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Automationoffutureroles:Report
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OutcomesreportfortheESRCandDSTLworkshopon“Automationoffutureroles”SimeonYates
UniversityofLiverpool
PrincipalInvestigatorESRC“Waysofbeinginadigitalage”scopingreview.
December2016
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1 IntroductionThisshortreportprovidesthekeyrecommendationsoftheESRCandDSTLAutomationofFutureRolesWorkshop.TheworkshopwascommissionedbytheESRCandDSTL,developedbytheESRCWaysofBeinginaDigitalAgescopingprojectandfacilitatedbyKnowInnovation.TheoriginalworkshopproposalcanbefoundinAnnex2.Theinvitedattendeeswereadeliberatelyinterdisciplinarymixofacademicsfromavarietyofdisciplinescoveringsocialsciences,psychology,businessstudies,humanitiesandcomputerscience.AlistofattendeescanbefoundinAnnex4.Theeventconsistedofasetoffacilitatedactivities,designedtoelicitideas,thoughtsopinions,andresearchquestionsfromtheattendingexperts.DetailsofthefacilitationplancanbefoundinAnnex3.Thecoregoalsoftheworkshopactivitieswere:
1. ToIdentifykeyresearchclustersandquestions2. Toidentifypriorityareasforresearch.
Section2.providesanoverviewofthekeyoutcomesfromtheworkshop.Section3notestherecommendationsforresearchclustersandprioritisationoftopicsdevelopedattheworkshop.Tables3and4layspecifictopicsandquestionsbyresearchcluster,‘level’andpriorityasrecommendedbytheworkshop.
2 OveralloutcomesTheworkshopidentified10researchclusters:
1. Socialandculturalattitudestoautomation2. Communityandsocialissues3. Systemdesignforbeing(in)digital/augmented/automatedwork4. Organisations,professionsandworkandautomation5. Trustandaccountabilityofautomatedsystems6. Whatishuman?–Whatistheroleofhumansinafutureautomatedsociety?7. Technologicallimitationsofautomation8. Researchmethods9. Educationandtraininginthecontextofautomatedandaugmentedworkroles10. Theory
FurtherdetailsofthesetenclustersarepresentedinAnnex1,Section1.Clusters1-8,oraspectsofthem,wereprioritisedandfurtherquestionsweredevelopedforeachpriority.Atalltimesarangeofcross-cuttingandoverlappingaspectstotheseresearchquestions/clusterswereidentifiedintheworkshop.Itwasrecognisedthatmanyoftheseclustersandquestionsareinterdependent,andanyoverarchingresearchprogrammewouldneedtoaddressthis.Sixrecommendedpriorityareaswereidentifiedbytwoteamsfromtheclusteringwork,thetimelineexerciseanddiscussionofdefinitions.DetailsofthesearepresentedinAnnex1,Section2.Theseprioritieswere:
1. Trustinautomatedsystems2. Meaningfulliferoles3. Roles,systemdesignandeconomics4. Oversightandgovernance5. Socialimpacts6. Researchmethods
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Allareasweredeemedtoneedinterdisciplinaryworking.Thereappearedtobethreelevelsofresearchfocuswithinclustersandthepriorityareas:
• Widersocialimpacts• Communityandorganisationallevelimpacts• Individualexperiencesandunderstandings
Formthiswehavedevelopedapotentialprojectmatricesbyresearchclusterandpriority(seeTable1andTable2).Table1:Projectmatrixbyresearchclusterandlevel
Widersocialimpacts
Communityandorganisationallevelimpacts
Individualexperiencesandunderstandings
Socialandculturalattitudestoautomation
Communityandsocialissues
Systemdesignforbeing(in)digital
Organisations,professionsandwork
Trustandaccountability
Whatishuman?–Whatistheroleofhumansinafuturesociety?
Technologicallimitations
Researchmethods
Table2:Priorityareasbylevel
Widersocialimpacts
Communityandorganisationallevelimpacts
Individualexperiencesandunderstandings
Trustinautomatedsystems
Meaningfulliferoles
Roles,systemdesignandeconomics
Oversightandgovernance
Socialimpacts
ResearchMethods
2.1 DefinitionsOneoftheinitialfocioftheworkshopwasthediscussionofdefinitions.Thereweretwokeyaspectstothisdiscussion:
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1. Automationvs/alongsideAugmentation?2. Howtodistinguishbetween“Automation”and“Digital”?
Itwasnotedthat“Automation”and“Augmentation”markedpointsonaspectrumoftechnologicalinterventionsinhumanaction.Somesystemsremoveallhumaninterventionandarefully“Automated”inotherstheautomationofaspectsofataskoractivity“Augment”humanabilities.Inanycallforresearchbothaspectsneedtobeaddressed.Itwasnotedintheworkshopthatideasof“Digitisation”and“Automation”appearedtobothoverlapandsometimesbesynonymous.Importantlyitwasrecognisedthatdigitisationprovidestheopportunityforconsiderableautomationoftasksoraugmentationofhumanactors,asitopensthedataoractivitytocomputationalprocessing.ForthepurposesofthisreportthefocusisthereforeonsystemsthatAutomatetasksorAugmenthumanaction–wheredigitisationisinmanycasesanecessarybutnotsufficientconditionfortheAutomationorAugmentation.
2.2 OtherissuesItwasalsoarguedthatisaneedtoaddress,supportandunderstandresearchimpactsaround:
• Beliefsandexperiences• Developmentandimplantationofsystems• Governmentandorganisationalpolicyandstrategy• Overallsocio-economicimpacts
Theworkshopalsonotedthatanynextstepsneededtoaddress:1. Theneedforsystematicliteraturereviewsacrossmultipledisciplinestoensurethatexisting
knowledgeandfindsarewelldocumented2. Giventhebreadthofthetopictheappropriatefundingmodelsneededtobeaddressed.
Suggestionsincluded:a. Seed-cornfundsforspecificcasestudiesb. Crosscouncilinterdisciplinarysandpitsorco-ordinatedcallsc. DedicatedPGRprovision.
