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MozambiqueTANZANIA
MALAWI
ZAMBIA
SWAZILAND
ZIMBABWE
SOUTHAFRICA
Tete
Niassa
Gaza
Sofala
Zambezia
Man
ica
Nampula
Inhambane
Cabo Delgado
Maputo
2
Agenda
Why Invest in Agriculture in Mozambique
Agribusiness Strategy and Corridor Attractiveness
Agribusiness Opportunities in Mozambique
3
Mozambique at a Glance
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, September 2011; World Bank
Tete
Niassa
Gaza
Sofala
Zambezia
Manica
Nampula
Inhambane
Cabo Delgado
Maputo
Mozambique is a stable, high economic growth country with substantial agricultural potential
Demographics (2011)Demographics (2011)
Population: 23.9 million Population Growth (5 Year CAGR): 2.4% Capital: Maputo National Language: Portuguese Business Languages: Portuguese & English
Population: 23.9 million Population Growth (5 Year CAGR): 2.4% Capital: Maputo National Language: Portuguese Business Languages: Portuguese & English
Land and ClimateLand and Climate
Area: 800,000 km2 (~80 million ha) Arable Land: 36 million hectares Climate: Tropical to Sub-Tropical
Area: 800,000 km2 (~80 million ha) Arable Land: 36 million hectares Climate: Tropical to Sub-Tropical
Key Economic Indicators (2011)Key Economic Indicators (2011)
Currency: Metical, Abbreviation: MZN GDP: USD 12.8B GDP per Capita: USD 535 Projected Annual GDP Growth: almost 8%
per year average until 2015 Agriculture Contribution to GDP: 32%
Currency: Metical, Abbreviation: MZN GDP: USD 12.8B GDP per Capita: USD 535 Projected Annual GDP Growth: almost 8%
per year average until 2015 Agriculture Contribution to GDP: 32%
4
Mozambique: A Nation of Potential
Significant private sector investments
Major infrastructure investments
Numerous innovative public-private partnerships
Agricultural development seen as critical to country’s development, with activities across sectors focused on 6 agriculturally attractive corridors
Government business incentive programs Specific organizations set up to organize and assist investors
36 million ha of arable land, mostly unutilized Tropical to sub-tropical climate with fertile soil and ample
rainfall Tremendous irrigation potential from major rivers
Strong and growing economy
Reliance on imports: Large import substitution opportunity
Coastal position: Access to international and regional markets
The country’s potential can be captured in four key areas
Enabling Environmen
t for Investments
Government
Commitment to Market-
Driven Growth
Strong Market
Dynamics
Excellent Agro-
Ecological Conditions
5
Excellent Conditions for Agriculture
High Agricultural
Potential
EXTENSIVE WATERWAYS
YEAR-ROUND PRODUCTION POTENTIAL
10 DISTINCT AGRO-CLIMATIC ZONES
VAST UNUTILIZED
ARABLE LAND
36.0 5.4
85.0%
15.0%
UnutilizedUtilized
30.6
Arable Land
Land Suitability
He
cta
res
Suitable for rainfall agriculture
Moderately suitable for rainfall agriculture
Utilization of Arable Land
Major rivers such as Zambezi, Limpopo, Save, and other tertiary rivers offer tremendous irrigation potential
Tropical climates offer potential for year-round, high yield crop production
Mozambique boasts ideal growing conditions – plentiful water supply combined with diverse micro-climates support a broad range of agricultural commodities
Source: Ministry of Agriculture; World Bank
6
Diverse Agro-Ecological Zones
There are 10 distinct agro-ecological zones in Mozambique offering potential for a wide variety of crops to be grown
Main Agro-Ecological Regions in Mozambique
Source: Ministry of Agriculture; World Bank, IFAD
Region Part of Mozambique Ag. Commodities Produced
R1Inland Maputo and south Gaza
Maize, cowpea, groundnut, cassava, sweet potato, banana
R2Coastal region south of the Sabi (Save) River
Maize, sugar, cowpea, sweet potato, groundnut, cassava
R3Center and north of Gaza, and west Inhambane
Cattle, goats, rice
R4Medium altitudes of central Maputo
Maize, sorghum, cassava, cowpea
R5Low altitudes of Sofala and Zambezia
Rice, cotton, cashew
R6Semi-arid region of Zambezi Valley and Southern Tete
Sorghum, millet, sugar, rice
R7Medium altitudes of Zambezia, Nampula, Tete, Niassa, and Cabo Delgado
Maize, soybean, sorghum, cassava, cowpeas, groundnuts, rice, sesame
R8Coastal litoral of Zambezia, Niassa, and Manica
Banana, cassava, millet, rice, cashew
R9North interior of Cabo Delgado
Maize, sorghum, cowpeas, cassava, sesame
R10High altitudes of Zambezia, Niassa, and Manica
Soybean, maize, common beans, potatoes, rice
R8
R8
R8
R7
R7
R7R7
R7
R10
R10
R10
R9
R6
R6
R6
R4
R5
R5
R10
R1
R2R3
7
Strong and Growing Economy
Note: 1) Growth rates are based on nominal pricesSource: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, September 2011; World Bank; The Economist Intelligence Unit; National Institute of Statistics
The Mozambican economy has displayed strong growth and is expected to continue growing at one of the fastest rates in the world
US
D B
GDP Trend (2000 to 2015 est.)1
2015 est.
17.4
2010
9.6
45%
32%
23%
2005
6.6
48%27%25%
2000
4.2
51%24%25%
CAGR
Estimated CAGR
7.7%
Ethiopia
8.1%
India
8.2%
China
9.5%
MozambiqueY
ear
ove
r Y
ear
Gro
wth
World's Fastest Growing Economies (2011 to 2015 est.)
