Nuclear War Impact Core

8/12/2019 Nuclear War Impact Core

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Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 20121/59

Nuclear War

Nuclear War.............................................................................................................................................................1

***NUKE WAR BAD .................................................................................................................... 2***NUKE WAR BAD................................................................................................................................................2EXTINCTION..........................................................................................................................................................3EXTINCTION/OUTWEIGHS..................................................................................................................................4EARTH EX!ODES................................................................................................................................................."#A$INE...................................................................................................................................................................%#A!!OUT................................................................................................................................................................&GENE OO!...........................................................................................................................................................1'O(ONE...................................................................................................................................................................11TURNS AIR O!!UTION......................................................................................................................................13TURNS DISABI!IT)/AGEIS$..............................................................................................................................14TURNS ECON........................................................................................................................................................1"TURNS ENIRON$ENT......................................................................................................................................1%TURNS HEG...........................................................................................................................................................1+TURNS HEG/ECON..............................................................................................................................................1&

TURNS IN#RASTRUCTURE.................................................................................................................................1,TURNS OCEANS...................................................................................................................................................2'TURNS RACIS$/SEXIS$/ETC............................................................................................................................21TURNS TRADE......................................................................................................................................................23TURNS WAR$ING...............................................................................................................................................24OUTWEIGHS WAR$ING.....................................................................................................................................2"OUTWEIGHS ASTEROIDS...................................................................................................................................2%

A2- NO EXTINCTION............................................................................................................................................ 2+A2- SURIORS....................................................................................................................................................2&)ES NUC!EAR WINTER...................................................................................................................................... 2,BEST $ETHODO!OG).........................................................................................................................................31

A2- BIAS................................................................................................................................................................. 33

A2- $ODE!S O!D................................................................................................................................................. 34A2- $ODE!S BAD.................................................................................................................................................3"A2- TOO #EW WARHEADS.................................................................................................................................. 3%A2- ON!) U.S.RUSSIA WAR...............................................................................................................................3&A2- COUNTER#ORCE TARGETING.................................................................................................................... 3,A2- EXTRE$E ESTI$ATE................................................................................................................................... 4'A2- NUC!EAR AUTU$N0................................................................................................................................... 41

***NUKE WAR N! S BAD ...................................................................................................... "1***NUKE WAR NOT SO BAD................................................................................................................................41NO EXTINCTION..................................................................................................................................................42

ARSENA! SI(E..................................................................................................................................................... 44

U.S.RUSSIA WAR KE)........................................................................................................................................4%A2- #A!!OUT........................................................................................................................................................ 4+A2- NUKE WINTER.............................................................................................................................................. 4&A2- EARTH EX!ODES........................................................................................................................................ "'A2- O(ONE !OSS................................................................................................................................................... "1A2- GENETIC DA$AGE........................................................................................................................................ "3A2- #OOD CONTA$INATION.............................................................................................................................. "4A2- TURNS WAR$ING......................................................................................................................................... ""A2- U.S.RUSSIA WAR.......................................................................................................................................... "%A2- AN) USE BAD................................................................................................................................................. "+A2- )UDKOWSK)/UNDERESTI$ATE................................................................................................................"&


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***NUKE WAR BAD


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Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 2012#/59

E$!INC!IN

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Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 2012"/59

E$!INC!IN/U!WEIGHS

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EAR!H E$DES

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AMINE

Ee) a re:,-)al )uclear %ar %-ul cau&e :l-;al 4a(,)e %',c' %-ul 3,ll ;,ll,-)& a) +r,::era)e(,c& a) 4ur+'er %ar&INW 2010Iera59al ;75c5a7 @9r ;e re6e59 9@ Nuclear War W9 ;e 1,&" N9:el eace r5e (er9 57 ;e Ol Oeal Ca7e7 @9r Era85ca5 Nuclear Wea5 7ul5;@r9> reac;5 ;e Ear;P7 7ur@ace lea85 9 755@5ca c99l5 a8re8uc597 5 aura59 9@ cr9:5a59 re7ul7 5 >uc; l9=er 5el87. $979@ ;e ra57;a are r9= 5 >58la5u8e7 7uc; a7 c9r are acuall 9@ r9>erl5e c985597. #9r ea>>er e>al 7ae 6ar5a:5l5 9@e re7ul7 5 re8uce8 ;ar6e77. T;57 98er @ar>5 ec;5Fue7;a all9= a 5 9re 57ec7 ;a6e a ;5;er 9lerace @9r


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Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 2012er5ca 9l55c7 1,4"1,,1;577a5/aer5al7 ;57 79urce are l9erl56e8 ;a >aer5al7:7 ;e5r rela56e c9r5:u59 9 ;e l9:al @all9u =5ll 5crea7e 96er 5>e . #9r 57ace e

