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The New Political
Media Environment
From The MediaTo WE Media
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Thank You to Key SourcesBrian Reich, Media Rules Author
Simon Rosenberg, NDN President
Morley Winograd, Millenial Makeover Author
Theo Yedinsky, Former NPI Directors
Andres Ramirez, NV Dem Party
Eric Greenberg, Generation WE Author
Catalist (Voter Targeting Firm)
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Whats Different About this Ad?Spanish Language
Played on Cable TVEntertainment Marketing for the World CupNiche Marketing for the World Cup
Multiculturalism, UnityMore than Party PoliticsActors All Young
Emotions, Not PolicyNod to Cultural CatholicismLinks to Website
Asks People to Get Involved
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Part 1 OverviewTechnology is fueling a major shift in how we communicate. Thebroadcast era has been replaced with the internet age.
New norms require us to change the way we speak to our audience.
Were beginning to understand a fundamentally new relationship
between people and politics which drives how people choose tosupport candidates and policies.
Progressives MUST understand the massive demographic shifthappening right now and MUST respond by using new tools.
Doing so will enable a major wave of positive progressive change akinto the New Deal era.
Failure will mean your voice will not be heard.
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3 Major Shifts
Millennial Generation4 th Civic Realignment in US History
PopulationEnd of Southern StrategyBeginning of the Southwest Strategy
A New Style of Political CommunicationsThe End of the Broadcast EraThe Return of Direct ContactTapping into the Groundswell: The Necessity of the 2-wayConversation
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Millennial GenerationBorn in 80s and 90s
81 million eligible voters in 2016 = largest voting bloc ever
Strauss Howe generational type: Hero. As a Millennialsubgroup, they are presumably characterized byoptimism, ability to achieve, and strong group orientation.
Gen X = Nomad . Presumably characterized by greaterorientation toward risk taking, pragmatism, free agency,and more limited group affiliations.Baby Boomers = Prophet . Presumably characterized bybeing self-absorbed and very morally driven andvalue oriented.
TraitsCivic-minded, Socially and Personally ResponsibleHighly Entrepreneurial, Problem Solving and PracticalSuper-interconnected, Globally focused, Intolerant of
Intolerance
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RADIO TV THE INTERNETSMail / Telegraph, Mass/Rapid Transit, Telephone
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Civic Realignment:Hero generation + New communications technology +Major problems to solve
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Electoral College 1920
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Electoral College 1924
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Electoral College 1928
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Electoral College 1932
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Electoral College 1936
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Electoral College 1940
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Electoral College 1944
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Electoral College 1948
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Electoral College 1952
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Electoral College 1956
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Electoral College 1960
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Electoral College 1964
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Electoral College 1968
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Electoral College 1972
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Electoral College 1980
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Electoral College 1984
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Electoral College 1988
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Electoral College 1996
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Electoral College 2000
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Electoral College 2004
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Electoral College 2008
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Electoral Map Scaled for Population
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County Results Map Scaled for Population
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County Population - Intensity
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Population Shift:America in 2030
88% of population growth will take place in the Southernand Western states
65% of Americans will live in the South or the West by 2030.
8 of the 10 fastest-growing states are Red states.97 of the 100 fastest-growing counties voted Republican in 2004
The U.S. Hispanic population will nearly double between2000 and 2030.
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Hispanic Vote Share in Battleground States
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h d f h d
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The End of the Broadcast EraThe Beginning of the Internet Era
In 1960, we could reach 80% of women with 3 channels. 100 channels
are now required for the same penetration
We now receive messages in ways we never imagined throughinternet radio, video game advertising, on computer screens inelevators, and much more sophisticated targeted mail
The web surfer has replaced the couch potato. Obama YouTube chats
We are now in the web 2.0 generation of internet advertising
Media integration is the defining characteristic
Direct targeting of small communities is much easier: Google adsappear in our email
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The Communications Arch
I n f o r m a t i o n R i c h n e s s
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - >
D i r e c
t I n d i r e c
t C o n t a
c t
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Print Media on the Decline
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TV S g t ti
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TV Segmentation:Cable
Cable now commands over 50% market share in Primetime.