3. ItwasalsonotedthatthetopicraisedkeyquestionsforHumanitiesandthattheinvolvementoftheAHRCmightbeappropriate.
3 RecommendationsWehaveconstructedmoredetailedversionsofTables1and2thatintegratespecificresearchquestionsdevelopedattheworkshop(seeTables3and4below).Wearenotrecommendingthatanyfuturefundingcallshouldcoverallpossibilities.RatherthetablesprovideasetofoptionsthatESRCandDSTLcanlooktoaddress.
3.1 NotsohiddenelephantintheroomTheissueoftheimpactofAutomationonemploymentlevelsandtypes,aswellastheimpliedsocialimpactswasaconstantundercurrentthroughouttheworkshop.Thisissuealsoappearsintheprojectandprioritytable.AsFigure1indicatesThoughproductivityperworkhasincreasedconsistentlyoverthelasttwocenturies,forthefirsttimethereisabreakbetweenproductivitygrowthandprivateemployment.Thisisthefirstindicationthatchangesinthetechnologiesofproductionandproductivityarenotleadingtogrowthinnewformsofemployment.ThisbreakcoincideswiththeriseoftheInternetandgrowing
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automationofwhitecollarwork.Muchhasbeenmadeofthisinpopularworks.ThisconcernmaydrivebothpolicymakersandresearchorganisationsconcernswiththeissueofAutomation.Theworkshopdiscussionsoftentookthisasastartingpointorraisedquestionsaboutit.Oneimportantpotentialresearchinvestmentareawouldbeasystematicreviewoftheevidenceforthisbreakingofthelinkbetweenproductivityandemployment.
Figure1:Productivitygraph
3.2 ResearchandprioritytopicmatricesTables(3and4)inbelowdefinepotentialareasidentifiedbytheworkshopforresearchinvestmentstofocuson.Thesewouldbescalabledependingontheavailablefundingorchosenfundinginstruments.
• Iffundinginstrumentsweresmall,itwouldbepossibletocallforinitialscopingstudies,casestudies,oranalysesofavailabledatasetsthataddressedoneormoreofthe“boxes”.
• Forlargerfundinginstrumentsprojects,couldcutacrossroworcolumns,oracoherentsetofmatrix“boxes”.
Thematricescouldalsobeappliedtodifferentspecificcontextsandinstitutionalsettings,suchas:
• Manufacturing• Officework• Domesticwork• Healthandsocialcare• Security• Etc.
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Thetwomatricesthereforeprovideabasisfortargetedresearchcallsthataddresseitherthespecificquestionsidentifiedintheworkshoporforotherquestionsandissuesthatacademicandpolicyresearchersmayidentifywithinthatcontext.
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3.3 SpecificquestionswithinprojectmatrixbyresearchclusterandlevelTable3:Specificquestionswithinprojectmatrixbyresearchclusterandlevel
Widersocialimpacts Communityandorganisationallevelimpacts
Individualexperiencesandunderstandings
Socialandculturalattitudestoautomation
• Doeseveryonebenefit
equallyfromautomation?
• Dodifferencesbetween
nationalculturesaffect
attitudestoautomation?
• Whatcanwelearnabout
historicdebatesand
controversiesabout
automation?
• Howtoattitudestoautomation
varybysocialclass,ageand
ethnicbackground?
• Whatcanwelearnfrom
social/culturalanxietiesabout
automationconcerning
regulationandaccessibilityof
automatedsystems?
• Howdoattitudestowards
technology/automationshapethe
developmentandimplementationof
technology(acceptance/rejection)?
Communityandsocialissues
• Isautomationgoingto
makeinequalitiesworse?
• Whichcommunitiesare
goingtobemostaffected
and/oreffected
• Addressingimpactson
places?
• Arethere
gender/age/other
impacts?
• Also–domesticvs/and
work/roles
• Understandingincontextof
socialchallenges/issues?
• Mightautomationfreeuppeople
tofocusonsocialactions?
• Whatpartsofcommunity/social
eco-systemsaredamagedby
automation?
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Widersocialimpacts Communityandorganisationallevelimpacts
Individualexperiencesandunderstandings
Systemdesignforbeing(in)digital
• Howdowedesign‘roles’inan
automatedsocietythatcan
withstandorresistcommodification
andtheprofitmotive?
• Whatethicalconsiderationsshould
be‘builtinto’systemspriorto
automation?
• Howcanwedesignwaysof
beingdigitalthatrespect
alterityanddifference?
• Whataretheeffectson
‘being’indigitalspaces?
• Whyshouldtasks(as
opposedtoroles)be
automatedinasocio-
technicalsystem?
• Whatarethebenefitsof
replacingoraugmentingor
evadingautomationof
tasks?
• Whatarethetheoretical
andpracticalcontingencies
inthemovefromoperator
tooperated?
Organisations,professionsandwork
• Howdoestechnologicalchange
impactexistingjobs,leadtothe
emergenceofnewonesandthe
disappearanceofothers?
• Howcanweincludethenon-human
inoursocialtheorizing?
• Howwilltechnology
transformorganisations,their
tasksanddecision-making
process?–implications
• Howcanonemanage
(semi-)automatedteams?
• Howdothesetechnological
changesaffectthe
boundariesbetween
professions?
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Widersocialimpacts Communityandorganisationallevelimpacts
Individualexperiencesandunderstandings
Trustandaccountability
• Whatautomatedsystemsneed
tobecertifiedinthefutureto
ensuretrueaccountabilityfor
autonomousentities?
• Whatisthe
responsibilityversus
accountabilityof
automatedsystems?
• Howdoestrustinautomated
systemsdevelop?
• Dothehuman-to-humantrust
modelstranslatetothehuman-to-
artificialintelinteractions?
Whatishuman?–Whatistheroleofhumansinafuturesociety?
• Howaredifferentgroupsof
peopleaffectedbyautomation?
E.g.thosewhosejobsare
replacedvs.thoseinteracting
withtheautomatedsystem?
• Towhatextentand
whatelementsof
workdowewantto
beautomated?
• Howwillthevalueof
humanlabourchange
inanautomated
economy?
