More Complex

• The number of financial services offered to consumers has increased.

• There has also been an increase in the number of financial products that are offered.

• Credit-scoring technology has improved.

Page 8: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

People Are Involved in the Financial MarketsPeople Are Involved in the Financial Markets

• Millions of small investors have increased their net worth by participating in the stock and bond markets.

• Millions of other investors depend on income from owning stocks and bonds.

Page 9: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Importance of Financial EducationImportance of Financial Education

Many Americans, especially young adults, lack the basic knowledge and skills needed to make informed financial decisions and manage their investments effectively.

Page 10: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

It’s Hard to Learn What You Are Not TaughtIt’s Hard to Learn What You Are Not Taught

• Financial education is a growing national priority.

• Stock market simulations and games are very popular.

• But young people can’t learn financial skills unless they are taught explicitly.

Page 11: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Several studies of financial education programs, especially those with specific objectives such as increasing savings or decreasing debt, have succeeded in improving the financial behaviors of young people and other consumers.

Page 12: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Where Do You Find Data?Where Do You Find Data?

The Federal Reserve Boardhttp://www.federalreserve.gov/

Ana M. Aizcorbe, Arthur B. Kennickell, and Kevin B. Moore. 2003. “Recent Changes in U.S. Family Finances: Evidence from the 1998 and 2001 Survey of Consumer Finances.” Federal Reserve Bulletin.

Page 13: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Learning, Earning and InvestingLearning, Earning and InvestingAn OverviewAn Overview

• 23 lessons

• High school and middle school

• Complete lesson plans

• Web site (http://lei.ncee.net)

• Accompanies stock market simulations or games

• Linked to standards: NCEE, NCTM, Jump$tart

• Field tested and reviewed

Page 14: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Table of ContentsTable of Contents

1. Why Save?2. Investors and

Investments3. Invest in Yourself4. What Is a Stock?

5. Reading the Financial Pages: In Print and Online

6. What Is a Bond?7. What Are Mutual Funds?8. How to Buy and Sell Stocks

and Bonds

Theme 1: Basics of Financial Investing

Page 15: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

9. What Is a Stock Market?10. The Language of Financial Markets11. Financial Institutions in the U.S. Economy

Theme 2: The Markets

Page 16: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

12. Building Wealth Over the Long Term13. Researching Companies14. Credit: Your Best Friend or Your Worst Enemy?15. Why Don’t People Save? 16. What We’ve Learned

Theme 3: Financial Planning

Page 17: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

17. How Financial Institutions Help Businesses Grow18. How Are Stock Prices Determined?19. The Role of Government in Financial Markets20. The Stock Market and the Economy:

Can You Forecast the Future?21. Lessons from History: Stock Market Crashes22. Investing Internationally: Currency Value Changes23. Investing Involves Decision Making

Theme 4: The Markets and the Economy (High School only)

Page 18: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

LessonsLessons

• Description • Key concepts• Objectives• Time required• Materials

• Procedure• Visuals• Activities• Closure• Assessment (multiple-choice and essay)

* Glossary terms for all lessons (pp. 323-332)

Page 19: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Key FeaturesKey Features of theof the LEI Web SiteLEI Web Site

About the Materials:• Table of Contents• Sample Lessons• FAQs• Order Information

Resources:• Interactives• Related Web Links• Related Lessons• Financial Calculators• Glossary• Visuals on PowerPoint

Page 20: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Web Site:http://lei.ncee.net

Page 21: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Table of Contents:LessonsConceptsNational Standards

Page 22: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Resources:InteractivesInvestment Web linksRelated LessonsVisualsStock Market SimulationsWorkshop Leader’s Guide

Page 23: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

InteractivesInteractives

• Compound Interest CalculatorIllustrates graphically the dramatic effect that compounding can have on investments over time

• Word SearchFeatures a word search activity to introduce key financial terms

• Chessboard of Financial LifeIllustrates the power of compounding interest

Page 24: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

• Reading the Financial PagesFocuses on several components presented on the financial pages of the newspaper

• NCEE’s Historical Stock Market SimulationFeatures a simulation in which students invest $10,000 using the Callan Periodic Table of Investment Returns

Page 25: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Quick Recap: LEI Session 1Quick Recap: LEI Session 1

Lesson 4: What is a Stock?Lesson 4: What is a Stock?