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Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 20129/5979ae >98el7 ;a7 7;9= ;a ;57 re8uc59 5 5el8 re7ul7 5 a >uc; larer a8e 8ur5 ;e 755e7 a8 7e6e5e7. T;e re8uc59 5 areae 7rae5c ar7eal 5el8 ;a 9ccurre8

=;e ;5; 5el8 =ea9re u>er9u7 l9=er 5el8 =ea


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GENE

Nuclear %ar reuce& :e)e+,c ,er&,+ a) (a3e& +'e &ec,e& le&& aa+a;leNISSANI 1992$95 r9@e779r a Wae Sae !56e7 5 ;e Balace- T;e C9l8 War a8 A>er5ca 9l55c7 1,4"1,,1;577a5/a cau7e ;ar>@ul >ua597 a8 9;er ee5c 8e@ec7 ;ere: cau75 >5ll5979@ 585658ual rae85e7 @9r ceur5e7 a@er ;e =ar. I ;57 7ec59 I =9ul8 l5e 9 8ra= ae59 9 ;e 5>a ee 98er 8e6el9e7 =;5c; ;a6e 9;5 9 89 =5; uclear =ar? ee8 9 :e >e59e8 5 ;57 c9e. #5r7 9=5 9 >e85cal a86ace7 ee5call u@5 585658ual7are >9re l5el 9 7ur656e a8 reer ae7. Sec98 ;e >98er e65r9>e c9a57 >a >ua59cau75 7u:7ace7. B9; 8e6el9e7 >a

ra8uall ra57e ;e 5c58ece 9@ 8eleer59u7 ee7 5 ;e ;u>a ee e ee5c577 9 a7 @ar a7 9aee e u9= ee. $9re96er 5@;e 7a ee5c577 :el5e6e ;a 5 57 9? uclear =ar >5;;a7e 57 c9>5.

Ge)e+,c 'eal+' 3e +- 'u(a) &ur,alMAC INNIS 200"Dr. Br9= Gee5c57 a Sa@9r8 U8er7a85 Gee5c70 ;e7 =ere eacl ;e 7a>e :e=ee >9> a8 8a8. !uc5l ;ePre 9. I @ac ;ere 57 9 a6erae % >5ll59 85@@erece7

:e=ee a =9


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I 57 a9r 5crea7e 5 79lar ulra659le >5; 96er=;el> ;e 8e@e7e7 9@ 79>e a8 7. B9; 85rec a8 585rec 8a>ae =9ul8 ;e 9ccur a>9 ;e :acer5a 57ec77 9 =;5c; ;u>a =ell:e5 8ea 9;er 857l9ca597 c9ul8


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!URNS AIR U!IN

Nuclear %ar %-ul eacer;a+e a,r -llu+,-)ARKINSN 200#Suar Sc5e577 #9r Gl9:al Re7e>:er ;e Nuclear W5erL0;ae/NuclearW5erN!2+.;>?

W;5le ;e e>


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!URNS DISABII!6/AGEISM

Nuclear %ar %-ul ,&r--r+,-)a+el 'ur+ c',lre) +'e elerl a) ,&a;le e-leME 2008 #9r $9;er Ear; T;e E@@ec7 9@ Nuclear Wea


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!URNS ECN

Nuclear %ar %-ul e&+r- +'e %-rl ec-)-( a) 3,ll (,ll,-)& +'r-u:' 4a(,)eNISSANI 1992$95 r9@e779r a Wae Sae !56e7 5 ;e Balace- T;e C9l8 War a8 A>er5ca 9l55c7 1,4"1,,1;577a5/5c C97eFuece7. T9 7ee ;e c9>98er 58u7r5al ec99>5e7 a7 9ur7el@ ;9= 7el@7u@@5c5e 9u are 5 c9>er5ca 9@

79>e "'' ear7 a9. $97 l5el9u 8ee @r9> 9u758e 79urce7 a8 ;e5r c95u9u7 arr56al 8e


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!URNS ENIRNMEN!