• Whatdoesitmeantohave
meaningful/fulfillinglifeinan
automatedworld?
• Towhatextentisit
desirable/acceptabletohave
automatedsystemsmake
‘objective’/’value-free’decisions
aboutdailylives?
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Widersocialimpacts Communityandorganisationallevelimpacts
Individualexperiencesandunderstandings
Technologicallimitations
• Howdoweensurethat
futureAIisnotunknowingly
biasesinitsanalysis–ensure
systemsbehaveinan
unbiasedmanner?
• Howdowepredictthat
peoplemay‘game’the
system?
• Whatcouldpossiblygo
wrong?Howdowe
anticipatepotentialcrises?
• Whatistherelationship
betweenquantityofdata
andqualityofdecision
making?And
understanding.
• Howdoweverifyasystemthatisself-
learning
• Whatcanwelearnfromthosewho
resisttheimposition/deployment/use
ofautomatedsystems?
Researchmethods
• Whicharethemost
appropriatemethodsto
addressquestionsatthislevel?
Whicharethemostappropriate
methodstoaddressquestionsat
thislevel?
Whicharethemostappropriatemethodsto
addressquestionsatthislevel?
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3.4 SpecificquestionswithinpriorityareasbylevelTable4:Specificquestionswithinpriorityareasbylevel
Widersocialimpacts Communityandorganisationallevelimpacts
Individualexperiencesandunderstandings
Trustinautomatedsystems
• Essential–trustworthy
systems,politicsandcohesion?
• Howwilltechnologytransform
organisations,theirtasksand
decision-makingprocess?–
Implications(includingstructural
andprocesses)Whodothis
• TrustandaccountabilityAND
organisations,professionsand
work?
• Howdoestrustin
automatedsystems
develop?
Meaningfulliferoles
• Needasocialdefinitionof
automation
• Inarangeofsectors(notfocuson
manufacturing
• Whitecollar/serviceroles?
• Whatdoesitmeantohavea
meaningful/fulfillinglifein
anautomatedworld?
Roles,systemdesignandeconomics
• Howdowedesign‘roles’inan
automatedsocietythatcan
withstandorresist
commodificationandtheprofit
motive?
• Howtoreflectarangeofvaluesin
designofsystemsbothinthe
transitiontoautomationandin
systemsustainability
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Widersocialimpacts Communityandorganisationallevelimpacts
Individualexperiencesandunderstandings
Oversightandgovernance
• Whataretheappropriate
oversightmodelsforan
automatedworld?
• Whataretheappropriate
oversightmodelsforan
automatedworld?
• Whataretheappropriate
oversightmodelsforan
automatedworld?
Socialimpacts • Howwillautomationimpact
inequality?
• Howislifechanginginan
automatedsociety?
• Howwillautomationaffect
communityandidentity?
• Howwillautomationaffect
communityandidentity?
ResearchMethods
• Understandwhatmethodsmight
weusetoimplementautomation
systemsandunderstandtheir
adaption?
• Understandwhatmethodsmight
weusetoimplementautomation
systemsandunderstandtheir
adaption?
• Understandwhatmethodsmight
weusetoimplementautomation
systemsandunderstandtheir
adaption?
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Annex1:Detailsofresearchclustersandpriorityareas1 Researchclustersandquestions1.1 Socialandculturalattitudestoautomation1.1.1 Questionset1:Socialbenefitsandattitudes
• Doeseveryonebenefitequallyfromautomation?• Howtoattitudestoautomationvarybysocialclass,ageandethnicbackground?• Dodifferencesbetweennationalculturesaffectattitudestoautomation?• Whatcanwelearnabouthistoricdebatesandcontroversiesaboutautomation?• Whatcanwelearnfromsocial/culturalanxietiesaboutautomationconcerning
regulationandaccessibilityofautomatedsystems?1.1.1.1 Whatevidencewillthisgenerate?Whatcouldthisbeusedfor?
• Policyregardingeducation/skillstraining• Designinsightintoautomatedsystemsthatneedtoopposee.g.acrossnational
cultures• Informpublicdebatesaboutaccountabilityofautomation• Regulationandinvestmentdecisionsregardingautomation
1.1.1.2 Whichdisciplinesneedtobeinvolved?
• Economics• Sociology• Mediaandcommunications• Socialhistory• HCI• Design• Computerscience• Law
1.1.2 Questionset2:Technologyimplementationattitudes
• Howdoattitudestowardstechnology/automationshapethedevelopmentandimplementationoftechnology(acceptance/rejection)
1.1.2.1 Whatevidencewillgeneratethis?Whatcoulditbeusedfor?
• Informbusinesshowtechnologyismade,howitcanbemoreinclusive1.1.2.2 Whichdisciplinesneedtobeinvolved?
• Business• Informationsystems/computerscience• Sociology• Mediaandcommunications• Economics• Design
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1.2 Communityandsocialissues1.2.1 Questionset1:Macro-levelissues(Society)
• Isautomationgoingtomakeinequalitiesworse?• Whichcommunitiesaregoingtobemostaffectedand/oreffected• Addressingimpactsonplaces?• Aretheregender/age/otherimpacts?• Also–domesticvs/andwork/roles
1.2.1.1 Whatevidencewillthisgenerate?Whatcouldthisbeusedfor?
• Socialandeconomicimpacts• Dataforpolicyplanning
1.2.1.2 Whatdisciplinesneedtobeinvolved?
• Sociology• Economics• IMF/CS• Socialpolicy• Urbanregeneration
1.2.2 Questionset2:Meso-levelissues(Community)
• Understandingincontextofsocialchallenges/issues?• Mightautomationfreeuppeopletofocusonsocialactions?• Whatpartsofcommunity/socialeco-systemsaredamagedbyautomation?
1.2.2.1 Whatevidencewillthisgenerate?Whatcouldthisbeusedfor?
• Socialpolicy• Resilientcommunities• Ideasforsocialaction
1.2.3 Questionset3:Micro-levelissues(Individualsandworkplaces)
• Understandingroles,employeeperceptionsofroleandwhatcan/shouldbeautomated?