Lesson 7: What are Mutual Funds?Lesson 7: What are Mutual Funds?

Lesson 12: Building Wealth for the Long-TermLesson 12: Building Wealth for the Long-Term

Lesson 15: Why Don’t People Save?Lesson 15: Why Don’t People Save?

Page 26: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Lesson 5Lesson 5

Reading the Financial Pages:Reading the Financial Pages:In Print and OnlineIn Print and Online

Page 27: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Stocks, Mutual Funds, and BondsStocks, Mutual Funds, and Bonds

• Financial pages provide basic information about stocks, mutual funds, and bonds.

• Financial pages also include general articles about the world of business and finance, government activities, and the activities of companies and industries.

• The purpose of this lesson is to teach students how to read financial tables for stocks, mutual funds, and bonds.

Page 28: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

3 Major US Stock Exchanges3 Major US Stock Exchanges• NYSE

New York Stock Exchange (www.nyse.com)

• NASDAQNational Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System (www.nasdaq.com)

• AMEXThe American Stock Exchange (www.amex.com)

Page 29: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Activity 1: Reading a Stock Table (p.58)Activity 1: Reading a Stock Table (p.58)

Key Terminology (Visual 1, p. 55)

• 52-Week High and LowHighest and lowest price of stock in the most recent 52-wk period.

• Stock (SYM)Name of the company and stock symbol.

• DIV Dividend - Annual payment per share to stockholders; usually paid quarterly.

Page 30: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

• YLD % Yield – The dividend calculated as a percentage of the closing price; the return on your invested money that comes from dividends.

• P/E ratioPrice/Earnings Ratio – Stock price divided by the company’s annual earnings per share.

• VOLVolume – Shares traded the previous day.

Page 31: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

• CLOSE Closing price – Price of the stock at the end of the previous trading day.

• NET CHGNet change in the stock price from the close of the previous trading day.

Page 32: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Activity 2: Reading a Mutual Fund Table (p.61)Activity 2: Reading a Mutual Fund Table (p.61)

Key terminology for each fund (Visual 2, p. 56)

• NAVNet asset value per share of the fund at the close of trading day; the value of a share of the fund; calculated by adding up the value of the stocks, bonds, and other assets in the fund, subtracting fund’s liabilities and dividing the result by the number of fund shares available.

• NET CHGChange in the NAV from the previous trading day.

• YTD % RETYear-to-date percentage change in the fund value.

• 3-YR % RETPercentage change in the fund value over three-year period.

Page 33: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Activity 3: Reading a Bond Table (p.63)Activity 3: Reading a Bond Table (p.63)

Key Terminology (Visual 3, p. 57)

• CUR YLDCurrent Yield – Annual interest payment as a percentage of the current bond price.

• VOLTrading day volume ( # of bonds bought and sold).

• CLOSEClosing price of the bond.

• NET CHGNet change in bond price in dollars and cents.

Page 34: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Activity 4: Tracking Stocks Online (p.65-Activity 4: Tracking Stocks Online (p.65-66)66)

• Students pick a stock and track it over several days or weeks.

• Students choose a Web site to find information about their stock.

Page 35: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

http://finance.yahoo.com

Page 36: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis
Page 37: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

http://www.msnbc.comclick on “Business”

Page 38: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis
Page 39: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Other Web sitesOther Web sites

• http://www.usatoday.com

• http://www.bloomberg.com

• http://cbs.marketwatch.com

• http://money.cnn.com

Subscriptions:• http://online.wsj.com

• http://www.chicagotribune.com

Page 40: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Activity 5: Scavenger Hunt (p. 67-68)Activity 5: Scavenger Hunt (p. 67-68)

Students are sent on a scavenger hunt, where they use the financial tables in newspapers and Web sites to become familiar with how to locate information on specific stocks, bonds, and mutual funds.

Page 41: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Lesson 13Lesson 13

Researching CompaniesResearching Companies

Page 42: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Visual 1: Thinking Economically Visual 1: Thinking Economically About Researching StocksAbout Researching Stocks

• Recognize that you cannot know it all.

• Select a few companies to research. Then follow their progress closely.

• Find a few good place to get stock information.

• Stop looking for new information when you think the benefits received from more information are less than the costs of additional research.

