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OPPORTUNITIES FOR RESEARCH IN AGEING AND
OLDER PEOPLE
Professor Robert Stout
Jeanne Calment(1875 - 1997)
Jeanne Calment: the oldest person who ever lived?
Centenarians – Royal Telegrams
1917 24
1952 200
1970 1000
1990 4000
2006 4623
Chances of living to 100
Born 1852 1 in 3800
Born 1896 1 in 310
Population NI 1901-2001(1901=100)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1901 1911 1921 1931 1941 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001
Census Year
0-44
45-74
75+
FemalesMales
AGEING 2008
•One third of everybody aged 65 and over who has existed in the whole history of human kind is alive today
•The world population aged 65 and over is increasing by 0.75 million people per month
•In the next 25 years the population aged 65 and over will grow by 88%. While the working age population will grow by 25%
LIFE EXPECTANCY
Who wants to live for ever? A scientific breakthrough could mean humans live for hundreds of years
BY TWEAKING OUR DNA, WE COULD SOON SURVIVE FOR HUNDREDS OF YEARS – IF WE WANT TO. STEVE CONNOR REPORTS ON A BREAKTHROUGH THAT HAS THE SCIENCE
WORLD DIVIDED
Dominic Lawson: An old dilemma: who wants to live for ever?
SCIENTISTS ABOVE ALL SHOULD RECOGNISE THE BENEFITS OF GENERATIONAL CHANGE
USA: National Long Term Care Survey (1982-1999)
• Disability in over 65’s decreased from 26.2% to 19.7%
• This is double the decrease in the mortality rate (1%)
• Rate of decline accelerating Manton, cited in Tallis and Fillit, 2003
Years Lived With DisabilityAge 60 and over
Dementia 11.2%
Stroke 9.5%
Musculo-skeletal disorders 8.9%
Cardiovascular disease 5.0%
Cancer 2.4%
(WHO, 2003)
Scientists discover way to reverse loss of memory
Excess Winter Mortality as % Increase over Non-Winter Deaths
Ireland 19%
United Kingdom 18%
Austria 14%
Belgium 13%
France 13%
Luxembourg 12%
Denmark 12%
Germany 11%
Netherlands 11%
Finland 10%
‘To hold to an unfailing bodily health, constant vigour
and tranquillity of mind, to preserve these into a green
and rugged old age until, without a struggle of any
sickness, soul and body disever’.
Von Boerhaave, 1737