+8%
+8%
Services
Agriculture
Industry
8
Location with Optimal Market Access
Mediterranean
China/ India
Middle East
Neighboring Countries
Mozambique: Proximity to High Opportunity Markets
Natural gateway to the Middle East, Mediterranean, and Asia
Bordering regional markets like South Africa, Zimbabwe, and Malawi
Port upgrades at Nacala and Beira will further trade opportunities
Natural gateway to the Middle East, Mediterranean, and Asia
Bordering regional markets like South Africa, Zimbabwe, and Malawi
Port upgrades at Nacala and Beira will further trade opportunities
Mozambique has an advantageous geographic positioning, providing an ideal gateway to both international and regional markets
9
Southern African Development Community Members
ZimbabweNamibia
South Africa
Tanzania
Democratic Republic of the Congo
Angola
MadagascarBotswana
Zambia
SwazilandLesotho
Malawi
Mozambique
Mauritius
Seychelles
SADC Trade AgreementsSADC Trade Agreements
The SADC trade agreements aim to: Eliminate barriers to intra-SADC trade Eliminate import duties based on a phased
approach Eliminate all export duties Eliminate non-tariff barriers Apply no new quantitative import restrictions Eliminate quantitative export restrictions
The SADC trade agreements aim to: Eliminate barriers to intra-SADC trade Eliminate import duties based on a phased
approach Eliminate all export duties Eliminate non-tariff barriers Apply no new quantitative import restrictions Eliminate quantitative export restrictions
Under SADC trade agreements, Mozambique aims to have access to barrier-free trade with other member
states
Note: 1) Southern African Development Community; 2) Trade balance calculated as total value of imports less total value of exports Source: SADC; International Trade Center
Trade Opportunity Within SADCTrade Opportunity Within SADC
2008
3.2
2011
3.4
2010
2.1
2009
1.3
US
D B
Balance of Trade Value for Agricultural Products in SADC Region1
Trade Potential as a SADC1 Member
As a member of the Southern African Development Community, Mozambique has access to an agricultural market worth over USD 3B
10
Government Support
Agricultural transformation is a priority within the highest levels of government and investors are offered attractive incentives and support
FOCUS ON
AGRICULTURE
FOCUS ON
AGRICULTUREINVESTMENT
INCENTIVES
INVESTMENT
INCENTIVESINSTITUTIONAL
SUPPORT
INSTITUTIONAL
SUPPORT
President Guebuza is a co-founder and champion of Grow Africa1
Agricultural growth is a high priority for the government to:
– Enhance employment and income potential
– Enhance food security 10-Year Strategic Plan
(PEDSA) for agricultural sector development in place
– Focused on six growth corridors
Exemptions on equipment importation duties
Real property transfer tax reductions
Reduction in corporate income taxes:– Agriculture corporate
income tax generally 10% – Effective tax rate can be
2% until 2015 and 5% until 2025
Low cost land– 50 year lease with 49 year
potential extension of land for ~USD 1/ year/ hectare
Agencies dedicated to facilitating investment
– The Investment Promotion Agency (CPI) and Centre for Promotion of Agriculture (CEPAGRI) promote and support agricultural investment opportunities
– GAZEDA dedicated to the Nacala Economic Zone
Some corridors also have organizations focused on developing and coordinating investments
Note: 1) Grow Africa is a series of conferences and interactions that connect the private sector and governments, focusing on accelerating investmentsSource: Investment Promotion Agency Website
11
Growing Foreign Direct Investment
Mozambique has recently attracted many large private sector investments, ranging from the mining and natural gas sectors to agriculture
2011
2,100
2010
789
2009
893
2008
592
2007
427
US
D M
Foreign direct investment (FDI) in Mozambique grew nearly fivefold from 2007 to 2011
Aggregate FDI from 2007 to 2011 amounts to USD 4.8B
FDI is largely led by the expanding mining and natural gas sectors
Source: World Bank; Investment Promotion Agency; IMF
Sample of Large, Recent ProjectsSample of Large, Recent Projects
Vale: USD 6B coal mine Anadarko: Estimated USD 30B+ by 2017 Mozal JV: USD 2.5B aluminum project Green Resources: USD 2.2B eucalyptus
plantation and industrial infrastructure Matanuska: USD 60M invested to date
focused on bananas Olam: USD 50M+ investment in rice
Vale: USD 6B coal mine Anadarko: Estimated USD 30B+ by 2017 Mozal JV: USD 2.5B aluminum project Green Resources: USD 2.2B eucalyptus
plantation and industrial infrastructure Matanuska: USD 60M invested to date
focused on bananas Olam: USD 50M+ investment in rice
FDI Inflows (2007 to 2011)
Other Sectors2%
Transport and
Communication2%Agriculture
3%Financial
Activities6%
Extractive
Industries87%
FDI by Sector (2011)
Priority is being given to agriculture when attracting foreign
investors in the hope of improving productivity, reducing dependency
on imports, and helping cut food prices
12
Ongoing and Planned Infrastructure Projects
1516
14
13
17
11
12
10
62
54
3
87
1
9
Infrastructure – including road, rail, ports, airports, and
electricity generation – is under development;
providing better capacity for linking
agricultural products to markets
Infrastructure – including road, rail, ports, airports, and
electricity generation – is under development;
providing better capacity for linking
agricultural products to markets
Source: Banco Nacional de Investimento , Ministry of Energy, Ministry of Public Works
13
Innovative Agricultural Partnerships
Beira Agr. Growth Corridor (BAGC) Partnership
– Catalytic Fund of USD 20M in publicly-backed investment for startup agribusinesses
– First African country with a dedicated catalytic fund for agriculture AGRA + Standard Bank
– USD 25M loan guarantee facility GoM + World Bank
– USD 70M irrigation program (“Proirri”) USAID Agrifuturo
– Program to promote agribusiness Pro Savana
– Partnership between GOM, Japan and Brazil to develop agribusiness
Examples of Successful Public-Private Partnerships UnderwayExamples of Successful Public-Private Partnerships Underway
Innovative public-private partnerships to transform Mozambique’s agriculture are being implemented
14
Agenda
Why Invest in Agriculture in Mozambique
Agribusiness Strategy and Corridor Attractiveness
Agribusiness Opportunities in Mozambique
15
• Patient capital
• Skills and training
• Community support & engagement
• Human capital and capacity
• Expertise• Markets• Commercial
Financing
• Enabling environment
• Infrastructure• Research
PublicSector
PrivateSector
Development
PartnersMozambican
People
Aligning Efforts Across Stakeholders
The four stakeholder groups of the Public and Private sectors along with People and development Partners are key to developing Mozambique’s agriculture potential
16
Importance of Agriculture in Mozambique’s Strategy
Summary of the Strategic Plan for Agricultural Development (PEDSA), 2011 to 2020
Agriculture is a key priority for the Mozambican government for poverty reduction and attaining food security, as is detailed in the country’s ten-year strategy plan
Source: Ministry of Agriculture
Vision: Vision: An integrated, prosperous, competitive
and sustainable agriculture sector
6 corridors targeted to align efforts across public, private, and development sectors through:– Agricultural potential– Support services (research centers, educational institutions)– Connection to market (infrastructure)