Page 43: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Visual 2: Surprises are RareVisual 2: Surprises are Rarein the Securities Marketsin the Securities Markets• Many individuals spend a great deal of time and effort trying to find

companies whose stock prices might increase faster than average for the market.

• Many financial institutions – brokerage companies, banks, life insurance companies – spend even more time and effort trying to identify companies whose stock prices might increase faster than average for the market.

• It is difficult to earn unusual gains in the stock market because most of the information about most companies is already known.

• People who earn above-average returns from their stock are usually surprised. But it is hard even for experienced investors to find surprises in the market.

Page 44: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Visual 3 Visual 3 An Example: LeBron JamesAn Example: LeBron James

• LeBron James joined the NBA out of high school. He is known for his ability to jump, pass, involve teammates and score.

• Some regard LeBron James as the Michael Jordan of the future.

• Could you make big money today by purchasing Nike stock, thinking that its value might be enhanced by the LeBron James connection?

Page 45: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Fundamental Analysis of Company Performance Fundamental Analysis of Company Performance (Analysis of Financial Statements - “The Basics”)(Analysis of Financial Statements - “The Basics”)

Factors to pay close attention to:

• Share Price

• Price/Earnings Ratio

• Annual Revenue or Sales

• Earnings Per Share

Page 46: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Activities 1 & 2 (p. 187-188)Activities 1 & 2 (p. 187-188)

Comparing different methods for selecting stocks:

• Pick stocks at random• Focus on companies you know or that seem popular• Research a company’s financial information• Seek expert advice

Page 47: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Look for the “basics” of the company:

• Headlines and press releases• Financial statements• Prospectus and annual reports

Page 48: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

NEWS AND INFOHeadlines

Company Events

Page 49: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Articles about companies and industries

SOUTHWEST AIRLINES (LUV)“Passenger jet slides off

runway at Chicago airport”

Page 50: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

FINANCIALSIncome Statement

Balance SheetCash Flow

Page 51: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

COMPANY PROFILECompany Website

Key StatisticsCompetitors

Industry

Page 52: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Technical Analysis of Company Performance Technical Analysis of Company Performance

• Method that predicts a stock’s price movements and future market trends by studying charts of past market activity, which take into account the stock’s price and trading volume.

• Uses financial charts, tables, and ratios to predict future movements in a stock's price.

• Factors used to identify trading opportunities: 1) price, 2) volume, and 3) moving averages

Page 53: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS200-Day Moving Average

P/E RatioVolume

Page 54: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Lesson 18Lesson 18

How are Stock Prices How are Stock Prices Determined?Determined?

Page 55: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Visual 10: Laws of Supply and Demand Visual 10: Laws of Supply and Demand Applied to Financial MarketsApplied to Financial Markets

• The law of demand states (regarding stocks) that buyers choose to purchase more shares at lower prices and fewer shares at higher prices.

• The law of supply states (regarding stocks) that sellers choose to sell more shares at higher prices and fewer shares at lower prices.

• An equilibrium price exists when the quantity of shares demanded at that price equals the quantity of shares being supplied.

• Stock prices change as a result of changes in the supply and demand for shares of the stock in question. Shifts in supply and demand can establish new equilibrium prices.

Page 56: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Activity: Stock Price Simulation GameActivity: Stock Price Simulation Game

• Students use knowledge of supply and demand to participate in a stock market simulation, which shows how the price of a share of stock is determined in a competitive market.

• Divide the class into buyers and sellers. Distribute BUY and SELL cards and score sheets. Assign one student to be keeper of the cards and another to record the transactions.

• Clear a space that will serve as the TRADING FLOOR. When the MARKET IS OPEN, buyers and sellers meet on the trading floor and try to agree to a price for one share of stock.

Page 57: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

• Buyers start the game with one BUY card on their score sheet. The goal is to buy at the lowest price they can. If the price they pay is equal to the price on their BUY card, buyer breaks even. If less than, there is a gain. If more than, there is a loss.

• Sellers start the game with one SELL card on their score sheet. The goal is to sell at the highest price they can. If the price they pay is equal to the price on their SELL card, seller breaks even. If more than, there is a gain. If less than, there is a loss.

• Students buy (or sell) as many shares of stock as they can in the allotted time. But the price of a transaction must always be in multiples of 5 ($5, $10, $15, $20 and so on).