Nuclear %ar e&+r-& +'e e),r-)(e)+NISSANI 1992$95 r9@e779r a Wae Sae !56e7 5 ;e Balace- T;e C9l8 War a8 A>er5ca 9l55c7 1,4"1,,1;577a5/e7er59u7e65r9>eal ;rea7 =5ll :e a>el59rae8 . B 5ll5 :5ll597 a8 8e7r95 58u7r5al 5@ra7rucure7 uclear =ar >5; @9r 57ace ;al 9r 7l9=89= ;e 7u75. ) ;ala)ce ;9=e6er ;e =ar7 96erall e65r9>eal 5>97 cera5l

:e9 ;e ea56e758e.Ra859ac56e @all9u =5ll c9a>5ae 795l7 a8 =aer7 . We 7;all e7e Fua55e7 9@ 8u7 a8 7>9e. T;e 8u7 a8 7>9e >5; :lae 8are a8 c99l ;e e5reae 57 uclear245 =9ul8 :e @ar >9re 7e6ere 8ur5 ;e r9=5 7ea79lae 7>er 5 ;e 9r;er la5u8e7. OeCa77a8ra a8 c9r96er75al er5>e e>5ll59 ear7 a9 =;e +"J 9@ all 75a59 565 =9rl8=58e

:acr9u8 ra85a59 897e7 >a 5>e7 larer ;a ;a7 e6er ;a


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!URNS HEG

Nuclear %ar +ur)& 'e:e(-)NISSANI 1992$95 r9@e779r a Wae Sae !56e7 5 ;e Balace- T;e C9l8 War a8 A>er5ca 9l55c7 1,4"1,,1;577a5/:aa c9ur5e7 >5; e6er rec96er ;e5r 5era59al 7a857. T;e c9ul8err9r5e ;e =9rl8 @9r a =;5le =5; =;ae6er re>a5e8 9@ ;e5r uclear ar7eal7 :u =5; 79c5al a8 ec99>5c

c9lla5; @all 59 857re9re96er a a597 5era59al 5c ace >9ral @5:er a8 e8uca59 all 9@ =;5c; c9ul8 :e5rre6er75:l =eaee8 a@er a all9u =ar. S9 9e ;u8re8 ear7 a@er ;e =ar 5; a


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Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 20121 =9ul8 :e 8a>ae8 9r 8e7r9e8 . r9@e7759al 7c;99l7 are e6e>9re 6ulera:le 96er +'J 9@ ;e 7u8e7 are c9cerae8 5 ;e7e ur:a area7 =;5c; c9a5 9l ""J 9@ ;e eeral 7u8e


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!URNS INRAS!RUC!URE

Ee) a l,(,+e )uclear &+r,3e %-ul ea&+a+e ,)4ra&+ruc+ureINW 2010Iera59al ;75c5a7 @9r ;e re6e59 9@ Nuclear War W9 ;e 1,&" N9:el eace r5e (er9 57 ;e Ol Oeal Ca7e7 @9r Era85ca5 Nuclear Wea5ll59 5c c9>>u5ca597 a8 ra7a9r5 9@ 9re Cal5@9r5aENIRON$ENTA! ERTURBATIONS CAUSED B) THE I$ACTS O# ASTEROIDS AND CO$ETS0 Re65e=7 9@ Ge9


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!URNS CEANS

Nu3e %ar e&+r-& -cea) ;,-,er&,+SE6MUR 19ar5e :59l957 a8 er5u7 a U56er75 9@ Wa7;59 Seale @9r>er D5rec9r 9@ ;e !a:9ra9r 9@ Ra85a59 Ec9l9 T;e

A@er>a;- T;e Hu>a a8 Ec9l95cal C97eFuece7 9@ Nuclear War a re7ul @r9> a 8ra75c re8uc59 5;e 5c58ece 9@ 79lar l5; a ;e ear;P7 7ur@ace 9ra 755@5ca 5crea7e 5;e @lu 9@ulra659le l5; @9ll9=5 a uclear =ar. B9;@ac9r7 ;a6e ;e er D5rec9r 9@ ;e !a:9ra9r 9@ Ra85a59 Ec9l9 T;e

A@er>a;- T;e Hu>a a8 Ec9l95cal C97eFuece7 9@ Nuclear War


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!URNS RACISM/SE$ISM/E!C

Nuclear %ar %-ul cau&e au+'-r,+ar,a),&( rac,&( e)-'-;,a &e,&( a) rel,:,-u&,)+-lera)ceME 2008 #9r $9;er Ear; T;e E@@ec7 9@ Nuclear Wea


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Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 201222/59T;e l977 9@ >aer5al a8 575u59al re79urce7 5 ur:a58u7r5al aac7 =9ul8 >ae 7ur656al 5 ;e e:;e ee 9@ ;e 8e7 =9ul8 8e6el9eal Sc5ece7 Ruer7 U56er75 Ne= START Ea@alla[ull a8 Nuclear W5er0 E97 N96e>:er

A>er5ca Ge9 ;e @5re7 55e8 : uclear =eaall :lac 97uc; >9re e@@5c5el ;a l5;erc9l9re8 69lca5c a7;. I@ 5ece8 59 ;e u


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!URNS WARMING

Nu3e %ar cau&e& ra, %ar(,): ; e&+r-,): 4-re&+&WDWE 197 Ceer 9@ ;e $ar5e B59l9 !a:9ra9r a W9987 H9le $A. ;D 5 Ec9l9 a a8 Ec9l95cal C97eFuece7 9@ Nuclear War < 13&?