Agricultural production and productivity to increase ability
to compete
1Infrastructure
and services for markets and
improved marketing
2Land, water, forest, and
wildlife resources used
sustainably
3
Agricultural institutions
strengthened
4
Four Discrete Pillars in Progress to Achieve Agricultural Vision
Mozambique plans to allocate 10 percent of its budget to agriculture by 2015, as resolved in the Maputo Declaration of 2003 by the African Union
Mozambique plans to allocate 10 percent of its budget to agriculture by 2015, as resolved in the Maputo Declaration of 2003 by the African Union
17
Agriculture Growth Corridors
Of Mozambique’s six agricultural corridors, Nacala, Zambezi Valley, and Beira corridors are being highlighted due to their high agricultural potential
Provinces within Beira, Nacala, and Zambezi Valley
Corridors1
NacalaNacala
BeiraBeira
Zambezi ValleyZambezi Valley
Pemba LichingaPemba Lichinga
MaputoMaputo
LimpopoLimpopo
Note: 1) Color coding represents approximate positioning of corridors; 2) Zambezi Valley Development Authority and Beira Agricultural Growth Corridor; 3) ProSAVANA in Nacala Corridor; 4) Nacala Economic Zone exists now with Beira Economic Zone plannedSource: PEDSA, Government and Expert Interviews
Six Corridors in Agricultural Strategy
Of the six corridors identified in
Mozambique’s strategy…
Of the six corridors identified in
Mozambique’s strategy…
…this action plan will focus on the following three
corridors
…this action plan will focus on the following three
corridors
Niassa
Gaza
Sofala
Zambezia
Manica
Nampula
Inhambane
Cabo Delgado
Maputo
Tete
Why These Three Corridors Have
Significant Potential Agricultural
opportunity due to soil and climate, while most of country’s water is here
Level of existing or planned infrastructure, including ports
Existing framework to attract / manage investments2
Alignment with other efforts3
Economic zones4
18
Nacala Agricultural Growth Corridor
Source: Ministry of Agriculture
The government has focused significant resources and business-friendly investment programs on the Nacala Corridor
Investments MadeInvestments MadeAttractiveness of NacalaAttractiveness of Nacala
Nacala Special
Economic Zone
Nacala Special Economic Zone provides 500 ha industrial free zone with no VAT and customs duties, as well as technical assistance
Nacala Port Potential
Upgrade of the deepest port on East African coast at Nacala
Mining USD 4.4B upgrade to
rail by Vale
Demand from Mining
The mining sector is increasing demand for agricultural products; currently imported from South Africa at high cost
Bananas Matanuska: USD 60M
invested to date focused on bananas
Forestry
Green Resources: USD 2.2B eucalyptus plantation and industrial infrastructure
Soybeans
Rei do Agro: Mozambican company investing USD 5M for soy and maize production
Land Mapping
The Pro Savannah project is mapping land potential
19
Zambezi Valley Corridor
Zambezi Valley has the greatest agricultural potential, with the highest concentration of the country’s water resources
Note:1) PROIRRI project is part of both the Beira and Nacala CorridorsSource: Zambezi Valley Development Agency
Investments MadeInvestments MadeAttractiveness of Zambezi ValleyAttractiveness of Zambezi Valley
Vast Water Reserves
80% of the country’s water reserves are found in the Zambezi Valley corridor
Agro-Processing
Chinese government USD 50M investment for cotton, maize, and rice processing facilities
Irrigation1
USD 70M World Bank PROIRRI irrigation project, mainly aimed at irrigation for rice
Port Infrastructure
Estimated USD 1B port investments by Rio Tinto
RiceOlam is investing USD
50M over the next 4 years
Broad Crop Variety
Diverse topography and good rainfall during cropping season provides perfect climate for a variety of crops
Large Local Demand
Local market potential as one of the most densely populated provinces
20
Beira Agricultural Growth Corridor
Investments MadeInvestments MadeAttractiveness of BeiraAttractiveness of Beira
Infrastructure and
Connectivity to Region
Well-developed infrastructure with road and rail network linking Zambia, Malawi, Zimbabwe and Mozambique to the port of Beira
Demand from Mining
Activities
A number of multi-billion dollar mining investments are going ahead, which will improve access to infrastructure in the region and boost local demand
Catalytic Fund
USD 20M for the BAGC Catalytic Fund
First catalytic fund dedicated to agriculture in Africa, which is already leading to a number of investments
Irrigation1
USD 70M World Bank PROIRRI irrigation project, mainly aimed at irrigation for rice
Beira PortUSD 67M from JICA and
EU for upgrades to the Port of Beira
Beira currently has the most developed infrastructure and linkages to neighboring countries
Note: 1) PROIRRI project is part of both the Beira and Nacala CorridorsSource: BAGC
21
Additional Growth Corridors
Pemba-LichingaPemba-Lichinga
The other corridors – Pemba-Lichinga, Limpopo, and Maputo – also present potential and additional value chains
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Expert interviews
LimpopoLimpopo MaputoMaputo
Attractiveness
Crop Potential
Higher altitudes inland are very well suited to crops such as soybeans
Significant investment underway to complete a road connecting Lichinga to Malema by 2014
Large tracts of available land provide easier expansion opportunities
Soybeans, maize, potatoes, wheat, beans, cotton, tobacco, poultry, and aquaculture
Attractiveness
Crop Potential
Well established irrigation infrastructure in Chókwè can facilitate production
Features technological support from the South Investigation Center based in Chókwè
Quality road infrastructure connects to Maputo
Rice, sugar, vegetables, livestock, and poultry
Attractiveness
Crop Potential
Proximity to Mozambique’s largest city and South Africa provide strong market potential
Most extensive infrastructure in both roads and port availability further facilitate market access
Rice, vegetables, fruits, livestock, and poultry
22
Agenda
Why Invest in Agriculture in Mozambique
Agribusiness Strategy and Corridor Attractiveness
Agribusiness Opportunities in Mozambique
23
Highlights of Highlights of OpportunitiesOpportunities
III
Soybeans Banana
For the sixteen prioritized commodities, additional information is included in differing levels of detail to supplement the investment cases distributed during the Forum
I
Rationale for Rationale for Investment Investment DescribedDescribed
Sugar Cane Poultry
II
Commodities Analyzed
Rice
Cashew
Cassava
Sesame
Maize Cotton GroundnutsVegetables
Fruit PulsesAquacultureForestry Livestock
Tea
24
Highlights of Highlights of OpportunitiesOpportunities
III
For the sixteen prioritized commodities, additional information is included in differing levels of detail to supplement the investment cases distributed during the Forum
Rationale for Rationale for Investment Investment DescribedDescribed
Sugar Cane Poultry
II
Commodities Analyzed
Cashew
Cassava Maize Cotton GroundnutsVegetables
Fruit PulsesAquacultureForestry Livestock
Tea
Soybeans Banana
I
Rice Sesame
25
There are business opportunities in several parts of the value chain as well as for an integrated producer
One of those opportunities is a medium-size milling facility, which requires investment of ~USD 5M