Page 58: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

• As soon as a stock is bought (sold), students record the transaction on their score sheets. In addition, SELLER reports the negotiated price to the recorder.

• They then turn in their BUY (or SELL) card, receive a new card, and begin the negotiation process again.

• Students have 5 minutes to make transactions and then the TRADING FLOOR IS CLOSED.

• The game is played in three 5-minutes rounds. The goal is to make as much money as you can by the end of the game.

Page 59: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Lesson 23Lesson 23

Investing Involves Decision MakingInvesting Involves Decision Making

Page 60: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Visual 1: Visual 1: Types of Investment RiskTypes of Investment Risk• Risk of principal: The risk that some or all of the original deposit or

investment may be lost.

• Market risk: The risk that the forces of supply and demand or unforeseen events may affect the value of an investment adversely.

• Interest-rate risk: The risk that interest rates will change. For example, an investor may hold a fixed-rate investment such as a bond. If the bond holder decides to sell the bond before maturity and market interest rates are higher than what the bond is earning, the price of the bond will be lower.

• Inflation risk: The risk that the return on an investment will not keep pace with inflation, and the saver’s purchasing power will fall.

Page 61: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Very High RiskJunk bonds,

options

High RiskGrowth stocks, growth funds,

aggressive-growth mutual funds

Moderate RiskIncome funds, balanced mutual funds,

bond funds, municipal bonds, corporate bonds, blue-chip stocks

Very Low RiskTreasury bills, CDs,

money markets funds, savings accounts

Visual 2: Visual 2: Risk PyramidRisk Pyramid

Page 62: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Visual 3: Visual 3: Elements of a Financial Plan Elements of a Financial Plan

• Financial goals• Net worth statement• Income and expense record• Insurance plan• Saving and investment plan

Focus of this lesson: Saving and investment plans

Page 63: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Visuals 4 & 6: Visuals 4 & 6: Five-Step Decision Making Model (p. 315, 317)Five-Step Decision Making Model (p. 315, 317)

1. State the problem2. List criteria3. List alternatives4. Evaluate alternatives5. Make a decision

An Activity: Using the Decision-Making Grid

Page 64: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Activity 2 (p. 319): Activity 2 (p. 319): Important Things to Know About Your ClientsImportant Things to Know About Your Clients

1. How much does the client have in savings?

2. Is the client able to save each month without borrowing?

3. Is the client responsible for people who are financially dependent?

4. How much risk is the client willing to take in order to pursue a higher rate of return?

5. How close is the client to retirement?

6. Does the client expect his or her savings to generate current income?

7. Is the client primarily hoping for growth?

8. Would the client benefit from tax-deferred or tax-exempt investments?

Page 65: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Activities 3 & 4 (p. 320-322):Activities 3 & 4 (p. 320-322): Using the Decision-Making Model for InvestingUsing the Decision-Making Model for Investing

• In this lesson, students become financial planners and offer advice to four hypothetical clients.

• Divide class into groups of 3-5 students. Each group represents a financial planning firm.

• Students use the completed “Decision-Making Model for Investing” to make recommendations to their clients (p. 320). Students choose no more than 3 alternative investments for each client.

• They recommend what percentage of savings each client should place in the 3 investment alternatives. They list the most important choice first and explain each recommendation.

Page 66: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Other LEI LessonsOther LEI Lessons

Lesson 8: How to Buy and Sell Stocks and Bonds(The Stock Market Play)

Lesson 9: What is a Stock Market?(Meet the Stock Markets)

Lesson 10: The Language of Financial Markets(Language of Financial Markets Bee)

Lesson 16: What We’ve Learned(The Flyswatter Review)

Page 67: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Helpful ResourcesHelpful Resources

University of Illinois Extension Consumer and Family Economics

www.ace.uiuc.edu/cfe

National Council on Economic Educationwww.ncee.net

Illinois Council on Economic Educationwww.econed-il.org

Page 68: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

University of Illinois Extension Consumer and Family Economics

www.ace.uiuc.edu/cfe

Page 69: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

NCEEwww.ncee.net

Page 70: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

Summary and QuestionsSummary and Questions

Page 71: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis

www.stockmarketgame.org

The Stock Market Game™ ProgramThe Stock Market Game™ Program

Page 72: Learning, Earning, and Investing Investment Analysis