22
1 Olivier Zieschank, Economist International Textile Manufacturers Federation (ITMF) [email protected] «Mapping the Textile IndustryDestination Africa November 11/12, 2017 Cairo 12.11.2017 1

Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

1

Olivier Zieschank, EconomistInternational Textile Manufacturers Federation (ITMF)

[email protected]

«Mapping the Textile Industry”

Destination AfricaNovember 11/12, 2017

Cairo

12.11.2017 1

Page 2: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

Contents

2

World textile/apparel industry

New disruptive technologies

Geographical distribution of the industry

Implications for the global textile industry

Page 3: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

3

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

Apparel sales will grow strongest in Asia and the Middle East

Situation & outlook for the global textile/apparel industry for manufacturing

Page 4: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

4

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

Faster

Less labor-intensiveLess energy-

intensive

Less water-intensive

High demand for ever more automated and ever more energy- and water-efficient textile machines

0.000.501.001.502.002.503.003.504.00

2.903.003.103.203.303.403.503.603.70

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

kWh

per k

g of

yarn

(rot

or-s

pinn

ing)

kWh

per k

g of

yarn

(rin

g-sp

inni

ng)

Energy consumption in spinning

(average of countries)

Ring-spinning, lhs Open-end spinning, rhs

Innovation in textile manufacturing

Page 5: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

5

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

Industrial trends

Mass customization Industry 4.0

Environmental sustainability Infrastructure projects

Page 6: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

6

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

Where are currently the areas of investments in textile manufacturing?

Page 7: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

7

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

Spinning MachinesTexturing Machines Weaving Machines

Circular Knitting MachinesFlat Knitting Machines

Finishing Machines

Global Shipments of New Textile Machinery (2007-2016)

Page 8: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

units per region

8

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

12.8

8.6

7.2

12.5

14.3

10.5

11.6

9.89.0

7.9

12.0

8.3

7.0

11.9

13.5

9.9

10.7

8.98.3

7.3

.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

mill

ion

spin

dles

World Asia & Oceania Europe, Other Africa

America, North America, South Europe, West Europe, East

Last year world growth: -12%

1. Shipments - Short-staple Spindles

Turkey

Page 9: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

9

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

1. Shipments - Short-staple Spindles

units per country in Asia & Oceania

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

China Rest of world

Chinese investments increased last year by : +27%

+ 27%

Page 10: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

10

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

1. Shipments - Short-staple Spindles

The biggest investors in 2016

ChinaIndia

BangladeshVietnam

Turkey

Pakistan

mill

ion

spin

dles

relative size = number of units per country

Page 11: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

1. Shipments - Short-staple Spindles

.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

China India

.0

.2

.4

.6

.8

1.0

1.2

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Pakistan Turkey Vietnam Bangladesh

mill

ion

spin

dles

mill

ion

spin

dles

Year Algeria Egypt Morocco Zimbabwe Africa World2015 8736 42432 6480 2592 60240 9'042'9682016 79968 13440 93408 7'882'352

Africa’s position relative to world shipments (units)

11

Page 12: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

2. Shipments - Open-end Rotors

ChinaIndia

ThailandVietnam

Turkey

Pakistan

relative size = number of units per country

Year Algeria SouthAfrica

Ethiopia Burkina Faso

Djibouti Africa World

2015 568 1120 1688 383'3442016 2700 772 960 402 4834 634'062

Africa’s position relative to world shipments (units)

12

thou

sand

s spi

ndle

s

634.1582.7

.0

100.0

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

thou

sand

s

World Asia & Oceania Europe, Other

America, North America, South Europe, West

Europe, East Africa

Page 13: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

3. Shipments - Texturing spindles

The biggest investors in 2016China

India

Chinese TaipeiJapan

Turkey

Indonesia

relative size = number of units per country

Year Egypt Central African

Republic

Algeria Nigeria South Africa Tanzania Africa World

2015 6960 8840 960 2880 720 21320 323'2842016 4560 2160 240 1200 1440 12000 289'482

Africa’s position relative to world shipments (units)

13

thou

sand

s spi

ndle

s

289.5

235.7

.0100.0200.0300.0400.0500.0600.0700.0800.0900.0

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

thou

sand

s

World Asia & Oceania Europe, Other

Africa America, South America, North

Europe, East Europe, West

Page 14: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

4. Shipments - Shuttel-less loomsThe biggest investors in 2016

ChinaIndia

Bangladesh

Vietnam

Turkey

Pakistan

relative size = number of units per country

Year Egypt Ethiopia Algeria Angola Morocco Ghana Africa World2015 220 255 246 129 30 104 1061 81'5632016 118 45 2 83 479 84'698