• Understandingfromworkersperceptionsofautomatedimpacts?• Istherevariationsinperceptionsbyoccupation?• Whatremainsofvaluetothehuman/ofthehuman?
1.2.3.1 Whatevidencewillthisgenerate?Whatcoulditbeusedfor?
• Helpdesign• Policy• Consequences• P/R• Jobdesign• Workplaceconduct
1.2.3.2 Whatdisciplinesneedtobeinvolved?
• OccupationalPsychology• Sociology• Management
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• Studies• Infostudies/CS
1.3 Systemdesignforbeing(in)digital1.3.1 Questionset1
• Whyshouldtakes(asopposedtoroles)beautomatedinasocio-technicalsystem?• Whatarethebenefitsofreplacingoraugmentingorevadingautomationoftasks?• Howdowedesign‘roles’inanautomatedsocietythatcanwithstandorresist
commodificationandtheprofitmotive?• Howcanwedesignwaysofbeingdigitalthatrespectalterityanddifference?• Whatethicalconsiderationsshouldbe‘builtinto’systemspriortoautomation?• Whataretheeffectson‘being’indigitalspaces?• Whatarethetheoreticalandpracticalcontingenciesinthemovefromoperatorto
operated?1.3.1.1 Whatevidencewillthisgenerate?Whatcouldthisbeusedfor?
• Designrulesandapproaches,andtheconsequencesofsuchdesignwithsocio-technicalsystems
• Informindustrypracticebyhighlightingvisibleaswellasinvisibleautomationsofroles
• Insightintotheeffectsofautomationin/betweentasksandroles1.3.1.2 Whichdisciplinesneedtobeinvolved?
• Artificialintelligence• Designers• Informationsystems• Legal• Psychology• Managementandbusiness• Humangeography• Philosophyoftechnology• Datascience• Marketingandconsumerscience
1.4 Organisations,professionsandwork1.4.1 Questionset1
• Howwilltechnologytransformorganisations,theirtasksanddecision-makingprocess?–implications
• Howcanonemanage(semi-)automatedteams?• Howdoestechnologicalchangeimpactexistingjobs,leadtotheemergenceofnew
onesandthedisappearanceofothers?• Howdothesetechnologicalchangesaffecttheboundariesbetweenprofessions?• Howcanweincludethenon-humaninoursocialtheorizing?
1.4.1.1 Whatevidencewillthisgenerate?Whatcouldthisbeusedfor?
• Informworkforcepolicyandplanning• Updateprofessionaljurisdiction
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• Aligneducationwith(new)jobmarketdemands• Tobetterunderstandorganisationalandteamboundariesandtheirprocesses• Updateouttheoretical‘toolkits’
1.4.1.2 Whichdisciplinesneedtobeinvolved?
• Informationalsystems• Organisational/psychology• Organisationscience• Data/computerscience• Sociology• Economy• Anthropologist• Industrialrelations• Philosophy
1.5 Trustandaccountability1.5.1 Questionset1
• Howdoestrustinautomatedsystemsdevelop?• Dothehuman-to-humantrustmodelstranslatetothehuman-to-artificialintel
interactions?• Whatautomatedsystemsneedtobecertifiedinthefuturetoensuretrue
accountabilityforautonomousentities?• Whatistheresponsibilityversusaccountabilityofautomatedsystems?
1.5.1.1 Whatevidencewillthisgenerate?Whatcouldthisbeusedfor?
• AllowustoengineersystemswheretrustdevelopsappropriatelyEnableustodeveloplegalandgovernanceprocessesandproceduresforfutureautomatedsystems
1.5.1.2 Whichdisciplinesneedtobeinvolved?
• Law• Psychology• Sociology• Safetyengineering• Educationalists• Computerscientists• Policymakers• Regulators• Manufactures(includingsoftwareengineers)• Scienceproviders• Cluster
1.6 Whatishuman?–Whatistheroleofhumansinafuturesociety?1.6.1 Questionset1
• Howaredifferentgroupsofpeopleaffectedbyautomation?E.g.thosewhosejobsarereplacesvs.thoseinteractingwiththeautomatedsystem
• Whatdoesitmeantohavemeaningful/fulfillinglifeinanautomatedworld?
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• Towhatextentandwhatelementsofworkdowewanttobeautomated?• Howwillthevalueofhumanlabourchangeinanautomatedeconomy?• Towhatextentisitdesirable/acceptabletohaveautomatedsystemsmake
‘objective’/’value-free’decisionsaboutdailylives?1.6.1.1 Whatevidencewillthisgenerate?Whatcouldthisbeusedfor?
• Couldbeusedtoinformpolicyandgovernancearoundautomation• Facilitatepublicconversationaroundautomation• Improveefficiencyandproductivitythroughworkforceoptimism
1.6.1.2 Whichdisciplinesneedtobeinvolved?
• Philosophy• Psychology• Sociology• Politicalscience• Economics• Medicine• Managementandbusinessstudies• Anthropology
1.7 Technologicallimitations1.7.1 Questionset1
• Howdowepredictthatpeoplemay‘game’thesystem?• HowdoweensurethatfutureAIisnotunknowinglybiasesinitsanalysis–ensure
systemsbehaveinanunbiasedmanner?• Howdoweverifyasystemthatisself-learning• Whatcouldpossiblygowrong?Howdoweanticipatepotentialcrises?• Whatistherelationshipbetweenquantityofdataandqualityofdecisionmaking?
Andunderstanding.1.7.1.1 Whatevidencewillthisprovide?Whatcouldthisbeusedfor?
• Datathatcanhelpunderstandhowfair/goodoutcomesare.Feedbackloopschecksandbalancing
• Informsengineersonhowsystemscanimprove1.7.1.2 Whichdisciplinesneedtobeinvolved?
• Law• Psychology• Sociology• Safetyengineering• Educationalists• Computer/datascientists• Policy-makers• Regulators• Manufacturers• Serviceproviders
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1.8 “Refuse-nicks”1.8.1 Questionset1
• Whatcanwelearnfromthosewhoresisttheimposition/deployment/useofautomatedsystems?
