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OVERCOMING COORDINATION FAILURE THROUGH NEIGHBORHOOD CHOICE ~AN EXPERIMENTAL STUDY~ Maastricht University Arno Riedl Ingrid M.T. Rohde Martin Strobel

Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~

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Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~. Arno Riedl Ingrid M.T. Rohde Martin Strobel. Maastricht University. Introduction: Why ?. Laboratory: people fail to coordinate on surplus maximizing equilibria - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~

OVERCOMING COORDINATION FAILURE THROUGH NEIGHBORHOOD CHOICE~AN EXPERIMENTAL STUDY~

Maastricht UniversityArno Riedl Ingrid M.T. Rohde Martin Strobel

Page 2: Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~

Introduction: Why ? Laboratory: people fail to coordinate on surplus

maximizing equilibria Reality: people able to agree on rather efficient

arrangements

∆ ?Largely neglected in the experimental and theoretical economic literature Our hypothesis Endogenous choice of interaction partners is a

powerful force to achieve coordination on the payoff dominant equilibrium

Interaction structurePossibility to choose interaction partners

Page 3: Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~

Coordination game

Representation during experimentyour colour colour of your your earnings

earnings of your neighbour neighbour blue blue 95 points 95 points blue green 5 points 90 points green blue 90 points 5 points green green 75 points 75 points

B GB 95,95 5,90

G 90,5 75,75

Payoff dominant equilibrium

Risk dominant equilibrium

Page 4: Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~

Experiment: Repeated Network Game

simultaneously

group size = 6 players two time blocks of 30 periods full information

Decisions player i:I. Network formation # neighbors

Two parameters:1. One-sided vs. two-sided link formation2. Costless vs. costly link formationII. Coordination game: 1 strategy

Page 5: Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~

Implications Network Game Link formation

6 players Total possible # links

proposed: 30 links Total possible # links

formed: 15 links

Coordination gameB G

B 95,95 5,90

G 90,5 75,75

Blue very risky complete network need all 5 other players to play B

in order for you to play B as well

Page 6: Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~

Experiment: Treatments Experimental treatments

Cost forming link = 80 points Control treatment : exogenously fixed complete

network search “stable” equilibrium strategy & network

structure

Link formation

one-sided

two-sided

Linking costcostless I II

costly III

Page 7: Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~

Repeated network game: our predictions

Punishment: efficiency enforcers

trade off rd versus pd action no threat punishmenthunt

complete network

risk dominance

One-sided, costless

One sided, costly

Two-sided, costless

Control treatment

Additional coordination problem

no threat punishment

small & unstable networks

complete network

payoff dominance

risk dominance

Page 8: Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~

Actual Experiment Computerized experimental sessions at BEE laboratory

Maastricht

210 subjects: Students Maastricht UniversityEach treatment : 3 sessions

1 session == 18 subjects 9 independent 1 group == 6 subjects observations

One sided costly: 8 observations

Each session took approximately two hours

Average earning per subject: 26.05 Euro

Page 9: Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~

Results: what is actually played

.2.4

.6.8

1Frequency

0 10 20 30Round

one sided costly one sided costless two sided costless full fixed

part 1Frequency payoff dominant play

Round 1No significant ∆ among the four treatments in payoff dominant play

Overall (1)Significant ∆ treatments with endogenous network structure vs. control treatment

Overall (2)Increase played payoff dominant eq played with endogenous network structure, decrease in control treatment

payoff dominant equilibrium / total play

Page 10: Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~

Network: link structure.4

.6.8

1Fr

eque

ncy

0 10 20 30Round

one sided costly one sided costless two sided costless full fixed

Part INetwork density

0.1

.2.3

.4.5

Freq

uenc

y

0 10 20 30Round

one sided costly one sided costless two sided costless

Part IExcess links

Overall:One sided costless: complete network

Two sided costless: punishmentOne sided costly: additional coordination

problem

Overall:One sided costless: all links proposedTwo sided costless: no full reciprocation

efficiency enforcersOne sided costly: add.coordination

problem not solved

Page 11: Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~

0.2

.4.6

.81

ff 2snoc 1snoc 1sc

frpdpd frprfrrdrd frnoplay

Results: play0

.2.4

.6.8

1

ff 2snoc 1snoc 1sc

frpdpd frprfrrdrd

Overall:Two sided costless:CG not always playedOne sided costly: CG not always played

Overall:Endogenous treatments: surplus max. eq.Costly highest coordination surplus max. eq.

Overall:One sided costly: coordination problemTwo sided costless: much eq. play

less off eq. play

0.2

.4.6

.81

ff 2snoc 1snoc 1sc

frpdpd frprfrrdrd

Actual # Play / 15Actual play/ total actual play Total play/ possible play

Page 12: Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~

Further tests: Why these results?

Network structure vs action choice

Action choice history vs. link proposal

Individual data on: risk preferences: ten paired lottery (Holt Laurey,

2002) Generalized preferences on equality & efficiency personality traits: Brandstaetter 32 questions

Page 13: Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~

ConclusionOur hypothesis

Endogenous choice of interaction partners is a powerful force to achieve coordination on the payoff dominant

equilibrium

strong support for our hypothesis!

Page 14: Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~

?or