I ;a6e e>5ae ;e aural 6eea59 5 >97 9@ ;e ;a:5a:le 7ec597 9@ ;e l9:e. #9re77 >9re96er ;a6e aera9r85ar5l lare 5@luece 9 ;e re7 9@ ;e :5979re ela:9rae aal757 ;a ca :e9@@ere8 ;ere.


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U!WEIGHS WARMING

Nu3e %ar -u+%e,:'& %ar(,): a) all -+'er e),r-)(e)+al ,(ac+&AMBI ADISR6 GRU 19a;- T;e Hu>a a8 Ec9l95cal C97eFuece7 9@ Nuclear War a; 57 e 9@ ;e a a8 ec9l95cal c97eFuece7 9@ a uclear =ar >a ;el< 9 8eer 7uc; a caa7r9aae>e ec;9l9 a8 ;e aural 7c5ece7. T;r9u;9u ;e ear7Ambio ;a7 8eal =5; ;e a ;rea7 9 ;e e65r9>e 7uc; a7 r575 CO2 le6el7 5 ;e a>975; 7ee0 8ue 9 =ea;er@lucua597 al9eO89a 7a7.A8 ul5e ra8ual e65r9>eal c;ae7 a779c5ae8 =5; ree;9u7e a7accu>ula59 ;e raer7 9r ;e l9:al ec99> a 5>e 9 a8ae 7cear59 =9ul8 8ra>a5call re8uce r5ce


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A2 N E$!INC!IN

Ee) ,4 +'e a)&%er all -4 -ur ,),,ual ar:u(e)+& )uclear %ar ,& &+,ll ;a&)er: ;e+%ee),44ere)+ e44ec+& %-ul ;e ca+a&+r-',cUS ACDA 1975U.S. Ar>7 C9r9l a8 D57ar>a>e Aec W9rl8=58e E@@ec7 9@ Nuclear War0;5carc;56e.c9>/D9c7/E@@ec7/=e=58e.7;>l?

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9:7acle 9 5era59al rec96er e@@9r7. I ae>/e57e5al/r577.;>l?

W;5le 79>e9@ ;e e6e78e7cr5:e8 5 ;e 7ae? 9;er7c9ul8 98er c565l5a59 =ere 9 c9llaa 7a ;a6e u7e8 u< 99 >a 9@ ;eea75l a6a5la:le re79urce7 a 556e 79c5e =9ul8 ee8 9 u7e 9 =9r 57el@ u< 9 9ur le6el 9@ ec;9l9. A556e ;u>a 79c5e >a9r >a 9:e >9re l5el 9 @ace e5c59;a a 9;er a5>al 7


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6ES NUCEAR WIN!ER

We 'ae +'e ;e&+ (e+'--l-: a) +'e -)l accura+e (-el>)uclear %,)+er +'e-r ,& c-rrec+!N e+ al 20097e>:er 9@ ;e la:9ra9r @9r a>97er9u7 9ra5a5978ur5 ;e 1,&'7 all 9@ =;5c; @9u8 ;e :a75c 7c5ece 9 :e 79u8. Our >97 rececalcula597 al79 7u57lea85 eal c;ae7 a@er a uclear c9@l5c ;a7 :ee >uc; 5>ae a8 a>9757r=9r 57

:a7e8 9 7a8ar8 l9:al >98el7 @r9> NASAG988ar8P7 I75ue @9r S ;e US Na59al Ceer @9rA>9798el79 56e75ae cl5>ae c;ae a8 69lca5c erueal e@@ec7 9@ uclear =ar. I ;e 97:5e a>97al 7rucure 9@ $ar7P7 a>977. !5e 69lca9e7 lare@9re7 @5re7 reularl 5lar 9 ;97e a779c5ae8 =5; ;e 5ec59 9@ 799 59 ;e u


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Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 2012#1/59

BES! ME!HDG6

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A2 MDES D

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A2 MDES BAD

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A2 ! EW WARHEADS

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A2 E$!REME ES!IMA!E

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ARSENA SIE

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U.S.RUSSIA WAR KE6

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A2 AU!

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A2 EAR!H E$DES

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A2 NE SS

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A2 GENE!IC DAMAGE

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A2 D CN!AMINA!IN

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A2 !URNS WARMING

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A2 U.S.RUSSIA WAR

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A2 AN6 USE BAD

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