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Overcoming coordination failure through neighborhood choice ~ An experimental study~. Arno Riedl Ingrid M.T. Rohde Martin Strobel. Maastricht University. Introduction: Why ?. Laboratory: people fail to coordinate on surplus maximizing equilibria - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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OVERCOMING COORDINATION FAILURE THROUGH NEIGHBORHOOD CHOICE~AN EXPERIMENTAL STUDY~
Maastricht UniversityArno Riedl Ingrid M.T. Rohde Martin Strobel
Introduction: Why ? Laboratory: people fail to coordinate on surplus
maximizing equilibria Reality: people able to agree on rather efficient
arrangements
∆ ?Largely neglected in the experimental and theoretical economic literature Our hypothesis Endogenous choice of interaction partners is a
powerful force to achieve coordination on the payoff dominant equilibrium
Interaction structurePossibility to choose interaction partners
Coordination game
Representation during experimentyour colour colour of your your earnings
earnings of your neighbour neighbour blue blue 95 points 95 points blue green 5 points 90 points green blue 90 points 5 points green green 75 points 75 points
B GB 95,95 5,90
G 90,5 75,75
Payoff dominant equilibrium
Risk dominant equilibrium
Experiment: Repeated Network Game
simultaneously
group size = 6 players two time blocks of 30 periods full information
Decisions player i:I. Network formation # neighbors
Two parameters:1. One-sided vs. two-sided link formation2. Costless vs. costly link formationII. Coordination game: 1 strategy
Implications Network Game Link formation
6 players Total possible # links
proposed: 30 links Total possible # links
formed: 15 links
Coordination gameB G
B 95,95 5,90
G 90,5 75,75
Blue very risky complete network need all 5 other players to play B
in order for you to play B as well
Experiment: Treatments Experimental treatments
Cost forming link = 80 points Control treatment : exogenously fixed complete
network search “stable” equilibrium strategy & network
structure
Link formation
one-sided
two-sided
Linking costcostless I II
costly III
Repeated network game: our predictions
Punishment: efficiency enforcers
trade off rd versus pd action no threat punishmenthunt
complete network
risk dominance
One-sided, costless
One sided, costly
Two-sided, costless
Control treatment
Additional coordination problem
no threat punishment
small & unstable networks
complete network
payoff dominance
risk dominance
Actual Experiment Computerized experimental sessions at BEE laboratory
Maastricht
210 subjects: Students Maastricht UniversityEach treatment : 3 sessions
1 session == 18 subjects 9 independent 1 group == 6 subjects observations
One sided costly: 8 observations
Each session took approximately two hours
Average earning per subject: 26.05 Euro
Results: what is actually played
.2.4
.6.8
1Frequency
0 10 20 30Round
one sided costly one sided costless two sided costless full fixed
part 1Frequency payoff dominant play
Round 1No significant ∆ among the four treatments in payoff dominant play
Overall (1)Significant ∆ treatments with endogenous network structure vs. control treatment
Overall (2)Increase played payoff dominant eq played with endogenous network structure, decrease in control treatment
payoff dominant equilibrium / total play
Network: link structure.4
.6.8
1Fr
eque
ncy
0 10 20 30Round
one sided costly one sided costless two sided costless full fixed
Part INetwork density
0.1
.2.3
.4.5
Freq
uenc
y
0 10 20 30Round
one sided costly one sided costless two sided costless
Part IExcess links
Overall:One sided costless: complete network
Two sided costless: punishmentOne sided costly: additional coordination
problem
Overall:One sided costless: all links proposedTwo sided costless: no full reciprocation
efficiency enforcersOne sided costly: add.coordination
problem not solved
0.2
.4.6
.81
ff 2snoc 1snoc 1sc
frpdpd frprfrrdrd frnoplay
Results: play0
.2.4
.6.8
1
ff 2snoc 1snoc 1sc
frpdpd frprfrrdrd
Overall:Two sided costless:CG not always playedOne sided costly: CG not always played
Overall:Endogenous treatments: surplus max. eq.Costly highest coordination surplus max. eq.
Overall:One sided costly: coordination problemTwo sided costless: much eq. play
less off eq. play
0.2
.4.6
.81
ff 2snoc 1snoc 1sc
frpdpd frprfrrdrd
Actual # Play / 15Actual play/ total actual play Total play/ possible play
Further tests: Why these results?
Network structure vs action choice
Action choice history vs. link proposal
Individual data on: risk preferences: ten paired lottery (Holt Laurey,
2002) Generalized preferences on equality & efficiency personality traits: Brandstaetter 32 questions
ConclusionOur hypothesis
Endogenous choice of interaction partners is a powerful force to achieve coordination on the payoff dominant
equilibrium
strong support for our hypothesis!
?or