TV Segmentation:
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TV Segmentation:Ethnic MediaOne-fourth of U.S. adults --51 million people- - access an ethnic news
source29 million prefer ethnic news sources as primary
Consumers of ethnic media vote differently than consumers ofmainstream media
Consumers of Asian ethnic media were 30% more likely to vote for GeorgeBush than Asian consumers of mainstream media
Hispanics have the highest ethnic media use, with 87% of adultsregularly accessing ethnic media sources.
Univision, the top Spanish-language network, reaches 98% of HispanicHouseholdsDuring November sweeps, the #1 Spanish-Language network attracts moreHispanic adults 18-49 than ABC, CBS, NBC, FOX, WB, combinedIn 04-05 Univision won 18-34 year olds for 22 nights
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Internet Rising
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Internet Rising
Web 2 0
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Web 2.0User Generated Content
Web 2 0
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Web 2.0Rich Media
Web 2 0
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Web 2.0Content Shift to Entertainment
Web 2 0
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Web 2.0Advertising Example
Charlie Brown vs. JohnDoolittle 2006 CongressionalElection
$2500 radio buy accompaniedby targeted blog ads
3X returns in fundraising afterprint media covers the story
www.CorruptorIneffective.com
Direct Contact is Back:
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Direct Contact is Back:Advertising Dollars
Direct Contact is Back:
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Direct Contact is Back:Campaign Evidence I
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Direct Contact Is Back:
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Direct Contact Is Back:Campaign Evidence II
GOTV universe increased by 116,000voters and Tim Kaine wins
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The Groundswell
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The GroundswellPeer-to-Peer Influence
A changing America isgrowing to expect anewer, better, moredirect relationship withthose who seek toadvance their ideas
Obama : Napster ::Hillary : Record Industry
Great Profit is to be hadDell example
Lego example
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WE Media Made EasyFacebook
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We Media Made EasyFacebookAdvanced Google Search
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To Search Truman Fellows:
http://www.trumanproject.org/programs/fellowship/people/
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WE Media Made EasyFacebookGoogle Advanced SearchTruman Project YahooGroups
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WE Media Made EasyFacebookGoogle Advanced SearchTruman Project YahooGroupsDigg
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iGoogle + RSS 2.0 Feed =
Always Up To Date!
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WE Media Made EasyFacebookGoogle Advanced SearchTruman Project YahooGroupsDiggRSS FeedsGoogleTwitter
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Silly Name Serious Opportunity
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y pp yU.S. grad student gets out
of prison in Egypt
New Scientist Magazine Twitter and VA TechshootingsL.A. Fire Department Track Wildfires October2007American Red Cross Disaster UpdatesU.S. Army Intel ReportAQ It TwittersC-SPAN at Democratic
Convention #DNC08
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Whos On Twitter?
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Greta VanSusteren (Gretawire)George Stephanopoulos (GStephanopoulos)
Nicolas Kristof (NYTimesKristof)Chris Cilliza (TheFix)Fred Thompson (FredThompson)John Boehner (JohnBoehner)
Eric Cantor (EricCantor)Chris Dodd (SenChrisDodd)Nancy Pelosi (NancyPelosi)Al Jazeera English (Al Jazeera English)AJGaza (which links to a site with real time updates of strikes)Qassamcount (Israeli's realtime update of strikes in Israel)IDFSpokesperson
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Rush His Progressive Story His Conservative Story
KSM sounds like Dems Traitors/unfit to lead Tough on US enemies
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KSM ranted about torture Agree with Americas enemies Disagree with enemies
Military/intel vilified Dont respect military Honor the troops
Forgotten terror threat Nave See/fight evil abroad
Obama for appeasement Are French Stand for victory
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Obama Our Progressive Story Our Conservative Story
More than military power Understand 21 st century Dont understand 21 st C
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Redo days after 9/11 Would have gotten job done Messed up big time
Not opposed to all wars Know when to fight Bad judgment
To the gates of hell Mean what they say Rhetoric over policy
Tough and smart Understand roots of terror Understand little
Obama Progressive Anti-Hero Bad Progressive Story
More than military power Militarism hurts security Dont respect military
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Redo days after 9/11 We messed up after 9/11 Blame America first
Not opposed to all wars War, what is it good for? Wont face enemies
To the gates of hell War supporters = chickenhawks Slogans over substance
Tough and smart Work with allies and UN Wont stand up for US
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