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Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development SAARC Training Programme Regional Interagency Working Group on ICT 21 January 2018

Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

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Page 1: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in

Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030

Agenda for Sustainable Development

SAARC Training Programme

Regional Interagency Working Group on ICT

21 January 2018

Page 2: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Based on the key

findings

of ESCAP’s

analytical research

Page 3: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Message #1

Disaster risk is outpacing resilience.

Page 4: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Human cost significant, while

economic cost rising

Asia-Pacific:

Human cost of natural disasters, 1970–2016

• 2 million lives lost (56% of global

fatalities)

• 88 % of people affected in the world

Earthquake/ Tsunami

45%

Storm37%

Flood10%

Others8%

Asia-Pacific

2,038,976

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

1.4%

Asia and the Pacific Rest of the World

Estimated damage, as % of GDP,

is rising in the Asia-Pacific region

Economic cost: Asia-Pacific has lost $1.3 trillion due to natural disasters (1970-2016)

Page 5: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Annual Average Losses in Asia-Pacific

Source: ESCAP based on GAR 2017 AAL database

Page 6: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Message #2

Hazards are intensifying with

transboundary geographical shifts.

Page 7: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Transboundary flooding (Scenarios 2010 and 2030)

$34.7B

$16.5B

$6.3B

Ganges-Bramaputra-MeghnaBangladesh, Bhutan, China and India

$5.2B

IndusChina, Pakistan and India

$1B

$1.5B

MekongCambodia, China, Lao PDR,

Myanmar, Thailand and Viet

Nam

$0.9B

$1B$1.9B

AmurChina and Russian Federation

$0.9B

$1B$1.5B

A substantial increase in

flood losses under both

moderate and severe

climate scenarios.

China, India, Bangladesh

and Pakistan will

experience two to three

times more in flood losses

The transboundary flood

losses will range from 1.2

to 6 times more in the

major river-basins

Page 8: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Tropical cyclones will have

shorter return periods with

increasing storm surges and wind

speeds.

In the Pacific basin, the track of

tropical cyclones may shift

eastward or northward.

Three times increase in the

number of people and economic

assets exposed

Tropical cyclone –

increasing complexity

Page 9: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Message #3

Critical Infrastructure including ICT @

risk with rapid urbanization

Page 10: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

As Asia-Pacific urbanizes, risk accumulates

2015-2030 - In the ‘Extreme’ risk areas,

the population to grow more than 50 per cent in 26

cities,35-50 per cent in 72 cities

• 170 Cities in extreme risk

• 314 cities in high risk

• 154 in medium

Page 11: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

ICT transmission

networks in

earthquake prone

areas

ICT infrastructure at transboundary seismic risk

Page 12: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Message #4

Damage to ICT infrastructure amplifies overall

disaster impacts because sectors are

interconnected

Page 13: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

ICT infrastructure is becoming interconnected with many economic and social sectors

Source: Haidine, A., Hassani, SE., Hannani, AE. (2016). The Role of Communication Technologies in Building Future Smart Cities

Page 14: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Message #5

Making Infrastructure Resilient

- Steps for Policy Response

Page 15: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Three key steps…:

1. Identify critical infrastructure sectors @ risk including

ICT;

2. Identify inter-linkages and interdependencies among

ICT and critical sectors to prioritize res;

3. Put in place “hard” (built environment) and “soft”

(land use plan, building codes) resiliency.

Page 16: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

• Institutional and administrative framework

• Financing and resources

• Multi-hazard-risk assessment for ICT sector – know your risk

• Infrastructure protection, upgrading and resilience

• Protecting vital ICT infrastructure will help protect education

and health facilities

• Building regulations and land use planning

• Training, education and public awareness

• Environmental protection and strengthening ecosystems

• Effective preparedness, early warning and responses

• Recovery and rebuilding communities

Ten essentials for making cities disaster

resilient

UNISDR Global Partnership Programme“Building Resilient Cities – My city is getting ready

Page 17: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

The risk management investments have been found to

be more cost-effective when targeted to critical

infrastructure

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Coverage of mitigation (percentage)

Benefit/Cost

• Benefits/costs more attractive if 20 percent coverage of

mitigation cost is attributed to building resilience to the critical

infrastructure

• investment in building resilient infrastructure save future

investments in recovery and retrofitting

Page 18: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Message #6

Building climate resilient infrastructure

using ICT

Page 19: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

ICT innovations can assist on weather & climate risk

information to mitigate droughts and floods

The processing power of computers handles more extensive data gathering through weather

and environmental sensors connected to telecommunication networks

ICT being used in dissemination of weather information via mobile phones to users and

communities, including remote farmers and fishermen.

Page 20: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

List of sectors in which climate change should already be taken into account due to

their investment time scales and exposure to climate conditions

Sector Time scale (year) Exposure

Water infrastructure (e.g., dams reservoirs) 30-200 +++

Land-use planning (e.g., in flood plain or coastal areas) >100 +++

Coastline and flood defenses (e.g., dikes, sea walls) >50 +++

Building and housing (e.g., insulation, windows) 30-150 ++

Transportation, ICT infrastructure (e.g., port, bridges) 30-200 +

Urbanism (e.g., urban density, parks) >100 +

Energy production (e.g., nuclear plant cooling system) 20-70 +

Source : Hallegatte, S. et al. (2010)

Page 21: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Message #7

Policies, actions and tools for resilience

reinforce sustainable development

SDG 1.5

Resilience of the poor

SDG 11.5

Reduce disaster deaths and affected

SDG 11.b

Urban resilience

SDG 13.1

Resilience to CC and disasters

SDG 2.4

Resilience agriculture

SDG 16.1

Reduce all forms of violence

Page 22: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Global

development

frameworks

Sendai

Framework

for DRR

2030 Agenda

for

Sustainable

Development

Paris

Agreement

on Climate

Change

Agenda for

Humanity

New Urban

Agenda

Addis Ababa

Action

Agenda

Resilience is

a common

thread

Opportunity to

get it right

Page 23: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Call for action at

regional level

Regional early

warning

systems

Sharing data

and knowledge

Building

regional

capacity

Thematic Issue

Disaster Risk

Reduction and

Resilience

Page 24: Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical ... Disaster R… · Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Critical Infrastructure Development and 2030 ... • Protecting vital

Thank you!

For more information:

Sanjay Srivastava

Chief, Disaster Risk Reduction

ESCAP

[email protected]