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NOAA Arctic Ocean Observations for Climate
NOAA Arctic Research Office
John Calder, Kathy Crane
Arctic GOOS Activities
• 1. Arctic Sea Ice – Mass balance and dynamics -
• 2.Northern Bering Sea Changes
• 3. RUSALCA – Bering Strait Moorings
• 4. Labrador Sea – pilot project Arctic Fresh Water Contributions to the Atlantic Ocean
Pacific Gateway
GOAL 1 (Sea Ice Observations and Predictions)
1. Sea Ice Mass Balance andDynamics
• International Arctic Buoy Program
• Ice Mass Balance Buoys
• IMBs colocated with NSF- and Japan- sponsored ocean buoys
International Arctic Buoy Programme (IABP)Monitoring the Arctic Since 1979
Sea Ice Mass Balance Buoys
• Augment traditional International Arctic Buoy Program buoys (IABP) with new data – sea ice thickness and temperature, snow cover depth, under-ice ocean temperature (maybe radiation in future)
• GOAL: Attribute changes in ice thickness to ocean or atmosphere; compute heat flux; validation points for satellite measurements
Sea Ice Summary(I. Rigor)
• Wind driven changes in ice motion may be more important than variations in surface temperature.
• Many of the changes in arctic climate and sea ice are related to the Arctic Oscillation, which affects sea ice on many different time scales, and the ice “remembers” these affects for many years.
• This “memory” may be useful for forecasting sea ice conditions.
• What is the role of the ocean in forcing these changes? Increased flow of warm water from the Atlantic and Pacific have been reported, can this contribute to the decline of sea ice? Or is this heat trapped below the cold halocline layer?
• Have we passed the “tipping point”? Will ice-albedo feed back be the demise of arctic sea ice, or will prolonged low AO conditions restore thicker ice conditions?
• With the decline of Arctic sea ice, have there been fundamental changes in the physical processes? Are we in a different “sea ice” regime?
2. 3. The Bering and Chukchi Seas, Alaska and Chukotka
show amplified responses to climate change.
The United States and the Russian Federation are working together to monitor the change in flux into and out of the Arctic through the Bering Strait-the Pacific Gateway to the Arctic.
BERING SEA
PACIFICGATEWAY
ATLANTICGATEWAY
Northern Bering Sea
• Bering Strait region shallow (<50 m); a sensitive indicator of climate change
• Bering Sea shifting towards an earlier
spring
•Surface sea temperature increase in the
1990s vs the 1980s, tied to the Arctic
Oscillation further to the north (Stabeno
and Overland 2001)
• Freshening in Bering Strait since 2000
(Woodgate)
• Time series benthic studies indicate changes in both carbon deposition and benthic biomass since the late 1980’s (Grebmeier)
Bering Sea M2 Mooring - Temperature Record
Courtesy P. Stabeno
• Vertically Averaged Temp = + 2 oC after 2000
Woodgate and Aagaard, GRL 2005
• freshening of seawater passing through Bering Strait since 2002 (above)
• shelf-basin transport via advection, eddy formation, canyon transport LOTS OF
•UNKNOWNS
??
Increased Fresh Increased Fresh WaterWater
Flow From theFlow From theArctic to the NorthArctic to the North
AtlanticAtlantic
What are the What are the pathways of pathways of
fresh water flow fresh water flow across the across the
Pacific Pacific Gateway ?Gateway ?
??
FreshWater Fluxes-pathways
Circulation Superimposed on the Distribution of Benthic Biomass: 1970-1990
Alaska
Russia
Bering Sea
Chukchi Sea
Beaufort SeaEast Siberian Sea
Biomass g m-2
[Dunton, Goodall, Schonberg, Grebmeier, and Maidment, 2005, DSR accepted]
??
2. Russian-American Long-term Census of the Arctic: RUSALCA:
RUSALCA GOALS:
1. Take Observations Where Arctic Sea Ice Reduction is a Maximum
2. Monitor Fresh Water and Nutrient Fluxes and Transport Pathways Through the Pacific Gateway.
3. Monitor Ecosystem Indicators of Climate Change.
4. Improve Russian-U.S. Arctic Climate Science Relations
Actual RUSALCA Stations, 2004
Others…
Monitor Ecosystem Changes -Arctic Census ofMarine Life
ECOSYSTEM INDICATORS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
HeraldShelfValley
RusalcaAug 04
RUSSIAN-AMERICANMOORING LOCATIONS
2003 Sign Memorandum of Understanding, 2003 Sign Memorandum of Understanding, Russian Academy and NOAARussian Academy and NOAA
2004 2004 Khromov expeditionKhromov expedition Bering-Chukchi Seas
•Census of Marine Life and exploration of the Census of Marine Life and exploration of the Chukchi SeaChukchi Sea
•Monitoring current fluxes through the Bering Monitoring current fluxes through the Bering Strait and Herald CanyonStrait and Herald Canyon
•Methane explorationMethane exploration
2005, 2006 retrieval of mooring data2005, 2006 retrieval of mooring data
Fall 2005, PI Synthesis MeetingFall 2005, PI Synthesis Meeting
2007, 2008 2007, 2008 International Polar YearInternational Polar Year
RUSALCATIME LINE
20042004
200320032005
2005
20022002
NOAA Pacific ArcticGateway exploration
Arctic Research Office Expeditions
2007-2007-20082008
IBCAO Map
IPY07/08 International Pan-Arctic study regions
ASOF
RUSALCA
4. The Labrador Sea and Davis Strait, key sites involved in the global overturning
circulation
Observations need to resolve the small scales of key currents and water masses in the northern Atlantic and to track them through annual cycles and strong decadal variability. During the winters of 2003-04 and 2004-05, four Seagliders have carried out extensive surveys of the Labrador Sea and Davis Strait.
Seagliders being assembled in Nuuk, West Greenland
Seaglider surveys for two winters
The first ocean passage section by an autonomous undersea vehicle: Davis Strait, October 2004; about 2500 profiles have been completed by two Seagliders since then. In
winter 2003/4 two other gliders surveyed the Labrador Sea producing about 1500 profiles of temperature, salinity, dissolved
oxygen, chlorophyll and particle scattering.
Baffin currentcold, low salinityflows southinto Labrador Sea
Warm,saline Irmingerwaterflows northinto BaffinBay
Cold Arctic water enters the Atlantic
A key process for climate is the salinity barrier layer that forms at the top of the Labrador Sea
in spring, and controls deep convection in subsequent winter. This is visible in the next figure, as purple (cold, low salinity) water is
carried off the Greenland coast by the boundary current system.
Aqua & Terra satellite SST day 089 05
Cold shelf water (purple) streams off the Greenland shelf. Seagliders 014 and 015 are embedded in this jet
The Seagliders have ‘cat-scanned’ the Labrador Sea, documenting
-Arctic=>Atlantic transport west of Greenland-wintertime deep convection (depth,
geographical distribution)-the formation of the salinity barrier layer-the boundary current velocity and density
profiles on all sides of the Sea-remarkably fine spatial scales of the
circulation-the water-column heat storage cycle (which
constrains atmospheric observations of heat flux)
FY06 Priorities at President’s Budget $ Level
• Continue Ice Mass Balance Work
• Continue Bering St. mooring program
• Plan for repeat “RUSALCA” during IPY
• End Labrador Sea activity
• Northern Bering Sea mooring in doubt