Would be supported by 3,000-5,000 smallholder farmers
There are business opportunities in several parts of the value chain as well as for an integrated producer
One of those opportunities is a medium-size milling facility, which requires investment of ~USD 5M
Would be supported by 3,000-5,000 smallholder farmers
Major gap exists between domestic production and demand Climate and soil are very well-suited to rice, with
opportunities for year-round production Significant investment is underway, which may dramatically
improve current infrastructure and raise rice yields
Major gap exists between domestic production and demand Climate and soil are very well-suited to rice, with
opportunities for year-round production Significant investment is underway, which may dramatically
improve current infrastructure and raise rice yields
MarketMarket
Investment OpportunitiesInvestment
Opportunities
Executive Summary
Rice
26
Production growth has not been able to overcome demand growth – keeping imports high
Source: IRRI, FAOSTATS, USDA
Growth PotentialGrowth Potential
MarketMarket
Mozambique has the 3rd highest rice consumption in SADC, but is mostly dependent on imported rice– Unlike neighbor countries, the share of
imports has not reduced over time and instead remains around ~60%
– Despite the significant growth potential for rice (Mozambique’s climate and soil are considered very well-suited to rice), domestic production has only grown at the same rate as imports
Without increased local production, this gap will only grow due to a projected 7% domestic demand increase per year
455239
+90%
20092000
0%
20112006 201020092005 20082007
80%
60%
40%
20%
2004
62%
9%
Consumption of Rice (in ‘000 tonnes)
Share of Imported Rice on Local Consumption
MalawiZambiaMozambique
Gap: Neighbor countries reduced
imports to ~10%
Gap: Neighbor countries reduced
imports to ~10%
Rice consumption has doubled over the past decade, but without significant reductions in rice importations
Rice – Market Analysis (1/2)
27
Note: 1) Areas non identified; 2) IRRI has three research and development regions in Mozambique: Maputo and Xai-Xai for irrigated conditions and Quelimane for rain fed condition. Source: Interviews, Africa Agriculture News, World Bank, OLAM, IRRI, Monitor Analysis
Ubunto: Rice production and processing facility in
Matutuine Partnership with the Libyan Investment Fund Processes 600 ton/ day and sells ~27,000 ton/
year
USD 50 M
~USD 33 M
N/A
Large, Recent InvestmentsLarge, Recent Investments
MarketMarket
NON-EXHAUSTIVENON-EXHAUSTIVE
OLAM: Rice production and processing facility in
Zambezia, expanded over the next 5 years Partnership with local producers, also used for
cotton
World Bank1: Investments plan to improve agriculture
infrastructure of over the next five years, specifically with irrigation development
~USD 70 M
International Rice Research Institute2: Present in Mozambique since 2006, focusing on rice
breeding, socio economic studies, crop production, productivity and private sector-village programs
Investment Expected
11
22
33
44
Niassa
Gaza
Sofala
Zambezia
Manica
Nampula
Inhambane
Cabo Delgado
Maputo
Tete
KeyGeographies
11
2244
44
44
>20%
>10%
>1%
~0%
> 30%
% National Production
Significant investment is underway by the government, private sector, and development partners to grow rice production
Rice – Market Analysis (2/2)
28
Note: 1) Inputs offered by the mill includes irrigation, selected seeds, fertilizers and chemicals; they are offered as a way to obtain a more homogeneous and high quality supply of paddies; 2) In South Africa, this percentage is ~9%. Source: Interviews, Agrifood (2005), Monitor Analysis
Investment Opportunity
Investment Opportunity
Value Chain AnalysisValue Chain Analysis
InfrastructureInfrastructure
Inputs MillingProduction
Seed Importer Research Center
No specific names
Current Situation
PotentialOpportunities
Players
Leasing of machines Irrigated farms
Typically integrated if larger player
Independent mills Integrated mills
OLAM Inácio de Souza Moçfer
Only 3% of small and medium-size rice farmers use improved seeds
Lower yields as farmers frequently are not leveraging optimal farming technique, including irrigation practices
~15% grains lost after harvest because of old machinery1
Capacity incompatible with expected raise of production
Several entry opportunities exist throughout the rice value chain
Rice – Investment Opportunities (1/3)
29
Note: 1) Potential irrigation to assist farmers not modeledSource: Interviews, Agrifood (2005), Monitor Analysis
Investment Opportunity
Investment Opportunity
Rice Mill FacilityRice Mill Facility
InfrastructureInfrastructure
Inputs MillingProduction
ILUSTRATIVEILUSTRATIVE
SmallholderFarm
Mills MarketRiceTraining1
High-Quality Paddy
“Invest ~USD 5 M in a Rice Mill to process rice in partnership with smallholders farmers”
Sourcing Model: 100% small/ medium size
farmers (training, seeds, credit)
Sourcing Model: 100% small/ medium size
farmers (training, seeds, credit)
11Processing: more
than 30,000 tonnes/ year
Processing: more than 30,000 tonnes/
year
22Targets: Domestic
consumers
Targets: Domestic
consumers
33Own Company
Partner/ Consumers
Legend: (Color of Pictures)
Seed Seller
Money
Selected Seeds
In the proposed investment, the mill assumes a central role in the rice value chain, including supporting famers to improve quality and yields
Rice – Investment Opportunities (2/3)
30
+ Irrigation, Training, Seeds
Rice Mill FacilityRice Mill FacilityPRELIMINARYPRELIMINARY
Expected Margins by Share of High-Quality Grain
(in %, 2012)Key-Financial Indicators
Investment Opportunity
Investment Opportunity
Farmers’ Yields: may vary from 2 ton/ ha (rain fed farm) to 4 ton/ ha (irrigated farm)
Number of smallholders supported: between 3,000 and 5,000 farms1
Price per kg: USD 1/ kg (whole grain), USD 0.75/ kg (broken) and USD 0.3/ kg (bran)
Expected margin: typically vary from 20% to 22%, but with potential to raise up to 25%
Investment estimated: acquisition of small mill may require investment of ~USD 5M2
Return expected: similar investments has reported IRR between 13% and 15%
Note: 1) Dependent of the extend of irrigation used; 2) Potential irrigation to assist farmers not modeledSource: Interviews, Monitor Analysis
40%
Average Practices
25%
22%
45%
30%
24%
20%
25%
35%
Improved
Practices
30%
35%
20%
Margin (Post-tax)
Broken Grain (%)
Whole Grain (%)
Improved farming techniques can help
achieve greater rice quality, helping push margins
towards 25%
Improved farming techniques can help
achieve greater rice quality, helping push margins
towards 25%
Investing in a rice mill in Mozambique is an attractive opportunity for investment, with significant margins and meaningful social impacts
Rice – Investment Opportunities (3/3)
31
There are business opportunities throughout much of the value chain, as well as for an integrated producer
A ~USD 4.5 M soy extraction & refining center was selected as an example, utilizing 3,500-4,000 hectares of soybean fields as inputs
~1,400 smallholder farmers included into the supply chain
There are business opportunities throughout much of the value chain, as well as for an integrated producer
A ~USD 4.5 M soy extraction & refining center was selected as an example, utilizing 3,500-4,000 hectares of soybean fields as inputs
