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NASHVILLE NEXT Jennifer Carlat - Metro Nashville Planning Department
Madison-Rivergate Chamber of Commerce and
Goodlettsville Chamber of Commerce
11.20.14
The three-year process to update Nashville’s General Plan, an integrated effort to ensure our prosperity and well-being for the next 25 years, drawing on the needs, ideas and input of people who care about Nashville.
WHAT IS NASHVILLE NEXT?
A GROWING COMMUNITY
Woods & Poole projections
POPULATION DIVERSITY
Census (1980, 2010); Woods & Poole projections (2040)
AGING POPULATION
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2000 2020 2040
Percentage of the population over the age of 65
Census (2000, 2020), Woods & Poole projection (2040)
Households With Children at Home
21.9%
Couples Without Children at Home
34.5%
People Living Alone 28.3%
Other Households,
15.2%
Households in Nashville-Davidson County, 2010
CHANGING HOUSEHOLDS
CHANGE IN HOUSEHOLDS
BY AGE, 2010-2040
Source: Arthur C. Nelson
TRANSPORTATION
REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION
WHERE WE ARE NOW
Total participation so far in NashvilleNext
15,000+
TOP 5 PRIORITIES
1. Affordable Living 33%
2. Transit 32%
3. Growing Economy 26%
4. Walkable Neighborhoods 25%
5. Strong Neighborhoods 21%
Three “givens” – Efficient government, Public safety, Improved public education
GUIDING PRINCIPLES
• Be Nashville
• Foster strong neighborhoods
• Expand accessibility
• Create economic prosperity
• Advance education
• Champion the environment
• Ensure equity for all
Pick your Nashville!
Alternate futures are plausible stories about the
future, in which we change infrastructure and land
uses to explore the consequences of those decisions.
Common elements
• Start with places and patterns identified in the community plans
• Same growth numbers in each (~100,000 homes, ~200,000 people, ~300,000 jobs)
B D Downtown
& pikes C Centers with
adjacent infill
Business
as usual
25 Lounges Participants were introduced to the Futures, picked their
preference, and rated Goal statements.
4 Community Conversations Housing & gentrification, culture & placemaking,
transportation, and economic development
Online and cell-phone survey
in English & Spanish
7 Focus Groups Discussing the three Futures with hard-to-reach groups.
The Contributor
Safe Haven
Nashville International
Center for
Empowerment
Futuro
Tennessee Latin American
Chamber of Commerce
Catholic Charities
Tennessee Council on
Developmental
Disabilities
The most highly rated values are consistent with prior
NashvilleNext results: walkability, access to daily needs,
affordability, transit & economic development.
Most important values related to the Futures
Housing affordability 55%
Access to jobs and services 55%
Transit access 51%
Walkability 51%
Economic development 49% Preservation of residential character 44%
Opportunities for children and youth 43%
Access to parks 32%
Preservation of natural features 32%
Spending on transportation 29%
Greenway access 27%
Demand for water and sewer 17%
Each person picks 5
Alternate futures are plausible stories about the
future, in which we change infrastructure and land
uses to explore the consequences of those decisions.
Common elements
• Start with places and patterns identified in the community plans
• Same growth numbers in each (~100,000 homes, ~200,000 people, ~300,000 jobs)
B D Downtown
& pikes C Centers with
adjacent infill
Business
as usual
B D C
Participants rated each Future on a scale of
1 = Poor
5 = Excellent
Business
as usual
1.98 average
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
1 2 3 4 5
Centers with
adjacent infill
3.85 average
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
1 2 3 4 5
Downtown
& pikes
3.82 average
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
1 2 3 4 5
On the paper survey, participants were also asked to
pick only one as their preference.
B C D
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Business
as usual
1.98 average
Centers with
adjacent infill
3.85 average
Downtown
& pikes
3.82 average
How the Futures did on transit access/economic
development and affordability recurs throughout all of
our input.
Better at…
Transit
Access to jobs and services
Economic development
Better at…
Housing affordability
Preservation of residential
character
C D Centers with
adjacent infill
3.85 average
Downtown
& pikes
3.82 average
64%
54%
64%
55%
53%
Affordability is a pressing issue across the county.
Participants identifying Housing
Affordability as one of their top 5 issues.
Negative effects
Negative turned into equitable
Equitable approaches
Positive effects
300 More than
participants
Housing & Gentrification
community conversation
The Preferred Future DRAFT
Key take-aways
Six key factors shaping the design of the Preferred Future
» Protect sensitive environmental features
» A complete transit network
» Household affordability across income levels
» Activity centers throughout most parts of the county
» Strategic infill that supports transit lines and activity centers
» Protect and enhance the character of different parts of the county
The Preferred Future
Our tool for aligning spending,
regulations, and Metro
programs to shape
improvements in quality of life,
so that new development and
redevelopment aligns with
community values.