1.8.1.1 Whatevidencewillthisgenerate?
• Everything1.8.1.2 Whichdisciplinesneedtobeinvolved?
• Everyone
2 Priorities2.1 Priority1:Team12.1.1 Trustinautomation
2.1.1.1 Questionsandissues
• Howdoestrustinautomatedsystemsdevelop?• Howwilltechnologytransformorganisations,theirtasksanddecision-making
process?–Implications(includingstructuralandprocesses)Whodothis?• Essential–trustworthysystems,politicsandcohesion• TrustandaccountabilityANDorganisations,professionsandwork
2.1.1.2 Anydependenceonotherthings?
• Language• Generalgovernance• Interdisciplinaryworking• Cultureandcontext
2.2 Priority1:Team22.2.1 Meaningfullife
2.2.1.1 Questionsandissues
• Whatdoesitmeantohaveameaningful/fulfillinglifeinanautomatedworld?• Inarangeofsectors(notfocusonmanufacturing)• Whitecollar/serviceroles• Needadefinitionofautomation
2.2.1.2 Whydothis?
• Needtoincludehistoricalperspectives• Getsustothinkaboutautomationinnewsectors• Needtogeneratenew/differentscenarios‘engineeringthehumanexperience’• Beyondjustwork–holisticexperienceofbeinghuman
2.2.1.3 Anydependenceonotherthings?
• Multidisciplinaryapproach
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2.3 Priority2:Team12.3.1 Roles,systemdesignandeconomics
2.3.1.1 Questionsandissues
• Howdowedesign‘roles’inanautomatedsocietythatcanwithstandorresistcommodificationandtheprofitmotive?
• Howtoreflectarangeofvaluesindesignofsystemsbothinthetransitiontoautomationandinsystemsustainability
2.3.1.2 Whydothis?
• Takeupandresponsibleuse• Informscycle• Useandtakeupandattitudes• SocialandculturalattitudesANDsystemdesign
2.3.1.3 Anydependenceonotherthings?
• Language• Generalgovernance• Interdisciplinary• Cultureandcontext
2.4 Priority2:Team22.4.1 Oversightandgovernance
2.4.1.1 Questionsandissues
• Whataretheappropriateoversightmodelsforanautomatedworld?2.4.1.2 Whydothis?
• Enablesustounderstandthetrustissue• Itissocietypositive• Ensuresweconsiderthehuman/techinterface• Facilitatesautomationinclusion• Balancedassessmentoftherisks• Transparencyandaccountability
2.4.1.3 Anydependenceonotherthings?
• Multidisciplinaryapproach
2.5 Priority3:Team12.5.1 Socialimpacts
2.5.1.1 Questionsandissues
• Howwillautomationimpactinequality?• Howislifechanginginanautomatedsociety?• Howwillautomationaffectcommunityandidentity?
2.5.1.2 Whydothis?
• Socialandcommunityissues• Whatishuman?• Supportingautomation?
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• Supportingcreativity?• Supportingsustainability?
2.5.1.3 Anydependenceonotherthings?
• Language• Generalgovernance• Interdisciplinary• Cultureandcontext
2.6 Priority3:Team22.6.1 Methods
2.6.1.1 Questionsandissues
• Understandwhatmethodsmightweusetoimplementautomationsystemsandunderstandtheiradaption?
2.6.1.2 Whydothis?
• Enablesverification• Maximisesthepotentialofautomation• Recognisethecomplexity• Enablesevaluationofautomation• Fillsmethodgaps• Learningfromnon-adaptorsor[r8fvsniks??]
2.6.1.3 Anydependenceonotherthings?
• Multidisciplinaryapproach2.7 Otherrecommendations2.7.1 Systematicliteraturereview
2.7.1.1 Questionsandissues
• ASLR(systematicliteraturereview)ofautomationdiscoveringnewthemesandmemeswhichwillinformfutureresearchchallenges
2.7.1.2 Whydothis?
• Insightintocross-culturalexperiencesofautomation• Immediatelyrelevanttomultidisciplinarydebates• Providesarangeofhistoricalperspectives
2.7.1.3 Anydependenceonotherthings?
• Databases• Rangeofmethods(archives,surveys,narrativeanalysis,coding)• Specialistadvicethroughouttheprojects
2.7.2 Funding
2.7.2.1 Questionsandissues
• Considersmallscaleresponsivefunding• Callsthatcangettothefieldquicklyandreportquickly• Mayneedabbreviatedreviewprocesstoensuredatatobecapturednowonkey
issuesthatarerapidlychanging
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2.7.2.2 Whydothis?
• Providesfoundationforiterativeresearchdesign• Captureoffastmovingtrends• Helpsshapelargerfundingcalls
2.7.3 Humanities–forAHRC?
2.7.3.1 Questionsandissues
• (Digital)heritageandautomation–• Whatis/arethechangingroles(s)ofculturalheritageinfast-automatingsocieties?• Whatworktasksandtypesofexperiencewillbeautomatedin5/10/15yearstime?
2.7.3.2 Whydothis?
• Globalterrorismisdestroyingphysicalsitesofuniqueculturalandspiritualsignificanceatanunprecedentedrate
• Automation/digitalisation/systemsofpreservationandcommunicationoftasksassociatedwithheritagearethereforeurgentlyrequired
2.7.3.3 What’sitspriority?
• Essentialforhumanitieswell-beingandethnic/culturalidentity2.7.3.4 Anydependenceonotherthings?