~1,400 smallholder farmers included into the supply chain
Demand for soybeans is increasing due to the development of poultry and soy oil sectors
Downstream markets are highly dependent on imported inputs
High availability of natural resources may benefit expansion of soybeans crop
Demand for soybeans is increasing due to the development of poultry and soy oil sectors
Downstream markets are highly dependent on imported inputs
High availability of natural resources may benefit expansion of soybeans crop
MarketMarket
Investment OpportunitiesInvestment
Opportunities
Executive Summary
Soybeans
32
Poultry industry: Though soy is a small share of feed by volume, it represent almost half of costs
MarketMarket
Others
Costs26%
Feed74%
Costs for Chicken Producers in Mozambique
(2005)
37% of total costs (50% of feed costs) corresponds to soy
cake expenses
37% of total costs (50% of feed costs) corresponds to soy
cake expenses
Composition of Poultry Feed, Volume (2005)
Soy Cake
20%
Others
20%
Non-Maize
40%
Maize
60%
Feed
100%
1 kg Poultry Feed =
1 kg Poultry Feed =
Source: TechnoServe
Soy Cake: Strategic SegmentSoy Cake: Strategic Segment
Poultry’s consumption is growing throughout Southern Africa and is projected to continue expanding in Mozambique at 13% per year over the next decade
Government is actively encouraging growth of domestic soybean industry to substitute imported soy cake, which is a critical and expensive feed component for poultry
Importation of high-priced soy cake is driving up prices for domestic poultry, making competition with imported chicken difficult
– Leading component of domestic poultry cost is feed (~74%)
– Local production of soy cake should reduce costs, improving competitiveness of the poultry industry
Soy cake is a considerable cost for the poultry industry and could be a key driver of domestic production substitution of imported chicken
Soybeans – Market Analysis (1/2)
33
Geography: Historically, crude soy oil is imported and then processed in refineries for further sale
MarketMarket
Domestic soy oil market is nascent and lacks constant input supply, relying almost entirely on imports
However, interest is increasing as soy oil can attract a higher price point (18%) than vegetable oil blends, mainly made from palm oil (an inferior substitute)
When soy cake is separated for soy oil domestically, much of byproduct oil is not utilized, providing a market opportunity
This opportunity will only continue to expand as poultry demand, and consequently soy cake production, increases
Source: TechnoServe
Soy Oil: Potential to GrowSoy Oil: Potential to Grow
Soy Oil Market in Mozambique (2011)
North: feed manufactures
frequently waste soy oil by-product after
processing soy cake
North: feed manufactures
frequently waste soy oil by-product after
processing soy cake
North & Center: limited soy oil
processing, but growing interest
North & Center: limited soy oil
processing, but growing interest
South: more mature and largest soy oil market,
refineries import crude oil and refine oil for sale
South: more mature and largest soy oil market,
refineries import crude oil and refine oil for sale
North & Center: limited soy oil
processing, but growing interest
North & Center: limited soy oil
processing, but growing interest
Niassa
Gaza
Sofala
Zambezia
Manica
Nampula
Inhambane
Cabo Delgado
Maputo
Tete
Opportunity to refine “waste” byproduct oil from processing soy cake in North will continue to grow with expansion of soy industry
Soybeans – Market Analysis (2/2)
34
Investment Opportunity
Investment Opportunity
Source: Interviews, TechnoServe Analysis, Monitor Analysis
Value Chain AnalysisValue Chain Analysis
Infr
ast
ructu
reIn
frast
ructu
re
Soybean Input Supplier: Lack of availability of seed and inoculants
Soybean Farming: Insufficient soybean production exists within country to meet demand
Poultry: Opportunity to compete with imports to meet growing need of livestock farmers
Soybean Processing: Additional capacity required for expected growth in demandOil Refining: Current waste of oil byproduct by soy cake manufacturers
Soybean Storage: Insufficient warehouses and silos for storage of locally produced grains
Segment Current Situation Opportunity Players
Seed Importer Fertilizer Factory
Farm
Processing & Refining Facility
Feed Manufacturing
Silos Warehouses
Rei do Agro Pannar
N/A
Mafuia Oil Sanoil JAM
Novos Horizontes Abilios Atunes
N/A
There are opportunities in numerous parts of the value chain, as well as for an integrated producer
Soybeans – Investment Opportunities (1/3)
35
Soy Extraction & Refining CenterSoy Extraction & Refining Center
Source: Interviews, TechnoServe, Monitor Analysis
Investment Opportunity
Investment Opportunity
PRELIMINARYPRELIMINARY
InfrastructureInfrastructure
Inputs Production Process & Refining Demand
Soybeans
Soy
Cake
CrudeSoy Oil
RefinedSoy Oil
SmallholderFarm
Medium-SizeFarm
Processing
Oil Refining
LivestockFeed
Development
MarketSourcing Model:
20% from own farm and 80% from smallholders
(assistance for training, seed
selection, credit)
Sourcing Model: 20% from own farm
and 80% from smallholders
(assistance for training, seed
selection, credit)
11
Targets: Domestic
consumers
Targets: Domestic
consumers
Targets: Domestic
consumers
Targets: Domestic
consumers
44
Feed
Own Company
Partner/ Consumers
Legend: (Color of Pictures)
Invest ~USD 4.5 M in a Soy Extraction & Refining Center, with inputs and training to get new smallholder farmers into the supply chain to enhance supply
Processing Facility:
Capacity to process more than 9 M ton/
year of soybeans
Processing Facility:
Capacity to process more than 9 M ton/
year of soybeans
22
Products: Refined Soy Oil
& Soy Cake
Products: Refined Soy Oil
& Soy Cake
33
Soybeans – Investment Opportunities (2/3)
36
Soy Extraction & Refining CenterSoy Extraction & Refining Center
Note: 1) Dependent of the number of smallholders added by year; 2) Potential irrigation to assist farmers not modeledSource: Interviews, TechnoServe, Monitor Analysis
Investment Opportunity
Investment Opportunity
PRELIMINARYPRELIMINARY
4,9834,607
3,646
1,779
76
Year 5
27%
Year 4
29%
Year 3
22%
Year 2
10%
Year 1
-524%
EBITDA Margin
Revenue
Revenue & EBITDA Margin Expected
(in ‘000 USD and %, 2014-2018) Famers’ Yields: between 1.0 ton/ ha (rain
fed farm) and 3.0 ton/ ha (irrigated farm) Crop Sales Price: USD 0.39/ kg Number of smallholders: increase from
500 up to 1,600, with average land of 2 ha/ farm
Cost per hectare: between USD 320/ ha and USD 1,100/ ha1
Investment estimated: total CapEx of ~USD 4.5 M2, ~90% invested on the first two years
Return expected: similar investments has reported IRR up to 19%
Key-Financial Indicators
Invest in a soy extraction & refining center in Mozambique to achieve attractive margins and returns, with strong social impact
Soybeans – Investment Opportunities (3/3)
37
Value chain integration is the basis for an attractive investment prospect
Opportunity for an investment of $5–6M in a 300 hectares commercial banana plantation leveraging nearby producers to achieve scale at lower investment levels
Value chain integration is the basis for an attractive investment prospect
Opportunity for an investment of $5–6M in a 300 hectares commercial banana plantation leveraging nearby producers to achieve scale at lower investment levels