Africa’s position relative to world shipments (units)

14

thou

sand

s

84.7

77.2

.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

thou

sand

s

World Asia & Oceania Europe, Other

Europe, West America, South Africa

Europe, East America, North

Page 15: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

5. Shipments – Circular knitting machines

The biggest investors in 2016 China

IndiaBangladesh

Vietnam

Turkey

Indonesia

relative size = number of units per country

Year Egypt Ethiopia SouthAfrica

Djibouti Mauritius Morocco Africa World

2015 375 133 146 25 18 23 847 27'4762016 325 54 21 118 47 41 696 27'980

Africa’s position relative to world shipments (units)

15

thou

sand

s spi

ndle

s

28.0

24.2

.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

thou

sand

s

World Asia & Oceania Europe, Other

America, South Europe, West Africa

America, North Europe, East

Page 16: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

6. Shipments – Electr. flat knitting machines

The biggest investors in 2016

China

India

Bangladesh

Vietnam

Turkey

Italy

relative size = number of units per country

Year Kenya Mauritius Madagascar Morocco Egypt SouthAfrica

Africa World

2015 202 170 85 64 83 17 759 70'1372016 296 90 94 63 10 46 655 139'636

Africa’s position relative to world shipments (units)

16

thou

sand

s spi

ndle

s

139.6

131.4

.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

thou

sand

s

World Asia & Oceania Europe, Other

Europe, West Europe, East America, South

Africa America, North

0

50'000

100'000

150'000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Chinese domestic shipments

Shipments from outside China

Shipments to China from abroad and from China

Page 17: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

7. Shipments – Finishing Machinery (2016, Fabrics (Woven & Knits) Continuous)

17

mac

hine

s

mac

hine

s

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016

Washing(stand- alone)

Bleaching-Line

Dyeing- Line(CPB)

Dyeing- Line(Hotflue)

Mercerizing-Line *

Relax Drying/Tumbling

Sanforizing/Compacting

Africa Asia Europe South America North America Not specified

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2015 2016

Stentering

Africa Asia

Europe South America

North America Not specified

Page 18: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

18

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

Implications for the global textile industry

Page 19: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

Textile Mill Consumption

• Advent of synthetic fibres– Wearing comfort improves– Functional clothing– Technical textiles– Easy to control quality and

quantity

• Cotton consumption stagnated in recent years due to both volatile and relative high cotton prices since2010.

• While on paper there are hugecotton stocks, in reality most of thecotton is not freely available (China).

19Source: PCI Fibres (2015)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Milli

on to

ns

Textile Mill Consumption, World

Wool Cotton Man-made fibres

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

Page 20: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

20

Fiber Production - World (in million tons)

2015 2020 ** %-changeCotton * 24.055 25.467 5.9Wool * 1.131 1.147 4.3Acrylic 1.705 1.701 -1.8Nylon (filament) 3.955 4.3 10.4Nylon (staple) 0.144 0.149 2.1Polypropylene (staple) 0.797 0.787 -2.0Polypropylene (filament) 2.735 2.844 3.7Polyester (staple) 15.868 17.262 11.3Polyester (filament) 32.162 40.064 32.2Cellulosic (staple) 4.935 5.736 20.3Cellulosic (filament) 0.39 0.421 9.1Total MMFTotal Fibre Production

62.69187.877

73.26499.878

21.517.3

* Consumption figures

** ForecastSource: PCI Fibres (2015)

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

Page 21: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

21

Summary- Growing Global Textile & Apparel Market- Share of e-Commerce is on the rise- New technologies allow mass customized production- Internet of Things (IoT) offers new potential to increase productivity- Sustainability is a trend and an integral part of business (CSR)- Infrastructure Projects (OROB-Initiative) – Creating new opportunities- Textile production concentrated in Asia (especially in China)- Shifts of textile production to other countries (Asia and partially Africa)- Production in other regions (Africa, Americas, Europe) has more potential

due to- Technologies (digital and 3-D printing, automation)- Fashion trends (fast fashion)- Reduced cost differentials- Sustainability (traceability, circular economy)

- Global fiber consumption is on the rise (GDP and population)- Man-made fibers (mmf) are benefiting most- Within mmf, polyester filaments are growing strongly- Wool has become a «luxury» fibre- Is cotton is becoming a «luxury» fiber as well?

Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications

Page 22: Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination Africadestination-africa.org/app/Mapping_the_Textile_Industry.pdf · «Mapping the Textile Industry ... Weaving Machines. Circular Knitting

22

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!

www.itmf.org