• PoliticalgovernancePublicmobilisation
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Annex2:WorkshopProposalAutomationoffuturerolesscopingworkshop:ProposalSimeonYates:PIESRCBeingDigitalproject
July2016
1 IntroductionTheproposedtopicisverybroadandcomplex.Therehasbeenvariedandextensivediscussionofthisissueacrossmultipledisciplinesformuchofthelasthalf-century.Fromthemoreutopianvisionsofan"endtowork"(Gorz,1985),todetailedmorecriticalstudiesoftheimpactonorganisations(Zuboff,1988)throughtomorecontemporaryaccountsandpredictions(Anderson&Rainie,2010).Otherworkhashadamoresocio-economicfocusontheimplicationsforemploymentandinequality(Davidson,2013;McIntosh,2013)throughtothedevelopmentofspecifictechnologies(e.g.insocialcare,Broekens,et.al.,2009).Itisalsoanareafraughtwithchallenges,notleastunderstandingtheunintendedconsequencesoftechnologychangeandtheneedtothinkbeyondcurrentsocialassumptions(SeeAppendix).Thekeyquestionsalsorequireinterdisciplinaryandmultidisciplinaryworking.Wethereforesuggestthatthegoaloftheworkshopshouldbetoidentifythemainconceptsandrelevantresultsfromresearch,todevelopatypologyofresearch,knowledgegapsandquestions.Thiswouldprovideabasisforfurtherresearchanddiscussion.
3 Focus3.1 Aim
• Toassessthepotentialimplicationofcontinued'automation'ofhumantasks,rolesandjobs.• Toassessmajorchallengesandknowledgegapsanddiscusshowresearchcouldhelpin
addressingthose.3.2 Objectives
• Toidentifyandassessprioracademicandstakeholderpredictionsoftheimpactofnewtechnologiesonhumantasks,rolesandjobs.
• Toidentifyandassessmethodologiesbywhichimpactsandeffectscanbeassessed,inparticularon:
o tasks,roles,andjobs.o human,knowledge,skillsandattributes.o organisationalstructuresandcultures.o organisationaldevelopment.o workforcetraining,recruitment,engagementandmotivation.o decisionmakinginorganisations
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4 ParticipantsTheworkshopistobringtogetheracademicexperts(variousdisciplinarybackgrounds)andpractitioners(representingvariousindustriesandsectors).Thiswillincludebothdirectandopeninvites.Abalancedmixofbetween40and50inviteeswillbeselected.
• Academicswillbeinvitedfromthefollowingdisciplines:o Sociology–especiallysociologyoftechnologyo Economics–especiallyeconomicsoftechnologicalchangeo Psychology–especiallyorganisationaltechnologyo Informationsystems–especiallybusinessinformationsystemso Computerscience–especiallyroboticsandautomationo Datascience–especiallyartificialintelligenceandmachinelearningo Engineering–especially‘human-in-the-loop’engineeringsolutionso Visualarts–especiallyinteractivedesignanddigitalhumanitieso Philosophy–especiallyethicaltechnologyinnovation
• PractitionerswillbeinvitedfromarangeofindustriesandgovernmentdepartmentsOpenacademicinviteswillbedistributedviaappropriateacademicnetworks,professionalbodiesandemaillists.OpenindustryinviteswillbedistributedviatheDigitalLeadersnetwork,whichalsoincludesanumberofindustriallyengagedacademicresearchers.
5 Potentialdiscussiontopics5.1 DefinitionsUnlessthereisatightdefinitionof'automation'tobeprovidedbyESRCorDSTLweexpecttheworkshoptofirstfocusonthescopeofthefollowingdiscussions:
• Definitionsof'automation'andrelevanttechnologies,suchas:o Robots-inmanufacture,socialcare?o Business-processsystems,analytics?o Everydaylife–memoryandfinding(Siri,GPS)?o Medicine–expertsystems?
5.2 ResearchgapsorquestionsIdentifyingthepressingresearchquestions:
• Academic–wherearethegapsincurrentdisciplinaryandmulti-disciplinaryorinter-disciplinarywork?
• Practitioner–whichquestionsaremostpressingforindustry,policyorpractice?5.3 ResearchmethodsWhichmethodsorapproachesarebesttoaddressandassessthekeyquestionsidentifiedabove:
• Howtoassessmultiple,complexandoften'non-linear'impacts?• Howtobestunderstandanddocumenttheunintendedconsequencesoftechnological
change?• Whichdataandmethodsofanalysiswillbestaddressthequestionsidentifiedbythe
workshop?• Whichinterdisciplinaryormultidisciplinarymixisneededtoaddressspecificquestions?
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6 Format6.1 WorkshoplengthGiventhecomplexityofthetopicatwo-dayworkshopwouldbepreferable.Thoughthismaybelimitedbybudget,timingandattendeeavailability.Ashortnoticeeventwouldneedsbeonedaytoallowseniorcolleaguestomaketravelplans.Atwo-dayeventwouldbebetterifnon-UKcolleagueswouldliketoattend.
6.2 StructureWeproposefollowingabroadly'un-conference'formatofregularlychangingworkinggroupswithprofessionalfacilitationsupport.Theeventwouldnotthereforeincludepresentations,butratherfocusedcollaborativeactivitiestoelicitideasandinformationrelevanttothetopicsunderdiscussion.Wewouldagreeadesignfortheeventwiththefacilitationteamthatwillhopefullydeliverrobustoutcomeswhilstalsoallowingtheparticipantsroomtoguideanddirecttheflowoftheevent.AproposedstrucugreinpresentedinTable1.Time Day1 Lead Day2 Lead
Morning Introductions ESRCBeingDigitalTeam
Researchquestionandgapsworkinggroups
Facilitators
Morning Collectiveengagementactivities
Facilitators Feedbackonquestionandgaps
Facilitators
Morning Scopingofconceptsworkinggroups
Facilitators Methodsworkinggroups Facilitators
Lunch Lunchbreak Lunchbreak
Afternoon Feedbackonscoping Facilitators Feedbackonmethods Facilitators
Afternoon Conceptsandquestionsworkinggroups
Facilitators Opensession/Nextstepworkinggroups
Facilitators
Afternoon Feedbackonconceptsandquestions
Facilitators Feedbackonppensession/Nextstep
Facilitators
Eveningmeal
Eveningmeal Reviewofworkshopandclose
ESRCBeingDigitalTeam
Evening Eveningspeaker ESRCBeingDigitalTeam
6.3 FacilitationWewouldwanttomakeuseofKnowInnovation(http://knowinnovation.com)asthefacilitationteam.WehaveworkedwiththisteamonanumberofprioroccasionsandtheyalsohaveatrackrecordofworkingwithEPSRCandtheESRC.6.4 OnlineworkspaceTheteamwillprovideasharedonlineworkspaceforpreandposteventactivitiesusing"WellSorted"(http://www.well-sorted.org)tosupportpre-workshopactivities.