Opportunity to meaningfully increase Mozambique’s banana exports– Demand imbalances exist in the Middle East, the
Mediterranean, and to a lesser extent Southern Africa– Year-round, high-yield crop potential within
Mozambique provides additional export opportunities and improved margins
Potential for lower farm costs than other competitors
Opportunity to meaningfully increase Mozambique’s banana exports– Demand imbalances exist in the Middle East, the
Mediterranean, and to a lesser extent Southern Africa– Year-round, high-yield crop potential within
Mozambique provides additional export opportunities and improved margins
Potential for lower farm costs than other competitors
MarketMarket
Investment OpportunitiesInvestment
Opportunities
Executive Summary
Banana
38
Note: 1) Assuming direct shippingSource: FAOSTAT; Interviews with experts; TechnoServe, Abt, Monitor Analysis
Mozambique Competitive AdvantageMozambique Competitive Advantage
MarketMarket
+15%
+3%
+6%
Southern Asia
258
Middle East
550443
Mediterranean
1,600
9942009
2001
Ability to feed large demand imbalances in the Middle East, the Mediterranean, and to a lesser extent Southern Africa
– Demand imbalances have increased at different paces in these regions over the last years, with greatest growth in Europe
– Europe: Has competitive export tariff advantage for African countries over most of Latin America, (value of USD 3 per box)
– Middle East: Mozambique has 8 to 10 days1 vs. 20 days shipping transit time to Middle East when compared to Latin America and Philippines
– Mozambique’s lower farm to port costs than Philippines, coupled with Philippines production being diverted to China, has heightened opportunity in the Middle East
Banana Trade Balance(in ‘000 tonnes, 2001 – 2009)
$8.10$7.50
+8%
PhilippinesMozambique
Mozambique’s banana industry is well situated to benefit from both its geographical position as well as potential cost advantage
Farm to Port Costs(in USD)
CAGR
Banana – Market Analysis (1/2)
39
MarketMarket
Note: 1) Libombos Macadamia, Frutas Libombos, AAA Enterprises, Tropical Fruit and Rio VerdeSource: CEPAGRI; Interviews with experts; TechnoServe, Abt, Monitor Analysis
While companies in the South focus on internal markets and neighbor countries, companies in North focus on overseas markets
Matanuska: invested $60M to date to develop a 3,000 ha plantation in Nampula province
– At full production, Matanuska plans to ship 100 containers per week
Bananalândia: exports 40,000 tonnes (80% of total production) mainly for South Africa, Swaziland and Botswana
Conglomerate of 5 companies1: exported 35,000 tonnes per year and created 2,500 direct jobs
11
22
North: exporting bananas to mainly Middle East from
Nacala port
North: exporting bananas to mainly Middle East from
Nacala port
South: responsible to supply Maputo metropolitan area and
neighbor countries
South: responsible to supply Maputo metropolitan area and
neighbor countries
Niassa
Gaza
Sofala
Zambezia
Manica
Nampula
Inhambane
Cabo Delgado
Maputo
Tete11
22
Banana Market in Mozambique
3333
Main Companies
NON EXHAUSTIVENON EXHAUSTIVE
Banana – Market Analysis (2/2)
40
Cleaning &
Packaging
Agent Fees
Transport
Ripening19%
30%
38%
13%
Note: 1) Percent of value added in the value chainSource: GDS; Monitor Analysis
Investment Opportunity
Investment Opportunity
Farming Post-Harvest Handling Transport & Marketing
Value chain integration is the basis for an attractive investment prospect, with involvement from farm production through delivery
36%136%1 3%13%1 61%161%1
Transportation and Marketing Value Chain(% of total value added)
Transport cost is one of the main drivers of costs
– It constitutes almost 20% of the total farm-to-market value chain, thus being a key competitiveness driver for exports
Another important part of the value chain is the cleaning, packaging and ripening of bananas
– Usually small producers do not capture much of the potential value of their investments because they lack these facilities
Banana – Investment Opportunities (1/2)
41
Mid-Size BananaPlantation in Nampula
Mid-Size BananaPlantation in Nampula
Source: Interviews with experts; TechnoServe, Monitor Analysis
PRELIMINARYPRELIMINARY
Potential Margin per Yield
Investment: $5-6M in a 300 hectares commercial plantation
Yields: typical yields range from 36 tonnes/ha – 40 tonnes/ha, with more possible
Revenue: about $5.0M with potential to increase with higher yield
Net Income: about $1M per year with potential to increase with yield increase
Expected IRR: may vary from 15% - 17% with up to potentially 20%
Key-Financial Indicators
Investment Opportunity
Investment Opportunity
With yields above 40 tonnes / hectare, variable costs become
much lower, leading to even more attractive margins
With yields above 40 tonnes / hectare, variable costs become
much lower, leading to even more attractive margins
15%20%
44 tonnes
/ hectare
40 tonnes
/ hectare
36 tonnes
/ hectare
A mid-size commercial banana plantation could generate about ~$1 M in net income per year with potential margin increase as yields rise
Potential Margin Increase
Banana – Investment Opportunities (2/2)
42
Note: 1) Highest recorded pricesSource: TechnoServe; SNV; Expert Interviews; Monitor Analysis
Mozambique has ideal growing conditions for sesame, especially in the tropical and sub-tropical climates along the coast
Mozambique could export sesame to markets in the Middle East, Asia and Europe– More immediate opportunities are in export of sesame seed, while with increased
production processing in to sesame oil may become viable– Sesame is currently mostly exported to Asia and the Middle East with no processing– Opportunity for export of cleaned and de-hulled sesame seed to premium
confectionary market in Europe
22
11
Sesame Prices by End Use1 (USD/ metric ton, 2011)
1,5001,250
1,0501,000
Confectionary OrganicOil Tahini
Mozambique has the opportunity to build origin identity to satisfy niche markets for organic and fair trade sesame– As an emerging grower, the current
volumes grown could justify entering these niche markets for potentially higher margins
Sesame provides high income for farmers, with farmers capturing ~50% of FOB value
33
Confectionary and organic markets provide the highest levels of incomeConfectionary and organic markets provide the highest levels of income
44
Sesame is an emerging crop in Mozambique with high potential for higher valued exports such as the premium confectionary market ,and organic/ fair trade sesame
Sesame – Market Analysis MarketMarket
43
Highlights of Highlights of OpportunitiesOpportunities
III
Soybeans Banana
For the sixteen prioritized commodities, additional information is included in differing levels of detail to supplement the investment cases distributed during the Forum
I
Commodities Analyzed
Rice Sesame
Fruit PulsesAquacultureForestry Livestock
Rationale for Rationale for Investment Investment DescribedDescribed
Sugar Cane Poultry
II
Cashew
Cassava Maize Cotton GroundnutsVegetables
Tea
44
Note: 1) Agreement signed in 2011; SACU (Southern Africa Customs Union) is the group formed by Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, South Africa and Swaziland. Source: Balanço Anual do Açucar (2011)
More Competitive, Sugar Farmers Could Raise Production and Export More
With higher yields, Mozambique has produced and exported more sugar over the past 5 years
87828171656863
