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NASHVILLE NEXT Jennifer Carlat - Metro Nashville Planning Department Madison-Rivergate Chamber of Commerce and Goodlettsville Chamber of Commerce 11.20.14

NASHVILLE NEXT · add $2.7B) The type of transit and how long it takes to build are decisions Nashville will make over the coming decades. TIME ->Today ----- Full build-out MILES

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Page 1: NASHVILLE NEXT · add $2.7B) The type of transit and how long it takes to build are decisions Nashville will make over the coming decades. TIME ->Today ----- Full build-out MILES

NASHVILLE NEXT Jennifer Carlat - Metro Nashville Planning Department

Madison-Rivergate Chamber of Commerce and

Goodlettsville Chamber of Commerce

11.20.14

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The three-year process to update Nashville’s General Plan, an integrated effort to ensure our prosperity and well-being for the next 25 years, drawing on the needs, ideas and input of people who care about Nashville.

WHAT IS NASHVILLE NEXT?

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A GROWING COMMUNITY

Woods & Poole projections

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POPULATION DIVERSITY

Census (1980, 2010); Woods & Poole projections (2040)

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AGING POPULATION

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

2000 2020 2040

Percentage of the population over the age of 65

Census (2000, 2020), Woods & Poole projection (2040)

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Households With Children at Home

21.9%

Couples Without Children at Home

34.5%

People Living Alone 28.3%

Other Households,

15.2%

Households in Nashville-Davidson County, 2010

CHANGING HOUSEHOLDS

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CHANGE IN HOUSEHOLDS

BY AGE, 2010-2040

Source: Arthur C. Nelson

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TRANSPORTATION

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REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION

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WHERE WE ARE NOW

Total participation so far in NashvilleNext

15,000+

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TOP 5 PRIORITIES

1. Affordable Living 33%

2. Transit 32%

3. Growing Economy 26%

4. Walkable Neighborhoods 25%

5. Strong Neighborhoods 21%

Three “givens” – Efficient government, Public safety, Improved public education

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GUIDING PRINCIPLES

• Be Nashville

• Foster strong neighborhoods

• Expand accessibility

• Create economic prosperity

• Advance education

• Champion the environment

• Ensure equity for all

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Pick your Nashville!

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Alternate futures are plausible stories about the

future, in which we change infrastructure and land

uses to explore the consequences of those decisions.

Common elements

• Start with places and patterns identified in the community plans

• Same growth numbers in each (~100,000 homes, ~200,000 people, ~300,000 jobs)

B D Downtown

& pikes C Centers with

adjacent infill

Business

as usual

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25 Lounges Participants were introduced to the Futures, picked their

preference, and rated Goal statements.

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4 Community Conversations Housing & gentrification, culture & placemaking,

transportation, and economic development

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Online and cell-phone survey

in English & Spanish

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7 Focus Groups Discussing the three Futures with hard-to-reach groups.

The Contributor

Safe Haven

Nashville International

Center for

Empowerment

Futuro

Tennessee Latin American

Chamber of Commerce

Catholic Charities

Tennessee Council on

Developmental

Disabilities

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The most highly rated values are consistent with prior

NashvilleNext results: walkability, access to daily needs,

affordability, transit & economic development.

Most important values related to the Futures

Housing affordability 55%

Access to jobs and services 55%

Transit access 51%

Walkability 51%

Economic development 49% Preservation of residential character 44%

Opportunities for children and youth 43%

Access to parks 32%

Preservation of natural features 32%

Spending on transportation 29%

Greenway access 27%

Demand for water and sewer 17%

Each person picks 5

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Alternate futures are plausible stories about the

future, in which we change infrastructure and land

uses to explore the consequences of those decisions.

Common elements

• Start with places and patterns identified in the community plans

• Same growth numbers in each (~100,000 homes, ~200,000 people, ~300,000 jobs)

B D Downtown

& pikes C Centers with

adjacent infill

Business

as usual

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B D C

Participants rated each Future on a scale of

1 = Poor

5 = Excellent

Business

as usual

1.98 average

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

1 2 3 4 5

Centers with

adjacent infill

3.85 average

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

1 2 3 4 5

Downtown

& pikes

3.82 average

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

1 2 3 4 5

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On the paper survey, participants were also asked to

pick only one as their preference.

B C D

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Business

as usual

1.98 average

Centers with

adjacent infill

3.85 average

Downtown

& pikes

3.82 average

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How the Futures did on transit access/economic

development and affordability recurs throughout all of

our input.

Better at…

Transit

Access to jobs and services

Economic development

Better at…

Housing affordability

Preservation of residential

character

C D Centers with

adjacent infill

3.85 average

Downtown

& pikes

3.82 average

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64%

54%

64%

55%

53%

Affordability is a pressing issue across the county.

Participants identifying Housing

Affordability as one of their top 5 issues.

Negative effects

Negative turned into equitable

Equitable approaches

Positive effects

300 More than

participants

Housing & Gentrification

community conversation

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The Preferred Future DRAFT

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Key take-aways

Six key factors shaping the design of the Preferred Future

» Protect sensitive environmental features

» A complete transit network

» Household affordability across income levels

» Activity centers throughout most parts of the county

» Strategic infill that supports transit lines and activity centers

» Protect and enhance the character of different parts of the county

Page 27: NASHVILLE NEXT · add $2.7B) The type of transit and how long it takes to build are decisions Nashville will make over the coming decades. TIME ->Today ----- Full build-out MILES

The Preferred Future

Our tool for aligning spending,

regulations, and Metro

programs to shape

improvements in quality of life,

so that new development and

redevelopment aligns with

community values.

