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InMobi's Mobile World Congress Thought Leadership Whitepaper Series: Defining the next phase of mobile adverting.
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www.inmobi.com
THOUGHTSERIES
LEADERSHIP
MOBILE WORLD CONGRESS
DEVELOPERS AS INNOVATORS
14 - 17 FEB, 2011
© 2011 InMobi. Developers as Innovators Page 1 www.inmobi.com
13 February, 2011
As 2010 came to a close, it was clear that the debate over if “this will be the year of mobile advertising” ended with it. Good riddance! Mobile advertising is clearly here to stay and it’s absolutely huge. Ad spending figures aside, consumers have announced their intentions by flocking to mobile, and advertisers have no choice but to follow.
While the journalists and bloggers busily draft lists and make predictions, at InMobi, we decided to take a slightly different approach. Rather than simply add to the noise, we took a step back and asked ourselves “what will define the next phase of mobile advertising?”
We chose to develop a series of whitepapers and offer in depth analysis, for a select number of topics. For the series we discuss three concepts that we think will define the next phase of mobile advertising. We invited partners in the industry to collaborate with us, and invite you to join the conversation on twitter@inmobi or on our blog at www.inmobi.com/inmobiblog.
James LambertiVP, Global Marketing and ResearchInMobi,
THOUGHT LEADERSHIP SERIES:DEFINING THE NEXT PHASE OF MOBILE ADVERTISING
InMobi is the world’s largest independent mobile advertising network. With offices on four continents we provide advertisers, publishers and developers with a uniquely global solution for advertising. Our network is growing fast and we now deliver the unprecedented ability to reach 194 Million consumers, in over 115 countries, through more than U.S. $31.5 Billion mobile ad impressions monthly. We recently were selected as a 2010 AlwaysOn Global 250 Company to Watch in Silicon Valley.
InMobi is venture-backed with marquee investors including: Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield & Byers and Sherpalo Ventures. The company has offices in London, San Francisco, Bangalore, Tokyo, and Singapore.
ABOUT INMOBI
DEVELOPERS ASINNOVATORS
MOBILE WORLD CONGRESS
© 2011 InMobi. Developers as Innovators Page 1 www.inmobi.com
13 February, 2011
As 2010 came to a close, it was clear that the debate over if “this will be the year of mobile advertising” ended with it. Good riddance! Mobile advertising is clearly here to stay and it’s absolutely huge. Ad spending figures aside, consumers have announced their intentions by flocking to mobile, and advertisers have no choice but to follow.
While the journalists and bloggers busily draft lists and make predictions, at InMobi, we decided to take a slightly different approach. Rather than simply add to the noise, we took a step back and asked ourselves “what will define the next phase of mobile advertising?”
We chose to develop a series of whitepapers and offer in depth analysis, for a select number of topics. For the series we discuss three concepts that we think will define the next phase of mobile advertising. We invited partners in the industry to collaborate with us, and invite you to join the conversation on twitter@inmobi or on our blog at www.inmobi.com/inmobiblog.
James LambertiVP, Global Marketing and ResearchInMobi,
THOUGHT LEADERSHIP SERIES:DEFINING THE NEXT PHASE OF MOBILE ADVERTISING
InMobi is the world’s largest independent mobile advertising network. With offices on four continents we provide advertisers, publishers and developers with a uniquely global solution for advertising. Our network is growing fast and we now deliver the unprecedented ability to reach 194 Million consumers, in over 115 countries, through more than U.S. $31.5 Billion mobile ad impressions monthly. We recently were selected as a 2010 AlwaysOn Global 250 Company to Watch in Silicon Valley.
InMobi is venture-backed with marquee investors including: Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield & Byers and Sherpalo Ventures. The company has offices in London, San Francisco, Bangalore, Tokyo, and Singapore.
ABOUT INMOBI
DEVELOPERS ASINNOVATORS
MOBILE WORLD CONGRESS
© 2011 InMobi. Developers as Innovators www.inmobi.com
The outcome is that developers will drive innovation in mobile advertising. They have billions to gain, nothing to hold them back, and are in control of their own destiny. This last point leads to our next trend.