2015e
4.4
2012e
3.9
2011
3.4
2010
2.7
2009
2.3
2008
2.1
2007
2.0
Production (Mt)
Yield (ton/ ha)
Sugar Cane Production (real values and estimative)
Sugar Exports (in ‘000 tonnes)
195
111
+76%
20112007
Sugar Cane – Market Analysis
Domestic production has almost doubled over the last 5 years and is expected to keep growing in both yield and area
11
Commercial agreements in EU and SACU1 allow for exporting with favorable financial conditions
33
Environment conditions and increased training favor the production of sugar cane, such as:
– Optimal weather conditions and high-quality, available land benefit the sector’s expansion
– Training of local farmers, including more than USD13 MM in transference of technologies to sugar farmers from Europe, has enhanced the quality and yield of sugar cane harvested
22
Growing exports for sugar highlight increased market potential in the future
44
45
Significant Potential for Import Substitution Makes Poultry a Strong Investment
Demand for poultry has grown meaningfully across Africa
– Poultry’s consumption has more than doubled in over 10 African countries over the last decade, with high dependence of imports from Brazil, Asia, and US
– Opportunity for local players to supply this demand due to geographic advantages
While domestic demand in Mozambique has grown slightly in past, future demand is expected to more than triple in the next 10 years
– Impact of considerable growth in mining as well as oil and gas sectors on working population will help full domestic demand
Feed costs correspond to ~75% of total costs – with growth in the domestic soy cake industry, potential for reduced input costs could further drive demand
Poultry Consumption in Africa (in ‘000 tonnes)
Zimbabwe
5724
Angola
14555
South Africa
1,228904
2007
2000
+36% +164% +133%
African countries has reported meaningful growth in demand for poultry meat
Poultry Consumption in Mozambique (in ‘000 tonnes)
2020e
137
2010e
42
2000
35
Poultry consumption has grown less in Mozambique, but future growth is expected
+21%+226%
Note: Djibouti, Comoros, Cape Verde, Ghana, Gabon, Gambia, Angola, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Zimbabwe, Congo, Sao Tome and Principe and Guinea. Source: FAO, USAID, TechnoServe, Monitor Analysis
Poultry – Market Analysis
22
11
33
46
One of country’s larger export crops, with opportunity to recapture past success
Tea – Market Analysis
Source: Balanço Anual do Açucar; Expert Interviews; Monitor Analysis
Despite much higher yields than before the civil war, total production is lower due to unused land– Signifies opportunity for potential
investors who wants to capture unused potential
8.0
5.5
20111973
Yield(tonnes/ha)
Total Production(tonnes)
2011
32.0
1973
89.0
11
Production is increasing rapidly
31.527.0
+17%
20112010
Production(tonnes)
Mozambique’s tea industry is undergoing impressive growth with a 16% production increase in the last year
There is still available, unutilized land with high tea growing potential– Zambezia province alone has 39,000
hectares in Gurue, Ille, and Milange districts
– Of 22,400 hectares specifically allocated for tea, only 18% are in use
33
22
Great potential exist to utilize available land to increase production
47
Opportunity to Regain Position as One of World’s Top Exporters
Cashew – Market Analysis
Source: FAOSTAT; TechnoServe; African Cashew Initiative; INCAJU; Expert Interviews; Monitor Analysis
Prior to independence in 1975, Mozambique was one of the leading producers / exporters of cashew nuts, evidencing the country’s suitable climatic conditions and knowledge– Production was once as high as 200,000
metric tons (versus 65,000 today) A significant limiting factor on Mozambique’s
success (diseased trees), can be relatively cost effectively prevented– Spraying the trees against disease
greatly improves productivity
22
11 Cashews can be grown throughout much of the country, but are particularly successful in the Nacala corridor
Significant government and donor efforts are underway to revitalize the industry. For example:– INCAJU (Government Cashew Initiative)
plans to grow 3.3 million cashew saplings in 2012 to be planted as new trees
– TechnoServe now supports 16 cashew processing plants with ~36,000 metric tons processing capacity
33
Niassa
Gaza- 8%
Sofala
Zambezia- 9%
Manica
Nampula- 41%
Inhambane- 23%
Cabo Delgado- 13%
Maputo
Tete
According to INCAJU, ~40% of
cashew nut production occurs in Nampula. Most
efforts in the cashew industry
are focused in this province
According to INCAJU, ~40% of
cashew nut production occurs in Nampula. Most
efforts in the cashew industry
are focused in this province
Main Cashew Producing Regions
107
3
Sprayed TreeYield GapCurrent Yield
Spraying trees greatly increases productivity
Cashew nut yields(kg/tree)
44
48
New Processing Technology Expands Market Opportunities for Cassava
Cassava – Market Analysis
Cassava significantly outpaces other staple crops in Mozambique
Average Quantity Consumed per Year(kg/person)
Cassava Cost (as % of other commodities)
Potential for Wheat Substitution in Bread(in ‘000 tonnes, 2009)
Lower cassava costs create opportunities for wheat substitution in bread production
Up to 25% of wheat in bread can be substituted by cassava
Note: 1) Wheat has the highest production deficit in MozambiqueSource: FAOSTAT; MSU; Promar; Monitor Analysis
Cassava does and will continue to have a strong demand advantage versus other staple crops in Mozambique, particularly in the north– Cassava is an easy-to-produce and drought-
resistant crop with food security importance Substitution opportunities exist for cassava within
Mozambique, given strong cost advantages over other commodities – Cost for cassava is roughly half of some related
commodities– Example: Up to 25% of wheat1 used in bread can
be substituted by cassava at 55% of cost Potentially significant market opportunities have
been created by a mobile cassava processing unit created by DADTCO– This allows for additional uses of cassava in
livestock feed, industrial raw materials, alcohol brewing, and ethanol
– For example: SABMiller will invest an additional $124 M over the next two years to continue to develop its cassava beer (Impala), made possible by the mobile processing units
Maize
60%
Wheat
55%
Potential for Cassava
Substitution
86
Wheat Used in Bread Industry
343
87152058
247
OthersRiceWheatMaizeCassava
22
33
11
49
Opportunity to Substitute Imports, Meet Poultry Demand Growth and Boost Rural Income
Maize – Market Analysis
Source: FAO; USAID; Monitor Analysis
Maize is one of the most consumed staple crops in southern African, with high relevance in terms of food security
Though 71% of all farms in Mozambique produce some maize, most rural households are net buyers, and the country need to import ~99,000 MT yearly
Additionally, increasing demand for feed will parallel poultry industry growth in domestic and foreign market, including meaningful exports to Malawi and Zimbabwe
Several key investments – particularly in the high potential Northwest of Zambezia, West of Nampula, or Central and South of Niassa – could help transform the country into a regional breadbasket
– E.g.: Invest in silos and adequate storage processes to reduce post-harvest waste and aflatoxin contamination
11
22
33
44
Area Harvested, ‘000 ha (2010)
FOOD SECURITY &NUTRITIONAL IMPORTANCE