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Green network

DRAFT

Natural and rural areas that

provide natural resources (like

farming), ecological services

(like cleaning air and water),

and passive and active

recreation opportunities. They

also include sensitive natural

features that can be disturbed

or destroyed by development

or that pose a health or safety

risk when developed (such as

steep slopes and floodplains).

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Neighborhoods

DRAFT

Primarily residential areas

offering a mix of housing types

and character, with smaller

civic and employment areas

and small neighborhood

centers. Neighborhoods have

different character, depending

on the context (rural, suburban,

urban, or downtown).

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Transitions & infill

DRAFT

Higher density housing that is

appropriate along and around

corridors and centers to

provide a harmonious

connection to surrounding

neighborhoods.

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Transitions & infill

Higher density housing that is

appropriate along and around

corridors and centers

DRAFT Image created by Opticos Design

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Centers

DRAFT

Pedestrian-friendly areas with

frequent transit service that

contain a dense mix of homes,

shops, jobs, and parks, as well

as services, schools, and

cultural amenities.

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High-capacity transit network

DRAFT

Local bus system

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High-capacity transit network

DRAFT

Local bus system

Music City Star

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High-capacity transit network

DRAFT

Local bus system

Music City Star

Gallatin BRT Lite

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High-capacity transit network

DRAFT

Local bus system

Music City Star

Gallatin BRT Lite

Murfreesboro BRT Lite

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High-capacity transit network

DRAFT

Local bus system

Music City Star

Gallatin BRT Lite

Murfreesboro BRT Lite

Planned BRT & BRT Lite

DRAFT

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High-capacity transit network

DRAFT DRAFT

Local bus system

Music City Star

Gallatin BRT Lite

Murfreesboro BRT Lite

Planned BRT & BRT Lite

Regional connections

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High-capacity transit network

A framework of more intense

housing and commercial areas

along major roadways with

more frequent transit service.

Corridors with immediate

needs have the greatest

opportunity for expanding

frequent transit service in the

next ten years

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High-capacity transit network In

crea

sin

g in

vest

men

ts in

tra

nsi

t se

rvic

e an

d in

fras

tru

ctu

re

No service

Local service

Frequent local service

High capacity transit

High capacity transit in separate right of way

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Current transit support

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Investing in high capacity transit network

High Capacity service in traffic

(Regional connections add $1.0B)

Transit out of traffic (Regional connections

add $2.7B)

The type of transit and how long it takes to build are decisions Nashville will make over the coming decades.

TIME ->Today ------------------------------------------------ Full build-out MILES -> 40 ----------------------------------------------------- 200 miles

$7.2B

$1.4B

Density has to increase to

support better service.

Better service will help us accommodate more density.

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Special impact areas

DRAFT

Special impact areas include

intense industrial areas,

airports, landfills, and other

uses that should be kept

separate from homes.

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Affordability

» Abundant housing that

supports transit

» Incorporating sensitively

into neighborhoods

» Preserve existing/create

new affordable housing for

low-income households

» Manage demand by creating

more walkable

neighborhoods throughout

the county

Page 45: NASHVILLE NEXT · add $2.7B) The type of transit and how long it takes to build are decisions Nashville will make over the coming decades. TIME ->Today ----- Full build-out MILES

Implementation toolbox What tools do we need to improve quality of life in Nashville’s

places? Maintain affordability, spur demand across the county, build

the transit vision, grow greener.

Hickory Hollow Center concept, Antioch-Priest Lake Community Plan, 2012 update

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Tiered Centers

Pedestrian-friendly areas with frequent transit service that contain a

dense mix of homes, shops, jobs, and parks, as well as services, schools,

and cultural amenities.

DRAFT

Tier One

Tier Two

Tier Three

Coordinate investments …

To have the greatest impact in

shaping demand over the next

ten years.

To prepare for investments

after the next ten years.

To respond to new

opportunities in the private

sector.

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Coordinated investments could include…

Creating/preserving affordable housing

Access to cultural amenities Placemaking

Economic & workforce development

Sidewalks Public facilities & public spaces

Parks, plazas, greenways, urban forest

Transit, bike ways, infrastructure

Community schools, community centers & youth programs

Tier One

Tier Two

Tier Three

Page 48: NASHVILLE NEXT · add $2.7B) The type of transit and how long it takes to build are decisions Nashville will make over the coming decades. TIME ->Today ----- Full build-out MILES

Next Steps

• Update Community Plans to align with preferred future

• Public comment underway through January

• Online review of preferred future

• maps.nashville.gov/preferredfuture

• February, 2015 – NashvilleNext Draft Plan released for comment

• April, 2015 – NashvilleNext Plan heard at Metro Planning Commission

Page 49: NASHVILLE NEXT · add $2.7B) The type of transit and how long it takes to build are decisions Nashville will make over the coming decades. TIME ->Today ----- Full build-out MILES

NASHVILLE NEXT

Get involved at www.nashvillenext.net