FIGURE 1. BIGGER THAN MUSIC: ITUNES MUSIC VS. APPS GROWTHSAPPLE’S CUMULATIVE PAYMENTS TO ITUNES SUPPLIERS BY MEDIUM
Payments to record labels
Source: Asymco.com, Jan 2011
34 months 31 months
Payments to Developers
$12,000m
$10,000m
$8,000m
$6,000m
$4,000m
$2,000m
$0mJun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10
DEVELOPERS AS INNOVATORSWith the first decade of mobile advertising now behind us, developers can at best be described as pawns in another man’s game (Steve Jobs?) or worse, completely marginalized by monolithic telco incumbents. In this next phase of mobile advertising, developers will become the primary focus. The industry that once sought to manipulate and control them, will now find it essential to cater to their needs. The developer community will be a significant force in innovation and wealth creation in the mobile industry for 2011 and beyond.
TREND #1: (LACK OF) INNOVATOR’S DILEMMAConsumers are way ahead of the advertising industry when it comes to mobile technology. In a world where the majority of media consumption among smart device owners is now mobile, ad spending should be much higher than the 1% or 2% we see today. The reason we see disparity in consumer behavior relative to ad spend is the result of a fixed web innovator’s dilemma. For publishers and advertisers in developed markets, there is simply nothing forcing advertisers to change. Consumers can be reached in many ways at scale and the existing media industry has only recently become comfortable with fixed web. Under these conditions, no one should expect a rapid shift to mobile advertising among existing advertisers.
Developers are different. They are 100% committed to mobile, have no preconceived notions about advertising, have substantial technical and analytical prowess, and collectively have a product or service desired by hundreds of millions of consumers globally. As Figure 1 below indicates, mobile apps are already a U.S. $2 Billion business for iTunes alone and growing faster than payments to record labels. Figure 2 shows the wealth creation in advertising occuring also.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Jul -10 Dec -10
Europe
USA
FIGURE 2. GAINING SHARE: IN APPAD IMPRESSION GROWTH
Source: InMobi Network, Jan 2011
Page 2
DEVELOPERS ASINNOVATORS
MOBILE WORLD CONGRESS
© 2011 InMobi. Developers as Innovators www.inmobi.com
TREND #2: THE MOBILE ECOSYSTEM’S BULLSEYEUsing an influencer grid (see below,) it’s easy to see why innovation will come from developers. The grid is organized into seven mobile ecosystem segments going down the left side. Across the top, we have key areas of the mobile advertising ecosystem. In the cross sections we have defined three states: A notation of control, influence, or no influence.
Developers are the only segment of the mobile ecosystem that have influence or control in every dimension. Furthermore, in the next phase of mobile advertising the ad impressions controlled by developers will continue to grow, this will in turn push an ever increasing share of data and ad spend into the developer segment. Developers will find themselves a highly sought after group given their pivotal role in the mobile ecosystem.
Manufacturers
Publishers
Carriers
Developers
Ad Networks
Ad Agencies
Brands
SegmentAd
Impressions
Targeting
DataTechnology
Reporting
& Analytics
Ad
Spend
NI
C
C
C
NI
NI
NI
I
I
I
I
I
NI
NI
C
NI
NI
C
C
NI
NI
NI
I
NI
I
I
NI
NI
NI
NI
NI
C
NI
C
C
FIGURE 3. THE MOBILE ADVERTISING ECOSYSTEM: DEVELOPERS IN CONTROL
C = Control: ecosystem player has direct control of this aspect of mobile advertisingI = Influence: Ecosystem player influence this aspect of mobile advertising
NI = No Influence: Ecosystem layer has no ability to influence this
Page 3
Developers control or influence all areas of the mobile advertising ecosystem
DEVELOPERS ASINNOVATORS
MOBILE WORLD CONGRESS
© 2011 InMobi. Developers as Innovators www.inmobi.com
TREND #2: THE MOBILE ECOSYSTEM’S BULLSEYEUsing an influencer grid (see below,) it’s easy to see why innovation will come from developers. The grid is organized into seven mobile ecosystem segments going down the left side. Across the top, we have key areas of the mobile advertising ecosystem. In the cross sections we have defined three states: A notation of control, influence, or no influence.
Developers are the only segment of the mobile ecosystem that have influence or control in every dimension. Furthermore, in the next phase of mobile advertising the ad impressions controlled by developers will continue to grow, this will in turn push an ever increasing share of data and ad spend into the developer segment. Developers will find themselves a highly sought after group given their pivotal role in the mobile ecosystem.