916
1,293
1,812
Legumes
Cassava
Maize #01
#02
#03
Food Consumption, in % of total consumed (2004)
Cassava
Sorghum 6%
27%Maize
35% #01
#02
#03
Pulses
14%
36%
Cassava
13%
Maize #01
#02
#03
CALORIESCALORIES
PROTEINSPROTEINS
LANDLAND
50
Opportunity to Substitute Imports and Export Additional Crops to Nearby Countries
Vegetables in Mozambique are an important income earner with high growth forecasted
– Despite occupying only 6.6% of cultivated land, they accounted for USD 15M and 3,500 jobs in 2009
– World Bank projects the total formal domestic vegetable market will be USD 100M by 2021 from USD 65M in 2006
Vegetables present a significant opportunity for import substitution within Mozambique
– The three largest vegetable crops are tomato1, potato, and onion. Combined they represent a local supply deficit of 310,000 metric tons
22
11
Consumption of Vegetable Crops (metric tons, 2011)
44%
56%
379.250
69%
31%
283.800
40%60%
133.250
Potato OnionTomato
Import
Production
Export of vegetables is also an option for Mozambique
– Most of Southern Africa cannot produce frost-sensitive export crops like baby-corn, beans, and chilies during winter months but Mozambique can, particularly in the tropical coastal climates found in the Beira corridor
33
– Recent entrance of supermarkets such as Shoprite and Game, as well as mining operations, provide potentially large buyers of locally grown vegetables
Note: 1) Actually a fruit, but grouped with other key value chains of potatoes and onionsSource: TechnoServe; Ministry of Agriculture; World Bank; Monitor Analysis
Vegetables – Market Analysis
51
A long, successful history of export, with significant productivity improvement potential
Cotton – Market Analysis
Source: TechnoServe; GDS; Interview with experts; Monitor Analysis
Low yield provides opportunity for productivity increase in the country
Cotton Yield by Country(kg/ha)
World Average
High potential for increased productivity
– Current productivity is one of the lowest in the world (380 kg/ha)
Opportunities for ginning of cotton for export of high quality cotton lint and processing of cotton seed into oil and cake
Mozambique’s cotton lint has a long history in accessing important international markets, traditionally in Europe as well as more recently in Asia
11
33
22
315.0
572.0745.0
1,270.0
1,700.0
Kenya Mozambique India
380.0
USAChinaIsrael
Possibilities for Cotton Production
Cotton Lint
Cotton Oil
Cotton
Cotton Seed
Cotton Seed Cake
52
Production has been increasing rapidly to meet food and oil demand growth
Significant production growth in Mozambique
Peanut Production(MM tonnes)
CAGR
Note: 1) Does not include production from palm treesSource: TechnoServe; Minister of Agriculture and Fisheries (Nampula Province); Nutrition Data; Interview with experts; Monitor Analysis
High potential in domestic market as well as import substitution for vegetable oil from seeds
– Oil yield can reach up to 45-50%, against 20% of soy and cotton
– There is interest by ICRISAT and other research institutions to develop new higher oil variations – further increasing productivity
High energy and protein food that has multiple food uses, particularly in comparison to most common crops in Mozambique
– Can be consumed in its raw form, boiled or even roasted
– Groundnuts can also be used to produce processed food, such as peanut butter
Already, widely grown in Mozambique, groundnut production has been increasingly rapidly to meet growing demand
– 30% CAGR since 2004
22
33
10337
+30%
2009E2004/05
0.91.66.0
0.30.12.8
MaizeCassavaGroundnuts
Proteins
(per 10 grams)
Calories
(per gram)Nutrition Facts Comparison
11
Groundnuts is an important crop that can be used for oil production
Oilseed Production1
(ha, 2007)
Oil Imports(000’s tons,
2009)
190133297
620
OthersCottonGroundnutsTotal Total
132.2
Groundnuts – Market Analysis
53
Soybeans Banana
For the sixteen prioritized commodities, additional information is included in differing levels of detail to supplement the investment cases distributed during the Forum
I
Rationale for Rationale for Investment Investment DescribedDescribed
Sugar Cane Poultry
II
Commodities Analyzed
Rice
Cashew
Cassava
Sesame
Maize Cotton GroundnutsVegetables
Tea
Highlights of Highlights of OpportunitiesOpportunities
III
Fruit PulsesAquacultureForestry Livestock
54
Increased aquaculture is required for sufficient domestic supply, as natural capture supply declines
High production potential of shrimp for both the domestic market and export– New technologies launched for shrimp which have created
sustainable farming
Increased aquaculture is required for sufficient domestic supply, as natural capture supply declines
High production potential of shrimp for both the domestic market and export– New technologies launched for shrimp which have created
sustainable farming
AQUACULTURE
A growing middle class places a higher demand on meat products within Mozambique
Currently high imports of beef, mainly from South Africa, provide opportunity for import substitution
Potential for production of pig, cattle, and goat for local consumption with significant export opportunities for goat meat to the Middle East
A growing middle class places a higher demand on meat products within Mozambique
Currently high imports of beef, mainly from South Africa, provide opportunity for import substitution
Potential for production of pig, cattle, and goat for local consumption with significant export opportunities for goat meat to the Middle East
LIVESTOCK
Large commercial plantations are already being developed in the northern and central regions– Green Resources: USD 2.2B eucalyptus plantation and
industrial infrastructure in Nampula Potential for export of timber products to Asia Low cost access to abundant land
– 26 million hectares potentially suitable for forestry
Large commercial plantations are already being developed in the northern and central regions– Green Resources: USD 2.2B eucalyptus plantation and
industrial infrastructure in Nampula Potential for export of timber products to Asia Low cost access to abundant land
– 26 million hectares potentially suitable for forestry
FORESTRY
Commodity Attractiveness (1/2)
55
Commodity Attractiveness (2/2)
Tropical and sub-tropical fruits such as citrus, pineapples and mangoes have high production potential in Mozambique
Counter-seasonal demand with Middle East, India and European markets
Potential for year-round production of pineapple in Manica province
Value added fruit products such as dried fruit, jams and juice could be produced from fruit not meeting export quality grades
Tropical and sub-tropical fruits such as citrus, pineapples and mangoes have high production potential in Mozambique
Counter-seasonal demand with Middle East, India and European markets
Potential for year-round production of pineapple in Manica province
Value added fruit products such as dried fruit, jams and juice could be produced from fruit not meeting export quality grades
FRUIT
PULSES Major food crop with a wide range of varieties grown Counter-seasonality with India, which is a leading consumer of
pulses Potential to export pulses such as pigeon pea to Asia
Major food crop with a wide range of varieties grown Counter-seasonality with India, which is a leading consumer of
pulses Potential to export pulses such as pigeon pea to Asia