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6.5 CapturingoutputsDuringtheworkshopallthepapermaterialsfromactivitieswillbecollectedandarchived.Otherpotentialroutestocapturingdatainclude:
• photographingandaudio-videorecordingsofkeyelementsoftheday• dedicatednotetakers/scribes• twitterhandleandhashtag
Foramorecreativeactivitytheteamwillengagean"artist/cartoonistinresidence"fortheworkshopwhowillseektovisuallycapturediscussionsandideas.
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7 Outcomes7.1 ReportTheprojectteamwillusethedataandmaterialsrecordedbytheworkshoptoprovidethefollowing:
• adetailedreportfortheESRC(10,000words).• ashortreportfornon-academicpartnersandstakeholders(5,000words)
Dependingontheagreedgoalsoftheworkshopthereportwillprovidedetailof:• identifiedresearchgapsandissues• researchmethodsrecommendations• researchpolicyrecommendations• potentialimmediatenextactions
7.2 Otherpotentialoutputs7.2.1 Editedbook
Giventhatthiseventwillbearareopportunitytobringtogetherbothacademicsandpractitioners;capturingthisdebateinapublishedformatwouldbenefitbothcommunities.Thediscussionscouldprovidebothmaterialsforcontentoridentifykeyareastobereviewed.TheESRCBeingDigitalteambelievethatanumberofpublishersbothUKandinternationalwouldbeinterestedinsuchavolume(Intellect,UniversityofCaliforniaPress).7.2.2 Website
Awebsitereportingontheworkshopcouldbedevelopedfromthecollectedmaterials.
8 NextstepsAssumingtheproposalisacceptabletotheESRCandDSTL:
• Engagefacilitators• Setupplanningmeetingwithteam,facilitators,ESRCandDSTL
9 CostsItems
2Dayworkshop 100%(FEC) 80%(FEC)
Organisingteam-PIX1 4200.95 3360.76
Co-Ix2Disciplinesupport 7264.72 7264.72
PDRAx2 3767.38 3013.904
EstatesandIndirect(Notrequested)
Facilitators(KnowInnovation) 6000 4800
Refreshmentsandcatering 3210 2568
OrganizingteamandBeingDigitalSteeringGroupT&S 8000 6400
Artist 1300 1040
Stationaryandmaterials 400 320
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Reportpreparationandprinting 2853 2282.4
Total(excludingestateandindirectcosts) 36996.05 29596.84
10 Appendix:ThechallengeoffuturologyOverestimatingtheimpactofatechnology(plastic)andunderestimatingsocialchange(feminismandchangingdomesticroles).
11 ReferencesAnderson,J.,&Rainie,L.(2010).FutureoftheinternetIV-expertsandstakeholdersdiscusspredictionsaboutthefutureoftheinternet.Pewinternet&Americanlifeproject.Broekens,J.,Heerink,M.,&Rosendal,H.(2009).Assistivesocialrobotsinelderlycare:areview.Gerontechnology,8(2),94-103.Davidson,P.(2013).Incomeinequalityandhollowingoutthemiddleclass.JournalofPostKeynesianEconomics,36(2),381-384.Gorz,A.(1985).Pathstoparadise:ontheliberationfromwork.PlutoPress.McIntosh,S.(2013).Hollowingoutandthefutureofthelabourmarket.BISResearchPaper,(134).Zuboff,S.(1988).Intheageofthesmartmachine:Thefutureofworkandpower.Basicbooks.
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Annex3:Workshopplan
Automation of Future Roles Scoping Workshop, 7/8th November 2016 University of Liverpool London Campus, Finsbury Square DRAFT FACILITATION AGENDA - NOT FOR PUBLICATION Aims:
1. To assess the potential implication of continued of human tasks, roles and jobs. 2. To assess major challenges and knowledge gaps and discuss how research could help in addressing those.
Required Outputs/Outcomes: The project team will use the data and materials recorded by the workshop to provide the following:
● a detailed report for the ESRC (10,000 words). ● a short report for non-academic partners and stakeholders (5,000 words)
Target outputs for this workshop: 1. identified research gaps and issues 2. research policy recommendations
○ Research areas (to address current gaps) ○ Identified evidence base to inform policy
3. research methods recommendations Participants:
● Invited participants - mixture of disciplines, academia and industry; 70 invited ● Project team members - 15, expect 2 or 3 to attend ● ESRC/DSTL stakeholders (8) ● Expect 35-40 on the day in total
Facilitators: David Lomas, Caragh Dewis Day 1
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Time Mins Activity Notes Lead/Mate
rials
08:30 60 KI Team Arrive Materials on tables Seating Plan Soapbox Flipchart Coloured lanyards for participants vs stakeholders Evidence, Gaps and Research Questions flips
09:30 30 Participant arrival / registration and coffee
and pastries (as lunch quite late) 10am start to work on 1st day, 9.30am on 2nd, finish 4pm on 2nd day.
10:00 10 Welcome from ESRC/DSTL Thanks for coming
10:10 10 Facilitator Welcome Set tone Introduce soapboxes
10:20 20 Who’s in the room? Everyone completes a profile poster Discuss on tables Posters then collected and displayed around room
Four quadrants e.g. Who am I? What do I bring to this event? (experience, knowledge, connections) In my view the biggest challenges in this area are… My greatest hope from today is...
10:40 15 Setting the context ● Scope / scale of challenge ● Specific objectives for this workshop
Someone from DSTL / ESRC to set the overall context and objectives. Important for the group to hear “from the horse’s mouth” what they want from the day - so we can hook back onto it DSTL/ESRC to agree how tightly/loosely to define scope
10:55 20 What do we mean by automation of roles? (Mixed tables?)
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● What does this look like in different
contexts? (e.g. business, healthcare, manufacturing)
● Anything we would consider out of our scope?