Green network
DRAFT
Natural and rural areas that
provide natural resources (like
farming), ecological services
(like cleaning air and water),
and passive and active
recreation opportunities. They
also include sensitive natural
features that can be disturbed
or destroyed by development
or that pose a health or safety
risk when developed (such as
steep slopes and floodplains).
Neighborhoods
DRAFT
Primarily residential areas
offering a mix of housing types
and character, with smaller
civic and employment areas
and small neighborhood
centers. Neighborhoods have
different character, depending
on the context (rural, suburban,
urban, or downtown).
Transitions & infill
DRAFT
Higher density housing that is
appropriate along and around
corridors and centers to
provide a harmonious
connection to surrounding
neighborhoods.
Transitions & infill
Higher density housing that is
appropriate along and around
corridors and centers
DRAFT Image created by Opticos Design
Centers
DRAFT
Pedestrian-friendly areas with
frequent transit service that
contain a dense mix of homes,
shops, jobs, and parks, as well
as services, schools, and
cultural amenities.
High-capacity transit network
DRAFT
Local bus system
High-capacity transit network
DRAFT
Local bus system
Music City Star
High-capacity transit network
DRAFT
Local bus system
Music City Star
Gallatin BRT Lite
High-capacity transit network
DRAFT
Local bus system
Music City Star
Gallatin BRT Lite
Murfreesboro BRT Lite
High-capacity transit network
DRAFT
Local bus system
Music City Star
Gallatin BRT Lite
Murfreesboro BRT Lite
Planned BRT & BRT Lite
DRAFT
High-capacity transit network
DRAFT DRAFT
Local bus system
Music City Star
Gallatin BRT Lite
Murfreesboro BRT Lite
Planned BRT & BRT Lite
Regional connections
High-capacity transit network
A framework of more intense
housing and commercial areas
along major roadways with
more frequent transit service.
Corridors with immediate
needs have the greatest
opportunity for expanding
frequent transit service in the
next ten years
High-capacity transit network In
crea
sin
g in
vest
men
ts in
tra
nsi
t se
rvic
e an
d in
fras
tru
ctu
re
No service
Local service
Frequent local service
High capacity transit
High capacity transit in separate right of way
Current transit support
Investing in high capacity transit network
High Capacity service in traffic
(Regional connections add $1.0B)
Transit out of traffic (Regional connections
add $2.7B)
The type of transit and how long it takes to build are decisions Nashville will make over the coming decades.
TIME ->Today ------------------------------------------------ Full build-out MILES -> 40 ----------------------------------------------------- 200 miles
$7.2B
$1.4B
Density has to increase to
support better service.
Better service will help us accommodate more density.
Special impact areas
DRAFT
Special impact areas include
intense industrial areas,
airports, landfills, and other
uses that should be kept
separate from homes.
Affordability
» Abundant housing that
supports transit
» Incorporating sensitively
into neighborhoods
» Preserve existing/create
new affordable housing for
low-income households
» Manage demand by creating
more walkable
neighborhoods throughout
the county
Implementation toolbox What tools do we need to improve quality of life in Nashville’s
places? Maintain affordability, spur demand across the county, build
the transit vision, grow greener.
Hickory Hollow Center concept, Antioch-Priest Lake Community Plan, 2012 update
Tiered Centers
Pedestrian-friendly areas with frequent transit service that contain a
dense mix of homes, shops, jobs, and parks, as well as services, schools,
and cultural amenities.
DRAFT
Tier One
Tier Two
Tier Three
Coordinate investments …
To have the greatest impact in
shaping demand over the next
ten years.
To prepare for investments
after the next ten years.
To respond to new
opportunities in the private
sector.
Coordinated investments could include…
Creating/preserving affordable housing
Access to cultural amenities Placemaking
Economic & workforce development
Sidewalks Public facilities & public spaces
Parks, plazas, greenways, urban forest
Transit, bike ways, infrastructure
Community schools, community centers & youth programs
Tier One
Tier Two
Tier Three
Next Steps
• Update Community Plans to align with preferred future
• Public comment underway through January
• Online review of preferred future
• maps.nashville.gov/preferredfuture
• February, 2015 – NashvilleNext Draft Plan released for comment
• April, 2015 – NashvilleNext Plan heard at Metro Planning Commission
NASHVILLE NEXT
Get involved at www.nashvillenext.net