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OECD Thought Leader Survey Bruce Stokes Director, Global Economic Attitudes May, 2018 EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

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Page 1: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

OECD Thought Leader Survey

Bruce StokesDirector, Global Economic Attitudes May, 2018

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

Page 2: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

May 28, 2018 2

• Established 1996

• Funded by the Pew Charitable Trusts, foundations

• Non-profit, non-partisan fact tank in Washington

• Research topics: U.S. politicsMedia & newsSocial trendsInternet & techReligionScience Hispanics Global attitudes and migration

• www.pewresearch.org

Pew Research Center

2

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

Page 3: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

May 28, 2018 3

Methodology

• Results of online survey of 269 registered OECD Forum attendees conducted from April 26 to May 22, 2018

• Results of survey of 34,788 respondents conducted February 16 to April 28, 2017 in 32 countries. Additional results of a survey of over 38,000 respondents conducted July to October 2002 in 44 countries

3

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

Page 4: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

THE ECONOMIC, SOCIAL AND GOVERNANCE CONTEXT

May 28, 2018 4 4

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

Page 5: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

May 28, 2018 55

Many Believe Life Has Improved, But Widespread Pessimism for Children’s Financial Future

26%

57%

58

55%

42%

34

Life today is __ than it was 20 years ago for people in your country

When children today in your country grow up, they will be __ financially than their parents

Worse Better

Worse off Better off

OECD Forum attendees

Median of 19 OECD publics

OECD Forum attendees

Note: “About the same” responses not shown.Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees. Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey.

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

Page 6: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

30%

47

70%

51Median of 13 OECD publics, 2002

Do not like Like

I __ the pace of modern life

OECD Forum attendees

May 28, 2018 66

Large Majority of Thought Leaders Enjoy the Pace of Modern Life

Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees. Summer 2002 Global Attitudes Survey.

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

Page 7: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

15% 84%

Bad Good

Thought Leaders View Increased Diversity as a Positive

May 28, 2018 7 7

Note: “No change” and “don’t know” responses not shown.Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.

Thinking about the ethnic, religious and racial makeup of your country, over the past 20 years your country has become …

6% 83%

Less diverse More diverse

Among those who responded “more diverse,” this is a __ thing

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

Page 8: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

Agreement Among Thought Leaders that Equality Between Men and Women has Increased and is a Good Thing

May 28, 2018 8 8

7% 77%

Decreased Increased

1% 98%

Bad Good

Over the past 20 years, equality between men and women has __ in your country

Among those who responded “increased,” this is a __ thing

Note: “No change” and “don’t know” responses not shown.Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

Page 9: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

Among Thought Leaders, Concern about Weakening Family Ties

May 28, 2018 9 9

61% 9%

Weaker Stronger

88% 8%

Bad Good

Over the past 20 years, family ties in your country have become …

Among those who responded “weaker,” this is a __ thing

Note: “No change” and “don’t know” responses not shown.Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

Page 10: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

9%

15

46%

49

91%

80

54%

44

Bad Good

Bad Good

OECD Forum attendees

OECD Forum attendees

Median of 19 OECD publics

Median of 19 OECD publics

Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts

May 28, 2018 10 10

Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees. Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey.

A democratic system where representatives elected by citizens decide what becomes law would be a __ way of governing your country

Experts, not elected officials, making decisions according to what they think is best for the country would be a __ way of governing your country

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

Page 11: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

60%

39%

26

39%

61%

67

OECD Forum attendees

Median of 19 OECD publics

OECD Forum attendees

Do no better Do a better job

Bad Good

Thought Leaders Do Not Believe Ordinary People Would Do a Better Job Solving Problems, Yet Majority Backs Direct Democracy

May 28, 2018 11 11

Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees. Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey.

A democratic systems where citizens, not elected officials, vote directly on major national issues to decide what becomes law would be a __ way of governing your country

Ordinary people would__ solving the country’s problems than elected officials

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

Page 12: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

VIEWS ON THE MULTILATERAL SYSTEM

May 28, 2018 12 12

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

Page 13: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

Thought Leaders Say Common Values Bring Nations Together

May 28, 2018 13 13

67%

32%

Common problems

Common values

When thinking about the international system, __ are more important for bringing nations together

Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

Page 14: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

Overwhelming Majority of Thought Leaders Believe Multilateral System Has Positively Impacted Domestic Economies

May 28, 2018 14 14

10% 89%

Institutions within the multilateral system have had a __ impact on the domestic economies of individual countries

Negative Positive

Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

Page 15: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

May 28, 2018 1515

16%

22

24

54

56

83%

77

76

45

43

Promote peace

Promote prosperity

Are transparent

No Yes

Are efficient

Promote democratic values

Institutions that currently anchor the multilateral system …

Thought Leaders Say Multilateral Institutions Promote Peace, But Are Not Efficient and Are Not Transparent

Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

Page 16: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

May 28, 2018 16 16

47%

48

4

Major reform

Minor reform

No reform at all

The institutions that currently anchor the international system are in need of …

77%

20

1

Engage more with citizens than they

do today

Engage with citizens at the

current level

Engage less with citizens than they

do today

Institutions should …

Support for Reform of Multilateral Institutions, Backing for More Engagement with Citizens

Source: 2018 Pew Research Center survey of OECD Forum attendees.

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018

Page 17: OECD Thought Leader Survey · Strong Thought Leader Support for Representative Democracy, Far Less Backing for Rule by Experts May 28, 2018 10 10 Source: 2018 Pew Research Center

All Pew Research Center reports are available online at www.pewresearch.org

Bruce StokesDirector, Global Economic Attitudes@bruceestokes

EMBARGOED COPY – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION UNTIL 6PM PARIS TIME, MONDAY MAY 28, 2018; 12PM WASHINGTON TIME, MONDAY, MAY 28, 2018