Manufacturers
Publishers
Carriers
Developers
Ad Networks
Ad Agencies
Brands
SegmentAd
Impressions
Targeting
DataTechnology
Reporting
& Analytics
Ad
Spend
NI
C
C
C
NI
NI
NI
I
I
I
I
I
NI
NI
C
NI
NI
C
C
NI
NI
NI
I
NI
I
I
NI
NI
NI
NI
NI
C
NI
C
C
FIGURE 3. THE MOBILE ADVERTISING ECOSYSTEM: DEVELOPERS IN CONTROL
C = Control: ecosystem player has direct control of this aspect of mobile advertisingI = Influence: Ecosystem player influence this aspect of mobile advertising
NI = No Influence: Ecosystem layer has no ability to influence this
Page 3
Developers control or influence all areas of the mobile advertising ecosystem
DEVELOPERS ASINNOVATORS
MOBILE WORLD CONGRESS
© 2011 InMobi. Developers as Innovators www.inmobi.com
TREND #3: TRULY GLOBALAnother critical dimension to consider is the global nature of developers. Unlike the rest of the media community, geography is irrelevant. Developers will chase a download frenzy in Norway just as happily and easily as one in Thailand. Figure 4 shows just how global the mobile advertising app ecosystem is with the majority of iOS inventory outside the US and Android showing the same trend.
In this new, truly flat world, borders don’t matter. Developers will find ways to innovate in mobile advertising that we’ve yet to even consider. “Our experience on the Papaya network is that mobile advertising plays a key role in revenue generation across all geographical demographics, whether it be the emerging markets, U.S. or Europe,” says Paul Chen, Director of Business Development at PapayaMobile.
Paul Chen adds, “As developers continue to find the most effective advertising solutions in different locations around the world, they will drive innovation for specific advertising mediums in an effort to achieve maximum ad revenue in those geographical areas.”
Region October Impressions Pt Chg
Asia 1,081,388,223 +20.9North America 1,066,360,665 -32.4
Europe 989,212,208 +4.7Middle East 177,921,371 +4.2
Africa 15,903,587 +0.2Others 85,868,084 +2.5
Region Pt Chg
North America 601,994,209 -37.0Europe 320,438,296 +19.1Asia 219,570,270 +16.3
Middle East 6,469,837 +0.5Africa 3,667,987 +0.2Others 14,976,589 +1.0
October Impressions
32%
31%
29%
5%
0% 3%
Asia
North America
Europe
Middle East
Africa
Others
52%
27%
19%
1%.5% 1%
North America
Europe
Asia
Middle East
Africa
Others
FIGURE 4. A WORLD OF OPPORTUNITY: iOS AND ANDROID SHARE BY REGIONiOS AND ANDROID BY REGION
Page 4
Source: InMobi Network, Jan 2011Source: InMobi Network, Jan 2011
DEVELOPERS ASINNOVATORS
MOBILE WORLD CONGRESS
© 2011 InMobi. Developers as Innovators www.inmobi.com
TREND #4: DEVELOPERS ARE SAVVY BUSINESS PEOPLEMobile gaming is great example of evolved business models emerging from the developer community. It is a highly competitive industry and the competition continues to increase. Given this, dynamic developers cannot expect to create a successful, well monetizable game without proper business planning. Developers have taken note. They are increasingly becoming more business savvy and understand the value in the implementation of effective monetization strategies.
As an example PapayaMobile, Android’s largest social gaming platform, has continuously evolved the monetization solutions they provide to developers. “In game banner ads used to be the status quo for monetizing freemium games. But as developers have become more attuned with other monetization and business solutions, PapayaMobile now must offer tools for wall advertisements, in-app microtransactions, support for various billing solution, and others,” says Paul Chen.
CONCLUSIONDevelopers are no longer an interesting byline of the mobile ecosystem. They are global, independent, innovative, and savvy technicians and business people. The rest of us will end up following their lead in the next phase of mobile advertising as a result.
AuthorsJames Lamberti, InMobiContributions from Paul Chen, Papaya Mobile
“Competition is tough and developers are beginning to realize that a business mentality is needed to evaluate which solutions will most effectively sustain and grow their revenue. From our perspective, we expect continued maturity of the various monetization solutions in the market, with offer, banner, and brand advertisements generating 30-40% of revenues going forward and microtransactions accounting for the rest.” Paul Chen, PapayaMobile
ABOUT PAPAYAMOBILE:PapayaMobile is an open, mobile social network for Android focused on casual gaming and virtual currency. Papaya offers developers a fast and easy way to reach more than three million users worldwide and make more money instantly. Android users love Papaya because they can play multiple games and get a complete social networking experience all in one, easy to use app. Founded in 2008 by Si Shen and Wenjie Qian, Papaya is headquartered in Beijing and has an office in Menlo Park, Calif. For more information, please visit: http://www.papayamobile.com/.
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DEVELOPERS ASINNOVATORS
MOBILE WORLD CONGRESS