Table discussion - capture on mind map
11:15 20 Feedback from groups and plenary
reflection Headline from each group If ESRC/DSTL have not set a scope then we will use the output of this feedback to define it.
11:35 20 BREAK - coffee and nibbles Move tables
11:55 30 PESTLE To get people thinking about what the world might be like - potential impacts
Need to agree time horizon that we are looking at. Work in small groups, one letter of PESTLE each. Include getting people to think about the evidence base for their predictions Could use Simeon’s press headlines as stimulus here.
12:25 30 Evidence - what do we know, where are
the gaps? What do we know already? Where are the gaps?
Table discussion. Capture evidence on post its (one per post it) Capture gaps on post its (one per post it) Plus any research questions that emerge
12:55 15 Feedback - start to build ‘evidence and
gaps’ walls Post-its notes added to ‘walls
13:10 45 LUNCH Buffet style lunch Time to look at profile posters and ‘evidence and gaps’ wall
13:55 15 Welcome Back Soapboxes
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Position the afternoon
14:10 30 Active Listening In pre-planned trios, mix of disciplines and academia/industry to give varying perspectives In my opinion the biggest challenge in understanding the impact and effects of the automation of roles is….?? Each person speaks uninterrupted for 5 mins Second person listens Third person notes down ‘things we know’ (evidence), ‘things we don’t know’ (research gaps) and potential ‘research questions’ on post-its Brief review of post-its at end of each rotation
14:40 15 Add to Evidence and Research Questions
walls
14:55 25 Review Walls Then clustering
Initial sense check - there may be things people think are gaps that other participants know are actually being addressed Clustering - How best to do this?Silent clustering then plenary review?
15:20 20 BREAK (could be a working break) Review clusters with stakeholders - do we want to ask for any sense of priority?
15:40 30 Stewarding the Research Questions Sourced from evidence gaps or clusters of research questions One cluster per group How could (interdisciplinary) research help address these challenges and gaps?
Group discussion to develop research questions from the clusters Output is one-page poster
● Key research questions / sub questions / links to evidence
Template for 1-page poster
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16:10 30 Show and Tell Timing depends on how many clusters there are!
16:40 20 Plenary Reflection ● What do we think to what we have
got? ● Anything we think we have missed? ● Any sense of priority or
dependencies?
Could include a prioritisation activity here? Or use as additional discussion/feedback time if needed.
17:00 10 Wrap-up Day One, link to Day Two
17:10 50 Drinks and networking Facilitators to meet with project Team members and stakeholders Review day one and agree plan for day two Allows for us to adapt as appropriate
18:00 90 Dinner and Speaker
19:30 Close
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Day 2
Time mins Activity Notes
09.00 30
Facilitator check-in with project team and stakeholders Agree plan for Day Two
If we didn’t manage to do this at end of Day One
09:30 15 Welcome back Reflections from Day One, insights from dinner conversations etc. Soapbox reminder Position Day Two
Day one was about identifying the research questions Day Two is about how to approach that research
09:45 10 Introduce the ‘meta questions’ and World Cafe Looking at the set of research questions we identified yesterday and in the context of the automation of roles:
1. How to assess multiple, complex and often non-linear impacts?
2. How to best understand and document the unintended consequences of technological change?
3. Which data and methods of analysis will best address the questions identified by the workshop?
4. What is and where do you get the best evidence to support policy?
Going to have four stations around the room (or using breakout rooms?), one for each question One person will stay at each station all morning - continuity Everyone else will be in four groups that will rotate around the four questions Group discussion to be captured on a mind map Each group adds to the mind map so that it builds up over the morning (Last group may also distil and prepare for feedback) Assign ‘table coordinators’ who will stay with the question from DSTL/ESRC stakeholders. Two per table. DSTL/ESRC to allocate themselves in pairs to each question and be prepared to do 1-2 minute intro to the question for each round of people and then capture conversation onto flipchart
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09:55 30 Rotation One
10:25 30 Rotation Two
10:55 15 BREAK
11:10 30 Rotation Three
11:40 30 Rotation Four
12:10 40 World Cafe feedback Feedback and plenary questions / consolidation across the 4 questions
Include time to distill into one-flipchart sheet output per meta question? Or this could be round 4?
12:50 60 LUNCH Meet with stakeholders to refine recommendation planning session - how best to structure?
13:50 45 Development of Recommendations From what we have learnt over the last two days, what are the key take home messages that will help the ESRC/DSTL? (Remind of the target outcomes and overall aim of workshop) Template: What is the recommendation (Verb … - e.g. Create a XYZ)) What’s its priority (Essential, Important, Nice to have?) Are there any dependencies on other things?
Split into groups to do this? How many will depend on participant numbers.
● Prioritised research agenda - can we split this?
● Research approaches and methods - can we split this into 2?
● Research policy - ○ Research ○ Evidence base for policy
development
14:35 40 Share draft recommendations for feedback Builds and concerns
15:15 30 Refine Recommendations for ESRC / DSTL
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15:45 15 Wrap up of event
16:00 CLOSE
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Annex4:AttendeesFirstName Surname Email
Rogerl Maull [email protected]
Fiona Butcher [email protected]
Ben Roberts [email protected]
Elizabeth Edgar [email protected]
Barry Smith [email protected]
John Vines [email protected]
Donald Hislop [email protected]
Bridgette Wessels [email protected]
Richard Harper [email protected]
Monica Whitty [email protected]
Crispin Coombs [email protected]
Simeon Yates [email protected]
Chris Noyce [email protected]
Tjorven Sievers [email protected]
Kate Purcell [email protected]
Patrick Crogan [email protected]
John Robertson [email protected]
Christopher Carlton [email protected]
Wilson Wong [email protected]
Peter Elias [email protected]
Stella Martorana [email protected]
Vicki Crossley [email protected]
Gretta Corporaal [email protected]
GillianSymon Symon [email protected]
Colin Corbridge [email protected]
Leslie willcocks [email protected]
Nikos Pronios [email protected]
Julian Padget [email protected]
Louise Dennis [email protected]
Catriona Smith [email protected]
Andi Smart [email protected]
Daniel Bloembergen [email protected]